Account Information
Name:
estoicc
Bio:
they don't know me son
Pseudonym:
Tragic-Member
Created:
2026-03-13 20:53:43
Last Activity:
2 weeks ago
Tier:
Bronze
X:
@estoicc
profile-image-6688518-730316cf-3702-4d86-b849-bfd5db57eea9.png
Total Profit
$6,293
Blockchain trace (3)
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x738a4849db23670996f14dff96a2bc6a8f885996 seed estoicc |
recipient, seed, sender, user | Polygon | USDC.e | $783.63 | 3 |
| 0xf7d92b5c405ac71cacfee8346620f42af995573d 📥 | sender, user | Polygon | USDC | $494.09 | 1 |
| 0x7c4e6250224a1b1f67fb4b445a7e88cc5aa8b77f 📤 estoicc |
recipient | Polygon | USDC | $199.87 | 1 |
Stats
Portfolio value
$4,480.62
Markets traded
607
Trades
607
Largest win
$1,449.52
Profile views
3,097
Join date
2026-03-13 20:53:43
All-time rank
21346
All-time PnL
$6,293.42
All-time volume
$177,422.82
All-time profit
$6,293.42
Lifetime volume
$177,422.82
PnL series latest
$6,278.20
PnL series start
$6,477.00
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$4,507.45
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? | Yes | 1797.3664 | $1,449.52 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | 1537.3539 | $1,098.43 |
| Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel? | Yes | 1223.2716 | $859.56 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 1088.1432 | $-484.10 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | No | 589.9977 | $-224.20 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 340 | $-210.12 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? | No | 251.4183 | $0.36 | $0.63 | $158.39 | $67.39 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by August 31? | No | 190 | $0.45 | $0.82 | $155.80 | $71.10 |
| Will Team Falcons make playoffs? | Yes | 131 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $131.00 | $15.72 |
| Will Cloud9 make a roster change by December? | Yes | 203 | $0.53 | $0.54 | $109.62 | $1.41 |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31? | No | 118.1818 | $0.88 | $0.91 | $107.55 | $3.55 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? | Yes | 1797.3664 | $1,449.52 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | 1537.3539 | $1,098.43 |
| Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel? | Yes | 1223.2716 | $859.56 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 919.909 | $807.92 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 1819.6403 | $336.19 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | $0.21 | 9.37 | $1.97 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | $0.16 | 9.369043 | $1.50 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | $0.26 | 30.69 | $7.98 |
| 2 weeks ago | REDEEM | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? | No | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | |
| 2 weeks ago | REDEEM | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | No | $0.00 | 272.83 | $0.00 |
Recent trades (607)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | $0.21 | 9.37 |
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | $0.26 | 30.69 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | $0.22 | 27.55 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? | No | $0.30 | 140 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee? | No | $0.12 | 258.333332 |
Comments
2026-03-22 15:52:44
Está en el lado correcto en mi opinión
2026-03-24 17:43:43
1. Al Jazeera – “Hezbollah attack kills one in north Israel as assault on Lebanon continues” (March 22, 2026) – Reports the fatal attack in Misgav Am and Hezbollah’s claim of responsibility.
[link removed]
2. The Times of Israel – “Hezbollah says it carried out deadly Misgav Am attack, claims it targeted soldiers” (March 22, 2026) – Confirms launch detected from Lebanon, direct impact on vehicles, and Hezbollah’s official claim.
[link removed]
3. Alma Research and Education Center – “Daily Update (March 22): Hezbollah Attacks Against Israel” (updated March 23–24, 2026) – Records 85 waves of Hezbollah attacks on that day (67 with rockets/missiles and 18 with UAVs/drones) targeting border communities and the Galilee (including Misgav Am, Kiryat Shmona, Ma’alot-Tarshiha, etc.), with confirmed impacts and damage.
[link removed]
4. Jerusalem Post – “Iran, Hezbollah barrage: One killed in North, 15 wounded in Tel Aviv” (March 22, 2026) – Details the direct fire from Lebanon hitting Misgav Am and the overall barrage of attacks.
[link removed]
2026-03-24 18:13:47
Okay, thanks for letting me know, I was really worried about that.
2026-03-24 18:19:20
Yes, and he created the sources and manipulated all the smart traders into buying too... what a fraud!
