Account Information
Name:
studmuffin6969
Created:
2023-10-15 03:02:48
Last Activity:
1 week ago
Tier:
Tier 0
BloodMountain.PNG
Total Profit
$135,038
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$85,143.82
Markets traded
1,960
Trades
1,960
Largest win
$35,117.81
Profile views
497
Join date
2023-10-15 03:02:48
All-time rank
1504
All-time PnL
$135,037.58
All-time volume
$18,725,774.66
All-time profit
$135,037.58
Lifetime volume
$18,725,774.66
PnL series latest
$135,017.20
PnL series start
$134,805.17
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$1,359.97
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 142340.6131 | $35,117.81 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 110536.755 | $30,403.76 |
| Maduro out by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 14862.9775 | $8,134.08 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Rams | 35499.9042 | $-14,739.96 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | No | 11009.9982 | $-10,845.39 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 49165.0355 | $-9,188.02 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 17000.1962 | $0.77 | $0.82 | $14,025.16 | $911.48 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 14853.79 | $0.88 | $0.94 | $14,007.12 | $894.89 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 9999.9611 | $0.90 | $0.94 | $9,349.96 | $330.04 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 5999.9876 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $5,978.99 | $62.01 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 5499.9911 | $0.86 | $0.93 | $5,087.49 | $363.66 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 142340.6131 | $35,117.81 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 110536.755 | $30,403.76 |
| Maduro out by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 14862.9775 | $8,134.08 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 45967.5853 | $7,553.14 |
| Will a Democrat win Hawaii Presidential Election? | Yes | 9315.5129 | $6,611.77 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | REDEEM | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | No | $0.00 | 11009.998274 | $11,010.00 | |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | $0.94 | 2000 | $1,892.45 |
| 1 week ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.2529 | $0.25 | |||
| 1 week ago | REDEEM | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | No | $0.00 | 949.988573 | $949.99 | |
| 1 week ago | MAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 2.5689 | $2.57 |
Recent trades (1960)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | BUY | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | $0.94 | 2000 |
| 1 week ago | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | $0.10 | 2999.98 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | $0.32 | 300 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | No | $0.99 | 2000 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $0.83 | 1000 |
Comments
2024-08-05 04:11:34
why would you cash out of a 3% return in a day
2024-08-08 22:31:31
many very smart people are saying he's up against it
2024-08-10 04:33:31
September is more interesting and it’d be based on long term trends
2024-08-11 20:19:01
the climate is out of control
2024-08-13 03:00:02
this is about the next meeting...
2024-08-14 22:43:45
Walz efforts to destigmatize gay students in the 1990s is apparently grooming to MAGA. Weird!
2024-08-14 22:47:47
Meanwhile he's the only one of Harris, Trump, Vance to have positive favorability #s
2024-08-15 23:51:38
Always sell at 99.8?
2024-08-16 05:25:32
Economist for the Heritage foundation.
2024-08-17 17:04:37
a polio pause
2024-08-18 21:43:25
this is a death market I guess
2024-08-19 22:37:17
think the rules are unclear about whether humanitarian pauses count...
2024-08-22 20:01:41
flip
2024-08-23 19:41:58
they are?
2024-08-23 20:00:02
The rules suggest that stating his support by itself will not qualify when they say "if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. endorses Trump before his public address and then reiterates his support during his address, this will qualify." This rule is unnecessary/nonsensical if merely publicly stating he publicly supports Trump counts as an endorsement.
2024-08-23 21:20:56
how is it a clarification if it resolves the market
2024-08-23 21:50:47
it'd be screwed up if they resolved it no after issuing the rule clarification
2024-08-24 00:26:29
What do these clarifications means? Are they addendums to the rules or an explanation of the proposed outcome?
2024-08-25 01:33:12
look at the differences in volume though
2024-08-26 01:32:07
What happened
2024-08-28 18:23:28
Come on. do something.
2024-08-28 18:55:22
probably
2024-08-29 18:21:02
why on earth would they want to replace JD Vance. He's a star.
2024-08-30 03:00:44
It’s called something else but the definition fits
2024-08-30 04:02:11
The rules should have been just a ceasefire agreement defined as a ceasefire agreement, because the specified criteria of a "a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET" might be met. Or this is considered informal or unratified or verbal?
2024-08-30 04:07:26
And then once they issue an additional context message there's no guide on the entire site explaining how that should be interpreted (does it have the full force of the original rule or not).
2024-09-01 06:48:40
Damn thought this would fall to 20 cents or less lol. Just going to assume people know more than me.
2024-09-01 17:24:48
is this a serious question? do you know what you're betting on?
2024-09-02 01:12:16
also they were really cheap here.
2024-09-02 05:00:43
Aenews has 'yes'.
2024-09-03 20:49:19
now 39% .50 cut, 61% .25 cut.
2024-09-03 22:33:41
you're wrong. but go bet on it.
2024-09-08 00:45:59
der
2024-09-08 18:13:53
cause reasons
2024-09-08 22:51:23
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
2024-09-10 18:50:04
why wouldn't it be 50 bps
2024-09-11 00:39:10
what?
2024-09-11 01:17:49
bro is insane
2024-09-12 19:02:50
Insiders?!
2024-09-12 22:45:55
They say the end is coming.
2024-09-13 15:56:00
Other than not wanting to lose the election, why wouldn't Trump want a second debate?
2024-09-15 02:21:07
these rules are idiotic
2024-09-15 02:22:50
what's a 'specific relation'?
2024-09-16 02:06:27
they both had 8 point margin.
2024-09-17 16:08:49
I'm just trying to free ride off the manipulation of others
2024-09-17 17:38:44
Musk is too busy to have another interview.
2024-09-18 01:59:41
just 2 out of past 3?
2024-09-18 02:22:24
dumb
2024-09-18 17:09:29
the set expiration is so buggy
2024-09-18 18:00:14
noice
2024-09-18 18:00:49
the rich got richer
2024-09-18 18:07:33
what was that thing about 30 day t bills pricing in 95% chance
2024-09-18 18:07:49
a joke I assume?
2024-09-18 18:13:50
YOU'RE RUINED!!!
2024-09-21 17:40:15
psst.... nothing happening
2024-09-25 20:43:09
the the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index is a list of decreases/increases relative to average temp from 1951 to 1980
2024-09-26 02:35:27
what sorts of connections
2024-09-26 20:13:02
I have absolutely no idea what will happen.
2024-09-26 20:14:54
No one else has lag?
2024-09-27 20:52:33
Nasrallah was always alive!
2024-09-28 17:20:21
We'll see if a market called "Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?" resolve on the basis of Israel stopping ships from Iran.
2024-09-28 17:42:01
you go from arguably to definitely in an hour.
2024-09-28 17:51:01
lol
2024-09-28 18:52:35
is there a way to convert yes and no positions that cancel out?
2024-09-29 21:42:40
then why did you sell 3k
2024-09-30 15:57:04
they are there to scout and destroy outposts
2024-09-30 16:06:38
perplexity thinks market conditions are satisfied
2024-09-30 16:07:38
YES YES YES YES YES
2024-09-30 16:12:30
YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS
2024-09-30 16:20:25
well chatgpt says scouting is a combat operation
2024-09-30 16:29:39
[link removed]
2024-09-30 16:57:05
sraeli special forces have carried out small raids into Lebanese territory in recent days as part of preparations for a potential ground offensive, two sources familiar with the matter said. Israeli commandos infiltrated Lebanese territory, targeting Hezbollah positions near the border to gather intelligence and destroy Hezbollah posts in the area, the sources said, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive military matters.
2024-09-30 16:59:33
from same article: A recent raid occurred last week, according to officials from the U.S., Lebanon and the United Nations. The Lebanese army reported to the U.N. the presence of Israeli troops in an area between Hanita on the Israeli side and Alma El Chaab on the Lebanese side, near the Blue Line—a boundary drawn by the U.N. after Israeli forces withdrew from southern Lebanon in 2000.
2024-09-30 17:08:45
A recent raid occurred last week, according to officials from the U.S., Lebanon and the United Nations
2024-09-30 20:16:43
other than the multiple independent reports about special forces operations conducting raids in the past couple of days there's not that much evidence.
2024-09-30 20:17:20
reasoning like this why you worship trump
2024-09-30 20:18:53
They were destroying infrastructure lol
2024-09-30 20:24:41
CNN say they were attacking Hezbollah posts.
2024-09-30 20:24:57
another article said destroying infrastructure..
2024-09-30 20:29:23
Israel is "currently conducting" limited operations targeting Hezbollah inside neighboring Lebanon, the US State Department said Monday. "This is what they have informed us that they are currently conducting, which are limited operations targeting Hezbollah infrastructure near the border," State Department spokesman Matthew Miller told journalists. [link removed]
2024-09-30 20:35:31
What do you think targeting key sites which have been built across the border zone means?
2024-09-30 20:37:46
Or a raid for that matter.
2024-09-30 20:41:22
Raiding, also known as depredation, is a military tactic or operational warfare "smash and grab" mission which has a specific purpose.
2024-09-30 20:41:46
A raid is a surprise attack against a position or installation for a specific purpose other than seizing and holding the terrain. It is conducted to destroy a position or installation, destroy or capture enemy soldiers or equipment, or free prisoners. A raid patrol retains terrain just long enough to accomplish the intent of the raid. A raid always ends with a withdrawal off the objective and a return to the main body
2024-09-30 20:48:43
@abdendriel right i think intelligence gathering by special forces count as combat operations.
