Account Information
Name:
StarMaster
Bio:
Tell me, what do I say to turn this around ? 🎶💃🏼
Pseudonym:
Weird-Freedom
Created:
2025-06-16 20:21:07
Last Activity:
3 weeks ago
Tier:
Silver
X:
@_starmaster
profile-image-3048498-41cd39ab-f0bd-4c1e-be28-c1293b6f5b9e.webp
Total Profit
$91,923
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$89,685.64
Markets traded
3,648
Trades
3,648
Largest win
$3,680.99
Profile views
6,737
Join date
2025-06-16 20:21:07
All-time rank
2093
All-time PnL
$91,923.30
All-time volume
$11,412,124.70
All-time profit
$91,923.30
Lifetime volume
$11,412,124.70
PnL series latest
$91,970.59
PnL series start
$91,971.46
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$40,576.08
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 88789.427937 | $3,680.99 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4000 | $3,331.01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 61499.10619 | $3,034.40 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 126897.539817 | $-6,425.49 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 76751.55096 | $-4,645.42 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 24565.250147 | $-2,724.70 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5000 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $4,977.50 | $2,477.50 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | No | 3500.95 | $0.81 | $0.98 | $3,444.93 | $609.17 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4000.314 | $0.67 | $0.81 | $3,259.86 | $579.60 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3000 | $0.72 | $0.94 | $2,805.00 | $650.00 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2999.9449 | $0.65 | $0.84 | $2,534.95 | $577.19 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 88789.427937 | $3,680.99 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4000 | $3,331.01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 61499.10619 | $3,034.40 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 5644.85246 | $2,519.34 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 17698.828481 | $2,376.06 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | REWARD | $0.00 | 0.175 | $0.17 | |||
| 3 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.5745 | $0.57 | |||
| 3 weeks ago | REWARD | $0.00 | 6.2807 | $6.28 | |||
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | $0.79 | 250 | $198.82 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Will the 1996 McLaren F1 GTR sell for at least $35m at auction? | Yes | $0.71 | 300 | $214.83 |
Recent trades (3648)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | $0.79 | 250 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will the 1996 McLaren F1 GTR sell for at least $35m at auction? | Yes | $0.71 | 300 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | $0.25 | 1500 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | Yes | $0.88 | 200 |
| 3 weeks ago | SELL | Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | Yes | $0.53 | 10 |
Comments
2025-06-17 15:26:30
US forces withdraw from two more bases in northeastern Syria [link removed]
2025-06-17 16:44:31
Wall Street Journal report: US considering entering war with Iran and assisting Israel in attacking the Fordow facility
2025-06-17 16:53:50
President Trump will meet with his national security team in the White House Situation Room at 1pm on Tuesday to make a decision on U.S. policy towards the war between Israel and Iran. According to U.S. officials, he is seriously considering joining the conflict by launching a strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities, with particular focus on its underground uranium enrichment site in Fordow.
2025-06-17 16:54:55
[link removed]
2025-06-17 20:28:59
My bad… CNN is correct
2025-06-17 21:01:56
Republican Senator Lindsey Graham: Taking the Ayatollah’s regime down is a good thing, not a bad thing. I'm willing to risk what happens next.
2025-06-17 21:07:34
No Press Conference
2025-06-17 21:33:52
Netanyahu's meeting with his security chiefs and ministers has been continuing for over two hours. This is a very long amount of time compared to other summits.
2025-06-17 21:55:17
Prime Minister Netanyahu and US President Trump spoke and coordinated positions and moves in preparation for the US military's entry into the war. Trump: We need to take responsibility for saving the world from a great evil.
2025-06-17 21:58:39
[link removed]
2025-06-17 22:44:43
👍🏼
2025-06-17 22:52:51
I knew he was a Muslim terrorist ... McCane was wrong
2025-06-18 10:54:21
A single bullet ist enough
2025-06-18 11:55:30
Oh, that's all right ... we have enough illegal Mexican immigrants we can send down there
2025-06-18 12:09:59
B2 spotted in Israeli airspace [link removed]
2025-06-18 13:06:14
Lmao only if you sell now and buy yes
2025-06-18 13:20:46
Recent studies by PolyUniversity have confirmed that owners of No's have an underdeveloped frontal lobe. This is particularly tragic, as this part of the brain forms a decentralized network of intelligence and therefore leads to a far below-average IQ. Source: [link removed]
2025-06-18 13:22:24
Then why are you gambling it away with No ?
2025-06-18 13:35:50
Source: trust me
2025-06-18 13:50:03
A single bullet is enough 💪🏻
2025-06-18 16:02:20
His last word was : No
2025-06-18 16:10:41
Hopefully your hedge fund performs better than your poly account 🤣
2025-06-18 16:23:31
U.S. Officials to Al-Jazeera: 'The option of the U.S. launching a military strike on the Fordow facility requires studying the repercussions and reactions of Iran'
2025-06-18 16:46:00
Breaking news: According to unconfirmed reports, J-Boy was shot at and killed outside his home. According to several eyewitnesses, the unknown perpetrator wanted to put him out of his misery with this merciful act. He was pronounced dead on the spot. He bequeathed 1.5k worthless No shares to his heirs.
2025-06-18 17:41:13
Both were killed in Israeli special operations
2025-06-18 17:45:33
Trump's flagpoles are ready
2025-06-18 18:33:55
A reporter asks Trump, “Do you have any intelligence that Iran is targeting any U.S. assets?”: I have intelligence. We are doing very well. I have intelligence. We are doing very well. FoxNews
2025-06-18 18:37:21
True 🤣
2025-06-20 16:05:06
Breaking news: Car was raped and killed outside his home. The unknown perpetrators carved "traitor" on his forehead.
2025-06-20 18:20:53
#rapecar
2025-06-20 18:37:11
Big beautiful bombs
2025-06-20 21:54:28
Tulsi really is the most incompetent person I have ever seen. 🤣
2025-06-20 22:16:19
I knew they have WMD… 😡
2025-06-20 22:24:20
Trump is literally saying Fordow must be destroyed or the world's doomed within weeks, but he's gonna wait those full two weeks, it's like Tony Stark saying Thanos is seconds from snapping half the universe away, but decides, "Nah, I'll just chill until the last possible moment." Yet the NO-TARDS genuinely think this scenario makes sense. Pure Marvel-grade absurdity.
2025-06-20 22:36:23
Baron, are you there? When will the bombs fall on Frodo?
2025-06-20 22:48:59
PUMP INCOMING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
2025-06-20 22:50:17
#RapeCar
2025-06-20 22:51:25
Of course, there is a red button at hole 16 ...
2025-06-20 22:51:54
Yes
2025-06-20 23:02:25
👆🏻No-tard👆🏻
2025-06-20 23:04:21
Trump’s literally saying Fordow must be taken out immediately or the world’s doomed in weeks, but he's waiting.... it's like Luke Skywalker casually saying, "The Death Star's about to blow up Yavin 4, but let's hold off until the countdown hits 1 second." Yet the NO-TARDS follow along with the propaganda. Dumb Dumbs!
2025-06-21 08:24:05
#rapecar
2025-06-21 08:29:14
I don't want to talk about that 😭
2025-06-21 10:41:26
Troll bots
2025-06-21 10:55:04
PUMP INCOMING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
2025-06-21 11:18:02
Drop that big beautiful bomb on Frodo 💪🏻
2025-06-21 11:23:42
JD Vance stated, “We’re running out of time” for diplomacy and argued that bombing Iran would be “America First,” if Trump chooses to pursue it.
2025-06-21 11:25:20
Better zero yes shares than 9800 no shares LOL
2025-06-21 11:30:41
PUMP INCOMING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
2025-06-21 11:31:59
#rapeWandereR
2025-06-21 11:40:19
Trump's literally saying Fordow must be destroyed immediately or humanity's toast within weeks, yet he's calmly holding off, even as B-2 stealth bombers, literally the only planes capable of destroying Fordow, head to Diego Garcia; it's like Sarah Connor announcing, "Skynet's nukes launch soon, but I'll wait till the final countdown hits zero," while the NO-TARDS nod along thinking that's a solid strategy.
