Account Information
Name:
0xf35jsv80u3nos0uvsd
Pseudonym:
Edible-Glider
Created:
2025-10-01 14:51:08
Last Activity:
9 months ago
Tier:
Tier 0
profile-image-3417054-1ca153e4-9dc2-49d8-8c4f-e6cbdef76274.jpg
Total Profit
$-938
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$0.00
Markets traded
304
Trades
304
Largest win
$159.35
Profile views
43
Join date
2025-10-01 14:51:08
All-time rank
3006442
All-time PnL
$-938.22
All-time volume
$121,776.25
All-time profit
$-938.22
Lifetime volume
$121,776.25
PnL series latest
$-938.25
PnL series start
$-938.25
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$0.00
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 28? | Yes | 183.2514 | $159.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 4? | No | 203.098 | $102.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 4? | Yes | 142.0105 | $67.74 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on January 4? | Yes | 340.6186 | $-168.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on January 12? | Yes | 155 | $-49.24 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday? | Yes | 1215.2181 | $-36.43 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 1000 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 2? | Yes | 8.0769 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on December 21? | Yes | 514.1349 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-49.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 7? | Yes | 55 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2.75 |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025? | No | 7.6666 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2.30 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 28? | Yes | 183.2514 | $159.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 2°C on January 4? | No | 203.098 | $102.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 4? | Yes | 142.0105 | $67.74 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ET | Down | 114.1179 | $60.40 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Yes | 12453.4643 | $42.89 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 months ago | TRADE | BUY | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET | Up | $0.52 | 206.53846 | $107.40 |
| 9 months ago | TRADE | SELL | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0.22 | 90 | $19.80 |
| 9 months ago | TRADE | SELL | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | $0.12 | 52.63 | $6.32 |
| 9 months ago | TRADE | BUY | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ET | Up | $0.01 | 100 | $1.00 |
| 9 months ago | TRADE | SELL | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ET | Up | $0.05 | 265.92 | $13.30 |
Recent trades (304)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 months ago | BUY | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET | Up | $0.52 | 206.53846 |
| 9 months ago | SELL | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0.22 | 90 |
| 9 months ago | SELL | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | $0.12 | 52.63 |
| 9 months ago | BUY | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ET | Up | $0.01 | 100 |
| 9 months ago | BUY | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ET | Up | $0.02 | 133.333332 |
Comments
2025-10-01 14:56:56
Slightly larger range between 1 unit of fahrenheit and 1 unit of celsius
2025-10-01 19:23:51
Hoping it stays at 68
2025-10-01 19:40:47
69, slight consistent decline in the past 12 minutes
2025-10-02 09:04:07
Anything is possible with Trump, imo...
2025-10-02 09:19:58
The life expectancy of a gambler is reduced by 20 years, we won't even see him get to 100 ;)
2025-10-02 09:22:47
Hmm this smells a bit of manipulation.... best to wait for the official report
2025-10-02 12:15:09
Is the source site broken or something? On the interactive map it shows 66 F where the weather station is located (as is consistent with 90% of other sources), meanwhile the graph is capped out at 64...? I really hope it is just somehow delayed for more than an hour...
2025-10-02 12:18:42
Fuck it, I am putting 1:25 calls on 64-65. If I somehow win, its rigged (jk)
2025-10-02 12:20:09
getting the window ready to sell if it peaks above at any second, lol
2025-10-02 15:29:52
gambling on gambling. We are never gonna escape the matrix
2025-10-02 15:32:01
True
2025-10-02 15:37:24
This is news to me. And I am in Ireland lol
2025-10-02 15:41:31
It took 1h 15m today, strangely enough
2025-10-02 15:43:37
I don't get why polymarket would make this, regardless of outcome.
2025-10-02 17:55:13
I don't see a world where he willingly resigns, to be honest. If anything, he is more likely to be assasinated or die of natural causes. The only people voting 'yes' probably didn't even read the rules. Someone pls correct me if I am mistaken
2025-10-02 17:58:19
I think it will update once the first outcome resolves (1st-2nd oct)
2025-10-02 19:37:12
Terrible odds 48 hours out
2025-10-02 19:45:42
I think the moral of the story is to not make bets on something that can be easily misinterpreted
2025-10-02 20:06:39
Who knows if there will even be an election? What happens then?
2025-10-02 20:37:45
What are the numbers for sept and aug? The source site is locked behind a paywall
2025-10-03 07:48:40
Today is going to be interesting.... thoughts?
2025-10-03 08:54:17
Agreed.... I'm hoping those warm winds peak come stronger than expected
2025-10-03 09:29:17
Super volatile, the forecast is changing every 5 minutes
2025-10-03 12:57:24
In Dublin it is certainly the windiest day by far since March, on top of the heavy rains and higher temps. I almost fell over multiple times on the way back from my lecture because of the crosswinds. Granted, the same can't really be said for London....
