Account Information
Name:
MisTKy3
Bio:
1974
Pseudonym:
Supportive-Moai
Created:
2024-05-18 06:24:05
Last Activity:
1 month ago
Tier:
Tier 0 · Verified
X:
@MisTky007
7f0b77c87a75c15f6c32a1a145909e43.jpg
Total Profit
$198,302
Blockchain trace (10)
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x088ffbbc6f2c0b3839d2832e75f37e1bcecbc9e7 seed MisTKy3 |
recipient, seed, sender, user | Polygon | USDC.e | — | 23 |
| 0x307114da21e59881ce8dc5b2136c7aaa196b7aa1 seed MisTKy3 |
recipient, seed, sender, user | Ethereum, Polygon, Arbitrum | USDC, USDC.e, USDT | — | 8 |
| 0x1a232a625429f6049981aaadbc2b7c643e6bf559 MisTKy |
recipient | Polygon | USDC | — | 4 |
| 0x08eb233279e218caa6646b2ccceb3d0aee59f598 | recipient | Polygon | USDC | — | 3 |
| 0x093e10cd0284f3d8684cf39775b272ea97b7f95e KazLC |
recipient | Polygon | USDC | — | 3 |
| 0xb1ef1ed214b849ea003d055549caeb533d00a8e1 | recipient | Polygon | USDC | — | 2 |
| 0xcbb5ce5c3c25f3ebb033d3c720aa9aae7caa9866 | recipient | Polygon | USDC | — | 2 |
| 0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b MisTKy |
sender, user | Polygon | USDC.e | — | 1 |
| 0x76614e9974477abf98019f41baf1ee1fed550e3a | recipient | Polygon | USDC | — | 1 |
| 0xb92fe925dc43a0ecde6c8b1a2709c170ec4fff4f | recipient | Polygon | USDC.e | — | 1 |
Stats
Portfolio value
$16.68
Markets traded
1,090
Trades
1,090
Largest win
$18,149.68
Profile views
773
Join date
2024-05-18 06:24:05
All-time rank
1032
All-time PnL
$198,302.10
All-time volume
$36,066,131.27
All-time profit
$198,302.10
Lifetime volume
$36,066,131.27
PnL series latest
$198,302.11
PnL series start
$198,302.10
PnL series points
23
Weighted volume
$122.45
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | Yes | 82259.871036 | $18,149.68 |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | 364807.089767 | $14,918.73 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Yes | 76992.71 | $13,498.72 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | Yes | 213835.236914 | $-22,188.71 |
| Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? | No | 28802.391551 | $-12,079.61 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | Yes | 70188.957466 | $-11,684.26 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 15 | $0.50 | $0.79 | $11.89 | $4.39 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.79 | $0.96 | $4.80 | $0.85 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 0.6447 | $0.89 | $0.96 | $0.62 | $0.05 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Yes | 0.1139 | $0.45 | $0.50 | $0.06 | $0.01 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | Yes | 6 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1.14 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | Yes | 82259.871036 | $18,149.68 |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | 364807.089767 | $14,918.73 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Yes | 76992.71 | $13,498.72 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | Yes | 337515.34304 | $11,280.46 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | No | 1343768.650746 | $10,303.05 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.001 | $0.00 | |||
| 4 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.001 | $0.00 | |||
| 4 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.001 | $0.00 | |||
| 4 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.001 | $0.00 | |||
| 4 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.001 | $0.00 |
Recent trades (1090)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | Yes | $0.99 | 14000 |
| 2 months ago | BUY | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | $1.00 | 14000 |
| 2 months ago | SELL | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $1.00 | 14999.95 |
| 2 months ago | BUY | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $0.98 | 5932.96 |
| 2 months ago | BUY | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $0.99 | 15793 |
Comments
2024-05-20 20:51:54
But of they approve only 19b-4 will this bet be won or lost ?
2024-05-22 18:28:39
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC. WTF dude
2024-05-22 18:34:48
Look at the market, if it was without the S-1 now the price for yes would have been 85-90. Maybe they will approve the S-1 fast, but please be coherent. It s like buidling a house, you can not start if you only have half of the permits. Now this market is if they approve also the S-1 until the end of the month.
2024-05-23 10:32:54
For the Ethereum ETFs to be approved, the SEC must approve the 19b-4 forms — which was done in one omnibus order for the Bitcoin ETFs — and then the S-1 registration statements must become effective. Only then can trading begin. The block, it says it quite clear no ?
2024-05-23 20:23:54
were ?
2024-05-23 22:08:46
If the SEC realease a statment in the actual day of the full aproval of the ETF how will you solve it ?
2024-08-23 05:09:33
https://www.theguardian.com/news/article/2024/aug/22/andrew-tate-placed-under-house-arrest-by-romanian-court-for-30-days so he has been arrested
2024-08-23 05:34:14
can someone propuse
2024-08-23 05:39:20
dude it has arrest also in the name what you want more ? the first 24 hours were detention now they are under hosue arrest wich is a form of arrest, like pre arrest and so on.
2024-08-23 10:46:52
In my opinion, the situation surrounding Andrew Tate's detention and subsequent house arrest in August 2024 is nuanced. Legally, house arrest is a restrictive form of custody and is considered a significant limitation on one's freedom. From a legal perspective, it can be viewed as a form of arrest, even though it differs from being held in a traditional jail setting. The debate about whether house arrest is a "formal arrest" might stem from the different levels of restriction it imposes compared to incarceration. While Tate is not behind bars, his movements and activities are severely limited by the conditions of house arrest, which is a significant legal consequence. Therefore, while some may argue that house arrest is less severe than jail time and thus not a "real" arrest, it still represents a legal form of detention that carries similar implications, especially in the context of ongoing criminal investigations. In a bet or discussion, it would be reasonable to argue that Andrew Tate was indeed "arrested" if we consider the house arrest as a form of detention. Chat GPT
2024-08-23 10:56:20
why you don t propuse ?
2024-08-23 14:33:37
Chat Gpt 4 answers As of August 2024, Andrew Tate is under house arrest in Romania. This follows his arrest on August 21, 2024, during a police raid at his residence. The house arrest is part of an ongoing investigation involving allegations of human trafficking and sexual exploitation. Romanian authorities have placed him under house arrest for 30 days as the investigation continues. This comes after previous legal troubles in Romania and ongoing scrutiny regarding his activities( ABS-CBN News ).
2024-08-23 14:33:54
Yes, house arrest is a form of arrest. It involves confining a person to their residence instead of placing them in a jail or prison. While under house arrest, the individual’s movements are typically restricted, and they may be monitored through electronic devices or regular check-ins with authorities. House arrest is often used as a less severe alternative to traditional incarceration, particularly for non-violent offenses or during pre-trial or post-conviction periods.
2024-08-25 13:06:19
No reasom so for the market to move like this, probably people heard that he got under house arrest but thats a different trial. The judicial process will take a long long time
2024-08-25 14:55:07
How do you know it s moving very fast ? :)) i just looked on the case and it got again delayed
2024-08-28 11:33:26
Were do you see uma votes ?
2024-09-15 17:07:21
Read the additional context of the bet :)
2024-09-15 17:19:38
Again trying to sell your shares be happy with what you got
2024-09-15 17:24:12
Sorry Milky you had your chance to sell
2024-09-15 19:14:03
I don't understand how people belive everything thats on the net :( it's sad
2024-09-15 19:18:52
How you know i didn't arb that 8k ?
