Account Information
Name:
Kalags
Bio:
same name in discord if you wanna chat and make money together.
Pseudonym:
Good-Poisoning
Created:
2024-07-17 22:48:19
Last Activity:
1 month ago
Tier:
Tier 0
X:
@Kalags3
profile-image-603734-6a9b9822-d1b2-48f2-bf49-00853f471202.png
Total Profit
$70,485
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$652.07
Markets traded
1,161
Trades
1,161
Largest win
$15,672.33
Profile views
2,870
Join date
2024-07-17 22:48:19
All-time rank
2654
All-time PnL
$70,484.51
All-time volume
$10,612,920.80
All-time profit
$70,484.51
Lifetime volume
$10,612,920.80
Weighted volume
$885.89
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 121401.828988 | $15,672.33 |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | No | 26225.426114 | $7,242.17 |
| Spread: Germany (-5.5) | Curaçao | 122420.526517 | $7,221.44 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | No | 23870.189999999995 | $-4,824.30 |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 | Under | 9004.955772 | $-4,330.90 |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Curaçao | 9013.662971 | $-3,327.10 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 217.3913 | $0.91 | $0.96 | $208.59 | $11.20 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 603.7 | $0.33 | $0.18 | $111.68 | $-89.08 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 148.5906 | $0.54 | $0.67 | $98.81 | $18.57 |
| Elon Bull Run Parlay | No | 92.7943 | $0.91 | $0.95 | $88.11 | $3.67 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.53 | $0.20 | $78.00 | $-134.00 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 121401.828988 | $15,672.33 |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | No | 26225.426114 | $7,242.17 |
| Spread: Germany (-5.5) | Curaçao | 122420.526517 | $7,221.44 |
| Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? | Yes | 33980 | $6,192.57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 34116.314168 | $5,259.05 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | REWARD | $0.00 | 1.13 | $1.13 | |||
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | Yes | $0.02 | 46.46 | $1.07 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | Yes | $0.02 | 347.826085 | $8.00 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | Yes | $0.02 | 43.478259 | $1.00 |
| 4 weeks ago | MAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 2.3565 | $2.36 |
Recent trades (1161)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | SELL | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | Yes | $0.17 | 115 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | Yes | $0.99 | 66.07 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | Yes | $0.99 | 130.04 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | Yes | $0.98 | 467.26 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | France vs. England: Team to Win | England | $0.92 | 1086.95652 |
Comments
2024-07-22 15:51:42
How did she mohe the market that much?? Did the whale just stop giving it to her and she went lmao??
2024-07-23 22:29:16
Lmao this is free arb if you use actual betting site with polymarket. Buy France, Great Britain and Japan here to limit your losses if USA doesnt win most medals. I would not bet "Other". Most medals is far far less random, and thats why you should bet usa (but maybe not here, its bad odds here I think)
2024-07-23 22:32:50
And if you look my share counts im going big with this arb! Half my networth. Really hope ww3 doesnt start and they play Olympics in Africa, but then at that point, losing half my networth isnt that bad tbh 😂
2024-07-24 10:54:50
How can I follow the trade he makes :D I've seen you post a few times here about him
2024-07-24 18:11:30
Yup, doesnt feel right he would give it from his desk, sitting.
2024-07-25 12:14:22
It ca be witb delay, so for example 5 minute 30 minute, 60 minute, 3 hour or 12 hour delay is fine and the market will still resolve "Yes", I think. But lets see what the officials say.
2024-07-28 07:24:29
I think betting againts Mcintosh is a risky bet but im willing to take it. Anyone who has watched swimming knows damn well how amazing she is, but theres hype too behind that "yes" outcome. Could she lose one or two races out of ten? Surely a "No" is a good bet here.
2024-07-29 07:05:41
No, this should absolutely resolve 0/100. Its not that hard.
2024-07-29 09:34:03
How did you see what uma has voted?
2024-07-29 20:04:42
LOL BOUGHT YES FOR 800 USD ACCIDENTALLY HAHAHA
2024-07-29 20:05:05
congrats for the winner enjoy your money
2024-07-29 20:12:22
No, keep your money.
2024-07-30 07:19:45
@PolarOpposite had good argument regarding creating something new (which trump didnt do), but I agree with you and him. We shouldnt buy more "No", polymarket has always played it like this.
2024-07-30 07:30:57
Thanks for helping a newcomers here!
2024-07-30 07:40:35
Stop trying to make arguments here, The "yes" voters main point is that they are in the lead. (and a huge one) and thats their argument. They are right just because market bought after he uttered the S-word.
2024-07-30 07:46:46
Yup, I was short BTC when it seemed like he wanted to avoid creating any hope for the reserve. Saying "strategic" is not enough commitment to a national bitcoin reserve. Most of what US is doing right now with bitcoin is, in itself, "strategic"
2024-07-30 07:49:36
DONT CLICK THE LINK!. Some yes voters are trying to influence you to sell your "No"s for profit for them. The link there is scam/ip theft
2024-07-30 17:37:53
68K very likely to break. Nasdaq bottoming today and btc follows nvda and tech names
2024-07-30 19:46:17
+
2024-07-31 06:50:37
No US bases in libanon right?
2024-07-31 06:51:10
Mrbest you agree with me we should votes yes
2024-07-31 15:52:28
Follow news and act fast if theres changes https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t-QgOQmD1wc&ab_channel=CBSChicago
2024-07-31 15:53:44
"CBS News has learned that Vice President Kamala Harris plans to announce her running mate on Monday." Just one hour ago https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t-QgOQmD1wc&ab_channel=CBSChicago
2024-07-31 16:00:34
This is first source to say monday. Sent them a X.com DM about the source they have. Little scared to commit still
2024-07-31 16:01:28
Maybe guess, its fifty fifty if its today or not, it either happens or doesnt happen.
2024-07-31 16:40:44
Well if its reported to be monday, theres a chance the hasty one will go sunday. Still, I think 3% is more laccurate for sunday. Maybe without any reporting I would go that way too. MIght buy a hedge but meh 12c is speculative.
2024-07-31 20:38:11
I 7x my money playing "No", lmao 220 K guy here hoping to become billionnaire. Cant fo anyrhing but respect your decision of holding and hoåing to achieve financial freedom this way lol
2024-08-01 09:10:04
You dont trust France winning Breakdancing enough with that share count ;)
2024-08-01 09:13:26
Well we have to look at the odds and compare that to what you are seeing. Im very bullish on my france tickets and likely not selling them, but sold japan and GB. GB can still steal a lot of track and field from USA.
2024-08-01 13:29:21
Yup just wick ATH any day on this month... Even if it rejects and goes down -50% looking super bearish its still a touch to ATH
2024-08-01 13:30:04
Btw 31 days in August
2024-08-01 19:46:56
why is trump leading in the main prediction then? Are the conservatives thinking trump is going to win by a miracle again?
2024-08-02 11:48:09
Hello. I dont know anything about US politic expect that pete is eligible for VP nomination as a gay man. Thats great for an progressive nation and I am very proud of you guys. My vote for him was a result against the BAD odds for Shapiro from pennsylvania. I saw Kamala campaign in georgia which isnt even a swing state and I hope kamala will follow up with an another blunder related to swing states.
2024-08-02 13:22:07
I bet Khelif cuz I find it funny I can bet man. But yeah at these levels its kinda expensive bet.
2024-08-02 15:52:56
[link removed] BOY!!! BURRITO COMMENTS
2024-08-03 08:20:34
Finally mrbest Ameliorating-arc! Proud of you!
2024-08-03 13:43:44
Well I thought my limit orders would never fill :D
2024-08-04 08:26:02
At one point the "No" ticket cost was 97.0 cents. That means that the investment will return 3% in 9 days. DO these kinds of investments 40 times in the year (40 * 9days=360 days) and you will be very rich. 100*1,03^40=326% yearly!
2024-08-04 09:57:17
United States out of mens long jump finals oof didnt expect that
2024-08-05 08:53:16
ask price is back now
2024-08-05 17:04:11
Buying yes here is good hedge for your investments I think
2024-08-05 18:05:26
Yup! Completely. Sad Cant buy more.
2024-08-05 18:40:03
Why are Duplantis fan so sure.... Suspicious... Maybe he on roids.....
2024-08-06 10:27:43
You really think you can sell them at a greater price at a later time? Yeah that sounds interesting might join you! Brazil!!!!
2024-08-06 10:47:16
We should all buy now! Lots of brazil shares for everyone! Sell them at later time profit!!
2024-08-06 12:20:12
No, we are selling them at later tim for greater profit!
2024-08-06 12:22:41
Btw just asking, why you cant bet usa on many betting sites? Why. This is why decentralized polymarket is better!
2024-08-06 12:26:03
Btw south sudanese players had 86 points...... Why you guys 99%...... If that happen also usa 85..... u lost big money... Most of you guys cant even see it happen i know it is very possible given the circuimstances. Its said also that USA doesnt know how to play with EUROPEAN rules... Maybe saem thing for brazil but atleast thats uncertainty factor you not calculating 99% wtffff
2024-08-06 16:20:46
exciting
2024-08-06 16:59:25
Mr best If u look my bio it says i dont like you but that has changed as your incredible love has drawn me close to you. Could we form closer ties in discord perhaps? My username is kalags.
