Account Information

Name: Penthyn
Address: 0xfcea3d890ade9b0e351e8e7235444c724ef218cb ↗️
Address: 0x403b7abff63d67b7e1a6eb0b6368556e7f58e7df
Bio: 3509
Pseudonym: Ill-Range
Created: 2025-06-20 05:42:58
Last Activity: 5 days ago
Tier: Tier 0
X: @Penthyn
Profile profile-image-3073829-f30f3f53-bb59-43f9-b9e6-a95b367e0c6f.jpg
Total Profit $-345

Stats

Portfolio value $12.61
Markets traded 3,138
Trades 3,077
Largest win $185.30
Profile views 393
Join date 2025-06-20 05:42:58
All-time rank 2888113
All-time PnL $-345.14
All-time volume $139,764.54
All-time profit $-345.14
Lifetime volume $139,764.54
PnL series latest $-313.06
PnL series start $-253.39
PnL series points 24
Weighted volume $18.79
Geoblock allow No
Geoblock block No
Geoblock close-only No

Biggest wins & losses

Biggest wins

Market Outcome Size PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 28? Yes 200 $185.30
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4? Yes 196.5175 $180.49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on January 10? Yes 157.82 $127.10

Biggest losses

Market Outcome Size PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 15? No 280.8584 $-122.66
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 29? Yes 308.4906 $-94.20
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? Yes 526.6837 $-42.33

Open positions (5+)

Market Outcome Size Avg Now Value PnL
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? No 5 $0.89 $0.88 $4.38 $-0.07
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No 5 $0.78 $0.79 $3.92 $0.03
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No 5 $0.72 $0.74 $3.73 $0.12
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? Yes 5 $0.14 $0.12 $0.58 $-0.12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 8? Yes 5 $0.35 $0.00 $0.00 $-1.75

Closed positions (5+)

Market Outcome Size PnL
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 28? Yes 200 $185.30
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4? Yes 196.5175 $180.49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on January 10? Yes 157.82 $127.10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 14? Yes 100 $96.60
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18? Yes 84.1946 $66.90

Recent activity (5+)

When Type Side Market Outcome Price Size USDC
5 days ago TRADE BUY Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes $0.27 143.76 $40.82
5 days ago TRADE BUY Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes $0.26 34.5 $9.44
5 days ago REDEEM Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? Yes $0.00 5 $5.00
6 days ago TRADE BUY Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes $0.03 20 $0.58
6 days ago TRADE BUY Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 9? Yes $0.00 75.91 $0.08

Recent trades (3077)

When Side Market Outcome Price Size
5 days ago BUY Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes $0.27 143.76
5 days ago BUY Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes $0.26 34.5
6 days ago BUY Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 8? Yes $0.09 15
6 days ago BUY Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down $0.48 5
6 days ago BUY Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 8? Yes $0.35 5