2024-09-30 21:15:14
then why are you holding no
2024-09-30 21:25:00
they're not allowed to report on troop movements
2024-09-30 22:54:51
lol
2024-09-30 23:04:26
I keep expecting price to be at 99.5... then it's not so i dump more money in here.
2024-09-30 23:06:06
rather win a small amount of money than lose it.
2024-09-30 23:07:50
why is the reply button only occasionally present?
2024-09-30 23:10:38
i thought there was a bug with setting expiration limits but turned out i was just not entering the minute (which is required)
2024-09-30 23:11:34
maybe not a third level reply?
2024-10-01 02:08:38
big no holders just trying to pump this. other market already resolved yes. there's no reasonable dispute.
2024-10-01 02:19:23
the November market about Israeli troops entering Lebanon resolves yes on the idf announcement. Since it's still September this one will as well after the 2 day final review.
2024-10-01 02:20:01
*resolved
2024-10-01 03:52:44
shooorrr.
2024-10-01 04:00:03
Kellyanne acting like she's trying to suppress her gag reflex.
2024-10-01 17:22:43
FLIP!?!
2024-10-01 17:25:14
fair price is 95 c imo
2024-10-01 17:27:34
that would be an even better price
2024-10-01 18:14:44
you morons
2024-10-01 19:08:11
who votes?
2024-10-01 19:38:27
imagine being able to do basic math or a calculator
2024-10-01 19:41:14
there were extensive reports of ground raids even before the IDF announced them officially. Also Lebanon media at least twice reported Hezbollah firing at Israeli troops in southern villages.
2024-10-01 19:43:15
that's a lie
2024-10-01 19:49:29
Look at MTV Lebanon tweets from Sept 28 and Sept 29. Believe Al Jazeera also tweeted about the one on the 28th. The WSJ and CNN both had separate stories about the ground raids on the morning of the 29th which are easily accessible. Yesterday the NYTimes had a story about Biden saying he was well aware of ground operations in Lebanon.
2024-10-01 20:04:17
US officials have confirmed that Israeli forces conducted special operations raids in Lebanese territory on Monday morning - CNN: [link removed] is the WSJ, the NYT, and all of Twitter evidence enough? [link removed] Justifax 8 No 1d ago JPOST - Israeli forces conduct small-scale incursions into Lebanon - report [link removed] WSJ - Israeli Special Forces Launch Raids Into Lebanon Ahead of Possible Ground Incursion - [link removed] TELEGRAPH: "Israeli special forces cross into Lebanon" [link removed].uk/world-news/2024/09/30/israel-hezbollah-hamas-war-gaza-latest-news/ ALJAZAEERA -Israel raids three towns in southern Lebanon Our colleagues on the ground are reporting that the Israeli army launched raids on al-Abbassieh, Harouf and Bedias in southern Lebanon. [link removed] HEZBO, the primary resolution for this market, confirms timing - [link removed]
2024-10-01 20:13:19
There are also two tweets from MTV Lebanon about Hezbollah attacking israeli troops in southern Lebanon villages
2024-10-01 22:32:03
Rules never say both are required for yes. Ya'll just reading that into the rules. "The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel...." That doesn't say what happens in a split. Then the rest of the sentence says, ", however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." Also Hezbollah is just denying an invasion force, not targeted raids.
2024-10-01 22:42:52
There's no extra burden of proof on yes or on no. Also the people betting hundreds of thousands of dollars on this have an extensive knowledge of how UMA disputes operate.
2024-10-02 00:20:23
They argued that Israeli raids of southern Lebanon were military actions against Iran?
2024-10-02 00:20:41
DO IT!
2024-10-02 00:57:36
6 talking heads
2024-10-02 01:13:27
IF we care about climate change you'll support fracking!
2024-10-02 01:16:48
What on earth is Vance talking about
2024-10-02 01:39:34
He just skips over the part where he joined the CCP!
2024-10-02 03:22:01
Trump sounded like a lunatic though. Vance sounded reasonable.
2024-10-02 03:41:19
Why are so many no holders anti semitic
2024-10-02 03:43:57
Even if true it wouldn’t therefore resolve no
2024-10-02 04:01:13
You believe Jews are controlling the world and you can earn 100x betting against something that already happened
2024-10-02 04:01:50
Read the rules ffs
2024-10-02 04:06:39
Israel hezbollah and media are mentioned as resolution criteria. Nothing else
2024-10-02 04:11:27
Huh? Israel said that. Hezbollah partially denied it. But extensive media reports confirmed earlier raids
2024-10-02 04:13:23
Plus they resolved the other market about entering yes in September
2024-10-02 04:21:54
That’s wrong. Can give it to you a bit later. Idf announced yesterday before midnight et.
2024-10-02 04:23:00
Scroll down to yesterday night
2024-10-02 04:27:10
lol.
2024-10-02 04:31:07
[link removed]
2024-10-02 04:36:10
Perplexity much better for facts, though it gets them wrong too. Chagpt tries to minimize web searcges
2024-10-02 05:26:59
Trump himself and the campaign told us countless times he wasn't doing another one but it never seemed to change the price.
2024-10-02 15:13:54
you are the dumbest people on earth
2024-10-02 15:22:33
in september
2024-10-02 15:25:22
it resolved because there were honest bettors on the other side not the fuckwads who buy at 1c - 2c under the illusion they can steal other people's money with UMA voting
2024-10-02 17:06:11
congrats on being dumb enough to write this
2024-10-02 17:52:59
it's your only hope
2024-10-02 18:37:58
no crash will start a bit sooner
2024-10-02 19:46:03
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? Generating... Israel has launched a "limited, localized" ground operation in southern Lebanon, targeting the Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah. The operation, which began on September 30, involves Israeli special forces conducting targeted ground raids, supported by aerial bombardments and artillery fire. Despite Hezbollah's denial of Israeli troops entering Lebanon, Israeli officials confirm the initiation of these ground operations, aiming to neutralize immediate threats from Hezbollah near the border. The escalation follows weeks of intense airstrikes and the death of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, resulting in significant casualties and displacement in Lebanon. POWERED BY Perplexity
2024-10-02 19:47:26
click the generate market summary lol
2024-10-02 19:47:43
discord joins you
2024-10-02 19:48:48
oh no what will I do
2024-10-02 19:51:42
you mean other than the statements of the army that crossed it and media reports?
2024-10-02 19:52:46
non combative commandos
2024-10-02 19:57:37
no holders are just pumping one another
2024-10-02 20:02:32
lol.
2024-10-02 20:07:04
it doesn't matter.
2024-10-02 22:24:59
no has no chance. get out now.
2024-10-02 22:29:25
Aaron28a. but whatever
2024-10-02 23:39:55
that's lotto mentality
2024-10-02 23:40:13
lotto would be better place for your $ tho
2024-10-03 00:51:30
So why the resolution requests made later being voted as an early request?
2024-10-03 01:24:02
There are multiple reso requests
2024-10-03 01:29:03
If you click the second one it’s 98 percent
2024-10-03 20:43:26
ipsos no doubt looking to get out of polling, right? Washington, D.C., October 2, 2024 [link removed]
2024-10-03 21:02:32
@Justifax ok, sure, devastating.
2024-10-04 21:18:45
I assume "an US missile" means a missile launched by the US.
2024-10-06 01:59:42
Lol
2024-10-06 03:03:40
alright bring out the November market
2024-10-06 03:05:07
That's the wrong clade. This is for the new-fangled clade 1.
2024-10-07 00:37:34
lol, sell half now at 85c if you're freaking out about it. Though seems like a good bet to me.
2024-10-07 18:58:27
Who proposed a resolution
2024-10-08 00:23:01
I'm seeing cat 3 landfall.
2024-10-08 23:17:37
this market still discovering price after a week
2024-10-09 21:00:13
BRO, they only proposed
2024-10-09 21:19:53
What could be more surprising than attacking Iran during a holy day.
2024-10-10 02:18:04
Trump and his campaign have each refused another debate about 5x and we're getting very close to election, but some people still think he'll change his mind. I genuinely don't understand what they are thinking.
2024-10-10 02:31:57
What will it take to convince you people.
2024-10-12 17:42:38
I'd say the odds are pretty much the same (though that has weird resolution). there's a negligible chance she gets to 60%.
2024-10-13 02:17:08
X is more pro trump than fox news. Its main purpose is electing trump.
2024-10-13 02:28:52
I’d pay good money to understand why people smarter than me are holding 2 debates
2024-10-13 23:02:25
he obviously doing it
2024-10-14 19:21:24
right but why
2024-10-14 21:21:46
in what sense
2024-10-15 01:57:14
I had that thought for a second and then I realized a podcast isn't a suitable platform for a debate.
2024-10-15 04:07:24
plz explain the case for no.
2024-10-15 05:42:16
Elon said Trump will be going on before Trump did. Rogan podcast account has been tweeting about all of this.
2024-10-15 19:39:08
Why does Israel keep telling the press they're going to attack.
2024-10-15 19:42:04
can you read?
2024-10-15 19:57:03
... I don't understand the point of these leaks one way or the other.
2024-10-15 21:08:22
why 20 minutes
2024-10-15 21:10:11
reverse price decay?!
2024-10-15 21:56:21
I initially thought they wanted to gauge possible US and especially Iranian responses.
2024-10-16 00:27:33
why would the Bet-David guy know
2024-10-16 02:17:45
Not sure what will happen but a bunch of brainwashed losers holding 'no'.
2024-10-16 02:26:13
how long was this up: NCEI products and services are now available. Many data products continue to be updated as a result of the outage caused by Hurricane Helene. We apologize for any inconvenience. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov
2024-10-16 03:39:37
please deposit more $
2024-10-16 03:54:01
many people are saying Israel destroyed Iran's oil refinery
2024-10-16 05:44:00
Marist H +5
2024-10-16 19:14:31
What? It's just a really good national poll. It doesn't handpick its results and it's the most notable new poll out there. OFC it's in the model now.
