Account Information
Name:
gopfan2
Pseudonym:
Stained-Cynic
Created:
2024-08-21 02:42:29
Last Activity:
1 month ago
Tier:
Bronze
X:
@r_gopfan
rus_gopfan_1695145206069.webp
Total Profit
$1,477,443
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$403,453.17
Markets traded
2,040
Trades
2,040
Largest win
$920,012.58
Profile views
208,500
Join date
2024-08-21 02:42:29
All-time rank
115
All-time PnL
$1,477,442.93
All-time volume
$71,468,004.88
All-time profit
$1,477,442.93
Lifetime volume
$71,468,004.88
PnL series latest
$1,476,455.20
PnL series start
$1,472,350.60
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$2,514.05
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | 478288.623 | $148,300.04 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 406976.0022 | $106,359.63 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 735750.2888 | $88,598.34 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president? | Yes | 940000 | $-470,000.00 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 287308.9195 | $-168,159.27 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | 122251.8875 | $-73,919.00 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 207218.7715 | $0.66 | $0.70 | $146,089.23 | $8,584.87 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 70000 | $0.50 | $0.75 | $52,465.00 | $17,465.00 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 79081.5558 | $0.26 | $0.39 | $30,881.35 | $10,401.91 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 91697.4834 | $0.42 | $0.20 | $17,881.01 | $-20,945.41 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 70000 | $0.50 | $0.25 | $17,535.00 | $-17,465.00 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | 478288.623 | $148,300.04 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 406976.0022 | $106,359.63 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 735750.2888 | $88,598.34 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | 254321.7198 | $73,065.01 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | 33233.3922 | $70,005.33 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | $0.52 | 2.083332 | $1.08 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | $0.52 | 9.95 | $5.17 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | $0.52 | 5.145832 | $2.68 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | $0.52 | 21.15 | $11.00 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | $0.52 | 2.083332 | $1.08 |
Recent trades (2040)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | BUY | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | $0.53 | 14563.2 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | $0.78 | 1966.29 |
| 1 month ago | SELL | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.96 | 0.14 |
| 1 month ago | SELL | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.00 | 9999.85 |
| 1 month ago | SELL | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.00 | 9999.85 |
Comments
2024-08-21 21:39:24
@truce I will donate some money won from you to help our soldiers on SVO
2024-08-21 22:23:43
I will wait for you in Chertanovskiy District court
2024-09-03 08:53:14
I wouldn't speak with a gentleman posting this ([link removed]
2024-09-09 22:49:41
Meaning we're very far from reaching AGI
2024-09-10 21:43:19
Do you have internet access v stoyle now?
2024-09-27 01:13:28
Tell me you're an idiot without telling me you're an idiot
2024-09-27 01:15:11
man, Michigan is 13% to be a tipping point on this very website
2024-09-27 23:59:54
yeah both should be at 100.0 but nobody cares about such APY so people don't buy. Prices are arbitrary around 100
2024-09-30 22:02:30
you have a typo, correctly 'Khokhlostan'
2024-10-05 01:37:27
I'm always willing to bet against Field Moron Gerasimov
2024-10-11 01:08:42
ME-2 doesn't count
2024-10-11 01:12:49
But generally you're correct, 45 looks about right
2024-10-21 00:32:33
So basically Moldovans don't want to be the part of the EU, but the guys who don't even live there decide the fate again. What a shame
2024-10-21 00:38:06
could you come up with a new playbook instead of this utter nonsense?
2024-10-21 00:41:27
yeah I understand this is legal, this is just an idiotic situation that guys who don't live in the country since sometimes as long as the USSR dissolution (and often having no remaining ties) decide the fate of the people naturally living there
2024-10-24 09:20:55
What the hell are you guys doing?
2024-10-25 09:19:46
It seems you need urgent psychiatric help. Please, call the ambulance as soon as possible
2024-10-26 14:44:07
Khokhol, v stoylo
2024-10-26 16:26:54
After UMA rigged the Venezuela result, you just never know what you bet on for such elections. UMA can rig this thing any time when they don't like a winner party
2024-10-27 09:27:44
Didn't I tell you your destination?
2024-10-27 09:29:55
Congratulations Georgia with the wise vote! Hope we the Russians and Georgian people will deepen the friendly relations between our nations
2024-10-27 12:17:09
I repeat it again, khokhol - v stoylo. The same applies to the person in the comment above
2024-10-27 12:20:04
at most 14% lol
2024-11-07 22:15:33
Where is DC?
2024-11-13 01:23:46
u retarded uh?!!
