Account Information

Name: Roeman
Bio: Peace not war
Pseudonym: Defiant-Gamebird
Created: 2024-09-05 22:39:40
Last Activity: 1 week ago
Tier: Tier 0
Profile IMG_2776.webp
Total Profit $4,064

Stats

Portfolio value $4,125.26
Markets traded 921
Trades 921
Largest win $714.95
Profile views 1,955
Join date 2024-09-05 22:39:40
All-time rank 30374
All-time PnL $4,064.30
All-time volume $531,358.22
All-time profit $4,064.30
Lifetime volume $531,358.22
PnL series latest $4,064.30
PnL series start $4,318.29
PnL series points 24
Weighted volume $330.46
Geoblock allow No
Geoblock block No
Geoblock close-only No

Biggest wins & losses

Biggest wins

Biggest losses

Market Outcome Size PnL
Will Trump visit China by April 30? Yes 2249.88 $-591.98
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 1500 $-537.73
Will Trump's remarks not air? Yes 1000 $-381.47

Open positions (5+)

Market Outcome Size Avg Now Value PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 5449.9329 $0.62 $0.34 $1,880.23 $-1,477.90
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 2650.46 $0.45 $0.27 $702.37 $-488.09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes 1000 $0.80 $0.69 $690.00 $-106.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Yes 2000 $0.51 $0.23 $460.00 $-566.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes 800 $0.30 $0.22 $176.00 $-67.40

Recent activity (5+)

When Type Side Market Outcome Price Size USDC
1 week ago TRADE BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes $0.37 450 $166.50
2 weeks ago TRADE SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes $0.10 1299.9 $129.99
2 weeks ago TRADE SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes $0.10 200.1 $20.01
2 weeks ago TRADE BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes $0.30 800 $243.40
2 weeks ago TRADE SELL Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes $0.55 455.27 $250.40

Recent trades (921)

When Side Market Outcome Price Size
1 week ago BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes $0.37 450
2 weeks ago SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes $0.10 200.1
2 weeks ago BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes $0.30 800
2 weeks ago SELL Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes $0.55 455.27
2 weeks ago BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Yes $0.37 1000

