Account Information
Name:
ISMS2222
Pseudonym:
Easy-Going-Voyage
Created:
2024-08-15 17:02:29
Last Activity:
3 weeks ago
Tier:
Silver
IMG_1989.jpeg
Total Profit
$132,347
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$48,102.42
Markets traded
122
Trades
122
Largest win
$112,079.55
Profile views
50
Join date
2024-08-15 17:02:29
All-time rank
1530
All-time PnL
$132,346.85
All-time volume
$6,193,188.46
All-time profit
$132,197.75
Lifetime volume
$6,193,188.46
PnL series latest
$132,346.84
PnL series start
$132,117.45
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$30,160.30
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%? | Yes | 150072.33 | $112,079.55 |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election? | Yes | 188809.4986 | $61,438.65 |
| Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state? | No | 129679.3511 | $27,113.10 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? | Yes | 547368.4973 | $-73,643.46 |
| Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27? | No | 95263.8273 | $-29,144.11 |
| Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 20? | No | 60528.5862 | $-22,997.71 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 226313.7325 | $0.08 | $0.09 | $20,934.02 | $3,369.53 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 123179.79 | $0.13 | $0.15 | $18,292.20 | $2,487.69 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 298205.58 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $4,771.29 | $376.58 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20072.932 | $0.11 | $0.20 | $4,104.91 | $1,806.46 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | Down | 984.4 | $0.53 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-522.48 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%? | Yes | 150072.33 | $112,079.55 |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election? | Yes | 188809.4986 | $61,438.65 |
| Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state? | No | 129679.3511 | $27,113.10 |
| Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney? | Yes | 32989.43 | $26,807.80 |
| Will Biden pardon Jim Biden? | Yes | 36618.7699 | $25,764.45 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 4.2783 | $4.28 | |||
| 2 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 4.2944 | $4.29 | |||
| 2 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 4.3403 | $4.34 | |||
| 2 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 4.3363 | $4.34 | |||
| 2 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 4.3359 | $4.34 |
Recent trades (122)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0.10 | 6691.1 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0.09 | 8638 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0.15 | 3027.81 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0.15 | 7535.41 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0.09 | 12220.03 |
Comments
2024-08-20 12:31:36
Looking a lot like 2008 Obama
2024-08-20 13:00:17
Just feels like the demographics from 2008 to 2024 are more geared to a democrat candidate. If the campaign can organize like 2008, we can see substantial momentum and Iâm not sure there is a large enough silent conservative population to offset the increase of women, Latinos, young people, blacks, new immigrantsâŠ.
2024-08-22 23:37:04
How many hours left?
2024-08-23 03:34:04
Ughhh⊠how do I get this image of watching her speak out of my head. đ
2024-09-06 14:27:38
Obama pardoned nearly 2,000 on his way out. My theory is Joe will pardon trump and Biden at the same time to look like he is ending the political legal attacks. At 81 years old, he wants to see his son with the time he has left. Hunter and his lawyer have probably
2024-09-06 14:27:50
Put pressure on Joe for a while now
2024-09-06 14:28:58
It will also make Hunter a bit more immune to keep testifying against the family
2024-09-08 07:27:41
Who trust Biden word ?
2024-09-08 07:29:46
Joe Biden lied about not talking to his son about his business dealings. August 28, 2019 Joe Biden lied about Hunter Biden making money from China. October 22, 2020 Joe Biden lied about his sonâs business dealings being ethical. October 22, 2020 Joe Biden lied about his son doing nothing wrong. October 27, 2019 Joe Biden: âAnd it turns out, [Hunter] didnât do a single thing wrong as everybody has investigated.â
2024-09-08 07:34:56
@October This position is going to clear out your winnings. Itâs the cheapest way to bet Trump in this election. Trump wins on Nov. 6, this goes to 50%. Harris wins, this goes to 40%. Hunter Nov Sentencing is no value. December sentencing of a 4 year sceam
2024-09-08 07:37:00
Jail time on sentenced on16 December for the tax offences
2024-09-08 07:47:15
There is no betting line tied to Dec 16th Tax Fraud. Those lines read âNov Gun Chargesâ only. Second sentencing on a conducted felon running a 4 year tax scam will come with prison time
2024-09-08 07:53:38
Hunter will get sentenced 2-5 years on Dec 16th from Trump appointed Judge and Biden wonât and canât be visiting his son in prison from 81 to 86 years old. Who can live in those years knowing that a swipe of a pen could have saved his son one last time
2024-09-08 09:15:47
@October keep booking the bets , im awaiting polygon network to finish upgrades to keep loading.