2024-08-06 20:32:25
usa can still lose
2024-08-06 20:59:04
Shit market. Agree? @Mr best
2024-08-08 11:56:16
Why doesnt this resolve as yes? Currently Edmundo Gonzalez is in charge of Venezuela. Elections were officially won by Gonzalez! The last regime doesnt have the authority to say its in charge, so it should be ignored!
2024-08-08 20:01:27
I really fuckibg got usa at 66c???
2024-08-09 07:13:33
I did make money on the trade!
2024-08-09 15:55:24
Spreads quicker in the LBQT community... if u believe that will get more popular in 2024..
2024-08-10 07:32:05
Lmao my avg price for "No" tickets are 40cents.
2024-08-10 07:34:11
So yeah the line graph is pretty inaccurate. Shows the dip 12h ago having a low point of 67c
2024-08-10 13:40:17
Deresa Geleta had an amazing win. Congrats.
2024-08-10 13:41:15
Lmao u srsly exected him to win? Definitely a underdog
2024-08-10 17:06:34
Yeah the womens medals arent counted
2024-08-12 09:37:27
I think its not likely but my vote here shows that I stand at the right side of history! So happy to see others choosing yes at the top holder section!
2024-08-13 08:02:07
See my msg in discord. 2 more joined for 750 so we have 24750 total. EZZZZ
2024-08-13 10:30:29
Damn he has to win alot of game in a row to win though. Mathematically maybe a bad bet.
2024-08-13 10:47:36
Fill me sir then, now its even cheaper for you. I trust UKRAINE will go to MOSCOW and then you will be BEGGING on your knees to sell "no" shares HAHAHAH
2024-08-13 10:48:22
Fill me up sir, You afraid ruzzia will take L? soon they control all of KURSK oblast....
2024-08-13 12:25:38
Mr best cant seem to announce my greaest WINNING trade to others! Only DUMFAQ DECAP would hold that till the end, but mr kalags ofc didnt.
2024-08-13 12:27:34
Teamm Ruzzia or team Ukraine.. you can choose which side you stand on..
2024-08-13 14:09:46
honey....
2024-08-13 14:28:13
All "No" traders should be shaking and selling while they can... Justkam has entered the stage...
2024-08-13 14:41:20
Yes at 0.1 ;D sell 0.4 decap dumfaq iltireat illitereta illitterat illiterate....
2024-08-13 15:19:33
What if they just abandon the offensive to bait russians to go there then go east for an offensive instead gg this is my moms bankcard
2024-08-13 15:22:19
oh no maybe i have losing trade
2024-08-14 07:25:25
Look at my avg price per share
2024-08-14 08:33:26
Ruzzia will never win.
2024-08-14 08:36:31
I am bit scared of my position though, they might not defend the raid to Ruzzia with the same vigour as when they defend their home country.
2024-08-14 09:03:45
I hate that Kursk really is not that strategic place to hold. But I still believe ukrainian army will not leave without a fight!
2024-08-14 15:06:39
Hmmm you think i should downrisk that? I have a lot of yes shares which are pretty expensive..
2024-08-14 20:31:10
Respect
2024-08-15 04:17:05
plws leavwm me awlone uwu :3 ;((
2024-08-15 09:31:16
Respect for my bro Zack for getting the Market online!
2024-08-15 14:26:08
He posted nice advertisement video again which I think will be on X soon ;))
2024-08-15 14:33:53
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/112963246819864790
2024-08-15 15:23:41
Bro he probably shorts starts shorting $DJT before he tweets 🥱🥱🥱
2024-08-15 15:57:16
Literally free money at "Yes" They just handing it to people these days smh
2024-08-15 16:08:43
Horrible big mistake for me, really, I was just grooving to the twitter video lmao
2024-08-15 20:04:22
KALAAGS YOU MAD MAN KNEW IT!!!
2024-08-15 20:16:42
10 free beers if I win and one for the chinese chad too!
2024-08-15 20:31:58
See what I did? Sold all. Thats the last ad and tweet. Keep holding your good position. Wanna be discord buddies? add me my nick is kalags
2024-08-16 16:18:17
New market which got here by being suggested by insiders! Yayyy!!!
2024-08-16 16:24:14
Guys whereis mr best ;/
2024-08-16 19:19:31
lmao ye
2024-08-17 13:05:20
Agree.
2024-08-17 16:39:45
Guys where is mrbest did he commit the unthinkable ;( I always tried to be friends with him too put he was just too commited to being russian troll :(((((( #donate2mrbest
2024-08-17 17:14:41
Micheal-B I dont understand that. Wouldnt the "other canditate" in that case be also the "leading candidate" T.I.J2024 is talking about. T.I.J2024's comment doesnt say that the candidate wouldnt change, just says the current leading candidate. But I agree that T.I.J2024's version isn't what the price here should come from: I think the price should represent the estimated number of 538's numbers on last moment that will be taken into account.
2024-08-17 17:14:50
But on the markets here you can get profit by playing the price action, like if we were to say that it stayed at "80c Yes" the whole time, several weeks with strong volume, but dipped to 65c three times, and immidialetey bought back up; I would say that the justified price isnt the dip at 65c, if we were currently there, and it would be the 80c level, for any time that isnt t=end. Because its so expected to go back there based on price action. On t=end of course where you cant make money of price action anymore, it should be not esimation of what 538's numbers are but exactly 538's numbers if we still keep the preassumption that we can trust them 100%.
2024-08-17 17:15:01
But you could say that even if we can trust them 100% there can be an event that causes the Polymarket's main U.S. Presidential market not to resolve quickly. So, the "Yes" price should be lower than 538 end estimation, because if its not being resolved quickly, you are losing money by inflation and having your money stuck here on this bet and not on stock market. I think we should look at game theory here.
2024-08-17 19:14:25
OMFG ITS HAPPENING ACTUALLY
2024-08-18 18:37:21
im in congo rn sacrificing my heterosexuality away
2024-08-20 09:08:23
Why the market?
2024-08-20 12:03:13
Hans Kluge, WHO regional director for Europe: "Mpox is not the new Covid-19" https://www.scmp.com/news/world/africa/article/3275219/mpox-not-new-covid-19-says-who-official-hans-kluge
2024-08-20 13:09:15
Have you noticed that every bet you have made here has been "Yes" and that all those have resolved to "No". Looked through your profile and thought its remarkable.
2024-08-20 13:17:45
Must have missed that. Congrats on 8% profit there. What do you think about the Monkeypox Clade 1 making it to United States this month? I see you havent bet on that market. I bet "Yes" on that few moments ago and would like to ask you if its a good price at around 30 cents?
2024-08-20 14:40:08
Thanks!
2024-08-21 03:35:04
"Any future pregnancies will not be considered for this market." So sad!
2024-08-21 03:54:47
I think future pregnancies should take into account so it can resolve 50 50 everyone wins. Why are Boy owners so ready TO STEAL all the money?
2024-08-21 03:55:33
All boy voters arent even bieber fans.......
2024-08-21 15:35:15
Volume weighted avg price or moving average?
2024-08-21 19:39:25
Hi. Could you send me msg in discord? My name is "kalags" there! Would love to know more from such unique source. :)
2024-08-22 06:17:50
I dont watch the stream but I think my avg price of 70c is good because of 42 failed attempts. I think people betting "Yes" here are not really thinking if its smart or nah
2024-08-22 16:30:21
Agree. If they breach the river this will GO.
2024-08-23 18:10:11
broo thats kink shaming
2024-08-23 19:10:39
FUCK FUCK INSIDERS ARE BUYING and i was left at the wrong side..... What if he dies soon after he is born? Can we do 50-50?
2024-08-23 19:11:27
Ok. if he doesnt live past 2 weeks it should resolve 50-50!
2024-08-23 19:46:11
@DECAP if you want to manipulate Kamala not flipping trump you just buy every 2 hours
2024-08-23 19:52:49
I feel se dumb after leadibg your comment. I have fucked up real big. Only one 759$ order and im severely out of the money.... Like few hundred dollars... I feel like a sub with inverse cock cage and huge diameter buttplug... all girl buyers were left in the dark... to rot.... well thanks for your message brent... I will sell my position maybe soon... Just so devasted cant rn...
2024-08-23 19:54:10
Augusto put on your chastity cage.. inverse chastity cage... Hide your pp.... We lost big money here.... Sell position....
2024-08-24 06:59:18
Lmao. The market can only be manipulated for the "No" side. With "Yes" it will be 2 hours of having a strong book levels. With "No" manipulation you just pop through every 2 hours.
2024-08-24 06:59:57
"continuous period of 2 hours or greater"
2024-08-24 12:54:36
We maga people are saved now... God bless.. Not even needing to vote anymor... Good JFK!!!!
2024-08-27 04:56:23
What do you guts think of my man G Monfils? (other) I only watch the results and he seems iteresting. Dropped Alcaraz at Cincinnati masters, and had a very decisive first round at this event.
2024-08-28 14:49:16
Whats your opionion on the market? We have been at these 50/50 levels pretty long. Do you think the chance is really 50% or will ukraine really put more men to defend pokrovks, as russia inches closer?