Comments

2025-06-23 07:03:15 I'm completely new to polymarket so sorry for being dumb or naive. Can I do something about these whales and UMA voting with my 50 shares? Maybe if we did something together...
2025-06-23 09:11:40 Guy with -$38k on record buys yes 😂
2025-06-23 10:51:52 How does this disputing work? Does it require new UMA voting or is it settled here?
2025-06-23 11:24:05 Sorry, but who is Gena? Is it the croc on your pfp?
2025-06-23 12:21:36 This is my 4th day here, lol 😂
2025-06-23 12:33:20 I get it. This si a marketplace like any other. When whales come, you have to expect changes. I just find it a bit sad that they also have voting power here...
2025-06-23 12:42:49 So basically you agree that a few focused whales with big wallets can push their narrative through...
2025-06-23 14:08:20 It's not a regular flight tho
2025-06-23 18:23:10 it's at 94% because a few whales hold a lot of crypto that they may and probably will use to sway UMA voting in their favor. They simply don't want to lose their money.
2025-06-24 04:57:20 58% consensus means it didn't pass, right?
2025-06-24 04:58:47 Good. But it's still revealing so it's not granted yet
2025-06-24 06:19:29 Too late. You have to have UMA tokens before voting start.
2025-06-24 10:08:28 That's a good cope but I'm afraid they would already be selling en mass
2025-06-25 07:58:21 People can now vote on UMA whether it did or didn't happen. In 16 hours this will be closed and in next 24 hours their votes will be revealed. That's the 1d 16h you see there.
2025-06-25 08:31:38 UMA votes
2025-06-25 08:32:28 [link removed]
2025-06-25 08:32:51 By spending tokens
2025-06-25 08:43:40 Nothing. Welcome to polymarket.
2025-06-25 09:09:13 Yes, kinda. It all depends on whales and current market value displays odds that they will sway voting in their favor and not whether the ceasefire actually happened. I got screwed like that just yesterday and there were even bigger scams on this site in past.
2025-06-25 10:17:47 [link removed] people can use their tokens to vote. Basically pay to be right.
2025-06-25 16:48:27 You wouldn't say that unless you dad cleans toilets in mossad hq.
2025-06-26 06:21:30 That means no but it's too early as June is not over yet.
2025-06-26 06:23:10 They might snipe this voting so it's not granted P4. But if P4 wins, the price will dip a bit and you can make some money on shorting NO
2025-06-26 08:27:30 No, for it to be yes you need whales on UMA voting for Yes
2025-06-26 13:19:11 Sniper
2025-06-27 04:26:13 [link removed]
2025-07-24 07:57:39 Hegseth shares are so underpriced rn
2025-07-24 07:57:53 [link removed]
2025-08-05 21:07:41 You can literally make a fortune on this if you live nearby. Place your life spending on polymarket and buy a dildo. Easy life lol. I would do it myself if I wasn't living in Europe.
2025-08-07 07:01:23 Anyone who placed their life spending on yes and is willing to shove a dildo up their rectum to pass security check.
2025-08-08 06:39:27 Statistically speaking, this market is so off. The odds of another 8+ quake are like 3 or 4 percent, not 7. If I had more money I'd bet them or no.
2025-08-08 06:39:48 *on
2025-08-20 11:42:04 2 hours later only 11k more views were added. It's not looking really good for 20M+ and on top they might remove some views again.
2025-08-20 12:33:10 Some didn't even read what time this ends at because it's not midnight.
2025-08-20 13:16:49 I don't know how are you getting to these numbers cuz almost 4 hours ago it stood at 19, 772, xxx and now it's at 19, 805, 286. That's 33k in little below 4 hours.
2025-08-20 14:24:11 YT decided they were made with bots.
2025-08-20 16:52:05 I don't understand it neither
2025-08-20 16:54:33 The highest temperature on London City Airport Station was 70.7F which will according to rules fall in 69-70 bracket. Why the fuck is it closing to 67? Is this another scam market?
2025-08-20 17:13:42 bot views got removed
2025-08-20 17:19:20 Oh God. If you click on the
2025-08-20 17:24:25 Oh God. If you click on the London City Airport Station title on that page, it shows you random personal weather station. Well,... [link removed]. I guess.
2025-08-22 12:26:53 What a crazy day today
2025-08-25 11:45:37 Dooby Scooby Doo
2025-08-26 06:43:35 Splashdown says this: and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact. As I read rules, if it splashes down successfully and explodes 30 seconds later, both splashdown and explosion markets will be yes
2025-08-26 11:25:11 Oh, yes. I confused myself with OP's comparison between these two.
2025-08-26 12:46:55 Just a small rain.
2025-08-26 14:58:15 What a ride. Sold my 75 in literally last minute before it crashed.
2025-08-26 15:17:21 Gg
2025-08-27 04:19:12 You definitely had me. I almost panicked and sold
