Account Information
Name:
VLamarca
Pseudonym:
Inferior-Tavern
Created:
2024-11-05 02:24:08
Last Activity:
1 week ago
Tier:
Bronze
Total Profit
$782
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$15,953.61
Markets traded
314
Trades
314
Largest win
$3,420.94
Profile views
954
Join date
2024-11-05 02:24:08
All-time rank
91345
All-time PnL
$782.50
All-time volume
$232,936.98
All-time profit
$782.50
Lifetime volume
$232,936.98
PnL series latest
$4,332.37
PnL series start
$4,221.17
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$2,131.75
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 7360 | $3,420.94 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31? | No | 8199.9692 | $2,770.44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? | No | 15228.7624 | $2,223.11 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 11200 | $-8,774.39 |
| MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration? | Yes | 3251.0637 | $-2,283.66 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May? | No | 900 | $-791.50 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5089.8202 | $0.37 | $0.93 | $4,708.08 | $2,847.95 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 3439.3733 | $0.70 | $0.81 | $2,768.70 | $371.27 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2200 | $0.84 | $0.84 | $1,838.10 | $-7.90 |
| US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? | No | 1356.37 | $0.83 | $0.92 | $1,247.86 | $118.00 |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | No | 1210 | $0.93 | $0.98 | $1,186.40 | $59.03 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 7360 | $3,420.94 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31? | No | 8199.9692 | $2,770.44 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? | No | 15228.7624 | $2,223.11 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2099.99 | $1,291.30 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | No | 7499.9809 | $952.03 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | MAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 2.1835 | $2.18 | |||
| 1 week ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.5006 | $0.50 | |||
| 1 week ago | TAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 10 | $10.00 | |||
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.83 | 600 | $498.60 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.83 | 300 | $249.60 |
Recent trades (314)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.85 | 400 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.84 | 100 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.84 | 100 |
| 1 week ago | SELL | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.04 | 500 |
| 1 week ago | SELL | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.09 | 10 |
Comments
2024-11-29 05:36:03
Go gukesh
2024-12-02 02:38:02
Ding is chillin
2024-12-04 02:32:05
How is that wishful thinking? Doesnt Gukesh demonstrated that he is the favorite? Gukesh gets better positions. But indeed, compared to the expectation before the match, Ding is holding better than expected
2024-12-11 14:55:48
Good thing I didnt bet more on Gukesh. I almost bet 10k
2024-12-12 13:18:43
That was some lucky money, not gonna lie
2024-12-12 13:27:13
Chance of Gukesh getting caught cheating maybe? Of course, no chance at all
2025-01-10 02:53:25
I love bitcoin, but a small hedge never killed nobody. If I win, it all goes back to bitcoin
2025-01-10 15:07:12
I made 70 bucks. I will use it to buy bitcoin
2025-01-10 19:43:05
I just bought this because I was too lazy to transfer usdc to my exchange to buy bitcoin
2025-01-13 19:44:36
Did this market restart after dropping below 90k earlier today?
2025-01-13 20:16:50
Oh, now the 90k appears as resolved. I think there was a delay
2025-01-13 21:17:19
😂
2025-01-15 00:16:27
Have you ever heard the expression: “bitcoin is the best money ever”? If Trump indicates that he will follow through with bitcoin strategix reserve, price will pump. This is not priced in. You have once in a lifetime opportunnity during the birth of a new asset class, and all you can think about is stupid trading strategies. You are a degen and deserve to be poor
2025-01-15 00:41:58
Sorry, I got angry because I really hate that people believe in this meta games around sell the news and whatnot. Was trumps election a sell the news event? Also I do love bitcoin and shall protect it. Its not only about profit, its about ideology. Do you trade your bitcoin that you keep for ages? You probably used your genius strategy of selling the news when Trump was elected.
2025-01-15 00:42:24
Also, how come you dont have a position around your sell the news thesis?
2025-01-15 22:29:42
Ok, I am glad you spoke against trading bitcoin. I got mad at you because you were calling for a sell the news event, but you were just mentioning it is a possibility
2025-01-17 05:03:47
The end date for this market is marked as jan 14, probably wrong
2025-01-20 03:35:17
Good luck dummy
2025-01-20 03:40:01
Holly sheep you have 200k profit. Are you just a single person betting? Would love to chat with you. Telegram @vlamarca
2025-01-20 12:29:16
Ok brokie
2025-01-20 13:03:02
Yeah
2025-01-20 13:54:52
Just did, hopefully no regret
2025-01-20 15:11:49
I sold as 15 cents, best decision. Turned 2500 into 500
2025-01-23 12:42:49
I think Magnus does not have that big of an edge at freestyle chess. He did win last year. But Nakamura was the champion in 2022 and Wesley so won in 2019. Plus Magnus seems to be a bit out of his best given poor performance in world rapid event
2025-01-26 07:52:18
😂
2025-01-27 18:36:27
Then how do you explain him no winning on 2022 and 2019? I think I checked a good part of the history of 960 chess, and Magnus does not dominate. Maybe there is too much randomness involved
2025-01-30 16:38:44
I am just buying this as a hedge. I am a bitcoin maxi
2025-01-30 22:13:29
Two neighboring small countries will not end the world
2025-01-31 17:08:14
Hey guys, I want to get 10k shares for 130k. Can someone buy some yes please at 30 cents. Thats fair price! :)
2025-01-31 18:33:21
Ffffff now its 73 :/
2025-01-31 18:51:00
I am finally in profit. I am the greatest gambler of all time. Thats the most important rule for gambling: if you are losing, double down
2025-01-31 18:52:33
Is there any community where people can chat about betting strategies? (I am pretty sure some bots/scammers are going to reply, but I will bite anyway)
2025-01-31 21:21:30
What a regarded opinion
2025-01-31 23:16:34
Eth suks. Btc
2025-02-01 10:29:24
I am now a profitable gambler!