2024-08-29 17:42:01
why was the book wiped?
2024-08-30 05:15:52
Makea bet bro
2024-08-30 06:29:36
I origannly thought this way. They were 15 km from the church, and with 64 days its like 200m day needed to get there. But with recent advancements russians advancing 1 km a day is too fast.
2024-08-30 06:29:54
So I sold 70% of my position
2024-08-31 10:43:33
Listen up,. If you're even thinking about buying "Yes" shares, you'd better think twice. Only a real fool, the kind who doesn't know the difference between a taco and a tortilla, would fall for that scam. Those UMA whales? They'll throw their dollars around like it’s some kind of parade, and then—boom!— NVDA stock skyrockets for millisecondo... Then your left holding nothing but air. You’d have to be crazier than a matador with a death wish to get involved in that. Don’t be the guy who buys the suit before knowing how to play the game, capisce!
2024-09-01 06:27:10
According to Russian sources, Ukrainian UAVs ‘tried’ to attack an oil refinery in Moscow Oblast, and all of them were shot down. Some debrii hits wont count right?
2024-09-01 07:01:35
Lol.
2024-09-01 07:05:44
It really makes fireball like that? You seem to be very sure about ur position though. Cant but respect
2024-09-01 07:13:15
DO NOT CLOSE THE MARKET!!! i need moree shares xd
2024-09-01 07:39:59
Fill me at 84c
2024-09-01 07:47:36
Debrii hits xd?
2024-09-01 07:50:25
MARKET MANIPULATION VIDEO!! MARKET MANIPULATION VIDEO!!
2024-09-01 07:50:42
NOTHING HAS CHANGED!!
2024-09-01 08:10:15
The drone hitting the oil refinery is actally the russian airdefense making a fake hit, to simulate what ukrainian drones could do. For all the russians, this means that you should buy all the "no" shares. As everything was under contol, nothing has changed and russia shot down all the drones. Also the western media circus blew this out of proportion and the videos were fake. Nothing actually happened and this is confirmed by reuters article.
2024-09-01 08:14:18
[link removed] Confirmed debris. Confirmed debris.
2024-09-01 08:18:19
Dreamer is speaking trutful truth here. Westerners should beware.
2024-09-01 08:20:30
I bought my "Yes" position several days ago. I just accepted my loss here and I am not looking to reverse my trade (gentlemen rules)
2024-09-01 08:27:06
This is true! The drone was shot down milliseconds before it hit its target at moscow! Some minor damage was caused by the the debrii but fire department handled it already and if you dont count the cosmetic damage, nothing really changed!
2024-09-01 08:31:39
Oh fuck me. All the credible reporting from reuters etc says it was debrii. UMA cannot decide on this conclusively. And thats what the "Yes" people buying now are mistaken. (I bought my yes position like a week ago and just accepting my loss now) It should all come down to the UMA resolution and with credible reporting pointing at "NO" decisive conclusion cant be done.
2024-09-01 08:33:22
The oil refinery is back up and running! Some cosmetic damage was done by the debri, and it will be repainted from scratches next week. Slava Russia!
2024-09-01 08:33:57
I am actually russian and buy yes shares here as a hedge I will be killed in a drone strike.
2024-09-01 08:36:39
Dont you dare to use that kind of language about my government.... UMA wont decide in your favour if you have a potty mouth!
2024-09-01 09:10:43
LMAO?? WHAT??
2024-09-01 09:18:07
Russian media has reported that it could be debrii and we have to wait for ukrainian confirmation of the strike.
2024-09-01 09:19:14
...striking to the target?
2024-09-01 11:16:06
Dude Car played this to perfection. I got the "yes" fill at a insane price but couldnt hold. Some times you should ignore the price action and book levels, and just play the news. Respect for Car though!
2024-09-01 13:58:46
NVDA was not expected to move 12% UP... The expected move was 12% but that doesnt mean that the direction was expected too... Otherwise that would been priced in before the earnings.
2024-09-01 14:43:36
Btw if you think the Sept market should resolve yes, you can just buy here for cheaper as the latest strike is that
2024-09-01 14:44:42
I cant believe I bought minutes before he came omfg, i might have paper handed the sept market but aint paper handig this one. Straight to 100c close polymarket and trust UMA.
2024-09-01 14:48:35
I RESPECT YOU SO MUCH LMAO ABSOLUTE LEGEND
2024-09-01 14:52:22
[link removed] Maybe this video posted 5 minutes before the end date is AI video and the GENIUS "No" holders including the infamous car orchestrated this so they can buy LOADS of "No" shares at extremely low cost. I am critically thinking of selling my position at 99.8c. as this could be the case. LOL
2024-09-01 14:54:22
https://x.com/VyshnyaOstap/status/1830092157404807299 here is smoke from the hit. But remember. This could be just an evil plan of the "No" holders and everything you see is fake, orchestrated briilliancy and every decision you make is based on LIES. In the end its the infamous CAR who bags the money and runs..
2024-09-01 15:03:46
LOL WHY DID YOU DOWNSIZE IF YOU THINK YOU WON LMAO LMAO
2024-09-01 15:09:30
Naah hi5, he is saying bullshit in hopes to save his clearly wrong position here. (nice alt)
2024-09-01 15:15:04
Hahah was just about to say that maybe you should have holded a bit longer xd
2024-09-01 15:16:02
But Donkov remmeber this. You are one of the best traders here to play on price action alone. I have seen you done it. Respect for you. This time you very unlucky.
2024-09-01 15:16:34
As I sold my pos I would love that too LMAO
2024-09-01 15:20:53
HAHAHAHAHAH THE MYTH THE LEGEND
2024-09-02 08:27:27
Bet bro buys Apple stock before a new iphone is released
2024-09-02 12:31:11
https://polymarket.com/event/us-open-winner-m?tid=1725279997555 bet for Paul in here too! Bet Paul for team USA!
2024-09-02 19:39:22
Fire alarm disabling play hahahahahah
2024-09-03 15:57:19
did it come out already?
2024-09-03 16:03:35
Mr Lex buying Yes
2024-09-03 16:16:03
Did you participate in the Justin bieber Girl vs Boy market too? LOL
2024-09-03 16:38:04
Yeah only the resolution part YAWNNN ez money nabs
2024-09-03 16:45:24
1.1km away, vs Pokrovsk at 11km. I would buy a bigger position in there. Here the front is really close.
2024-09-03 17:13:04
Awwww
2024-09-04 04:40:58
I remember reading this shit and then betting tiafoe. That shit was priced in.
2024-09-04 15:27:30
Lmao it would be fun to have one indefinitely run on the site.
2024-09-05 10:29:46
What is with the latest price action?
2024-09-06 16:24:09
LMAO this really made my day.
2024-09-06 17:12:11
Lose? We win 20x here lmao
2024-09-06 17:12:44
20x free bond. Thanks Trump holders.
2024-09-06 17:19:23
Its not manipulation look at polls. We just waited to start doing this now.
2024-09-06 17:22:23
Unfortunate timing for Trump holders to face the facts? Kamala was always ahead.
2024-09-06 17:26:06
Trump is being sentenced before the election also, kamala is leading the polls. We just were waiting to punish you. Buy more Trump.
2024-09-06 17:26:57
Im not for stopping the steal. Full throttle boysss
2024-09-06 17:29:53
LMAOO TRUMP SUPPORTERS GO TO THE REAL MARKET TO FIGHT THIS THIS IS NOT THE PLACE LMAO
2024-09-06 17:59:34
Maybe its their revenge and it will never go back there... We should probably put on our chastity cage and accept kamala superority...
2024-09-06 18:09:46
DO NOT BET HERE! THERE IS A DANGEROUS MAN ON THE SITE NAMED DJTHolder. *cough* he will hire 3000 men and women and children to go on the polls. Save yourself from the manipulation!
2024-09-07 19:28:02
Buy even more. This is your chance.
2024-09-08 18:45:29
I swear I always have the smallest order sizes on the trades that go +242.86% (like this one)
2024-09-10 16:41:44
Time to buy some tickets whooooo!
2024-09-10 16:44:12
I actually did this and it went to 24,9%
2024-09-10 16:47:34
This market is accurately priced, if we look at data from the 2 corresponding markets. The spread here is merely a result of the event not happening. Good point for "No" tickets here.
2024-09-10 18:21:52
Just bought some time here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LUMI The cost to run high precision prediction model is pretty big but like free money trading this to both sides.
2024-09-10 18:22:44
Renting 5 peta flops. Fuck these polymarket noobs.
2024-09-11 10:52:16
Not true. He used the word stacked
2024-09-11 10:58:37
LMAOO HE DIDNT USE THE WORD "RIgged" and people are buying lmaooo
2024-09-11 11:10:44
Ok he might say it now he is getting really angry at ABC in he fox call
2024-09-11 11:23:37
missklick.
2024-09-11 11:25:53
Im selling at 97. sorry for making the mistake and not seeing he alr had said it. Thanks.
2024-09-11 11:26:09
I want to give something back at the community.
2024-09-11 11:29:08
Sorry. Only 99.
2024-09-11 14:32:11
I bought at the wrong time.