Comments

2024-10-22 23:56:56 Such a rambler
2024-10-23 00:03:38 There is tren de aragua
2024-10-23 00:12:47 Border spam went crazy 😂
2024-10-23 00:33:36 Why is McDonalds no still so high
2024-10-23 00:38:33 Speech is almost over 😂
2024-10-23 00:41:40 Nvm
2024-10-23 00:55:08 Ya
2024-11-06 02:06:33 Nothing happend yet
2024-11-21 18:09:01 It is NOT night time in the eu 💀
2024-11-22 18:45:23 The biggest parties should form a coalition
2024-11-29 12:38:26 Bro does not understand markets
2024-12-02 14:07:09 He’s barely alive
2024-12-03 00:33:34 Because agents never lie? 😂
2024-12-03 20:47:32 Far from, require 8 seats
2024-12-04 00:44:45 He’ll resign
2024-12-04 12:33:15 Yeah ik, they got 192 seats that will vote for impeachment, they just need 8 more
2024-12-04 14:00:57 Read the rules of both
2024-12-05 21:13:48 Read again
2024-12-06 00:50:08 [link removed]
2024-12-06 00:54:26 [link removed]
2024-12-06 01:29:33 Crazy copium
2024-12-06 01:32:14 Bro’s cooked “ Han stressed the need to suspend Yoon’s presidential power and responsibilities, saying he has received intelligence that Yoon had attempted to use troops to arrest and detain major politicians during martial law.”
2024-12-07 19:49:27 Bro wants cheap shares
2024-12-08 02:47:42 Link?
2024-12-08 02:51:34 Source?
2024-12-08 14:08:25 💀
2024-12-08 20:54:48 You bet and lost,
2024-12-08 20:55:53 It does actually, enough creditable sources report it
2024-12-11 14:19:01 25%
2024-12-12 13:25:09 Bros beyond cooked 😂
2024-12-15 15:00:24 💀
2024-12-24 12:36:32 Read the rules
2024-12-24 15:42:24 Bro sucks at market manipulation
2024-12-24 15:44:47 Bro selling no shares 😂
2024-12-25 16:54:27 Said it 5 times in 2017
2024-12-26 02:14:40 Did you read the rules?
2024-12-27 23:40:26 EU is forcing their hand, no way they take Russia over the EU
2024-12-28 18:17:17 Guess your bias is blinding you, they are clearly retreating.
2024-12-30 00:44:45 Something called return
2024-12-30 01:49:39 Go ahead
2024-12-30 01:56:08 Rip carter.
2024-12-30 19:59:02 Self fulfilling prophecy
2025-01-01 13:54:30 Well that’s exactly what the rules say, the announcement is enough
2025-01-01 19:50:53 Donated a million
2025-01-02 11:37:46 This article is from 2014 💀
2025-01-02 16:45:42 Yeah until you get fcked once
2025-01-02 17:16:24 Bro earned 1 buck 💀
2025-01-03 16:30:17 Not even out yet
2025-01-03 18:57:45 Not happening lol
2025-01-03 19:40:27 He already said he won’t leave
2025-01-03 19:45:05 Plus his term ends in 2027 😂
2025-01-03 19:46:46 This is a 10/90 market max
2025-01-03 19:54:46 And the last time a president resigned was in 1969
2025-01-04 02:28:26 Well it hasn’t happened in 60 years
2025-01-04 22:17:42 You didn’t as it was 5 pm est
2025-01-05 01:38:35 If the war ends netanyahu is gone
2025-01-05 01:39:22 Not really, the moment the war stops he will be gone, already promised by the other parties
2025-01-05 20:03:56 😂
2025-01-06 12:23:01 Syria doesn’t even allow them to dock anymore 😂😂😂😂
2025-01-06 18:22:50 f Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution.
2025-01-07 00:27:04 Active negotiations? Aren’t even allowed to dock 😂
2025-01-09 00:54:24 Check the cams.
2025-01-09 12:29:26 https://x.com/kylenabecker/status/1877246078715674628/mediaViewer?currentTweet=1877246078715674628¤tTweetUser=kylenabecker Yes voters getting some help
2025-01-09 15:57:36 Yup
2025-01-09 17:27:33 Highly doubt that as the site has been updated once today
2025-01-09 17:29:11 Bro you are winning 14 bucks, get a job 😂
2025-01-09 17:54:55 Russian ships aren’t allowed to be in Syrian waters anymore.
2025-01-09 21:01:06 They have to wait for permission
2025-01-10 00:25:18 He has said it in nearly all of his rallies
2025-01-10 13:12:42 Thought a job was supposed to earn you money
2025-01-11 02:46:24 Land of the free or something
2025-01-11 12:41:07 No problem, you need it with that pl
2025-01-11 17:40:20 Why
2025-01-12 21:50:31 Definitely not leaving, just sending everything to do so.
2025-01-12 21:50:35 [link removed]
2025-01-13 00:03:52 Rules
2025-01-13 00:47:20 “ All military vehicles that are inoperative and require repairs have been ordered to be burned by Russian soldiers.”
2025-01-13 13:26:34 They don’t want a deal with russia.
2025-01-13 14:37:14 Russia can’t offer what the west can, already talks about removing sanctions etc
2025-01-14 13:44:55 It’s getting busyyy [link removed]
2025-01-14 18:17:37 [link removed]
2025-01-14 19:22:47 Whatever makes you sleep at night
2025-01-14 19:24:18 What 💀
2025-01-14 19:33:57 How? Look at the news
2025-01-14 19:49:36 What 💀
2025-01-14 20:42:20 No, its or
2025-01-14 20:44:40 How is that weird, rules are pretty clear
2025-01-14 20:56:16 Are you stupid? The rules are clear as day
2025-01-14 20:59:37 Nice 34 dollars, learn to read
2025-01-14 22:53:24 Bro does not understand executive orders
2025-01-14 23:17:56 Wonder what will happen 20th of Janaury, almost like there is a rush
2025-01-15 11:59:17 [link removed] 😂😂😂
2025-01-15 14:40:43 Next level cope
2025-01-15 14:52:49 Don’t think again
2025-01-15 15:38:55 Pl
2025-01-15 15:41:10 Still waiting
2025-01-15 17:04:33 They are literally waiting infront of the port 😂
2025-01-16 01:41:21 Not how these markets work
2025-01-16 13:33:22 I agree, it’s annoying
2025-01-16 15:42:04 Think you bought yes instead of no
2025-01-16 20:11:26 Can’t believe this market
2025-01-16 23:13:41 [link removed]
2025-01-16 23:13:49 You crazy
2025-01-16 23:29:22 Look at this strong alliances! [link removed]
2025-01-18 01:15:17 Mb
2025-01-18 01:20:02 I don’t understand how people think he won’t be there because they moved inside 😂
2025-01-18 01:29:19 Obviously, he has a podium seat
2025-01-18 02:37:48 Who else will he put there? He had a seat on the podium
2025-01-18 03:19:43 Site does not even have ssl 😂😂😂
2025-01-18 03:23:48 No joke anyone with a no bet get out, this is the most obvious scam I have ever seen, literal honeypot, nobody can withdraw
2025-01-18 03:29:46 Not really, removing it is sufficient
2025-01-18 03:42:40 Deleting the tweet couns so ig
2025-01-18 03:43:57 The yes votes of confidence
2025-01-18 03:44:47 Called concepts
2025-01-18 03:45:29 The only thing is that trump is crazy enough to do this, with anyone else this would have been a clear scam.
2025-01-18 12:56:11 No, they can rearrange to their liking
2025-01-18 13:08:27 [link removed] launched it
2025-01-18 13:47:44 I mean it’s true but I don’t think it’s the case
2025-01-18 15:04:11 Not what the rules say, why do you think it says any part of the ceremony
2025-01-19 01:48:29 No chance
2025-01-19 01:51:26 “ Saudi Arabia hosted a high-level diplomatic meeting on Syria’s future that notably excluded Iran and Russia - the two powers that had propped up Bashar al-Assad’s regime for over a decade.” stay home maybe
2025-01-19 15:53:43 Cant even enter their own ports 😂
2025-01-19 20:04:13 Think the voices were speaking again
2025-01-19 20:21:09 Executive actions probably
2025-01-19 21:17:26 Yeah
2025-01-19 23:05:58 Praying for you.
2025-01-19 23:26:42 Ty, and yes McDonalds is a meme bet
2025-01-19 23:47:20 Just wait and a “claim winnings” will pop up in your portfolio tab
2025-01-20 19:11:58 What a surprise that you would come to such a conclusion
2025-01-20 19:12:40 How would that not count? They will all be named individually
2025-01-20 19:20:42 https://www.justice.gov/pardon/media/1385751/dl?inline
2025-01-20 19:21:30 Doesnt say that anywhere in the rules
2025-01-20 19:25:46 Yeah kinda weird how they add rules afterwards
2025-01-20 19:36:12 Yeah I don’t understand this adding rules afterwards thing
2025-01-20 19:52:07 Why would russia want to stay in Syria? Aren’t even allowed to access their own bases anymore and the whole country hates them
2025-01-20 23:47:10 The rules are clear, the note changed everything
2025-01-20 23:52:55 He already signed like 8 and he is going to continue
2025-01-20 23:58:13 He has signed atleast 6
2025-01-21 01:06:53 Guess not
2025-01-21 01:07:43 That didn’t age well
2025-01-21 01:27:58 No resolver
2025-01-21 01:37:12 Yup, polymarket at its best, but it should obviously be a yes, he just granted so much more permission to facilitate deportations
2025-01-21 01:41:39 Nowhere does it say it has too, learn to read the rules
2025-01-21 01:44:02 Title is completely irrelevant, “ or Executive Order 13767, which strengthened border security and detention capacities related to illegal immigration are examples of Executives orders which would qualify.”
2025-01-21 01:48:09 What about the national emergency one
2025-01-21 01:52:09 https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-american-people-against-invasion/
2025-01-21 01:53:33 https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-american-people-against-invasion/
2025-01-21 01:55:25 Yeah you are correct.
2025-01-21 01:57:53 This is not even getting disputed
2025-01-21 01:59:24 Just confirmed it again at his third speech
2025-01-21 02:16:07 It doesn’t even say that, it just says it need to be done under that act 😂
2025-01-21 11:32:50 [link removed]
2025-01-21 12:37:11 You can’t figure out 1+1 either?
2025-01-21 14:04:56 Maybe you should buy more no
2025-01-21 23:34:18 Sparta 2 has docked, evacuating now.
2025-01-22 00:41:59 Its waiting right at the ports bro, he will probably go after Sparta 2
2025-01-22 00:59:54 “ Kyiv, Damascus hold 'similar view' on Russian military presence in Syria, Ukraine's Foreign Ministry says”
2025-01-22 01:20:17 Yeah the tracker doesn’t work
2025-01-22 01:52:08 I give it 2 months tops
2025-01-22 02:12:41 Syria is begging to have the sanctions removed, more than Russia could ever offer.
2025-01-22 13:09:18 What do you think sparta and sparta 2 are doing atm? And the personal has already been ordered to leave
2025-01-22 14:04:37 They have dismantled the airdefence of their naval base 💀
2025-01-22 14:11:00 “ Foreign Minister Asaad Al-Shaibani: 📌 We intend to privatize state ports and factories. 📌 We plan to invite foreign investment and enhance international trade as part of economic reforms. 📌We do not want to live on aid; the solution is easing U.S. and #EU sanctions.”