2025-02-02 00:55:15
I am the greatest gambler of all time (I am 600 bucks in profit).
2025-02-02 06:01:06
You guys are both regarded. Bitcoin will go up forever. Altcoins are indeed garbage
2025-02-02 14:46:39
You are giga regarded
2025-02-03 03:31:28
Most of my money is in bitcoin. I just bought no as a fun hedge or whatever
2025-02-03 17:59:23
You bought my order! 70 yes, 30 for no. Lets see how it plays out
2025-02-03 18:51:29
I changed sides in time 😂
2025-02-03 19:58:37
Your account is 6k in all time loses. And you make this comments with confidence. I hope the conclusion of these 2 statements are clear to you
2025-02-04 12:39:47
You should have bet no on Magnus instead of yes on everyone else. It would br cheaper / your return would be greater
2025-02-04 12:48:14
I dont get it, to me it looks like you have bet on yes. I am just wondering if there is any reason for that if I am missing something
2025-02-05 12:31:42
Good luck @Boyplease. Why so much confidence?
2025-02-07 15:26:16
If you think it is an opportunity, just buy it. Also for any given player yes + no is always bigger than 100%. The sum of odds of yes for any market are often bigger than 100%, this does not mean there is opportunity to exploit anything
2025-02-07 18:16:39
Real Satoshi hates your shitcoin ass
2025-02-07 18:17:21
Yey, I am a profitable gambler
2025-02-07 18:20:30
@Boyplease had bet 100k on yes and sold for 1 cent. What a loser. At least have some honor to keep your name on the holders list. His profile looks like a total gambler. I hope he is really rich to throw away money like this. Its kind of worrysome. But well, such is life
2025-02-07 18:22:11
His profile: https://polymarket.com/profile/0x374e985c671845522f88b654213e0a8973671d9f
2025-02-07 18:46:36
I think the fact that he sold for 1% of what he bought shows that he is emotional gambler. But you are right, I am also a retard for calling him a loser.
2025-02-07 22:07:08
Wow he is down 78k from his last trade but only down 8k overall. Not too terrible 😂
2025-02-10 10:15:32
I wonder if mr Circus is a bot
2025-02-10 10:15:45
His profile: https://polymarket.com/profile/0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
2025-02-10 13:33:32
I think he might be a bot because he buys yes and no for the same market. And he is really profitable
2025-02-10 13:33:59
@circus
2025-02-10 13:59:31
LOL that is basically what I said LOL. Why are you laughing? LOL
2025-02-12 15:33:40
Suk it Carlsen fans
2025-02-12 15:49:52
How come you had fun losing money?
2025-02-12 16:20:08
How you feeling now genious?
2025-02-12 16:37:59
Great take
2025-02-12 19:14:14
Sounds like extreme cope. One thing is affording to lose, the other thing is saying you had fun losing
2025-02-12 21:20:55
Someone please buy 130k btc yes for 15 cents. Fair price for my hedge!
2025-02-13 01:22:31
Thanks!!
2025-02-13 14:01:51
Dude, you made like 20 bucks 🤣
2025-02-13 18:09:16
So do people think it will resolve to no because the company is not called microstrategy?
2025-02-14 03:05:14
Fabi does have white tomorrow. 70% seems pretty fair to me
2025-02-14 04:26:27
Since the price has been consistently higher than 93k, shouldnt up odds be higher than 60%? Am I missing something?
2025-02-14 14:26:17
Lets go fabiii
2025-02-14 14:48:52
Those were 6 bucks I will not see again
2025-02-15 03:47:02
I wonder what would be the odds for tweet being deleted
2025-02-15 04:25:37
I dont know Rick, seems a bit far fetched. Can we call a specialist?
2025-02-15 05:21:18
Social engineering is a type of hack. You convince someone to give you the password or tweet it for you. But at this point I might be coping.
2025-02-16 04:06:23
Maybe you would agree that speaking with no money on the line shows little credibility? I short it
2025-02-16 04:15:57
Comparing this market to this other about BTC being above 93.5k on 31 March exactly (up Q1), I think the odds of up for 64 cents are underpriced. Curious if people dont agree https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-in-q1-2025/bitcoin-up-in-q1-2025?tid=1739679261362
2025-02-16 04:16:22
Aldo funny how the other market has much smaller liquidity
2025-02-16 15:22:46
Why didnt he buy?
