Account Information
Name:
HolyMoses7
Bio:
Road 1 dollar to 1,000,000 dollars.
Pseudonym:
Queasy-Cougar
Created:
2024-12-04 20:34:40
Last Activity:
11 minutes ago
Tier:
Silver · Verified
X:
@holy_moses7
profile-image-1522789-c42e11fc-0535-4449-9628-d1ef34735d9d.jpg
Total Profit
$160,892
Blockchain trace (5)
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8 seed HolyMoses7 |
recipient, seed, sender, user | Polygon | USDC, USDC.e | — | 15 |
| 0xf3dc4eb27787355ad1779f7db2ba9ea2dc1dc1d4 seed HolyMoses7 |
seed, sender, user | Polygon | USDC | — | 1 |
| 0x654cb060afb914f43eeae214b010fb5a4e70888b GenesisCupChampion |
recipient | Polygon | USDC, USDC.e | — | 6 |
| 0xb92fe925dc43a0ecde6c8b1a2709c170ec4fff4f | recipient | Polygon | USDC.e | — | 1 |
| 0xde540b4425ae19309c9bcf9ef8be9414a672444d GenesisCupChampion |
sender, user | Polygon | USDC.e | — | 1 |
Stats
Portfolio value
$195,390.58
Markets traded
3,547
Trades
3,513
Largest win
$116,760.00
Profile views
113,865
Join date
2024-12-04 20:34:40
All-time rank
1294
All-time PnL
$160,891.67
All-time volume
$20,707,170.56
All-time profit
$156,744.16
Lifetime volume
$20,052,989.19
PnL series latest
$156,593.14
PnL series start
$156,788.27
PnL series points
23
Weighted volume
$39,894.13
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | Yes | 120000 | $116,760.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | Yes | 87582.127014 | $70,891.86 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 | Yes | 32326.947579 | $27,708.74 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | No | 140227.872335 | $-14,623.57 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026? | No | 60399.89999700001 | $-11,867.48 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | No | 257984.47671199997 | $-11,779.20 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 158000 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $157,526.00 | $78,526.00 |
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 8445.39 | $0.94 | $0.97 | $8,183.58 | $270.86 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 16151.9368 | $0.40 | $0.47 | $7,510.65 | $976.09 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 10779.5921 | $0.54 | $0.59 | $6,413.86 | $616.26 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9006.223 | $0.31 | $0.53 | $4,728.27 | $1,894.68 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | Yes | 120000 | $116,760.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? | Yes | 87582.127014 | $70,891.86 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 | Yes | 32326.947579 | $27,708.74 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026? | Yes | 41343.464064 | $23,087.41 |
| Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes? | No | 28236.975166 | $16,394.82 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 minutes ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $0.00 | 0.87 | $0.00 |
| 11 minutes ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $0.00 | 0.02 | $0.00 |
| 11 minutes ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $0.00 | 12.12 | $0.04 |
| 12 minutes ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $0.00 | 12.124 | $0.02 |
| 12 minutes ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $0.00 | 0.2 | $0.00 |
Recent trades (3513)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 minutes ago | BUY | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $0.00 | 0.87 |
| 11 minutes ago | BUY | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $0.00 | 0.02 |
| 11 minutes ago | SELL | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $0.00 | 12.12 |
| 12 minutes ago | BUY | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $0.00 | 12.124 |
| 12 minutes ago | BUY | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | $0.00 | 0.2 |
Comments
2024-12-15 00:13:57
40%
2024-12-16 00:45:37
Sorry, I won't buy your No.
2024-12-16 13:43:47
Peace is nowhere nearby
2024-12-17 10:30:07
Today might be the day
2024-12-17 16:52:36
lmao unbeliveable
2024-12-17 21:45:44
shitcoins to the moon
2024-12-18 22:39:47
The wall is falling
2024-12-18 23:22:29
Whoever bought 500+ at 0.1 made a nice profit
2024-12-19 16:59:53
Huge
2024-12-19 19:44:50
Elon could die
2024-12-19 20:11:12
why didnt you buy at 8c
2024-12-19 20:17:46
btc dropped 10% in 2 days, can definitely go up 4%.
2024-12-20 09:07:57
450+ ftw
2024-12-20 09:14:00
wait 9 hours so you can buy it at 0
2024-12-20 09:29:43
My source is telling me Elon is waking up soon.
2024-12-20 10:33:01
yeah we are making 1k $ easy
2024-12-20 10:41:12
not really
2024-12-20 10:49:13
Who buys 500+ while 450-500 are at 0%
2024-12-20 11:05:51
i spent about 1$ on it.
2024-12-20 12:30:33
i sold half of the stack for 5$, i don't give away dollars
2024-12-20 13:45:19
The princess is awake
2024-12-20 13:45:39
3.25hours to spam x
2024-12-21 19:17:58
50% for 450+? nah
2024-12-22 09:17:27
the movement in the market is very minor in sundays
2024-12-23 14:12:14
Yeah, no way it's happening next week
2025-01-07 21:10:25
yeah apple is way too cheap here
2025-01-07 23:57:19
giving 30% to 475-499 while giving 450-474 5% is wrong in any possible way
2025-01-08 20:27:41
when's the cashout
2025-01-08 20:37:52
this market is slow
2025-01-08 21:33:36
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes".
2025-01-09 00:10:37
750+ overpriced
2025-01-09 20:59:26
most likely outcome is 678
2025-01-10 13:43:49
650-674 overpriced unless he gets an heart attack or something
2025-01-13 14:01:54
AAPL report at the 30/01, the last day for that market, could change the market drastically.
2025-01-13 16:19:09
tell me you don't know any previous hostage deals in the region without telling me you don't know that.
2025-01-13 19:24:07
i'd say it's 50-50
2025-01-14 16:33:16
no liquidity
2025-01-15 10:11:55
rules are simple, they dont mention trump
2025-01-15 17:11:37
ggwp
2025-01-15 20:58:52
only 20cent spread :)
2025-01-15 23:53:26
Elon is waking in approximately 30mins
2025-01-16 00:41:35
i wasn't far
2025-01-16 16:44:11
cabinet members won't wake up before 8am :)
2025-01-16 16:53:22
MSFT is just 10% behind atm
2025-01-16 19:43:57
8.5%~ between AAPL and MSFT, 4.5%~ between NVDA and MSFT.
2025-01-16 19:45:57
Did you hear / read what he said?
2025-01-17 02:14:34
nvda isn't doing very good lately either. MSFT is stable.
2025-01-21 21:09:28
This market is a roller coaster
2025-01-21 21:56:06
idk man, some dude panic sold 7k and filled my orders
2025-01-21 22:01:55
i had limit order on, and it was filled.
2025-01-21 23:40:25
he did say musk
2025-01-23 16:27:19
AAPL is just more likely to win I guess
2025-01-23 20:03:01
I am earning money no matter what happens. Why am i cooked?
2025-01-24 10:45:36
he just did tho
2025-01-24 10:56:54
The market says 19%, if it wasn't so, people would buy it.
2025-01-24 11:13:23
Elon is sleeping for a while, It's the AI tweeting for him
2025-01-25 16:49:44
i mentioned it a while ago, it will all come to the 30 and 31th this month
2025-01-27 10:54:18
Gosh, NVDA is -14% in premarket
2025-01-27 13:13:41
People said the same about apple when it was 7% behind
2025-01-27 13:17:50
both are reporting earnings this week, remember that.