2025-01-22 14:15:40 Moscow times: “ Syria’s new government terminated a treaty granting Russia a long-term military presence in the Mediterranean, a deal brokered under ousted leader Bashar al-Assad, Syrian media reported Tuesday. The agreement, signed in 2017, extended the Russian Navy’s lease on the port of Tartus for 49 years. However, its future became uncertain after Assad was overthrown by Islamist rebels last month. The de facto authorities in Tartus reportedly annulled the agreement and demanded the immediate withdrawal of Russian forces, the Syrian opposition news outlet Shaam reported Monday, citing the regime’s ministry of information.”
2025-01-22 16:46:03 Crazy cope, look at your sources 😂
2025-01-22 17:01:08 “ We do not want to live on aid; the solution is easing U.S. and #EU sanctions.” Like this from today?
2025-01-22 17:30:37 “ "The reasons for all these [American & European] sanctions now lives in #Moscow... he is Bashar al-#Assad... the Syrian people should not be punished."”
2025-01-22 17:30:56 Syrian foreign minister
2025-01-22 18:46:09 Great talks. [link removed] they sure as hell are not talking about staying
2025-01-22 18:48:20 Maybe you have another article, about recognizing the Syrian government maybe?
2025-01-22 23:36:21 Not anymore.
2025-01-23 00:16:29 Worst market so far
2025-01-23 00:31:51 But the government confiscated his bitcoin and sold them
2025-01-23 12:52:36 “Deepstate analyst 🤖”
2025-01-24 00:01:32 British intelligence hint on lost control too
2025-01-24 12:22:51 No
2025-01-24 14:13:14 Would be weird to dismantle your air defense system in that case
2025-01-24 14:22:12 You can’t make a deal with the EU without hurting Russia nowadays. [link removed]
2025-01-24 16:49:25 Russia has nothing to offer, deal is guaranteed.
2025-01-24 22:51:32 You do understand every syrian hates russians?
2025-01-24 23:55:27 They are clearly interlinked
2025-01-25 12:48:45 “ President Donald Trump took actions Friday night aimed at reversing former president Joe Biden’s efforts to protect and expand reproductive-care access in the United States and globally. One executive order issued by Trump on Friday revokes two of Biden’s previous actions issued in the months after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in 2022, eliminating the constitutional right to an abortion.”
2025-01-25 12:49:58 “ That set of Biden-era orders had aimed to clarify domestic reproductive-care protections for women with private health insurance and insurance under the Affordable Care Act, safeguard access to medication abortion and emergency contraception, and advance reproductive-care access for Medicaid patients traveling across state lines.”
2025-01-25 16:08:49 I agree, even though the rules are pretty vague
2025-01-25 18:08:36 Yeah, at the border
2025-01-26 20:55:24 Not how panic works, nor has anyone said Russia was panicking 😂
2025-01-26 23:44:40 I don’t “speek” indeed, but it’s an exaggeration obviously, which anyone with a brain understands
2025-01-27 01:59:19 Don’t make me laugh
2025-01-28 01:13:34 100 days is tight though
2025-01-28 01:45:34 No chance that the eu would ask to remove American bases 😂
2025-01-28 01:46:01 Obviously, the EU wants to see signs of progress
2025-01-28 01:47:58 Explain why you would remove all the things essential for running a naval base if you are planning on staying 😂
2025-01-28 12:12:41 Ironic
2025-01-28 12:15:55 Right, I should trust your pro Russian sources
2025-01-28 12:21:26 The EU and the us have announced temporary lifting sanctions in exchange for certain guarantees, like no Russian military bases in Syria “ Syria has welcomed the European Union’s decision to suspend sanctions for a year, and described the decision as a “positive step towards sustainable development.”
2025-01-28 13:24:58 “ EU tells Damascus to get rid of Russian bases if it wants sanctions lifted” kinda special how you need a source for someone so logical and self explanatory 😂
2025-01-28 13:36:50 Hmm lets analyze which one of those is more realistic to be removed and be enforced by the eu, the one they hate and have been actively fighting in Ukraine or their biggest ally and fellow nato members.
2025-01-28 13:37:58 Besides that, how do you expect hts to keep their mandate when they allow their biggest enemy to continue to use their military bases which they used to help assad bomb innocent civilians with
2025-01-28 14:19:36 Yeah this discussion is useless, good luck.
2025-01-28 14:22:36 Thats your problem, you wait until everything is confirmed instead of filling in blanks logically.
2025-01-28 19:34:06 Educate me on how the current leadership will ever keep their mandate and normalize relationships with the west while working with the nr1 enemy: russia
2025-01-28 20:27:49 He thinks trump has any say on the fed decision
2025-01-28 20:51:39 I’m sticking with Turkey. “ Turkey, which backed the rebels in ousting Assad and is a rival to Russia in Syria, opposes the continuation of Moscow’s military presence in the country. It’s highly doubtful the new Syrian authorities will let Russia stay at the bases after Russian warplanes targeted opposition forces during the country’s civil war, said two senior Turkish officials.”
2025-01-28 20:59:06 “ The Turkish Ministry of Defense announces the training of Libyan Navy personnel on navigation, machinery and seafaring on board the frigate (F-494) at the Homs Joint Naval Training Center in Syria.
2025-01-28 23:18:04 He knows guys, greengasper the negotiator
2025-01-29 00:14:44 Whatever makes you sleep 😂
2025-01-29 03:13:08 Still waiting for the change
2025-01-29 10:41:58 No answer, no surprise.
2025-01-29 10:43:24 You also seem very emotional, bit scared that your bet wont hit? Degen.
2025-01-30 11:50:14 Not how negotiations work.
2025-01-31 22:47:35 Well they haven’t been declassified, the executive order just says that it needs to come up with a plan to declassify
2025-01-31 23:00:46 I know you are mad because you are losing, but don’t let it cloud your judgement.
2025-01-31 23:07:39 Tell me where I can see if any files have been declassified.
2025-01-31 23:57:44 No answer.
2025-02-01 01:10:31 Expected you to be in a position on this
2025-02-03 00:30:51 Rules
2025-02-03 11:50:20 Turkey won’t allow Russia to stay.
2025-02-03 20:02:12 The Turkiye newspaper on Monday said, “Turkey will train the country's army in two military bases it will establish in Syria.”
2025-02-04 17:57:53 Sparta iv is also heading to tartus as we speak
2025-02-04 17:58:37 Turkey says it will train syria’s navy personnel, so it wouldn’t surprise me
2025-02-05 00:15:53 He said terrorist hiding in caves in somalia
2025-02-05 02:26:36 I don’t think you really believe that as you sold your shares
2025-02-06 16:20:54 Already complaining 😂 [link removed].tr/en/world/moscow-accuses-west-of-seeking-to-push-russia-china-iran-into-secondary-role-in-syria/3471354
2025-02-06 23:03:31 Read the rules
2025-02-07 01:38:06 Basically betting on a peacedeal
2025-02-07 12:35:39 Read the rules, Russi will never agree to a peacedeal without nato guarantees
2025-02-08 02:30:03 Rules are different
2025-02-08 02:49:22 Yeah, short timeframe
2025-02-08 03:36:49 Idk read the rules
2025-02-08 03:52:22 wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontari
2025-02-08 03:52:48 Conservative Party of Canada wins a majority of seats (170 or more) in the House of Commons
2025-02-08 04:07:22 What type of weird rules are these. “
2025-02-08 04:07:30 “ Additional portions of the interview will air during the Monday, February 10 edition of "Special Report with Bret Baier." ”
2025-02-09 03:45:43 Sparta 4
2025-02-09 04:56:15 Well wait and see, US is pulling out the funding, morale is all time low, majority citizens want peace, plans are already in the making so are meeting with both leaders.
2025-02-09 04:57:48 Zelensky has already came up with alternatives for his impossible nato request.
2025-02-09 13:56:31 Yeah because there is no alternative, it’s either nuclear weapons or nato. 😂😂
2025-02-09 20:43:54 Good call, garbage market.
2025-02-09 21:45:15 The interviewer spoke more than trump
2025-02-09 23:33:37 “Could” they require Russia to deliver assad
2025-02-12 11:52:24 Remember that the Syrian authorities said they can stay if it benefits them, which is highly unlikely
2025-02-12 13:52:23 “ Syria’s relations with Iran and Russia remain an open wound for its people after those nations backed autocratic President Bashar al-Assad during the long civil war, the country’s new foreign minister said Wednesday.”
2025-02-13 00:24:54 “Essentially agreed”
2025-02-13 19:02:50 It’s not that hard tbh, Russia will only agree to a peace deal with no NATO guarantees, doesn’t matter if Ukraine or Nato is interested
2025-02-13 19:18:36 It either happens soon or not at all, immigration and budget is coming up
2025-02-14 03:40:04 This market is basically a guaranteed yes if we get a peace deal, Russia already said it won’t accept a ceasefire, also Russia will 100% demand either a freeze in nato membership or a permanent rejection.
2025-02-14 12:27:37 Yeah it’s the main priority
2025-02-14 18:23:57 [link removed]
2025-02-15 19:28:15 Nothing illegal about informing people of their rights
2025-02-15 20:09:40 Not really, dropped hard before, just a slight recovery
2025-02-17 00:18:22 [link removed]
2025-02-17 20:06:00 Does not say that at all 😂
2025-02-17 23:47:10 https://www.christianpost.com/news/rfk-jr-says-trump-wants-study-of-abortion-pill-safety.html
2025-02-18 23:20:31 Where in that quote does it say it will fully abandon talks? 😂
2025-02-19 01:35:33 Outjewed
2025-02-19 01:36:22 Where to watch?
2025-02-19 01:38:09 Now its immigration, budget and ukraine
2025-02-19 01:38:50 Thank you
2025-02-19 01:39:53 Yes I think so too
2025-02-19 01:42:33 Friday
2025-02-19 02:23:07 This interviewer is so ass 😂😂
2025-02-19 02:38:50 5
2025-02-19 02:39:43 Yeah but the interviewer himself already yaps way too much
2025-02-19 03:03:08 Why did he say “upnext more from the white house”
2025-02-19 03:05:37 “Up next more from the White House”
2025-02-19 03:08:03 You don’t say “up next more from the white house” and not continue, nor did even formally end the interview, definitely staying open