2026-03-24 18:31:37
So early and talking about Uma... you're wrong and you know it
2026-03-25 16:16:31
Dumb and poor manipulation
2026-03-27 15:21:34
Clear yes
2026-03-27 15:40:39
based
2026-03-27 20:52:13
None
2026-03-27 20:54:11
None
2026-03-27 20:55:24
None
2026-03-27 20:56:07
None
2026-03-27 21:26:51
None
2026-03-27 21:57:36
None
2026-03-27 22:33:24
None
2026-03-27 23:51:15
None
2026-03-28 00:43:43
None
2026-03-28 02:33:04
None
2026-03-28 03:01:08
None
2026-03-28 04:41:19
None
2026-03-28 17:27:43
Why did these intelligence bastards publish that they infiltrated and intercepted him in different tweets? I sold out, motherfucker, lesson learned.
2026-03-28 18:33:24
None
2026-03-28 18:36:14
Are you aware that this harms your position?
2026-03-28 18:37:09
None
2026-03-28 18:39:18
Some will slip through
2026-03-28 18:51:00
They need to prepare a good attack, we don't live in Call of Duty, you bastards.
2026-03-28 18:57:06
🇾🇪🇮🇱⚡️- The Houthi’s fired a second missile at Israel, which was intercepted, according to the Wall Street Journal.
2026-03-28 19:03:13
hahahah
2026-03-28 19:18:06
Thank you very much for your money
2026-03-28 19:26:03
I was talking about the money of those who hold yes
2026-03-28 21:33:46
None
2026-03-28 21:36:19
Okay, give me six credible sources that have reported on those pieces of garbage and show me pictures of your fragments.
2026-03-29 01:12:44
None
2026-03-29 20:17:43
None
2026-03-29 22:09:12
🤣
2026-03-30 00:25:37
None
2026-03-30 02:06:20
None
2026-03-30 02:12:49
None
2026-03-30 04:08:45
None
2026-03-30 15:09:19
None
2026-03-30 20:58:14
None
2026-03-30 21:42:03
The crappy report they're using says, "Rockets from Lebanon." And that matters because:
It could be Hezbollah.
It could be another militia in Lebanon.
It could be an ambiguous attribution.
Without a clear attribution → markets like Polymarket usually resolve NO.
2026-03-30 21:44:39
There are no sources that directly attribute that impact to Hezbollah, and they can no longer create them.
2026-03-30 22:29:17
Several rockets were also fired from Lebanon at the north concurrently, with the IDF reporting that some were intercepted and others hit open areas. Hezbollah is never mentioned.
2026-03-31 00:51:36
None
2026-03-31 01:00:12
and brother bought yes
2026-03-31 22:40:06
None
2026-04-01 03:23:15
None
2026-04-01 03:34:56
So why do you buy it? Nobody understands you.
2026-04-01 07:34:44
None
2026-04-02 16:38:02
None
2026-04-03 03:06:28
No crazy strike
2026-04-03 03:07:55
None
2026-04-03 05:26:04
None
2026-04-03 15:26:01
None
2026-04-03 15:29:58
average yes holder:
2026-04-03 16:11:48
Rope
2026-04-03 19:21:49
Everything you say can be used against you.
2026-04-04 17:38:24
What is happening?
2026-04-04 17:39:53
Ansarullah ballistic missile launch towards Israel.
2026-04-05 03:08:15
None
2026-04-05 03:57:08
boots on the ground? what is the proof?
2026-04-05 04:15:50
The operation itself must have the objective of controlling territory; any other land entry does not qualify according to the rules.
2026-04-05 05:24:45
No problem
2026-04-05 17:09:33
None
2026-04-07 01:37:52
None
2026-04-07 02:50:36
None
2026-04-07 03:19:52
None
2026-04-07 03:23:27
None
2026-04-07 04:59:00
None
2026-04-07 11:16:54
Yes, there's no problem with that.
2026-04-07 11:31:24
None
2026-04-07 11:32:44
"health officials in the Hamas-run sector of the enclave say".
2026-04-07 14:19:38
None
2026-04-07 18:29:46
Sell the fuckin YES, you crazy b*stards, or you’ll be living in Hell - JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah
2026-04-07 22:38:57
idfinsider bro...