2024-09-13 05:21:22
Soo.. Trump licking putins ass is.. great? Strong leader respects other strong leaders right? Trump is just respectinng respectable people! I understand. But remember if biden did the same bootylicking you would be calling him and dems out 100% lmao
2024-09-13 07:04:37
Natural noob will go -100K if he loses just from 1 trade
2024-09-15 14:25:39
ggs
2024-09-16 06:21:42
"If there has been no definitive statement by September 30, 2024" I like my odds.
2024-09-17 05:42:48
mmm-maybe its insiders trading and -a--and they wilm bomb apple hq... 🥴😭😮😮 Im scared
2024-09-17 09:04:57
We need the tapes! We need the tapes! THE WORLD NEEDS TO SEE THEM!!
2024-09-17 10:49:17
Lmao lies wont get you far. This will go 5% in a week.
2024-09-18 13:15:47
I missclicled too and had -900 usd P/L keep making good bets bro and youll get positive in no time!
2024-09-18 13:31:30
I have plans.
2024-09-18 18:00:46
LMAOOOOOOOO
2024-09-19 08:15:32
Has he backed down after saying he will go to an event?
2024-09-19 08:56:11
wha-wha-wha-wha if she doesnt like x and just bans it by hate no reasoning whatsoever will the "No" side lose all investment plz answer someone what do the ryules where to read the rules say on this bhalf if that incident where to happen i sold my No position for good money back huhh..!
2024-09-19 09:37:54
I made a wise decision and sold my "No" position for only 20% loss.
2024-09-19 15:52:03
They could a fun light-hearted movie about the man and his last days being a president. Not a documentary, just write some funny plot and film it in the White House! Film it at IMAX ofc and have the plot tear down both Rebublicans and Democrats. Just the concept is a cinema masterpiece!
2024-09-20 12:57:36
Amazing! Excited to see what trades happen in game!
2024-09-20 19:23:15
You should know damaging to him this market is.
2024-09-21 13:42:58
Yup ISW map is not russian propaganda lmao
2024-09-22 15:52:00
Ok
2024-09-25 06:44:53
Джентльмен
2024-09-25 13:53:31
Why is "Other" a thing? Like there are 8 teams. LOL
2024-09-26 08:00:20
Kamala had character to go for the handshake, which I dont think Walz has.
2024-09-26 09:59:40
So in what case will I win for buying "Yes" for other?
2024-09-26 10:24:39
Bruh yeah thx for pointing out taht there is the rulessection that is free to read. Thank you.
2024-09-26 15:57:31
Its an interesting question though. In that case I think Other "Yes" Should go to 100c, all others 0c
2024-09-27 03:49:01
Yeah but it alr was unlikely scenario what we saw at the first debate "No" is undervalued.
2024-09-27 13:35:34
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/09/26/crypto-kamala-harris-bitcoin/ Interesting change.
2024-09-27 16:26:01
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/09/26/crypto-kamala-harris-bitcoin/ very interesting. I think its still very unlikely she will say it, but maybe not that unlikely idk
2024-09-27 19:19:21
And this is coming from a crytpto sceptic. Feel free to go through my bet history.
2024-09-27 19:22:41
Where did you see the update :P Just casting my Yes votes for support of russia, Im not an advantage player I swear
2024-09-27 19:27:30
Yayy an positive update, how could I have known?
2024-09-28 22:24:03
Thx for 8c fill
2024-09-29 08:37:41
OOF... ur avg price is 70c.... Well if its true enjoy your 30% gain hehe. For me its 33x
2024-09-29 08:42:33
I am looking at my facebook groups and not any news from район Измайлов,район Тропарево-Никулино, район Щукино or район Ховрино... Someone would have heard the explosion... So dont think its likely sadly
2024-10-04 12:08:31
Florida has a reputation of being a "data-analytics" pick for a tipping point state. People dont seem to think its likely to be the tipping point anymore, as it didnt happen in 2016 or 2020 elections. THE PEOPLE WILL NOT BE FOOLED BY STUPID MATHEMATHICS ANYMORE!!! POWER TO THE PEOPLE!!!
2024-10-04 12:25:58
@gophan2 can I hear your thoughst on the market? You have been succesfull too with Donkov but you guys are playing diffent sides.
2024-10-04 12:41:26
[link removed] Donkovs map.
2024-10-04 16:46:27
Oof bag pumper lmao
2024-10-04 17:02:40
"Thank you for being here today. I stand before you at a critical juncture in our great nation’s history. Over the years, I have fought hard for our values, our beliefs, and our incredible supporters. But today, I announce a significant change in my political journey.
2024-10-04 17:03:29
After much consideration, I have decided to resign from the Republican Party. This decision was not made lightly; it comes after seeing the party shift away from the fundamental principles that make our nation great. I have watched as the focus has shifted from the needs of the American people to partisan politics and division. I believe that to truly serve the people, we must break free from the constraints of traditional party politics. I want to unite this country, to bring together all Americans regardless of their political affiliation. The fight for our great nation is bigger than any party. It is about making America great again, and that is a mission I will continue to pursue without the limitations imposed by the Republican establishment.
2024-10-04 17:04:23
This is not the end; it is just the beginning of a new chapter. I invite all those who feel disillusioned, marginalized, or unheard by the political elite to join me in this movement. Together, we will forge a new path that truly represents the American spirit. Thank you, God bless you, and God bless America!"
2024-10-06 07:21:08
I like my odds. Musk wont attend this rally, so less likely.
2024-10-06 08:01:32
Well yeah, I do think its true but what if he doesnt talk about his donors, and talks about Corey.
2024-10-06 09:08:37
it can be a blowout 5% or 7.5% too..
2024-10-06 13:10:30
No position at the market though? Interesting.
2024-10-07 04:20:09
Ok do not believe, but look at chads activity tab, he has used the sell action. Not saying that he will sell his position again, but you should check his profile after a big move in the order book.
2024-10-07 04:38:07
People said like he never sold, which is untrue.
2024-10-07 05:06:33
Ill gift 5 usdc for biggest Yes holder who replies.
2024-10-07 05:36:29
Ok im out as chad buys.
2024-10-07 05:47:23
Blame the UMA, voting on a market that can resolve either way.
2024-10-07 06:07:05
Chad sold 238 000 shares at avg value of $0.0953 per share. If he has a master plan, missing on 10x profit doing the opposite is what I would have done. Meaning if he had the last remaining Total tokens that committed, he would buy not sell. Or you can say that he plays the price action. Maybe he is a truly god.
2024-10-07 06:15:00
Oof you have to pump your bags to 10c to be on profit.
2024-10-07 06:41:33
Its not sure. I sold because you wont lose selling on profit. You on the other hand will lose if price of yes doesnt get over 10c.
2024-10-08 11:16:10
Imagine it haooened then the hawk tuah girl would do the sound with trump imagine if it happened imagine
2024-10-10 17:19:49
well fuck. I dont wanna sell at loss.
2024-10-10 17:30:25
wanna sell at profit? at 42c its 8c profit for you
2024-10-10 18:47:22
You have source on that? Lets say could you give 2020 and 2016 markets as examples?
2024-10-10 18:49:48
Thank you erasmus. I hope my position will hit for you.
2024-10-11 20:14:39
I think we have created good odds with Shayky on the order book for both sides, and accurately priced the market.
2024-10-12 12:53:41
Maybe, but very unlikely it will be controversial one.
2024-10-12 13:22:07
Bullish on my girl kamala! Shayky wann bet here? I know that you might be too exposed to the resolution of these markets, but I have seious offer @ 22 yes or 78 no. Tell me if you think theres a fairer prize and ill change my order.
2024-10-12 13:58:50
Anyone ready for 80% Kamala lol?
2024-10-12 16:36:35
ScenarioHarris win probabilityTrump win probabilityHarris +5 from current polls88.7% Current forecast 52.2% 47.6% Trump +1 from current polls 42.9% 56.9% Trump +2 from current polls 33.9% 65.9% Trump +3 from current polls 25.9% 73.8% Trump +4 from current polls 19.2% 80.6% Trump +5 from current polls 13.6% 86.2%
2024-10-12 16:37:58
seems like a small positive event for trump could tip him over. But on the other hand, kamala could get farther away. Though with the current momentum, its pretty 50/50
2024-10-12 17:44:46
100% agree on the model not being biased. It was 64% Trump around the time of the debate.
2024-10-13 08:00:48
stop tapping the fucking glass
2024-10-13 11:21:47
You can buy cheaper soon.
2024-10-14 19:44:12
Buy mine if you want to be more exposed to this. Its fair that the trend is down, the last days Harris has plummeted in the bulletin.
2024-10-15 09:02:00
Great story xd
2024-10-15 09:49:36
Lmao hiii donkov!! Glad to see you here
2024-10-15 11:09:25
I am buying, as I know that when USA wakes up the people sitting on trump will sell, and people on kamala will buy xd
2024-10-15 15:13:08
I hate they run the election only once I would wanna place bets against maga every day xD
2024-10-15 16:07:26
theo wouldnt it be funny if you dindt tip him anything, instead tipped me $100k? I think it would be pretty funny. As a kamala buyer ((literal communist)), i would tip half to Scoobs, would you enjoy that @theo4?