2025-02-16 15:23:08
Congrats on the profit btw!
2025-02-19 14:27:39
F U XRP, you freaking scammers full of bots
2025-02-22 02:01:15
Are you ok?
2025-02-23 02:14:11
Bitcoin is worth all the money in the world
2025-02-26 15:07:33
I bought No 85 at 17.2 (my average is higher though) Hopefully it stands!
2025-03-02 18:59:42
Cope
2025-03-04 19:07:39
Bitcoin is pumping, suk it bears
2025-03-06 18:02:31
Everybody can tell you are a brookie gambler
2025-03-07 04:19:45
I switched from the first 100 days to reserve in 2025, glad I did it.
2025-03-07 13:54:37
Whatever the resolution is, I hate that it was not confirmed yes or no yet. I believe the annoucement that haooened yesterday is sufficient. Is it not?
2025-03-07 18:25:15
Why dont you buy more Yes?
2025-03-08 23:49:35
How dumb can you be to not understand basic logic? Only yes can be resolved early
2025-03-09 12:20:03
It will resolve no only when the time runs out. If this EO does not constitute a reserve, some other thing they do by the time of the market finishing may constitute. How dumb can you be?
2025-03-12 19:03:51
Originally I thought by bet was safe. No so much 🤣
2025-03-12 19:03:57
F U bears!
2025-03-15 13:06:46
Begging on the streets is more respectable
2025-03-21 19:39:34
For which price? Are you crazy?
2025-04-02 00:51:00
The difference is that bitcoin is always what it promises to be
2025-04-09 15:21:53
I take the other side of this bet
2025-04-09 16:33:26
I mean, he is the GOAT in classical chess. There is a lot of randomness in 960
2025-04-10 00:56:37
By so far do you mean the rapid portion? Look at the last few freestyle tournaments, he hasnt won any. With all due respect, you seem to be uninformed and I think betting no is a good opportunity
2025-04-10 12:49:36
Jesus christ you are so dumb 🤣
2025-04-10 14:22:22
Great analysis, why dont you bet on it
2025-04-27 22:02:24
Betting does not increase the odds of it actually happening, you know?
2025-04-28 14:00:38
That was a funny and weird take 😂
2025-05-07 15:22:14
I wonder what is the best way to short eth (or any other crypto). I am doing it via polymarket. I am a bitcoin maxi
2025-05-21 23:36:04
Suk it bears
2025-06-23 17:38:22
I am a bitcoin maxi, but I also short eth occasionaly to spice things up. My opinion is crypto has very little use case besides bitcoin, and Solana is probably better than Eth
2025-07-06 23:10:59
That is specially funny coming from someone who traded 250 markets and is down 2k
2025-07-10 17:33:30
I did not get liquidated. Arent you embarassed of having opinions from an account that has a loss? I dont think you understand bitcoin, have fun staying poor … lol
2025-07-18 22:22:11
Not gonna lie, I was scared. Scared by how dumb people are to buy XRP
2025-07-18 22:26:51
I have respect for people that put their money where there mouth is, but you are crazy LLama. 🤣. Is 100k pocket money to you? I wonder if you indend to sell your “XRP calls” before $4
2025-07-18 22:29:15
I wish there was a way to bet XRP sub 3 dollars by end of the year. Or to short ADA. Any suggestions?
2025-07-19 03:41:13
Do we know the results already?
2025-07-19 13:27:21
Is it opensource though?
2025-07-20 01:03:24
I made some good bets
2025-07-20 13:14:42
I bet it not reaching 4k this month, iI’m scared not gonna lie 😅. But Eth is far away from ATH. You might get lucky gambling, but you are still retarded
2025-07-21 19:18:01
Good questions. I have bet but I was wondering the same
2025-07-22 13:57:06
Hopefully
2025-07-23 01:57:19
Are you a degen? I have never met one in real life. How much money do you have? Are you profitable? I have so many questions
2025-07-23 14:23:34
I cant believe the top holder for Yes 4.0 LlamaLoco was up 10x for 200k gain and did not sell.
2025-07-27 21:21:58
I think you lack the ability to think unfortunately. All prediction markets are a conflict of interest then.
2025-07-27 21:23:06
How can you have 35k in loss and still comment? I wish I had this kind of self esteem
2025-07-28 03:16:36
Me too
2025-07-28 22:00:36
Have you considered the chance that you are just coping?