2025-01-27 13:26:17
odds are fair
2025-01-27 13:39:12
google? they went up a bit since, only -11.5% :)
2025-01-27 20:28:00
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
2025-01-28 23:09:27
He posted 7 posts and everyone is panic selling
2025-01-28 23:34:30
Guys this market is boring come bet on the lower brackets markets
2025-01-29 14:33:05
most likely unless they show poor earnings / microsoft outperform on earnings
2025-01-29 14:37:53
we'll see in the next 2 days
2025-01-29 18:56:44
its 96 now
2025-01-30 16:33:41
Can AAPL report drop the stock 16%?
2025-01-30 20:17:54
"For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count."
2025-01-30 20:19:34
its delayed a bit, updates every few minutes.
2025-01-30 23:50:41
Guys stop coping
2025-01-31 12:01:19
so he can't post 25 posts in 5 hours?
2025-01-31 12:06:48
325-349 is too cheap
2025-01-31 12:18:55
buying 275-299 at 55cent right now is insane.
2025-01-31 12:30:32
350+ isnt 2% guys
2025-01-31 12:36:27
cope
2025-02-02 19:57:08
lower than 400 is overpriced
2025-02-02 21:23:09
who has this crazy wall on 425-449
2025-02-02 21:34:17
there was 60k on 15cent i guess they moved it up :)
2025-02-03 00:48:52
the 200k $ volume here means everything for him.
2025-02-03 16:58:25
is he reaching 450 today?
2025-02-03 17:42:29
Thats it he is done
2025-02-03 18:02:38
I sold all 425-449, the position is dead
2025-02-03 19:56:55
ok
2025-02-03 20:49:21
Even if he dies, AIElon will probably tweet with his acc
2025-02-04 19:33:19
buy no
2025-02-05 16:59:28
Friday spam
2025-02-05 17:08:02
trend is gonna shift from 650-674 to 675-699 in a bit
2025-02-05 17:15:36
575-624 is
2025-02-05 17:51:35
"other" If the next German Coalition after the election is not announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes".
2025-02-05 18:21:50
why do people pump 550-624
2025-02-05 18:25:45
people are pumping 550-624 right now.
2025-02-05 19:30:29
statistically 600-624 higher than 625-649 is wrong.
2025-02-06 18:25:01
pump 600-624 harder
2025-02-06 19:03:31
it's always cheap to burn your money bro
2025-02-06 19:53:23
Where are you Elon
2025-02-07 09:54:30
Elon is waking up in an hour
2025-02-07 10:33:53
friday morning spam is usually more than that
2025-02-07 10:42:14
cope
2025-02-07 11:06:58
My source told me that Elon just woke up
2025-02-07 12:03:04
I don't feel fucked sir
2025-02-07 12:48:02
he's gonna have to do poop soon guys, then the real spam begins.
2025-02-07 13:10:26
nah you are counting comments
2025-02-07 13:12:26
no its not
2025-02-07 13:21:56
it seems solid
2025-02-07 14:02:21
why do people pump 750+ xd
2025-02-07 14:30:43
was fun playing, see you next week
2025-02-07 14:32:54
yeah i have 2.1k for every option now idc if he posts 560 or 850
2025-02-08 21:38:56
elections could be called
2025-02-08 21:40:17
What if another team wins
2025-02-09 23:03:00
I feel you pal, i got scammed for 4k
2025-02-09 23:23:09
a dude in discord
2025-02-09 23:30:25
dmed me with Staff name and asked me to follow instructions and i dumbly did, so he got access to my previous account
2025-02-11 19:10:49
its gonna end on 500-549 guys
2025-02-11 22:05:33
70-80 posts a day
2025-02-11 23:39:56
Guys I think he will only tweet 663 this week
2025-02-12 01:45:35
CDU SPD won't have majority
2025-02-12 01:51:10
might not
2025-02-12 11:51:31
1100+ is guaranteed
2025-02-12 14:30:37
Guys dump more 800+ at 70 please
2025-02-12 15:03:21
It's over guys he died
2025-02-12 15:04:37
okay maybe he didnt
2025-02-12 17:02:35
139 posts in 2 days or 70 posts a day to reach 800.
2025-02-12 20:19:00
He is done for this week.
2025-02-13 00:58:32
Oh no, 700 is gone
2025-02-13 01:03:35
don't kill me bro
2025-02-13 09:23:21
with this pace he is reaching 3k tweets
2025-02-13 10:04:04
Guys please pump 975+ higher, he is gonna spam now for 30 hours.
2025-02-13 10:15:36
925-949 is underpriced
2025-02-13 10:21:30
No, buy more 975+
2025-02-13 11:24:21
Elon is gonna post 300 posts in 1 day guys buy 1100+
2025-02-13 14:44:05
With the huge night spam Elon made 975-999 possible, but unlikely. Most likely he will end between 900 and 949 possible 950 to 974 if he goes real mad
2025-02-13 15:27:54
it's poop time soon
2025-02-13 16:04:53
55
2025-02-13 16:11:22
"pace already slower" Tablette, 30 minutes ago
2025-02-13 18:21:22
800-824 is gonna happen
2025-02-13 18:46:15
when people put their money and pay 50% for 925+ and you say there is no chance for that to happen you are either clown or just unable to understand the market
2025-02-13 19:34:09
converted No to Yes of all other options
2025-02-13 20:47:39
840~850
2025-02-13 20:52:53
tbh i think you went too far with the 1000+ bet
2025-02-13 21:09:12
sure but 210+? that would be crazy even for musk
2025-02-13 22:45:11
nobody knows the future
2025-02-14 06:49:34
Elon isn't gonna sleep until he feels like he spammed X enough
2025-02-14 06:52:55
spoiler alert: he is gonna end between 900 and 949
2025-02-14 07:08:19
1.1k is gonna happen, don't cope bro
2025-02-14 11:15:21
First he has an important meeting with the bathroom when he wakes up
2025-02-14 14:39:44
Lets go Elon do 950 and i get 5k
2025-02-14 14:40:41
if you do limit order, someone must buy, there's a spread, you can choose market order but watch before that there are enough buy orders.
2025-02-15 18:52:10
It won't be 800-849
2025-02-15 18:55:53
i'll sell later when this 20k stack is gone
2025-02-15 19:15:13
i am selling at 72cent, buy please, ty.
2025-02-15 23:09:30
We are only 1 tweet away from 800
2025-02-16 01:01:51
why is 850-900 only at 6%, pump it higher guys i want to buy no
2025-02-16 01:15:46
If you compare this week to last week, actually, Elon is doing slightly more tweets.
2025-02-16 01:42:12
he was slow last saturday aswell.
2025-02-16 02:05:30
feb 7, 57 tweets, feb 14 81 tweets. feb 8, 80 tweets, feb 15, 64 tweets and not over.
2025-02-16 02:18:27
it counts days from 12 am to 12 am but the market is from 12pm to 12pm
2025-02-16 02:32:18
tbh it seems like he had more tweets last week on friday evening and this week on firday morning which is why it seems like this week is slower, but he has a nice pace, only time will tell if it keeps that way.