2025-06-21 11:44:23
-35k PNL. LOLOLOLOL
2025-06-21 11:46:14
-35k PNL. LOLOLOLOL
2025-06-21 11:50:38
Imagine you have a PnL of -35k and call others retarded... only no-holders are that stupid
2025-06-21 11:57:59
Oh wow... 941 will certainly get you far too
2025-06-21 12:03:33
Trump just sent six B-2 stealth bombers, the only planes on earth capable of attacking Fordow, after multiple credible sources confirmed the U.S. planned to strike this weekend, and yet some people think, "Sounds like now is a great time to load up on NO." Honestly, how does this thought even form inside someone's brain? Pure retardation.
2025-06-21 13:55:24
Heavily armed bombers are in flight. Media reports this week said that it would be happening this weekend. Sounds like a greta time to buy NO-TARDS!!! Hurry!!! Berry Berry good price!!!!
2025-06-21 13:58:27
No-tard…
2025-06-21 14:34:43
Typical no-tards fool
2025-06-22 07:13:10
rapecar
2025-06-27 15:34:57
#rapeeuan
2025-06-27 15:52:28
Only for a short time: Buy no and get a sexually transmitted disease for free (Offer conditions: Only available in normal household quantities and only while stocks last. Exclusively for No-tards )
2025-06-27 16:37:10
Ah yes, so that's why the designer says it's a suit? Makes sense 🤣
2025-06-27 17:05:47
Ah yes, so that's why the designer says it's a suit? Makes sense 🤣
2025-06-27 17:10:24
The designer (Viktor Ansimiv) has said publicly that it is a suit. I hardly think you can judge that better than the designer ...
2025-06-27 17:12:08
*Anisimov
2025-06-27 17:14:54
Ask your daddy if he wants to drop another Big beautifully bomb on Iran 🤑
2025-06-27 20:42:11
[link removed]
2025-06-27 20:42:32
Even the designer says it‘s a suit 🤣
2025-06-28 13:58:42
The best thing you can do is switching to K@lshi com bc no UMA Scam
2025-06-28 14:02:09
10,7 Y / 7 N / 5,5 Oustanding
2025-06-28 16:21:19
Bullshit
2025-06-28 16:33:22
Majority is not 2/3 …
2025-06-28 16:35:10
No
2025-06-28 16:52:28
Damaged is not destroyed
2025-06-28 18:04:43
Vote isn‘t over yet
2025-07-01 09:07:31
Everyone who buys shares here is hopefully aware that the next UMA scam will take place in this market...
2025-07-01 09:29:42
Everyone who buys shares here is hopefully aware that the next UMA scam will take place in this market...
2025-07-01 23:37:45
UMA Scam incoming…
2025-07-02 14:45:47
#rapecar
2025-07-02 15:17:53
Don't let these Yes-tards bullshit you... The convictions do not count as sex trafficking under 18 [link removed].1591, nor do they count as RICO with relevant sex trafficking allegations - they only relate to prostitution and are not qualifying convictions as defined by the market.
2025-07-02 15:25:43
#suitgate
2025-07-02 21:20:25
Judge: I've read the parties submissions and others. The jury convicted the defendant of Counts 3 and 5. For the following reasons, bail is denied
2025-07-04 09:33:57
US President Donald Trump may visit China accompanied by a delegation of executive directors of American companies at the end of October, Bloomberg reports, citing sources.
2025-07-04 11:49:12
[link removed]
2025-07-04 13:02:10
As if it wasn't bad enough that UMA is manipulating the markets... now Polymarkt just scams us directly by changing the underlying parameters... what a joke, no wonder so many are switching to k@lshi
2025-07-04 13:29:19
The additional information originally stated : Military Family Picnic, which lasts 3.5 hours
2025-07-06 10:13:45
It's a new feature... shows you what your shares are worth after a UMA Scampute
2025-07-06 13:20:19
Take a look at the K-8 forms. BTC was always bought in the weekly period before the announcement.
2025-07-06 13:20:31
[link removed]
2025-07-06 13:24:59
But there was no graph posted ... with the last graphs until April, an announcement / K-8 application was always made 1 day later
2025-07-06 13:26:23
HODL
2025-07-06 18:27:45
U.S. Special Envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, says that Syria and Lebanon may soon join the Abraham Accords, and that it's 'not unlikely' that Qatar would also join [link removed]
2025-07-07 16:32:45
Trump says he plans to visit Texas [link removed]
2025-07-08 06:31:55
NEW Red Sea Attack: Greek Ship Hit, Crew Injured, Two Missing [link removed]
2025-07-08 07:07:51
It says 7 July: [link removed]
2025-07-08 09:17:38
[link removed]
2025-07-08 09:18:02
This is likely a separate attack on the same vessel, as the two updates are over 12 hours apart.
2025-07-08 09:36:10
I agree. Regardless of whether there were two separate attacks or not, it should be a yes because the disclaimer only says between July 7 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. It does not say that there must be two separate or new attacks
2025-07-08 10:33:19
On the platform, you now have to expect all sorts of things. Unfortunately, facts no longer play a role
2025-07-08 10:34:21
Well, we'll see …
2025-07-11 18:57:32
Where is Sleepy Autopen Joe 👴🏻 ?
2025-07-11 19:30:00
Dick, haven't heard from you for a long time...Are you still looking for WMD in Iraq?
2025-07-11 20:07:14
Source close to Dan Bongino tells it’s either him or Pam Bondi, and that he won’t stay at FBI if she stays at DOJ. [link removed]
2025-07-12 13:00:15
?
2025-07-12 14:21:36
if the token sells out, but it has not been announced within timeframe, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution
2025-07-12 14:36:54
Ok , buy more Yes …
2025-07-12 20:37:33
Yeah... If Bongino was planning to stay in office, he would have published a denial long ago. Especially in light of the fact that Kash Patel has spoken out on the matter.
2025-07-12 20:43:14
Definitely confirmed from the pre-view so far: 3/6 Job, 2/4 Biden , 2/4 Border, 1/1 Fake News, 1/1 MAGA
2025-07-13 11:45:06
True, the lefts at Fox News are telling fake news again… [link removed]
2025-07-13 15:40:28
[link removed]
2025-07-13 15:47:34
Do I understand correctly that the July 11 figure has been corrected downwards: 56.5 to 56.1 ?
2025-07-13 15:53:56
And normally the figures are adjusted upwards by around 1 million ?
2025-07-14 12:02:52
Was already reposted yesterday … nothing new…
2025-07-17 16:55:27
Fake profiles - The pictures on the Facebook page were updated 1h ago
2025-07-17 16:56:44
[link removed]
2025-07-17 19:59:25
[link removed]
2025-07-17 20:12:01
Moreover, there is no official video yet - neither in Suweida nor Damascus. Just remember how quickly there were some during the attacks on Iran
2025-07-17 20:38:29
...but without Israeli participation
2025-07-17 21:16:19
[link removed]
2025-07-17 21:21:49
Lmao GTA
2025-07-17 21:27:54
Gg ... see you all at the next mention market
2025-07-17 21:28:26
Believe it is 6/7
2025-07-18 00:47:30
Lmao
2025-07-18 00:58:54
Because I still don't see a single video of an Israeli attack ... neither from Suweida, Homs nor Damascus. With a population of 2 million, surely someone would upload a video of it
2025-07-21 22:05:14
Cancer-causing windmills
2025-07-24 12:48:42
It doesn't matter if the Coast Guard freed it. The ship had previously been fired on from a small wooden boat
2025-07-24 12:49:02
[link removed]
2025-07-24 12:59:33
Who else would attack from a small boat? The Smurfs perhaps ?
2025-07-24 13:07:25
Lmao… you already selled your shares
2025-07-25 13:33:02
I don't think that the WSJ article alone is enough, but at least it is somewhat verified that at least drones and F16s (in whatever way) were involved.