2024-10-15 18:45:49
Shayky, I guess its never too late to change sides.
2024-10-15 19:15:48
The great thing is that I made money trading this at "No" selling high, buying low. Now, I found my self hitting the high price/ ask price here as im 100% certain it will tip over eventually. if not this week, the next.
2024-10-15 19:53:19
Ughh Im taking a loan to buy some kamala until her majesty gets to 75c, where my king, nate silver predicts her majesty to be. First 10 who reply, I will gift 100 usd after our majesty wins. Or the price gets to 76% and I sell. Good luck!
2024-10-15 20:22:17
Damn shayku. I know if you werent so exposed to Bulletin you would have picked a big bag here, but then this just confused you and made you question yourself. I was ready to make fun of you when I saw this trading at 70-85, but I knew you had the possibility to cook.
2024-10-15 20:44:52
They say the Loan Gamblers are reckless, But they’ve got it all wrong— It’s not risk, it’s hope they’re dealing in.
2024-10-15 20:45:07
Purveyors of borrowed dreams, They cradle risk like an old friend, Patrons of possibility, Hungry for a taste of tomorrow's wealth, But oh, it is not for themselves! No, it is for the betterment of all. They dive into the ocean of odds, Not for greed, but to stir the waters And bring back treasures for the hopeful.
2024-10-15 20:45:52
Their hospitality knows no bounds. "Take, take," they say, "for the world is full And we shall dine on the promise of prosperity." Oh, their generosity overflows! They pour out their cups, half-full, half-spent, So that all may sip from the chalice of possibility.
2024-10-15 20:46:20
For when the tide pulls hard, and losses mount, It’s not the end—it’s a cue for a new round, A new loan to lift the stakes, push the odds. He’s been in the depths, he’ll tell you that much— But with the game, there’s always a chance to climb back up.
2024-10-15 20:46:29
Yeah thats my lore.
2024-10-16 06:48:44
Im expecting a bounce and hope to add to my position, for tomorrow. But either outcome works out.
2024-10-16 08:36:21
I am pretty sure there is going to be a lot of panic after harris bounces off that, if its going to happen.
2024-10-16 08:48:40
Like I would like to hear a more nuanced answer of the latest polls. Marist ofc ranks highly in Nates book, (A) but if you found about that on twitter like I did, is it handpicked to be the best, most dem leaning poll as of lately? Also Im not sure if its the national polls that move the model. Its likely polls in swing states.
2024-10-17 14:50:26
MRBEST IS BACK YAYYYY
2024-10-18 07:22:05
Hahahahahahh MRBEST!!! WHY ARENT YOU BETTING ANYMORE??? LMAO JUST WATCHING THE SHOW??
2024-10-21 10:22:23
Freddi is drooling and edging in to this comment. / Freddi bave et se lance dans ce commentaire.
2024-10-21 13:38:20
Bearslink thinks florida is close! He doesnt bet! He thinks its close!
2024-10-22 19:32:36
🕒 Last update: 2:45 p.m., Tuesady, October 22. Strong day of state polling for Trump, with leads in high-quality polls of Georgia and Nevada — where early voting numbers also look promising for Republicans. Trump has steadily improved in our forecast over the past two weeks, but the model is mostly sticking to the view that these are incremental shifts rather than a sea change and the race remains highly competitive. Another interesting tidbit: a new New York poll shows Harris leading in the Empire State by 19 points, a considerably larger lead than before. In a weird way, that’s bad news for Harris since it cuts against the notion that New York, where Democrats have far more votes than they need but which moved strongly to the right in 2022, could be a source of a diminishing Electoral College advantage. There’s now a 27 percent chance that Harris wins the popular vote but loses the Electoral College, a new high.
2024-10-22 19:33:23
thx dumb money.
2024-10-26 11:01:00
hmm top holder for yes seems profitable
2024-10-26 11:04:27
Nate gives 5% chance for harris to win I might buy NO, because im not maga idiot.
2024-10-26 14:23:49
Car and his team.
2024-10-27 18:42:31
Look, Polymarket is packed with Trump fans who’d practically line up to feed him grapes and suck the guy off. That 30%? It’s a reflection of their, uh, passionate devotion. The market price is only as accurate as the collective heart eyes they’re all giving him. But yeah, ehhh this is up in the top 5.
2024-10-28 18:47:50
[link removed]
2024-10-31 13:55:40
Dopium why not bet yes to hedge? All your account balance will empty out on a single election... Well fill me at 29.
2024-10-31 14:43:20
Historically Wisconsins polls have been very innaccurate. In 2020, they missed 9 points. (Trump was 9pp closer than anticipated) I am bullish it could happen again. So, I actually prefer the rust belt bet.
2024-11-01 21:53:38
Fuck. We miht be seeing a rout happening. ggs, you should never leave orders without epiration.
2024-11-03 11:00:58
Just create your own model and run it a few times, or use Nate Silvers data? Not very nasa of you lol.
2024-11-05 10:42:30
Yup Trump won. Dont go to vote.
2024-11-05 11:17:27
Same girllll
2024-11-05 16:53:01
https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/ 10,6%pp and growring
2024-11-05 16:57:22
NEVADA IS GOING KAMALA
2024-11-06 06:16:12
You know shits bad when early ballots show washoe lead
2024-11-09 19:45:54
link? Might join you because its important city.
2024-11-11 10:48:50
30? I think 15-20. You are just blinded because the price is so far out.
2024-11-11 12:22:27
Russians are 20 km away, when I search google image search. Send ne link to a photo where they are closer than 5 km lol
2024-11-11 12:41:26
Nice to see the market correct a little, as there is a slight chance of peace, Trump currently calling Putin.
2024-11-11 14:26:18
not clicking .ru scams
2024-11-11 15:31:35
Will this resolve "No" immidialetey if Trump gets the peace now? Or can we still buy more, haha
2024-11-12 16:38:57
yeah maybe, its because it actually is, and I am trolling your ass.
2024-11-13 15:53:05
-363 usdc
2024-11-13 16:44:50
Khohly are running away shitting their sharovary pants 😊👉at this point it's just cope. In reality there are really just a little chance that the intersection wouldn't be captured
2024-11-13 18:43:01
Within minutes the news of kurakhove sharovary pants ukrops RETREAT will surface, and all of the "NO" shares will be worth 0 cents. This is because "No" shares are the losing share, and "Yes" shares are thw winning shares. Only either one can be winning, so why even buy "No", if it loses?
2024-11-17 11:18:45
if you believe past success of russian army in ukraine is indication they will get more territory from ukraine this month too, and kurakhove will be part of that.
2024-11-18 10:56:44
mommy
2024-11-18 18:38:21
hello.
2024-11-18 19:02:02
Before you bet more, they have reached Moscow before.
2024-11-19 13:24:29
We have not had many videos from kurakhove, but now when we do have them they are just airstrikes/dronestrikes. Idk im not a military expert but I think those cant capture ground?
2024-11-19 13:52:11
-1k. Seems like you are often confused with odds
2024-11-19 20:19:26
he is playing you like a book LMFAO maybe stfu
2024-11-19 22:50:17
ISW just confirmed, only a matter of time until a whale buys it all ggs bro i lost
2024-11-21 15:14:09
guys buy botting services with me! we will get it to hit if we do it together!
2024-11-22 08:32:57
yes, some french guy named freddi manipulated the market so Trump won the presidency. Please manipulate the Ukraine peace market so my people can have peace.
2024-11-22 10:14:48
You srsly dont think there is risk on the "yes" side of the trade? Imo much more risk that the intersection wont fall, as it would require a very forward geolocation.
2024-11-22 11:11:02
The call sign "alex" recently said that ukrainians have no food left, but there is plenty on the Russian side. Apparently he got captured and was shown the wonders of Russian bread, and the Russians were very friendly too! What will alex do next? Hopefully he soon reports how Russians have wiped ukraine out of kursk, because that could totally happen too! Thank you alex for telling the truth on the ukrainian side, as everyone else lies there!
2024-11-22 11:11:58
Funny how we have footage of Russians fighting in the western side. Sadly the footage is AI generated, as Alex said russians took Kurakhove. Thanks alex!
2024-11-22 12:26:09
He is the dude when you hear "according to sources / according to an ukrainian fighter / reports show "
2024-11-22 16:54:12
Scientific analysis doeanst have soruces anymore?
2024-11-22 19:35:09
Not yet, they wil have hope for days. I think they wont sell.
2024-11-23 08:06:51
sigh could you provide the source? I think we should make it really transparent why "no" is undervalued. We dont need lies or misinformation
2024-11-23 08:13:50
I think "Yes" is a buy here. If any news comes out it will pump like crazy. So buy now, and sell later for a better price. ISW map wont update though lol, dont worry about it if you diamond hand "no".
2024-11-23 16:17:47
Hi "No" and "Yes" holders lets have a talk in discord add kalags. I will try to provide good reasoning into my trade and help you were you on yes or were you on "no"
2024-11-23 20:49:55
Maybe he bet on it to sell higher :D
2024-11-24 00:37:46
Nice disinfo
2024-11-24 07:22:55
trumpster cant read a map? Suprised.