2025-02-16 10:14:35
750-799 is guaranteed
2025-02-16 10:20:08
what is considered good pnl
2025-02-16 16:33:59
Elon told me he won't spam about German elections until Saturday
2025-02-16 16:51:44
what if they lend on 29.9 or 32.1
2025-02-17 16:50:38
there are plenty of ways to win with "Other" although other options are more likely
2025-02-17 17:26:45
they may not have a majority
2025-02-17 22:34:35
which is still not CDU SDP...
2025-02-21 11:22:36
He won't pass 700
2025-02-24 16:45:57
ty for free money
2025-02-25 16:22:51
900 overpriced
2025-02-27 21:23:57
Elon told me he won't tweet much tomorrow
2025-02-28 11:55:31
Why
2025-02-28 12:03:10
it's february
2025-02-28 14:49:14
2 hours for 43 posts
2025-03-02 16:31:31
Nicusor Dan is winning
2025-03-02 16:34:19
lmk if need liquidity to buy No Dan ::)
2025-03-02 18:45:48
some dude market bought today with 40k usd he is at -20k, i guess 4k went to me
2025-03-04 16:33:32
One day Crin is 15 and Ilie is 7 and the other Ilie is 15 and Crin is 7. Guys you need to settle it down.
2025-03-04 20:28:52
tbh clearly an article bought to discourage Antonescu and his supporters
2025-03-06 16:00:43
Calin's chance to be banned from the elections been static at about 55% since 26/02 but his chance to win the elections is continuing to drop constantly from 35%~ to 20% now or about 10-15% since the date, which doesn't make much sense to me so, IMO he is kinda cheap here right now.
2025-03-06 16:02:03
also I obviously bought him at -1 cent by putting a limit offer at -1cent that got filled, stop asking
2025-03-06 16:04:15
P.S he costs more on other markets with similar and less probable rules
2025-03-06 16:11:40
doesn't sound very likely for him to not candidate if not been banned.
2025-03-06 16:11:59
based on?
2025-03-06 16:30:58
it's easy just write minus 1
2025-03-06 17:21:54
Simion will not win the elections, seems very very unlikely to me.
2025-03-06 20:17:42
Are we done pumping Bolojan for today?
2025-03-06 20:20:15
BOLODONE NOT RUNNING SEEM TO BE GOOD FOR CALIN ACCORDING TO MOST ACCURATE POLLS
2025-03-06 22:03:43
Winning the first round won't make him election's winner, but you can still bet on him winning the first round in the other market for about 30cent
2025-03-07 11:31:33
Elon will hit 650, benny32 told you guys
2025-03-07 12:38:00
exactly what i thought, ND might be popular but i don't see the coalition rallying behind him, which might make it hard for him to even reach second round.
2025-03-08 19:53:14
We will have a much clearer image in a week
2025-03-09 10:10:38
he just bought those with limit offers, average [link removed] cent, maybe he believes Ciolacu has higher than 1/200 chance to win
2025-03-09 12:48:15
can Simion gather 50% support in the second round to win any other candidate?
2025-03-09 15:45:12
How can he even post 5 posts in 1min
2025-03-09 16:09:20
not far from market median around 510-520
2025-03-09 20:22:49
Unlike Simion, Ponta has an actual chance to win the second round, I think he is undervalued compared to Simion.
2025-03-09 20:40:32
if it was done for good, he wouldn't be priced 10% on different markets.
2025-03-09 20:43:30
He has a chance, some would say it's lower and others would say it's higher, "done for good" isn't the right statement for the situation whatsoever
2025-03-09 20:56:44
. If a ban is announced, this market will remain open until the first round of the election, in order to allow for any reversals of the ban.
2025-03-10 12:01:59
Who is joining the race
2025-03-10 12:14:49
the market is currently priced under 90cent so people bet someone else will win it seems
2025-03-10 12:17:36
like AfD's victory?
2025-03-10 12:30:05
if people are selling dollars at 90cent i'll just buy some then
2025-03-10 15:37:35
Final decision expected to be this time tomorrow
2025-03-10 17:07:36
which is?
2025-03-10 17:10:47
i have some Dan, i bought No Dan cheap, selling them over time
2025-03-10 19:13:33
yeah during covid crisis, been alot worse actually
2025-03-10 19:51:32
Are we pumping Bolojan again?
2025-03-10 19:53:18
idk, I was searching for news and didn't find anything related
2025-03-11 17:17:55
Why would they ban Simion?...
2025-03-11 17:26:59
Calin at 1.8% is interesting
2025-03-11 18:37:39
i can give u exit liquidity for about 4k pieces if you need cash ^_^
2025-03-11 19:09:17
I like how people pump candidates that can't even raise 5 people to vote for them
2025-03-11 19:26:22
Guys Simion is obviously running he is just making some jokes like Ilie did, it's time to buy him before he hits 50cent
2025-03-11 20:16:02
I didn't buy him, I converted No position. people just don't buy it even for 0.1
2025-03-12 01:36:21
the lead is literally 1000 votes and the main city's votes aren't in, it could literally go anywhere. this market is way too wild.
2025-03-12 01:55:20
my 1$ bet is solid
2025-03-12 01:56:41
xD your bet is more profitable but you should sell before it goes to 0
2025-03-12 02:08:12
the entire country is merely a village, idk if the people in the cities there tend to be more democrats. Is it based on 2021 elections data?
2025-03-12 02:08:23
"cities"
2025-03-12 02:17:07
buy no on all options then :)
2025-03-12 02:18:14
Huge Shift
2025-03-12 02:23:30
And it shifts again
2025-03-12 02:36:28
Only 7 stations left, of which 4 are big including nuuk
2025-03-12 02:48:36
They update stats very weirdly
2025-03-12 02:51:34
yeap, it seems like its over
2025-03-12 03:13:44
The bot operator gonna wake up to some poor losses
2025-03-12 11:35:10
candidates can and will be added
2025-03-12 13:25:25
Anamaria Gavrila president
2025-03-12 15:57:57
I hope you guys aren't basing your bets on the polls, just check out how accurate they were on the last elections :)
2025-03-12 16:35:24
It's possible to add candidates, i been asking them to do so in discord, if you have a name in mind i'd suggest to do the same. As for solving the market, I don't think any name will be solved until a president is elected. The market clearly says any elections that will end before december, so if they cancel another elections, it could go all over again.
2025-03-12 16:44:59
my position is "other"
2025-03-12 17:46:30
didn't respond
2025-03-12 18:15:00
What is different today from yesterday that pumped lasconi from 2 to 5.5%
2025-03-12 19:08:20
it was obviously it's gonna happen
2025-03-12 19:54:28
Anamaria Gavrila is more likely to be president than Anton Pisaroglu according to a source that came to me in a dream
2025-03-12 20:18:26
There are currently 10 candidates with value, interesting
2025-03-12 20:37:29
Simion might drop out either way to support another candidate with higher winning possibility
2025-03-12 21:09:45
I converted alot of No previously
2025-03-13 00:32:50
well they keep doing so no matter how many NO Dan you gonna buy if you want to load. If nobody is willing to load No on Dan, perhaps the price justifies something.