2025-07-26 21:31:16
[link removed].th/news/contents/details/98884
2025-07-26 23:06:50
Congratulations to everyone - especially 0x1guy
2025-07-30 18:57:34
GG Jerome
2025-08-06 09:27:19
In any case, this $50 increase claim echoes a recent report from Jefferies analyst Edison Lee (via @DeItaone), who claimed that all models except the standard iPhone 17 would see this increase.
2025-08-07 20:28:56
Trump when asked by a reporter whether a meeting between Zelensky and Putin was a prerequisite for a meeting with him: "No"
2025-08-08 23:46:52
Misleading title
2025-08-09 07:55:30
Neutral question: This is only about "de facto control" and not about the official recognition of sovereignty. If it goes exactly as it did with Crimea in 2014, it should be a yes, or do you interpret it differently?
2025-08-09 08:39:06
Hmm ok, I don't think official recognition is necessary, but rather control, withdrawal of troops with defacto control etc. is sufficient, as there is a separate market for the point you are making. At least it's nice to see that there are still normal people here who you can discuss things with, without the constant bullshit talk.
2025-08-12 21:26:24
It was not denied either...
2025-08-12 22:33:43
I know what the State Department , White House, RT /TASS, Russia's press secretary, Rubio & Lavrov have said: The meeting will take place Only the time is a minimally uncertain variable - and even that dwindles when you consider today's press conference / FAA announcement. Do your homework before you think you're the great Putin expert here
2025-08-13 10:13:58
That's only half the statement. He has said he will be at the Trump-PUTIN meeting...
2025-08-13 15:25:40
GG
2025-08-14 09:18:06
Thanks notards
2025-08-14 22:01:37
Yes
2025-08-15 23:07:40
Shorter than expected
2025-08-15 23:36:13
Every time the same garbage in mention markets with an end date of less than 24 hours ... No rewards, no liquidity. I don't get it, why this is not finally adjusted and activated on release
2025-08-16 10:33:50
Obama received the Nobel Prize in 2009. In the same year, he carried out at least 50 drone strikes in Pakistan, killing 500-750 people, including at least 100 civilians. If you look at it that way, Trump's chances are not much worse than Obama's ...
2025-08-16 19:49:26
Check out FAQ [link removed]
2025-08-17 19:11:53
Obama was certainly not a prime example of the rule of law or commitment to world peace. Which of the two was worse can probably be debated forever. My argument is solely intended to show that actions such as those ordered by Trump have not been an exclusion criterion for the Nobel Prize in the past.
2025-08-18 08:47:05
Such cheap offers are only available from dubious providers, which are now detected and deleted by YT's algorithm within minutes...
2025-08-18 09:43:14
Funny, I know that there was an unforeseen spike twice in the penultimate MrBeast video, which was subsequently deleted...
2025-08-18 15:47:06
Cheap No - I think the time for a ceasefire is over from Israel's point of view. They want to put an end to it once and for all and completely destroy Hamas
2025-08-18 15:48:30
For the hostages, I hope I'm wrong
2025-08-18 15:57:08
Thank you for your always factual contributions on this platform
2025-08-22 19:49:45
Good question, which I have also asked myself. Will definitely be contested
2025-08-22 20:13:36
GG
2025-08-22 21:46:19
Here we go …
2025-08-23 21:36:22
[link removed].[link removed]
2025-08-30 23:20:19
Let's see what comes next. Department of Commerce - sounds weak. Let's call it the Department of Tariffs. Department of Energy - sounds extremely sleepy. Better Department of Clean Fossil Fuels. And what kind of bankrupt-sounding name is Treasury Department, huh? - Trillions of trillions of dollars department is the way to go
2025-09-03 16:34:49
Pete, great job yesterday 🫡
2025-09-04 22:02:09
No Taco today
2025-09-05 19:35:19
If RFK Jr. identifies multiple causes, this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution
2025-09-05 19:38:08
“We will have announcements as promised in September, finding interventions, certain interventions, now that are clearly, almost certainly, causing autism,” Kennedy said.
2025-09-11 12:39:38
8:45 AM ET
2025-09-11 12:59:49
[link removed]
2025-09-11 14:16:23
Got 18
2025-09-14 20:07:57
Intercepted
2025-09-16 11:27:58
Court day for Bibi
2025-09-18 13:19:54
Lmao... two markets have already been proposed, even though the press conference is still pending.
2025-09-18 13:27:50
There's no point in disputing it now. Let's see what he says at the conference.
2025-09-18 13:35:01
You're right, it's p4 lol
2025-09-18 13:46:10
UMA Discord: WARNING: Those re-proposals (same markets as before) are likely too early. The proposer mistook the Business Leaders Reception even with the Press Conference with Prime Minister Keir Starmer [2:20 PM Local, yet to happen], which the market is about.
2025-09-18 13:57:32
UMA Discord: Those proposals are likely too early. The proposer mistook the Business Leaders Reception even with the Press Conference with Prime Minister Keir Starmer [2:20 PM Local, yet to happen], which the market is about.
2025-09-18 13:58:09
You should learn to read the rules
2025-09-18 14:00:13
Thanks for clarifying
2025-09-19 05:56:22
Hottest country
2025-09-20 05:58:53
Never forget
2025-09-21 08:30:30
Make America Healthy Again ! I'm curious to see what kind of stupid nonsense they'll come up with. I'm sure it'll be the windmills' fault again…
2025-09-22 14:18:31
Tomorrow, we're gonna be talking in the Oval Office, in the White House about autism, how it happens, so we won't let it happen anymore - Sounds definitive to me
2025-09-22 14:31:22
The word “definitive” isn’t required; language like “identified,” “determined,” or “causes” qualifies.
2025-09-22 17:58:08
Why is El-Sisi so mispriced? Because of the Arab Summit on Tuesday? He will not be traveling to the UN/US. Only the Egyptian foreign minister and prime minister will be there.
2025-09-23 06:42:30
No
2025-09-23 06:54:21
As I understand it, Pedue is referring to the APEC meeting? Or was there another highly anticipated meeting in the fall?
2025-09-23 07:19:08
I see, that makes sense. Thanks for pointing that out.
2025-09-24 18:48:59
GG
2025-09-28 17:01:52
[link removed]
2025-09-29 19:17:37
Who cares whether Jordan or Qatar were constructive discussion partners when Hamas wasn't even involved? It was just a pseudo meeting to justify further military action.
2025-09-29 19:18:39
Not once did the word "ceasefire" come up.
2025-09-29 19:31:24
So many parallels to the Alaska summit: parties that were not invited or did not participate, presidents who led Trump by the nose, no questions from reporters, and no clear results...
2025-10-01 16:29:06
+1
2025-10-01 22:28:20
+1
2025-10-01 22:39:13
According to your interpretation, it would be sufficient to use the August data if the September report is published one second late (i.e., on October 3, 2025, at 8:30:01 AM ET).
2025-10-02 18:46:06
Memphis, Portland, New Orleans ?
2025-10-03 07:37:25
The next date after the September figures (October 3) is November 7 ...
2025-10-03 07:59:48
Yes, but just because no data is being released today does not automatically mean that the August figures will be used. Next Month Data (is scheduled) refers to the data after September, i.e. November 7. Otherwise, even a delay of 1 second (8:30:01 AM ET) would mean that the old data could be used to dissolve the market.
2025-10-03 09:39:46
Here we go again…
2025-10-03 10:29:19
I would understand if the forecast said 0-25k... but 64c is crazy with an average estimate of 50k-61k. Even if you take into account that the last reports underperformed.
2025-10-03 14:02:41
Read the rule. It has also been explained several times in the comments.
2025-10-03 17:12:32
ADP figures have been miles away from the actual figures in recent months. The only figures that were consistently within the standard deviation came from Revelio Labs, which expects 60.2k nonfarm jobs for the period September 25 - August 25. Anyone who believes the figures will be negative has completely lost control...
2025-10-04 12:37:12
Nonsense, last month his restaurant visit was sufficient for yes.