2025-10-03 13:22:58
Standard math rules apply, 64.5 gets rounded to 65. Hypothetically speaking, a reading of 64.4999 is rounded down to 64
2025-10-03 13:53:04
I'd love one penny myself
2025-10-03 18:35:52
for us more like ;)
2025-10-03 21:20:01
6 hours left on the clock....
2025-10-03 21:26:30
9:50pm still at 64 based on the graph. damn.
2025-10-03 21:28:59
and 30 seconds later 10:20pm also updated. wtf?
2025-10-03 22:02:01
trump is just flipping a weighted dice at this point lol
2025-10-03 22:50:52
Can someone tell me what 93% + 36% equals, because I can't seem to wrap my head around it...
2025-10-03 23:11:38
7 hours at 64. lol
2025-10-03 23:17:34
Now this is the part where I convince myself I just got unlucky, so I go buy in for 100...
2025-10-07 22:03:14
2 million on Conor Mcgregor jaysus christ
2025-10-22 10:58:21
You never know what Trump will do by the next day. He is crazy
2025-11-02 00:14:41
What if there will be no election?
2025-11-02 00:16:22
broooo i was gonna buy no when it was @ 99% chance :(
2025-11-02 00:17:28
Does something like bacteria found on the surface of Mars count?
2025-11-02 00:56:53
lol
2025-11-02 23:32:02
Yeah, too greedy. 1 penny is more than enough for me
2025-11-03 10:51:26
Are the odds low? Yes. Is it 1:142 odds low? Hell nah....
2025-11-03 11:14:45
lets go 5 for 5
2025-11-03 11:21:28
i should have bet more
2025-11-03 14:07:09
Thats basically the only possibility bro
2025-11-03 14:46:17
Too much. I would like a penny
2025-11-03 15:11:51
Yes, Mr Trump says there are millions of them (/s)
2025-11-03 15:28:45
Hypothetically assuming that Jesus and Christianity as a whole is 100% fake, under what pretences would polymarket remotely be able to argue a 'Yes' resolution? Is this market solely made to attract Christians?
2025-11-03 15:29:17
1975: In 50 years, we will have flying cars! 2025:
2025-11-03 15:34:36
Trying to add fraud to a list of your charges, diddy?
2025-11-03 15:37:22
May I ask, why don't you bet if you are soo confident?
2025-11-03 15:56:01
Trump has said he would "look into the facts" to see whether or not he was mistreated under his conviction. If you are so so confident, why don't you bet No for me :)
2025-11-03 15:58:36
yessir
2025-11-03 19:14:13
he lost, thats why. You never see people complaining that its rigged when they win
2025-11-04 23:57:05
wheres our money
2025-11-05 17:17:02
Everyone knows there was never an actual "ceasefire". We are just betting on them admitting it.
2025-11-06 00:15:28
The second I was about to click no for obamacare the outcome yes was proposed, lol.
2025-11-06 00:20:06
Trump changes his mind every 2 seconds...
2025-11-06 00:22:32
if its too good to be true... its too good to be true.
2025-11-06 12:24:56
If its Russia / China 4+ times, does that mean if he says both twice each it counts, or does it have to be either or 4x each for it to result in yes?
2025-11-06 12:30:02
I'll tip u 67 cent if israel does
2025-11-06 12:36:13
gg lol
2025-11-06 12:36:30
it should, technically
2025-11-06 12:37:02
what if he mispronounces Niger?
2025-11-06 12:37:29
its a genuine question
2025-11-06 13:36:02
i hope your white otherwise I will send ice after ya (/s)
2025-11-06 15:44:34
"easy money"
2025-11-06 15:48:57
its simply gambling disguised to look like stocks
2025-11-06 15:52:26
Wouldn't be surprised if trump announced 1000% tarrifs, tbh...
2025-11-06 23:34:06
yessir
2025-11-06 23:37:48
Just out of curiosity, how old is everyone here?
2025-11-07 12:23:25
wow
2025-11-10 19:28:20
Still too generous
2025-11-10 19:56:55
Damn bro is really out here day trading, how much did you make from this market?
2025-11-10 20:09:56
AI????
2025-11-10 20:15:10
Yeah rules explicitly emphasise 3 times how there must be a video otherwise it will reslove to 'no handshake', even though there is a photo showing them doing a handshake
2025-11-10 20:19:22
I mean, I would if I was making 150k in a year
2025-11-10 20:37:22
yeah and u cant be the president if u brag about running for a 3rd term...
2025-11-10 20:38:20
for fucks sakes trump
2025-11-10 20:44:59
Let Natural Selection take its course
2025-11-10 20:47:10
Name one war trump has claimed to have ended, in which you are most confident in.
2025-11-10 20:58:45
True. It specifies the handshake for the market is for today only (November 10th), but it doesn't specify if, say a month later, it would hypothetically be posted on the white house X account. Also, what if theoretically only a partial video would be uploaded?