2025-07-29 16:15:14
Good luck dude
2025-07-30 03:56:03
Ngl, Im super scared. Fuuuuuuu. Eth is garbage
2025-07-30 03:57:14
48 hours to go
2025-07-31 03:56:23
24 hours to go
2025-08-01 03:01:15
Lets go Alireza!! Hopefully he is sleeping right now and not playing bullet
2025-08-01 16:38:26
Fuuu I hate magnus
2025-08-03 19:10:50
Your points are valid, but its not only about an opensource model getting gold. They need to Get gold within the 2 proposed competitions: IGC and AIMO. To me its not clear they will even hold a competition this year anymore. Do you have a date where any judgement will be released? There is none
2025-08-03 19:12:38
IMO is already over also. Anyone can get gold medal in 2025 IMO with CTRL+C and CTRL+V
2025-08-14 13:26:54
The “devs”… You are so pathetic. What about the market where you need to guess how many tweets Musk is going to make? The devs dont know shit, this is a legal matter. But even if they did, it doesnt matter. You are free to bet if you want or not. Its useful to have an idea of what probability the market is assigning to it
2025-10-06 19:25:48
Lol, the fact you comment that and has has -50k pnl is funny
2025-10-13 02:26:56
Longing BTC, shorting ETH. The way lord meant it
2025-10-18 03:32:22
I never understand how someone with negative pnl has the confidence to talk arrogantly against someone with positive pnl
2025-11-20 15:26:45
I have bet no, it wont dip below 80k.
2025-11-27 03:37:06
You would make more money delivering food on door dash
2025-11-28 03:31:25
He had a 100 bucks position, but then it jumped to 1k. Now it is a respectable amount
2025-11-30 13:50:28
You should have less confidence on your ability to predict the future
2025-11-30 13:51:24
You are coping 😂
2025-12-02 18:22:00
Its because you are a loser. Bitcoin’s story if full of losers who later get jealous, like you
2025-12-03 05:16:49
It went up 50% a year on average for 15 years. If you realized that a few years ago and bet meaningfully, like me, you changed your life. You obviously didnt, because you are a loser
2025-12-03 05:21:07
😉
2025-12-09 03:25:43
Mesmo depois do Tarcisio apoiar o Flavio, eu acho que o Tarcisio vai ser o candidato da direita hahaha. Mass, posso estar enganado
2025-12-09 03:29:35
O candidato da direita que for eu voto nele infelizmente. Prefiro doq o Lula, embora nem mude muito
2025-12-09 19:28:19
Vende sua casa e aposta no Nao do Tarcisio entao espertinho. Curioso que vc eh um pobre fudido que aposta dinheiro e esta negativo, e eu estou bem positivo
2025-12-10 01:34:02
Agradeca os lerdoes por te darem oportunidade de lucrar. Unico problema e que talvez o lerdao seja voce
2025-12-10 21:41:13
I am buying No for 12 cents if anyone is interested
2025-12-12 02:38:21
I should have bet more 😅
2025-12-12 22:00:00
Dont worry about it, you are going to lose anyway
2025-12-20 17:47:35
Source: voices in my head
2025-12-21 01:39:12
Why dont you simply buy the bitcoin and stop gambling?
2025-12-22 22:21:17
Hell yeah!!
2025-12-24 19:39:43
Is this some type of joke or ragebait? You acall yourself a crypto trader. You are like a drug addict. You deserve extreme poverty
2025-12-25 12:58:07
The pair was with a random stable coin nobody uses: USD1. This pair is not valid for this market
2025-12-26 00:53:45
What are you talking about? Who is controlling the price? Are they selling bitcoin cheaper? If so, just take the opportunity and buy it you moron
2025-12-27 01:55:12
Wow, congrats on the patience and the wisdom to not panic sell
2025-12-28 05:00:35
So you are doubling 400 bucks into 800 bucks (well actually you are just more likely to give it to the cassino)
2025-12-29 14:52:57
You are just making up stuff based on feelings like a supersticious retarded
2025-12-29 23:52:42
Disgusting scammers
2025-12-31 01:24:59
Why would anyone donate to a young gambler instead of a young worker? Btw, I am disgusted by your existence
2025-12-31 02:04:02
He can be an insider that is wrong about his guess too lol
2025-12-31 03:05:49
Sold it and bought Bitcoin?
2026-01-01 15:45:58
You sound very cocky for someone with negative pnl
2026-01-01 15:49:04
"pretty sure" says the biggest broke loser with a pathetically small position on something he thinks will happen based on vibes
2026-01-02 11:57:51
I would love to see you increase your position on bitcoin dipping, for your own good
2026-01-02 19:15:05
Dont I have more profit than you? Also, people who short bitcoin are dumb
2026-01-04 18:22:11
I have bet no, betting no is always the answer. Dumb people like to take the gamble for “it might 5x my money”
2026-01-04 21:07:29
People short bitcoin deserve ethernal poverty. Is it too much to ask you to help promote a better and not corrupt form of money?
2026-01-05 12:04:13
Lol, thanks for the money
2026-01-05 12:42:38
Na, he can work from Moscow. Its called home office
2026-01-05 14:03:16
Do you live in Iran? From the people you know, what percentage supports the current leader?