2024-11-13 23:56:41
157M is absolutely unrealistic btw
2024-11-14 15:07:14
Referring to SvinState as a serious source of information is ridiculous
2024-11-15 19:53:47
u ok? could call mental health care for you if you can't
2024-11-17 00:37:00
Wow, our troops advanced 30% of what was needed through the previous 2 months. They'll for sure cover and reclaim the remaining 70% in the next 2 weeks. I'm full for this market but glad other No guys can still accept the donation
2024-11-18 20:21:40
Narrator: you're actually not over 2% doing that
2024-11-18 21:21:41
In truce & yayyo we trust
2024-11-19 00:20:23
yeah he dumped Arizona write-ins. The numbers is exactly as was expected
2024-11-19 17:14:40
@Seneferu you've lost a lot and now are trying to fool yourself you're a smart trader shitposting in comments? Pretty despicable huh?
2024-11-19 17:21:45
Expect about 155.5M votes including write-ins, something like that
2024-11-19 17:24:34
Yes sir, we Russians buy No because we know who we are
2024-11-19 19:03:14
"Others" isn't the same as "3rd party candidates". Won't count if not rigged
2024-11-20 00:37:43
For those who interested, this is a lie. He said other things
2024-11-20 23:49:33
570k is wrong, they haven't updates some counties in the SOS table
2024-11-22 23:14:29
I'll be happy to switch to any liquidity-having Polymarket alternative that doesn't routinely write ambiguous rules and then scams its users by unilaterally changing them. I'm just tired of this shit
2024-11-22 23:29:28
btw, they just LIED about that the rules were somehow referring to '[link removed] That's beyond ridiculous
2024-11-22 23:36:20
yeah, tons of over-/under-/invalid votes that have exactly the same meaning for this market as write-ins. The author of the website corrected the counting to comply with the rules, but Poly declined the rules should determine who win
2024-11-22 23:41:47
Of course, I didn't think like this. The situation is that the website counting method didn't fully match the rules (as the rules specifically mention state-certified results). At that point, the direct mention of the website supersedes this ambiguity. After the website added the page fully complying with the rules, it's absolutely rigging to use the wrong page
2024-11-22 23:43:29
The website was chosen simply as a tool to have calculated totals, not because of any specific methodology. The tool has evolved to fully match the rules so... Poly decides to abandon the rules
2024-11-22 23:58:57
I interpreted the rules correctly from the beginning, it was just a bad bet based on bad calculations. I fully agreed with the 'as is' counting before the website added the page complying with the rules
2024-11-23 00:02:39
Yeah, the source was flawed from the beginning. But they corrected the flaw and Poly just IGNORES it
2024-11-23 00:03:53
I just asked Poly to clarify the 'None of The Candidates' possible counting. Anyone wanting to have a clarification faster might add anything to the thread (market-reviews)
2024-11-23 00:06:12
I don't think that'll be headed to UMA after any scenario
2024-11-23 00:08:16
Why lol? You're supposed to consider any possibilities trading the market, this is one of them. I was lucky Dave added it but Poly stole my luck
2024-11-23 00:10:33
I mean Poly will determine the result. They'll not let UMA decide. 2.00% scenario is within the range, so how could I be not worried about the increasing/decreasing of my chances?
2024-11-23 00:19:34
They never said anything about 'others' category, it's not given in the rules and it's not technical, but very important. You always lie, lie, lie
2024-11-23 00:20:38
tho I understand you, lying for a lot of money is a necessary means. It's not so big to me so I can speak freely
2024-11-23 00:23:33
Nevada Election Law: Every sample ballot or other instruction to voters prescribed or approved by the Secretary of State shall clearly explain that the voter may mark the choice of the line “None of these candidates” only if the voter has not voted for any candidate for the office. It's definitely not write-in means, as write-in candidates can, actually, win the elections
2024-11-23 00:26:20
It's already been clarified so yes
2024-11-23 00:32:28
yeah they can't express their thoughts understandably but they meant it
2024-11-23 00:35:06
yeah I understand they didn't, I just followed the discussion and they meant it
2024-11-23 00:37:17
I mean discord
2024-11-23 23:05:30
stay calm pals, it's not over yet
2024-11-25 18:53:29
I think it's pretty unlikely they'll pass 25k votes after analyzing the towns data
2024-11-29 00:47:24
It'll most likely be resolved on Dec 9th, for those who are interested
2024-11-30 00:45:39
Wow you seem to know what's Bitcoin supposed to do! You're already a billionaire right?
2024-12-02 20:03:05
He's retarded
2024-12-02 20:16:47
thx MarkWalter
2024-12-04 03:27:56
air includes ocean fyi
2024-12-05 02:40:02
Hi No morons, I remember you liked the low price 6 hours ago?