2026-04-07 23:48:20
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
2026-04-08 00:06:16
Reuters has not confirmed anything
2026-04-08 00:41:11
None
2026-04-08 01:10:30
None
2026-04-08 14:45:43
Never bond a strike market
2026-04-08 19:38:55
He made it
2026-04-09 00:39:20
None
2026-04-09 16:02:06
None
2026-04-09 17:34:46
No crazy cesefire
2026-04-09 17:41:57
None
2026-04-09 17:48:26
None
2026-04-09 21:48:43
None
2026-04-10 02:57:11
None
2026-04-11 05:22:15
6,7/10
2026-04-11 16:58:15
U.S. Forces Start Mine Clearance Mission in Strait of Hormuz
2026-04-11 16:58:29
U.S. Forces Start Mine Clearance Mission in Strait of Hormuz
2026-04-11 21:22:24
No crazy military action
2026-04-11 22:48:21
None
2026-04-12 00:25:08
None
2026-04-12 02:04:28
Lets go unc, just say it
2026-04-12 02:10:28
JD Vance says no agreement has been reached in talks, calling it “bad news for Iran.”
2026-04-12 02:30:19
🚨 Vance: Iranians must understand this was our final offer
2026-04-12 05:45:21
This is the market with the most lax rules: Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
I think you're in the wrong place if that's what you're looking for.
2026-04-12 13:23:19
None
2026-04-12 14:48:47
None
2026-04-12 16:42:43
Legally you're right, but we're talking about Trump, don't get confused.
2026-04-12 18:03:22
Don't forget about me when you're a millionaire bro
2026-04-12 22:30:10
None
2026-04-13 03:22:01
None
2026-04-15 12:53:52
I've noticed he has medium-sized positions in other markets, and most of his purchases have been during alerts, which would be incredibly stupid if he knew anything. You usually wait for things to calm down before taking advantage of your insider information. It could still happen, but there's not much time left.
2026-04-15 12:55:41
Do you have discord?
2026-04-15 23:42:28
None
2026-04-16 00:45:48
None
2026-04-17 04:52:50
None
2026-04-18 19:58:31
None
2026-04-18 22:51:09
Is the tweet in the room with us?
2026-04-18 22:54:59
None
2026-04-18 23:50:18
My quant tells me that grandpa will calm down
2026-04-19 02:28:56
None
2026-04-19 05:05:40
First, the phrase is explicitly NOT an insult. Second, you have to resort to context, which can also be criticized, since it's likely that it refers to their policies. If you have to go to all these lengths just to be right, isn't it possible that all you're trying to do is cheat and manipulate the market? is a scam proposal
2026-04-19 05:31:12
None
2026-04-19 15:49:50
egative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
2026-04-19 17:18:04
Yo bro what is your discord
2026-04-19 17:20:45
IRNA's report said “US excessive demands and unreasonable, unrealistic requests, repeated changes in positions, continued contradictory statements” had so far prevented progress in the negotiations. +blockade “Under these conditions, no clear prospect for productive talks is envisaged,” IRNA said.
2026-04-19 21:01:23
trump? what the fuck
2026-04-19 21:53:50
None
2026-04-20 02:44:32
unc is sleeping
2026-04-20 22:54:44
SELL EVERYTHING. IS FUCKING OVER
2026-04-22 02:11:18
The art of the deal lfg
2026-04-22 02:54:49
Send him to dagestan
2026-04-23 03:12:27
None
2026-04-23 03:58:53
None
2026-04-23 05:11:56
Car is a warrior of truth, I don't understand why so much hate
2026-04-23 05:20:14
None
2026-04-23 18:02:58
None
2026-04-23 18:45:54
None
2026-04-24 04:41:53
None
2026-04-24 22:18:06
JUST IN: Google $GOOGL to invest up to $40,000,000,000 in Claude AI developer Anthropic. SONNNNN 😭😭🤣🤣🤣🤣
2026-04-25 03:25:13
China Set to Send Pandas to US Before Trump’s Planned Visit
2026-04-26 02:09:43
None
2026-04-26 15:57:58
None
2026-04-26 16:07:52
[link removed]
2026-04-26 20:07:02
They talked on Tinder, not on the phone.
2026-04-26 22:24:00
thanks for sharing
2026-04-26 23:18:03
So we could say that Car is the Erdogan of Polymarket?
2026-04-27 16:15:43
"The EU chief said on X" -France24 (one of the worlds largest news outlets)
2026-04-28 02:35:15
None
2026-04-28 03:42:20
Yes, there is some degree of coverage, but it is an unsuitable event and does not meet market rules.
2026-04-28 15:18:49
@lasso
2026-04-28 17:24:15
None
2026-04-28 18:07:07
None
2026-04-28 18:45:29
BY WHAT BRO
2026-04-28 23:04:49
None
2026-04-29 14:07:47
None
2026-05-01 18:49:16
None
2026-05-01 21:37:23
Why is it so high?