2024-10-17 00:16:42
Watch the end of the interview. He was tellinh her over and over again they were out of time
2024-10-17 00:26:18
He’s lying. He said she was the 1 who cut it short
2024-10-17 00:38:39
Wut? He said she cut it short. That wasn't true. Instead of admitting it you insult me.
2024-10-17 00:40:30
The phrase "cut it short" means to end something earlier than planned or expected. It could refer to stopping a conversation, event, or activity prematurely. For example, if a meeting is supposed to last an hour but ends after 30 minutes, you might say it was "cut short."
2024-10-17 00:50:56
ouch that sucks
2024-10-17 00:52:28
sorry I'm trying to parse what someone means by what he actually says.
2024-10-17 00:55:21
then you better sell eh?
2024-10-17 01:05:19
you're making less and less sense
2024-10-17 01:09:17
honestly don't think anything happened. just someone blowing fat fingering and never bothering to set limit orders.
2024-10-17 01:24:06
There’s no market buy with limited slippage tolerance right?
2024-10-17 02:05:33
It's not the same thing.
2024-10-17 21:38:57
yes I do. set default to limit.
2024-10-17 21:41:15
Kamala is not great at interviews. Trump is worse.
2024-10-19 04:08:08
just hold and stop digging hole.
2024-10-20 05:06:19
xijinping plz pump
2024-10-20 20:53:19
After the Fox News disaster Kamala has no choice but to go on Rogan
2024-10-21 20:35:29
the suburbs are blue. the rurals are very red.
2024-10-21 21:41:09
Strikes imminent!
2024-10-22 00:41:34
We need a second derivative market: who will be favorite in this market two days before Election Day.
2024-10-22 00:57:03
why do yall get so attached to particular days
2024-10-22 17:35:05
lol.
2024-10-22 17:36:06
thanks for your contribution
2024-10-22 17:38:40
Americans won't vote against Ronald McDonald.
2024-10-22 17:46:59
probably all just a coincidence
2024-10-23 00:39:59
I wish Joe Rogan hadn't blocked me on X
2024-10-23 00:52:38
my sole reply was calling his brain health supplement snake oil.
2024-10-23 01:03:01
well it obviously does absolutely nothing, at best. meanwhile he's anti covid vaccine.
2024-10-24 17:35:23
Douglas and El Paso are mixed rural/subs. Most of Boulder and Jefferson are subs. Douglas went 7 points for Trump in 2020, Jefferson went +18.5 for Biden.
2024-10-24 17:40:35
Colorado the most educated state and surprisingly urban. MAGA thrives on poorly educated rurals.
2024-10-25 03:50:35
This is a headline: Vice President Kamala Harris will make not an appearance on Joe Rogan's podcast before Election Day, her campaign confirmed Thursday.
2024-10-25 03:51:54
not sure they actually said this.
2024-10-26 00:05:14
boring
2024-10-29 05:38:46
Ah shucks it won't let me cross the book
2024-10-29 13:52:17
feel like some1 knows something besides the worthless rogan tweet
2024-10-30 15:57:11
derrr voter fraud
2024-10-30 16:35:48
starting to think they're just not very smart
2024-10-30 18:27:07
Hmm any long comments fail to post.
2024-10-30 18:47:23
yup
2024-10-30 18:47:45
well something like it
2024-10-30 21:27:28
she's clearly not in touch with him (per the pod)
2024-10-30 23:03:27
That's way to the west of Iran . zoom out.
2024-11-16 04:50:39
once bites twice shy
2024-11-17 02:10:39
someone who isn't me should really do something about this.
2024-11-18 17:27:50
why does the volume matter?
2024-11-18 18:40:14
nah
2024-11-21 01:56:10
Not going to happen.
2024-11-21 06:16:04
that makes no sense. It says "confirmed". How could recess appointments be confirmed.
2024-11-21 17:31:33
Brah I hope you put something down
2024-11-22 16:15:47
1 isn't named
2024-11-27 00:27:19
CNN says hezbollah agreed according to several sources
2024-11-29 01:27:18
that's what he claimed at least. in reality she rebuffed him.
2024-11-29 05:53:43
What good does it do resolving the market with additional context rules? They just want to disempower UMA?
2024-11-30 00:27:12
Why not resolved?
2024-11-30 03:40:31
Thought this market would have more volume
2024-11-30 06:11:30
you don't understand what you're doing. and 7k won't make you rich.
2024-11-30 06:15:05
it's going to resolve YES because of the poly 'additional context' rule. that wasn't taken into consideration in the previous vote because of timeframe. Some NO holders here are just scammers buying at 0.5 cents and pumping. That's why comment section is filled with comments by NO holders.
2024-11-30 06:17:02
you can place smart safe bets and earn huge annual returns on poly. or you can place stupid bets in the forlorn hope you can win it all at once, and lose $.
2024-12-01 01:20:37
add Kash
2024-12-02 07:22:59
.....
2024-12-02 07:23:04
banned for no reason?
2024-12-02 22:31:34
DecoupleUMA is a known scammer. keep calm and keep buying NO.
2024-12-05 17:35:39
Is HTS worse or better for Syrians than the Assad regime?
2024-12-05 18:55:01
lol 70 c?
2024-12-05 19:03:00
he's just pumping
2024-12-05 19:05:25
they're not even defending Homs
2024-12-05 19:07:23
If NO wins... it's like a 1 in a million event having regime collapse within a month.
2024-12-05 19:12:19
at this stage I'd say it's worth 10-15 c. But who could have foreseen them just giving up Hama without a prolonged fight?
2024-12-06 03:30:19
Are there any signs HTS is stopping?
2024-12-06 16:17:46
welp glad I got out at 90c.
2024-12-07 22:53:47
odds for out within 2 days might be 75%. Not sure how he holds on for the rest of the month.
2024-12-07 22:58:18
The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Syria, currently available at [link removed] A consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
2024-12-07 23:23:20
that's not the same, is it?
2024-12-07 23:49:25
they obv have no idea what they're doing buying that way
2024-12-07 23:54:00
maybe he's an Assadist?
2024-12-07 23:55:25
there was someone just like this is an Iranian market who didn't read the rules correctly lol. panic sold the next hour.
2024-12-07 23:59:31
at this point that's good for YES.
2024-12-08 00:12:23
god I hope someone doesn't try to resolve this in next hour. wait like day.
2024-12-08 00:15:34
he can't negotiate because he doesn't control any territory
2024-12-08 01:14:33
god I love this site.
2024-12-08 01:16:46
if he runs away he's still president, right?
2024-12-08 01:20:37
lolol
2024-12-08 04:28:33
he can't buy it anyways. it's not for sale. in a spinoff process that will take a year.
2024-12-09 21:55:22
bro it's AI powered
2024-12-13 03:27:59
the story is based on whistle blower documents compiled years ago that eventually resulted in his termination
2024-12-13 05:36:10
The 4th no is obviously Curtis who isn’t up for re election for six years
2024-12-26 01:52:46
link
2025-01-19 20:21:50
is effect defined anywhere?
2025-02-12 17:35:08
The rules are freaking terrible. Are we betting on releasing a client list or just documents that name people who we already knew were associated with Epstein?
2025-02-12 18:05:50
I don't take the rules literally anymore when they conflict with the market title. Poly tends to just ignore them. E.g. I don't think releasing documents with Maxwell's name would count.
2025-02-12 19:23:54
he's joking/pumping
2025-02-28 19:45:35
that went well
2025-03-07 01:45:10
this is the dumbest market yet
2025-03-18 23:30:48
I’m sure the gov has kept definitive proof of its own involvement in assassinating a president which no one leaked and which it will now release
2025-03-18 23:41:27
Are the docs even new
2025-03-18 23:49:37
That market was a scam
2025-03-18 23:51:06
Definitive evidence is an impossible standard anyways
2025-03-19 05:00:25
IT'S A SCAM!
2025-03-19 05:01:12
mountainman told you it was a scam but you didn't listen!
2025-03-19 05:04:25
This account is not considered definitive evidence of government involvement in JFK’s assassination. While the narrative about Gary Underhill is intriguing and has fueled various conspiracy theories over the years, several key points are important: Anecdotal Nature: The quotes you provided appear to be anecdotal and lack independent, corroborated verification. For evidence to be considered definitive, it typically requires multiple reliable sources and documentation that can be independently confirmed. Context and Corroboration: Even if the statements are found in newly released files, the context in which they were made, any potential redactions, and the lack of additional corroborative evidence mean that this account alone does not establish a causal link between the CIA (or any government agency) and the assassination. Historical Consensus: Extensive investigations, including the Warren Commission and later reviews, have not conclusively implicated any government entity in a conspiracy. While some researchers and theorists point to details like these to support their views, mainstream historians have not accepted them as conclusive proof.
2025-03-19 05:08:59
Definitive evidence imo would be e.g. the CIA admitting a clique of officers in the CIA assassinated JFK and discussing coverup
2025-03-19 05:16:59
the document doesn't even quote him directly.
2025-03-19 20:09:21
scam market
2025-03-22 16:33:17
yeah these rules are indefensible. how could they not specify whether a partial ceasefire counts (Black Sea ceasefire).
2025-03-24 02:21:58
it's actually 'in' not actually 'for', correct? IRS says "During Fiscal Year (FY) 2023, the IRS collected nearly $4.7 trillion in gross taxes"
2025-03-31 21:45:34
what does that mean
2025-04-01 01:04:10
how are they going to indict anyone in 3 months based on a public release that hasn't happened yet. The time frame is impossible.