2025-11-10 21:04:21
Oh, thanks. Bruhhhh
2025-11-11 23:36:44
-1$
2025-11-18 09:05:07
Doesn't change the fact that you still lost 14k... give me a couple more years until I graduate with my economics degree ;). And yes, I am poor. Does that make you happy?
2025-11-18 11:20:42
?
2025-11-18 17:12:37
need Lithuania
2025-11-18 17:20:06
People pls invest in the 2026 market
2025-11-18 19:18:45
I honestly cant tell if you are being satire or genuinely complementing me, but if it is the latter I thank you :)
2025-11-18 19:29:27
betting on trump is like betting on slots... only the house wins.
2025-11-18 19:59:37
RIP to anyone who bought the dip
2025-11-18 20:47:42
Why is it only 88c and not 95c + ?
2025-11-18 20:53:57
What makes you say that?
2025-11-18 20:59:50
Like I know I won, but how is it only 1, wtf?
2025-11-18 21:33:14
ty
2025-11-18 21:36:18
regardless of outcome, if something was 100% "confirmed", the market would have reacted way faster than the both of us by now. Point is, it has been 2 hours and still nothing is confirmed
2025-11-18 21:46:20
If you are quickly switching sides then you shouldn't really be betting on that market in the first place
2025-11-19 01:10:17
I wanna talk to the person who made this market
2025-11-19 01:13:23
That's called murder sir
2025-11-19 01:24:01
pls trump
2025-11-19 01:28:50
Anyone else think the wording is weird on the government source website?
2025-11-19 12:32:47
heavy precipitation in the colder months always raises the temperature in London... check past radar.
2025-11-19 12:33:28
this is common knowledge if you know anything to do with climatology
2025-11-19 12:34:59
directly from the london city airport weather station, lol
2025-11-22 17:45:51
hmm better to bet on jesus being resurrected as no in that case
2025-11-22 18:41:10
Miami is not even 0.1%... Miami has never recorded anything more than a trace of snowfall in history which doesn't even match the criteria of a 0.1 in. And even if it would snow, it would be at the end of January
2025-11-22 19:03:46
By polymarket rules, if it says "N word", it means Trump literally needs to say "N word" for it to resolve. However, the prefix "the"changes it so it implies the word N***er (the N word). Polymarket is literally contradicting themselves here. I agree with you, its absolutely ridiculous
2025-11-23 01:03:36
This is literally 1000% free money, if you can have equity. 11 dollar profit from 1000usd.
2025-11-23 11:52:23
That rule is straight bull
2025-11-23 11:57:57
yessir
2025-11-23 12:46:55
Why does the URL link include this lol: will-denver-record-the-first-snowfall
2025-11-23 13:27:49
The best way to predict Trump is to assume you can't predict Trump
2025-11-23 13:51:08
Zelensky will never surrender. History shows there is no use negotiating with Russia.
2025-11-23 17:01:18
Indeed
2025-11-23 17:52:40
scam below
2025-11-23 17:54:24
I doubt the files will be released in the first place by Dec 31.
2025-11-23 20:19:01
um...
2025-11-24 00:38:29
"I appreciated the meeting with the president, and as he said it was a productive meeting focused on a place of shared admiration and love, New York City. We spoke about rent, we spoke about groceries, we spoke about utilities. We spoke about the different ways in which people are being pushed out and I appreciated the time with the president. I appreciated the conversation. I look forward to working together to deliver that affordability for New Yorkers." "We are very clear on our positions and our views and what I really appreciate about the president is the meeting that we had focused not on places of disagreement, which there are many, and also focused on the shared purpose we have of serving New Yorkers." "I am really looking forward to delivering for New Yorkers in partnership with the president on the affordability agenda."
2025-11-24 10:23:22
"what I appreciate about the president" = clear praise, diplomatic language = "my meeting with the president went well"
2025-11-24 13:58:15
Read rules: 'by December 31, 2025, 12:59 PM ET'
2025-11-24 14:10:35
I asked Grok and it said no lol
2025-11-24 15:07:54
ah fair enough
2025-11-24 15:11:01
We need some liquidity you guys
2025-11-24 15:47:19
bro really acting like he is the first one to discover ChatGPT
2025-11-24 16:06:33
No holders: What is your reasoning to continue holding at 95.6c ?
2025-11-24 16:15:16
most top yes holders are in the red, and on the contrary the vast majority of top no holders are in the green
2025-11-24 16:40:37
and Elon
2025-11-24 17:26:50
Tomorrow morning I will wake up and know if I will be up $500 or down 32.... will probably be the latter.
2025-11-24 17:36:16
Trust thyself and no others
2025-11-24 17:55:39
he has, not he will
2025-11-24 18:14:39
Doesn't mean much, it is at 94c after all.
2025-11-24 18:56:05
Even bias set aside that I bought yes, I don't see how much more clear it can get. A diplomatic statement would be "Our meeting went well." He was explicitly showing praise by saying he appreciates Trump.
2025-11-24 19:18:57
my thoughts exactly.