2024-09-15 20:47:58
Or if credible sources state that whistleblower has ties with ABC, credible not junk websites.
2024-09-15 20:49:25
I hope they don't disappear after the election
2024-09-15 21:25:16
It dosen't even have the phrase that he swears...and it s surely not written by a notary :D
2024-09-15 21:37:29
Conclusion: Chances it was made by a notary: Possible, but unlikely based on the informal tone, unusual phrasing, and the fact that the document doesn't follow the strict, formal structure typical of legal affidavits. The notary could have simply verified the identity of the person signing it without paying much attention to the content, but even then, most professional notaries would be cautious about notarizing something that looks this informal or potentially questionable. Chances it was made by someone random: More likely. The document has several characteristics that suggest it was drafted by someone with limited legal knowledge who may have mimicked a legal document format but didn’t adhere to the formal standards that would be expected from a professional. The casual language, political bias, and lack of substantial legal formatting point to someone attempting to create the appearance of credibility rather than a professional affidavit.
2024-09-15 21:38:45
Exactly what i told you before, even if i am not familiar with American notarized documents, still it dosen't look like a notary made it
2024-09-15 21:42:40
if he made it up then "whistleblower releases a signed affidavit" isn't true anymore also good luck getting someone from ABC
2024-09-15 21:44:33
Dude look at you and what you posted :D but still thanks for the money
2024-09-16 05:02:38
You just lost 750
2024-09-16 05:05:22
It's not a fight , they already verified, stop wasting your money this is a friendly advice
2024-09-16 13:27:00
Please don't start after the vote is finished that the market was rigged, many people gave you evidence and advice, not to dispute randomly. Yes i agree about the additional context that it changed the rules but you had time to do something about it.
2024-09-16 13:56:32
I am sorry for you, i know problem gambling is a big issue
2024-09-20 04:47:41
Is it because of the fake coin on Raydium ?
2024-09-20 04:56:00
Again you ? I thought you went gambling anonymous
2024-09-22 12:29:58
So this is was happened it last 24h according to accounts of israeli reporters: 1. IDF steps up efforts to reduce Hezbollah arsenal, ahead of potential ground invasion to push terrorists away from border & demilitarize area; army is targeting arms depots, launchers & staging areas. 2. Air Force is also striking deeper in Lebanon to neutralize air defenses supplied by Iran, clear airspace for Israeli warplanes before launching more intense attacks in next stage of conflict.
2024-09-22 12:30:34
And from Aljazeera headlines (mind that this news outlet is pro Hezbollah):More people leaving southern Lebanon as conflict with Israel intensifies/Hospitals in northern Israel instructed to shift to war footing
2024-09-22 13:09:02
wait until they start the fireworks tonight
2024-09-22 14:32:01
Reports of tanks near the border: Rocket interceptions were visible in the city of Maalot, while military vehicles, including tanks, were in position in the Golan Heights.
2024-09-24 18:21:44
What he said about the meetin i see it's dumping bad
2024-09-24 18:32:17
But what he said about the meeting ?
2024-09-28 17:55:29
[link removed]
2024-09-28 18:50:02
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-orders-some-beirut-embassy-staff-members-leave-lebanon-2024-09-28/
2024-09-29 09:23:47
Look at photos, no it dose not look like a invasion [link removed] but be aware for this market it may take a couple of days to move
2024-09-29 09:27:36
Look at the photos, no it dose not look like a invasion [link removed] but this market is has little time so be careful
2024-09-29 09:33:51
No decision has been taken, let's just send in the middle of the night 100 tanks
2024-09-29 09:34:36
Still it may take a couple o days so you're lucky
2024-09-29 09:38:18
Depends what the Israeli goverment declares if they start raids only but they declare that this operations are made in order to establish a DMZ/Safezone then the bet should resolve YES
2024-09-29 09:47:12
Depends on the operation and the declarations - special ops surely don't count
2024-10-01 13:23:34
So the fog of war still exists...
2024-10-02 07:51:19
Infantry, armoured units to join ground operation in Lebanon.. give it one week and then it woun't be a debate anymore
2024-10-03 13:32:32
They are doing raids so that after they will enter with armored vehicles, so the strategy dose not need to change
2024-10-03 13:48:22
I will try to explain for people so they understand....the Isrealis are doing raids, they are doing this to clear the way for armored vehicles and troops so they can "establish control". So you need to wait a little, about the holidays that's a funny and sad argument. You do realize we talk about war ? And about the September market... it s complicated, the argument for YES on that ,market would be that even if they are doing only raids, they are still part of the bigger military campaign (but then also airstrikes would be )
2024-10-24 12:31:02
Just wait a couple of days and news will appear if it s true, you cannot expect this to be rezolved based on 2 Yemeni sources
2024-10-25 05:40:34
Also it states AOR. Probably next week it will be better
2024-10-29 20:51:40
It s already decided , when poly says it should solve YES then it will solve yes, 0 risk
2024-10-29 20:52:44
You should be happy it still happens
2024-11-04 15:26:11
Amazing now i have my money locked more....
2024-11-14 19:49:22
You really think they can afford another front line ? Probably they are make a fence and posts to monitor the border for weapons...
2024-11-14 19:51:48
Just a friendly reminder to people the bet is about invasion it s not about entering or clashes, even though i think those won't happen either, you should understand the difference.
2024-11-15 11:55:19
One source isn t consensus of credible reporting and also if it true they say they were making explosives not development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines.
2024-11-15 13:38:40
You played good , got in fast GG
2024-11-15 13:44:57
Buy some then
2024-11-15 14:01:23
buy more
2024-11-15 14:35:53
Omg you're so annoying
2024-11-15 15:07:05
You will lose your money , don t you see it already at 95
2024-11-15 15:27:00
It was like this several times, depends were the story appears, if only one newspaper has insider info what you want..
2024-11-15 16:01:01
GG
2024-11-15 17:26:19
Is this enough evidence that they were doing nuclear resarch there ? [link removed]
2024-11-15 17:33:02
It shows that in 2018 (after it was closed supossely there was still activity)
2024-11-15 18:29:09
then why you got a big position on yes ?
2024-11-15 18:36:41
Denizz is writing to you that No is a good bet and buying a ton of YES shares, be careful...
2024-11-15 18:41:13
The source for the Yemen strike was a no name news agency...it s a bit different now
2024-11-15 18:47:00
I dont know what you mean , i remember the first strike was called by some Houthi media.
2024-11-15 19:36:30
New article : [link removed] explaining more
2024-11-16 08:29:41
what you want to enter cheaper ?
2024-11-16 08:46:15
There were many markets solved without official statements
2024-11-16 08:47:34
It's not 100% sure this market but as you see from the price people tend to belive it's a YES
2024-11-16 09:04:51
This is for new players to know about how things here work. There were many markets with no official statement that got solved so don't count on that. About UMA vote, maybe it will be to early but UMA tends to vote as the market if the market is 99 then it will be surely YES. So don't put your hopes to high on UMA at a market at 95
2024-11-16 09:08:43
Sold because the price was very good :P
2024-11-16 10:55:38
I don't know if you are new here but with this price UMA will most probably solve to yes, there were other markets with much less info or more debatable and they were solved with yes...
2024-11-16 10:59:12
Did you go thru many disputes ?