2025-04-01 14:57:37
lol it's 89 cent for 3 months. not much of a value even though I agree Trump won't fire anyone for staggering incompetence.
2025-04-03 17:00:53
I think he went on a flight with Epstein anyways. a lot of the others have even more tangental connections (or none at all)
2025-04-04 00:02:33
I doubt it happens but to my mind it's not based on a public release if this was part of an ongoing effort
2025-04-04 20:59:03
never pay attention to car obviously
2025-04-04 21:17:45
they changed the article lol
2025-04-04 21:24:35
yes...
2025-04-04 21:25:55
is that wrong?
2025-04-04 21:40:24
I didn't know he had already flipped back...
2025-04-04 22:21:03
this market doesn't make any sense
2025-04-04 22:31:21
it's legally enforceable regardless of whether he signs an extension with no legal authority
2025-04-04 22:55:40
I dunno how it could ever come into compliance with law without selling, yet the rules seem to contemplate that
2025-04-04 22:57:04
Also the first executive order was never effective under the law because he signed it too late. So the rules are nonsense.
2025-04-04 23:18:00
how is it nonsense LOL. It's all correct.
2025-04-04 23:18:45
read the rules carefully. it should have resolved YES the minute it was formed
2025-04-05 04:50:09
Executive orders aren’t laws. It doesn’t need to be struck down by a court cause it ain’t law
2025-04-05 05:02:36
Is no betting on a precedent misapplying clear the clear language of the rules ?
2025-04-05 05:17:16
The factual question here whether he signed a second EO extended the first one. BUT the Eos providing an extension of time for Tiktok to sell are not issued under any legal authority, since the president could only extend the deadline once by 75 days under certain conditions which were never met.
2025-04-05 05:27:34
WSJ and CNN (according to 1 source) say he signed it but WSJ article might just be poorly written.
2025-04-05 15:33:46
no they aren't
2025-04-05 18:08:26
what happened
2025-04-05 20:33:42
Well shit
2025-04-07 15:25:35
I dont get it. no order has been published by midnight April 5. What's the argument for yes?
2025-04-07 15:35:43
oh lol.
2025-04-07 15:37:22
So.. the rules just don't matter then?
2025-04-07 15:39:48
There's no ambiguity though. The text is not published.
2025-04-07 15:44:52
that's not the issue. All the others ones have shown up in other places by now just not the federal register
2025-04-07 15:45:19
ambiguity has not been established. there's clearly no published text lol.
2025-04-07 16:00:00
showed up on the presidential actions page a day later
2025-04-07 16:01:16
I'm just bitching because it's such an awful interpretation of the rules
2025-04-07 17:16:28
why
2025-04-07 19:48:11
UMA isn't that bad. polymarket has made some of the dumbest calls through market clarifications (additional context)
2025-04-08 15:32:04
for backdating an EO lol
2025-04-09 01:08:47
is it?
2025-04-09 01:10:47
this is crazy. bankrupt businesses.
2025-04-09 05:50:00
we're a nation of morons
2025-04-09 06:48:56
(no offense to anyone who voted for the fascist man-child)
2025-04-09 16:44:59
huh
2025-04-09 18:10:26
the rules say even if new tariffs are lowered or paused
2025-04-14 02:31:01
lol wut?
2025-04-15 18:36:27
I don't see any rules cuck unless musk eliminates BEA...
2025-04-17 01:14:10
Nothing was in place q1
2025-04-19 17:14:05
Be hilarious if this market ended based on an easter ceasefire (though Zelenskyy likely won't accept).
2025-04-19 17:17:45
"To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least the temporary end of the Ukraine-Russia military conflict." I don't think this is indicative of a temporary end to the conflict. At least that's the excuse UMA whales will make for voting NO.
2025-04-19 18:27:28
Zelenskyy said Russia was continuing to fire on Ukraine.
2025-04-19 19:00:06
how is there not a block feature on here. incredible.
2025-04-19 20:17:36
[link removed]
2025-04-19 21:09:27
when's the next pump?
2025-04-19 21:17:04
there's no ceasefire whatsoever.
2025-04-19 22:18:27
people might wanna check the end date
2025-04-19 22:21:24
wtf
2025-04-19 22:24:30
well duh
2025-04-19 22:25:15
SCAM!!!!!
2025-04-20 23:30:08
trump won't stand for this sort of incompetence
2025-04-21 17:50:10
not sure why they'd publish story with one anonymous source.
2025-04-21 19:36:02
and you're out
2025-04-21 19:37:51
tend to agree. but there's going to be another story and dunno who would leak that they're looking for a replacement to NPR
2025-04-21 20:49:26
Can polymarket at least proofread the rules? This is embarrassing.
2025-04-22 04:02:34
someone buy my shares
2025-04-23 14:19:44
lol China already imposed enormous reciprocal tariffs. if he unilaterally suspends tariffs he'd have to rely on their good graces to reverse those.
2025-04-25 21:44:46
just look at his activity. half the time he's pumping the position he's selling.
2025-04-25 21:46:55
he's currently selling yes
2025-04-29 01:44:45
can we wrap this up
2025-04-29 02:09:50
unable to sell anything
2025-04-29 02:15:57
screw off
2025-04-29 02:24:28
aren't they going to form gov immediately
2025-04-29 03:28:11
rules cuck?
2025-04-29 07:12:28
he lost and I won 16 cents.
2025-04-29 15:55:46
INSIDERS?!
2025-04-29 15:56:04
if only nominal gdp was measured in euros
2025-04-29 21:21:10
what does that mean the trajectory outpaces 2025... ENSO effects not significant for air temps except in first 4 months.
2025-04-29 22:24:47
it can be satisfied early genius. Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
2025-04-29 22:35:35
what's the argument for yes given confiscation doesnt' count?
2025-04-30 01:46:02
People should know whales who are betting on this get to vote on outcome. You’re just feeding them.
2025-04-30 01:49:44
Cause I want free money
2025-04-30 01:52:07
Look at the holders who won hundreds of thousands
2025-04-30 02:00:10
I don't think your argument is unreasonable even given the part "hat the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves." But you will lose.
2025-04-30 03:15:49
that's what I'm saying but it's somewhat speculative. I don't know who specifically votes but the same whales holding positions in market are allowed to , and do, vote on outcomes.
2025-04-30 06:32:43
lol
2025-04-30 06:34:07
this should be worth way more than recession market imo
2025-04-30 16:28:29
10% tariff had like no effect since tranches of china tariffs were already in place from his first term.
2025-05-01 04:02:01
omg the refs
2025-05-01 04:07:34
just give em the game
2025-05-01 04:39:35
wut
2025-05-01 04:40:08
wut?
2025-05-01 04:42:34
Gobear and Randle underrated. Wolves would torch Warriors imo.
2025-05-01 04:46:23
could be
2025-05-01 20:25:47
lol incredible
2025-05-01 20:43:04
I guess it's ambiguous but sure seems like a development deal for minerals not a trade deal...
2025-05-01 20:47:24
Imagine buying no earlier at 80+ c and losing over this. I'd be pissed.
2025-05-01 20:56:51
that's where you're wrong. don't believe in poly.
2025-05-01 21:01:13
huh?
2025-05-01 21:01:47
Hurray!!
2025-05-01 21:03:24
man I should've bought more. this seemed like the most probable outcome
2025-05-01 21:04:11
read the rules: they added an additional context that resolves the market.
2025-05-01 21:04:40
facts have never stopped them before
2025-05-01 21:05:28
whales do control UMA though.. right?
2025-05-01 21:06:05
I don't think UMA is completely driven in their interests but it still sucks.
2025-05-03 18:32:57
so plea agreements would count provided he pleas to a felony?
2025-05-05 18:47:14
INSIDERS!?
2025-05-08 05:27:16
aenews2 lost the market where he was betting the mineral deal with ukraine would count as a tariff/trade deal. I don't know why you'll think he's scamming anyone. In my experience he's quite honest.
2025-05-08 05:34:30
he bet the same amount that the fed wouldn't raise interest rates.
2025-05-08 05:35:41
6-7k
2025-05-08 05:38:26
I was there. he lost 22k.
2025-05-08 05:39:46
unless you're talking about the interest rate market, where ya he didn't lose but he obviously wasn't scamming
2025-05-08 05:40:03
you want cheap NO shares I guess
2025-05-08 05:49:33
I thought domer is gay was domer
2025-05-08 22:47:56
morons
2025-05-09 16:17:34
It's happening!
2025-05-10 14:43:29
I don't understand... has russia indicated in anyway they actually want a ceasefire? Russia is asking for unilateral disarmament of Ukraine.
2025-05-10 15:49:08
not true
2025-05-10 18:17:47
SOON
2025-05-10 19:35:10
SOON
2025-05-10 21:29:19
iNSidERS?
2025-05-10 21:31:11
is this ever going to happen
2025-05-10 22:24:40
Putin is sort of a dick
2025-05-10 22:32:12
Peskov already said today they rejected demands
2025-05-10 22:35:03
And Russia rejected it already once today yet you think he’ll suddenly change his mind
2025-05-10 22:54:01
lmao
2025-05-10 22:55:18
he's rejecting the demand that there be a ceasefire prior to negotiations lol
2025-05-10 22:59:59
Russia only wants a ceasefire if Ukraine demilitarizes so it can be more easily invaded, which is a non-starter.
2025-05-10 23:02:10
maybe. these things have a way of dragging themselves out. if you look at similar sized conflicts in the past many go on for years and years.