2025-10-05 16:24:14
Read the rules :) Next scheduled report @ November 7
2025-10-06 07:44:24
Au revoir …
2025-10-07 08:54:43
Hit
2025-10-08 22:16:06
All major Israeli broadcasters are interrupting their programming. Channel 13 has just interrupted the Israeli version of Koh Lanta to go on air and announce an imminent agreement.
2025-10-08 22:18:07
[link removed]
2025-10-08 23:06:45
Eastern Time… not GMT
2025-10-08 23:48:51
To find more people who are buying October 9...
2025-10-09 13:50:53
No…
2025-10-09 14:06:06
Thanks for your donations...
2025-10-09 21:52:19
CPI… not Nonfarm Payroll
2025-10-09 21:56:11
I fell for it too
2025-10-10 09:01:25
Lmao
2025-10-10 20:01:09
Lmao
2025-10-10 20:17:49
Any PM formally appointed by the French President will qualify, regardless of whether they fail to pass a confidence vote...
2025-10-14 08:29:24
IDF: Earlier today (Tuesday), several suspects were identified crossing the yellow line and approaching IDF troops operating in the northern Gaza Strip, which constitutes a violation of the agreement. Attempts were made to distance the suspects. The suspects did not comply and continued approaching the troops, who opened fire to remove the threat. The reports regarding terrorists' infiltration to an IDF position are incorrect. The IDF calls on Gaza residents to follow its instructions and not to approach the troops deployed in the area.
2025-10-14 09:01:16
Earlier today, several suspects were spotted crossing the yellow line and approaching IDF troops in northern Gaza, a clear violation of the agreement. After multiple attempts to distance them, the suspects refused to comply, prompting troops to open fire to remove the threat. Reports of terrorists infiltrating an IDF position are incorrect. The IDF urges Gaza residents to follow instructions and keep their distance from IDF troops.
2025-10-14 09:01:45
Machine Gun fire - not qualifying
2025-10-14 09:08:45
No, the IDF has already clarified this. No strike, just shots fired.
2025-10-14 09:17:17
No rockets, just machine gun fire...
2025-10-14 12:56:55
Has not been counted in any market to date. Only explosive weapons were considered qualifying. There are enough examples in the Thai, Houthi, and Iranian markets :)
2025-10-14 12:58:06
As long as the IDF does not confirm or revise its original statement, it doesn't matter what the alleged sources claim.
2025-10-14 14:06:27
No…
2025-10-14 14:27:59
But not a qualifying one…
2025-10-15 13:32:31
Too bad, I really thought version 2 would be released.
2025-10-15 15:31:14
Told you…
2025-10-16 20:45:37
TACO
2025-10-17 22:46:37
Common sense
2025-10-18 16:07:29
Let's see if they can also flip Slovakia/Fico. I think that's pretty much unlikely, since the package is specifically aimed at LNG and energy, which would be unacceptable for Fico in light of rising energy costs and dependence on Russian gas without suitable countermeasures/financial compensation.
2025-10-18 16:55:56
I thought only Austria had withdrawn its veto? Fico justified his veto just three days ago.
2025-10-19 09:40:26
The army does not plan to take extreme measures such as resuming fighting but will respond firmly to Hamas attacks on army forces
2025-10-19 16:24:18
Peace through strength is wonderful
2025-10-20 17:22:59
No MSM
2025-10-22 10:31:17
-S.1241 Sanctioning Russia Act -H.R 5371 Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act -H.R. 3633 Digital Asset Market Clarity Act -S.394 GENIUS Act -S.2882 Continuing Appropriations and Extensions and Other Matters Act -H. Con. Res. 38 War Powers Resolution Act -S.81 Guidance Clarity Act
2025-10-23 23:39:16
Lmao… nice pic
2025-10-26 14:29:55
Confirmation must come directly from Katy Perry or Justin Trudeau
2025-10-26 14:45:49
I have no idea what you're talking about... I don't hear any confirmation from Katy Perry or Justin Trudeau in the video. Both you and the authors are interpreting your subjective perceptions into this...
2025-10-26 16:03:19
public statements, social media posts, etc.
2025-10-27 16:11:06
Confirmation must come directly from Katy Perry or Justin Trudeau or their official representative(s
2025-10-27 16:17:38
That a qualifying strike happens, which is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence
2025-10-27 17:06:50
Does holding hands mean being in a relationship? No...
2025-10-27 20:55:54
Who cares? If the newspaper says the earth is flat, that doesn't make it true. In the past, newspapers have also claimed that Miley Cyrus is in a relationship with French Montana, even though both of them vehemently denied it afterwards.
2025-10-28 17:13:53
Breaking a ceasefire is not the same as canceling a ceasefire. Same game as 7 days ago.
2025-10-28 17:17:01
Okay, then why wasn't the last broken ceasefire enough for a "yes," you genius?
2025-10-28 17:19:33
No wonder you don't have a suitable counterargument...
2025-10-28 17:29:24
Negative PnL says more than a thousand words anyway …
2025-10-28 18:06:10
And yet I still have 10k more than you...
2025-10-28 18:28:20
Ouch, now you've really hit me hard... Well, then you're right and I'm wrong. The market obviously reflects that too... GL
2025-10-28 18:36:21
Section 301 is item related and therefore not relevant. Otherwise, there would be no gradations between 7.5% and 25%.
2025-10-28 19:00:41
Don't bother... many people here are simply completely resistant to advice.
2025-10-28 19:36:29
GG
2025-10-29 08:09:33
Unnecessary clarification... that was undoubtedly stated in the rules. But nice try, yes side…
2025-10-30 12:23:45
An everlasting ceasefire is such a great thing
2025-10-30 12:56:42
For being right? Okay, I can deal with that…
2025-10-30 13:09:03
Simply incorrect. Section 301 tariffs cannot be taken into account logically, as they fluctuate between 7.5 and 25 (100) percent. This means that the final tariff rate relevant to the market could not be assigned to a specific bracket, as several results would be possible depending on the item in question.
2025-10-30 14:09:48
My understanding is that under Section 301, battery parts, for example, are subject to a 25% tariff, whereas electric vehicles are subject to a 100% tariff. In my opinion, Section 301 only targets electric vehicles, electric vehicle batteries, battery parts, respirators and face masks, syringes and needles, ship-to-shore gantry cranes, solar panel cells and modules, steel and aluminum products, and certain critical minerals imported from China, which will face increased tariff rates. Hence my argument that it is not a uniform base rate. However, I may be interpreting this completely incorrectly.
2025-10-30 14:12:57
You increase
2025-10-30 15:07:31
YoY… my bad
2025-10-30 16:26:19
Buy more
2025-10-30 16:33:38
Some people should really be denied access to LLMs for their own protection.
2025-10-30 16:37:29
And in 1.5 hours, you'll pay the price for losing lol
2025-10-30 17:23:20
Stop arguing with them... you won't be able to convince them of their false assumption in this lifetime. Fortunately, the spit will be over on the 31st anyway, when their shares plummet to zero.
2025-10-30 17:48:24
Fire sale - last chance to buy $1 for 85 cents …
2025-10-30 17:56:31
This statement alone shows that you have no business on Polymarket. You've probably never heard of risk management...
2025-10-30 18:02:26
Don't be sad, VVD holders, in four years you'll already have your next chance at second place :)
2025-10-30 18:03:34
That did not aged well, hmm ?
2025-10-30 22:10:56
Happy Halloween !
2025-10-31 15:51:11
TACO
2025-10-31 15:57:48
Obviously, if you read between the lines of what Rubio and Hegseth have been saying lately.
2025-10-31 18:13:41
Probably due to routine B-2 training flights
2025-10-31 20:12:54
:(
2025-10-31 20:15:41
The Pentagon has shifted its focus to striking suspected narcotraffickers in the eastern Pacific rather than the Caribbean, believing those routes have stronger links to [link removed] cocaine - CNN
2025-10-31 21:17:43
Wow, now the Venezuelans are probably so confused that they won't fight back. Brilliant tactic by Trump and good conclusion by you.
2025-10-31 21:56:22
No
2025-11-02 09:01:01
Someone with 34 criminal charges, allegations of sexual misconduct, election interference, financial crime, tax fraud, bankruptcy, and two impeachment proceedings is president... what more needs to be explained here?
