Account Information
Name:
alfredon996
Pseudonym:
Sleepy-Disconnection
Created:
2025-07-16 00:49:03
Last Activity:
3 weeks ago
Tier:
Tier 0
profile-image-3186545-a3d487e9-8b04-43eb-a82d-c06d160c22c7.jpg
Total Profit
$588
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$5,381.09
Markets traded
256
Trades
256
Largest win
$356.29
Profile views
15
Join date
2025-07-16 00:49:03
All-time rank
105084
All-time PnL
$587.59
All-time volume
$57,207.57
All-time profit
$587.59
Lifetime volume
$57,207.57
PnL series latest
$774.60
PnL series start
$775.52
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$1.19
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? | No | 2328.9343 | $356.29 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 6965.8616 | $309.28 |
| Will a hurricane form by May 31? | No | 3388.5311 | $97.12 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | 2651.5569 | $-167.91 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 1131.6976 | $-102.75 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 62.5169 | $-44.04 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1086.3799 | $0.93 | $0.98 | $1,065.20 | $55.20 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 707.5211 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $704.69 | $6.15 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 613.7105 | $0.92 | $0.96 | $591.31 | $28.31 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 580.9743 | $0.95 | $0.97 | $561.80 | $11.80 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 327.9977 | $0.92 | $0.95 | $313.24 | $11.24 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? | No | 2328.9343 | $356.29 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 6965.8616 | $309.28 |
| Will a hurricane form by May 31? | No | 3388.5311 | $97.12 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21? | No | 2430.1189 | $83.65 |
| Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | No | 1025.6294 | $65.63 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.0263 | $0.03 | |||
| 3 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.0273 | $0.03 | |||
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $0.02 | 65.625 | $1.05 |
| 3 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.0274 | $0.03 | |||
| 3 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.0274 | $0.03 |
Recent trades (256)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $0.02 | 65.625 |
| 2 months ago | BUY | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | $0.95 | 21.25 |
| 2 months ago | BUY | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | $0.96 | 13.53 |
| 2 months ago | BUY | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | $0.96 | 65.21 |
| 2 months ago | SELL | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $0.18 | 28.16 |
Comments
2025-10-27 19:50:54
October 30th at the APEC meeting in South Korea
2025-12-29 20:19:57
Or "Too early"
2025-12-30 15:42:12
It's not so simple: "Per the rules, this market refers only to “previously unreleased documents." This market was “created at Dec 23, 2025, 5:11 PM EST.” Documents released prior to market creation do not qualify for this market."
2026-03-04 14:51:32
"Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage."
2026-04-13 01:20:32
Que tal Belmont ? Puede ganar ?
2026-04-13 20:14:55
Pero Sanchez sigue sexto ?
2026-06-11 16:36:59
Yes
2026-09-21 13:18:12
That's not Russia, it's Polymarket chaotic resolution system
2026-10-05 15:51:22
"If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN" The UN still lists Maduro as the president
2026-10-06 15:51:20
You're right, but then why is Delcy still at 25%?