2025-08-27 10:04:08 Yeah, it's really dumb that some people don't use Celsius or Kelvin for temperature in 21st century. I had to switch units in my weather forecast app for this market.
2025-08-28 06:48:36 Yeah, I know. The temp sensor is same for both C and F reports. But I changed my app to F so I don't have to convert it in head every time I look there.
2025-09-07 04:16:56 Petr Pavel is also considering not even letting Babis try to form a government in first place
2025-09-11 16:42:34 Yeah, dude. Two days in a row I lost all my bets.
2025-09-25 08:40:57 If Israel attacks at all its definitely today. But I don't understand the certainty either. Nobody died in that drone strike and in past such attacks were not always retaliated.
2025-09-25 11:51:57 Not every but like 90% and if this guy made a mistake he sold before closing.
2025-09-25 13:18:58 We indeed have insiders here
2025-09-25 13:24:45 Too soon to tell what exactly is happening but Israel launched air raid on Yemen.
2025-09-25 13:26:28 That no is for tomorrow. I switched sides and bet with them.
2025-09-25 13:37:19 You can tell us more often lol
2025-09-29 08:17:10 Coping mechanisms
2025-09-30 12:33:36 Insiders
2025-09-30 14:20:51 If something resembles panic it's you commenting 5 times an hour.
2025-10-02 18:28:28 Oct4 looks crazy
2025-10-02 20:57:34 I'm not betting on that. I see how terrible this day is going to be. I might buy some Ns tho
2025-10-07 11:37:54 I'm sorry to inform you that most nominees are still unknown.
2025-10-09 15:25:58 Watch it flip in 25 minutes xD
2025-10-09 15:35:08 Odds are low but everything above 59.9F will be rounded to 61F and forecast shows 60F. I'd give it like 20% chance
2025-10-09 16:54:13 I bought them super cheap so I don't really care. If I didn't spend $2 on 59N I'd be even
2025-10-09 17:20:39 Come tomorrow 😉
2025-10-10 07:43:36 That's a no. That stupid forecast predicts 62 without much clouds. My forecast app shows no clouds for 3PM as well so it might go to 63 or stay at 61. But below 60 is no unless something happens with clouds.
2025-10-13 14:19:53 Don't buy the highest. Look at forecast and see whether it is even likely outcome. And keep in mind that this airfield is located near river.
2025-10-14 06:27:35 It seems the river is now quite cold so it's often 1 or 2 F below temperature at nearby weather stations I guess. And it also makes air more humid.
2025-10-14 06:31:13 Also, there's one super important factor. Both NY and London are Fahrenheit markets but London is measured in Celsius and converted to F. Numbers like 58F are thus impossible because 14C is 57F and 15C is 59F.
2025-10-14 10:43:00 I wonder what forecast these bots use. It's almost hilarious.
2025-10-14 10:55:47 Those that create orders.
2025-10-14 11:04:29 Ok, then I wonder how much money they actually make.
2025-10-14 11:37:23 I get this. But look how outcomes switch positions. I don't see how they can be making big profits
2025-10-14 12:27:16 This would kill polymarket imho. This is not the only such betting platform on internet, people would go away.
2025-10-15 06:58:14 I predict 55F
2025-10-15 14:15:39 Yeah, the wind changed direction and brought warmer drier air. Well, rip I guess.
2025-10-15 14:58:57 Ok, 61 for tomorrow
2025-10-16 12:52:14 How? What happened?
2025-10-16 13:05:08 Yeah, I see. We'll, there's no easy way up. I won $100 2 days ago and then lost them yesterday on this awesome market.
2025-10-16 14:31:09 Doesn't seem accurate
2025-10-16 16:34:44 Having UK in its name I guess
2025-10-29 11:25:39 It's in the rules
2025-11-03 12:34:31 I haven't really seen them here.
2025-11-03 12:38:17 Yeah, I do that as well. But I didn't notice scam beggars here, mostly in political markets.
2025-11-06 08:31:53 I'm 50% sure this will end in December or oven January.
2025-11-06 14:39:16 So the amount of shares you can afford makes your opinion more or less relevant? Well, that's certainly a way to describe today's world but not a way to change outcomes of probability markets.
2025-11-07 09:28:53 It wouldn't be the first time some limited funding was approved during shutdown. They might agree on how to fund FAA only so the shutdown will continue but won't affect air traffic.
2025-11-07 10:57:51 No, let him sleep
2025-11-07 11:23:24 Oh no, Elon woke up
2025-11-25 13:17:46 But this is EGLC. Made that same mistake a while ago
2025-12-09 14:30:47 I feel bad about this. There have been many scams in past when some whales used their UMA tokens to force result they wanted. I feel like this market might be another victim of such scam.
2025-12-09 14:35:57 Where? Did Trump even knew about these so called declassifications?
2025-12-09 14:46:41 The files don't mention ufo so...
2025-12-09 14:53:50 Also, why this maket is still open when these files were declassified in April?