2025-03-13 16:15:16
My 2 cents on Dan and Lasconi, this two are basically fighting for the same electorate, both of them running will make it very possible none of them will reach the second run, very likely Antonescu and one of Calin's mates will be able to reach higher number of votes than each of them. Dan being 40% seems way off to me, I don't see a reason for him to worth more than twice Antonescu. Dan is popular in Bucharest, yeah, but reaching the second round will be the main issue for him.
2025-03-13 16:23:23
that said, if Dan reaches second round, he will very likely win.
2025-03-13 16:24:23
So, you are saying people here are giving 4% chance to win the elections to a candidate that is only able to get 2% of the votes?
2025-03-13 16:48:44
Interesting theory.
2025-03-13 17:56:06
I didn't say she is going to the second, I said she would take enough votes from ND to make him not qualify.
2025-03-13 23:08:06
He is gonna post soon
2025-03-13 23:11:42
hey don't make fun of him
2025-03-13 23:15:47
tired? its barely evening for him
2025-03-13 23:23:58
it must be 450-474 then!
2025-03-14 11:50:12
Elon will wake up in about 3 hours
2025-03-14 11:50:31
probably not enough to reach 525, unless he has a long poop
2025-03-14 11:51:13
nope he went back to sleep
2025-03-14 11:54:20
4 hours?
2025-03-14 11:55:23
There's about 30% chance Anamaria will run instead of Simion
2025-03-14 12:02:35
yeap
2025-03-14 12:21:40
550+ is cheap
2025-03-14 12:43:02
People think Elon is awake you guys should cope more
2025-03-14 13:10:32
you must be kidding to think that Dan could reach second round with Antonescu
2025-03-14 13:11:36
What is this cope dude, he literally stood with her saying "one of us will candidate to be the next president"
2025-03-14 13:16:58
she literally had about 7% votes in the elections for her party few months ago
2025-03-14 13:43:35
I doubt that, she will probably peak around 10%
2025-03-14 14:06:33
I am deloading some, will keep 5k~
2025-03-15 20:00:13
Or, take enough votes from coalition and usr members to make Ponta vs Simion second round
2025-03-16 00:52:29
May god have mercy on the people keep buying Ilie and Calin
2025-03-16 09:57:23
People in the lower brackets will keep coping and shocking when Elon tweets then panic sell, never changes
2025-03-16 10:09:02
just buy what is cheap and sell what isn't
2025-03-16 10:09:06
life is simple
2025-03-16 10:14:18
So is Teodor Nitulescu
2025-03-16 17:18:44
Okay, guys i'll admit my bet on Anamaria wasn't my best bet yet
2025-03-16 17:19:57
no chance it happens atp
2025-03-16 20:06:36
people wish to give away free money, why not to just grab it
2025-03-16 20:16:15
if you mean over 30% by "no way", then sure.
2025-03-17 11:08:16
People sending CCR complaints against Simion just to drop his price and buy him in polymarket, unbeliveable :)
2025-03-17 12:43:36
sell
2025-03-17 16:20:00
Is that some kind of ajoke
2025-03-17 16:46:54
there were elections, George Simion didn't win those elections. New elections are a new thing.
2025-03-17 19:58:23
why don't you buy gavirla NO?
2025-03-17 20:19:35
you don't have to hold it for 2 months, once she drops from the race she will drop to zero or almost zero
2025-03-17 20:24:34
She will probably go around were Pisaroglou and Sosoca are, bots and people have 10Ks of her from converting NO. I would buy if i knew she is gonna quit from the race but it seem uncertain atm
2025-03-17 22:35:51
your math is way off, he needs 2.7 posts per hour or 65.5 per day, which is kinda average.
2025-03-17 22:37:58
Guys, he needs 65 posts a day to reach 400, which is kinda average. Don't pump u400 to 100% just yet.
2025-03-17 22:46:38
I said kinda, the guy is very unpredictable. tbh 400-450 probably are overpriced, u400 is priced okay at 30-40%
2025-03-17 23:12:59
600-624 overpriced
2025-03-17 23:13:27
not really
2025-03-17 23:18:14
its overpriced by atleast 0.1%
2025-03-17 23:25:21
3$ profit
2025-03-17 23:25:51
you can negrisk it
2025-03-17 23:28:27
sure it did, and i can remember atleast one time that they all went to 0 eventually, maybe twice, I am not ceratin.
2025-03-17 23:33:30
Someone sold his 3k 600-624 so you can't now, but you could buy them all for the 0.1% profit, on how exactly to do it without exposing your money to an actual 0.2% lose risk, I would leave that for you to think sir.
2025-03-18 00:22:40
its over
2025-03-18 00:41:09
lucky you sold your No yesterday :)
2025-03-18 00:43:35
rules aren't solved just yet, need concensus of reoports or one side to declare its over
2025-03-18 00:56:50
all official news in Israel are "ceasefire is over"
2025-03-18 01:20:02
Official announcement by minister of defense.
2025-03-18 11:37:26
500-524 overpriced
2025-03-18 11:51:56
525-549 also overpriced
2025-03-18 11:58:46
ok
2025-03-18 12:59:21
Why are you buying PS then
2025-03-18 13:22:07
you are invisible, buy yourself a stock sir
2025-03-18 13:27:24
I won't remove the holders check to read your comments, good bye sir.
2025-03-18 13:47:52
I have the Holders filter checked so I don't see spam and phishing
2025-03-18 13:52:17
i'll buy 100k no at 5cent if you think its free money
2025-03-18 14:15:42
Elon posted once, u400 is gonna drop 20c
2025-03-18 14:17:32
So are you saying u400 is overpriced?
2025-03-18 14:27:46
The spam begins u400 50cent soon
2025-03-18 15:42:10
wasn't talking about you, but most annoying spammy comments are from non-holders
2025-03-18 17:10:38
So someone is buying 400k Gavrila at 2.5cent thats interesting
2025-03-18 17:40:47
https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-most-seats-in-canadian-election cheaper no conservative win
2025-03-18 17:44:19
guys give some love to 475-499 for my exit liquditiy
2025-03-18 18:17:57
Israel threaten to annex Gaza territory for any hostage damaged. Would be easy to blame them for previously damaged hostages and annex some land
2025-03-18 18:29:49
published in N12 by Amit Segal
2025-03-18 18:31:30
https://x.com/N12News/status/1902062743928406171
2025-03-18 18:47:13
so we can make more money
2025-03-18 19:41:34
Sorry but i told you guys
2025-03-19 17:37:17
I told you guys, I am better than benny32
2025-03-19 19:22:38
is 365 impossible?
2025-03-19 20:29:00
He could die
2025-03-19 22:11:10
Elon forgot his password
2025-03-19 23:55:57
min just dropped by 4, My 325-349 No is not happy
2025-03-20 00:02:49
1 dollar
2025-03-20 00:06:12
i am serious, you can check this account (my old account) logs, it all started from 1$ https://polymarket.com/profile/0xcab86679648b91f837c7db5009af90e0913329f3
2025-03-20 00:11:11
panic sell in 3...2...1...
2025-03-20 00:22:02
I try to buy when I think the market price isn't right, based on polls, analysis, statistics or other similar markets.