2026-01-05 18:58:08
Are you watching news from Khamenei, does he look well? Can you elaborate more on why you dont think he will leave power so soon? If you convince me to bet more on No (or on Yes) and you end up being right, I will tip you 5 bucks
2026-01-06 00:44:32
Its called home office
2026-01-06 21:56:05
Do you ever look in the mirror or at your pnl? Or even at the pathetic size of your bet? Thanks for the money
2026-01-07 00:28:00
Lets gooo clutch grandpa
2026-01-07 17:08:53
So it is not about what will happen but the perception of what will happen? Not only do you want your gamble to work, you want it to work faster
2026-01-07 19:37:06
Exactly me. I am betting on recency bias, media being overblown and the fact that are too many gamblers who like to take the “might 5x” my money side
2026-01-07 20:19:26
I agree. I was about to bet more on No but I gave up. I think odds are somewhat accurate and its not worth the risk
2026-01-07 23:18:16
Your pnl is a reflection of your wisdom: negative
2026-01-08 12:50:10
I laughed so much with this comment lol. But you are right buddy, hopefully we have peace!
2026-01-08 15:05:14
Multiple sources are confirming that people have recency bias and like to gamble
2026-01-08 21:35:33
Serious whales dont even bet from one account only
2026-01-08 22:42:28
hopefully you are right lol
2026-01-08 23:37:00
Rumor your momma fat
2026-01-09 04:00:44
Supposedly your mumma is so fat Khamenei might be hidding between her cheeks
2026-01-10 00:23:45
You can win and Khamenei leave slightly after 😅
2026-01-10 00:25:53
Khamenei is my favorite dictator. Did you know he is the leader of the country for like 40 years? And not just a lame ass leader, but the SUPREME leader. And the haters think he will fall by the next months, no chance! Long live clutch grandpa
2026-01-10 13:50:23
I love how people with negative pnl are so arrogant. You are so reg(t)arded it is fun to watch
2026-01-10 23:39:46
Even if you win you will still be negative. Even if I lose I will still be positive. Besides, probability smaller than 50% still means you are more likely to lose than win if you dont sell before
2026-01-11 12:53:38
Once he is on the AC-130, if the spawns are favorable, getting the nuke will be easy
2026-01-12 19:21:21
Each day that passes, Khamenei is one step closer to bringing me to the promised land of profit. A true hero of our time. A selfless hero. Thank you khamenei! May you last until 31 march!!!
2026-01-13 21:28:19
I think I will regret… not buying more No’s
2026-01-14 04:02:03
It will happen right after you lose your bet you degenerate regarded gambler
2026-01-14 12:16:10
A sign you are delusional lol
2026-01-14 12:17:13
Oh yeah, a tatic straight out of the book the art of war “be very predictable and dumb”
2026-01-14 20:12:46
Wow this market dynamics are so cool. Not gonna lie, I am scared 😂. Also yes holders for january and march are a bunch of desperate gamblers chasing a quick profit. They deserve poverty
2026-01-14 20:14:04
Wait, I think this was a “short squeeze” on the derivative market “will odds reach 50% that Khamenei leaves” or something
2026-01-14 20:25:44
You are basically saying that the desperate people buy the least likely outcome, so actually buying the most likely is a good investment generally
2026-01-15 01:07:24
Its a shooting star, and we are all wishing the best for the kind leader Khamenei. May he lead Iran to prosperity and peace as he always does
2026-01-15 01:07:53
These huge gamblers are amazing
2026-01-15 01:50:21
Its incredible how the people with negative pnl are always so confident.
2026-01-15 14:18:49
Damm, I should have bet more on no lol. I dont think there are that many opportunities like this
2026-01-15 14:21:18
Congrats @peidaleite you are truly a smart individual
2026-01-15 16:26:37
If you think yes is cheap buy more you gigantic loser, no need to "try to help" the other yes holders. In fact you are harming yourself and others
2026-01-15 19:35:36
From where I come from, this is called cope. Thanks for the money loser
2026-01-15 19:37:35
Last year, what would you estimate the probability of Maduro from Venezuela being captured? This things do happen, but I agree, too many gamblers with recency bias gave us a good price for betting No
2026-01-15 19:38:38
What is your networth? I always find it amazing these big account with huge bets like yours
2026-01-15 20:35:34
Yeah, I agree. Thanks for the donations yes holders!
2026-01-16 14:14:58
Damm you bought the shared at 92, what a pitty. Congrats on the likely win though!
2026-01-16 19:56:12
Mr sb, will you apologize after you lose your bet? Thanks for the money btw
2026-01-16 22:04:36
Gostaria de tomar um tempo de sua atencao para recomendar que quem enxerga os problemas da democracia e coletivismo deveria usar Bitcoin e promover sonegacao. Eu pratico e recomendo. Abracos
2026-01-17 00:30:41
Dont you think it is embarrassing to cope this hard in public?
2026-01-18 05:13:46
I only believe voices in my head as the source
2026-01-18 16:52:25
Damm must be good, you are going to make so much money!
2026-01-19 13:46:10
Yey, I won money
2026-01-19 13:46:41
No, only scottie pippen probably
2026-01-19 18:58:07
What percentage of the comments here are made by bots you guys think?