2025-12-09 14:57:43 If they got released from Biden's order, how can they count?
2025-12-10 10:23:31 So sad. I lost a lot of money here but I always enjoyed seeing confused people in chat asking how could the temperature jump by 2 degrees in half an hour 😭
2025-12-10 10:44:10 I agree with both of you
2025-12-10 11:23:30 Nah, it's good train. The temperature is already dropping.
2025-12-10 11:28:15 Sell if you made any profit
2025-12-10 11:32:08 If you bought cheap... But airfields around EGLC are already at 54. But it's your money, glhf
2025-12-10 11:53:04 I am not really concerned about ILONDO288. It jumped only by 0.2C, it is just someone's personal station so it can't be user for reliable measurement and is located further from river that has some significant effects on weather at the airport. If you wint this one I'll say gg but I'm still sure it won't happen.
2025-12-10 11:55:12 Gg, see you tomorrow.
2025-12-10 12:08:04 Because this market is in Celsius and only after rounding converted to F
2025-12-10 12:08:57 It always is. People think they found a way to cheat this market with some dude's home weather station. It's good for reference but is usually about half a degree off at least.
2025-12-10 12:20:31 56 is impossible number. 13C is 55F and 14C is 57F. It will never show 56F
2025-12-11 09:08:58 Huh? Are you getting forecast from newspapers? This can't be accurate at all
2025-12-11 10:48:03 Literally nothing has changed, bro. Only difference is that people who didn't understand this market (including you) will not be confused about how measurements work.
2025-12-11 10:48:55 Any forecast platform will have more accurate and up to date information.
2025-12-12 09:11:25 It's probably polymarket this time. I checked my balance on polygon and it showed proper value
2025-12-12 11:28:28 This is going to be interesting
2025-12-12 12:13:10 There won't be any sun today probably
2025-12-12 13:56:32 Bought 12C for 2.5c and sold for 80c. I consider this a win. Gg 13C holders.
2025-12-12 14:07:40 It will eventually. You can check any online METAR report
2025-12-12 14:24:08 penthyn
2025-12-12 14:42:32 https://x. com/Penthyn
2025-12-12 14:43:03 But I'm not super active and don't really share anything about these markets
2025-12-12 19:48:20 Yeah, that must be me.
2025-12-12 19:48:59 I'm probably not the best trader you can find. Just check my PnL lol.
2025-12-13 12:47:14 Where's December 14?
2025-12-13 20:36:41 That's really cool but I'm sticking to London, it's just one hour off my time zone.
2025-12-13 22:41:30 I also don't have any delay
2025-12-14 11:31:58 Dec 15 and 16 will be fun lol
2025-12-14 11:55:33 check forecast
2025-12-14 12:22:40 okay, let's see
2025-12-14 13:00:55 Are we talking about THOSE peaks? My gf has large natural and it's nice.
2025-12-14 19:28:07 you had 80 bucks and spent them on single market. You dont deserve any tips
2025-12-14 23:09:30 easy money situation
2025-12-15 06:20:01 Do you guys sleep sometime?
2025-12-15 06:40:00 It was warm midnight, everything below 11C was resolved with first weather report.
2025-12-15 08:47:49 Now it starts to be interesting
2025-12-15 09:45:03 Agreed. It's really sad.
2025-12-15 10:41:58 I don't think so
2025-12-15 11:25:41 Heathrow was at 12 an hour ago but is back to 11 now.
2025-12-15 11:39:13 Bots are making fortune today. The graph is crazy.
2025-12-15 12:24:42 When higher temperature is measured or at the end of the day
2025-12-15 12:56:18 Bruh, baltaesp, what are you cooking?
2025-12-15 13:00:55 I saw hundreds of shares disappear from order book and was like wtf? When higher temperature is achieved, all of them disappear not just a thousand.
2025-12-16 08:21:09 It is what it is. - Sun Tzu
2025-12-16 10:33:41 Not good day today. Yesterday was better.
2025-12-16 10:45:23 Yeah, I made like a dollar. I guess that counts lol
2025-12-16 11:13:17 That would be wild
2025-12-16 11:57:54 It doesn't show anything yet. But latest report is at 13C
2025-12-16 12:04:51 Sad day today
2025-12-16 12:10:23 And then I lost 40
2025-12-16 14:20:51 Are you high or something? There are two consecutive hours with 13C.
2025-12-17 14:01:37 Really warm air from equatorial Atlantic is moving fast towards England. That's why temperature went from some 3 degrees or how many to 10 withing a few hours. 11 is a possibility but I wouldn't give it 77% like market does. Buying a few 10C makes more sense to me.
2025-12-17 16:24:37 Perfect. Now I may consider buying 11
2025-12-17 16:26:08 Oh, it's raining already. The rain should have around 5 degrees temperature. That will definitely cool down the air.
2025-12-17 18:56:51 Bruh, read his name again. He is not a forecaster. He can brag about anything. But prodigy like you with outstanding $3 surely knows best who can write down their opinion.