2025-11-24 19:25:00
I am an 18 y.o broke uni student who needs money for drinks lol. please resolve to yes
2025-11-24 19:27:58
What do you think the odds are, realistically?
2025-11-24 19:50:45
To the moooooon
2025-11-24 19:55:07
yessir
2025-11-24 20:10:40
i appreciate your praise
2025-11-24 20:27:44
200 shares is nothing for him... he is only doing it for shits and gigles. he is up over 120k so he probably knows what he is talking about
2025-11-24 20:35:15
wouldn't say that specific part qualifies in fairness
2025-11-24 20:50:09
will do captain
2025-11-24 21:53:39
what is his discord tag?
2025-11-24 22:10:37
No whales sitting silent
2025-11-24 23:26:46
why
2025-11-24 23:30:40
Really? I thought the resolution is passed as soon as the clock hits 0
2025-11-24 23:56:27
yes
2025-11-24 23:57:14
Well, it was nice knowing you all.
2025-11-24 23:59:10
its the final countdownnnn
2025-11-24 23:59:24
AND BACKKKK
2025-11-25 00:04:57
End of dispute window I suppose, other than that yeah its quite misleading
2025-11-25 00:49:20
No 99.94% (2,676,992.16) Yes 0.04% (1,056.12) Early requ... 0.02% (547.72)
2025-11-25 00:53:44
oi polymarket, why did u delete 2 of my comments
2025-11-25 01:04:54
Thanks uma whales i hope it was worth it
2025-11-25 01:08:57
yes, allow all your remaining positions to resolve and withdraw
2025-11-25 01:09:44
Don't forget the Ukraine Mineral Deal !!!
2025-11-25 01:11:19
No holders.... I think even you guys can admit that the actual outcome deserves to be yes. Cmon, you owe it to us.
2025-11-25 15:24:45
trump will find some workaround or way to delay the release
2025-11-25 20:51:07
Unless Polymarket steps in to intentionally some changes in the uma votes, the outcome will be No.
2025-11-26 17:20:51
My man knows his limits, leave him be
2025-11-26 17:21:09
1 in 125 chance Trump gets assasinated in the next 35 days? I think the odds are a bit higher than that.
2025-11-26 18:10:14
miami 4% lol
2025-11-27 09:18:35
Misty, very light snow showers falling right now in Detroit according to the weather radar
2025-11-27 09:21:45
Tbh I think 84c is a bit overvalued, its more like 75c at the moment
2025-11-27 10:10:06
Cashed out Detroit and put it all on Chicago, I think there is a good chance for a tie
2025-11-27 12:21:06
Cmon Chicago, this is my 100th bet on polymarket
2025-11-27 12:22:24
So far it seems to be working!
2025-11-27 12:24:45
NYC is not even 1 in 10,000 anymore, cash out your remaining cents...
2025-11-27 12:26:29
I'd give St Louis .5% at the very most even given the benefit of the doubt, cash out man.
2025-11-27 12:28:45
My educated estimates: 60% chance for tie, 30% Chicago, 19.8% Detroit, 0.2% other.
2025-11-27 12:32:16
Gambling in economics class rn lol
2025-11-27 12:34:45
11/27
2025-11-27 12:37:30
Very high chance of insider trading in this market. Over 5000 volunteer employees handling balloons, lol.
2025-11-27 12:38:15
'Murica
2025-11-27 13:07:46
Many factors and possibilities in play here, you never know...
2025-11-27 13:14:46
No chance. More likely to strike the 3 baltic countries before Poland lol
2025-11-27 13:23:23
Not quite major but not minor either. Read the rules
2025-11-27 13:28:27
Hired a firing squad to shoot Pika down
2025-11-27 13:32:11
Yes
2025-11-27 13:41:17
Nah
2025-11-27 15:23:59
Thank you g
2025-11-27 15:28:37
Yay
2025-11-27 15:36:31
Not visible in the broadcast, as per the rules
2025-11-27 15:37:05
Relax the two of you
2025-11-27 15:46:46
day trading
2025-11-27 16:01:41
he has 4k shares tho?
2025-11-27 16:09:38
Regardless of outcome, I think there is a 99% chance the market will resolve before Sunday. We still have today, Friday, and Saturday
2025-11-27 17:34:36
Only if both Detroit and Chicago record the exact same amount of snowfall on the same day, will it result in Chicago winning, if I understand correctly
2025-11-27 18:02:38
Thanks scammarket... cashed out and lost 1/3rd of my profit. Not gonna risk uma whales manipulating the votes again
2025-11-27 18:03:22
Does your source originate directly from the broadcast? Yes or no.
2025-11-27 20:27:34
Isolated snow shower just 30km east of Chicago Ohare, cmonnn!!!