2024-11-24 13:37:06
luck
2024-11-25 13:26:57
let him cook, man
2024-11-25 19:19:42
Loll Yestards buying because of this pro-russian ytber. [link removed] look at deepstate map, and dont worry about blurry 240p videos
2024-11-25 22:21:55
that guy is pro-russian.
2024-11-26 11:42:53
Ukrainians will use fighter jets in kurakhove and fly there I think. They will find the enemy and destroy, odesnt have tobe expensive missilie, I think DRONE!
2024-11-26 15:40:52
cashcow/ others who just bought into "no". Please dm me on discord, I will verify you have bought "no". And I will add you to a lawsuit server in case YEStards try to cheat.
2024-11-26 15:42:01
forgot discord name. But its kalags. Spelled k-a-l-a-g-s thank you. and may ukraine be with you.
2024-11-26 15:44:29
the russians gains are not morally right definitely should be looked into. russian trolls.
2024-11-26 15:48:42
enemis will not be accapted and if you dm, I wont answer. No multiple account circumvention or discord moderators will be let known you are harassing me.
2024-11-27 17:19:58
This is why No-buyers should join my lawsuit server! YesTards know only cheating will save them! DO NOT TAG ISW UNDER THE POST!!
2024-11-27 17:43:51
LOL
2024-11-27 19:32:25
FOMO only on "No" as nothing ever happens. That can be confirmed by nothing ever happening.
2024-11-27 21:07:12
Will this market resolve "Yes"?
2024-11-27 21:18:53
"So there's that." Why are you not celebrating? This should be your happy day!
2024-11-27 21:33:13
He is team leader for "no". Have some respect on COMMANDA SHEKEL!!!
2024-11-27 21:44:07
Should I buy 68c "no" before the isw map update? would that be a funny gamble? @Polymarketeer can you do 30k shares. Ill deposit to buy.
2024-11-27 21:53:47
Sigh why is he not celebrating?
2024-11-28 07:40:33
Frick.... [link removed] I know the situation is bad bo soldiers defending but what will this mean for the Ukrainian economy too.. Notards DOOOMED.
2024-11-28 07:51:36
Just imagine how diffucult to be an casino enterprise, when any minute you can lose your millions when someone hits an jackpot, even in one hour away from closing time lol. I wouldnt want to be an Casino enterprise.
2024-11-28 07:55:04
Worst is when someone bets a lot before your Q3 report. Imagine how horrible the situation is for you.
2024-11-28 13:15:23
Whaaat? Why would they not release videos after they take the intersection? Dont they celebrate the fall of kurakhove with champagne/selfies from the intersection?
2024-11-28 17:47:56
Dec 20th to Jan 20th theyll capture the point.
2024-11-28 20:25:51
sent from kalags
2024-11-28 22:10:32
better analysis than polymarketeer1 😋😋😋
2024-11-29 12:10:04
They are saying that because they need more troops for orderly retreat. Retreating is not just possible right now.
2024-11-29 12:47:23
Yeah I guess, but dont think its probable tbh
2024-11-29 17:46:50
I think it looks like a bright future ahead for yes holders they learned a lesson., never bet against Ukraine. Slava ukraini! will donate 20% to them. This is an positive feedback loop!
2024-11-29 18:10:30
I will NEVER, EVER bet for Ruzzia, after this victory...
2024-11-29 18:54:32
UKRAINE WILL NEVER LOSE A SINGLE MARKET!
2024-11-29 18:55:04
good day trade idea!
2024-11-29 19:44:19
Every non-russian "yes" holder can plead for a tip. Every russian "yes" holder can go to the war to earn 5 million rupees, which is around 60k usd. You can make 10 times the money I made! Can even change the odds if good cannon fodder. :)
2024-11-29 19:48:41
Oh, I was watching Indian rupees. Sorry, 5 mil ruble is only 47k usd. I can offer small tips for Russian "yes" holders too I guess!
2024-11-29 20:09:04
I AM NOT JOKING NO TAX ON TIPS WHO IS READY??
2024-11-29 20:41:04
Well it was a risky bet, usually Kalibrated isnt this bad lol. I was scared to get filled.
2024-11-29 21:54:30
Its not funny if he wins. Thats one reason I -EV sell. Worth losing a bit money over that.
2024-11-29 22:36:04
This is what you say to a guy that makes his first +EV trade?
2024-11-29 22:39:07
Lmao its the fact he bought multiple times in the span of an hour, trying to load up as much "cheap" shares he could, then bought a fuckton and released the tape. Wow. Cunning plan.
2024-11-30 16:34:34
Lol
2024-11-30 19:58:02
hope his tummy
2024-12-01 04:23:03
I trust you because you are world leader know you from tv, hope the bet hits!!
2024-12-02 21:34:55
If denizz is getting scammed, why cant he sell his shares and biy "yes"? Weird.
2024-12-03 08:45:20
Denizz, I’ll admit, reading your comments is like watching a drunk guy argue with a mirror - it’s tragic, a little bit funny, and mostly confusing. Let me take a moment to clear up some of your misconceptions, although I suspect they run deeper than your No position.
2024-12-03 08:45:47
Now, about this grand strategy of yours. Betting against Assad? Really? The man is like a cockroach in a nuclear wasteland - he’s outlasted Arab Spring uprisings, ISIS, and about five U.S. presidents. His enemies retire, get assassinated, or die of natural causes, and he just keeps rolling. Coup rumors in Syria are like horoscopes: fun to read, but utterly useless for decision-making. If you bought No at 40cees because of some internet chatter, congratulations - you’re why casinos stay in business.
2024-12-03 08:49:04
And what’s with all this whining about scams and manipulation? This is a prediction market, not a kindergarten. People post opinions, share links, and sometimes even lie - shocking, I know. If you think XJP is spouting nonsense, use that big brain of yours to take advantage of it. Instead, you’re here crying foul like a gambler accusing the roulette wheel of having a bias against red. But let me guess: “You can’t sell now! It’s about principle!” Ah yes, the famous principle of holding a terrible position to the end. Maybe instead of accusing me of being an alt, you should spend a little time figuring out why you keep getting outmaneuvered by someone you think is a scamming troll. Spoiler: It’s not the market; it’s you, and a guy like Xi, probably didn’t do a fly shit of work to outsmart you.
2024-12-03 08:49:35
Sure, keep spinning your XJP conspiracy - it’s easier than admitting you bet blind and lost. For the record, I’m not. I’m just laying the groundwork, waiting for real intel from my friends in Syria. But even if I were, shouldn’t that be your cue to cut your losses? Instead, you’re flinging insults while your position drains faster than your credibility. Just saying. I have real fucking credibility. Not just from the stuff I've done in prediction markets. It's the work elsewhere. Everything I've achieved was HARD for me, but I did it. Needs to start with this: Swallow your pride.
2024-12-05 18:21:55
Oof thats a big position you dont have ebough liqudity in order book to sell 🤣🤣🤣
2024-12-05 20:48:47
Hi can you dm kalags in discord? I would be happy to do mapping work together!
2024-12-06 09:36:03
DENIZZ JUST SAID "President in exile doesn’t count" LMAO
2024-12-06 11:10:14
According to your shares, you shouldnt say that. You should say EX - Syrian Health Minister Ahmed Damiriyeh! Just like when Assad leaves he will no longer be president!
2024-12-07 13:38:08
it will surely take couple of months, if not years
2024-12-07 13:41:31
You expect there to be articles of Assad no longer being president? Yeah sure, lets wait for those lmao
2024-12-07 18:29:11
If he resigns in Syria, dies in Syria
2024-12-08 21:07:13
Ridiculous price.
2024-12-08 21:07:51
You dont often see a market so out of tocuh wth reality. I guess the rules are scary, but common sense tends to win, just look at assad market.
2024-12-08 21:12:10
well, thats the difference between us, if I was new around here I would absolutely buy "yes" here, no questions asked haha. GL to you man! I dont think your position is that lost, anything can happen right?
2024-12-08 21:46:55
Guys, I just figured it out, Israel’s going to annex the entire Middle East because, you know, it’s just sitting there like an unclaimed couch at a garage sale. And, uh, they're Jews, so I guess they have a secret plan for… free land? Yeah, that’s totally how international politics works. Makes perfect sense, right? heh heh heh
2024-12-09 15:42:49
gl, I onkly trade brakeouts and have made a lot of profit on it so far
2024-12-10 10:18:34
that has no correlation to todays proposal of MSFT holding BTC lol thats why
2024-12-11 15:25:45
Agree, but I am gambler :sunglasses:
2024-12-12 07:54:13
...If you count reporters too...
2024-12-12 10:10:15
Inflation low imo, he cant talk like politicians, about coconut trees etc etc and has to talk about inflation etc etc...
2024-12-12 10:11:16
Hope it corrects so I can sell a bit 😀
2024-12-18 05:17:39
Fuck. But ISW probably doesnt update so my bag is safe, I hope no more vids come out
2024-12-18 06:24:50
Just sold most. The AP news is bad for "no". Its respectable news source
2024-12-18 07:03:20
I have also, but look, thats misleading at best not to even mention what happened in Seldove.
2024-12-18 17:28:48
fr? I am changing side, link ur tweet bro.