2024-11-16 11:07:28
You both your position here 3 days ago at 91 :)) and you say about people who bet on a known fact that it's puzzling :))
2024-11-16 17:25:29
Another 2 news companies about the issue : [link removed]
2024-11-16 17:25:47
[link removed]
2024-11-16 17:30:15
For people who want to post on UMA P2 YES i will leave you some proof this is also for the No holders to understand what they bet on
2024-11-16 17:30:55
Axios made 2 (not only one ) very detailed articles about what happened a cited 4 or 5 officals
2024-11-16 17:31:07
[link removed]
2024-11-16 17:31:35
[link removed]
2024-11-16 17:32:48
There are documents from 2018 were they say that the base was still operational very detailed : [link removed]
2024-11-16 17:33:38
Top tier news agency vetted and posted also the report by Axios (remember they vet this)
2024-11-16 17:33:57
[link removed]
2024-11-16 17:34:10
[link removed]
2024-11-16 17:36:15
You can search on the internet Parchin and find much more articles about this for your vote
2024-11-16 17:37:11
Also if you want to add you can search on the internet satellite images of the strike , there are some very detailed
2024-11-16 17:38:16
[link removed].uk/world-news/2024/11/15/israel-destroyed-secret-iranian-nuclear-facility-taleghan2/
2024-11-16 17:52:50
Maybe the puropose of Polymarket is to tell the truth that is blurred, like the saying money talks
2024-11-16 17:53:34
People tell them that for 2 days...
2024-11-16 17:56:39
They bet a couple o bucks think that they can get lucky, afterwards they find arguments to fight on discord
2024-11-16 18:01:49
your verify it is at evidence and rationale and israel strike
2024-11-17 17:38:24
More sources: [link removed]
2024-11-20 07:08:52
If you betted with this thing in mind be careful , in Gaza the pause in fighting didn't count :P
2024-11-20 07:12:57
I saw some comments that some people bet because they think that there will be a pause in fighting when it is Christmas. First of all you need to know that Ukrianians celebrate Christmas now on another date. Second there were markets in the Middle East that also had pauses in fighting and they didn't count.
2024-11-20 07:58:50
I was saying that now the 2 countries don't celebrate Christmas in the same period....
2024-11-20 08:36:18
Usually Poly resolves on the title and a pause for Christmas is not what the title meant, you can check more on poly and uma discord to see how it went in the past
2024-11-20 09:32:03
I found one that still is open with clarification so you understand https://polymarket.com/event/next-israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-in?tid=1732095051849 read the clarification
2024-11-20 09:32:33
This market is about a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas - a humanitarian pause would not count. It is same for Christmas
2024-11-25 07:10:42
There is still the russian puppet
2024-11-25 14:08:27
He withdrew and congratulated Lasconi 15 minutes ago
2024-11-25 14:45:54
Expect a high number of people coming to vote now
2024-11-25 15:45:20
Driving the news: The draft ceasefire agreement includes a 60-day transition period during which the Israeli military would withdraw from southern Lebanon,
2024-11-25 15:45:27
So it's not next week
2024-11-25 16:35:49
Because of the russian troll and bot farms , now people are starting to realize this
2024-11-26 10:07:26
scam
2024-11-26 18:26:31
Let them be
2024-11-27 08:24:35
withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon. They have 60 days for that stop burning money :))
2024-11-27 18:57:37
Let them buy i like free money
2024-11-28 15:09:19
They found foreign interference in the case of Calin Georgescu :))
2024-11-29 13:37:59
There are some sources that say that until now they found 1k wrong for Lasconi
2024-11-30 16:40:15
Why do you think that Ciolacu didn't ask a recount at such a small difference ?
2024-11-30 17:19:06
You do realize that the National Security Councils decision also legitimates the cancellation
2024-12-01 17:01:51
wow with 7 bucks
2024-12-01 17:02:58
They win this and after they cancel the election...or CG will withdraw it seems he dose not withstand the pressure
2024-12-01 18:47:49
It is already kown 28 PSD and 17 AUR wtf
2024-12-01 19:12:52
And now you think it will change at the count ? Prey that it dosen't change for CG ;)
2024-12-01 20:00:07
Let them be they fill my orders, if they want to buy
2024-12-01 20:05:05
If one exit poll was not well made you think now all of them are bad...you need to take in account the age of the voters and other factors ;). Don't count on the diaspora either because they have only 6 places
2024-12-01 20:08:34
If they don't like the negotiation then probably the count wasn't good, the fighter of the light CG disappeared. Well he wanted in the grinder, let's if he can last without a party.
2024-12-01 20:09:24
I don't like them either but still it's bad to lose money
2024-12-01 20:35:30
Yes please
2024-12-01 22:04:00
0
2024-12-01 22:07:14
Thank you for the donation
2024-12-01 22:46:41
Georgescu will win if they don't fault him, but probably he will get the red card or better the red rose
2024-12-01 22:51:04
It's not sure wish it would be
2024-12-01 23:19:00
Yes but i don't want to increase my position on him
2024-12-04 17:46:21
Ciolacu till the end
2024-12-04 19:02:50
Don't be crazy no on Georgescu has super high value, i don't know about Lasconi because maybe they remake but CG will go down bad.
2024-12-05 16:08:14
Marcel Ciolacu, the leader of Romania's Social Democratic Party (PSD) and former presidential candidate, is reportedly considering re-entering the race in the electoral process . Sources close to Ciolacu suggest that he views a potential rerun
2024-12-05 16:19:47
Ciolacu will come after you
2024-12-05 16:32:11
It's not to late for you, if you sell your position, then you will have maybe enough money to get yourself an education. If your not too old you still have a chance in this world. Good Luck
2024-12-05 16:33:09
It takes only 2 buttons to sell
2024-12-06 16:10:48
Very good value on NO on Georgescu right now, probably he will get arrested in the next couple of days
2024-12-06 17:02:20
Still No for others is a great value, you do realize that the first 2 will be Ciolacu and Lasconi, the people that still are CG keep it up give it one day and it will be at aroudn 85
2024-12-06 17:04:44
Maybe he gets also a fault like Georgescu, he has a chance but be careful
2024-12-06 17:09:42
you will lose your money either way
2024-12-06 17:30:06
Wrong the party is calld PSD not SPD and he is still the leader of the party ,
2024-12-06 17:46:19
I know you wish to win even tough you were thinking Georgescu will win, sadly the election will be made until then and probably 1 of the 3 will win soo still your in a bad position :P
2024-12-06 17:46:45
I would sell if i would be you at least you lost only 500
2024-12-06 17:48:48
consider that you are in this position based only on luck :P
2024-12-06 18:40:46
Yes it is true , the bet states that if psd or pnl will but other candidates then other will win
2024-12-06 18:41:23
Georgescu fans you are losers but lucky ones
2024-12-06 18:44:48
It s not about the party
2024-12-06 18:48:10
yes but now on others the value is very big
2024-12-06 18:54:10
Because most probably psd and pnl will choose new candidates
2024-12-06 19:20:05
So he wants to sue the CCR maybe they will delay more the election
2024-12-06 19:28:19
Bolojan will run
2024-12-06 19:43:57
New round earliest in march but maybe they will extend in april so who knows.
2024-12-06 19:49:29
Lasconi is killing herself with her comments about CCR decision.
2024-12-06 20:00:09
Simion maybe will get faulted also ;)
2024-12-06 20:02:19
Now with all the Russia stuff Geoana has a real chance, remember he was a favourite, what if PSD start to support him?
2024-12-06 20:03:15
Wonder if PSD says they support Geoana and after all the Russia stuff how the people will view him ?