2025-05-10 23:38:43
yup
2025-05-11 19:35:08
that clarification was almost restating the rules verbatim...
2025-05-11 19:40:20
you think this counts?
2025-05-11 19:45:14
What are you basing that on? What clarification suggests an informal agreement to negotiate counts as a deal?
2025-05-11 19:53:22
thanks for sharing that.
2025-05-11 19:55:30
he hasn't rejected a ceasefire for over 10 hours!
2025-05-11 19:59:58
Comment section is filled with yes pumpers and scammers.
2025-05-11 20:09:58
wasn't saying you personally.
2025-05-12 03:19:48
Why does no one want to bet on this?
2025-05-12 22:30:50
think he signed
2025-05-14 20:00:18
goddamnit
2025-05-16 04:34:34
Something happened
2025-05-16 04:53:38
Israel’s gov is disgraceful . Starving children bombing hospitals and schools
2025-05-16 05:11:13
heh I just looked at the price history and it went to 90 c
2025-05-16 05:17:55
why did it get so high?
2025-05-16 05:52:11
The way I read the rules 1,000+ is necessary but not sufficient for yes... jk
2025-05-17 19:03:14
anticipating pump?
2025-05-17 19:16:51
"He and I will meet, and I think we'll solve it or maybe not," Mr. Trump said. "At least we'll know. And if we don't solve it, it'll be very interesting."
2025-05-18 22:39:58
how is this 8 c lol. It's worth next to nothing. Putin has repeatedly indicated he doesn't want a ceasefire.
2025-05-19 06:45:54
grab the liquidity
2025-05-19 06:50:23
how dare Zelenskyy zealously advocate of this country just cause his country is being invaded by genocidal maniac
2025-05-25 02:26:01
lol betting against a 40 point lead near the end of the 3rd quarter
2025-05-27 15:39:43
it's simply not true. just an impression people have
2025-06-12 03:07:21
pacers are just as good
2025-06-14 03:29:53
ahh Pacers were so close. now all is basically lost.
2025-06-23 00:38:47
lol that sucks
2025-07-03 19:12:35
clarification says no wins
2025-07-03 20:08:02
that's not how it works
2025-07-03 20:09:09
the clarifications don't ever close the markets, the UMA voters just always follow them.
2025-07-03 20:11:17
also guess who is deciding whether there was suit or not. The top NO holders. you're just feeding them.
2025-07-03 20:14:05
that was posted June 25. read the clarification.
2025-07-03 20:21:43
the funny part is that you know how the system works. NO holders are voting with UMA tokens on the outcome. All the big YES holders have lost 10s of thousands on this site. yet you'll still would rather lose money and complain about the system than win a couple cents.
2025-07-03 20:24:06
the clarification decides the outcome of the market lol. it doesn't matter what you think of it.
2025-07-03 23:10:09
ofc not.
2025-07-03 23:19:02
I don't have any UMA tokens I'm just telling you what's happening. you think UMA is a scam yet you're still risking money on the outcome of UMA.
2025-07-03 23:23:17
I don't hold UMA tokens, but I know how it works. you can't claim fraud against poly or UMA if you put your money into something you know is a scam, because you have no reasonable reliance.
2025-07-08 06:33:11
THEY DIDNT. POLY ISSUED A CLARIFICATION FFS. you and others like you are just drawn to trying to hit the jack pot on idiotic lottery bets.
2025-07-08 06:38:03
lol I love all the people who bought all these cheap shares after June thinking you hit a jackpot even though everyone told you UMA had decided the same issue 3x times and poly issued a rule clarification. You guys should really try suing poly and UMA on the basis that the outfit was 'objectively' a suit (as if that's an objective determination).
2025-07-08 06:45:40
Because one side is certain to win?
2025-07-08 06:52:47
You guys who bought after the rule clarification at a couple cents can't claim fraud because you knew exactly what you were getting into (reasonable reliance is an element of fraud). and then you hav the nerve to be so self-righteous about it even when anyone tells you what you're doing is the same as lighting money on fire. my only sympathy is for people who actually held yes earlier, though there is ambiguity imo.
2025-07-09 17:00:14
Yeah don't get it.
2025-07-10 19:40:35
Lot of good candidates for the award but Trump's the only one nominated by a leader perpetrating ethnic cleansing.
2025-07-12 00:51:37
suicide is illegal!
2025-07-12 02:24:11
"the the incident... involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play"
2025-07-13 15:07:04
Cuomo is leading Adams in the polls and it isn't close..
2025-07-13 15:08:21
Even Adams' own poll had Cuomo up 10 points lol
2025-07-14 21:45:25
what's wrong with Argentina yes
2025-07-15 16:31:13
how would that qualify as a previously unreleased file
2025-07-17 01:17:39
[link removed]
2025-07-17 01:18:18
"The announcement of the deal is on hold as Trump finishes assessing additional tariffs on other countries before August 1st, the date when the tariffs become effective."
2025-07-17 18:49:35
this market ends in 2 weeks
2025-07-17 19:44:18
if prices raises you can take profit and reduce risk
2025-07-18 00:32:08
it's an enigma
2025-07-18 06:26:17
Very unclear they will even release it. you can generally only demand grand jury testimony be released in connection with another judicial proceeding.
2025-07-18 15:46:14
I doubt it meets the legal standard to be unsealed anyways. From what I can tell, the vast majority of courts will only unseal grand jury testimony if another judicial proceeding depends on it.
2025-07-18 21:53:44
wrong day
2025-07-18 21:54:44
nothing would distract from the Epstein stuff as well as announcing a trade deal with Argentina
2025-07-18 22:11:54
nevermind
2025-07-27 19:10:14
tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement
2025-07-27 19:10:52
wen argentina?
2025-07-27 21:05:58
I would not sell.
2025-07-27 21:12:17
imo just wait it out bro. don't sell at 30 c.
2025-07-29 22:43:54
boy are they taking their time.
2025-07-30 02:55:00
buy more NO?
2025-07-30 22:16:17
trading4fridge pump and dump. already did it once.
2025-07-30 22:25:26
you immediately sell at like 50 cents and delete previous comment
2025-07-30 22:35:17
they have to officially announce it or it doesn't count
2025-07-30 22:36:07
also yes, I'm trying to buy.
2025-07-30 22:38:14
how bout pumping it down instead
2025-07-30 22:39:18
why are you giving out that information instead of buying it at 33 cents. obviously you don't think it's worth much.
2025-07-31 01:53:11
Adams is still 8 c too expensive. This isn't hard.
2025-07-31 05:04:13
any1 else lose their balance?
2025-07-31 05:08:06
somehow more than half my positions aren't showing up on this site
2025-07-31 05:08:23
phew
2025-07-31 05:13:13
I'm not worried but can only trade w/ cash
2025-07-31 05:16:50
*by and large that is
2025-07-31 05:17:42
hopefully someone didn't hack poly
2025-07-31 06:40:42
it's dumb the china deal just rides on Trump's announcement. Every substantive requirement is satisfied... but thems the rules.
2025-07-31 20:32:21
might he deign to tell us what they are
2025-08-01 00:20:58
lol o well
2025-08-01 00:23:11
Were these stories from Argentina newspapers that are not reputable
2025-08-01 03:59:41
can they start to pretend to negotiate again
2025-08-11 10:07:52
damn I thought the FBI was the national guard
2025-08-11 21:44:12
it's not "actual deployment"
2025-08-11 22:07:00
That's future tense bro
2025-08-11 22:19:41
"For now, Troops WILL focus..." It's mixed, not enough to support resolution IMO. Need some confirmation they're actually doing something.
2025-08-11 22:42:42
stay implies you are already there.
2025-08-11 22:45:06
I think it's ambiguous. you can construct sentences with that construction that have either meaning.
2025-08-11 23:50:04
Any mode that requires a licensed driver to be seated in the vehicle, or for a human (on-site or remote) to continuously supervise the driving performance or remain ready to intervene at any moment, will not qualify.
2025-08-12 00:03:34
Meh it's absolutely the right outcome.
2025-08-12 00:14:48
No. the last couple of paragraphs clearly say there can't be any supervision by a person except in emergency situations, regardless if they're remote.
2025-08-12 02:58:23
that's not actual deployment tho
2025-08-12 03:12:16
noice
2025-08-12 03:14:36
It says encampment today lol. reporting tomorrow.
2025-08-12 03:15:13
wut
2025-08-12 03:38:15
That order says District of Colombia National Guard are encamped in Washington DC. Duh? The question is if they're actively deployed
2025-08-12 03:41:19
If non-DC national guard were ordered deployed into Washington DC on Monday this market might resolve Yes. But this is the DC National Guard.
2025-08-12 03:57:17
This isn't an active deployment until they report.
2025-08-12 04:09:56
Nah it's just ambiguous.
2025-08-12 04:10:54
This is what Grok when I ask it not as a leading question "Under standard interpretations of National Guard activation orders pursuant to 32 [link removed]. Section 502(f), the active deployment effectively commences on the reporting date, as this is when personnel begin their required duties at the station, enter full active status for operational purposes, and assemble for the encampment's purpose of responding to short-notice directions. The period listed likely encompasses the overall authorization window, including any immediate activation for notification or pay eligibility, but physical deployment and reporting align with the 12th."
2025-08-12 04:16:55
Wut
2025-08-12 04:18:00
What happened? Is it bugged out?
2025-08-12 04:20:09
lol. I was just gonna market sell the last of my shares.