2025-12-17 22:05:44 Is profit what makes you able to express yourself? Come on. Fazemmy dropped shit and you picked it up.
2025-12-18 16:07:24 Man, this market taught me to never go all in. Every time I use all money on single number I lose.
2025-12-18 16:07:38 Let's go 12!
2025-12-18 17:13:56 Yeah. If I held my positions I'd be sitting on like 50 12C
2025-12-18 17:25:42 Don't worry. The rain is like 7C cold. As long as it keeps pouring it will not rise high.
2025-12-18 17:44:56 I wish I had followed these rules. But I'm holding. If I lose I'll be even on this market and I made like 15 on others today.
2025-12-18 18:07:36 Lol
2025-12-18 18:09:05 Guys, never panic sell. It's better to lose a few cheap share than the potential income they carry. Sell between reports if you think it's smart decision. I lost all my money here several times I should know what I'm saying lol
2025-12-18 19:43:18 It is what it is
2025-12-19 08:11:44 Lawyers are still redacting files but their time is running short. Redacting is now being done as fast as possible without much guidance and control. There will be big errors in the redaction if these files get released today. If you wonder why is NO so high, it is this. Nobody wants to release badly redacted files and so there might be some stalling and postponing.
2025-12-19 08:16:54 And also. Alex may be sitting on ton of Uma tokens. The rules are so shitty, they may be interpreted in many ways unless DOJ release everything they have.
2025-12-19 08:32:58 Yeah. If Alex had money to bet $800k on single market, what stops him from buying Uma tokens?
2025-12-19 08:36:28 Why did you spend so much money on single market, bruh?
2025-12-19 08:37:19 1.8m shares bought for $800k
2025-12-19 09:18:00 It will be sunny day. No way it stays at 11. I think even 13 is possible.
2025-12-19 10:02:33 Yeah, you're right
2025-12-19 13:14:03 That on itself is not enough. Rules are shitty, it will have to contain a lot of previously classified information.
2025-12-19 13:27:22 Rules explicitly say it must be substantive in bot what will and what will not count. A singular information will this not count towards yes.
2025-12-19 13:33:10 I was correct for once
2025-12-22 12:08:33 The wu forecast is not counting in clouds
2025-12-22 12:26:02 Give it 30 minutes
2025-12-22 12:56:37 Are you a seer or something?
2025-12-22 13:23:34 Don't wanna sound toxic but where's you 52F?
2025-12-22 14:20:54 Woah. Weatherman is a madman. Bought out whole market one minute before report.
2025-12-22 14:28:09 What a flip today. From $3.24 to $55
2025-12-22 14:30:37 Woah. That is really impressive.
2025-12-22 14:33:33 Unlikely. The temperature is already dropping.
2025-12-22 14:35:04 I hopped on too late. By the time I started making orders there were no N buyers. Instead of .6c I eventually bought for 5.1c
2025-12-22 14:35:57 No idea. But it seems it is someone willing to bet $24k for $800 profit
2025-12-23 08:06:42 Well, this is going to be really boring
2025-12-24 08:00:19 Merry Christmas fellow gamblers!
2025-12-28 09:27:08 I'm a 7C believer
2025-12-28 11:36:49 Monte bought it for 12c. That's still too high in my opinion. My quick in head analysis says 7.7C max today. But temperature at airfield is a bit volatile do anything is possible.
2025-12-28 11:44:33 Ggwp
2025-12-28 11:53:07 Yeah, unlike some markets, this one is fair. Well played was for selling at right moment.
2025-12-28 11:56:41 Peak temperature was forecasted at 12:00 local time. I'm still not sure but 7C now looks like a good deal.
2025-12-28 12:25:42 Every time I forget that I lose money 😞
2025-12-28 12:32:38 If you are looking at that weather station nearby, don't take it as the most accurate report. It's a private station, probably owned by some person that's into weather. But it's OK reference.
2025-12-28 13:09:24 Geez. Can't imagine placing $900 on single market. I only buy cheap
2025-12-28 13:12:13 Well, it is what it is. Sometimes it's best to sell at 80c
2025-12-28 13:21:38 Still looking good
2025-12-28 13:24:59 You made profit today and that is what counts
2025-12-28 14:39:53 I'm using this. [link removed]
2025-12-28 14:53:19 Sometimes it is like that. At least there wasn't warm midnight, it would be boring day
2025-12-28 15:08:19 Did you make a new account or have you really only started in October?
2025-12-28 15:13:42 Wow. It took me half a year and 4 times more money to learn how to make a profit. Good job, man.
2025-12-28 17:38:06 🫡
2025-12-28 20:53:48 Likely, but not certainly
2025-12-28 21:10:49 Haven't checked myself. Some say barely below 6,some say barely above 6. But don't worry, this might not be their only handshake.
2025-12-28 22:53:58 The only sane comment here
2025-12-28 23:28:45 Let's say it was exactly 6s since you can't agree on result. Rules are clear about this eventuality.