2024-12-06 20:03:26
Maybe i become rich from this :D
2024-12-06 20:07:57
I think you sh"t your pants when Georgescu went to 5 :P
2024-12-06 20:12:54
No , they will make it in at least 3 months, they will remake all the election with new candidates, btw Ciuca is out
2024-12-06 20:23:20
I am selling but what i tell you is true, it will take time to gather again signuters then 60 days idk what 30 idk what and stuff, listen to an analyst and said early march
2024-12-06 20:24:51
It's true what i said, now it's your deal if you want to belive or not
2024-12-06 20:26:49
That PSD and PNL will put new people (Bolojan) that maybe Nicusor enters the race and that the election will be the earliest in March but if they delay it will pass maybe the end date
2024-12-06 20:28:36
My opinion is that also lawsuit will need to be settled
2024-12-06 20:32:26
why you think that ?
2024-12-06 20:34:43
I don't understand that why you don t get that it will take 3 months at least to make them
2024-12-06 20:38:52
sorry
2024-12-06 20:42:36
So for people who don't know, the CCR canceled the elections. Now they will make it from 0. This means that after they will make a new parliament this month they need to approve the [link removed] the candidates need to gather signuters to get approved 60 days and after campaign 30 [link removed] :[link removed]
2024-12-06 20:43:37
CG said he will sue also they want to verify the new candidates so maybe Simion also get a card.
2024-12-06 20:44:22
Idk it's a super complicated thing
2024-12-07 08:25:50
Many are CG holders that got lucky but now people who belive new people will enter keep the price
2024-12-07 08:26:41
The price reflects the new people and the end date of the market i give 5-8 % that maybe the elections will delay
2024-12-07 08:27:41
If PSD will announce someone else others will fly if they announce CIolacu again then other will trade 10-20
2024-12-07 08:28:49
wonder if PSD says they will support Geoana what price he would be...remember PSD offered before to support him ;)
2024-12-07 17:17:58
I will write here so people have the right info. I have a very small position on other so i am not trying to pump my bag. There are some people who don't understand it states clear in rules if PSD or PNL or if anybody chooses another candidate they will enter the other category also the other category wins if there the result of election isn't certified until 30 April. Keep in mind the election will start the earliest in 3 months. Please for the other people that say it's different read the rules and stop inducing people in error.
2024-12-07 17:20:03
completed and certified...because it needs to be on the oficial website
2024-12-08 07:48:18
Geoana will be the next president mark my words
2024-12-08 08:09:46
The rules are bad maybe he will run from the country he meets with Assad
2024-12-09 14:51:14
i do realize Russia bombed this people for years and you still think they will let them have a military base :O
2024-12-12 15:38:42
So they canceled the election exactly for him.... they didn't remake it..they canceled..now DGSE , SRI , SIE, DIICOT are looking with full power to get him, they already picked up several associates and you think he will run again :O the price is insane on NO
2024-12-12 16:20:44
It cannot be No because it's to early....the market is until the end of the month
2024-12-12 16:22:13
So this vote means that all the evidence until now is 0....UMA didn't vote no because the market is until the end of the month but P4 was a proxy for No, if there isn't any new news or troop movement the market will rezolve to NO
2024-12-12 16:31:08
I told exactly what it is , you do with that info what you want
2024-12-12 16:31:51
They doubled the money , don t want to risk if something happens in next days
2024-12-12 17:22:24
More news articles are appearing that they will stay beyond the buffer zone, don't propouse yet let it be a little more and uma will vote YES
2024-12-12 17:32:12
Now it states that they will not raid but keep a presence there very different, also it's beyound the buffer zone
2024-12-12 17:35:44
[link removed] another article from today were it states that they will stay beyond the buffer zone
2024-12-12 17:37:18
Give it 2-3 days with news like today and the markey will solve to yes, we have 2 articles from reliable news outlets that state today that they passed the area (new york times and abs news) and have also a map , just don't propuse yes yet
2024-12-12 17:37:58
It's new because now they state they will stay ( establish control) + they have maps now
2024-12-12 17:39:33
And they intend to stay a while , that makes a very big differenace
2024-12-12 17:40:32
just don't hurry to prupose yet
2024-12-13 15:00:42
New news appears everyday just give it a little time, the No are just trying to abuse the sistem but in 2 days we have : 3 top tier newsoutlets stating that Isreal passed the border, 2 statments from Isreal that they will stay....and photos on x of tanks 10Km from the border
2024-12-13 15:33:29
what about this [link removed]
2024-12-13 16:10:33
They are starting to get him [link removed]
2024-12-16 13:53:01
This is a risky bet because surely he won't be let to candidate again but if they will get too much dirt on him probably he will probably not apply again
2024-12-16 13:58:47
So the situation is like this, now everybody slightly associated with Georgescu is being picked up, if they will find enough dirt they will make a deal with him to go to Austria and shut up, he is good not arrested, did you see how fast EU accepted for Romania to have the deficit for more years after ? If he won't cooperate then maybe they will arrest him. If they don't have enough prove they will just ban him from elections. Simion is playing this good for him but keep in mind that 30% of AUR members are ex PSD they will flip side very soon.
2024-12-16 14:00:31
40% for a couple of moths is still good, get it while you can
2024-12-17 05:01:00
[link removed].gov/news/press-releases/ricketts-cardin-risch-shaheen-statement-on-putins-assault-on-romanias-presidential-election/
2024-12-17 05:02:06
read https://www.ricketts.senate.gov/news/press-releases/ricketts-cardin-risch-shaheen-statement-on-putins-assault-on-romanias-presidential-election/
2024-12-17 05:02:40
You were very lucky Georgescu people , doged a bullet [link removed].gov/news/press-releases/ricketts-cardin-risch-shaheen-statement-on-putins-assault-on-romanias-presidential-election/
2024-12-17 05:16:44
They will just ban him, they don't need any proof for that. Also the EU and USA is approving the cancelation that's enough of an argument for CCR to ban him, i don't think the romanian politicians what to arrest him as he is a good pawn to negotiate with the EU
2024-12-19 10:35:47
Ciolacu Reborn part 5
2024-12-20 15:28:38
Many people are foreigners or who have the wrong impression that this is like the Trump case, they don't understand exactly how politics work in Romania and about some geopolitical implications.
2024-12-20 15:32:30
New stuff coming to light [link removed]
2024-12-23 11:29:25
The amount of time it takes to resolve
2024-12-23 13:54:55
It will still take a month or more to know who participates, so you get stuck the money for 1% to 2%, there are many markets like this
2024-12-25 08:43:54
Georgescu will go bye bye [link removed]
2025-01-15 08:59:05
Because you get stuck the money until then
2025-01-15 13:34:55
Any source ?
2025-01-15 14:36:11
What about the 0 funding issue ? Idk this past days with all his interviews it seems he is trying to get banned. Simion is much more likely to get his votes
2025-01-16 07:37:18
And ? with what it affects this article ?
2025-01-16 16:38:45
They will vote on it tomrrow
2025-01-17 04:53:19
Somebody needs to dispute the sunday market
2025-01-17 05:07:51
Someone needs to dispute other 2 markets
2025-01-17 06:14:36
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from Israel, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating Israel has announced an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice. This market is about the announcement wich was made by the prime minister
2025-01-17 06:17:06
Read the rules. The market is about the announcemt
2025-01-17 06:48:43
It dosen't matter the market is about the announcement , the[link removed]
2025-01-17 07:25:06
They just say to the media like that so that they don't have a backlash
2025-01-17 07:40:33
It will be solved as yes, do what you want, it is just a friendly advice maybe you will find an exit position
2025-01-17 09:11:15
Read the law. Even if you get donation you need to put them first in the campaign account. Well good luck with your bet
2025-01-17 10:22:22
For new people here , don't get the smart ideea that wow i will make 11X on this , the price is for a reason, very likely Yes will win and it is reflected in the price.