2025-11-05 00:41:41
Bot
2025-11-07 00:01:41
La Guardia / Complete Ground Stop / Flight Operation Suspended due to ZNY Staffing. ZNY = New York Air Traffic Control Center [link removed].gov/adv/adv_otherdis?advn=113&adv_date=11062025&facId=LGA&title=ATCSCC%20ADVZY%20113%20LGA/ZNY%2011/06/2025%20CDM%20GROUND%20STOP&titleDate=11/06/2025
2025-11-13 11:29:20
GG
2025-11-16 16:54:26
Then you should definitely buy Yes, currently on flash sale for 30 cents. Screw the fact that 80% of the markets are resolved with No.
2025-11-16 20:45:12
It’s time for a Jared Kushner Comeback ;)
2025-11-19 00:15:21
In the last hour, I learned more about paintings and sculptures than I did in 10 years of art classes at school.
2025-11-19 17:37:27
No Data, No Cut
2025-11-20 19:12:50
154.4 M
2025-11-20 20:29:59
Let's see if and when FOMO kicks in...
2025-11-22 08:11:43
180.0
2025-11-22 16:07:19
Gmonad!
2025-11-22 20:16:31
67
2025-11-22 22:47:18
Gmonad
2025-11-24 08:36:53
You've built up quite a fanbase of envious folks, lol.
2025-11-25 00:00:46
Here we go again…
2025-11-26 10:40:04
Scam below
2025-11-27 08:12:58
Scam below
2025-11-27 13:42:39
Where is the needle in the haystack?
2025-11-28 22:11:04
Doge Deja-vu…
2025-11-30 10:11:38
Scam below
2025-12-01 21:23:12
I was on the "no" side, but respect to you... Very detailed analysis. Especially the points July 25 and August 5, as well as 2025/1565.
2025-12-02 21:41:34
New market idea: Bumerang x tsybka violent engagement by...?
2025-12-04 16:12:58
Okay, but the "no" side can play the same game. Set cards at 10 cents and buy them to lower the market price...
2025-12-04 16:19:55
How do you intend to purchase it for $1,000 when it is listed for 10 cents and I can purchase it myself instantly? This is not an auction but a fixed price.
2025-12-04 16:27:35
Okay, but you don't know when I'll list 10 cards at 10pennies. Good luck sniping... the yes side has to invest a multiple of the money to counter the dumping price tactic.
2025-12-04 16:32:13
Do the math :) far from over …
2025-12-04 16:40:39
They're easy to buy... I just want to say that manipulating the price is much easier and cheaper for "no" than for "yes." Whether it actually happened is another question...
2025-12-04 16:42:15
20 bucks? Way too expensive ;)
2025-12-05 17:03:02
Nothing ever burns…
2025-12-06 12:37:40
Scam below
2025-12-06 12:43:14
Scam below
2025-12-07 09:06:41
Scam below
2025-12-07 12:49:04
Scam below
2025-12-08 10:14:54
Scam below
2025-12-08 14:08:23
Scam below … again
2025-12-11 13:17:57
Too early…
2025-12-11 19:33:07
C‘mon… Altman, Trump, Musk ?
2025-12-12 00:28:54
Thanks for adding
2025-12-12 14:40:42
Looks like some reward bots got slammed lol
2025-12-12 23:57:39
Here we go again… Round 2
2025-12-13 08:44:35
Scam below
2025-12-13 09:14:17
Scam below
2025-12-13 12:16:52
Scam below
2025-12-14 11:36:45
Scam below
2025-12-14 17:08:21
Saylor basically removed one of the biggest overhangs from BTC price action this cycle. Having $1.44 billion in cash to cover dividends means MicroStrategy doesn’t need to touch their BTC stash anytime soon, which kills a lot of the FUD we saw in 2021 - 2024. It’s funny how over-prepared they are. The market can breathe a little easier knowing the forced-seller risk is basically gone for the next couple of years. They even launched a “BTC Credit” dashboard showing they have enough assets to theoretically cover 70+ years of dividends if needed
2025-12-14 17:12:22
Ofc he will absolutely crap on his investors if the market requires it… Let us talk about the bond holders that financed this turd at 0% interest rate, that are now trading free shorts on the real investors? Do you know how they do it? The bond structure is in itself a bet against the retail [link removed] bond has finite up potential (materializes itself at some fantasy 650 dollar price) and infinite short potential.I can short the stock price by holding the bond as [link removed] short fails, I break even on the bond value. If short wins, I take profit from the poor retail holders by dumping the inflated stock on them. In 2 years, I can simply choose to convert to debt instead of assets and break even on the initial bond price. This is how he actually sold 0% interest bonds (essentially 0% interest debt).
2025-12-14 17:14:11
Criminal genius probably sums it up best...
2025-12-17 22:15:59
Axios: According to trusted sources, Venezuela is not expected to be the subject of Trump’s address tonight despite Tucker Carlson’s claims.
2025-12-18 21:17:56
Yeah, you're absolutely right. The entire constitutional apparatus, including the executive, judicial, and legislative branches, is based solely on laws in paper form... why should anyone obey stupid pieces of paper?
2025-12-18 21:56:51
Regardless of whether yes or no... the DOJ had 30 days to prepare the documents. And now suddenly panic breaks out so that the documents can still be published on time? What have they been doing in the meantime? Pam Blondi at her peak of competence once again...
2025-12-18 22:01:35
Well, we had Garland as AG... thought it couldn't get any worse.
2025-12-18 22:05:14
I know, but it's still a sad reflection on a government agency like the DoJ if it's not possible to go through the documents for publication in 30 days. Not to mention that it was already foreseeable beforehand.
2025-12-19 19:00:57
I'll leave this here for the No tards: You can also call 1-800-985-5990 or text "TalkWithUs" to 66746 at the SAMHSA Disaster Distress Helpline. Trained crisis workers will listen to you and direct you to the resources you need.
2025-12-25 21:09:49
After a dayslong delay, U.S. forces have seized the sanctioned tanker Bella 1 in the Atlantic, officials told Bloomberg.
2025-12-25 21:22:42
Correct, currently no confirmation from MNS/consensus. However, Maritime Executive has been a solid source in the past... we'll see.
2025-12-25 21:57:03
Too early to call
2025-12-27 14:44:31
Tick tack…
2025-12-29 18:46:58
-6,5 line ?
2025-12-29 19:03:52
No explicit confirmation that it was military or kinetic... Currently a no.
2025-12-30 12:57:05
Created At Dec 27, 2025, 8:26 PM MEZ…
2025-12-30 13:10:13
For those who still argue: Please read the DOA section...
2025-12-30 13:11:05
[link removed]
2025-12-30 13:33:57
That's common sense, which PM has always used as a guide for clarification... The guide was written based on facts, not fiction. Otherwise, visit Discord and search for "Created after."
2025-12-30 13:38:29
Qualifying example: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-talk-to-in-october/will-trump-talk-to-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-in-october?tid=1767101880018
2025-12-30 14:06:44
That's precisely why PM started including the date and time of market creation some time ago. I agree with you that it may not be obvious, especially for newer users, but on the other hand, it would defeat the purpose of prediction markets if events that have already taken place counted.
2025-12-30 14:13:05
Go to Lula da Silva and read the clarification... it's there in black and white. I've tried to explain it to you, but you have to understand it for yourself... GL
2025-12-30 14:35:07
Yes, that's why I'm trying to explain to you that without explicitly specifying a time period, everything between creation and end date qualifies. The Lula market was created before PM started adding "Created at." Although it was obvious that Trump and Lula spoke outside the time period, PM still issued a clarification. This clarification is generally valid. You can believe it or not, but it's the truth...
2025-12-30 15:04:39
Good luck, Bud. There are still two days left :)
2025-12-31 00:41:28
Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at [link removed] specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market.
2025-12-31 21:24:56
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
2025-12-31 21:52:33
Sounds more like an exploding firecracker...