2026-05-02 16:53:37
Estoy consultando con mis quants mexicanos
2026-05-02 22:11:44
No way this happen man
2026-05-03 22:42:11
None
2026-05-04 02:48:16
None
2026-05-04 03:17:32
None
2026-05-04 03:21:55
Just read the rules again man...
2026-05-04 20:26:28
We need strike markets ¿What is this shit?
2026-05-04 22:20:13
None
2026-05-05 02:42:47
chill out bro
2026-05-06 14:37:38
🤣🤣🤣🤣
2026-05-06 15:23:26
None
2026-05-06 18:02:45
None
2026-05-06 19:24:40
None
2026-05-07 20:47:11
SELL EVERYTHING. IS OVER
2026-05-14 05:20:20
None
2026-05-15 17:38:39
None
2026-05-15 17:44:22
It would be hilarious if they didn't release anything, damn it.
2026-05-17 15:41:54
According to the rules, you're right.
2026-05-17 15:49:56
Give this guy some merch
2026-05-17 19:39:16
None
2026-05-20 02:55:41
CMON COLOR SHOW THE ACE
2026-05-21 20:40:27
None
2026-05-21 23:12:00
None
2026-05-22 05:35:45
None
2026-05-22 05:48:02
reuters
2026-05-22 06:00:24
That's not the only source; there's also a Reuters article saying that whoever disputes is burning through their money.
2026-05-23 20:53:26
I thought the same thing before reading your comment.
2026-05-23 21:07:37
👍️
2026-05-23 21:37:47
💀
2026-05-24 02:33:38
SCAM BELLOW
2026-05-27 23:52:59
is over sell everything is so fucking over
2026-06-07 00:38:19
🤣
2026-06-07 00:39:47
🤣🤣🤣🤣
2026-06-07 00:54:24
Do you know the difference between there being no precedent and there being one? Good luck with the dispute and try to sell, buddy.
2026-06-07 00:55:39
It's easy to criticize Uma when you have absolutely no idea about the interpretation criteria they've been using in this line of markets.
2026-06-07 00:59:14
And this case is even clearer than that one.
2026-06-07 01:00:27
US X CUBA DIPLOMATIC MEETING BY MAY 31
2026-06-07 02:02:28
And you will be one of them if you keep buying no when there was clearly a meeting.
2026-06-07 19:32:50
is happening
2026-06-07 19:49:23
please mr president DONT CLOSE NOTHING PLS DONALD TRUMP
2026-06-11 22:34:40
🤯
2026-06-12 06:34:15
Fortune favors the bold.
2026-06-14 04:17:24
dont buy yes guis beter close polymarket and go sleep
2026-06-14 22:00:20
😁
2026-06-15 01:51:29
vro what is your discord
2026-06-15 01:56:31
YEPP
2026-06-15 02:12:13
😯😲😮
2026-06-15 23:10:52
because i bought 😈
2026-06-16 05:15:43
🫣
2026-06-17 03:44:14
Read the fucking MOU you crazy bastards
2026-06-17 05:07:01
ask claude he knows everything
2026-06-17 17:40:11
Dispute again pls i need cheaper yes
2026-06-19 06:25:28
🤣🤣🤣
2026-06-22 08:56:09
BREAKING: U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer has announced his resignation, setting the stage for the United Kingdom's seventh leader within a decade.
2026-06-27 05:54:51
Give me some of what Padda is smoking
2026-06-27 06:19:00
We're gonna be rich vro
2026-06-27 07:17:23
It will be a meeting i feel it in my balls
2026-06-28 00:05:07
Israel and Lebanon affirm the right of each state to exist in peace, and their mutual desire to live in security as neighboring sovereign states.
2026-06-28 00:31:36
Yes, no holders should review their arguments.
2026-06-28 06:15:38
💀💀
2026-06-29 22:15:20
REUTERS: PEACE AND MUTUAL RECOGNITION
2026-06-30 00:48:15
Be careful, only one guy bought many NO, It doesn’t mean the result will be NO
2026-06-30 02:14:02
Of the domer pump, which is well documented, by the way; I'm surprised you don't know that. Without it, the price of no would be much lower.
2026-06-30 22:57:49
Are you aware that the government's announcement is not binding and that the company can wait for favorable conditions to reinstate the model?