2025-02-19 11:49:54 Nope, enjoy waiting
2025-02-19 14:54:35 Lets just see what the people without positions have to say.
2025-02-19 18:04:53 Another retarded market.
2025-02-19 21:07:00 Plenty left
2025-02-19 21:34:09 Source
2025-02-20 01:56:06 Where to watch
2025-02-20 02:08:14 Thanks
2025-02-20 02:10:30 Full interview will be uploaded on fox
2025-02-20 02:22:31 Impressive play tbh
2025-02-20 02:31:28 Just waiting for the fox release
2025-02-20 02:34:34 They are releasing the full uncut interview so I don’t think so
2025-02-20 02:37:30 Rules say video evidence, not live stream
2025-02-20 02:41:12 Idk what your point is
2025-02-20 14:36:45 There will be security guarantees, but not nato.
2025-02-20 19:49:49 If they agree in a ceasefire it counts, nato will never say they can’t join
2025-02-21 00:48:44 This market is incorrect, the rules say if nothing is aired by 21 February it will be no, but the title and rules and the top say he will speak 22 February
2025-02-21 00:53:56 They probably copied the rules from todays one, but now it’s wrong, should be void
2025-02-21 02:44:01 Not really, big mistake, thought it was the one being streamed at that moment
2025-02-21 12:43:42 I think writing rules that resolve to no instantly is worse
2025-02-21 12:55:48 If you’d be able to read you could see you are stupid
2025-02-21 13:45:21 Well I kinda did, but we know polymarket.
2025-02-21 23:23:24 Could be a minor piece of info
2025-02-21 23:34:18 Not true, just delayed
2025-02-22 00:10:18 “Some are you” alright bro 😂😂😂
2025-02-22 00:26:18 Not a backdoor
2025-02-22 13:58:02 I mean apple said they’ll never make a backdoor
2025-02-23 00:03:42 Scan market, couldn’t even get the rules right.
2025-02-23 01:50:15 Halted yet?
2025-02-23 02:31:38 Stop deleting your comments 😂😂
2025-02-23 02:52:45 Very smart guy who believes in fairytales 😂
2025-02-23 03:37:45 And you know I get notifications when you tag me right? So yes you did delete comments 🤣
2025-02-23 17:31:10 .
2025-02-26 01:44:24 Its basically the same as the ceasefire one, so no.
2025-02-26 01:46:29 Halted or not?
2025-02-26 15:54:13 https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/02/26/zelensky-trump-support-ukraine-minerals/
2025-02-26 18:47:07 Guess not
2025-02-26 18:48:53 Yeah no
2025-02-26 19:16:10 Bit unrealistic
2025-02-26 19:51:29 [link removed] Once again, peacedeal in 2025 bet.
2025-02-27 18:08:03 Ukraine doesn’t even believe in nato membership themself, there will be a ceasefire, the mineral deal is part one of it
2025-02-27 19:47:02 People think that because some documents are not their yet that they won’t release anything today 😂
2025-02-27 19:55:39 No cash
2025-02-27 19:58:58 Guess not
2025-02-28 01:11:29 Obviously, it was never released by the government
2025-02-28 01:16:21 Polymarket’s twitter is irrelevant tbh
2025-02-28 01:17:25 Agree, very annoying that instead of having a fun market you have to argue about the exact rules
2025-02-28 01:17:46 You do know polymarket doesn’t settle bets right? 😂
2025-02-28 01:58:55 “ Per the rules, “this market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration publicly releases any previously classified, sealed, or unreleased files”. Despite having previously been leaked by Gawker, the “Contact Book” was a sealed document, and therefore qualifies for this market. Thus this market should resolve “Yes”.”
2025-02-28 11:54:03 His name is on page 28 😂
2025-02-28 12:42:52 Same source that resolved the rest 😂
2025-02-28 15:48:18 Why are you holding michael 😂
2025-02-28 16:07:32 Against the first amendment
2025-02-28 17:15:48 Seems unlikely coming from the people who say they love the constitution so much
2025-02-28 17:56:21 Why michael no
2025-02-28 17:57:02 Bit of a different time my man 😂
2025-02-28 20:26:40 Why would it matter 😂
2025-02-28 20:27:16 Cope, contactbook waa never released
2025-02-28 20:29:19 Never a no, the contact book is clearly related to his illegal activities
2025-02-28 20:31:04 Banned in the us
2025-02-28 20:49:00 Never official.
2025-02-28 20:54:31 Fact sheet says today
2025-02-28 23:00:48 Not how it works
2025-02-28 23:00:57 Washington post
2025-02-28 23:01:14 It does for the rules 😂
2025-02-28 23:04:43 Idk, to contact people? 🤯
2025-02-28 23:15:18 Alright man 😂
2025-02-28 23:54:32 They were supposed to sign today
2025-03-01 02:16:14 Won’t be solved in 2.5 hours as he could have signed it already
2025-03-01 11:19:35 Just the truth
2025-03-01 12:18:21 Name dropping will fit the criteria 😂
2025-03-01 13:56:42 Not how it works.
2025-03-01 17:20:48 Yeah but it will resolve too early, will have to wait and see if he might have signed but hasn’t released it publicly
2025-03-01 17:20:54 Good luck.
2025-03-01 17:24:04 No it will solve automatically too, just takes a few days
2025-03-02 00:50:59 I obviously bought the bet before the release of these files.
2025-03-02 00:51:30 That’s not the reason btw, just because he isn’t in the contactbook
2025-03-02 01:14:39 He already said he has no reason to apologize, let alone so soon
2025-03-02 01:43:43 Yup
2025-03-02 02:37:12 What?
2025-03-02 21:43:56 They will never accept a ceasefire
2025-03-04 01:56:49 Have a little patience, solved tommorow
2025-03-04 02:19:00 You are top holder my man 😂
2025-03-05 00:11:38 According to you
2025-03-05 03:33:49 Its trump
2025-03-05 03:50:07 Who is buying that my man
2025-03-05 22:28:45 I mean it’s still very early
2025-03-06 21:08:37 He was there
2025-03-07 02:47:09 Happy for what 😂
2025-03-07 15:24:33 Geert wilders is the one you should research
2025-03-07 16:45:21 No, wilders threatened to drop the coalition if his migration policies weren’t implemented
2025-03-07 23:20:34 About a month ago, and no not really
2025-03-08 01:10:30 Yeah, bronny playing for south bay
2025-03-08 02:59:21 Big mistake from poly once again though
2025-03-09 01:04:21 Exactly, just played his first second in g league
2025-03-09 01:27:43 Not even allowed, not on the list, but I think the 99.8 price reflects it
2025-03-09 12:29:31 Russia will be between m
2025-03-09 16:12:29 Nope, mid april.
2025-03-09 20:13:24 Final appeals till end of April
2025-03-09 22:40:27 Yeah your opinion doesn’t matter though, uma decides
2025-03-10 12:16:09 Do you think launch codes matter when you are in control of these weapons? 😂
2025-03-10 23:41:24 Sure bro 😂
2025-03-10 23:41:51 Maybe click on the source in the rules and scroll
2025-03-11 12:41:35 2020 was not forever
2025-03-11 18:21:22 I saw it, no chance this market settles yet
2025-03-12 01:24:05 So why are you buying yes
2025-03-12 20:57:15 No support
2025-03-13 01:40:29 Just look up visa ban Chinese students
2025-03-13 17:27:40 Second talks just started after 3 hours of no solution
2025-03-14 01:13:40 Very likely imo, was already in the 2022 agreement
2025-03-14 17:47:25 Thousands of files have been delivered
2025-03-15 00:48:37 Delivered to bondi bro, keep up with the news 😂
2025-03-16 00:24:36 Not that hard, nearly all of them have been named in court documents, not a conspiracy
2025-03-16 20:22:34 Sure bro, whatever makes you happy.
2025-03-16 23:17:21 [link removed]
2025-03-17 00:07:23 Always. Read. The. Rules
2025-03-17 11:08:11 They were ready to accept no nato membership in 2022
2025-03-17 11:46:52 Not that hard to use the internet
2025-03-17 19:26:25 Am i tripping?
2025-03-17 19:39:17 Hope so, looks like he’s in the parking lot 😂
2025-03-17 20:18:18 Haven’t even started yet
2025-03-17 20:20:58 Cap, news outlets are literally waiting’s at the podium live right now
2025-03-17 20:22:08 Coming right now
2025-03-17 20:23:19 Talking right now
2025-03-17 20:25:06 Release is tommorow
2025-03-17 20:26:19 Just announced he is releasing the kennedy files tomorrow
2025-03-17 20:27:02 Just said russia again
2025-03-17 20:36:43 I understand
2025-03-17 20:38:44 Trump kennedy center q&a final, dk if you can find it yet it was live
2025-03-17 20:51:14 Not redacted he said actually
2025-03-17 20:52:06 Yeah I think your cooked
2025-03-17 22:45:25 Yeah, when ukraine actually has us support and were winning, completely different situation
2025-03-18 11:41:36 Yes, I’m not a fortune teller
2025-03-18 18:58:07 Epstein files resolved yes 😂
2025-03-18 19:41:03 Impossible
2025-03-18 22:51:05 They have already been uploaded, guaranteed they will release today, even if it isn’t everything yet
2025-03-18 23:02:15 And media consensus
2025-03-18 23:05:50 What a surprise
2025-03-18 23:16:27 Told ya
2025-03-18 23:22:07 How would they not be related 😂
2025-03-18 23:28:13 Yeah, the files are there bro, clearly redacted 😂
2025-03-18 23:36:24 Good luck with no
2025-03-19 00:16:44 Better dispute
2025-03-19 01:41:09 It doesn’t though
2025-03-19 01:43:26 Bad loser.
2025-03-20 03:09:58 Confirmed by the white house, over.
2025-03-20 12:05:27 This is the text of the eo. “
2025-03-20 12:05:38 “ “take all necessary steps to facilitate the closure the Department of Education ”
2025-03-20 12:07:54 “ however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.” every news source calls it this 😂
2025-03-20 20:21:05 The text has already been leaked
2025-03-21 00:58:42 Didnt age well https://abcnews.go.com/amp/US/doj-pushes-fbi-review-release-epstein-files-amid/story?id=119982513
2025-03-21 15:35:21 Schizo
2025-03-21 16:22:34 Nowhere does it say it has to be on video, and the spirit of the market has been met
2025-03-21 16:52:15 Didnt age well
2025-03-21 16:52:19 Guess it was
2025-03-21 18:12:34 That is not impossible no
2025-03-21 19:26:15 Yes.
2025-03-24 11:56:24 [link removed]
2025-03-24 13:53:40 You do understand that that doesn’t mean there won’t be new names right?
2025-03-24 14:05:42 Nato doesnt want Ukraine
2025-03-28 02:17:51 [link removed]
2025-03-31 13:34:24 Time to resolve
2025-03-31 14:19:08 Obviously
2025-03-31 23:21:14 Stop listening to the voices in your head
2025-04-02 18:05:45 You hold yes 😂
2025-04-02 20:43:57 China: 34% European Union: 20% South Korea: 25% India: 26% Vietnam: 46% Taiwan: 32% Japan: 24% Thailand: 36% Switzerland: 31% Indonesia: 32% Malaysia: 24% Cambodia: 49% United Kingdom: 10% South Africa: 30% Brazil: 10% Bangladesh: 37% Singapore: 10% Israel: 17% Philippines: 17% Chile: 10% Australia: 10% Pakistan: 29% Turkey: 10% Sri Lanka: 44% Colombia: 10%