2025-03-20 00:31:32
good luck sir
2025-03-20 00:49:53
email scam
2025-03-20 21:12:03
he won't post 475 posts, selling your bet at 113$ isn't a dishonor sir
2025-03-21 13:29:34
benny32 told you guys, its gonna end at 425-449.
2025-03-21 13:29:47
unless he is gonna make it 450-455
2025-03-21 14:03:53
thats where the stats have no actual meaning. obviously he could tweet 0 or 50 in 2 hours, and the stats makes 0 use.
2025-03-21 14:17:41
idk what is your math behind the scenes. but he obviously had times he did 0 tweets or more than 10.
2025-03-22 20:45:24
okay, i'll trust you although you your data is incorrect
2025-03-23 17:53:51
Hey @0x8245ea0d5A476678Cb354B69e136908F0757EbeD-1721011077908 nice position
2025-03-23 20:43:26
converted a no position on different party. I am not in much profit on the portugal elections position, maybe 1%.
2025-03-23 22:17:17
yeah i didn't really make any profit on it
2025-03-26 15:44:18
He is very unlikely to tweet below 460 tweets
2025-03-26 16:02:16
2 days left, 340 tweets in.
2025-03-26 16:16:03
are you taking into account everyday ever or only wednesdays and thursdays
2025-03-26 16:30:59
80 tweets a day? thats average
2025-03-26 16:40:01
on wednesday and thursday
2025-03-26 16:59:53
nope
2025-03-27 17:26:48
me too i love all the muslims
2025-03-29 21:38:27
good buy on 300-324
2025-03-30 18:20:54
Trudeau is leading in the polls
2025-04-01 21:36:00
To all my haters in X I say, we'll see who is gonna win! [link removed]
2025-04-02 18:23:15
Israel targetting T4 airbase in syria according to local reports, Turkey has been trying to seize this base.
2025-04-02 18:33:36
the turks are trying to seize the base, they could have deployment in the base already.
2025-04-02 22:19:58
PP is worth no more than 25% tops, actual odds could go as low as 20% since he could theoretically catch up a bit, but why the heck would people keep spamming 100ks of offers to buy him at 30c wth is wrong with you guys
2025-04-04 15:15:40
I call it guys, 350-374 won
2025-04-07 17:23:52
ty
2025-04-09 19:04:09
load up Nos
2025-04-10 14:55:21
Polls aren't good for Pierre guys, Trudeau is winning
2025-04-10 19:17:27
Carney is done [link removed]
2025-04-10 19:31:40
Someone will have to replace Carney
2025-04-15 15:28:23
how being wrong for the first time feels? you are negative alot
2025-04-17 00:04:46
Jagmeet killed it! healthcare! healthcare! healthcare!
2025-04-20 19:30:31
People are underestimating the power of Indian Canadians
2025-04-21 17:33:58
Everybody likes pizza, the pizza guy will win
2025-04-22 09:32:56
Yes, please. I have a lot of him for sale :)
2025-04-22 09:36:18
I have 5.1k of your lovely candidate
2025-04-22 19:13:46
ask here in comments and discord
2025-04-26 18:49:47
cause there's 20c spread, there are buyers at 5c and sellers at 25c
2025-04-26 21:22:07
People can't use their brains when setting a bet
2025-04-26 23:10:38
We are going to have a black pope.
2025-04-30 08:17:30
There is no new prime minister elected. Why is Pierre and other candidates resolving to No?
2025-04-30 08:20:50
they dont have majority, and its not true
2025-04-30 12:30:49
Anyone could still be prime minister, it could be Trudeau, it could be PP, it could be Jagmeet. stop resolving all those markets
2025-04-30 12:32:30
"Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Canada is instated by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."
2025-04-30 12:50:24
The Canadians aren't voting directly to prime minister.
2025-05-01 19:57:55
new options will be added sooner or later. no new pope means no new pope.
2025-05-01 22:58:41
they have polling, they just suck at it
2025-05-02 10:38:08
free bond
2025-05-04 00:47:35
how is that shocking if he is priced 20%
2025-05-04 15:07:10
Ponta vs Dan second round will be surprising
2025-05-04 21:42:11
When are they cancelling the second round
2025-05-04 21:44:14
are you certain?
2025-05-05 16:33:41
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".
2025-05-05 17:36:34
rules
2025-05-09 08:46:19
The fact that he is even tweeting during his sleep makes it possible for 325-349 to hit
2025-05-09 10:51:12
What should i buy benny
2025-05-09 11:02:20
@Exertoh isn't a scammer. It's legit
2025-05-09 11:06:06
Elon is always and everywhere based. No matters where he is
2025-05-09 11:24:49
why are you hiding here instead of joining the discord and pinging @exertoig
2025-05-09 11:35:20
Are you scared we are gonna hug you too hard?
2025-05-12 08:58:15
What can be considered more a humanitarian pause than a simple pause for few hours to release a hostage?
2025-05-12 10:36:52
Free money
2025-05-12 10:48:37
smaller betters try to make higher yield, think they could win if Dan wins. Whales are trying to make the x1.5 here, they wouldn't throw hundreds of thousands if this wasn't a good bet.
2025-05-12 16:46:49
So you guys pumped Dan 10% to dump it back to the price he started at. Congratsulations
2025-05-13 09:41:30
is it?
2025-05-13 13:02:53
You guys either didn't read the full sentence or you used poor translation
2025-05-13 13:32:08
he said the operation could be delayed if an agreement is reached in the next few days.
2025-05-13 13:32:16
in the very same sentence
2025-05-13 15:53:09
he didnt say that tho
2025-05-13 15:58:17
you didn't read the whole sentence. he said there could be a temporary ceasefire with an agreement of releasing 10 israeli hostages. that won't be a pause like with the american citizen. it will be a ceasefire.
2025-05-16 12:37:52
not the first time this happens, obviously this dudes are making profits from insiders information, either they get it from IDF, USA CENTCOM, Saudi Arabia or Egypt. The order you set in the market was your own mistake, please go to metzah to make them check if the leak in inside idf tho
2025-05-17 17:50:08
the thing is that the local population is more biased, so yeah, maybe polymarket knows better
2025-05-25 23:30:11
I voted for ABOP, duderr voted for ABOP, those are already 2 ABOP votes. I think we should propose as we have a consensus
2025-05-27 10:32:20
well you keep selling them at lose, obviously you didn't lose them
2025-05-28 11:23:18
You guys aren't wrong, most estimations show 70-72%, but this market is only about valid votes. I.E you are gonna lose 0.5-1% votes as they are invalid, the chance for 72.5/73%+ isn't any close to 50%.
2025-05-28 19:39:37
first round wasn't 67.31%, 0.5% were invalid votes which don't count according to the rules.
2025-05-31 21:09:30
I like the fact that people keep ignoring the fact that 0.5% to possibly 1% of the votes are expected to be invalid votes. I.E will need 72.5 or 73%+ for highest bracket. Estimates are still around 71%, nothing ever happens.
2025-06-01 10:30:00
high turnout = rafal or karol win
2025-06-01 11:39:19
turnout isnt doing great, is it?
2025-06-01 11:44:02
why 80%, it will be 120% bro, its exponential
2025-06-01 11:44:29
and only 1% higher than 2020 when it was 60%
2025-06-01 11:45:52
64.5
2025-06-01 11:46:52
i like the excitment and panic, only issue it turnout by 12pm basically means nothing
2025-06-01 11:57:33
lower turnout in first hours can end higher, or lower, happend before.