2026-01-19 20:05:32
The most important bots are about sharing links to persuade our opinion I think
2026-01-19 21:21:31
Why do you keep commenting the same thing? Are you genuinely interested or are you just coping that you are gonna lose?
2026-01-19 21:22:46
Also how did you profit so much out of elon tweets counts? Insane lol, congrats. But I think you are coping on the Iran bet
2026-01-20 01:09:49
You must be kidding lol, please stop supporting the beggers
2026-01-20 14:25:56
Does that mean you want Khamenei to leave or to stay?
2026-01-21 16:08:37
I think I developed a crush for Kamenei. In a way, he is my sugar daddy!
2026-01-21 16:14:23
Bitcoin is a bank in cyberspace, run by incorruptible software, offering a global, affordable, simple, & secure savings account to billions of people. Bitcoin is hope for people in authoritarian regimes. You can transport it at the speed of light anywhere in the world and no dictator can do anything about it.
2026-01-22 01:03:02
I am very curious if you are a real person or some fake account with intenitons of manipulating the market. Did you create a polymarket account just to bet no on this market?
2026-01-22 15:04:05
Everyday I wake up and first thing I think about is how grateful we are to have this incredible leader called Khamenei (at least until Mach lol)
2026-01-22 15:05:37
You would waste your money and time going to college. But anyway, you are not going to win the bet either
2026-01-23 01:46:51
You might just be the most delusional loser that has ever walked on the face of the earth. Everyday I come here to make a delusional take hoping your gamble works and you get a 10x on your investment.
2026-01-23 21:55:03
I would give at least a 20% chance that you have another account where you have bet no lol
2026-01-23 22:13:26
I think I will buy more No bets in your honor
2026-01-24 00:30:53
My purchase for No at 92 did not get filled :/ Should have bought at 93
2026-01-24 03:34:25
I love seeing retarded people like you lose money
2026-01-25 14:05:04
It should count as you being regarded
2026-01-25 14:05:37
No, because Khamenei lives on the hearts of the good iranian people
2026-01-25 14:55:47
Are you not embarrassed of coping this hard in public?
2026-01-25 15:10:54
Here is a good argument: you are gonna lose your money
2026-01-25 15:19:30
I could explain to you, but why would I? Hopefullly you bet more and lose more of your money. I think you are just a desperate gambler who cannot think clearly and are blinded by the possibility of getting a 20x
2026-01-26 04:32:00
It would only count if there was an official statement saying that Khamenei is not the supreme leader of Iran (for at least some time). Otherwhise, would you say that him sleeping prevents him from being the supreme leader? You can be the leader from a bunker, stop coping and take the L. You lost money because you are retarded
2026-01-26 04:32:50
OMG a retarded anon with 27k in loss is giving me a warning
2026-01-26 20:14:22
You have conceded me your asshole. Now I own it!
2026-01-26 20:14:58
No because he lives on inside the hearts of the good iranian people
2026-01-27 16:24:22
I feel so grateful that there are people willing to lose money on stuff they do not understand
2026-01-27 20:38:18
People like you really make me think I should go bigger on my bets lol
2026-01-27 21:23:48
Well the part about you are going to lose is true. But at least lose like a man
2026-01-28 12:44:32
Is this a meme? From where?
2026-01-28 23:27:22
It is a yes in your heart and that is what matters. You are not getting paid though
2026-01-29 13:59:29
lol, good luck budy
2026-01-29 15:16:29
Hopefully I survive this one, please god I promise I will stop betting
2026-02-02 21:14:42
Its incredible how there is an infinite stream of losers who come on polymarket to yap about some no
2026-02-02 21:57:09
I think you have a chance of winning, but ironically enough, if you do win, it will harm you more over the long run
2026-02-03 01:45:29
Very "logical" indeed
2026-02-03 15:11:00
Damm such a good analysis, are you a professional trader?
2026-02-03 15:13:46
Dude, stop coming here to cope. Your analysis are terrible and you are going to lose your money. The reason is you are retarded. Hopefully you can take feedback from reality. I recommend learning something useful instead of wasting your time with crappy analysis like an absolute loser
2026-02-03 21:12:44
Lol this is so true. These yes people use so much hopium its incredible
2026-02-03 21:15:34
I’m sorry I didnt mean to be rude. I didnt say for you to not come here, I meant for you to stop sharing your “analysis” and “tips”. Its a bit embarrassing because it is very clear you are just coping, but I should not treat people that give me money bad, so sorry and thank you!
2026-02-04 15:29:11
Is there a chance you are just too blind because you believe in something that would give you 5x return?
2026-02-04 19:33:23
Of course timing is important. I dont think Khamenei will live forever. Your comment adds very little in my opinion
2026-02-04 19:39:16
Calm down dude, we all know you are very excited. But when you lose your money, maybe reflect about your emotions. Maybe be more humble and save the celebration for after you do win? Its like you are losing a match of ball 10 to 0 and you score won point and become cocky. Do you promise me you wont get depressed if you end up losing? I hope you use that to improve yourself
2026-02-04 19:56:32
I dont think I attacked you, I made an analogy. You are playing a game and losing 10 to 1, then you score one point and become cocky.