2025-04-02 21:19:11 Bad attempt at scamming
2025-04-02 21:28:42 He is out already
2025-04-02 22:08:31 No, as it’s not tariff for all countries
2025-04-02 22:15:50 Read the rules
2025-04-02 22:54:43 Clear yes on all named countries, the part of “general tariff” only means that if he had implemented a tariff on every single import from every country It would be no
2025-04-02 23:52:28 Would love some clarification
2025-04-03 00:11:13 Not a global tariff when you don’t tariff every country
2025-04-03 00:49:45 Exactly, just don’t make these markets if they are impossible to settle yes
2025-04-03 13:49:41 Removing vat is not happening
2025-04-03 14:49:07 Go argue with the stock market
2025-04-03 14:50:09 History tells a different story
2025-04-03 14:51:00 It’s guaranteed in 2025
2025-04-04 23:08:52 Heard those words before on another market
2025-04-06 22:42:23 Iran?
2025-04-07 00:01:46 “ Trump to Discuss Tariffs With Netanyahu at White House” WSJ
2025-04-07 17:34:45 No, press conference is canceled.
2025-04-09 00:38:24 Iphone se was $600 already
2025-04-09 01:49:30 Where do you think iPhone’s are produced? China, and they are going all out in the trade war atm
2025-04-09 17:45:02 Over
2025-04-09 17:57:59 Yeah no
2025-04-09 18:00:17 Does a come before c
2025-04-09 18:02:36 😂
2025-04-09 18:22:42 The other market for june has all of them on yes with the same rules, impossible.
2025-04-09 18:28:23 Check out the other market with reducing tariffs first, don’t make sense
2025-04-09 19:05:02 Why does polymarket suck at making rules
2025-04-10 15:54:28 None of these are yes according to the rules
2025-04-10 16:52:39 5 bucks
2025-04-11 00:25:30 Interim nuclear deal incoming
2025-04-14 18:05:10 Has to be targeted to China
2025-04-17 20:50:10 Noobs can’t even win from legia 😂
2025-04-19 15:42:32 [link removed]
2025-04-29 12:37:12 2.8 cents for a reason
2025-04-29 22:13:08 Buy extra
2025-04-30 13:12:06 Copium
2025-05-04 13:42:44 Meeting with chief of staff of the airforce
2025-05-05 23:02:17 Airstrike is very likely
2025-05-07 18:03:05 Big surprise
2025-05-07 20:41:55 Should be claimable in your portfolio anytime now
2025-05-08 11:52:31 More like one
2025-05-08 16:19:28 Announced by both, done deal
2025-05-08 16:41:24 [link removed]
2025-05-08 16:41:28 [link removed]
2025-05-08 19:56:51 Read the rules, announced
2025-05-08 20:08:12 [link removed]
2025-05-08 20:08:17 [link removed]
2025-05-08 20:09:19 What more do we need, confirmation from both administrations here
2025-05-08 20:13:02 It happend already, check my top comments
2025-05-08 20:14:28 Market manipulator, “ US tariffs on automotives immediately slashed from 27.5%, with steel and aluminium reduced to zero” not a deal??
2025-05-08 20:16:00 Literally in the uk government release “ The Digital Services Tax remains unchanged as part of today’s deal”
2025-05-08 20:22:50 However, prior to this latest trade agreement, the U.K. was subjected to the 25% tariff on all steel, aluminium, cars, and car parts imported to the U.S.
2025-05-08 20:33:22 “ This is jobs saved, jobs won but not job done and our teams will continue to work to build on this agreement.”
2025-05-09 20:07:06 The polls did in fact not lie
2025-05-10 01:52:44 Bro stop doxxing yourself
2025-05-10 16:50:01 They launched 50+ drones
2025-05-10 22:30:58 This time the us is involved
2025-05-11 00:01:33 Plenty of people on here would disagree
2025-05-11 18:49:34 Turkey is not arresting him
2025-05-12 18:56:19 Or enjoy sanctions
2025-05-14 22:46:49 [link removed]
2025-05-17 21:35:38 Like he hasn’t been saying this for months
2025-05-17 23:46:42 No, gvir is just a crazy guy
2025-05-18 17:54:09 Way to much pressure on israel, definitely going to be a ceasefire soon
2025-05-18 22:57:38 What can he say to make a ceasefire happen 😂
2025-05-19 19:17:36 He is the biggest member state, he does.
2025-05-19 22:56:57 And ruin their profit margins? 😂
2025-05-21 21:58:09 Both sides confirmed it though 😂
2025-05-22 15:50:23 Mid june talks will happen at the Vatican!
2025-05-22 19:51:27 Yeah just undervalued ig
2025-05-23 16:24:42 Yeah over
2025-05-24 16:21:59 Propose
2025-05-24 22:03:04 nbc: “ Former President Joe Biden on Friday attended his grandson's high school graduation”
2025-05-25 16:52:59 Obviously.
2025-05-26 21:24:52 Doesnt directly target russia though
2025-05-27 18:51:32 You were right
2025-05-28 14:20:25 And nato and g20
2025-05-28 22:31:42 Ty for the tweet you later deleted
2025-05-29 12:35:59 [link removed]
2025-05-29 12:48:21 The source has been updates to 26th of may though
2025-05-29 12:53:14 You are fast crayon 😂
2025-05-29 12:54:38 Good luck 😂
2025-05-29 13:53:53 Np
2025-05-29 14:49:24 You should read the additional context
2025-06-01 17:52:16 Didn’t age well
2025-06-02 17:43:45 It’sa guarantee in politics
2025-06-02 18:03:32 He already sold 😂
2025-06-02 19:13:11 There is in something as simple as a call, but I get that in your position
2025-06-03 12:09:17 Doubt they have a choice, gl/pvda isn’t interested
2025-06-03 13:32:06 Over, vvd wants elections
2025-06-03 17:44:58 Name one reason it wouldn’t happen 😂
2025-06-04 10:08:31 Delu
2025-06-04 14:50:45 What? That a deal is hard? Yes they are definitely not calling now 😂
2025-06-04 15:27:47 As expected, nothing real.
2025-06-04 15:29:02 He is literally obsessed with a call, he will call first 😂
2025-06-04 16:03:56 Impossible
2025-06-04 20:37:21 25%? They will be polled at 15 seats 😂
2025-06-05 00:02:50 Bro acting like a call is something huge
2025-06-05 12:54:50 What a surprise, the call that was spoken about the whole week actually happend 🤯
2025-06-05 13:01:18 Thanks for the help
2025-06-05 14:06:16 😂😂
2025-06-05 14:51:24 [link removed]
2025-06-08 21:36:51 Musk deleting messages
2025-06-09 22:03:03 I mean they’ve clearly moved past on from the incident and wished eachother well, seems like reconciliation to me
2025-06-09 22:18:41 Exactly, they don’t have to apologize, that’s where the other markets are for
2025-06-10 12:41:14 Israeli officials describe “tentative progress” in talks with Hamas over a hostage release/ceasefire deal.
2025-06-10 18:08:58 Netanyahu said deal is closer
2025-06-10 19:53:25 Not even remotely a scam
2025-06-10 20:09:49 Nice guy
2025-06-10 20:18:22 😂
2025-06-11 11:25:55 😂
2025-06-12 21:34:57 Great rules polymarket
2025-06-13 00:19:58 Price going down because of a strike on iran? No logic 😂
2025-06-13 00:34:01 So? Hamas can barely get anything into gaza regardless, and a weak hamas is better for a ceasefire, as israel is losing all of their allies outside of the us
2025-06-13 00:41:57 So did the crypto market, just panic,
2025-06-13 00:44:29 The ceasefire isn’t with iran buddy.
2025-06-13 00:51:15 IDF expects operation against Iran to last for several days By EMANUEL FABIAN FOLLOW Today, 3:46 am SHARE The Israeli military expects its operation against Iran’s nuclear program and long-range missile capabilities to last for several days.
2025-06-13 00:56:43 Depending on how this goes a ceasefire is more likely as the focus will shift to iran.
2025-06-13 01:01:49 I wish you the best of luck. “ “Dozens of Israeli Air Force aircraft recently completed the opening blow, which included strikes on dozens of military targets, including nuclear-related sites in various areas in Iran,” the IDF says.”
2025-06-13 01:30:18 Polymarket rules.
2025-06-13 02:01:05 You can always dispute
2025-06-13 19:20:15 Still can’t reach
2025-06-13 21:12:44 Nothing really changed tbh
2025-06-14 23:52:52 Talking about the full year btw
2025-06-14 23:53:08 Hmm yeah maybe
2025-06-15 00:26:54 Congrats
2025-06-17 00:20:42 Exactly, talk was about buying weapons, no way he doesn’t call
2025-06-17 00:42:41 And there is something else that everyone is forgetting
2025-06-17 00:52:43 Nato summit, zelensky will be attending a dinner with all the nato top leaders, doubt he won’t say a word to trump 😂
2025-06-17 00:56:38 No worries
2025-06-17 17:33:12 Hamas has agreed to a ceasefire proposal put forward by the United States, abandoning some of its most hardline demands, including a full Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and a binding commitment by both Israel and Washington to permanently end the war. According to Israel Hayom
2025-06-19 09:21:11 Luckily they don’t need to meet
2025-06-20 11:46:27 Yeah they cut the meetings from 3 to 1, but that doesn’t matter at all because zelensky won’t be attending those meetings regardless
2025-06-21 13:57:47 Bro the beast and his helicopter are already there bro 😂
2025-06-22 02:12:45 I’d say his intelligence agencies
2025-06-23 13:21:35 Trump is attending according to the White House
2025-06-24 10:46:53 [link removed]
2025-06-24 17:26:42 [link removed] So free
2025-06-24 18:07:21 He will arrive in 15-20 min, over after that
2025-06-24 18:40:28 Bro is standing at the entrance
2025-06-24 18:45:06 Hes already there, over.
2025-06-24 20:10:37 Can be resolved, he is at the dinner
2025-06-24 22:01:49 Purchase
2025-06-25 11:40:04 [link removed]
2025-06-25 12:44:55 Meeting with nato top went well, now he is meeting with zelensky
2025-06-25 14:22:30 Trump and Zelenskyy have begun their meeting BY AAMER MADHANI Share The U.S. and Ukrainian presidents are meeting on the sidelines of the NATO summit in The Hague, according to Zelenskyy’s spokesperson Serhii Nykyforov.
2025-06-25 14:23:02 Trump and Zelenskyy have begun their meeting BY AAMER MADHANI Share The U.S. and Ukrainian presidents are meeting on the sidelines of the NATO summit in The Hague, according to Zelenskyy’s spokesperson Serhii Nykyforov.
2025-06-26 00:03:42 Not really, there is no support for the gaza war.
2025-06-26 15:34:00 Polymarket really needs to rework their settling process.
2025-06-26 19:36:47 💀
2025-06-26 19:42:36 Because then everything will be called “ai” or fake
2025-06-27 12:04:36 Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu submitted another request to postpone his testimony in the Thousands cases trial by two weeks and presented a sealed envelope with details of his schedule. Netanyahu reiterated his claim that in light of regional developments, there is a "national need" for him to devote all his time to addressing "top priority" security and diplomatic issues.