2025-06-01 13:47:54
Initial numbers suggest Holownia has the lead
2025-06-01 15:29:26
we need to make a fundraising to buy more copium to MAGA7
2025-06-05 18:06:18
BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL
2025-06-05 18:06:43
MUSK 2028
2025-06-05 22:48:51
@Exertoh where is the higher brackets market you promised?
2025-06-06 02:08:16
great buy 30k$ on no 305-319 at 99.9c
2025-06-06 02:09:43
top risk management
2025-06-06 02:11:09
you lost 23$
2025-06-06 12:36:45
I am here to remind you that you should only bet what you can afford to lose, and definitely not kill yourself if you do.
2025-06-08 11:37:14
Defense Minister Israel Katz: "I have instructed the IDF to act so that the 'Madeleine' flotilla does not reach Gaza. To the anti-Semitic Greta and her friends, I say clearly: You should turn back - because you will not reach Gaza."
2025-06-08 11:42:03
Defense Minister's directive to the IDF: "Take any measures necessary to prevent the flotilla from reaching Gaza"
2025-06-08 11:56:44
isn't that a threat?
2025-06-10 10:08:19
According to UN resolution 181, Isdud is part of the Gaza Strip
2025-06-13 13:14:44
Israel claims they downed Iranian drone, Iran claims they didn't send any.
2025-06-15 02:49:06
Nothing ever happens, peace is upon us. Israel will surely not attack Iran ever again.
2025-06-15 22:15:34
They also never had war with eachother
2025-06-16 12:01:24
all the israeli media, likely by politicans and / or idf sources.
2025-06-16 14:05:28
keep coping
2025-06-17 06:56:50
Although attack today is likely, no current report suggest for certain an attack happened after 12AM ET. Explosions in Tabriz might aswell happened before this time, the General obviously died earlier. If no one has any additional information, this market is still P4.
2025-06-17 19:19:05
@flydartball are you an insider or a degen gambler?
2025-06-18 12:44:51
There were airstrike confirmed by israeli media and IDF around 3AM ET, more airstrikes are being confirmed to happen in the last hour. Good luck disputing.
2025-06-19 08:12:38
Didn't happen today yet
2025-06-19 10:00:55
Defense Minister Katz on the scene in Holon: Khamenei is a modern Hitler, directly giving orders to fire into the Israeli rear. Preventing his existence is part of the goals of the operation
2025-06-19 15:53:37
The problem is the wording - which is why i sold my "Yes", IDF says they conducted strikes in Iran "short time ago"
2025-06-19 18:29:23
Let me clarify to people trying to rig this thing on both sides, Israel did attack on the 19th of June ET. Only issue is that it's hard to confirm the attack actually happend as IDF claimed an attack happend "short time ago". As of now it's P4 which debatably could end both P2 and P1 unless further information released.
2025-06-19 18:33:21
P4 - not decided yet, need to wait for further information. P1 - no, P2 - yes.
2025-06-19 18:34:12
i just mentioned it could go both sides as of current information which is why i am not buying.
2025-06-19 19:28:40
doesn't seem so
2025-06-20 13:37:29
I like how people with 10$ balance that are probably following only Khamenei in X trying to get x100 return in this market without realizing they are buying after it already happened
2025-06-22 16:05:09
yeah guys buy my 55-60m ty
2025-06-22 17:00:02
Cute people think they can become millionaires again?
2025-06-23 20:36:51
i saw it, it happened.
2025-06-24 20:16:49
he bought after the market was over just like you guys did. essentially claimed free money as you guys donated him
2025-06-24 20:33:15
99.9 to 100 is 0.1% yield
2025-06-24 20:35:13
UMA already decided, this market resolves to Yes. As it should be, Israel obviously attacked in Iran in the 22nd of June. You guys should stop buying markets at 0.1c trying to manipulate them into resolving to the other option. you are just donating money to whales.
2025-06-24 20:38:47
500% scam
2025-06-25 20:12:26
Be more like Sandra, Be a winner, Not a whiner
2025-06-26 22:19:12
Guys can you buy more yes at 30c please
2025-06-30 18:31:16
there is no consensus although there is good israelhayom article saying it
2025-06-30 18:31:39
which ynet article?
2025-07-02 20:45:42
like if you want mango-lassi to stop spamming
2025-07-02 20:52:42
Like if you think your side should win
2025-07-03 00:10:44
I hope you guys do realize UMA voted 97% yes
2025-07-03 00:29:11
I hope.u realise I am from israel. And have friends in the army. And just recently israels iron dome defended from Iranian missiles. By recently I mean few hours ago, so no ceasefire.
2025-07-03 00:36:26
you put what, 10 shekels on yes? trying to get 1.4k$? and you think someone is scamming you? did you even read the rules of this market? USA mediated ceasefire and claimed they did, both sides agreed to not attack eachother. its settled.
2025-07-03 14:32:48
The IDF recently attacked, using an aircraft, a terrorist who was involved in smuggling weapons and promoting terrorist plots against Israeli civilians and IDF forces, on behalf of the Iranian "Quds Force"
2025-07-03 19:15:27
If ceasefire is happening, the odds for this to happen are much higher than this. Ceasefire is ~60% to happen in the next week according to the other market.
2025-07-03 19:15:56
next 2 weeks***
2025-07-03 22:37:51
Hey guys, it's me here to save you money, Hamas will release a statement tomorrow, July 4th, Friday, that they are "agreeing" to the general proposal they were sent, this proposal will then be negotiated by both sides in Doha, likely in Saturday. Glad to help you guys understand how everything works, glad to save you money. bonne apetit.
2025-07-03 23:40:36
because the general proposal by the us isnt a finalized proposal for ceasefire, yes both israel and hamas are giving positive comments on the proposal, but its not finalized, and therefore there is no ceasefire, they will need to sit down and have the final discussion for potentially making it an actual ceasefire.
2025-07-03 23:41:57
I.E none of the sides will acknowledge or announce a ceasefire is about to happen until they finalize the talks.
2025-07-03 23:52:12
Hamas is agreeing to US proposal, well not even exactly agreeing but giving positive feedback, they aren't agreeing to israeli proposal. they were also giving positive feedback in janurary.
2025-07-03 23:52:34
and last month, or two months ago, i cant remember honestly
2025-07-03 23:58:12
you don't even know how positive the feedback will be, it's not out yet.
2025-07-03 23:58:52
it's so much different, cause nobody is going to announce it until they have an actual deal
2025-07-04 00:15:46
not saying its not happening pal, its not gonna be tomorrow / today.
2025-07-06 13:52:23
Jews selling national secrets again for pennies
2025-07-06 21:17:22
Good job selling national secrets again guys
2025-07-08 15:54:49
hey moses, I am moses
2025-07-08 21:29:39
averaging down
2025-07-08 21:43:39
Sorry guys, "No" vote reached a consensus, stop buying "Yes" even if you think its right.
2025-07-09 20:36:11
I will dispute any resolution to try to close "No" Susan Wojcicki, I am certain there's another person in the world with the same name that could still potentially be the CEO of X, nonetheless, ressurection is very much possible, as Jesus has 2% to return this year.