2026-01-01 01:10:37
Last Minute Bonds on fire…
2026-01-01 15:26:00
D
2026-01-01 15:30:20
😂 haha. Congrats on your win, well deserved bud
2026-01-03 09:13:50
I'm glad to see that you didn't roll over the position to January :)
2026-01-06 00:40:05
Vamos, Padrino ! I guess…
2026-01-06 12:37:58
Scam below
2026-01-07 07:19:37
Sounds reasonable
2026-01-07 13:32:21
Good idea... all we need now is a highly decorated and respected military figure to confirm this... how about Colin Powell?
2026-01-08 17:21:46
12:19 PM: I check the market and read the comments 12:20 PM: Shake my head and leave the market...
2026-01-08 22:11:55
The Minnesota National Guard is on standby “out of an abundance of caution” as people protest in the city a day after an ICE agent there shot and killed a US citizen, Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan said.
2026-01-08 22:12:13
Standby… Not active duty
2026-01-08 22:27:09
I don't think it's SAD/State Active Duty, Title 32, or Title 10 status. But anyway, we'll see soon enough :)
2026-01-08 23:04:06
That's an ambitious proposal…
2026-01-09 02:01:01
Betting on how much money will be wagered... endlevel degen shit
2026-01-10 11:15:53
Polymarket US Post are Fake - don’t fall for it
2026-01-10 12:58:56
Scam below
2026-01-10 13:00:08
Scam below
2026-01-10 14:01:45
Scam below
2026-01-10 16:08:40
Scam below
2026-01-10 23:07:02
If I were president, khamenei would’ve never happened
2026-01-11 12:48:42
Scam below and above
2026-01-13 21:48:48
Spoken like a true poet... I love it.
2026-01-14 15:09:27
ScotusNooo incoming ? Hopefully not lol
2026-01-14 17:06:35
:)
2026-01-14 19:14:04
*American puppet
2026-01-18 19:42:32
You evil insider... it's totally unfair that you already had the results three days before the polls closed ;(
2026-01-20 10:11:39
Castillo counts, at least once he has been extradited and is in US custody...
2026-01-21 19:35:37
🌮
2026-01-22 10:24:09
Top 3 of his most hated machines: 3rd place: Autopen, 2nd place: Windmills, 1st place: Voting machines
2026-01-23 14:44:03
Look on the positive side! Double chance of extradition to the USA.
2026-01-23 15:05:38
Yeah, the extradition clause wasn't really necessary...
2026-01-23 21:08:54
Back for Round 2 bud :) ?
2026-01-23 21:14:13
😂 always on point
2026-01-23 21:16:36
No dancing ayatollaha this time :) ?
2026-01-24 01:05:51
It has been rescheduled for Saturday, January 24 at 8 PM ET…
2026-01-24 01:16:53
Taco ?
2026-01-24 21:14:17
Oh man, if this continues at this rate, PM will soon be able to launch "Next ICE fatal shots by..."
2026-01-24 22:15:51
Will be an interesting week with a shutdown looming
2026-01-24 23:52:25
GG
2026-01-25 12:26:20
Hilarious…who will explain it to him? 😂
2026-01-25 17:41:38
Expert tip: You can hedge the market with "inches of snow in Washington“ market. From 13 inches onwards, there will be certainly a shutdown
2026-01-25 23:43:01
Inflation kicks in ? Back in the day, you bots only asked for a buck... $5 is nuts
2026-01-25 23:44:20
[link removed]
2026-01-25 23:49:10
Snow White, where are your daily insults today? I was looking forward to reading something funny today 😅
2026-01-27 22:43:23
I've heard that Scott Kupor's fingers have been hovering over the red button for three days now... Rumor has it that he doesn't even take bathroom breaks.
2026-01-29 18:44:40
Bond
2026-01-29 18:58:23
Scott Kupor won‘t fumble again 😂
2026-01-31 11:29:35
Scam below
2026-01-31 15:00:21
New Year‘s leftovers…
2026-01-31 21:07:55
50/50 chance that Canel will be out in six months. Just for comparison: we didn't even have that probability at the height of the Maduro market, despite military build-up, threats, etc... completely overbought for half a buck.
2026-02-01 11:21:11
Scam below
2026-02-01 12:41:31
Scam below
2026-02-01 18:28:15
Scam below
2026-02-02 13:19:54
Scam below
2026-02-02 13:33:26
Scam below
2026-02-03 23:30:08
God... not this nonsense market again. There is simply no way MRST can be margin called. The debt is raised through subordinated convertible bonds that are NOT secured by BTC and have no margin mechanism. There isn't even a debt maturity until the 1 billion converts in Q1 2027. Quite apart from that, in a hypothetical scenario, Saylor would first dilute the private investors. The primary risk is whether MicroStrategy can meet its debt obligations (interest and principal repayment) if Bitcoin's value drops significantly. But that has nothing to do with a margin call...
2026-02-05 11:51:35
If you want to put it that way, then yes. The BTCs are not acquired on margin but through the proceeds of the convertible bonds. As I have already said, the risk does not lie in a margin call but, if anything, in the debt obligations. The next major risk milestone is the 02/2027 convertible debt. There are two options for this: Either the 2027 debt is refinanced with a.) new convertible bonds or b.) bitcoin-backed debt. Only if b.) is chosen a margin call option is put in place. However, this has no effect on this market as it end 12/26 + BTC must fall to around $5,000 to become a threat . Option two is: Repay fully with the sale of shares and/or Bitcoin to generate the cash. Again, there is no margin call risk.
2026-02-05 11:57:47
Because I have no shares in the "MRST sells BTC" market, which indirectly says the same thing + additional risks.
2026-02-06 18:34:17
They certainly weren't in Oman to drink coffee...
2026-02-06 20:45:12
God bless the no holders who make this possible... Amen 🙏🏻
2026-02-06 20:50:23
… and proposed
2026-02-06 23:23:20
This
2026-02-07 11:58:31
Scam below
2026-02-07 14:50:15
Scam below
2026-02-07 22:50:36
Okay, at least there's a refund—but what kind of ridiculous clarification is that? A new rock bottom...
2026-02-08 09:44:04
Scam below
2026-02-08 12:36:46
Whether you are a BJT or PPLE holder - stay safe and never click on links that promise alternative versions or better odds. Unfortunately, PM is still unwilling to properly moderate the comments section...
2026-02-08 23:31:00
That would give the term "nuclear football" a whole new meaning if he strikes Fordow today
2026-02-09 01:48:06
Thanks
2026-02-09 13:41:56
„including boarding“
2026-02-11 13:58:46
Return flight from Little Saint James?
2026-02-13 17:33:13
OPM’s Operating Status page, information from official U.S. Government source and a consensus of credible reporting
2026-02-13 17:52:27
No :)
2026-02-15 11:32:40
2% premium in case that the auction is not settled by February 28 or otherwise does not proceed.
2026-02-15 12:52:32
There was once an interesting survey among Americans on this topic. Google "Morning Consult - Locate Iran."
2026-02-17 20:20:45
8,5 Mio on BVB … insane
2026-02-20 14:32:55
New market idea: Number of insults from relay by February 28
2026-02-23 14:07:13
It’s so satisfying when someone who attacks others personally, ends up cleaned out …
2026-02-23 14:20:32
Lmao… and now deletes the comment
2026-02-27 15:57:24
Today is the day !
2026-02-27 17:41:14
When strike ?
2026-03-01 23:34:18
Whatever hit RAF Akrotiri is completely irrelevant, as the base is located on British overseas territory—not Cypriot territory. Therefore, it is part of the sovereign state/territory of the UK.
2026-03-01 23:58:07
UK soil… not Cyprus
2026-03-02 00:03:41
Akrotiri airfield = British overseas territory… not Cyprus
2026-03-02 08:51:40
Bc it‘s located on british oversea territory
2026-03-02 11:21:58
Intercepted
2026-03-02 11:29:04
GL
2026-03-02 12:56:43
Wrong, the RAF Airbase is located in the British Overseas Territory of Akrotiri and Dhekelia, which belongs to the UK and is therefore a sovereign state, independent from Cyprus.