2025-01-19 21:03:29
The new guys , you realize that the YES people are only whales ? why do you think your much smarter and take no ?
2025-01-19 21:03:49
Btw this bet it's already finished
2025-01-24 08:43:44
Can you read past the headline ? "Thursday signed an order related to the declassification of files on the assassinations of former"
2025-01-24 12:27:45
Then propose :P maybe your in the mood to lose 750 more
2025-01-24 15:02:42
You think he will sign in a plane the EO or why are still getting YES ?
2025-01-24 16:49:44
In the future :P not today
2025-01-24 17:10:49
Ofc he ca but it's in case of emergency, Trump likes to make a show about what EO he signs.
2025-01-24 17:17:19
If you would learn to read between the lines it would help you alot in life ;)
2025-01-24 17:25:38
rule Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
2025-01-25 21:11:01
Cut you're loss market will go to 75
2025-01-25 21:20:27
You started sweating ? You have exit liquidity at 75 get it while you can
2025-01-30 16:57:11
You have a problem with democracy also there...bigger than Romania. They will ban him because he broke the rules.
2025-01-30 16:59:28
The issue with this market is that maybe they will arrest him before, you should take that in account.
2025-01-31 17:22:42
You should've learned how this site works...the outcome wil be NO,next time learn before you put money
2025-01-31 20:21:48
Lool that s why you bought ? LOOOL
2025-01-31 20:22:03
Read the rules wtf
2025-02-01 23:27:29
Why you put some other people to dispute ? Have some balls
2025-02-10 18:26:33
It will remain
2025-02-25 18:23:08
CCR vetted already Simion.
2025-02-25 19:37:22
CCR acts on precedent, for example Sosoaca was banned, last time so she will banned 100% again, Simion was allowed last year so he would be allowed again, Georgescu was so small that nobody made a complaint, that's why he was allowed to run. Enache gave strong indications that he will vote to ban him.
2025-02-26 12:11:13
Get your pills
2025-02-26 13:43:17
Simion is playing with fire with the protest...don't bet on him too much
2025-02-26 15:02:25
Simion played it safe with his statements about the constitution he was smart but he incites riots idk if he will be let to run. Simion most probably sold Georgescu for a warm seat in goverment ;)
2025-02-27 05:55:26
You do realize that social media is also fake news propaganda ?
2025-02-28 14:28:17
And you ask yourself why you lose money on this website....
2025-02-28 14:34:50
Today there was another sign that CG will be banned...Ponta suspended that PSD membership
2025-02-28 14:49:06
No, there will be someone from AUR also...
2025-02-28 15:30:54
They need to be extradited...lool read the title
2025-02-28 16:18:55
Maybe he went out for shopping
2025-03-01 16:03:00
Romanian elections a gamblers paradise...you never get bored
2025-03-01 17:32:05
To me it seems he is preparing the ground [link removed]
2025-03-01 19:10:23
This picture says it all [link removed]
2025-03-01 19:37:21
why ? they tried first time like that
2025-03-01 20:51:23
You do realize that a big portion of the population think's that this guy tried a coup ? And about the street, it seems this movements are artificial.
2025-03-02 14:05:44
It dosen't go like that, not all fan's of Georgescu will vote Simion.
2025-03-02 14:27:26
The issue is that we don't know if Georgescu will be blocked or if Simion will be the choosen one because it's risky for him also. Simion already underperformed so he underperforms again then his political carrier is over.
2025-03-04 12:24:25
Georgescu has some charges that can bring up to 30 years of prison . Don't underestimate this. Now we will see if he has the balls to go on.
2025-03-05 09:20:32
You can sell the yes shares or buy no shares and merge
2025-03-05 14:32:29
As things are going, it seems that he won't reach voting day.
2025-03-05 14:33:44
After the SVR statement his chances went down. It seems they are setting up azilum for him.
2025-03-05 14:35:51
They just expelled the Russian military attache. This guy was in the phone calls in Georgescu file.
2025-03-05 14:41:58
any news paper :)
2025-03-05 16:31:30
This is only what the media has..those recordings are not even evidence in the case. They are not wiretaps. But the SVR burned him, don't you ask why they made that statement and half an hour he announced he will put his candidacy ?
2025-03-05 17:39:20
Exactly what i was saying in the comments
2025-03-05 22:11:48
I would sell that Antonescu position
2025-03-07 16:07:34
Yes it's better to pay with Russian black money
2025-03-07 20:51:50
It's because if the money is made ilegaly and then it's donated then it's money laundering, also you are allowed to get up to 660kRON from a single entity. All money donations need KYC.
2025-03-09 18:27:57
Wow nobody was expecting :))
2025-03-09 18:29:41
Don't count your horses yet
2025-03-09 18:46:07
So this guy who calls himself so much a patriot.. his first reaction was in english. WTF
2025-03-09 18:59:37
Not you dude lool :))
2025-03-09 20:42:14
they didn't catch on yet but it should 2-5% . so now he needs to sue at CCR :))
2025-03-09 20:44:58
You're right he can appeal to CCR now
2025-03-09 20:48:25
He can appeal at CCR...even if it jurisprudence
2025-03-09 23:03:22
And you ask yourself why you lose money on this website
2025-03-10 07:31:42
They won't cancel him...it would be too much
2025-03-10 13:45:17
Stop smoking weed
2025-03-11 17:20:42
They will let him run...
2025-03-11 20:26:33
Georgescu will ask him to run...for the sake of democracy and freedom
2025-03-11 20:27:51
You forget that Georgescu still faces up to 30 years in prison...i don't think he can make many demands to AUR
2025-03-11 20:40:25
This is politics, take it with a grain of salt, you do realize that he cannot say ok i give up vote X, also he is quite dependent of political support because of his charges.
2025-03-11 20:41:59
I don't know but it's a decent chance...look the market it is still trending at 20...don't ever belive what politicians say especially Simion :))
2025-03-12 09:29:04
They will ban this guy
2025-03-12 11:35:32
Told you Simion will run
2025-03-12 12:12:58
Simion has a real chance here, don't underestimate. He has the backing of Americans also
2025-03-12 19:48:04
If they don't ban him...
2025-03-14 14:23:56
Gavrila's file maybe made incorrect so they can say that the "system" blocked her. Simion won't get blocked and don't kid yourself this blocking and the charges brought, only help him. We will see the ECR and MAGA movements support him. Let's see how good it works.
2025-03-16 20:16:20
You can ask on discord ,
2025-03-17 19:00:11
You guys really don't like Simion around here, this recent poll was made for Nicusor...so take it with a bit of salt. Also the poll seems very weak even though it is made by AtlasIntel , Gavrila gets same as Simion 30% common let's be real.
2025-03-17 19:47:49
Gavrila will quit the race, sell while you can
2025-03-17 20:18:18
The bond value isn't so good for the period the money gets stuck.
2025-03-17 20:22:49
It will go to 98 something and not so much liquidity to sell... if it was 92-93 maybe, like this really not worth it
2025-03-17 20:38:01
The majority of voters of AUR won't vote for a women...that's the sad truth. And she knows that so don't get your hopes up. Good luck.