2025-07-13 10:27:54
I am leaving a like just cause i like you benny
2025-08-07 19:43:30
benny32 what is the current tip
2025-08-12 11:17:09
Rogu is stealing our money!
2025-08-12 12:23:42
4% yield
2025-08-12 17:50:08
higher brackets is up
2025-08-13 15:41:49
most likely outcome is 512 tweets
2025-08-14 10:26:31
"People sleep" effect on the market is minor if anything, the market is quite efficient
2025-08-14 15:14:04
thanks for the 33$ donation
2025-08-16 18:57:55
This week is ending around 440. benny32 told me guys
2025-08-17 09:12:51
45-50m might be a value bet, calling it free x50 is a weird thing to say
2025-08-17 09:42:52
Obviously
2025-08-17 14:37:57
the average pace is about 39.3m
2025-08-17 14:46:27
i think value is fair
2025-08-17 16:50:09
not possible is quite an overstatement
2025-08-17 17:02:43
pace is about 39.999m
2025-08-18 01:27:12
5.9m
2025-08-20 14:52:51
22100.08163 VPH needed
2025-08-20 15:07:41
It's not even close to 12k viewes per hour
2025-08-20 15:17:26
avg is 9-10k
2025-08-20 15:20:21
9997 views last hour
2025-08-20 16:42:04
Pace going up slighlty, still below the needed VPH
2025-08-20 16:50:13
on my excel file sir
2025-08-20 17:09:49
25519.82609 VPH needed compared to 21261.82857 3 hours ago, pace isn't catching up, views are SLOW
2025-08-20 20:48:21
don't give the random guy 100$, he is probably just trying to manipulate market price. otherwise the price would be different.
2025-08-21 10:25:48
Not certain odds for 75-78 are higher than 78-81.
2025-08-23 19:57:48
Imagine thinking the houthis have missiles with multiple warheads
2025-08-23 20:39:46
Iran never used such a rocket, a claim that Iran has a functioning rocket with multiple warheads is yet to be verified
2025-08-23 21:58:35
the article doesn't say it was multiple warheads.
2025-08-24 13:22:21
but it wasnt intercepted
2025-08-24 13:27:39
IDF claims the exact opposite
2025-08-24 13:34:42
just google it
2025-08-24 17:20:41
fr, i doubted him and he was right all along
2025-08-25 16:28:14
benny32 is a real person, i saw him.
2025-08-26 04:55:32
Elections can be annulled, candidate could be unable to participate and be replaced. Basically them not reaching the second round doesn't make it practically impossible for them to win the elections.
2025-08-26 04:56:30
you can probably sell most or all your position at 99.9 if you dont want to wait 2 months
2025-08-27 19:18:04
Damascus Governorate doesn't even include the whole metro of Damascus. The attack was far south to Damascus. Thank you for your attention to this matter! Trader HoMo
2025-08-29 11:34:51
Damascus Governorate doesn't even include the whole metro of Damascus. The operation was far south to Damascus. Thank you for your attention to this matter! Trader HoMo
2025-08-31 08:51:41
according to my deep analysis this video will reach 34m to 36.5m views
2025-08-31 10:25:13
banking on the kids doesn't change the math
2025-08-31 12:10:35
Guys MrBeast is going crazy, I believe 40m is possible, he would only need 2.5m views per hour which is slightly more than double current pace
2025-08-31 12:20:03
Updated estimate 34-35.5m
2025-08-31 13:43:10
Pace is @guranteed [link removed]
2025-08-31 14:11:25
Current assessment lies around 3.47m, thank you for your attention to this matter! HoMo.
2025-08-31 14:42:45
Sir, it was just an assessment.
2025-08-31 14:56:18
Won't really be that far btw
2025-08-31 22:02:50
My current model has donations total around 42,385,915 years of water supply by 11:59PM ET, Thank you for your attention to this matter! HoMo.
2025-09-01 20:47:42
Nothing ever happens.
2025-09-03 11:01:45
Clearly just an explosion from an old ammunition as reported in various of reports
2025-09-03 19:38:41
IDF clarifies Houthis launched cluster munition into Israel this morning, it claims it was intercepted, it's unknown atm if all of some of it was intercepted.
2025-09-08 00:20:03
Israel is winning
2025-09-08 17:47:15
This is ending 84-85
2025-09-08 17:55:55
yes
2025-09-14 08:27:54
Video is heading towards like 43 to 46 mil
2025-09-14 08:29:37
okay?
2025-09-14 08:42:59
It will be after the Indians enter the room
2025-09-14 12:23:35
Likely 43-45m Unlikely to get 45-46m
2025-09-14 15:19:51
Did Relay win again
2025-09-18 12:55:04
Panicans will always panic. keep calm and double down.
2025-09-18 14:52:24
Guys remember to average down
2025-09-18 19:14:32
Did you watch the video before saying it was intercepted first?
2025-09-18 19:17:27
lmfao
2025-09-18 19:31:46
Houthis taking responsibility for the strikes, Israeli reports saying the strikes are houthi. but @[link removed] clarified it's the Syrian so we don't have a consensus
2025-09-18 19:44:50
all of them?
2025-09-18 20:08:00
The strike on Eilat
2025-09-19 13:21:14
I can assure you, Elon will post another tweet today. Thank you for your attention to this matter! HoMo
2025-09-19 13:37:12
Well, he may also post before the market ends!
2025-09-22 09:33:28
Are we trading which insiders have better information? Yes insiders or No insiders?
2025-09-22 11:44:26
It's over no holders, pack it up
2025-09-22 12:28:53
Strike cancelled, see you tomorrow
2025-09-22 13:00:55
Are you aware that posting it online is basically a crime by Israeli law?
2025-09-22 13:52:13
USDUC we all know you work in the IDF Headquarters. Hope you will soon be caught and be brought to justice. Yours HoMo.
2025-09-22 13:58:24
Israel cares JEWS are selling national secrets for pennies
2025-09-24 21:36:39
they just struck Eilat again. A strike is going to happen ma'boi
2025-09-25 07:49:02
Today is the day.
2025-09-25 08:09:54
Yesterday not many insiders were as certain as today. As of now, it simply is just too expensive to buy, not worth the risk IMO
2025-09-25 08:21:01
Indeed, those insiders are leaking non-stop
2025-09-25 08:24:20
It really depends on many variables. ATP I can hardly see how it can go "No" but still I am not gonna bet.
2025-09-25 08:39:06
I believe it's not really hard to check some of the largest holders and their past profits. Just use Betmoar
2025-09-25 08:41:22
Insidors
2025-09-25 09:10:30
He was an insider. I am 99% sure he works in IDF Headquarters, will probably make a post about him and link his profile + tag IDF, hopefully they will follow the money.
2025-09-25 09:14:24
I did make a general one. I will make another and link his profile so it will be easier to track him.
2025-09-25 09:14:44
There are atleast 5 large insiders in the market
2025-09-25 09:20:53
USDUC. They did and they would.
2025-09-25 09:21:23
Well, you are wrong
2025-09-25 09:39:40
@holy_moses7 u can follow
2025-09-25 09:40:06
Every insider can be wrong sometimes.
2025-09-25 11:52:07
How much copium does one need to think top "Yes" holders are not insiders?