2026-02-06 22:14:50
According to multiple sources familiar with the matter your mamma is fat
2026-02-06 23:50:59
He is 86, alive and kicking
2026-02-07 14:07:47
Dude, he started with “I have warned you” and nothing really happened and he will still lose his money. Dont you think this deserves to be made fun of?
2026-02-09 04:41:11
This math aint mathing
2026-02-10 01:00:19
Everyday I come here and I read a dumber take. Yes, of course if he dies he is no longer the leader
2026-02-10 04:49:08
What do you mean gambling money? Buying no is a sound investment. Not much of these opportunities during the year
2026-02-11 00:48:09
No the price needs to hit your target and stay there forever, otherwise you lose
2026-02-11 03:08:30
Khamenei is goated
2026-02-14 00:23:27
Dude he is not leaving power, wanna bet?
2026-02-14 14:02:28
If you know you are going to win why do you come here almost everyday to make a comment about some irrelevant thing? Who are you trying to convince? It just looks like cope. Its pretty embarrassing
2026-02-15 03:56:27
I cant stop replying, there is something so fascinating at how delusional you are lol
2026-02-18 13:04:06
Save the celebration for after you do win? Or at least to when you are in profit
2026-02-18 13:42:31
True hahahaha I love my bestie Wiz. I saw trump tweets and first thing I think of is my buddy Wiz must be having a blast
2026-02-18 14:26:32
I dont think you are trying to manipulate the price. I think you are just retarded. The other ridiculous part is you "trying to save someone" lol. Come on...
2026-02-18 16:23:02
Yes peace
2026-02-18 21:13:03
Finally a smart comment lol
2026-02-19 19:51:17
Dude, how are you down 600k? What is wrong with you? I would love to know the story of your life
2026-02-19 19:55:04
You have bet like 15 bucks
2026-02-21 05:43:23
I personally think that betting no is the best risk return that has ever existed. 30% return on your money over 1 month!!!
2026-02-21 05:44:08
Killing him will not be easy at all
2026-02-21 11:50:57
Thats not how things work. This is why this has such great odds, people think the US has unlimited power and think Iran is similar to venezuela. Even for maduros case, you dont simply kidnap him next day. The operation takes months to minimize costs and suffering
2026-02-22 21:02:20
The iranian government has confirmed: yes holders are retards
2026-02-22 23:27:13
You guys are telling me that you are willing to pay at 20% odds that the dude who has been running the country for 35 years will leave within a month? Taking into account that he looks healthy and makes public appearences?
2026-02-23 14:12:57
I found one right here iranian government ^^^
2026-02-23 19:36:20
Dude is down 44k and still comes here to confidently share his opinions lol
2026-02-24 02:42:21
You can die to a bomb and the world will win because it is one less retarded alive
2026-02-24 13:23:42
Are you the unverified source? Be honest
2026-02-24 15:26:25
This market is super retarded lol, I think I should go all in on no march and a small yes for june as a hedge. The odds are basically saying if he is going to leave this year it is much more likely to be in march. But in truth is that the retards just like to bet yes in a short time frame because they have no patience. If he has 80% of survival chance each month (the probability for march) the odds of survival until june should be 40% (0.8^4) and not 65% as it is
2026-02-24 19:45:38
it is a lot of money lol, but I suppose you have to cope somehow
2026-02-26 13:29:01
The cope is alive!!
2026-02-26 19:40:11
Why? I am having a blast while you lose your money lol
2026-02-27 02:14:44
Dude, stop calling people oblivious, you are literally a retard who is about to lose your money
2026-02-27 02:30:12
He even types OBLIVIOUS in capital letters lol. You could not be more delusional
2026-02-27 17:17:07
You are so retarded that I almost think you are a bot designed to look retarded so I think there is dumb people in this platform so I bet more.
2026-02-27 17:17:43
Price spikes 2% and you think you already won, what a gigantic loser you are. Have fun losing your money
2026-04-23 19:31:13
Before Bolsonaro it was either PT or PSDB. Things change
2026-05-22 19:11:00
I made money shorting silver, yeyy
2026-07-22 19:14:44
Im scared that the 3x I am gonna get will not be enough to outperform holding Bitcoin
2026-08-20 00:42:50
In all fairness, you deserve to lose everything
2026-09-19 18:10:19
meteu 4k dol q o Lula vai ganhar e agora vem nos comentarios chorando
2026-09-19 18:11:42
Achei q mito era o pai apenas
2026-09-19 19:07:33
E o comentario se regere ao Paulo Kogos. Vc saberia se tivesse o minimo de cultura XD
2026-09-24 15:54:36
They already solved one of the problems, why would solving another one change things that much?