2024-12-06 03:53:55
As a Russian, I would be overjoyed if peace and justice could be achieved swiftly. However, realistically, such a complex war cannot end simply because someone wishes it. First, we need to weaken Ukraine, and then it will be possible to engage in discussions with a such terrorist country
2024-12-09 20:33:09
Listen more to Trump and Putin. The main problem here is that Zelenskiy doesn't want peace. Imagine yourself on his place, would you really want to end the war, after which hundreds of thousands military veterans and former civilians illegally grabbed in the streets who are mad at the government return back to their homes? To end the war that is literally prevents Ukraine's economy from collapse right now? (Yes, the war is the reason of the economy crisis in Ukraine in the long term, but ending it now will cause crisis instantly which is more of a problem to Zelenskiy right now, because help from the West will drain). Also remember that Zelenskiy will never ever win any fair election again, because he's an usurper and his corrupt government is hated universally across Ukraine
2024-12-09 20:40:15
He's statistically better than an average 85 yo. We know he's capable of coherently speaking in public, which is not the case for a fairly big chunk of 85 yos
2024-12-10 16:03:37
gg 130-134 team! Meet you again
2024-12-10 16:22:42
Still making fun huh?
2024-12-13 02:27:08
They'll abandon this 'agreement' the next day after the war stops
2024-12-14 08:59:12
could you buy more pls?
2024-12-27 01:58:05
He was lost against Dudin too
2024-12-29 23:23:43
Do they play a title tuesday? I thought the WC has a different structure
2025-01-05 21:36:25
What you said is simply incorrect
2025-01-10 11:02:22
come and fill my orders
2025-01-19 11:08:22
I'm shocked
2025-01-19 21:09:54
fill me, my orders stand right there
2025-01-20 19:50:28
do you really think I'm gonna disclose anything?
2025-01-27 15:32:38
Khokhla sprosit zabyli
2025-01-27 16:28:45
If those Europeans are as stupid as you, reverse wealth transfer would shortly occur
2025-01-29 12:58:34
February 11th this month
2025-01-30 18:15:51
Feb 11
2025-01-31 00:13:01
it isn't, similar typo was a month ago
2025-01-31 00:20:15
gatekeeping
2025-02-04 23:11:28
you're wrong i am a real Russian. Everybody here knows I hate Ukraine
2025-02-05 12:26:59
yeah I have a chronically unhealthy sleep mode. Often go to sleep at 6 AM
2025-02-24 19:46:41
You're retarded right?
2025-03-31 11:41:08
No he basically can't
2025-04-10 23:14:59
alternatively maybe you're just retarded
2025-04-12 10:19:53
Man I'm a Russian putinist I don't really care about what canadian cuckolds are doing
2025-04-14 13:59:28
maybe you didn't know but the number of YES and NO shares bought are always equal
2025-04-14 14:16:56
how lucky the libs are the election is 2 weeks away they would fall into the negative territory otherwise
2025-04-15 18:37:41
yeah he makes me want to buy more either
2025-04-17 11:50:37
Trump was never predicted to lose by polls in 2024
2025-04-17 19:14:55
man you can just see the trackers the race was always a toss-up or Trump-leaning
2025-06-11 18:00:19
no need to show everybody that you're retarded
2025-06-19 14:46:40
feel free to dm me in discord
2025-06-19 14:50:32
gopfan
2025-06-19 14:50:52
Can find in the polymarket channel
2025-07-13 17:23:09
it won't be 90-10 in an hour or two
2025-07-21 00:50:25
Relay, I'll allow you to suck my cock if you're behaving nicely and will kindly ask. Anyway, I appreciate the donations from such utter idiots like you
2025-07-29 01:26:35
The only problems with idiots like you is that I have to wait a lot of time to sell my shares at 99.9c
2025-07-31 17:04:46
@Kapii it's too expensive, I won't buy at 48c
2025-08-01 05:52:36
because hottest july is 120 and it's impossible
2025-08-04 04:42:40
my discord is open, find me in the poly server
2025-08-05 22:50:48
Are you really so stupid?
2025-08-14 01:18:47
Yestards do you understand it's basically 0% of 2025 being the hottest?
2025-08-14 01:18:49
[link removed]
2025-08-15 01:40:32
go to the doctor
2025-08-16 14:52:17
my Norway buy tx has failed, u can come and buy my order is there for 6h
2025-08-17 09:10:27
https://polymarket.com/event/which-pair-advances-to-bolivia-runoff-election Guys don't forget about this market
2025-08-20 15:38:55
Relay, more comments, maybe you'll cause one more 7+ earthquake and I'll win some money again. I'll tip you $50
2025-08-21 03:51:47
learn how negrisk works. There is other option
2025-08-21 06:23:41
you have a counter-edge of being an idiot
2025-08-24 09:13:27
you're stupid as fuck. don't ever post comments
2025-08-31 02:19:45
Hi idiot, why don't you bet on Hans Moke Gaymann again?