2025-09-25 12:05:31
Like it never happened before
2025-09-25 12:24:57
no, its not
2025-09-25 12:55:22
logical, yes. more than 90%? no
2025-10-13 09:51:05
They released all the foreigners a while ago, he is likely deceased.
2025-10-13 13:17:44
his body was just released btw
2025-10-15 17:09:44
Arce is winning guys
2025-10-20 16:44:06
lol its 4% to tuto not Paz and it doesnt matter
2025-10-21 23:09:00
This is not a 98-2 market
2025-10-21 23:32:12
definetly not 10.1% but 10.01% is enough
2025-10-22 18:22:21
you mean remaining eligible voters, actual voters are less than it.
2025-10-30 21:16:58
D66 + VVD + GL/PVDA + CDA is GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA
2025-11-03 14:31:51
Check my X for a post about the elections, P.S market isnt rigged
2025-11-03 16:40:53
I am not interested on betting on either of them :)
2025-11-04 23:39:19
Is Adrienne Adams related to Eric Adams?
2025-11-04 23:51:06
Wait, is she not winning?
2025-11-11 17:07:24
Benny told us guys
2025-11-20 21:06:44
Does anyone know what @dumbass2 is thinking?
2025-11-21 11:35:09
ohshit
2025-11-24 13:16:22
Everything is obvious here said ColinyaSpark
2025-11-25 15:22:11
everything is coming up
2025-11-26 21:37:37
Bro picked the name GenesisCupChampion and is leading the competition. Insider or manipulation?
2025-11-27 16:20:08
Sure will bet $100k on myself like I have nothing better to do with my life bro
2025-11-27 17:39:33
It's forbidden
2025-12-04 12:17:37
An IDF insider that keeps on giving free money cause he doesn't know how to read rules. Hopefully the ShinBet will take care of him.
2025-12-04 12:18:13
yet
2025-12-08 23:18:56
All hail king Frosen, Kabuto King.
2025-12-09 17:16:30
425
2025-12-09 17:22:44
It will pay once the process will be finished. Should be in 2-3 hours.
2025-12-09 17:44:31
At the time of proposal the counter worked and showed 424.
2025-12-09 18:01:06
The number shown in the UI isn't the resolution source
2025-12-10 22:48:05
For the purposes of this market, any person or group of people will count as “humans.” This includes explicitly named individuals and their titles such as "Taylor Swift" or "Bad Bunny", general public designations such as “You” (i.e., internet users), and collective entities such as “The Protester” or “The Silence Breakers.”
2025-12-10 22:56:19
Sure. But are they named TIME person of the year? not really.
2025-12-10 23:16:10
Does anyone see any woman name on the cover?
2025-12-10 23:22:59
"Human" rules literally include collective.
2025-12-13 21:23:43
Wow, thats a brilliant idea.
2025-12-21 15:34:45
No it did not
2025-12-21 15:35:04
1 hour and 25 minutes
2025-12-21 15:42:17
Thanks :)
2025-12-21 20:18:49
No holders hoping some yes holders will "panic" sell so they can sell in profit. Do you even know what you bet on?
2025-12-21 20:23:51
But you can't win. You just donate your lunch.
2025-12-21 20:41:31
You can still sell at 0.2c, free money.
2025-12-25 18:12:49
if you see a lot of whales buying shares at 99.9c after a clarification, this is because they are dumb who risks $100,000 to get $1,000, they will not be whales for much longer
2025-12-25 18:13:13
if you see a lot of whales buying shares at 99.9c after a clarification, this is because they are dumb who risks $100,000 to get $100, they will not be whales for much longer
2025-12-27 17:25:01
You begged for people to give you money and now you bet it and call people to commit crimes?
2026-01-01 17:18:19
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Prime Minister of the Morocco Aziz Akhannouch is removed from power for any length of time between October 2, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
2026-01-01 17:18:58
Morocco has elections in September, of which Aziz isn't going to win, and likely not even participate.
2026-01-01 17:28:30
The rules were always 2026, the UI was bugged.
2026-01-02 12:20:09
We need a market if @rsabahor will be rich
2026-01-04 16:53:40
wrong
2026-01-06 23:24:34
This market is about Iran not Lebanon
2026-01-07 12:46:49
Don't click on scams in the comments
2026-01-07 13:14:21
You lost because you were tailing a person blindly. You didn't lose "because of him", you lost because of your own plays.
2026-01-07 18:11:13
Hey the count was 141, the UI is sometimes bugged
2026-01-07 18:23:27
The count in the site isn't the resolution source, the resolution source showed 141.
2026-01-10 23:07:06
Can anyone buy my shares for no in march
2026-01-10 23:46:19
68c
2026-02-03 16:28:13
You are losing $800
2026-02-12 23:59:38
It's not about racism. The arabic parties in the Israeli parliament are either Palestinian nationalists, Islamists or Communists, which makes no much sense to make government with. The islamists though are willing to negotiate with zionist parties which makes them sort of eligible to joining the gov.
2026-02-15 23:15:35
@Annica do you want to marry me?
2026-02-15 23:23:43
I want to meet Annica
2026-02-16 12:08:56
Ouch, appreciate the answer though.
2026-02-16 12:10:30
What's so funny about it?
2026-02-16 21:12:29
I personally suggested that rules should contain a paragraph that says this market will resolve to other if the parliament dissolves, but it wasn't approved by the market team.
2026-02-28 19:21:42
The US likely struck Iraq. Can we have consensus for it? I am not sure it's important enough.
2026-03-01 12:41:39
Show my message on the front page
2026-03-04 00:19:01
Is Mojtaba even alive?
2026-03-04 23:14:01
Can Therealsmurf stop spamming the comments to pump his own bags?
2026-03-16 11:45:31
you can buy no on the last bracket if you cant predict that exact day.
2026-04-08 17:35:11
I am risking 50k for $50 profit
2026-04-08 17:41:00
I am not selling buddy
2026-04-12 21:21:51
You were betting at 1:100 odds trying to x100 your money without even reading the rules and you blame the site?
2026-04-12 21:23:50
on a full calendar day BY the listed date. BY, BY, NOT ON, BY.
2026-04-17 11:03:31
Guys if you dont like poorsob, why do you keep donating him money?
2026-04-20 21:22:33
I am not scared, worst case I lose my entire net worth.
2026-05-02 20:02:20
People are retarded
2026-05-06 16:00:23
this isnt an announcement of his removal until another prime minister is chosen.
2026-05-10 20:33:15
What if the us invades iran to take it
2026-05-13 12:17:51
It's funny how clueless people are betting on this market
2026-06-13 18:52:56
He might be 90 but he is doing fine, rich authoritarian leaders can live a long life
2026-06-16 10:51:15
what.
2026-06-20 22:36:18
Bro is here o teach us with his -$370 pnl
2026-06-21 14:26:01
dissolution bill is literal dissolving of the knesset
2026-06-24 21:07:47
It's wrong
2026-06-26 07:59:38
read it again
2026-07-12 16:35:20
ty for the slop
2026-08-05 22:56:37
So you think he would destroy his reputation? (currently most popular political journalist in Israel) to make 5k in poly?
2026-08-13 22:53:43
yes
2026-08-18 08:42:33
How is Yair Lapid going to win?