2026-06-30 23:00:20
suck my dick better
2026-07-08 02:01:04
IRAN'S TOP JOINT MILITARY COMMAND SAYS ARMED FORCES WILL GIVE 'CRUSHING RESPONSE' TO U.S. ATTACKS
2026-07-09 23:46:20
BREAKING: The Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei will hold commemorative prayers tommorrow in Qom, for his father and former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei.
2026-07-11 20:14:42
💀 what is going on here
2026-07-13 20:30:16
Should I sell boys? Putin is very angry 😿
2026-07-14 22:14:24
"Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi: Given all the actions the US has taken to dismantle the Islamabad MoU, the MoU effectively no longer exists. No country should expect Iran to continue implementing the terms of this memorandum."
2026-07-14 22:18:07
INTEL: Iran officially withdraws from commitments made under its MOU with the US
2026-07-17 22:30:37
What an idiot I was for selling, I guess sometimes you learn the hard way
2026-07-24 23:10:52
3/10 scam attempt, i've seen better
2026-07-30 06:01:28
It satisfies Polymarket’s resolution rules. 4/10 p4 scam
2026-07-30 06:51:11
On July 4, Ecuadorian military and the Special Boat Team 22 from the United States carried out a special operation in the sector Palma Real in the canton of San Lorenzo. The uniformed officers entered 50 properties and found one clandestine workshop where outboard motors were repaired and stored. 10 engines were also found without documentation proving their legal origin. It is presumed that they were used in illegal activities.
The military source indicates that the riverside units were based in Palma Real and from there they went out to patrol unauthorized border crossings, especially about him Mataje River and in the northern part of the Cayapas-Mataje Mangrove Reserve.
2026-07-30 21:19:23
Trump calls a grown man a child; even if it is an analogy, using it in a setting like this is undoubtedly insulting, as it implies immaturity.
Regardless of whether it is used to describe a situation, using an analogy like that in a different context to describe someone's mother would raise alarm bells.
2026-07-30 21:19:54
Look, I didn't want to say it, but I'm going to say it: if I call someone's mother a bitch—even if I describe her drinking coffee, or in any situation—it's still an insult. he say children to two grown ass man
😡
2026-07-30 21:36:45
Trump calling another war leader a difficult person is a secret plan to improve diplomatic relations; don't be fooled by the evil yes buyers.
2026-07-30 21:48:24
wsp kid ?
2026-07-30 21:50:09
kid (ребенок) In Russia, it is commonly used as a synonym for masculinity and maturity.
2026-07-31 06:46:38
appear weak when you are strong and strong when you are weak -arman
2026-08-01 07:17:48
Macron is a very difficult person...
2026-08-01 08:32:59
There's a video where he's clearly mocking him; if I did that to my mother, I'd be in trouble.
2026-08-01 09:02:29
dont know what is happening? go and search: Trump Mocks Macron on youtube.
2026-08-01 09:04:57
Or if you don't like that channel, try: "Trump Speech | Trump Mocks French President Emmanuel Macron Again"
2026-08-01 09:17:19
That sounds very far-fetched.
2026-08-01 09:17:29
That sounds very far-fetched
2026-08-01 09:23:06
Finally someone with common sense
2026-08-01 09:29:14
Obviously, it's not about politics; it's a mockery of his weakness and his accent, which is even worse. Watch the video.
2026-08-01 09:39:12
Manipulators? The YouTube videos themselves describe it as a mock. Good luck with that!
2026-08-01 09:39:40
mock is on the rules gng
2026-08-01 09:42:53
It's not one, it's two videos, and the people on Discord agree, because it's the truth. I wish you Double the luck with your complicated case!
2026-08-01 09:45:17
There are two videos that categorize it that way, but the whales of Uma may disagree of course!
2026-08-01 09:47:26
Trump Speech | Trump Mocks French President Emmanuel Macron Again (simple youtube search)
2026-08-01 09:48:17
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, MOCKS, or attacks the listed individual
2026-08-01 09:49:52
Putin's precedent actually helps this case because it strengthens the context
2026-08-02 02:04:07
The arman cup takes an epic turn!
2026-08-02 20:58:19
La Coupe d'Arman a atteint un point de non-retour.
2026-08-06 21:01:46
I feel bad for arman 😢 cmon trump please
2026-08-12 02:31:56
proposed. its over😔
2026-08-12 02:53:22
🥺
2026-08-18 23:10:18
None
2026-08-18 23:13:49
None
2026-08-20 02:48:11
😭
2026-08-20 02:48:48
None
2026-08-24 03:28:14
sorry son