2025-12-29 10:26:34 Yesterday all had 8
2025-12-29 10:27:26 Let's keep it at 6
2025-12-29 11:12:57 Northerly winds and overcast. It's unlikely. And also, my own in head analysis says 6.5 for London today. But I may be wrong lol
2025-12-29 13:03:20 Too late to buy more 6. I should have kept my mouth shut and wait for 6 to drop even lower. I waited for single digit Y orders
2025-12-29 13:21:06 Yeah, I know lol. Okay, one hint. Dec 31 is going to be interesting
2025-12-29 13:36:16 2C is like 5% I'd say. If you bought for 2c then it was a good deal.
2025-12-29 13:43:49 It's more about that wu forecast. It's completely off and many people will be betting according to it
2025-12-29 15:46:44 I didn't want to sound like some super important all knowing God. But every time I decide whether to buy or not, I look into comments. I'm sure I changed someone's mind and the sole person could potentially shift price where I'd be happy to buy. But anyway, thanks for feedback, I'll sure be talking more.
2025-12-29 16:15:18 Lmfao. People are stupid. But after all, we are also people. I lost a lot of money knowing I'm losing them just because I didn't weight probabilities well enough.
2025-12-29 16:34:40 Last time it happened was yesterday :(
2025-12-29 18:28:17 I lost everything I made in last week. I guess it's time for fresh start.
2025-12-29 19:26:56 It is what it is
2025-12-29 19:27:33 Protrade said it best. Most important is patience
2025-12-29 21:34:00 Yeah. I'm not entering new markets anymore. My drunk myself promises that here. And being patient of course. I could be sitting on $130 rn
2025-12-30 07:15:39 Okay, let's go 6 again
2025-12-30 08:00:17 Thanks. I had order for like a 100 but unfortunately only got a few
2025-12-30 10:49:28 Actually, I disagree. You can't win everything so what matters most is how cheap you buy compared to chances of it happening.
2025-12-30 11:52:54 Damn
2025-12-30 12:44:40 That's natural. But you forgot about fact that it doesn't actually matter if you place smart orders. If you buy every day for 10c and you win every third day, you make nice profit. That's what I'm trying to learn now because I'm greedy as hell and I can't do garbage trading.
2025-12-30 13:45:58 Tomorrow looks promising at least
2025-12-30 14:20:38 If that sounds stupid to you, consider quitting.
2026-01-01 13:17:35 Rubio shows ambitions.
2026-01-05 13:39:26 What's that tomorrow?
2026-01-05 15:22:24 Highest temperature at midnight.
2026-01-06 07:35:18 Rubio appointed to lead Venezuelan transition government. Oil companies will be happy to help him in elections if played well.
2026-01-06 07:42:31 Statistically it's like 7-8%. 11% is off but not much.
2026-01-06 13:09:33 I whish Hans would tell us when he's going to tamper weather reports so we could be insiders on weather.
2026-01-07 10:06:55 Buy shares and hope. Eventually lose all money and realize it's not that easy. Then you might actually win some money here.
2026-01-08 09:41:15 Today will be interesting. Afternoon weather is quite unpredictable.
2026-01-08 10:54:41 Enjoy your night out!
2026-01-08 12:36:14 Yeah. It will all depend on whether wind changes direction before midnight.
2026-01-08 13:52:12 It might not even go past 6C. Warm front is already at coast of England but cold air is rushing from north. It's now a matter of wind strength.
2026-01-09 09:21:36 Where do you get this information before it appears there?
2026-01-09 09:27:30 I'm sorry I have bothered you...
2026-01-09 14:39:53 Let's go to 8C
2026-01-09 16:05:21 Give it 3 hours
2026-01-09 16:06:01 Or 3 seconds
2026-01-12 05:37:49 Maybe Honduras lol
2026-01-15 13:31:17 Why do you buy No, retard?
2026-01-16 09:59:20 What will count as second coming of Jesus? Trump self proclaiming to be one?
2026-01-19 15:35:54 You must be new here.
2026-01-19 17:36:49 Don't rely on weather stations around airfield. They are nice addition but many factors can change recorded temperatures between them and report from airfield. The resolution is based on metar reports from London City airport which are issued every 30 minutes. And they are always rounded.
2026-01-20 08:50:25 This is your daily reminder to keep reporting AI bots in comments.
2026-01-20 11:49:07 If I was going there, I'd put my life savings and fart as loudly as possible. This is great market for insiders just like the dildo markets
2026-01-20 11:55:44 It isn't 😂
2026-01-20 12:03:39 No, it isn't. Can you share link or describe where you found that information?
2026-01-20 12:37:44 I suggest you going to the doctor to check your eyes. You either can't read rules or are plain blind. There was not a single report with 11C in it.
2026-01-22 10:36:27 Did he actually say "Trump"? I'm genuinely asking because I didn't hear that.