2024-09-08 10:24:14
This line should move in line with Trump. Imagine where this line will be with a nov 6 trump win. Will FBJ really want to leave Hunters fate to a Reblican held President and SenateâŠ.
2024-09-08 14:33:53
Matthew Whitaker, former acting attorney general during the Trump administration, told Newsmax Saturday that President Joe Biden will pardon his son Hunter Biden to remove from the table the alleged trail of money laundering from foreign agents that had been brought to light by House Oversight Chair James Comer, R-Ky."One is ... that there's no doubt his dad, Joe Biden, is going to pardon him. And the second thing was to get his, this issue â the Biden family corruption, the payments from China, from Ukraine, from Romania and elsewhere â off the table, to get those issues out of the news
2024-09-08 14:34:26
The former attorney general ended his segment by stating that Hunter would likely be pardoned the day after the election or the day before President Biden leaves office
2024-09-08 16:23:52
Only former Attorney General, guess itâs a weak source. But yes⊠there is a little birdie that told me something
2024-09-08 16:41:59
This wager has two event dates to improve odds. 1. election (if trumps wins, more pressure to pardon) 2. Dec 16 Tax Fraud 4 year Scheme ( with serious jail time) more pressure on Biden again. Both events are scewed to lead to a pardon. Only 1 of 2 events hitting should seal the deal
2024-09-12 05:10:10
Media laying the groundwork for the pardon: [link removed]
2024-09-13 10:59:46
[link removed]
2024-09-13 11:06:22
January 7. Blue pilled Biden after a Kamala win will announce to end political prosecutions by uniting both side and pardoning Hunter and some of the State level Trump cases. H will do before the sentencings for both cases so prison time will never be the main substance of the pardons
2024-09-13 11:07:36
Typo * Nov 7th
2024-09-13 11:09:53
Why do you think they bumped Trump sentencing⊠they need it it play for Biden to use in sequence with Hunters Pardon
2024-09-14 06:37:34
Worst case scenario Jan 7. I still think itâs safer because of his age (two months more in his condition is risky) and because of the high likely hood of prison time on sentencing in Dec., why not pardon before knowing if there ever would have been prison time. They can spin that prison time would never of happened and this was more of a reprieve from political motivated case. Early pardon would also help put a road block for GOP continued investigation. Biden needs road blocks on his way out. Evidence stops when you stop talking. Having Hunter legally not participating in cases any longer is what is crucial to the family.
2024-09-19 20:31:03
Kamala wins and Hunter gets a stern jail sentence, I can see Biden pardoning Trump because he knows that the state cases remain and there will not be anything Trump can do to get out of those - unless SCOTUS gets further involved! Pardoning Trump so that he can pardon Hunter gives him cover and takes away part of FAUx Entertainments talking point about partisan prosecutions!
2024-09-23 06:48:26
Does Joe want a legacy of a jailed son? Or a son that was pardoned because he feels paid his humiliation and dues for crimes that he believes were settled with a turnaround in behavior for last 6 yearsâŠ. Jill went to all the hearings for his gun possession trials. This issue will rest like all other troubles the Biden family had faced. Covered and sealed⊠Joe will not leave office with this hanging.
2024-09-23 20:00:26
I count 3 walesâŠ. Most long shot odds donât are well. This one needs to get past Election Day. Then this wager will have a different feel post Election Day. We are stuck frozen because Dems canât even discuss this until after elections.
2024-10-02 17:22:40
I thought we would pull away by now and have a nice easy polymarket lead day before. It all come down to PA which i though Harris would take.
2024-10-02 17:52:00
Iâm with you. I thought we would pull away before Election Day. PA is dem town
2024-10-05 13:26:59
Free Hunter!
2024-10-15 17:19:52
Iâm thinking the same DaddyTrump. I think Newsome is focused on 2028 and a blow out popular vote will help his cause. No matter who and where it comes from. He dropped that ID rule/law for a reason.
2024-10-29 15:10:12
Genius chess move by Trump offering to be Hunters savior.
2024-10-30 18:19:28
Steve Bannon Interview after 4 months in Federal Prison. âHunter wonât be able to handle prisonâ
2024-10-30 18:21:04
Biden should think hard about what it would do to Hunter. 'I don't his son will handle it,' he said. 'These are, these are dangerous, tough places.'
2024-10-30 20:54:27
What happen to the liquidity? WH leak?
2024-11-06 08:26:27
Ty
2024-11-27 08:18:09
Politico yesterday: But if Hunter Biden gets a term of imprisonment in one or both cases, his father would be well within his rights to commute the sentence(s).
2024-11-29 12:42:15
Iâm a bitcoin bear but for some reason, Iâm following BowBow
2024-12-17 20:28:36
When will this ever settle?