2025-11-27 20:27:49
just a litttttle more west pls
2025-11-27 20:43:15
Betting on individual day markets is straight gambling, you can't predict shit
2025-11-27 20:49:35
sold that, too much uncertainty now with the showers around detroit
2025-11-27 21:41:39
where do u see that
2025-11-27 21:47:40
Damn, gg. I was looking at the accumilated precipitation graph for Detroit rather than the CLI. Thank you
2025-11-27 21:48:30
It does say preliminary, will it still resolve regardless?
2025-11-28 14:20:03
Why are people making disputes even though the year hasnt ended yet lol
2025-11-28 14:23:22
lol
2025-11-28 14:33:14
don't chase your losses.
2025-11-28 16:25:52
thank you so much bro, I will make you proud!
2025-11-28 18:59:12
hmm
2025-11-28 19:00:21
Probably won't happen tbh, but if I hit 500 I will give you 5 bucks for sure
2025-11-29 13:02:28
I will take my free 25 cents thank you very much
2025-11-29 17:08:21
Only 160 more flips to go ;)
2025-11-29 17:15:33
Why were you so confident?
2025-11-29 17:19:00
how high were you on fentanyl when you wrote this?
2025-11-29 19:35:06
43*
2025-11-29 19:37:00
Does anyone know the exact delay between the hourly graph updates??
2025-12-05 00:10:42
either way its probably gonna be disputed for 2 days until the uma whales make an arbitrary excuse to resolve in their favour...
2025-12-05 00:15:54
nah you won a million dollars
2025-12-05 00:42:44
good point
2025-12-05 13:21:42
Maybe 1% chance google fixes this
2025-12-05 13:22:21
lol
2025-12-08 13:48:09
all i want for christmas is youuuuuu
2025-12-08 13:51:37
its literally "N word", no?
2025-12-08 13:52:07
Donald Trump im going to jizz all over you
2025-12-08 23:25:39
wtf nyc spike 46%?????
2025-12-08 23:58:48
how tf is St Louis only sitting at 3%
2025-12-09 00:42:00
I'm gonna include you too
2025-12-09 15:08:11
How is Trump 11% and Shutdown 87%? I feel like they both go hand in hand, the percentages should be close to each other
2025-12-09 15:12:31
I need a dollar dollar dollar is what i need
2025-12-09 21:23:45
thank you for these new weather prediction markets poly
2025-12-09 21:23:55
fueling my gambling addiction one step at a time
2025-12-09 21:27:51
Dallas is crazy volatile, I love this
2025-12-09 23:30:26
Even Seoul now?? wow
2025-12-09 23:32:23
Many more to come :)
2025-12-10 23:52:27
Excuse me?
2025-12-11 13:11:18
Not even a 0.1% chance... caveat is you have to wait almost 400 days to get your money
2025-12-11 15:41:39
15% now. thats more like it
2025-12-12 13:45:47
Say what you want about politics, but as it stands Taiwan has its own independant democratic government which is entirely seperate and has nothing to do with CCP
2025-12-13 02:44:10
the truth doesn't matter, only uma does
2025-12-13 02:52:34
lol
2025-12-13 03:12:22
thread of 4 bot traump supporters in a row with 0 positions
2025-12-13 11:17:57
The person behind these is not even a native english speaker.... checks out
2025-12-13 11:20:25
Botted propaganda bots below
2025-12-13 11:58:46
100% for philiadelphia this weekend
2025-12-13 11:59:00
[link removed]
2025-12-13 12:11:01
The rules might as well state "Trumps claims has no bearing on the resolution of this market" haha
2025-12-13 19:35:53
Nice one mate
2025-12-13 19:36:38
👍
2025-12-14 10:57:21
GG philadelphia [link removed]
2025-12-14 14:51:16
GG boston [link removed]
2025-12-14 14:52:47
GG New York [link removed]
2025-12-14 14:53:35
Buy boston 97.8c and NY 98.8c while you can
2025-12-14 14:54:32
should be resolved by end of day report
2025-12-14 15:36:18
Why is gopfan2, someone who has over 40 million USD of current trade volume, still holding onto his Boston NO shares ???
2025-12-14 15:40:50
probably just not arsed cashing out the remaining 5 or so dollars left
2025-12-14 15:46:21
This market is going to be very interesting in July and August, the summer monsoon is going to keep the high temperatures very stable, especially now that the difference between each degree C is larger than that of F as they were in the London and NYC markets
2025-12-14 15:47:31
No, it only complains about the weather all day without any reasoning whatsoever...
2025-12-15 00:06:38
NYC 2.7in Boston 0.8in Philadelphia 4.2in [link removed] [link removed] [link removed]
2025-12-18 00:45:53
???
2025-12-18 09:08:56
that only applies to manipulators like yourself
2025-12-18 09:35:50
go 2026
2025-12-18 11:21:23
He is more likely to be hit by an asteroid than to willingly resign
2025-12-18 13:31:43
What? Even given the benefit of the doubt, is 10% still "no chance" to you ?
2025-12-19 11:27:29
probably linking a fake article that claimed he died of a heart attack or something
2025-12-19 11:50:00
Why is Israel valued so high?