2024-12-18 17:33:02
[link removed] uma founder just called out that there will be no manipulation in this market, should I sell?
2024-12-19 10:20:55
imagine if polymarket reads the comments and price action and decides based off that lol
2024-12-19 10:26:07
Denizz, give unto me thy shares, O Lord, for thou shalt exit in glory! Let me bear the burden I shall perish, so that you may live
2024-12-19 10:28:22
Oh, Denizz speaks, the truth is clear, The 'Yes' crowd knows no lore! They mock the maps from yesteryear, Yet Grok they all adore. Oh, wisdom flows from Denizz' hand, His shares, a holy light! We'll bid and bid, as he has planned, Through every book and fight. Yes hodlers cry, they cannot see, The ancient truths we hold! With 1888, we're free, Our 'No' is pure as gold!
2024-12-19 10:33:34
Brothers and sisters, let us not mock Car, for even the misguided deserve our compassion. Car may have strayed in his ways, attempting to steer the market as if it were his to control, but we know only Denizz holds the wheel of truth. Let us instead pray for Car, that he may find the light of 1888 wisdom and see the folly of his manipulation. May Denizz’s guidance lead all to righteous bidding and divine resolution. Amen.
2024-12-19 10:40:25
Ah, I see you've taken my words and offered them back to me, like a child returning a stone and calling it treasure. It’s a noble effort, truly, but remember: understanding Denizz’s wisdom requires more than repeating it. The heart of the message lies in its purpose, not just its form. May you one day grasp that depth and find your way to the righteous bids, not just borrowed words.
2024-12-19 10:48:26
Brothers and sisters, let us rejoice, for our prayers have been answered! Not long ago, we knelt and prayed for Car, that he might see the error of his ways and step away from the unholy pump. And now, as if blessed by Denizz himself, Car walks among us as a sin-free trader, no longer tempted by the ways of manipulation. Even NASA22 bears witness to this transformation! Truly, the light of Denizz shines on all who seek redemption. Let us give thanks and bid with renewed faith in this righteous market!
2024-12-19 10:55:43
Brothers and sisters, let us not forget the dark tale of Wolk, the fallen one, who once held the keys to the 'Yes' fortress but traded them for the poisoned apple of a scammy app! Like the deceiver in the garden, Wolk’s greed led him astray, and now he lurks in the shadows, seeking to sow chaos among the faithful.
2024-12-19 11:00:04
Wolk believer... His rage is the howl of a trader who has lost more than money; it is the wail of a soul caught between ruin and repentance. Beware his words, for they carry the bitterness of his curse. Hold fast to Denizz’s light, for only faith can protect us from the shadow he has become.
2024-12-19 11:49:49
do you understand that the funny thing is that it was voted p4
2024-12-19 11:50:15
I was an advocate for p2 too, but uma has never voted against its own resolution.
2024-12-19 12:05:10
oh fuck its happening this time right?
2024-12-19 12:11:49
Look, they clearly ruled it doesnt count, its stupid to argue that mont hermon is less clear now when bibi went there
2024-12-19 12:51:37
Isreal didnt "invade past golan" they didnt even invade golan lol the statement doesnt make any sense thats why it received 1% of the the vote share and p4 99%
2024-12-19 12:58:01
There are ppl who read the rules and bought "No" too, not every "Yes" buyer is a title reader lmao
2024-12-19 13:02:07
And I think it was clear, past Golan has been ruled out by uma
2024-12-23 05:04:00
They dont ubderstand they have to get it over 50c to win.
2024-12-24 11:53:28
Hmm yeah maybe at these prices its a bad bet, but idc, I dobt care if I lose, I lost -10k alr on my old account. But I want to grow this acc to like 20k pnl then get new one
2024-12-24 11:53:50
Thats 10 bands profit babyy
2024-12-24 11:57:36
Hmm if they get a close position in the city yes might pump, but I think maybe not, so guys, I would recc buy "No" with me, look my pnl
2024-12-24 12:03:53
Yeah they can do it for sure. Wanna bet few K more? I have orders up in the book 98.4 that expires soon? Add me on discord kalags
2024-12-24 12:04:44
97.X sorry, 98 not fair imo
2024-12-24 12:05:13
huge difgerence between 3% and 2%
2024-12-24 12:47:46
Will there be less fighting on Christmas? I hope
2024-12-24 12:48:11
I said it above
2024-12-24 12:48:42
Maybe there could be less fighting on Christmas time?
2024-12-24 12:49:01
so it should go 99.99%
2024-12-24 19:34:14
I think they only have one day to do it, they have to start today or its not possible.
2024-12-24 19:35:00
GHOST OF KIEV IS OPERATING IN THE AAREA AND RECENT UKRAINIAN COUNTER ATTACKS ARE TOTALING AT 200 SQKM
2024-12-28 18:33:59
No way I bouht it at 95 sold at 99. I am so grateful to not have lost a grand on this stupid shit. To those who lost dm "kalags" on discord, I will host a lawasuit server for you and tip 1usd for every 1000 usd lost
2024-12-30 19:04:56
tomorrow just got more probable if it aint today
2025-01-02 13:43:42
also, accrding to chatgpt, it didnt even happen: [link removed]
2025-01-02 14:34:52
I sold Yes, becuase when it dips to 70c again, ppl will panic lol, its the same article from earlier.
2025-01-06 10:53:15
kekkonen voitko laittaa DM discordissa, oon siella kalags
2025-01-06 12:49:27
Fuck. Dont want to see -8k pnl guy on the same side as me. Hope my 13k pnl balances things out haha
2025-01-06 18:30:12
He didnt announce resignation formally so thats why this isnt resolved yet?
2025-01-07 14:10:18
FUCK ME THERE IS NOT ENOUGH LIQUIDTY TO SELL WE ARE STUCK
2025-01-07 14:11:27
Hmmm car, maybe thats Iceland. Very snowy island nonetheless. And the plane is THERE
2025-01-07 17:15:37
True. Just sell at 10c wise plan free 2x guys!
2025-01-07 22:10:54
buy more cheap cheap
2025-01-07 22:19:23
cutiepie plz add me in discord: kalags
2025-01-07 22:19:33
I want to talk in priv
2025-01-07 22:24:46
no just share my analysis haha
2025-01-07 22:50:09
yeah. There isnt enough liquidity and users to keep the price accurate for long
2025-01-07 23:18:58
please I beg you. Choose a place where we can talk. I want to get in touch so we can talk this through
2025-01-07 23:19:20
my discord is "kalags" if that is ok by you!
2025-01-16 13:45:33
The ceasefire was coming-THUD, THUD, THUD!-but it didn’t. It waits. It hangs. It clings to the air, sticky, wet, like sweat that never dries. SQUELCH-SQUELCH! Bibi’s chair creaks under him, the sound echoing across the Golan Heights. Not the Golan Heights, though -- just the name. Just the echo. Just the silence where the name used to be. "Tomorrow," they said, "tomorrow it’ll happen." NOOOOOOOOOO! CRUNCH-BANG! Tomorrow never comes. It crawls forward, dragging itself over broken glass, whispering, "Not yet, not yet."
2025-01-16 14:32:02
FUNNY! BANG-BANG-SNAP! It’s a joke, it’s always been a joke -- money raining down, markets spinning, Bibi clenching his throne while the world watches. Palestinians not sleeping? NO! They sleep. They dream. They wait for tomorrow, for the ceasefire, for the words that don’t come. The war criminal delays? THUD-THUD-THUD! Of course he does! That’s the punchline, the whole point of the game. Money flows, deals rise and fall, and the ceasefire drags itself forward like a bad bet that never resolves. Millions will sleep. Millions always sleep. The joke isn’t on them -- it’s on the paper, the pens, the maps that mean nothing. Always delayed, always funny, always heights. Not yet, not yet.
2025-01-17 05:40:29
I love that we see the same piece of text, and react to it so differently.
2025-01-17 06:03:53
THE HEIGHTS! THUMP-THUMP-THUMP! Taller than the ceasefire, taller than the lies, but not tall enough to reach the truth. The negotiator looks back, but there’s nothing to see -- just Golan Heights laughing, just Mount Hermon shifting, just the bodies climbing higher, higher, higher. The ceasefire is ink on air, air on fire, fire on graves that DIG-DIG-DIG themselves into Golan’s heart. But Golan spits them out. Always out. Always back. Always Golan.
2025-01-17 06:33:10
lol true! Fighting cant be going on. Wait, we do have rules?
2025-01-20 10:04:53
buy more and expose the scam = win 10x bet
2025-01-20 15:52:26
We are fked
2025-01-21 09:29:33
So most of "Yes" holders are here for the pump/dump when trump mentions greenland you sell at higher price? Lol when he mentions it again it will be realizatil that the Greenlanderd WONT VOTE to joing the US. Okay, thats high hopes. I think it will be just forgotten about, like nothing happened. Or at most, US increases presence in the area.
2025-01-21 13:46:59
scam link
2025-01-24 19:18:04
https://x.com/barakravid/status/1882866933869236724?s=46&t=6qeIsVT0-gcKywgVXjos4w
2025-01-24 19:18:10
what does this mean?