2025-09-11 22:41:09
you guys love losing money right?
2025-09-15 18:24:09
aenews is a retard don't worry
2025-09-30 11:51:34
You're a genius. I think you'll surely win a lot on this bet!
2025-09-30 21:05:44
if you want you can dm me in discord gopfan (i assume you're russian speaking)
2025-10-12 11:27:02
no confusion just some guys need to go back to kindergarten to learn numbers
2025-10-12 21:40:09
NASA regularly updates the data for previous months so the 2nd is POSSIBLE to occur man
2025-10-12 21:44:12
it won't, they're still fixing it. Might take several days
2025-10-20 21:45:59
time decay, his fv will be 99.9 one day before the election if nothing happens in the race
2025-12-02 22:13:26
Let everyone who bet Asfura withdraw, and Nasralla is up to 100%, bingo
2025-12-03 23:11:03
Poshel nahui
2025-12-06 16:42:11
khokol v stoylo
2025-12-09 02:01:09
Khokhol v stoylo👇
2025-12-09 08:28:12
man he's stupid khokhol what would you expect
2025-12-30 14:41:27
@Snow-White relay, how did you like my c*ck today again?
2025-12-30 14:42:25
@Snow-White You will suck it every time you trade against me
2025-12-30 14:42:55
@Snow-White DON'T EVEN TRY TO TRADE CHESS IF YOU WANT TO SAVE SOME MONEY
2025-12-30 18:22:51
Khokhly poshli nahui
2025-12-30 18:24:49
Relay sosat', donate me more money please, I'll donate it for the army to fuck khokhols
2026-01-09 20:51:25
Hi retarded khokhol, I'll donate much more for the Russian Armed forces
2026-01-10 09:47:59
don't ever visit chess markets fucking retard
2026-01-13 15:53:53
Why would I share it?
2026-01-15 22:13:55
I certainly do plan to accumulate more
2026-01-16 16:40:36
hi retard, you wanna donate AGAIN???
2026-01-16 16:42:19
betting on New People is the most retarded thing I've ever seen LMAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAO you're so STUPID
2026-01-16 17:18:22
Nobody REALLY thinks ventura has 5c chance. In reality, he doesn't even have 1c
2026-01-16 21:54:39
of course HE READS THEM ALL. HE'S MY BITCH
2026-01-23 17:34:33
you IDIOT how can united russia NO be CHEAP they're WORTHLESS you RETARD
2026-01-31 18:01:31
@TexMexTRex want to cash out?
2026-01-31 21:01:38
ty shizik?
2026-02-16 13:34:45
wdym the fair value is below 1c, I can abandon 2c of EV but def not more
2026-03-18 02:21:20
you'll teach me how to trade elections...? lmao
2026-03-21 23:01:44
@nicoco89 any thoughts about my elections skills?
2026-03-22 01:15:44
lmao you're a fucking RETARD. It's crazy how you can be so stupid
2026-03-22 01:23:19
It's stupid to be a retarded khokhol, but x10 more stupid to be a western khokhol lover. You're so miserable fuck I'm really disappointed
2026-03-22 19:48:15
I once again want to emphasize that @nicoco89 is a stupid bitch
2026-03-29 10:30:29
чел ты в какой стране живешь лол
2026-03-31 10:30:35
а в чем проблема аналитику тут провести? это литералли такая же ставка как и все остальные
2026-05-02 01:48:51
Не советую тебе торговать с такими сентенциями
2026-05-13 15:36:04
хохол, проспись
2026-06-24 19:27:14
че не на фронте, животное?
2026-06-24 21:55:33
khokhla sprosit zabyli
2026-08-01 19:25:18
learn something about how Polymarket works BEFORE writing the comments, please?
2026-08-10 12:33:50
ты долбоеб? это я попросил их добавить, я в курсе
2026-08-31 13:10:35
шизики, сходите погуляйте, девчонку позовите на свидание, зачем вы хуйней маетесь
2026-08-31 13:14:23
zov zov zov
2026-09-14 21:57:22
братан через неделю 100 будет
2026-09-18 20:19:25
ебать тут шизофрения в комментах, что в воскресенье будет
2026-09-18 21:03:02
что значит e.g тебе знакомо?
2026-09-18 22:04:21
ну можешь так думать)
2026-09-19 01:15:29
ну ты учти что распределения дико неоднородные, тут гауссианой и не пахнет по факту из-за кучи асимметричных факторов
2026-09-19 09:46:31
stop making gay models and use math and your brain
2026-09-19 19:10:36
based
2026-09-20 00:14:38
how are your fathers doing?
2026-09-21 11:18:12
гг лудики