2025-06-27 14:34:01 Nation wide block is lifted.
2025-06-27 15:04:14 The court granted a request by the Trump administration to narrow the scope of nationwide injunctions imposed by judges so that they apply only to groups and individuals that sued. That means the birthright citizenship proposal can move forward in the states that challenged it as well as those that did not. The court was divided on ideological lines, with conservatives in the majority and liberals in dissent.
2025-06-27 15:32:56 How else is he able to move on in every state?
2025-06-27 15:51:16 Trump just confirmed, don’t forget the resolution source is the us government
2025-06-27 16:12:50 “ Trump says he will ‘promptly file’ to push policies after court’s decision BY CHRIS MEGERIAN Share Speaking from the White House, Trump said he would try to advance restrictions on birthright citizenship and other policies that had been blocked by district courts.” blocked?
2025-06-27 16:16:18 Source?
2025-06-27 16:21:28 Why? The original block has been lifted and they’ve now temporarily restricted the original order from going into effect
2025-06-27 17:24:40 Its a clear suit tbh._
2025-06-27 22:50:02 Spread
2025-06-27 22:55:55 Nice try
2025-06-29 14:55:27 Bit biased
2025-06-29 15:06:10 You don’t stop the operation till you have a ceasefire
2025-06-29 16:18:59 Objectives are not worth it anymore
2025-06-29 17:17:05 Just posting random shit 😂
2025-06-29 19:19:07 Not yet yeah
2025-06-30 17:42:16 News
2025-06-30 17:52:35 Not a scam
2025-07-01 00:52:29 He doesn’t even have to create it, just say he will
2025-07-01 13:16:01 How about channel 12
2025-07-01 18:01:59 Doubt [link removed]
2025-07-01 18:02:14 Old article btw
2025-07-02 00:51:59 Whole of uma is on no 😂
2025-07-02 16:15:46 Why do people like you think there won’t be fighting while they are negotiating 😂
2025-07-02 16:35:07 Called pressure, would be stupid to stop, would grand leverage
2025-07-02 18:03:28 No, their demand is a horizon towards a permanent ceasefire
2025-07-02 18:24:35 Emotional bet 😂
2025-07-02 18:44:49 Vietnam can be proposed
2025-07-02 20:22:49 Yes.
2025-07-02 20:34:11 [link removed]
2025-07-02 23:01:40 You MIGHT need glasses
2025-07-02 23:05:41 Thats not the deal.
2025-07-02 23:26:01 Hamas has very little choice.
2025-07-03 00:23:49 Israel didn’t want a ceasefire, that’s why they kept asking ridiculous things, a ceasefire is a guarantee.
2025-07-03 00:24:12 And hamas is even facing internal conflict atm.
2025-07-03 12:09:21 Polymarket classic
2025-07-03 14:22:43 They won’t hand over all the hostages
2025-07-03 21:00:04 Ofcourse
2025-07-04 00:39:11 Surprised nobody resolved yet, “ Country-specific tariff reductions and tariff exemption extensions which are officially announced by the Trump administration will qualify if they reflect a bilateral agreement.” Has clearly happened
2025-07-04 12:27:26 They have agreed on tariff levels, it’s the same thing as the uk
2025-07-04 13:26:34 The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
2025-07-04 22:08:51 Not really
2025-07-04 22:09:22 Called negotiations
2025-07-05 01:06:12 Did you hear it?
2025-07-05 01:07:56 He is just watching, couldn’t even hear him 😂
2025-07-05 01:10:27 Tough luck today
2025-07-05 01:14:14 Idk, I’d propose
2025-07-05 01:25:19 He will start speaking at any moment now
2025-07-05 01:25:37 💀
2025-07-05 01:29:34 And their gone.
2025-07-05 02:00:32 Yup
2025-07-05 15:17:39 The consensus is yes though
2025-07-05 15:41:02 I don’t have faith in this ever ending yes, but I still think it should
2025-07-05 18:51:07 Nobody cares about your politics on a betting site
2025-07-05 20:34:22 😂😂
2025-07-05 20:55:05 They’ll want something by monday, think they’ll accept the 60 day ceasefire and start negotiation further
2025-07-05 21:10:35 Called negotiations
2025-07-05 22:11:42 No, bev gvir, grandstander
2025-07-05 22:12:17 Hamas has agreed to cease control of hamas already so no.
2025-07-06 02:46:24 So gullible
2025-07-06 17:07:11 Nobody is denying that it happend, but nobody asked.
2025-07-06 17:52:34 Not really any other option
2025-07-06 18:01:56 Nobody asked about your political opinion in the first place, go join a debate club and stop tagging me
2025-07-06 18:45:09 This is about a permant ceasefire
2025-07-06 19:14:50 No.
2025-07-06 19:15:50 Its a temporary ceasefire, if there is no hamas there is no war so it would automatically be a permanent ceasefire 🤣
2025-07-06 22:03:28 Delusional
2025-07-06 22:37:16 Why would they accept it point blank, would be the worst negotiators ever
2025-07-07 01:50:29 Video is from nablus
2025-07-07 01:56:59 “ Senior Hamas official says group’s control over Gaza has ‘completely collapsed” times of israel
2025-07-07 01:57:34 Hamas has nothing left, they’ll accept.
2025-07-07 01:58:32 Idk [link removed]
2025-07-07 02:00:42 Remeber that this bet runs till august
2025-07-07 11:38:04 Doubt as he expects a ceasefire this week
2025-07-07 13:27:38 There is zero reason to continue fighting, no mandate
2025-07-07 13:53:34 Do you think they’ll stop fighting because of negotiations? 💀
2025-07-07 18:43:23 Witkoff is going there because there will definitely not be a ceasefire!
2025-07-07 18:44:29 I wish you good luck.
2025-07-07 20:40:42 They are at war, this has zero effect.
2025-07-07 21:37:49 Except that thats a war between two armies.
2025-07-07 21:39:07 July 7 can be resolved, it’s on the site
2025-07-07 22:28:59 Bro he didn’t fly to Washington for no reason
2025-07-08 09:37:36 Israeli minister Zeev Elkin, who sits in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s security cabinet, says that there is “a substantial chance,” a ceasefire will be agreed. “Hamas wants to change a few central matters, it’s not simple, but there is progress,” he tells Israel’s public broadcaster Kan.
2025-07-08 10:03:52 [link removed]
2025-07-08 10:04:25 Yeah ben gvir says no to everything, he is useless and unnecessary for any peace deal
2025-07-08 18:29:47 Only one more issue left according to witkoff
2025-07-08 19:05:05 English please
2025-07-18 18:49:01 Market is back
2025-07-18 18:49:56 All minor points, and the aid isn’t true.
2025-07-18 19:09:44 Not my fault your badly informed.
2025-07-18 20:02:12 No need to get mad, just keep up.
2025-07-20 18:07:12 The odds represent the probability
2025-07-21 19:32:37 Friday or Sunday.
2025-07-22 17:46:36 Alternative is everyone dying
2025-07-22 18:58:31 Witkoff is heading to the middle east for a thee party guys, definitely not because of a breakthrough
2025-07-22 19:00:01 Like they totally didn’t do before right?
2025-07-22 19:14:49 “ Why it matters: His planned trip is a significant signal that Israel and Hamas are closing in on an agreement. Witkoff made it clear to the parties in recent weeks that he will join the talks only if a deal is close at hand.”
2025-07-22 19:27:26 First Europe then Middle east, he will probably talk about the ceasefire with the Europeans
2025-07-22 22:30:09 Permanent end of the war was not a condition, just the way negotiations will go after 60 days
2025-07-23 13:06:25 There has been no official response yet.
2025-07-23 18:43:11 Hamas submitted their response 45 min ago.
2025-07-24 10:32:53 Pretty easy, most problems have been solved, now they are just negotiating on the details
2025-07-24 10:56:24 Not possible but yes
2025-07-24 10:58:09 It’s what the negotiators told the press, not my believes.
2025-07-24 13:40:51 Netanyahu recalls negotiation team.
2025-07-24 13:41:18 Netanyahu recalls hostage-ceasefire negotiating team from Doha TOI
2025-07-24 14:03:55 Doesn't mean it’s a bad thing btw, could also be done with the negotiations.
2025-07-24 14:05:38 Rollcall
2025-07-24 14:16:17 The return of the negotiating team from Qatar is an indication that talks are stuck, an official in the Prime Minister’s Office tells The Times of Israel. However, the Kan public broadcaster quotes an unnamed official involved in talks with a more positive spin on the move. “The talks did not collapse,” the official says. “This is a move coordinated between all the sides. There are fateful decisions that need to be made, and therefore the delegation came back for continued consultations. The momentum is still positive.” A senior official and source familiar with the details tells Axios that Hamas is insisting that Israel free 200 Palestinians serving life sentences and 2,000 Palestinians arrested in Gaza after October 7 in exchange for the release of 10 living hostages.
2025-07-24 14:54:14 Dont ask me bruh
2025-07-24 15:22:35 The deal is still really close according to qatar.
2025-07-24 15:32:36 Just did.
2025-07-24 15:46:01 Not saying it will happen today 😂
2025-07-24 19:50:12 The return of Israel’s negotiating team from Qatar is not an indication that there is a crisis in talks, says a senior Israeli official. There was “no explosion, no collapse,” the official tells Israeli reporters in a phone briefing.
2025-07-24 20:19:27 [link removed]
2025-07-24 20:19:34 [link removed]
2025-07-24 20:37:05 [link removed]
2025-07-24 21:35:50 Can be resolved. [link removed]
2025-07-24 22:34:21 Hamas ‘surprised’ by Witkoff rejection of its response, insists it’s still committed to making a deal
2025-07-24 23:28:00 [link removed]
2025-07-25 00:03:36 Think we got the credible reporting sorted [link removed]
2025-07-25 10:37:57 The Gaza ceasefire talks are expected to resume next week following Israel’s review of Hamas’s latest response, Egyptian state-affiliated Al Qahera News TV says, citing an Egyptian source. Al Qahera news says the Israeli delegation left a day after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu recalled the negotiating team to Israel for consultations.
2025-07-25 15:25:29 Hasnt ended so no loss.
2025-07-25 18:12:05 US officials told hostage families in a meeting in Washington Thursday night that the US and Israel recalled their negotiators from Doha to “make a muscle” after Hamas hardened its position in truce-hostage talks, Channel 12 reports. A negotiation tactic, what a surprise