2024-12-23 07:05:05
Migrant Subway burning murder is my guess. Trump needs a friend in NY to accomplish immigration reform. Adams is a former republican that used the democratic platform to get elected. Trump will never be so lucky to have a republican in disguise running NY. They need to keep him there.
2026-02-14 09:17:13
đ€ thatâs what Iâm aiming for đŻđŻ đŻ
2026-02-14 09:17:39
đ€ thatâs what Iâm aiming for bullseye đŻ
2026-02-15 08:54:35
What a shit show Munich was for AOC đ§»đ
2026-02-17 19:12:09
She will he the nomination. They havenât sent two years to fix the đ batteries. Although Newsome scares me, I think he will get beaten by grass roots primary voting.
2026-07-08 21:12:57
đđ» I like your position
2026-07-11 06:07:33
His ad spend is going swing states for a Georgia Senate seat⊠whyâŠ. Dem candidates are usually pretty conservative picks. Family man with no baggage. Wait til the dem big guns come out the last few weeks to pump up Georgia Gov race. Heâll look pretty presidential then .
2026-08-12 07:34:05
The Wisconsin/Hong primary results may have offered an early preview of how the 2028 Democratic presidential primary could unfold:
1. AOC: Progressive candidates continue to show a tendency to overperform in polling and online enthusiasm but underperform when actual votes are cast. AOC could face the same problem nationally, particularly because her personality and political brand may have limited appeal across key demographic groups.
2. Gavin Newsom: Newsomâs challenge is likability and authenticity. Despite his experience and national profile, he may struggle to shake the image of a polished career politician, especially if voters are looking for a generational change.
3. Jon Ossoff: Ossoff could ultimately emerge as the consensus candidate. He can position himself as younger, more moderate and disciplined while emphasizing his ability to win competitive elections. As the primary expands nationwide, electability could become one of his strongest arguments.
4. Wes Moore: Moore could build significant early momentum, particularly if South Carolina remains the first Democratic primary state. With South Carolinaâs large and influential Black Democratic electorate, a strong showing there could immediately establish Moore as a serious national contender.
2026-08-16 20:09:23
Something feels off. Why is Machbut pumping AOC here with only a few grand when sheâs trading roughly 20% cheaper everywhere else?
2026-08-20 13:07:35
My hunch is that the recent AOC momentum may be overstated, while sophisticated money is quietly accumulating Ossoff at lower prices. The bigger strategic question is electability: Democrats may ultimately need a candidate who can recover male voters in the South and Rust Belt.
Newsomâs problem is different. In a head-to-head Democratic primary against AOC, heâd be facing a progressive movement with unusually strong grassroots organization and a highly motivated primary electorate. Traditional establishment strength doesnât necessarily translate into beating that kind of infrastructure.
2026-08-20 21:10:17
Your logic isnât working in Michigan, and the Democratic establishment knows the danger: if 2028 becomes Newsom vs. AOC, AOC can eat him alive from the left. California is becoming political baggage for Newsom, not an asset. I was just there last weekâthe homelessness, open drug use and visible disorder are impossible to ignore.
Thatâs why Ossoff makes so much strategic sense. Democrats need someone who can compete in the South, appeal to men and moderates, energize the base, and still run credibly in the Rust Belt. If Ossoff wins Georgia convincingly in 2026, he can point to something neither Newsom nor AOC can: proof that he can win a critical presidential battleground.
And the DNCâs new calendar only strengthens that argument: South Carolina goes first, with Michigan also in the early window.
The establishment doesnât necessarily have to want Ossoff today. But if their objective is winning in 2028 and building a coalition that can hold through 2032, they may ultimately conclude heâs their best bridge between the progressive base and the voters Democrats have been losing.
AOC can win the activist primary. Newsom can win the donor primary. Ossoff may be the one who can win the Electoral College.
2026-08-23 22:16:42
Machbut watched AOCâs bloating and egg-freezing videos and immediately decided, âYep, thatâs my president,â then raced out to buy AOC shares at literally any price. đ
2026-08-24 17:53:07
None
2026-08-26 20:58:45
This is my callânot Moore for president. I accumulated 300,000 Wes Moore contracts at 1.5Âą, a price nobody can get anymore.
My thesis is simple: I think Moore gets a major South Carolina bump, particularly with Black Democratic voters, and that puts him firmly into the national conversation.
I ultimately see Jon Ossoff winning the nomination and choosing Wes Moore as his VP. To me, OssoffâMoore would be an incredibly strong general-election ticketâgeographically, generationally, and demographically.
If those two end up on the same ticket, I think itâs lights out. My call: OssoffâMoore wins the Electoral College by 80+ votes.
2026-08-29 19:36:47
None