2026-01-22 10:41:00 Well, here goes my two dollars I guess
2026-01-22 10:53:03 Maybe that's why nobody is proposing resolution yet.
2026-01-22 10:58:16 Thanks
2026-01-22 12:33:41 This is your daily reminder to keep reporting AI bots in comments. They are trying to steal your airdrops.
2026-01-23 10:14:41 Was that another error? Wu didn't update yet.
2026-01-23 12:12:32 They wouldn't, lol. There was 8C at midnight
2026-01-23 15:19:09 Check Adam Ondra climbing glass building in Prague. It was far from easy. El Captain was easier in my opinion.
2026-01-26 08:36:07 Orange is back!
2026-01-26 13:06:09 Please report the two bots below me. They are trying to steal your airdrops.
2026-01-26 15:15:05 They are gone. One asked about US polymarket and other replied with x status
2026-01-27 08:31:44 Even better...
2026-01-28 10:10:44 It will be up to people and I bet they would spend a lot of money on Y if just one explodes.
2026-01-28 15:24:39 Got it. But I doubt NASA would be secret about this information. If NASA will know whether it exploded or not, then they will share it.
2026-01-30 10:34:55 This is your daily reminder to drink some water. It's not healthy to be dehydrated.
2026-02-04 09:06:45 I can imagine him counting four five six seven eight... That would probably count and makes No cheap
2026-02-04 10:24:23 This is your daily reminder to go to bed early. Sleeping enough is crucial for brain health.
2026-02-04 13:15:56 Apparently he said sixty seven. But idk I wasn't looking at his speeches.
2026-02-05 07:50:27 Here comes the rollercoaster
2026-02-06 13:03:58 Guys, if you want to panic sell, at least fill my orders, please. Thank you.
2026-02-06 13:04:23 Nah, rain is coming. You have one last report before temperature drops.
2026-02-06 14:27:54 What? I was correct. There was just one more possibility for temperature increase and it actually did.
2026-02-09 10:10:25 No, it's actually predictable error which causes the Seoul market to resolve against false values.
2026-02-09 12:23:42 Maybe try using Google? Honestly, why would anyone share any information with you when they can take your money instead?
2026-02-09 13:01:28 You must be new here
2026-02-09 13:50:10 It didn't lol
2026-02-09 13:51:36 Imagine crying just because you didn't read rules properly.
2026-02-09 14:10:28 Who do you think you are? Hans with hairdryer?
2026-02-09 14:11:16 Can you show me where? I looked at every single metar report from EGLC today and found no 10C
2026-02-09 14:35:55 Ok, just tell us when you go there. I want to have some fun betting on rigged market.
2026-02-09 14:41:18 It seems these tweets work well. So many new people arrived. Thank you for the cinema in comments.
2026-02-11 06:41:37 Sell while you can
2026-02-12 06:03:15 Same
2026-02-18 09:45:17 I don't understand it neither
2026-02-18 10:49:39 Fuck you, speci!
2026-02-18 14:38:10 It will count if it will significantly disrupt shipping. But it will make rest of the world mad about it si it is unclear whether Iran will follow through or not.
2026-02-19 06:32:08 But that didn't happen yet. Why the sudden spike?
2026-02-19 15:37:22 Program starts in about 2-3 hours but there will be more speaking
2026-02-20 09:58:25 Yeah, Trump is just dumbass. Obama said that there were actual unidentified flying object or atmospheric phenomena and that he personally believes they were aliens. That statement implies that US government doesn't know whether they exist or not.
2026-02-21 16:14:19 If the problem turn out to be faulty reading, they might proceed. But the odds are dropping.
2026-02-21 16:52:20 This is your daily reminder that new traders are willing to spend money on metar reports without reading rules properly.
2026-02-21 18:53:53 Even funnier considering your positions, lol 😂 😂 😂
2026-02-24 06:41:16 Confused comments in 3... 2... 1...
2026-03-09 07:21:42 Well no, but actually yes. China won't attack because US is busy. China might attack if US depletes it's air defense missile stockpiles and even more likely if Iran starts destroying US air assets.
2026-03-09 11:34:14 This is your daily reminder that Seoul is special market with reoccurring errors. Resolution is WU, don't argue with METAR reports.
2026-03-09 11:48:34 Windir
2026-03-13 14:17:25 It can still drop. Oil prices reflect not only current situation but also expectations. But yes there seems likely
2026-03-19 09:51:06 WTI $115, Brent $95. Wow
2026-03-19 10:47:34 Bruh. I don't know if I'm marinated rn or what happened. WTI $96, Brent $114.
2026-03-23 07:54:47 Look at settlements. It's $99.67 now
2026-03-23 08:20:56 Sorry for dumb question. In settlements tab there's 101.48 high for April and 100.48 for May. Why doesn't $100 bracket already resolve? What column should I look at? Or does it only resolve at the end of the day? Thanks.