2025-03-19 19:11:34
Probably CG will come to endorse Simion on 26 March ;) You can thank me later
2025-03-19 20:30:04
And what he will do ? This is his only card that he can play to get something.
2025-03-19 21:22:56
I take is somehow different on the situation. Simion has the upper hand in this. We will see on 26
2025-03-24 19:37:30
You do realize that it has been clarified ?
2025-03-25 09:38:41
What joint statement ? The Russians left
2025-03-25 10:09:30
They left...i don't remember the article but they will arrive in the evening because of a layover or something.
2025-03-25 10:10:37
Will you take any action for the mineral deal ? I saw you were a big holder
2025-03-25 15:43:16
Russia said before...
2025-03-25 15:56:18
Yes but the no holders are in denail
2025-03-25 16:07:11
GG Denizz
2025-03-25 16:43:43
It needs to be an announcement wich happened
2025-03-26 12:19:46
0 chances
2025-03-26 13:06:55
Idk how you are on profit...i remember you from another market...
2025-04-01 10:38:15
It is already solved for clarification...you argue for nothing
2025-04-01 21:40:48
Consensus from whom ? Maybe it s just in your mind. Here the money seems to have a different opinion
2025-04-02 12:05:47
Dude you lost, give it up. The market has clarification it will go to No , move on.
2025-04-02 14:31:47
It added the vessel from the shadow fleet
2025-04-02 15:02:49
They would have disputed on UMA...so i was first
2025-04-02 15:18:45
Propuse then if your sure.. but it will get disputed
2025-04-02 15:19:04
There is already a clarification for something similar
2025-04-02 15:33:40
Well it's called Trump sanction...
2025-04-02 15:45:44
I won't let them
2025-04-02 17:01:03
If you are so convinced why you don't propuse again and let UMA decide ?
2025-04-02 17:11:39
The market is priced like this because it is until July, No is winning
2025-04-02 17:13:52
Better , Thanks
2025-04-02 17:18:24
I would sell if i were you , now that you have liquidity
2025-04-02 22:15:46
This is pushed to the limit and it's not a sanction against Russia.
2025-04-02 22:27:07
It is not semantic...if it was owned by a Russian state company directly i would agree with you. But it is owned by a Hong Kong company, yes there are allegations that that company has connections etc. but the sanctions are surely not directed to Russia. Didn't think i would argue with you about this.
2025-04-03 10:33:00
You should post the article on discord at the evidence
2025-04-03 12:08:43
Post on discord
2025-04-03 12:10:16
Well it helps when the vote will come, i did my part
2025-04-03 12:19:28
No you just need to go to discord UMA and voting and post what you want
2025-04-03 12:22:20
You btted some money on NO so it would be in your best interest to go to UMA and put your vote and case
2025-04-03 13:23:57
You didn t post corect i dm..u on discord
2025-04-04 07:59:52
I had to much exposure. I think P4 will win here but there are still several months.
2025-04-04 11:57:51
It will apply the same things as the vessel, a blanket tariff isn't a sanction against Russia
2025-04-04 12:01:44
The blanket 10% tariff isn't a sanction against Russia. Yes would have a case if the tariff was not universal. I believe USA put blanket tariffs on alumium in March and sanctions/tariff markets did not solve to YES.
2025-04-04 12:03:30
he existing announcements do not imply Russia is being punished, and no media is considering them sanctions against Russia
2025-04-04 12:11:53
Can you stop saying i am scamming ? If the opinion is different it dose not mean it's a scam. And about the tariff it seems the market dose not belive the reasoning of Endo. He is the only one buying.
2025-04-04 12:16:19
The company in the sanctions says it's in Hong Kong. If the phrase direct sanctions would not have been in the text. Then yes it could ve worked. You have clarification also. Nobody is reporting a Russian sanction.
2025-04-04 20:24:59
He said at present tense "which is why I am signing an Executive Order "
2025-04-04 20:30:39
It's so strange that this market has the same price as a couple of days ago.
2025-04-04 20:34:29
EO expires tomrrow at midnight
2025-04-04 20:46:19
The ban will enter at 11:59 PM April 5 in action. Not midnight
2025-04-04 20:53:40
Source i read the EO and i put it in AI
2025-04-04 21:01:54
And it makes 5 April so how do you calculate 5 April legally ? From when it was signed ?
2025-04-05 17:44:49
Car found the ambiguity :))
2025-04-05 18:49:22
Someone propused and somone disputed again
2025-04-08 17:49:30
You will lose your money
2025-04-08 18:39:24
Can you stop spaming
2025-04-08 18:51:43
The sad part for the No holder is that the time difference between the countries is of 12 hours.
2025-04-08 18:55:40
Read my message slowly again, maybe you will understand
2025-04-08 18:57:38
If you made your bet assuming they will announce 104 tariff and this won't count you are very wrong. It is 54+50 at surely poly and UMA will see it the same.
2025-04-08 18:59:07
At least stop inducing other people in error. They will lose money because of you.
2025-04-08 19:00:43
You know, just don't cry and don't say somebody didn't warn you.
2025-04-08 20:04:56
You do realize the market is trending 90 ? So the other participants don't think like you? I tried to warn you and the other guy.
2025-04-09 12:10:34
Lasconi has not the same price as CG. The only thing is CG is banned :))
2025-04-10 18:43:37
Even though i don't like Ponta so much...what he did is a good thing.
2025-04-10 18:58:57
No thanks that's not easy money at all :P
2025-04-12 15:16:14
You are buying for 11 :P
2025-04-13 22:14:32
Guys other 3 markets solved to YES. This will solve to YES stop burning money
2025-04-16 12:21:30
If you think Polymarket with let this market espcially after all the drama with last one be solved with a memorandum you are severly mistaken.
2025-04-16 12:37:29
Turkish scum
2025-04-19 13:07:23
Are you going to propuse or not ?
2025-04-19 13:10:05
Good luck
2025-04-19 14:22:13
It's not a humaritian pause
2025-04-19 18:52:54
Comeon everybody wants pace
2025-04-21 13:29:30
A qualifying audit/investigation must be specifically directed at U.S. foreign aid sent to Ukraine. Surely this is not in the spirit of the market. Big chance Polly will clarify
2025-04-21 13:32:25
This was ordered before the market creation. The only one after is the one for the human rights stuff.
2025-04-21 13:34:24
"directed at U.S. foreign aid" that dose not seem as direct US foreign aid
2025-04-21 13:39:59
specifically directed at U.S. foreign aid sent to Ukraine.
2025-04-21 13:54:19
same story i looked at all of them yesterday
2025-04-21 14:07:13
We are discussing it on discord if you want to join
2025-04-21 14:29:47
pollymarket discord server
2025-04-21 14:33:25
pollymarket discord server
2025-04-21 20:18:47
true
2025-04-21 21:32:13
Same story read the documetn
2025-04-23 15:34:45
A trade deal means something else...not a tariff reduction
2025-04-24 11:55:31
what happened that all Nicusor fans are happy ? From the poll ? You need to take in account the Lasconi probably will support Antonescu.