2025-07-25 18:19:42 Reporting in Hebrew on the English-language conversation, Channel 12 quotes the unidentified officials as saying: “The decision to recall the delegations is part of the negotiations. We’re very close to a deal, but in the face of Hamas’s additional demands, we have to make a muscle back.
2025-07-25 18:20:12 Anyone with a brain understands this is a negotiation tactic, only logical reason.
2025-07-25 18:23:50 I don’t create the news buddy
2025-07-25 18:45:59 There won’t be a cut, good luck.
2025-07-25 18:50:32 Sure buddy, try to find a new word to spam, you don’t understand the meaning.
2025-07-26 00:54:55 Always proposal
2025-07-26 01:56:49 Bibi is the first president who is managing to turn all his diehard allies against him.
2025-07-26 16:34:18 Nice avg price
2025-07-26 17:01:31 Even better, but less shares
2025-07-26 20:15:59 Over
2025-07-28 13:11:49 US President Donald Trump said that a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas in Gaza was "possible". He made the comments to reporters at his Turnberry golf resort in Scotland, where he was meeting British Prime Minister Keir Starmer. So far for ended negotiations
2025-07-28 13:20:39 Not really, you do understand the gaps are minor right? Sure it’s tight but the odds resemble that
2025-07-28 13:30:38 No holder with a negative position will definitely be very unbiased
2025-07-28 13:33:32 Hamas dropped their new demands, and now they just have to negotiate over 400 meters and how many prisoners get exchanged. If you call that major points sure
2025-07-28 21:10:54 He has a very bad reputation in the Netherlands, impossible
2025-07-29 00:27:47 Crosses
2025-07-29 13:17:07 Still ongoing
2025-07-29 18:28:36 Based on?
2025-07-29 18:29:09 Simple negotiation tactic
2025-07-29 20:54:29 Horrible resolution source, does germany airdropping aid through jordan count?
2025-07-29 21:32:21 “ Hamas political leaders said to fear Israeli assassination attempts amid bid to restart talks” right
2025-07-30 01:20:50 So the named country has to use their own planes?
2025-07-30 15:43:41 [link removed]
2025-07-30 16:03:38 Over [link removed]
2025-07-30 16:05:39 Senior Israeli official estimates: The real reason for Whitkopf's arrival in Israel - exerting pressure to close a deal
2025-07-30 16:36:42 [link removed]
2025-07-30 17:25:40 Can be resolved [link removed]
2025-07-30 17:39:14 [link removed]
2025-07-30 19:57:44 Not yet I think, seems like the only source so far
2025-07-30 20:45:01 Almost
2025-07-30 20:46:26 Always the same time, Wednesday
2025-07-30 20:53:59 Link?
2025-07-30 22:56:35 “If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.“
2025-07-30 22:57:18 Neither does it require a “list” as credible reporting is the resolution source
2025-07-30 23:21:39 Ah yes, mb
2025-07-30 23:55:11 They already have
2025-07-31 10:38:57 What? They’ve dropped aid before, just not in this timeframe
2025-07-31 11:59:16 It does, it disproves your original comment
2025-07-31 15:12:51 27
2025-07-31 15:30:43 Check the date
2025-08-01 10:35:45 Nice try buddy
2025-08-01 14:10:41 Void francis lol
2025-08-01 21:21:31 Just need a leak of the deal, easy.
2025-08-03 00:41:57 Right, two very independent non biased sources.
2025-08-04 21:54:58 Why? They have already passes the law necessary.
2025-08-07 11:55:33 They didn’t though
2025-08-07 15:08:09 Netan says no
2025-08-07 15:11:39 “Next meeting”
2025-08-07 19:58:07 It will count, good luck.
2025-08-07 20:06:57 Well damn
2025-08-08 00:46:59 Didn’t age well
2025-08-09 11:58:56 Impossible, they are not all in gaza
2025-08-09 18:33:36 Us is still pushing for a permanent ceasefire
2025-08-10 17:54:35 [link removed] Nothing happening at all
2025-08-11 21:04:39 [link removed]
2025-08-12 17:14:53 Obviously will attend
2025-08-12 17:45:35 [link removed]
2025-08-12 18:06:39 [link removed]
2025-08-12 18:25:32 Is grass green ahh
2025-08-12 20:42:13 White House confirms Trump-Zelensky meeting tomorrow published at 21:15 21:15 BREAKING The White House has confirmed Donald Trump's plans to hold a virtual meeting tomorrow with Volodymyr Zelensky and European allies, according to the BBC's US partner CBS. As we reported earlier, Zelensky's office also confirmed this meeting to CBS. The call will take place ahead of Trump's meeting with Putin on Friday. All European leaders yes
2025-08-12 20:47:11 Europe force cancellation? 🤣
2025-08-13 11:43:01 Credible sources
2025-08-13 12:47:29 They’ll say something like european leaders x,y,z and trump talked about x
2025-08-13 16:05:58 “ Behind the scenes: A source who was on the call said Macron took "very tough" positions and told Trump "a meeting is a very big thing to give to Putin." The source added: "Trump didn't like that."”
2025-08-13 21:00:40 This is just hopium
2025-08-13 21:09:21 Wishful thinking i fear
2025-08-14 01:28:46 It has to resolve to one, so less than 2 seconds, including 0 seconds
2025-08-14 11:51:18 [link removed]
2025-08-14 20:42:49 [link removed]
2025-08-14 22:43:24 Cant be serious 😂
2025-08-15 15:22:56 Not how it works
2025-08-18 10:08:04 It’s not the same proposal
2025-08-18 17:38:01 Didnt age well
2025-08-18 19:41:38 Wasnt even remotely close to mocking
2025-08-18 21:31:48 Called a joke, mocking requires cruelty
2025-08-19 12:49:28 Merz expects within 2 weeks
2025-08-19 17:45:26 Never rejected it.
2025-08-20 00:34:57 Just donate to a charity next time
2025-08-20 15:02:05 Got the sell order ready yet?
2025-08-20 15:49:34 Will they be public
2025-08-20 20:33:45 Because an attack happend in a war, a ceasefire won’t happen, great logic 😂😂😂
2025-08-21 21:52:27 But it won’t be the trump administration
2025-08-22 01:44:47 Administration is president, vice, first and second lady and the cabinet
2025-08-22 13:10:51 That’s how war works yeah
2025-08-22 15:37:48 Far above target
2025-08-24 16:11:16 Doubt that.
2025-08-26 13:35:04 [link removed]
2025-08-26 14:10:06 Those are one and the same.
2025-08-26 14:10:59 By the way can you read? “
2025-08-26 14:11:04 “ Israel is exploring avenues for ending the war in Gaza”
2025-08-26 23:52:38 [link removed]
2025-08-27 19:15:05 Al kiswa is still not located in the damascus governate
2025-09-02 22:26:28 Impossible lol
2025-09-04 23:16:01 Answered your own question
2025-09-06 00:31:33 Yapper
2025-09-09 13:29:45 Israel has gone mad
2025-09-09 13:33:53 Just say you don’t understand politics
2025-09-09 13:38:42 Idgaf, but say goodbye to peace.
2025-09-09 14:08:37 Ceasefire was very doable, would have happened if hamas didn’t randomly change demands.
2025-09-13 00:52:04 Literally said this week or next btw
2025-09-16 19:34:19 Calling anyone but putin.
2025-09-22 21:11:29 Thats it
2025-09-22 21:19:33 “ if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. publicly announces that he or an affiliated team has identified a definitive cause” you probably right
2025-09-22 21:21:01 Yeah its over
2025-09-22 21:24:03 Now its definitely over for yes
2025-09-22 21:25:50 The statement has to come from kennedy, not trump
2025-09-29 23:18:15 Very impressive, any reason why you bought no?
2025-09-30 00:05:29 But I mean after he said im calling him this or next week
2025-09-30 12:09:02 Bro’s selling everything
2025-09-30 17:28:40 Qatari PM: US plan for Gaza in early stages, requires ‘clarification and discussion’
2025-10-02 00:22:29 And timing the market
2025-10-03 19:48:52 Keep selling!
2025-10-03 19:50:18 “ Hamas will be a part and participate with full responsibility.” yeah this isn’t happening
2025-10-03 19:55:45 Obviously, this is a bad response
2025-10-04 01:05:51 [link removed]
2025-10-04 20:25:09 [link removed]
2025-10-04 20:25:40 This is so done
2025-10-04 20:30:10 Doesnt even matter if hamas agrees to the final terms, they’ll have a temporarily ceasefire at minimum
2025-10-04 21:10:37 Reading is hard
2025-10-05 11:37:41 “During communications with mediators, Hamas insisted that it is essential for Israel to halt military operations across all areas of the Gaza Strip, cease all air, reconnaissance, and drone activity, and withdraw from inside Gaza City,” the source says. “In parallel with the cessation of Israeli military activity, Hamas and the resistance factions will also halt their military operations and actions,” he added.
2025-10-05 11:37:55 This is before any permanent ceasefire
2025-10-05 11:38:20 No worries
2025-10-05 11:39:10 Thats a public appearance yes. Just like when he was spotted at the airport
2025-10-05 16:34:22 [link removed] Wonder why
2025-10-05 20:44:50 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden makes a new public or digital appearance between September 30, 7:00 PM ET and October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
2025-10-07 17:08:19 An Egyptian source expresses optimism in the Saudi newspaper Al-Sharq Al-Awsat: The first phase of the plan by U.S. President Donald Trump may be achieved before Friday, if the currently prevailing positive atmosphere in the negotiations in Sharm El-Sheikh continues
2025-10-08 13:39:38 [link removed]
2025-10-08 20:56:12 “ US President Donald Trump says a deal ending the Gaza war is “very close” to being reached and that he plans to travel to the region this weekend if an agreement is finalized.”
2025-10-08 22:24:24 Trump is announcing the ceasefire today, easy win
2025-10-08 22:24:51 Trump is about to announce 😂
2025-10-08 22:42:33 Source?
2025-10-08 22:58:09 Gg
2025-10-08 23:34:33 He already said “I will make the rounds”
2025-10-09 00:07:50 Trump is speaking in the knesset sunday, easy.
2025-10-09 01:07:58 “ After Netanyahu invited the American leader to address the Israeli parliament in a phone this evening, Trump tells Channel 12: “They want me to give a speech at the Knesset and I will definitely do that if they want me to.”
2025-10-09 01:09:05 A temporary ceasefire is a ceasefire, read the rules 😂
2025-10-09 16:37:00 Do you always waste your money like this
2025-10-09 19:51:33 Copium, nice bet buddy
2025-10-10 09:34:30 Already did, but I sold as there was no upside anymore
2025-10-10 18:15:03 There is already a market about what he will say btw 😂