2025-12-19 11:55:07
Detroit 88c seems undervalued atm. Maybe 5-8% chance it actually snows 0.5in or more at the airport station
2025-12-19 12:27:58
69+ times... that is no coincedence ;)
2025-12-19 14:10:12
insiders on a weather market? prob just a whale that liquidated all their shares
2025-12-19 14:12:42
St Louis is virtually 0%, maybe 1 in 5000 even given the benefit of the doubt. *LOW* temperature on Christmas Day is forecast to be around 48-60ish fahrenheit in the 90th percentiles. Buy up the 99.3c while you still can, if you have money to spare that is
2025-12-19 15:18:43
Why is the source weather station linked from Wunderground station IMONTEGR27 , rather than IEZEIZ7 ??? (Monte Grande vs Ezeiza airport). This is definitely a mistake on Wundergrounds' part, lol.
2025-12-19 16:30:10
The resolution source is whatever the graph shows as the peak
2025-12-19 18:51:47
@sundayblodnysundai u are a dum dum for buying 36C
2025-12-19 18:53:57
ur looking at the town PWS station Ezaiza which is not official and different from the actual bugged airport station
2025-12-19 19:01:49
Good luck I guess... are you planning a dispute?
2025-12-19 19:21:40
Unless you intend to hand uma 750usdc, u might as well throw that 1usdc into a campfire
2025-12-19 19:35:43
Anyways im only taking the piss haha, I also would normally do the same with no context xD
2025-12-20 00:48:01
username checks out
2025-12-20 10:52:32
u ok bro?
2025-12-20 12:04:20
nice one mate...
2025-12-20 13:36:33
Hey guys. Life has been pretty difficult for me ever since I lost all my limbs fighting war in Gaza and Ukraine. Your help could fund my limb reinstatement surgery. May Jesus and Allah fill my polymarket wallet to fuel my crippling gambling addiction.
2025-12-21 00:11:29
I was making fun of all the beggar comments on this thread, looks like they got removed lol
2025-12-21 11:15:03
Blue hyperlink where it shows the airport station is selected and it has a 'CHANGE' button adjacent. Once you click on that it redirects you to IMONTEGR27. Upon further research, this is a known bug whereby airport stations link to nearby PWS stations by default. Its only a bug that doesn't alter the resolution for this market, as data is still taken from IEZEIZ7
2025-12-21 12:41:33
Magnus Carslen your time is over
2025-12-21 12:52:28
seems clear enough to me, whats the actual problem here?
2025-12-21 13:43:06
The truth doesn't matter. All of the top 15 'yes' holders are in the green. UMA whales will never let the no holders win. Its the harsh truth that all no holders must learn.
2025-12-21 13:50:20
At the end of the day, what the whales say is what goes
2025-12-21 13:51:10
They likely had their yes shares before 99.8c mate
2025-12-21 13:57:11
ur mom
2025-12-21 14:03:04
cya
2025-12-21 14:06:34
Could you clarify further?
2025-12-21 14:26:22
But they don't, and they are already set in stone by that point, including this market
2025-12-21 15:26:05
You have 2 predictions what are you on about
2025-12-21 15:33:23
Bro is up 154,000 over 500 bets, what are u on about
2025-12-21 15:45:50
😘🍆
2025-12-21 15:50:12
If this market resolves no I will donate 50 euro to Palestine and will then post proof
2025-12-21 15:54:00
Every top yes holder is in the green
2025-12-21 15:54:12
Merry Christmas to all
2025-12-21 15:57:25
As long as their rigged system stays legal, polymarket and the uma whales simply don't care
2025-12-27 01:55:31
looking at his profile... he is obviously day trading
2025-12-27 19:25:43
🫂
2025-12-27 22:59:33
Last reading pulled from metrar at 11pm, correct? -4.4 rounds to the nearest integer for resolution on the METAR...?
2025-12-27 23:23:40
No sorry it is -6c, I meant to ask/confirm that -4.4 would round up to -4 right?
2025-12-28 00:16:10
Where do you see the decimal readings? It only shows rounded value from the raw data METAR CYYZ 280000Z 08008KT 15SM OVC008 M06/M08 A3018 RMK SC8 SLP234
2025-12-28 02:37:20
I'd say there is a 50% chance this will shift to -3C.