2025-04-24 16:11:13
no , they will not cancel
2025-04-24 17:16:05
Long live Xi
2025-04-24 22:19:28
Give it a couple of more days and a shell will fly over the border. Or this will be reported
2025-04-24 22:21:19
They fight at the border often..big news is progressive
2025-04-24 22:22:03
Well it most markets we meet i kinda won except when you scam we will see
2025-04-24 22:23:03
Nobody said war , read the market rules all you need is a shell and there are some reports that there is artillery fire
2025-04-24 22:38:30
No here is the chart and one part is Pakistani and one part is Indian [link removed]
2025-04-24 22:41:36
Even if this one dosen't get alot of media attention , it's just the start they will have a go at it. 2019 Repet
2025-04-25 08:49:09
"Reports of cross-border shelling " you could say now that "force executed by India on Pakistani soil" eitherway probably next week there will be an airsirike or a missile
2025-04-25 09:16:35
Depends if it is a 2016 scenario it will surely count
2025-04-25 09:18:13
Depends
2025-04-25 20:05:35
You do realize that this clarification is very good for Yes ? There were some reports of artillery yesterday....or do you think those tanks at the border are for picnic only ?
2025-04-25 20:06:01
I think we are giving to much info :)
2025-04-25 20:07:15
I didn't say it should count...
2025-04-25 20:09:21
My issue was with the UN land and stuff
2025-04-25 20:10:36
How long you think it will take ?
2025-04-26 20:15:00
Do heavy machine guns count ? It seem that they started to use those ? It is surely not a small arm :P
2025-04-26 20:18:29
They use The DShK M1938 and it weights 35.5KG surely not small
2025-04-26 20:36:36
It means you go the gym...and for what distance to carry ? that "heavy" machine gun probably you can carry it 2-3 meters :))
2025-04-26 20:36:53
without the bullets
2025-04-26 20:38:14
They will lunch a missile but in a couple of days... probably something homemade
2025-04-28 08:17:59
Stop sniffing glue
2025-04-28 09:58:09
Surely stop sniffing glue...
2025-04-28 11:47:26
Pollymarket should write better...this is not a humanitarian pause. Idk if will count or not but they should read what it actually means.
2025-04-28 13:34:37
No , nothing will happen...
2025-04-29 13:42:11
They started early today
2025-04-30 13:12:32
Car your moma still ask about me ?
2025-04-30 13:27:27
Comeon Car say about you moma, you know i like Turkish meat
2025-04-30 19:42:38
How is you moma Car ?
2025-05-01 11:05:12
Stop wasting money , Pollymarket will clarify
2025-05-01 15:34:31
No trade deal [link removed]
2025-05-01 19:29:23
Go to discord and write....yes they are trying to scam the market
2025-05-01 19:32:12
Well the ones on YES presented their case all day , as you wish...
2025-05-01 19:33:23
It dose not count i argued all day.. said exactly the same. But more people better
2025-05-01 19:46:53
Yes , you can write there
2025-05-01 21:03:18
No more scamming for polly
2025-05-01 21:05:55
Uma is gone and so is your scamming
2025-05-01 21:17:13
Be careful with car
2025-05-02 12:03:00
Getting insults by an account that is called White Supremacy. It's like getting a compliment :))
2025-05-06 21:09:54
They hit the airbase
2025-05-06 21:41:51
Look at the rules , only the Pakistan goverment needs to say
2025-05-07 16:14:06
Very dangerous to hold yes in this market
2025-05-07 16:15:41
i didn't say it will go NO buy surely you can get in trouble with yes at high prices
2025-05-07 16:25:26
It is on CNN it is over
2025-05-07 16:25:52
website yes
2025-05-07 16:33:02
French official says Pakistan downed Rafale jet as officials examine possible further losses
2025-05-07 16:42:10
What scam ?
2025-05-07 16:42:34
There is proof of the rafael parts on the school. The only proof neeeded was that it was shoot
2025-05-07 16:42:50
Clash report is scam
2025-05-07 16:43:22
French official says Pakistan downed Rafale jet as officials examine possible further losses
2025-05-08 08:51:11
Pakistan is confirming and India so..it is kinda of over
2025-05-08 08:53:55
They said operation Sin what is not over
2025-05-08 08:56:19
Surely not fake
2025-05-08 09:01:28
They declared state of emergency so what do you think happened
2025-05-08 09:25:56
The indian and pakistani reported it
2025-05-08 10:03:04
Why is this not at 99 ?
2025-05-08 10:06:23
I don t understand the case for NO , can someone eplain ? they shot a radar in Pakistan
2025-05-08 10:07:23
i am in polly
2025-05-08 10:09:39
U.S issues warning of Lahore and you still ask if the an attack happend wtf
2025-05-08 10:20:03
India says it targeted air defense systems in Pakistan
2025-05-08 10:22:31
You guys are not good with the head...there are like 1000 reports also Indian and Pakistan goverment cofirms
2025-05-08 10:29:11
So the argument is that a drone strike is not an airstrike :| that what it is guys ?
2025-05-08 11:19:25
They try to scam but is very hard
2025-05-08 11:20:36
Argument is that drone strike is not aerial bombarment
2025-05-08 11:58:00
They should prepare also for the second 750 then
2025-05-08 12:02:34
This will solve yes also don't worry
2025-05-08 12:13:44
Not if they don t get fills
2025-05-08 16:25:18
It is still fog of war
2025-05-08 16:52:46
So what's the problem with this market ? That India will say they intercepted 2914729357629 drones ? Super undervalued but idk about the reporting
2025-05-08 17:06:37
Polymarket improved a lot after the mineral scam, now i wonder if the scam group will be still porfitable
2025-05-08 19:39:11
What am i missing ? why this is not at 99 ?
2025-05-08 19:39:37
Why is Uk so low ?
2025-05-08 20:10:25
thank you
2025-05-09 16:49:10
GG Yes guys
2025-05-09 20:09:38
Yes they say on Indian TV similar, that some reached targets
2025-05-09 20:11:14
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Indian territory or cause damage.
2025-05-09 20:11:39
We had the not so smart discussion about drones yesterday , they count :P
2025-05-09 20:13:49
[link removed]
2025-05-09 20:14:02
d. [link removed]
2025-05-09 20:27:59
Wich one from the 400 ? :))
2025-05-09 23:42:58
They fire missiles and the market is at 74 :|
2025-05-10 00:00:18
All out war started and still the market is at 90
2025-05-10 00:00:52
Probably if they nuke each other it will go to 95
2025-05-11 19:48:25
They will clarify relax...UMA dosen't go anymore
2025-05-12 08:55:49
This market is wired but if india says it is commited to the ceasefire it should be solved to yes
2025-05-13 11:45:55
metamask dupa ce ai banii in USDC, nu apesi butonul deposit trimiti direct la adresa de polymarket
2025-05-13 11:50:15
bagi in metamask si apoi trimiti catre adresa de polymarket , daca apesi deposit din poly iti ia alt fee
2025-05-13 13:40:44
Thank you
2025-05-17 11:31:18
Friday was not enough info. Still iti is not enough info be getting there
2025-05-17 11:32:35
This will go to yes in max 3 days
2025-05-17 11:58:02
That market solved good , but don t expect this to go No because of that one
2025-05-17 12:15:29
Yes , probably they sent all that equipment near the border for a party
2025-05-17 13:26:57
wow from an account with 25 bucks :))
2025-05-18 17:11:55
Omg you talk to much...
2025-05-18 18:07:40
Relax they will fix it
2025-06-01 12:26:02
Mai taci ma , ca mult vorbesti , cu contul tau de 2 bani
2025-06-08 10:49:48
Link ?
2025-06-11 12:24:45
Should i be worried about my position ?