2026-10-03 15:54:13
There were 2 Millennium problems solved in the last 25 years though
2026-10-04 17:12:12
Easy money
2026-10-05 02:07:21
Não foi ultimo, ficou em 4o po 😂
2026-10-05 15:41:08
Comemorar 200 dol = pobreza extrema
2026-10-05 15:50:48
Vc tinha q criar vergonha na cara. Hedge de mil reais? Vai se salvar do comunismo com essa fortuna? Se inscreve no bolsa familia
2026-10-05 18:25:31
Parece bem facil acreditar, basta aceitar evidencias bem simples e diretas
2026-10-08 15:21:10
Reduziu a hedge? 😂😂
2026-10-08 18:32:41
Merda, queria comprar mais a 84. Quem sao os safados q estao comprando?
2026-10-10 04:25:45
Polymarket esta banido no Brasil. Oq esse povo esta fazendo aqui? Deus esta vendo
2026-10-10 04:26:57
Vc é uma pessoa de verdade comum? Q decidiu meses atras que iria apostar q o Flavio ia ganhar e nada mais?
2026-10-10 13:47:13
Não pode ser só um cara que fez uma aposta errada? XD
2026-10-10 14:41:54
O cara criou a conta pra fazer a bet ué 😂
2026-10-10 14:42:43
2 milhoes de reais não foi suficiente pra mexer no preço eu acho. as odds mudaram com essa manipulaçao? Eu acho q nao
2026-10-10 14:57:09
SaylorMoon é gringo, esta apostando q o Flavio nao vence. Deve achar q em republica de bananas vao fraudar a eleiçao 😂😂
2026-10-11 03:27:12
Eis aqui um petista médio
2026-10-11 12:29:47
Vc faz bastante shitposting pra alguem q esta 3k no preju 😂
2026-10-11 18:16:07
Os esquerdistas só são a favor da democracia quando o candidato deles vence?
2026-10-11 18:17:24
Tem que ser frio e calculista e apostar no que vc acha q tem odds melhores. Hedge emocional = transa de costas
2026-10-11 18:22:35
6 meses atras, Eu nao esperava que o Flavio ia ganhar. Achei q a rejeiçao ia ser mt grande, achei q um Tarcisio ou Zema da vida ganharia. Mas agora tenho ctz q vai. Respeito a quem viu isso mt antes. O Flavio é bandido, entao brasileiro gosta. Eu em particular sou contra a democracia. Quanto menos estado melhor
2026-10-12 16:33:20
Quem chama o outro candidato de anti democratico sendo que ele vai ganhar democraticamente?
2026-10-12 17:13:07
O Lula proibiu polymarket no Brasil. Oq vc esta fazendo aqui?
2026-10-12 23:30:15
Conversas dele com o Vorcaro. Pedir dinheiro pro filme do pai depois do Vorcaro estar preso? Rachadinhas e outras coisas.
2026-10-12 23:31:23
Mas vc esta apostando no lula 😂
2026-10-13 03:32:49
Sera q os petistas vao ficar muito tristes?
2026-10-13 03:38:11
Eu gosto muito do Lula, mas o Bolsonaro é ainda melhor. Dois grandes líderes
2026-10-13 13:40:34
Cara, eu acho q odiar politico é só uma forma de descontar as frustracoes q a pessoa tem. Talvez alguem “perdeu a luz” por culpa dela propria, nao do Lula
2026-10-13 13:48:11
Chegou um frustrado com a vida por exemplo ^
2026-10-13 15:23:42
Se vc nao perdesse tanto tempo postando na internet, talvez não seria um pobre fudido. Vc vai continuar sendo, FB nao vai te salvar
2026-10-13 17:05:46
Looking back, this was a good bet
2026-10-13 23:00:48
Ué, e vc continua apostando no lula? Acha q as odds estao boas?
2026-10-14 03:06:17
😂😂😂 Fica mais engraçado sabendo q vc nao esta sendo ironico
2026-10-14 03:07:36
Nao acho q vc pode dizer q algo é obvio e tem apenas 10 dolares apostados. Guarda um pouco do bolsa familia e bota mais
2026-10-14 04:00:50
I respectfully think that you are retarded
2026-10-14 15:04:10
“Menos de um dia ja estou no lucro” 😂😂😂
2026-10-14 15:05:19
Se for pra olhar o lucro, da pra pra pensar assim: na sua carreira de apostador vc esta negativo, portanto vc é burro
2026-10-14 16:22:01
Caraca, tu é de roraima? Engraçado demais 😂😂. Tem internet ai? Bora mito!!
2026-10-14 20:29:28
Oscilaçoes de 2% na probabilidade muitas vezes não tem um motivo, são só um ruido. A cabeça do ser humano fica querendo achar razão pra tudo, não é atoa q antigamente faziam dança da chuva. Vcs são supersticiosos e burros.
2026-10-14 20:32:03
Maluco chamado Renan2030, maior apostador do flavio, vai bater 1 milhao de dolares de lucro. Orgulho do meu compatriota 🇧🇷
2026-10-14 20:32:44
O cara curte uma resenha 😂😂