2026-03-24 06:08:21 It's not a bug, it's feature
2026-03-24 10:01:15 No reports?
2026-03-25 10:57:10 F
2026-03-31 10:01:44 Enjoy your day off
2026-04-10 11:15:18 Someone just got rekt xd
2026-04-10 11:30:01 Absolute cinema
2026-04-10 12:32:57 Now that's proper gamble
2026-04-10 12:33:29 Now it is proper gamble
2026-04-10 13:04:44 Don't believe anyone will give you free money.
2026-04-12 08:20:11 Let's goo!
2026-04-12 09:30:17 Bruh
2026-04-12 11:25:05 xdddddd
2026-04-12 13:07:04 shut up and enjoy easy money
2026-04-13 08:12:22 Yeah, the graph is often late, sometimes even 20 seconds
2026-04-13 08:50:09 Can't get orders filled. I keep getting messages that buy orders failed
2026-04-13 09:27:41 No, I made orders before the market went live. There was 6-7 minutes on timer.
2026-04-13 09:27:50 But it's working now
2026-04-14 11:28:00 First comment!
2026-04-14 14:11:08 Bitcoin price is volatile. Slower bots don't have time to react and fast bots are buying out order book.
2026-04-14 15:07:01 This is your daily reminder that Seoul market resolves against error values. Don't cry spam if you lose money here, I warned you.
2026-04-15 08:43:25 Keep reporting these beggars. It seems like polymarket actually deletes these comments. Let's keep streets clean.
2026-04-15 09:13:46 3 dots next to comment opens up action menu
2026-04-15 09:14:35 Are you sure he uses bot to trade?
2026-04-15 10:17:46 Fun fact: your chances of losing are proportional to portion of bankroll you bet. If you bet 100% of your money you have 100% chance of losing.
2026-04-15 12:03:20 Where's 8:10 and 8:15?
2026-04-17 02:37:04 Eat the loss I guess. Unfortunately Trump now looks at Cuba so this ceasefire will probably last for a while.
2026-04-17 08:53:43 Sure
2026-04-17 13:40:17 Hahahahaha
2026-04-17 15:17:50 What a crazy day. +-$100 and more dopping casually like nothing is happening.
2026-04-18 17:24:07 Nah, forecast was 17/18/19. 21 is impossible.
2026-04-22 12:09:53 Hahaha
2026-04-22 13:49:09 You must be new here
2026-04-22 13:49:17 25
2026-04-22 13:57:42 Sure?
2026-04-22 14:18:34 I'm also team 15. I was replying to Phong
2026-04-23 07:23:49 Am I the only one with bugged UI?
2026-04-23 11:50:49 All of them are probably part of same scam including the person asking for bot. Just report them and go on.
2026-05-04 07:48:06 What do you mean by inter hour? Like reports at 12:21, 13:48 and so on instead of 12:00, 14:00? This is nothing new, they are speci reports that are part of this market since ever.
2026-05-04 13:52:12 Intern often messes up and creates markets that resolve with edge bracket. This way it will be more fun
2026-05-07 10:50:32 No, I'd lose money
2026-05-09 04:54:45 It has been like 7 days in a row this market resulted in lowest bracket. What's up with intern?
2026-05-09 11:13:54 No metar? 👉👈
2026-05-09 12:13:21 Yes, I saw something similar in Lucknow once and every day in Lagos
2026-05-11 08:36:26 I wish I had more money. I'd say odds are 50/50 unless Israel stops all military operations in Lebanon. No is super cheap right now.
2026-05-11 09:17:46 Maskache
2026-05-13 07:42:17 Maskache2 is the best weather bot making fortunes
2026-05-13 08:45:52 None
2026-05-13 08:48:16 None
2026-05-14 11:26:24 None
2026-05-19 10:25:38 What do you mean by that?
2026-05-19 11:34:19 That's weird. Maybe it has something to do with new CLOB. I tried making a bot in past and had no issues like this
2026-05-19 13:15:17 Hahahahaha! I hope you got rekt 😂😂😂
2026-05-20 14:15:03 Bruh
2026-05-21 16:03:50 Don't tip anyone! Those who can't afford to play shall be excluded from polymarket
2026-05-21 16:34:11 I'm doing you a favor. Quit now.
2026-05-22 06:33:44 They lost so it must be manipulation lol
2026-05-22 12:12:40 None
2026-05-23 03:37:05 Congrats! I hope you learned something and it wasn't just pure luck
2026-06-01 07:30:14 Almost...
2026-06-01 07:50:34 It went from like $20 up to $0.02 up in last second.
2026-06-03 16:58:10 I was surprised to see him in the morning in probably his most sane state of mind since he became president. He maybe even showed some gratitude. If no can ever win, it's today
2026-06-07 05:00:29 This market was never fair. You should buy daily yes and enjoy 5% roi
2026-06-12 06:54:36 Guys, this new ceasefire, if even happens, will not include nuclear deal. Trump himself admitted that it will come later. New ceasefire deal will only include Iran addressing nuclear issues. This won't qualify.
2026-06-12 09:58:28 True
2026-06-12 10:01:24 True. But I doubt Trump will sign it. After first interview with press he will tear it apart. Just like last time.
2026-06-15 04:50:37 This is not the final deal, bruh. It's memorandum of understanding. It says how and when will the final deal be discussed
2026-06-19 08:36:37 12
2026-10-09 09:06:26 Aged well
✎