2025-08-12 04:21:29
yeah I think the clarification is correct
2025-08-12 04:25:31
It's not just they aren't public facing it's that they aren't doing anything or reporting. That said, I concede to the expertise of JRPerry and guessing the clarification was correct.
2025-08-12 04:28:10
how possible?!
2025-08-12 04:39:08
Was that correct though?
2025-08-12 04:45:46
You won cause the deployment order
2025-08-12 04:46:05
why didn't you buy yes
2025-08-12 04:53:39
where does it say that
2025-08-12 04:58:34
I think they just misstated the date
2025-08-12 05:55:56
says who lol
2025-08-12 06:16:58
it was out before midnight e.t.
2025-08-12 06:19:10
you're just a scammer
2025-08-15 21:35:44
get help
2025-08-15 23:06:10
SAD!
2025-08-16 02:49:31
it's almost as if he's making it all up after getting nowhere. almost..
2025-08-16 07:57:31
yes. lol. you might be better off not betting.
2025-08-17 20:22:21
why didn't they put in Ashby or Uribe
2025-08-18 00:38:08
Rubio says peace is imminent, likely only hours away.
2025-08-19 17:18:25
why still double digits
2025-08-19 17:20:01
yes
2025-08-19 17:29:38
loooool
2025-08-19 18:49:37
The rules completely contradict themselves. Clause number 2 can not be squared with the flush paragraph.
2025-08-19 19:09:55
Wtf
2025-08-19 19:14:36
U insider?!
2025-08-20 18:59:40
yippee ya yooooo yippeee yippee yaaaaaaaaaaaaaa ghost rider in the sky
2025-08-23 03:01:29
they're down the instance they are filled because he sets limit orders well above market
2025-08-25 02:26:41
what happened
2025-08-25 05:38:21
I loved the comment from a yes holder when price was ~30 cents about whether people really thought Trump was just lying to us... Might have been the trilateral market.
2025-08-26 22:16:44
no trial needed apparently. guess who was actually convicted of bank fraud.
2025-08-29 23:26:05
It’s amusing that it’s conceivable he could pardon Epstein co conspirator.
2025-08-31 18:14:28
why is this 95 cents?
2025-08-31 18:36:12
in the meantime trump cut another 5 billion in foreign aid today
2025-08-31 18:57:17
nice to see so many americans imbibing propaganda from dictators like Putin about NGOs
2025-08-31 21:37:25
yeah it's not as if this thing is staged. prolly a coincidence it's right at the threshold without 5 hours to go.
2025-09-02 00:21:34
can they give them post-humosly
2025-09-02 08:26:32
it's nice of you to tell others
2025-09-02 17:49:58
anti-social behavior gone!
2025-09-02 21:02:43
he's very sick. going to die.
2025-09-02 21:53:29
Trump isn't dead
2025-09-05 02:55:39
doesn't matter
2025-09-05 03:03:22
No it doesn't. It never says it has to be unsupervised.
2025-09-05 03:08:19
yes
2025-09-05 03:12:35
ask them to record a video
2025-09-05 03:23:58
Eh we need poly to issue a clarification
2025-09-05 03:53:50
a small fraction of bettors who are prolly automated copying odds from smartest sites take all the money for sports bets.
2025-09-05 16:50:36
I don't think that matters under the rules but maybe. the tech is exactly the same, they're just required to have a driver in driver's seat and not call it a robotaxis..
2025-09-06 23:30:13
That's just plain wrong lol.
2025-09-06 23:37:25
No bro read the goddamn rules
2025-09-07 20:08:30
Go ISHIBA!!!
2025-09-07 20:08:48
YOU FOCKING IDIOTS!!!!!!!!!
2025-09-07 20:10:44
yeah I agree
2025-09-07 20:15:50
I don't think that matters
2025-09-08 04:59:59
my intuition is scotus affirms appeals to help Rs in midterms
2025-09-10 03:22:15
someone alert Hamas' negotiators
2025-09-10 05:13:52
uh
2025-09-10 21:03:15
take it to zero!
2025-09-12 06:42:55
it's open to the public at this point. the waitlist is just cause there are only 30 or 40 vehicles. anyone can try to get a ride. the real issue is whether the regulatory approval level controls over the actual operational facts. I don't see how the regulatory approval matters.
2025-09-12 07:49:13
how no market about Clippers' penalty
2025-09-13 08:27:02
should be under 2.5 cents even if he had a mini stroke
2025-09-13 08:39:45
I thought this was a joke
2025-09-13 09:06:06
then bet NO genius
2025-09-13 18:20:06
I think drones crashing into the ground are a bit different than airplanes deliberately crashing into towers
2025-09-13 18:20:49
unless the drones have explosives attached
2025-09-22 03:21:30
Well the UK market resolved
2025-09-22 21:37:42
nonsense. They're going to official recognize Belgium at the UN.
2025-09-24 07:02:09
Well he should get some sort of award for alerting the world to the dangers of vaccines, wind mills, the UN and Tylenol.
2025-09-24 18:58:29
read rules
2025-09-24 19:01:11
Trump and Wikoff probably are off in lalaland likely making a deal, which we are assured will work, that has no support from either side, which poly bettors will fall for yet again
2025-09-25 02:43:43
no that was Canada
2025-09-27 18:14:40
what
2025-09-29 18:41:39
lol what happened
2025-09-30 01:24:23
Anyone sensible believed it before the invasion actually began
2025-10-01 20:12:51
I bet they already selected the winner and they would never pick trump regardless.
2025-10-03 06:37:21
this is a really creepy thing to bet on
2025-10-03 16:49:28
you're all freaks
2025-10-05 22:53:48
wut lol. that's moronic.
2025-10-07 08:27:33
weird af
2025-10-07 19:18:06
crazy price for less than 3 months
2025-10-09 07:08:51
if they gave one to Kissinger for Vietnam I suppose they could give one to Trump for this...
2025-10-09 07:17:25
it'd be like US journalists, scientist or universities deciding to give their highest awards to Trump. 95%+ of what he stands for they oppose and vice versa.
2025-10-09 08:02:01
when is this announced? in an hour or 25 hours?
2025-10-09 08:04:27
you're just mashing together random facts
2025-10-09 08:07:28
oh ok you're implying some jewish conspiracy
2025-10-09 08:53:15
smh you're forgetting international jewery controls Norway
2025-10-11 01:33:55
why is December worth only 2 cents more than November
2025-10-11 05:40:17
This thing already gone on a month people. You should be valuing the extra time brackets more, namely December.
2025-10-11 09:43:58
Bro you're -$11k.
2025-10-11 09:47:50
every market I've been in has paid out...
2025-10-15 19:16:37
I told you people... Though i'd wait for price to settle again
2025-10-16 18:40:12
Plz take it back up to 22 c
2025-10-16 18:42:58
It's really happening, isn't it.
2025-10-17 06:12:26
Owen0s and FatPhantom obvious scammers
2025-10-17 06:32:54
loool.
2025-10-17 06:38:13
satoshiAncap talks a big game but he only has $3k on NO Mamdani
2025-10-17 06:38:49
you only have $3,000 on it. put your money where your mouth is.
2025-10-18 06:34:52
Falun Gong crap. lies from conspiratorial MAGA outlets.
2025-10-18 16:18:18
according to what
2025-10-18 16:37:04
what sources then
2025-10-18 16:39:31
basically every winning account on YES appears to have won money via the election and then lost afterwards.
2025-10-18 16:42:28
Xi is the expeller lol
2025-10-20 19:28:28
uh huh
2025-11-11 06:25:19
Seattle should be #1 you fools!
2025-11-15 02:20:19
brokennn
2025-11-16 19:41:31
go jags
2025-11-23 07:01:31
nothing gonna happen... unless it does. and it might.
2025-12-03 04:52:11
uh
2025-12-05 17:31:17
everyone has caught up to open ai
2025-12-06 04:30:34
the thunder r good
2025-12-07 22:36:20
yeah I can seem to buy anything
2025-12-09 20:18:05
there are no drug boats
2025-12-10 05:50:46
all I see is random losing accounts flocking to AI and selling everything else tbh
2025-12-10 05:53:21
only 1 big purchases from a new account on yes AI
2025-12-10 06:08:32
I dunno it's more popular now but less novel. 69 cents would be too high but people think there's a leak.
2025-12-13 20:58:37
what? how?
2025-12-16 17:54:57
THE END IS NEIGH!
2025-12-17 17:53:06
to whom
2025-12-17 18:11:09
no it won't be.
2025-12-17 18:13:54
the site is malfunctioning with portfolio worth, yes?
2025-12-17 18:21:12
what if he's trying to make us think he's stupid
2025-12-17 19:31:16
yes, everything is broken.
2025-12-17 20:16:10
it's not enough to satisfy the bet, but it still relates to it.
2025-12-17 22:42:49
did it happen
2025-12-17 22:47:02
it must have happened
2025-12-18 02:02:41
lies lies lies lies lies
2025-12-18 02:14:27
up is down
2025-12-18 10:11:23
So bet on it ffs
2025-12-18 22:30:19
they've entered a number of ceasefires since 1917...
2025-12-19 01:10:00
there are at least 5 major ceasefires. you can look em up. It's not really relevant anyways since I don't believe the the past conduct of leaders of USSR/Russia offer a special insight into Putin's decision. I'd be more interested in Putin's history of signing ceasefires and dictators like him and how long similar wars have lasted. I'd imagine that the probability of Russia collapsing is much smaller than signing a ceasefire, though perhaps you're right it's something worth considering.
2025-12-19 17:29:26
Anyone else has stuck shares they're not allowed to sell?
2025-12-19 17:54:38
We told ya Seahawks #1.