2026-03-03 21:16:48
Well, that means you've got your million for today in the bag... Congratulations :)
2026-03-06 23:46:02
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israel or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers
2026-03-08 17:23:36
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israel or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
2026-03-08 22:05:42
Hilarious that once again the same party wins first and second place markets. Netherlands Flashbacks
2026-03-08 22:10:38
I guess listed abbreviation is „gruene“
2026-03-08 22:17:44
You can lose both with that particular ruleset
2026-03-08 22:22:57
Because in the event of a tie in seats, the number 1 market is decided based on alphabetical abbreviations (CDU ahead of the Greens) and the number 2 market based on total sums (CDU less than the Greens, CDU wins).
2026-03-08 22:24:04
And by the way, this is not about the main candidate but the seats in Parliament.
2026-03-17 22:52:38
Dems will declare LA and Seattle sanctuary cities—problem solved
2026-03-18 09:27:58
That was meant ironically …
2026-03-27 20:08:53
None
2026-03-27 21:43:59
None
2026-03-28 16:23:59
Scam below
2026-03-29 09:08:45
Scam below
2026-03-29 19:56:43
People who seriously bought yes for even money have completely lost control of their live…
2026-03-29 20:06:00
Average Yes tard
2026-03-29 20:11:21
You have to buy 100,000 shares, and then April 7 will be unlocked.
2026-03-29 20:11:41
Just suggest it via dc
2026-03-29 20:32:27
That's why professional traders wear diapers
2026-04-04 16:26:07
Strikes before market creation don’t count
2026-04-05 15:32:55
Source: Trust me bro…
2026-04-07 17:34:54
😂
2026-04-07 22:46:04
However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
2026-04-07 22:47:54
Ofc if it’s consensus xD
2026-04-07 23:33:23
dIsPuTe ¡!¡
2026-04-08 16:57:05
Ceasefire is such a wonderful thing 🕊️
2026-04-08 17:12:33
Peace in the Middle East 🕊️
2026-04-08 19:56:43
No credible media source is even remotely suggesting that the UAE launched an attack… just OSINT nonsense and Iran. Anyone trying to pin this on the UAE is completely off base.
2026-04-08 20:08:37
This ceasefire is simply magnificent. 🕊️
2026-04-08 20:19:32
Not one single credible source
2026-04-09 18:31:32
Everlasting ceasefire 🕊️😊
2026-04-09 18:38:17
Yeah, that’s why it‘s 99,9c lmao
2026-04-09 18:49:37
No, it 99 bc of common sense…
2026-04-09 21:15:05
Sequels...
For spring...
Ground breaking.
👜 👠 🔱💄
2026-04-11 15:47:28
Don‘t hate the player, hate the game ,-)
2026-04-11 16:00:54
Even yourself ?
2026-04-12 09:38:02
Scam below
2026-04-12 16:57:19
[link removed]
2026-04-12 17:04:47
Thanks for your money… dumbfuq
2026-04-12 18:16:30
Komitat Pest good
2026-04-12 18:37:36
Where did all those Russian troll bot comments suddenly go?
2026-04-12 18:50:25
Tomorrow big celebration with gay parade :)
2026-04-12 18:53:31
Uff… close
2026-04-12 19:17:37
😂
2026-04-12 19:43:38
I've always wondered if Trump secretly calls Orbán a "big fat slob" too, just like he does with Pritzker
2026-04-15 18:20:06
You can always count on the Israelis when it comes to dropping bombs after bombs
2026-04-15 18:25:08
btw: terrific trade 50p, well played
2026-04-15 21:37:51
Lebanese officials said efforts were under way to reach a ceasefire with Israel that could be announced “soon”. Any deal would likely be linked to how long a truce between the US and Iran holds.
An Israel-Lebanon ceasefire would likely come into effect “this week” after Israeli forces had taken the Hizbollah stronghold of Bint Jbeil, a person familiar with the matter said. FT
2026-04-15 21:38:42
6,5h to capture Bint Jbeil ,-)
2026-04-15 23:16:24
Help is on the way
2026-04-17 20:57:21
Events before market creation (April 16th) don‘t count guys …
2026-04-18 10:07:44
If you’ve been paying even a modicum of attention to the market, you would have realized very early on that there was a possibility the rules could be interpreted exactly as they have now been clarified. Why else would Maduro have been trading at 15c while he’s locked up in Sing Sing or whatever prison he’s in?
2026-04-20 13:28:15
🕊️
2026-04-20 13:34:29
Yes, that's fine with me, as long as it doesn't involve soil, official embassies, or consulates :)
2026-04-20 13:44:51
Of course, the attacks did not target the ground, official embassies, or consulates. The naval attack refers to weapons launched from there that struck the ground, official embassies, or consulates.
2026-04-20 13:47:19
Framework Agreements with no end date should count - same as Gaza peace deal market
2026-04-20 13:52:11
Did the naval attack hit ground, official embassies, or consulates ?NO …
2026-04-20 14:00:37
You've only been here for less than a month… I guarantee you that ships don't count :) I've seen enough markets where this was the case with identical rules.
2026-04-20 14:14:55
As I said before, it doesn't count anyway—otherwise, why would the ratio be 90/10? Well, sooner or later you'll understand
2026-04-20 14:25:50
There is no single truth—the trick is figuring out which truth applies to the rules. If you don't believe me, see where the smart money is.
2026-04-20 14:54:01
GL :)!
2026-04-22 00:05:56
State Attorney General Cesar Jauregui later on Monday told local media there had been a misunderstanding and that the U.S. officials who died did not take part in the lab raid.
"In Chihuahua there was no participation of any agent of any foreign entity in the operation," Jauregui told media outlet Grupo Formula.
2026-04-22 00:06:51
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation (…) will count
2026-04-22 18:45:16
That's such a rape market 😂
2026-04-22 18:51:27
Yeah, I’m already out …
2026-04-23 21:32:29
#2
2026-04-24 22:37:14
Great market, but why does it only run until the end of April? Will it become a recurring monthly market in the future?
2026-04-25 15:13:25
Lmao… what a comeback
2026-04-26 18:23:14
PAPERLESS ORDER staying the deadline to file an amended complaint. On April 13, 2026, the Court dismissed the Complaint and ordered Plaintiff to file an amended complaint by April 27, 2026. [ECF No. 59]. Plaintiff subsequently filed a Motion for Leave to Conduct Limited Discovery on Actual Malice and Extend Deadline to File Amended Complaint (the "Motion"). [ECF No. 60]. Through his Motion, Plaintiff seeks limited discovery before filing an amended complaint. Defendants' deadline to respond to the Motion is April 28, 2026 (a day after Plaintiff's current deadline to file an amended complaint). Because the Motion is not yet fully briefed, the Court will temporarily stay Plaintiff's deadline to file an amended complaint until the Court rules on the Motion. Signed by Judge Darrin P. Gayles on 4/23/2026. (hs01) (Entered: 04/23/2026)
2026-04-26 21:10:02
Man, getting trashtalked by a 3k pnl is crazy 😂
2026-04-27 14:06:47
Yeah, that’s what I thought too. But I wasn’t 100% sure, because even though a limited hearing of evidence had been granted, it was still possible—albeit unlikely—to file a new lawsuit within the original deadline.
2026-04-27 18:07:42
W GG
2026-04-28 05:58:56
Like i said…
2026-04-28 10:06:04
No
2026-04-28 21:10:40
This will resolve to No, bc EmeraldEdge is annoying everyone with his spam comments, and bosaurum is going to ban him to the silent corner for 48 hours
2026-04-29 12:27:26
None
2026-04-29 13:38:22
His first one was better 😂
2026-05-04 19:07:04
Easter Truce 2.0 😂
2026-05-04 19:09:43
🌮
2026-05-04 20:08:06
That due to Snowstorm Season in Iran 🥶❄️
2026-05-04 20:11:24
LOL, I just need to look outside my window… 5inches of snow ❄️
2026-05-07 08:33:24
Yes, when even the 17 pages of court documents released yesterday refer only to “purportedly ,” it seems to matter relatively little what a biased source like the NYT or Tartaglione claims or supposedly analyzed. The legal classification of the note is hardly likely to be credibly refuted by an NYT article.