2025-01-24 19:18:31
:DDDDDDDDDDDDD
2025-01-28 17:51:07
oof thats smart! You can win that way too! 2 smarties here! hihi
2025-01-31 15:42:36
These markets seem pretty accurate, but lets see what happens when things get more dangerous!
2025-02-10 09:33:22
why do we have diff pnl? You operate only on fear/greed? While I operate on facts and logic?
2025-02-12 13:44:27
Congrats PollOfrito! My kids water priviliges are to be taken off for one month so I can make some money back! haha!
2025-02-23 13:03:35
Someone wanting exit liq? Sounds like it ;)
2025-03-16 12:54:42
I should sell probably, yes 66c is too high, and I already would make monies
2026-04-21 14:36:59
why taking so long
2026-04-24 13:37:40
Я, блять, надеюсь
2026-04-24 20:31:18
its called having humongus BALLS
2026-04-24 20:42:33
Я действительно знаю, что делаю, если хотите связаться, мой Discord — "kalags"
2026-04-25 11:06:45
if you wish to communicate with me, please contact me in discord, same name there.
2026-04-26 06:05:13
tell me, I will in return give you good EV bet :)
2026-04-26 06:44:09
He insulted Newsom yesterday, called him newscum
2026-04-26 09:26:02
As someone who has personally deployed a statistically significant number of unfunny jokes, I can confirm: lack of laughter does not invalidate joke status. A market on “Will Clavicular have a child in 9 months” would basically trade at the riskfree rate around 5c YES and 95c NO.
2026-04-26 10:04:07
mikset tee rahuleita
2026-04-26 18:29:18
Trunp stresses need for Wh ball room .... By Fox News has the qualifying insult in 9:35
2026-04-26 19:49:20
heiiii älä mene pois lisää mut ees discodis, tehään rahuleita yhdessä
2026-04-26 20:21:49
I usually buy 99c and end up winning just look at my pnl chart from profile.. yeah there can be big losses but wisdom of the crowds is usually right... Il buy 5k shares from you in 1c...... 99c to 1c if you want your lottery tickets...
2026-04-26 20:23:41
Always think in 99c and 1c markets if you want lottery ticket or bond..... just win 100 bonds and you have duobled your money.... 2 levels in this shi.....
2026-04-26 20:50:45
I use TA to trade, sorry
2026-04-26 22:13:48
Make a Fact Check: Market which will resolve yes if the pregnancy is proved. If it trades at 10c or below pretty hard to argue the claim is credible.
2026-04-28 21:29:32
Jesus christ market has more chance of resolving YES this year than that truth resolving this market.
2026-04-29 18:34:06
I agree but fun to scam noobs out of money 😘😎😎
2026-04-30 20:49:54
I can hardly breath
2026-05-01 17:35:24
Can Lieberman shares do another 10x again? The top analyst think Lieberman could reach 45% within weeks, topping Netanyahu as the most probable prime minister if Segal tweets again [link removed] Very high potential with almost zero downside. Whats keeping you from trading this 👀?
2026-05-02 18:45:37
Stop trying to manipulate the market you have NO idea where I source my analysts from 👎️
2026-05-07 11:34:10
Possible cuck, as its not invidual who is named here, its a group: Sleepy Joe Bidens Administration. Deragotory names hasn't resolved the market in the past, like bad mouthing Democrats. Bonded this way too high. Nice catch ProfitMuhammed,
2026-05-08 22:08:24
Lets bet against insiders high risk high reward 🤑🤑🤑🤑🤑
2026-05-13 01:12:50
quietriskiswrong dm me in discord I want to discuss this market with a counterparty.
2026-05-13 01:40:29
my discord is kalags. I am trying to contact QuietRiskIsWrong, top holder of No. let me know if you know antthing tho
2026-05-13 13:33:35
224 price can be proposed now
2026-05-19 12:36:12
Idk I just saw a lot of noobs betting yes on here so just fading them
2026-05-19 21:07:06
i really hope he insults someone or this is my biggest loss. Diamond hands the insult, join me.
2026-05-22 14:07:18
NBCA announced JB Bickerstaff as the winner which is interesting as their award has differed from NBA award only once, but i do think this would be 2nd time.
2026-05-23 00:03:57
Read my comment, I think Yes wins either way.
2026-05-23 00:05:20
Either it’s separate words, in which case he literally said “two hundred fifty,” or it’s a compound numeral, in which case the rules explicitly say compound forms count. The only way to get NO is to invent some weird middle category where the phrase both isn’t separate and also somehow isn’t compound enough to count.
2026-05-23 00:05:37
Read my comment, I think either way Yes wins here.
2026-05-23 00:13:21
Yes that should count too.
2026-05-23 00:27:59
yes correct.
2026-06-02 05:00:49
June 2 should be disputed! Its midnight in washington, and trumps only tweet is not an insult
2026-06-02 08:51:02
Should I sell is this worth the risk? I do think it resolves No though
2026-06-02 08:52:34
I dont think its 100% yes, thats a bit delusional. But I wont say its 100% NO either, I think current market pricing pretty accurate :)
2026-06-02 14:00:03
Hmm idk if this is wprtg the risk but i really really like the idea of doing these bets to grow 30k to million!! Just dont lose a single one and im there in 500 bets!!
2026-06-02 14:01:25
i achually bet more, if i bet 500 times and win like this i grow 30k to million!!
2026-06-02 14:20:15
if this goes yes it would make a lot of people millionnaires. But my strategy is bet 99c bets 500 times to get to million instead. Its called discipline.
2026-06-02 14:34:15
I am a man of god. God shall not punish a man like me. But if he does, i deserved it.
2026-06-02 18:05:19
yeah you make it seem like they dont care about scamming as much money off the makret and instead trying to resolve it on prev predecent and clarification.. https://x. com/MrOziPM/status/2061844390570573952
2026-06-03 23:06:11
Predict fun has a market about this situation, and its trading at 10% probability should I be worried?
2026-06-03 23:06:22
I dont wanna lose 25k I thought this was lock
2026-06-03 23:24:03
what does he knew? shouldI sell?
2026-06-03 23:25:52
I took a loan for this bet. But its not worth it because its high like tax on the loan they tax me 5% a month
2026-06-03 23:26:07
0.2%, efficient market hypothesis
2026-06-04 00:05:13
FCK THIS WAS LOANED MONEY
2026-06-04 00:06:06
???? WHY DID POLYMARKET TWEET ABOUT REFUNDS???? I AM THE ONE WHO SHOULD GET REFUNDS I HAD TO LOCK UO SO MUCH CAPITAL ON THIS!!!
2026-06-04 00:08:42
im scared it usually resolves instantly after timer what are they doing?? RESOLVE NO
2026-06-04 00:09:02
why didnt it resolve it always resolves after timer.... what is haopening this is SUS
2026-06-04 00:09:20
TIMER ENDED BUT CANT REDEEM???
2026-06-04 00:10:03
p4, polymarket needs time to milk fees more
2026-06-04 00:13:48
WHY DID THEY NOT FINALIZE IT ALR??? WHATS TAKING SO LONG???
2026-06-04 00:20:13
I think Yes voters are playing dumb to farm No voters money, shamefull
2026-06-04 00:40:50
Yes was a good bet, but sadly didnt pay out this time. fair was 30%
2026-06-04 18:12:36
Brilliant pancake, please dm, I have info on few funds and prices they are willing to buy this company on IPO. I think it might be valuable to you. I am Kalags on discord too.
2026-06-09 10:49:40
Wait the leaks are p scetchy should i sell, dme me on discord kalags
2026-06-09 12:23:47
Thanks for the money.
2026-06-09 13:14:47
Hi pig! You have made a lot of money on poly, could you share your strategy despite some say that magicians never reveal their secrets, i have been on a terrible losing streak lately.
2026-06-09 13:22:41
i missclicked few times, same applies to this market Yes fair value is closer to 3 to 5 cents a share, i cant navigate the sell button sadly.
2026-06-09 13:46:39
Gg, thanks for playing.
2026-06-10 19:51:11
No, it definitely refers to the real world. But only legends know if this is simple past tense "Last month, I directed our Great U.S. Military to execute a secret mission..."
2026-06-21 20:33:57
hes pretty high variance wouldn't call him dumb, he definitely has a model. People who are overconfident end up losing all their money, im just 2% port on this bet I think it MIGHT have value.
2026-06-30 14:25:46
You are fine, group insults havent counted in the past; see him insulting 8 RINO's and may 5 market: @realDonaldTrump/posts/116523502202612088 May 5 market went to 80c when that tweest came out, and only 1h 30 min later the qualifiying insult was found.
2026-06-30 14:27:43
Okay guys I have enough shares. Dont burn your money on this, there is predecent for group insults not counting (even though you could pinpoint which individuals were in question) Also, I am aware of May 31 clarification which resolved the market as YES, but it doesnt apply here, as text predecents show groups dont count.
2026-06-30 14:36:19
Its also reasonably clear who he insulted here: @realDonaldTrump/posts/116523502202612088 But the market doesnt care, as group insults dont count. And you could argue that it isnt directed at Kimmel here, and instead to all late night hosts (my read).
2026-06-30 16:01:50
my stop loss hit, look at activity. I have to sell market order
2026-06-30 16:01:57
i am getting liquidated