2025-12-28 02:44:17
damn :(
2025-12-28 03:11:09
just about barely holding at -4
2025-12-28 03:57:25
its literally like -3.5 right now it could easily go either way
2025-12-28 04:01:11
40% chance -4, 60% chance -3
2025-12-28 04:05:33
gg its -3
2025-12-28 04:10:20
Crazy how no more than 0.2C is the difference between being down like -100 and up +800 for me LOL
2025-12-28 04:26:13
All good, I went in with the mindsert that I was going to lose anyway :)
2025-12-28 11:56:02
METAR EGLC 281150Z AUTO 06008KT 020V100 9999 OVC021 07/03 Q1032
2025-12-28 12:20:34
Peak temp forecast 12:25, we are cutting it close here
2025-12-28 12:21:14
0.1 - 0.2 C away from hitting 7.5 (rounds up to 8)
2025-12-28 12:25:06
Lesgooo 12:20 7c
2025-12-28 12:25:29
METAR EGLC 281220Z AUTO 08011KT 9999 BKN021 OVC026 07/03 Q1032
2025-12-28 12:50:17
I Never use PWS :)
2025-12-28 12:55:23
still at 7 nice
2025-12-28 13:03:45
Hopefully this resolves at 7c, last night I lost out on 900USD from the toronto market because of a last-second wind shift that brought the temperature 0.1c higher than needed to round up to -4c, just look at my profile LMAO
2025-12-28 13:11:03
Sorry I meant the win was 900. I saw an extremely undervalued bet valued at 3c, so i bet 32usd and it shot up to 500usd almost instantly. It sat at 90% at one point
2025-12-28 13:13:14
Low liquidity, even though the probability was 90% the peak sell price was maybe +/- 90USD. Wasn't worth selling at that point
2025-12-28 13:20:26
13:05 13:10 13:15 intervals all saw a marginal decrease in temperature
2025-12-28 13:26:04
green is my favourite colour
2025-12-28 13:28:32
7C is 75% chance at the very least given the benefit of the doubt, 46c is still undervalued buy it up
2025-12-28 13:36:59
I am comparing the nearby isotherm lines that differentiates different temperature gradients on weather models, ensuring they are consistent across 3 sites
2025-12-28 13:58:15
?
2025-12-28 14:51:23
????
2025-12-28 14:51:48
do u even know what i am talking about
2025-12-28 15:33:28
99.5% to 99.9% chance this will resolve 7C
2025-12-28 15:35:17
IMO the temp in 2 hours will be even cooler than forecast
2025-12-28 17:26:35
Current temp is about 6.6C , gg guys
2025-12-28 17:40:47
Np ;)
2025-12-29 00:41:32
Time to milk the newcomers
2025-12-29 01:54:33
So are we going for 7 again tomorrow lol?
2025-12-29 01:55:12
Nothing ever happens?
2025-12-29 10:58:07
I'm hoping for an 11pm peak
2025-12-29 11:48:20
Yeah now I am 98% confident a 7C peak won't occur this afternoon, and 80% confident it will remain 6 celsius throughout
2025-12-29 13:03:17
I already put in 70 :)
2025-12-29 13:17:13
Best to stop giving away secrets until after you are done buying
2025-12-29 13:18:45
Yeah... I was only able to cash out yesterdays' one at around 3:30am GMT.
2025-12-29 13:20:07
I estimate 6.3C peak
2025-12-29 13:20:46
Hopefully the wind remains steady till 11
2025-12-29 13:29:34
thank god now
2025-12-29 13:34:10
Hmm, I don't think 2C is worth 2c, 48 hours out, if that is what you are implying (i still bought it anyway, lol)
2025-12-29 13:36:47
Enjoy, save some popcorn for me
2025-12-29 13:38:09
If it was Dallas or NYC then yeah under normal circumstances, but I don't think London is that volatile 48 hours out
2025-12-29 13:41:45
I hope I am wrong, though 😂
2025-12-29 14:50:32
Really? I thought the data is sourced directly from the metar, im guessing any discrepancies in the past would have been because of conversion rounding, though that should be fixed now that the London station is in Celsius?
2025-12-29 15:10:32
Ahh I see
2025-12-29 16:39:53
Can he endorse himself? (serious question)
2025-12-29 18:28:32
Lol gg
2025-12-29 18:32:57
Even the graph showed 92% at one point 😭
2025-12-29 18:35:56
I was so tempted to sell at 85% because of the uncertainty in the evening, but I still held on. Even liquidated some of my other shares so i could add more to this lol.
2025-12-30 17:37:18
big blunder by nodirbek just now
2025-12-30 17:37:34
-4.5 eval and magnus missed it lol
2026-01-01 17:47:43
I don't think it was close according to the Isotherms on the radar I use
2026-01-01 20:32:10
Looking back on this, its so funny that it resolved -3.4c decimal value given by the canadian gov, -3.5c and i would have won 800+ USD
2026-01-01 20:46:27
Nvm i was mistaken about the C and F gap, fahrenheit markets are within 2 fahrenheit
2026-01-03 12:14:22
u good bro?
2026-01-03 15:32:15
It hasn't even been 12 hours, give it some time. Venezuelan Vice President confirmed he is missing
2026-01-03 15:34:54
Why would he be released within 6 days?
2026-01-03 18:14:36
Both disputes were made within hours of the announcement, just before the photo was released. Its so stupid that you guys now have to wait days because of this flawed system
2026-01-04 13:02:38
Polymarket is cheeky with that 3 second delay
2026-01-04 13:48:29
In 4 we trust.