2025-12-19 18:02:34
if we only had a little more time but this time is all we have
2025-12-19 18:03:49
idiots?
2025-12-19 21:50:26
Pretty sure there's tons of new files guys
2025-12-19 22:13:16
please stop giving yes free money.
2025-12-19 22:15:48
lol i can't ifgure out what on earth people here are thinking
2025-12-21 07:06:10
Wow, if 49ers win out they get the #1 seed, right? That's crazy.
2025-12-21 07:08:01
no, I'm betting different amounts on different teams according to their price.
2025-12-22 03:06:15
and seahawks which is a long shot
2025-12-22 04:27:25
maybe. i didn't have eagles, bills, chiefs, or ravens.
2025-12-22 04:59:15
happened
2025-12-22 04:59:21
what?
2025-12-22 07:12:30
what's the hopeless degenerate to meteorologist ratio in these markets?
2025-12-24 04:11:27
i'm willing to part with my spurs shares for the low low price of 11 cents per shares. get em before they run out!
2025-12-25 18:20:37
k
2025-12-25 20:38:08
SAS is confidently gaining points and is approaching the season leaders
2025-12-26 06:20:35
it's not manipulated. they're just blowing money .
2025-12-27 22:02:05
der
2025-12-29 04:35:47
holy cow that was close. Bears are pretty good.
2025-12-29 07:45:56
clearly either team could've won it. That said, Bears were lucky with the pick 6 and 49ers averaged more yards per run and pass play.
2025-12-30 06:35:20
you're not even favored against the Bucs. Stop making things up.
2025-12-31 05:14:51
ahh so close. should've held onto my no Dec 31 position I guess
2025-12-31 07:02:33
Oh. bizarre playoff situation.
2026-01-02 06:53:07
I thought the 49ers had secured the 5th seed if they lose Saturday but no, lol. They and the Seahawks are still undervalued
2026-01-02 07:25:42
Frankenstein certainly doesn't deserve a nomination.
2026-01-03 07:36:19
special ops
2026-01-03 07:55:51
panuc!
2026-01-03 08:03:22
just get out while ya can :)
2026-01-03 08:26:30
in retrospect i should've bought and held much more NOs
2026-01-05 04:36:40
lllooolll
2026-01-06 20:29:55
Carolina gotta be one of the worst teams to ever make the playoffs
2026-01-07 08:57:16
Wish it paid out when they're disqualified by virtue of games missed.
2026-01-08 20:53:22
you can back up your NO bids to at least 95 c
2026-01-10 06:38:02
people think Khamenei will someone go without the regime being overthrown? I don't understand.
2026-01-10 06:44:23
he wasn't shot morons
2026-01-10 06:52:39
this is ruining it
2026-01-10 06:59:40
you first
2026-01-10 22:03:26
A popular uprising will remove the supre leader but the regime won’t collapse?
2026-01-10 22:04:30
When will no fall
2026-01-10 22:06:43
How does khameni go but this resolve No and is it plausible
2026-01-10 22:18:25
But how likely is that? I think if the protests remove him they topple the whole gov. Meanwhile the chance of him dying naturally is very low in 20 days
2026-01-11 03:33:25
what in fresh hell
2026-01-11 09:25:42
that's not what happened
2026-01-11 09:26:05
great. you support murder.
2026-01-12 20:35:27
It's not over till it's over.
2026-01-13 18:10:57
ET
2026-01-13 22:00:26
just watch the video and/or look at still frames. she's turning away from the agent and the vehicle is moving way from the agent
2026-01-14 21:10:29
queue the flow scammers
2026-01-14 21:36:51
See, the protestors were shooting at them so all they did was shoot back.
2026-01-14 22:03:34
good tiems
2026-01-14 22:05:30
I dunno if even Trump knows what is happening.
2026-01-14 22:28:58
The pentagon is ordering pizza! allegedly.
2026-01-14 23:46:30
why
2026-01-14 23:50:05
ET
2026-01-15 00:30:34
Seemed like an ok beet to me
2026-01-15 00:34:18
Don’t forget the market is still open!
2026-01-15 07:26:14
an inverted poly curve
2026-01-15 07:28:35
Wtf are you people doing.
2026-01-15 19:43:34
this is not cool. you shouldn't be allowed to place huge bets right off unless you have identification verified.
2026-01-15 20:30:07
There are actual insiders. One that bet on Maduro being deposed.
2026-01-15 20:35:47
yes. The new accounts that splash a ton of money on dumb bets probably more than make up for the insiders.
2026-01-16 00:12:15
So why isn't the prize higher?
2026-01-16 00:14:35
i could've sworn it said 60 cents.
2026-01-16 19:17:22
then why are you buying yes
2026-01-17 08:03:30
wtf
2026-01-17 18:05:42
alright mr raincoat
2026-01-17 23:15:38
yes
2026-01-18 02:38:26
damn glad i had more pats than bronco
2026-01-18 08:22:01
not with Putin and MBS in the running
2026-01-18 18:00:54
there's ~13 days left dude
2026-01-18 18:18:26
they should be right up there with the Nuggets... at least. LBJ! Doncic!
2026-01-18 19:42:10
in took em months in Venezuela and Maduro didn't have reason to suspect they'd kidnap him
2026-01-18 20:19:09
wow sorry bo nix breaking his ankle inconvenienced you
2026-01-19 06:46:56
He could start bombing Norway and the price might go up to 16 cents.
2026-01-19 21:24:09
Getting rid of the tariffs would help him.
2026-01-20 00:42:09
he's a clown & a dunce
2026-01-20 08:29:40
please bet more here.
2026-01-21 08:12:53
Please add Ali Khamenei
2026-01-21 23:19:05
yes is worth nothing at all
2026-01-22 19:46:32
public to anyone?how do you know what that means?
2026-01-22 20:19:37
based on what
2026-01-23 19:59:32
good job guys
2026-01-23 21:13:31
plz take to 7 c again.
2026-01-23 21:41:24
InSIderZ
2026-01-23 22:58:33
Wtf do you reference past statemnets made by yourself.
2026-01-25 01:10:23
What is wrong with you.
2026-01-27 21:12:07
Thanks for your money
2026-01-28 01:50:56
Well she was physically charged...
2026-01-28 19:18:04
Why is Jan 31st worth 5 cents more than the 30th
2026-01-28 19:24:25
huh
2026-01-28 19:30:42
there is no Feb 1st price
2026-01-28 19:35:32
ahh
2026-01-28 19:37:13
i think people have ideas about Trump wanting to bomb when the market is closed. don't put much stock in them myself.
2026-01-29 01:13:49
because you're betting on it being staged?
2026-01-29 07:09:13
add my nuggets
2026-01-29 19:34:58
can this resolve early?
2026-01-29 19:56:12
lol
2026-01-29 21:11:36
WHat?!? no WaY!?
2026-01-29 23:15:10
i don't get it. How could it be the 30th?
2026-01-29 23:46:36
What are ya'll thinking?
2026-01-29 23:46:58
wrong
2026-01-29 23:49:19
data? what data?
2026-01-30 08:46:13
who?
2026-01-30 09:55:32
so sell
2026-01-30 10:00:48
lol
2026-01-30 10:09:43
“Stable inflation is an oxymoron because it means it’s not stable,” Shelton told CNN in a 2024 interview.
2026-01-30 10:33:44
Get yer Judys cheap while ya still can!
2026-01-30 10:56:29
boy is she nuts. and a hack.
2026-01-30 22:20:34
test
2026-01-30 22:31:00
it could still be judy
2026-01-30 22:31:23
she's like a meme coin
2026-01-31 18:18:37
the conception of a structural formation of a negotiation is progressing
2026-02-01 02:27:40
Hehe
2026-02-01 04:02:54
OMG
2026-02-01 14:26:24
i mean it does seem that way.
2026-02-01 22:46:05
wow how come judy is so cheap?!
2026-02-02 06:17:53
you're just brainwashed
2026-02-02 06:53:54
I just think it's so great we finally have concentration camps in America.
2026-02-04 02:02:44
the hornets?
2026-02-04 02:46:56
i'm dead certain I don't know what will happen here.
2026-02-04 18:48:04
Well they had talks about talks.
2026-02-04 19:50:30
what are the odds they aren't doing the same thing or worse
2026-02-04 21:19:56
lol that worked?
2026-02-04 22:45:32
giannis seems daft enough to go there to be honest.
2026-02-04 22:59:50
it's not them it's sportsbooks
2026-02-05 04:21:39
you can't stop what's coming
2026-02-05 04:40:13
THE PLOT THICKENS!
2026-02-05 04:46:59
he's untouchable!
2026-02-05 20:47:22
Why would they be waiting if they going to rule for him. They usually only stall when they'd rule against him.
2026-02-06 03:02:14
Judy no only triple a bond
2026-02-07 03:07:09
kon deserves it
2026-02-07 09:40:35
fraud below
2026-02-08 07:54:46
What's going on
2026-02-09 04:50:11
InsIDEr?!
2026-02-10 01:51:30
no one is ok
2026-02-10 02:56:14
can we wrap this up
2026-02-11 20:42:37
you HAVE?!
2026-02-12 06:44:59
please bet more on poly
2026-02-13 07:58:55
i've made dumb mistakes here before
2026-02-14 02:08:51
derrr
2026-02-14 20:33:47
but it doesn't count?
2026-02-14 20:34:00
why doesn't it count?
2026-02-14 23:11:55
Read rules
2026-02-15 22:00:09
no it hasn't
2026-02-18 00:03:37
it's just not increasing exponentially on a weekly basis anymore. new case updates have decreased per week from Feb peak.