2026-05-08 18:28:20
That is why today, within the framework of the negotiating process mediated by the American side, we received Russia’s agreement to conduct a prisoner exchange in the format of 1,000 for 1,000. A ceasefire regime must also be established on May 9, 10, and 11
2026-05-08 20:59:44
clarified by pm: A mutual agreement to halt military engagement between Russia and Ukraine has been publicly announced and confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
2026-05-09 02:06:36
[link removed], 07:02 PM: We’re aware of the dispute on this market. If a clarification is to be issued, it will be at 4:00 PM ET on May 8. If no statement is issued at that time, then there will be no clarification by the Polymarket team. The orderbook will be cleared at 4:00 PM ET, regardless of whether a clarification is made.
[link removed], 08:53 PM: A mutual agreement to halt military engagement between Russia and Ukraine has been publicly announced and confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting
2026-05-09 02:07:24
You should check UMA: [link removed], 08:53 PM: A mutual agreement to halt military engagement between Russia and Ukraine has been publicly announced and confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting
2026-05-09 09:11:29
😂
2026-05-10 19:31:54
Scam below 👇🏻
2026-05-11 12:11:29
None
2026-05-11 15:24:40
Forward Defense Zone ≠ boots behind the line
2026-05-12 12:08:36
That has nothing to do with it. This was simply about the map, which on its own would not have been proof.
2026-05-12 12:16:40
Are you crazy? We now have more information. The price isn't 99 because of the card, but because of the official announcement.
2026-05-12 21:17:06
The most honest comment I've read so far… +1
2026-05-14 15:18:42
Pre-IPO shares (Class A + B + N)
(+) Primary IPO shares
(+) Greenshoe shares
Basic shares post-IPO (excl. greenshoe)
=214Mio
Basic shares post-IPO (incl. greenshoe) =218Mio
(+) Stock options outstanding
(+) RSUs outstanding
(+) Founder PRSUs
(+) OpenAl Warrant
(+) AWS Warrant
Fully diluted shares post-IPO
=307Mio
2026-05-14 17:37:15
Ask OpenAI
2026-05-15 21:54:37
No, he his Chairman pro tempore
2026-05-16 00:01:14
GG
2026-05-16 10:41:40
Rape market
2026-05-18 17:27:23
+1
2026-05-18 19:04:20
🌮
2026-05-18 19:19:50
You called it mate 😂
2026-05-19 22:24:19
Kenton good
2026-05-20 07:07:25
Way better than the airspace market
2026-05-22 09:32:13
Phenomenal!
2026-05-22 15:35:32
P4 Scam
2026-05-22 19:16:27
Yeah, they will definitely strike while Pakistani and Quatiri diplomats are in the country 👍
2026-05-22 21:08:33
None
2026-05-23 11:57:40
Don‘t click on the Reuters Polymarket article - it‘s scam. Stay safe !
2026-05-23 12:02:55
Scam below - don’t click on the Reuters Polymarket article. Stay safe !
2026-05-23 12:07:19
Scam below - don’t click on the Reuters Polymarket article. Stay safe !
2026-05-23 12:08:06
Scam below - don’t click on the Reuters Polymarket article. Stay safe !
2026-05-23 12:08:29
Scam below - don’t click on the Reuters Polymarket article. Stay safe !
2026-05-23 12:49:06
Looking for a better entry price
2026-05-23 13:50:05
Now ;)
2026-05-23 14:04:23
No, just don’t enter any login information 👍
2026-05-23 14:46:42
Phishing
2026-05-23 15:44:06
NEW: I just spoke to President Trump, who said "there's a draft" of an agreement with Iran that he has already read. He did not say whether he had signed off on the draft agreement -- "I can't tell you before I tell them, right?" -- but he did say "they're getting a lot closer."
2026-05-25 20:19:13
Scam below 👇🏻
2026-05-25 21:36:02
Wen Strike ?
2026-05-25 22:00:36
No ground/soil strike
2026-05-25 23:01:09
CENTCOM spox Capt Tim Hawkins to Fox: “U.S. forces conducted self-defense strikes in southern Iran today to protect our troops from threats posed by Iranian forces. Targets included missile launch sites and Iranian boats attempting to emplace mines. U.S. Central Command continues to defend our forces while using restraint during the ongoing ceasefire.”
2026-05-25 23:06:45
Well, maybe they were floating rocket launchers lol
2026-05-27 16:51:08
something like: we will see over the next few hours to days. But nothing specific
2026-05-27 17:41:38
No
2026-05-27 23:04:33
😂
2026-05-31 21:56:36
🫢
2026-05-31 22:12:02
😅
2026-05-31 22:28:57
My favorite cepeda holder quote: „Not even going to respond, you have become full schizo with some sort of a savior complex, go touch some grass man…“
2026-06-01 17:00:55
GG
2026-06-04 16:11:55
Great match
2026-06-09 21:50:34
Wen ceasefire over ?
2026-06-11 13:06:04
You must be new to the rodeo…
2026-06-14 10:24:50
Congrats Donaldinho
2026-06-14 11:25:14
That’s the sound of permanent peace 🕊️
2026-06-14 11:41:10
Yeah, they just quickly cleared out the remaining stockpile of bombs before they expired.
2026-06-14 18:28:06
Goodness gracious… at least take the time to check for yourself whether the airspace is really closed. ADS-B will help you with that…
2026-06-14 19:06:02
*NOTAM
2026-06-14 21:30:04
Immediate and permanent… I love those words
2026-06-15 07:42:07
Almost criminal
2026-06-16 17:32:12
Does autopen count ?
2026-06-20 13:40:01
Trip was announced before the closure of Hormuz /lebanon violation. I doubt that they will really go
2026-06-20 20:23:25
GG
2026-06-22 09:05:00
👀
2026-06-22 10:20:33
I know … it will depend whether Wes is contesting NEC
2026-06-22 10:21:33
Next time do some proper research before buying blind 😂
2026-06-22 10:29:47
👆🏻
2026-06-22 14:35:22
Houston, we have a problem 📉
2026-06-26 21:54:53
ANTHROPIC MOVES TOWARD DEAL WITH U.S. TO LIFT CURBS ON AI MODELS - BLOOMBERG NEWS
2026-06-28 15:14:12
🇮🇱🤝🇱🇧
2026-07-03 00:43:11
🥲
2026-07-03 14:15:54
Round #2...
2026-07-03 23:08:53
O/U 70,5 +173 / -214
2026-07-04 19:49:38
Curtis is a yes
2026-07-05 10:24:17
695.25 Dogs
2026-07-05 10:30:12
Check out Discord proposal channel
2026-07-06 20:56:04
No crying in the casino
2026-07-10 10:01:32
It´s Friday
2026-07-10 10:14:19
Friday is possible Dropday
2026-07-10 20:25:34
Bunch of suspicious new wallets ,-)
2026-07-12 23:55:08
Scam below
2026-07-18 18:19:48
Yes, from time to time they remove those scam comments :) Stay safe !
2026-07-19 18:55:09
+/- 112s
2026-07-19 22:23:42
Great year... I love it !!
2026-07-19 22:31:34
Help is on the way !
2026-07-20 14:23:52
Ferrari or Lamborghini ?
2026-07-20 14:41:12
thanks for the fill... I guess
2026-07-20 15:13:04
We're aware of the dispute on this market. If a clarification is to be issued, it will be at 12 PM ET on July 20. If no statement is issued at that time, then there will be no clarification from the Polymarket Team. The order book will be cleared at 12 PM ET, regardless of whether a clarification is made.
2026-07-20 16:00:41
GG Lama !!
2026-07-21 20:30:07
The Vatican has Jesus + his army of 12 disciples ... they will basically overrun Iran peacefully
2026-07-25 22:37:28
lmao
2026-08-18 23:12:16
Rigged !!11!