Account Information
Name:
xasd-440
Pseudonym:
Delightful-Commission
Created:
2025-01-21 18:29:36
Last Activity:
3 weeks ago
Tier:
Tier 0
profile-image-1975240-4555310b-4e68-4a12-825a-b694568fa999.png
Total Profit
$2,373
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$6,066.98
Markets traded
32
Trades
29
Largest win
$3,631.48
Profile views
617
Join date
2025-01-21 18:29:36
All-time rank
45188
All-time PnL
$2,372.68
All-time volume
$474,107.02
All-time profit
$2,372.68
Lifetime volume
$474,107.02
Weighted volume
$1,628.50
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | Yes | 32301.6658 | $3,631.48 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | No | 6602.4316 | $1,051.75 |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long? | Yes | 505.2215 | $294.83 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 214.1176 | $-34.65 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | Yes | 87.2727 | $-32.65 |
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | 47.619 | $-10.95 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 160000.3652 | $0.07 | $0.04 | $5,680.01 | $-5,623.42 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Yes | 190750.6481 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $286.13 | $-7,141.97 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15? | No | 94.1 | $0.81 | $0.83 | $78.57 | $2.67 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? | Yes | 19 | $0.85 | $0.88 | $16.72 | $0.57 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | No | 10 | $0.39 | $0.56 | $5.55 | $1.65 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | Yes | 32301.6658 | $3,631.48 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | No | 6602.4316 | $1,051.75 |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long? | Yes | 505.2215 | $294.83 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31? | No | 848.9744 | $81.11 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | Yes | 45 | $25.43 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | No | $0.39 | 10 | $4.00 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15? | No | $0.81 | 61.95 | $50.56 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? | Yes | $0.85 | 19 | $16.25 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15? | No | $0.80 | 32.15 | $25.72 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | Yes | $0.71 | 45 | $31.95 |
Recent trades (29)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | No | $0.39 | 10 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15? | No | $0.81 | 61.95 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? | Yes | $0.85 | 19 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Yes | $0.01 | 750.67 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | Yes | $0.14 | 45 |
Comments
2025-07-12 12:18:02
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between January 26, 2025 ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
2026-02-19 21:35:16
Is that why you only have 1 No share? You must be very convinced in your bet
2026-02-20 07:50:06
I expected the link to have alpha but no it's literally just your own opinion based on nothing
2026-02-20 07:52:18
Yes but you're on the wrong side
2026-02-22 22:22:59
She doesn't meet the authority requirement
2026-03-07 22:39:18
You should do more research
2026-06-23 22:11:57
you have $6 in it lol
2026-07-02 07:23:42
Propose a resolution lol
2026-08-09 20:25:32
"Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games."
2026-09-22 16:47:02
What for?
2026-09-24 14:56:47
I sent you an email, check spam if you don't see it.
2026-10-01 21:59:42
Official confirmation is not required for Yes resolution