February historically is the worst month, even last week there were more than 150 cases added, which is enough per week to take us over 1200. Plus the growth year over year is real.
2026-02-18 05:12:26
no
2026-02-18 18:38:45
make a deal!
2026-02-18 20:00:18
How many billions of dollars and lives are going to be lost preventing Iran from getting nuclear weapons because Trump broke the JCPOA out of spite for Obama.
2026-02-18 20:47:44
i thought wars were bad
2026-02-18 22:29:09
i'm pretty damn confident it won't happen before the end of Feb.
2026-02-19 06:32:47
i'm not good. This site is just filled with people dumber than I am.
2026-02-19 06:34:32
i didn't realize the Reuters article was a stub with no supporting evidence. I still think Trump doesn't want war but the odds didn't seem worth it without that article. Cost me like $750.
2026-02-21 19:13:02
who alleged it lol? not eh charging document. just some random person.
2026-02-21 19:13:24
that's such bullshit
2026-02-21 19:14:29
is someone going to dispute?
2026-02-21 19:15:47
Who alleged it? Wuold any allegation be sufficient? The charging document did not alleged it. It is not daycare fraud.
2026-02-21 19:22:47
The market is "Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...?" And this is going to resolve YES because of a feeding our families scam? lol? Because an influencer falsely alleged the daycare was fake?
2026-02-21 19:24:34
The charging document should allege the daycare is fake in keeping with the market title. Not an influencer.
2026-02-21 19:34:39
CAN SOMEONE PLEASE DISPUTE. i don't have a wallet.
2026-02-21 19:38:49
WWell i can't so if no one does it we're screwed
2026-02-21 19:43:32
Under Scott's reading a market called "Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...?" could resolve YES if an individual was e.g. charged with assaulting a child at the daycare facility.
2026-02-21 19:45:56
the influencer alleged it who kicked off the scandal.
2026-02-21 19:46:35
lol
2026-02-21 19:50:58
same
2026-02-21 19:52:10
oh good.
2026-02-21 19:53:08
lol wut
2026-02-21 19:54:24
shouldn't the rules we read to be compatible with the title when they're not in contradiction with one another?
2026-02-21 20:08:11
why must the comment section be so laggy
2026-02-21 20:27:19
traitor
2026-02-21 20:29:40
if the rules meant to refer the allegations of the influencer they would have explicitly said so, but market obviously does not agree so screw it.
2026-02-21 20:30:46
yes
2026-02-21 20:47:40
no one makes an argument, the rules are misleading/ambiguous, there are no clarifications. what the market thought yesterday is somehow completely different than with the market thought today.
2026-02-21 20:57:31
why didn't you post more than lol. Why was i the only one arguing here.
2026-02-21 20:59:58
i allege all the daycares in Minnesota to be fake. so all of them are alleged fake daycare facilities. now surely there must be someone who was working there that was deported.
2026-02-21 21:04:04
yop.
2026-02-21 21:04:34
yap.
2026-02-21 21:14:38
how come the fact that there are active negotiations in timeframe being compressed by Trump mainly viewed as affect short-term probabilities not long term?
2026-02-21 21:16:04
huh
2026-02-21 21:16:41
somebody do somethign!
2026-02-21 21:33:05
maybe if more people were making the case in the freaking comment section instead of just chilling someone would have disputed it.
2026-02-21 21:33:48
meh screw that. They're reading the rules to suggest no NO holder had any idea what they were betting on including some whales with high P/L. the market didn't drive the price near zero yesterday. If the alleged fake daycare facility bit was meant to refer to the INFLUENCER alleging the daycare facility was fake, they should have said so. Instead it's natural to read it as meaning the criminal charging document alleged the daycare facility was fake.
2026-02-21 21:34:18
Okay so why do you think the market resolved unfairly then
2026-02-21 21:39:54
but you're not answering my question.
2026-02-21 21:43:16
they're not tho imo. Trump appears to have conceded on the missiles and proxy funding, and now they're hashing out a compromise on nuclear enrichment. If they don't agree i suspect Trump will bomb Iran a couple days after the state of the Union instead of just waiting.. What would he be waiting for at that point?
2026-02-21 21:50:11
Trump isn't Israel though.
2026-02-21 21:53:19
what
2026-02-21 21:53:47
i can but i choose not to use my powers that way.
2026-02-21 21:55:01
What allegedly happened lol
2026-02-21 21:59:44
what's a nonce on chain
2026-02-21 22:02:04
if that's true ti sucks
2026-02-21 22:03:39
i had an accidental market order go through without seeing a slippage warning.
2026-02-21 22:13:32
I looked it up. the dude is right.
2026-02-21 22:16:58
a bot detected the off-chain match on the CLOB and cancelled the order before it hits the blockchain. pretty simple stuff
2026-02-21 22:20:11
what's a CLOB
2026-02-21 22:21:58
There were these golden shares just sitting there and no one bought them for months on end!
2026-02-21 22:50:11
i'm kidding i dunno what any of htis means
2026-02-21 22:51:56
did darth vader get his manhood burned off
2026-02-22 03:00:19
what is happening..
2026-02-22 23:06:52
interesting thing to bet on given Trump's uh, disorganized decision making lol.
2026-02-24 23:26:55
uhh i can't buy anything
2026-02-24 23:26:55
uhh i can't buy anything
2026-02-24 23:26:55
uhh i can't buy anything
2026-02-24 23:26:55
uhh i can't buy anything
2026-02-24 23:37:07
This site is such a disaster.
2026-02-25 07:08:23
This is cause he didn't say Iran enough in the speech?
2026-02-26 03:45:40
you're not very bright
2026-02-27 07:42:24
a single game is almost irrelevant
2026-02-27 23:01:54
hey guys, INSIDERS MIGHT NOT BE INSIDERS, guys
2026-02-28 06:11:13
I wanna tell you i can change it when you cry at night but i'd be lying... love is defying
2026-02-28 06:15:04
ouch
2026-02-28 06:17:12
wrong country
2026-02-28 06:21:14
Israel pre-empts yet again. Pre-emptively bombing every country in its vicinity.
2026-02-28 06:21:45
What on earth are you guys doing lol
2026-02-28 06:25:46
grok said it didn't happen
2026-02-28 06:26:15
I can't believe they'd leak their actual moronic plan to politico.
2026-02-28 06:28:15
why do they call the strikes pre-emptive even though Iran was activley negotiating a deal to limit its nuclear weapons
2026-02-28 06:30:46
cite something
2026-02-28 06:57:26
lol
2026-02-28 06:57:55
just cam seemed to sure. oh well.
2026-02-28 08:45:42
you bought your shares tonight and lost so only intend can be to mislead
2026-02-28 09:05:17
hello
2026-02-28 09:26:03
they can't intercept em all. need verification tho.
2026-02-28 10:40:46
lol
2026-02-28 10:40:54
2 hour
2026-03-01 01:10:40
good one
2026-03-01 04:27:19
I have it on good authority it's gonna be all over in 35 minutes
2026-03-01 05:00:23
close and pay
2026-03-01 05:21:13
i'm sure it did but nothing confirmed. was joking since it's clearly ongoing.
2026-03-01 07:20:24
handful of countries around Iran reported missile strikes. just not getting the reports about missiles launched into Iran prolly cause it's just assumed it's happening.
2026-03-01 07:34:04
That's what the market is about. Stop spamming.
2026-03-03 23:40:46
he's ded
2026-03-06 07:41:32
starting... NOW
2026-03-10 17:00:37
board of peace with only Russia and the US on it would be perfect
2026-03-10 17:01:02
board of peace with Russia, Israel and the US on it would be perfect
2026-03-14 05:43:16
no
2026-03-14 05:45:13
Iran is still right next to the channel lol.
2026-03-16 03:25:29
Hegseth is that you
2026-03-19 06:32:49
snarky reply
2026-03-23 07:48:06
the war is very unpopular and serves no purpose
2026-03-23 18:43:08
it's an injury market i think.
2026-03-24 20:17:15
it would be unbelievably stupid
2026-04-20 19:15:28
Is this a serious argument?
2026-04-21 21:38:25
i'm done with this site if an invasion market resolves YES because of a flagged vessel.
2026-05-20 19:19:35
it's dumb but not as dumb as buying yes in the first place
2026-05-22 05:12:51
if you just sell the news you probably will profit regardless of position
2026-05-22 06:15:50
in the US half the country does't believe in thermometers.
2026-05-24 02:37:47
fu
2026-05-24 02:39:14
no? i'm too lazy to figure out why.
2026-06-11 17:51:20
peace in our time!
2026-06-11 18:22:36
Trump posted it bro
2026-06-13 20:33:55
I don't understand what this takes to resolve
2026-06-18 20:18:41
yes hi?
2026-06-18 23:04:46
i imagine that if anyone bothered proposing a resolution it would resolve
2026-06-19 06:34:10
uh oh
2026-06-19 16:44:10
Ben Gvir not done killing children
2026-06-19 20:10:51
you getting ready to baseless assert Domer knew about it. i can feel it.
2026-06-19 20:15:28
wouldn't be surprised if he caused the swing in the first place
2026-06-19 20:20:39
where does that come from?
2026-06-19 20:22:20
which market is that from?
2026-06-19 20:27:14
bro that's AI generated. it's not trading advice
2026-06-19 20:33:12
The people trying to scam you are the ones in the comment section feeding you misinformation or certainty; not those silently holding a public position.
2026-06-19 21:15:02
Seems like the right call to me. Wish i had bet on it.
2026-06-22 20:09:03
This is worth like 2 cents.
2026-08-17 22:15:04
THere was a fake poll or something?