2026-01-04 13:55:22
too late gg
2026-01-04 14:14:49
It has to first happen, and then you need to pledge 750USD to make sure you are confident enough in the first place to UMA
2026-01-05 21:26:31
I doubt endless is holding it for a year, prob set limits to sell at say 95c
2026-01-05 21:40:28
Yes, for example "we did it around six, seven times"
2026-01-05 21:55:18
But not "it happened six or seven times"
2026-01-05 22:47:41
zdarova biciuli
2026-01-05 22:53:36
What?
2026-01-05 22:55:20
@bullishonac ?
2026-01-06 09:03:49
Time is money
2026-01-06 09:04:25
Looks like someone woke up on the wrong side of the bed....
2026-01-06 10:50:43
Which comment are you referring to?
2026-01-06 14:27:41
Are you seriously telling me 4C dropped to 58% while METAR was showing 4C?? Wow.
2026-01-06 18:05:55
The temperature is not 42f, where are you getting that from?
2026-01-06 18:09:44
[link removed]
2026-01-06 18:27:31
Google shows 40f for Laguardia Airport (the resolution source as per the rules, read them), and 42f for NYC.
2026-01-06 19:20:20
@VibeTradeer. is the fake @VibeTrader
2026-01-06 20:14:50
Fake me lmaoo
2026-01-06 21:20:55
Any comments you see from me, check to see the PnL because someone is imitating my profile by using special characters to make it look like the same username
2026-01-06 21:36:35
Why is the station showing a much lower temperature than all weather models?
2026-01-06 21:37:41
Holy crap look at the profiles of all the top lised 'NO' holders!!!
2026-01-06 21:40:18
Someone is mimicking my profile. Look at the respective PnL of each of my comments.
2026-01-06 23:15:40
All took a huge loss after mostly investing only in 'safe' 98c + bets... (not that i should be the one to talk with my track record)
2026-01-06 23:16:36
Now the top no share holders have shifted
2026-01-07 18:45:18
Question. Are 99.5c + bets 99.9% safe? Its just a matter of room for the rest of the liquidity to be bought up, right?
2026-01-07 21:24:10
Haha
2026-01-07 21:24:30
true
2026-01-08 10:48:33
Bro has commited dozens of impeachable offences by now, he is invincible
2026-01-08 10:50:09
Just ask AI to provide a shortlist of 20 he has commited
2026-01-11 15:03:57
Still resolves as yes
2026-01-11 19:01:05
Why is the title March 31 but the end date Jan 31?
2026-01-11 19:01:53
Should he be charged? Yes. Will he be charged? Hell nooooo
2026-01-11 19:10:15
Fun fact: The only naturally occuring forest in Greenland is located in Qinngua Vallets, where its inland southerly location protects it from harsh winds and keeps summers frost-free for the most part
2026-01-11 19:35:55
kaip suprast nx
2026-01-11 21:07:03
100%
2026-01-11 21:32:50
Latvija ir Estija jau laimejo (nors tai buvo 2001/2002m)
2026-01-11 22:58:34
0 positions
2026-01-11 23:27:53
Ignore the link and only look at the graph, its a known bug that WU redirects to random nearby PWS's
2026-01-12 12:07:49
When was the last time anyone detonated a nuke, other than NK ?
2026-01-12 12:10:55
11:50 - 11:56 is the last data pull, sometimes it can hours for it to resolve but at that point u can sell at 99.5c if you need liquidity
2026-01-12 12:12:14
Haha what time did it resolve?
2026-01-12 12:38:33
ai gen
2026-01-12 14:04:44
im so confused
2026-01-12 14:10:16
we need to dispute
2026-01-12 14:13:03
Yeah METAR shows 3C, Wunderground has not updated, why is 3C at 0% in review?
2026-01-12 14:54:57
Lol gg, its 4c. Seems they know faster than the metar report
2026-01-13 15:49:10
the truth doesn't matter, rather whatever happened is the resolution for the market
2026-01-13 18:22:45
Cool website, looks clean
2026-01-13 18:45:12
?
2026-01-13 18:49:53
?
2026-01-13 18:59:49
now
2026-01-13 19:05:37
"america is respected again like never before" - trump just now
2026-01-13 19:10:42
[link removed] , fox news broadcast is fastest from what i could find
2026-01-13 19:44:06
at least tree giddy
2026-01-13 19:47:05
Maybe 5% chance at this point
2026-01-13 19:54:45
a lot of people fell for that, myself included :p. it was funny to see it jump up to like 97% for a split second
2026-01-13 19:56:43
Does anyone know how long he is scheduled to speak for?
2026-01-13 19:57:28
I bought at 9c dip, i really hope so, but the market sees it as way overvalued
2026-01-13 19:57:52
😩
2026-01-13 19:58:25
In that case I believe he must say the entire phrase unless it were seperated by a ,
2026-01-13 20:00:54
gg
2026-01-14 17:50:50
No chance