2025-06-13 11:59:35
Today everybody gets my name wrong idk...
2025-06-14 08:06:05
Thanks Man i owe you one
2025-06-14 08:48:03
There is a statment from IDF
2025-06-14 09:09:03
They strated to appear :P
2025-06-14 09:40:45
GG
2025-06-14 17:40:22
Big Media outlets are reporting it so no chance of scam
2025-06-14 18:06:08
From the guy who lost 150k
2025-06-17 03:21:32
Relax...probably they are not attacked by Iran
2025-06-17 15:46:30
They don't need to get to him, if a new leader is in Iran then this goes to yes
2025-06-17 15:54:19
If he runs it will go to yes
2025-06-17 16:05:52
You are right but in this position , if goes to another country i don't think he can make his duty :))
2025-06-19 05:00:36
I bought it :p i don't get why you think it was a premium :P
2025-06-19 05:01:09
It's funny how someone with -1k thinks they are so good at it :P
2025-06-19 05:04:37
You don't realize how many things changed with this
2025-06-19 08:48:11
You started to sweat or what ?
2025-06-19 08:52:42
The No strike has higher chances than the strike after 30th my opinion
2025-06-20 15:32:08
Sandra needs money for btc
2025-06-22 14:29:53
Read clarification
2025-06-23 02:21:59
Relax, evidence that they were destroyed will appear and 2-3 days. Nobody is proposing now
2025-06-23 02:29:14
It will appear a detailed report of the damage, probably done with modeling, thermal imageing etc , the iaea will use that also to asses on the issue. You do realize you don't need a guy and a camera to go there.
2025-06-24 04:11:34
It is about them annoucing a ceasefire , not about them keeping it
2025-06-24 13:29:24
Why ate people still buying No ? YOU HAD THE ARGUMSNT WITH IRAN , IT ENDED NOW WHAT ?
2025-06-28 14:37:47
And it will go P2 next vote...
2025-07-02 18:28:31
2 clowns
2025-07-02 19:02:00
Don t hurt my emotions
2025-07-03 06:33:43
You guys should stop sniffing glue... especially the Egyptian Kings and Gods
2025-07-03 07:12:44
Iar ti ai pierdut banii de paine ? Loser
2025-07-03 16:19:25
I have the flu :(
2025-07-03 16:28:17
MiaMeow why you care so much about my emotions ? you want to do a BJ ?
2025-07-03 20:39:33
stop giving them alpha :P
2025-07-03 21:00:39
loses from ?
2025-07-04 05:52:50
No
2025-07-04 10:09:22
While i agree to you, there is a risk that a ceasefire will happen
2025-07-04 10:25:43
Clown
2025-07-04 11:16:40
It depends what it says in the first proposal. If it says that a ceasefire will start at date x, it will go to yes. .
2025-07-04 13:57:01
Take your pills
2025-07-04 13:59:35
OMG i need to sell
2025-07-04 14:29:06
Come on insect you can get it to 95 , people are placing bets if you can move the market that much :))
2025-07-05 04:37:09
If you don't understand the system don t play, it is not about time, next vote will be NO , sell and don't lose your moneu
2025-07-05 09:28:04
It dose not count , this market will go to NO , 99.999% sure , stop wasting money
2025-07-05 09:51:21
Because i know the rules and how UMA [link removed] was voted 3 times now that suit is not enough. Now it will be the last time because it was propused after the market end so now it will go to NO. Stop wasting money
2025-07-05 15:19:19
Insect probably is in the same group (that Calvin guy)
2025-07-05 18:46:36
?
2025-07-07 07:01:26
Buy High sell Low good strategy
2025-07-07 07:40:17
No , i am your Father
2025-07-08 22:39:40
You talk too much and understand too little
2025-07-16 17:19:17
Lol good insult i guess...:))
2025-07-16 17:54:27
If the data says that i should i will dump don't worry...the game is to make money
2025-07-17 03:18:16
I don't know how you are on profit
2025-07-18 05:09:21
You are genius
2025-07-18 13:13:12
I don't get you i made on this market double your total PNL and you still yap
2025-07-18 13:13:58
Less talking more thinking, it really dose wonders
2025-07-20 18:56:34
Last time they declared at 04:00 AM
2025-07-23 18:33:57
You are surely not a genius
2025-07-23 18:52:17
Learned to read between the lines
2025-07-24 09:22:45
It is because they need to replay to the new proposal so they are hardening they stance....mostly rhetoric
2025-07-24 09:24:22
If you look on at other side, now they are declaring that a deal is very near, the tables have flipped
2025-07-24 16:46:23
Retard i am still positve on the overall market...but your to dumb to see
2025-07-26 10:28:58
You need strong proof...be careful
2025-07-26 10:29:54
On the other side you have some who know good the rules of UMA, hope for your sake you are hiding some good proof
2025-07-26 11:08:45
Crazy market
2025-07-26 11:16:05
GG i hope you win , you deserve it but still there will be a fight
2025-07-26 11:43:56
Link ?
2025-07-26 12:32:14
Clown
2025-07-26 18:24:03
It is not over yet...Good Luck
2025-07-26 18:36:55
I hope they keep it
2025-07-28 05:29:31
Yoi do realize people are betting 10's of k ? Many know much better the facts than you
2025-07-28 09:42:48
Clown
2025-07-28 20:11:50
[link removed].th/news/contents/details/98884, there were strikes on 25 th june also
2025-07-29 16:07:30
Let some news cover it
2025-07-29 17:36:31
If Trump agrees tomrrow that will be the mutual annoucemnt
2025-08-01 10:28:05
You should change your name...
2025-08-01 11:19:06
Stop sniffing glue
2025-08-01 15:13:15
No holder, please stop sniffing glue , it is bad for you health
2025-08-05 12:29:03
It is same rule as andrew tate market
2025-08-08 06:14:06
No
2025-08-08 06:14:35
All types, a partial ceasefire will not count
2025-08-12 11:42:48
Did you escape from the circus ?
2025-08-12 11:47:50
Save your money , polymarket clarified to yes, uma never voted against a clarification, it will not vote now either.
2025-08-24 12:25:37
GG yes holders , you deseve to win
2025-08-24 12:46:28
It was confirmed it was loaded with cluster munition...it is a very high chance that what hit the lady's garden was a canister that blew up.
2025-08-29 15:46:19
Car is a scammer , he just tries to sell his position higher, don t ever believe what he says.
2025-08-31 12:13:34
You can lower the price
2025-10-21 14:08:37
Clown
2025-11-12 19:34:51
There are several articles and statements by both sides that there fired one to each other.
2025-11-17 21:21:28
They are just stupid...
2025-11-17 21:51:26
Good luck fighting the clarification with that if they announce tomorrow...al the headlines will tell that Trump agreed to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia. Don t think polymarket will clarify to NO this one
2025-11-17 21:53:57
Also this is an annoucement market if you read all the rules...
2025-12-06 16:11:20
Wow what a crazy market
2025-12-26 07:25:45
so you're the one front running my orders...so annoying
2025-12-26 14:56:12
Clown
2026-01-03 16:32:20
And what is wrong with the picture now ?
2026-01-05 13:58:26
wtf happened here ?
2026-01-07 01:53:27
You think they care ?
2026-01-08 13:33:51
When dose this sale finish ? Day and time ?
2026-01-18 06:34:40
Your theory has a huge huge flaw but i will not tell you what it is :P
2026-01-18 06:35:25
I see your Alpha from the PNL