2025-10-12 13:36:48 Continues to buy DENK 😂
2025-10-12 16:39:45 It never started
2025-10-12 22:17:01 Havent head that before
2025-10-13 10:55:19 Trump sitting back down
2025-10-13 10:57:14 He was supposed to be in egypt already 😂
2025-10-13 11:20:07 Biggest no fest ever
2025-10-13 11:27:48 Gaza no is free
2025-10-14 15:14:50 Reuters isn’t a Muslim source
2025-10-14 15:25:04 Independent, Reuters, al jazeera, think we got credible sources
2025-10-14 15:28:26 No. “ An Israeli drone strike killed five people as they returned to check on their homes in Gaza's eastern Shejaiya neighbourhood, according to authorities. A separate strike killed one person and injured another near Khan Younis.”
2025-10-14 15:30:03 An Israeli drone strike killed five people as they returned to check on their homes in Gaza's eastern Shejaiya neighbourhood, according to authorities. A separate strike killed one person and injured another near Khan Younis.
2025-10-14 15:32:55 Not how credible reporting works, reuters and independent don’t make articles based on air
2025-10-14 15:41:47 Cope is crazy
2025-10-14 15:52:27 Whole different incident buddy
2025-10-14 16:04:02 Reuters is a small player ig
2025-10-14 16:05:28 Buddy what else do you expect? Every news source to have their own source, not how it works 😂
2025-10-14 16:47:43 Luckily the rules don’t require a Israeli source
2025-10-14 18:09:50 Over
2025-10-14 19:19:01 Do you love losing money?
2025-10-16 01:20:43 Insane additional context
2025-10-16 12:41:00 Well except that you can clearly hear the word fuck, nor would it make sense as the bet would have been no from the start
2025-10-16 12:42:00 The us still sends them to Ukraine
2025-10-16 13:12:14 Good luck 😂
2025-10-16 16:08:31 Wouldn’t really make sense either, as swear words are always beeped out on tv, so this market would have resolved no at creation
2025-10-16 23:15:46 Cnn, bcc, reuters all reported it, that’s credible reporting
2025-10-16 23:26:26 It happend today buddy, 1 hour ago
2025-10-16 23:29:00 Abc, reuters, bbc are all reporting it now, breaking news
2025-10-17 00:00:52 Guaranteed, this is as credible reporting as it gets, reuters, BBC, abc, cnn, newsweek, cbs etc
2025-10-17 00:26:35 Over
2025-10-17 19:48:22 He hasn’t left has he? Longest handshake counts
2025-10-17 20:52:41 “Or reporting”
2025-10-17 20:56:08 IDF says it carried out airstrike on terror cell that emerged from Khan Younis tunnel, approached troops By EMANUEL FABIAN FOLLOW Today, 9:21 pm SHARE The IDF says it carried out an airstrike against a group of terror operatives who emerged from a tunnel and approached troops in southern Gaza’s Khan Younis earlier today.
2025-10-17 21:00:41 Dumbest rules ever, how do official idf posts not count
2025-10-17 21:02:22 -128 btw
2025-10-17 21:14:56 Reuters: “ After local health authorities said an Israeli airstrike in Khan Younis in southern Gaza killed two people, the Israeli military said its forces fired at several individuals who emerged from a tunnel shaft and approached troops, describing them as posing an immediate threat”
2025-10-17 21:19:16 Reuters called it an airstike, good luck
2025-10-17 21:22:11 Says 15 oct btw 🤣
2025-10-17 21:43:32 Bro just sending random stuff
2025-10-17 22:42:18 No? That wouldn’t matter
2025-10-17 23:13:51 Its 18 oct in israel bruh
2025-10-18 00:19:46 Not how it works
2025-10-18 00:41:22 Alright, here we go, resolutions only happen when someone is willing to do so, so he puts up $750 and risks losing this, that’s why people don’t like to resolve disputable markets
2025-10-18 11:30:34 Yeah…
2025-10-18 11:31:04 Luckily i explained it!
2025-10-18 15:41:32 voluntarily relinquishes
2025-10-20 18:18:43 No chance of a 50p cut
2025-10-20 19:03:27 Why do you think pvv is nr 1
2025-10-21 20:17:34 5.87
2025-10-22 15:57:40 Rotterdam is a hellhole filled with immigrants, obviously denk will win there, not nation wide elections.
2025-10-22 16:37:00 Which denk will never partake in, why do you even think they will, they have 2 seats
2025-10-22 16:37:56 Yeah no, not locking up my money for months for 2.5% 😂
2025-10-22 21:40:38 Will be adopted tomorrow 8am, if no objections come up
2025-10-22 22:18:08 Already his 😂
2025-10-23 09:05:04 Coalition of 40-50 seats? 🤣
2025-10-23 10:45:01 Ironic, will be waiting for this denk coalition!
2025-10-23 13:30:02 times of israel and aljazeera report drone strike today
2025-10-23 13:32:52 Controls uma*
2025-10-23 14:37:12 Over
2025-10-23 16:41:53 “Official information and credible sourcing”
2025-10-25 10:56:39 AF1 is wheels down at 6:16am local time at Ramstein for refueling. Pool did not see POTUS for the remainder of the flight. Sophia Cai White House Reporter POLITICO“
2025-10-25 10:57:37 Yeah, press on board posted it
2025-10-25 23:23:16 Rubio confirmed the meeting, easy
2025-10-29 11:30:03 Way to early to tell
2025-10-30 00:54:32 What
2025-10-30 01:02:44 Tbh you might be right
2025-10-30 11:57:25 You are forgetting mail in ballots, 90k vs maybe 35k
2025-10-30 12:31:13 😂😂😂
2025-10-30 15:15:13 Mail in voting won’t help pvv
2025-11-01 00:53:48 Wouldn’t risk it
2025-11-05 01:45:30 What are you smoking
2025-11-06 14:43:19 Is grass green ahh
2025-11-06 20:52:07 They made this for him 💀
2025-11-07 21:13:12 Why do you think the prices are like that
2025-11-08 00:35:34 Set a limit order, simply put in your desired price and the amount of shares
2025-11-08 18:31:22 🪤ahh market
2025-11-09 01:24:56 Just sell and find something else
2025-11-09 17:46:59 Just because you lost a few times doesn’t mean it’s bad for you 💀
2025-11-10 18:50:34 He is gone
2025-11-10 18:51:00 Press pool
2025-11-13 00:56:29 Another successful no sweep
2025-11-13 14:23:21 Its already over
2025-11-14 01:47:22 December most likely
2025-11-16 19:18:27 How is this not resolved yet
2025-11-16 23:14:41 Almost as if they have different rules
2025-11-17 00:23:44 “ President Trump says NYC Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani “would like to come to Washington and meet, and we’ll work something out. We want to see everything work out well for New York.”
2025-11-17 01:01:58 Why? Price is set now anyways. Plus it’s not some inside info
2025-11-17 01:20:00 Yeah I have noticed it yeah
2025-11-17 10:53:08 Yeah most people have already received their money
2025-11-17 11:40:09 10 shares 😂
2025-11-17 12:40:54 Zero use of buying 10 shares at 80 cents.
2025-11-17 13:26:16 Irrelevant. Don’t act so confident if you buy 10 shares
2025-11-17 13:27:49 Except that my biggest win is 20x higher
2025-11-17 14:19:07 “ The Israeli Air Force then struck one of the operatives, and the others withdrew from the area back over the Yellow Line, according to the IDF.”
2025-11-17 23:05:41 You are not gambling.
2025-11-18 00:47:14 Do you not know the word literate? 💀
2025-11-18 16:51:40 Al assad? 💀
2025-11-18 17:10:52 😂😂
2025-11-18 17:49:38 “We have reached agreement” trump
2025-11-18 17:55:09 Already yes, trump announced it
2025-11-18 17:56:08 We can tell where that pnl comes from.
2025-11-18 17:58:12 “Israel is aware, israel is onboard”
2025-11-18 22:57:59 President Trump and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman signed the [link removed] Strategic Defense Agreement (SDA), a historic agreement that strengthens our more than 80-year defense partnership and fortifies deterrence across the Middle East. The SDA is a win for the America First agenda, making it easier for U.S. defense firms to operate in Saudi Arabia, securing new burden-sharing funds from the Saudi Arabia to defray U.S. costs, and affirming that the Kingdom views the United States as its primary strategic partner.
2025-11-18 23:04:15 Because they signed a deal, as official announced by the white house, check the site
2025-11-18 23:05:13 Also this “ The President secured agreements reinforcing America’s role as a regional security enabler, enhancing our U.S. military partnerships to better allow partners to deter and defeat threats.”
2025-11-18 23:42:42 I think it’s time to stop coping.
2025-11-18 23:43:54 I mean it doesn’t get more clear than this, the rules have been satisfied, hence the price
2025-11-18 23:44:59 It’s also why the other market is obviously resolving no.
2025-11-18 23:57:16 SDA was expanded, Agreements that modify, expand, or codify existing... arrangements"
2025-11-19 00:04:08 What exactly would be the dispute here? Nothing in the rules even talks about a date, unlike the other market
2025-11-19 00:22:33 We don’t, as the rules don’t ask for that.
2025-11-19 00:24:29 Hold on if you want, but it’s wasted money.
2025-11-19 00:32:18 Thats costing you a lot of money after taking the risk.
2025-11-19 00:51:28 Already done, they interacted, trump tapped him, on video
2025-11-19 00:56:43 Btw the room is packed with reporters 😂
2025-11-19 01:31:57 Read. The. Rules
2025-11-19 01:50:28 Obviously
2025-11-19 01:51:05 No talking in that video
2025-11-19 01:54:47 Means this: Highlights included President Trump’s announcement that Saudi Arabia is now designated a major non-NATO ally,
2025-11-19 02:17:38 Hmm yeah you might be right, doubt you’ll win though sadly
2025-11-19 02:19:49 Look who has taken the right side for once
2025-11-19 10:51:23 Flexing -40k, what polymarket does to some people 😂
2025-11-19 11:01:46 No, because those rules don’t mention the word talk.
2025-11-19 11:08:27 Ironic.
2025-11-19 11:22:39 Get some glasses buddy, call coming from inside the house 😂😂😂
2025-11-19 13:43:27 Npc.
2025-11-19 13:59:43 Always read the rules
2025-11-19 16:11:20 Keep losing
2025-11-19 16:56:20 Keep losing brokie
2025-11-19 18:45:05 They won’t
2025-11-19 23:48:13 Unlikely
2025-11-20 02:00:31 Lid wasn’t even called
2025-11-21 01:05:57 No.
2025-11-21 18:27:01 No
2025-11-21 22:28:03 He did call him a facist
2025-11-21 22:42:31 True, wasn’t clearly negative
2025-11-22 17:50:55 When would trump meet da silva 😂
2025-11-22 23:20:24 When? Thanksgiving?
2025-11-23 13:34:06 Imagine thinking they won’t sign, zero logic
2025-11-23 15:30:27 It never took less than a month
2025-11-24 22:10:17 A call that is being prepared doesn’t take 6 weeks.
2025-11-25 13:23:33 “ US official says Ukraine has agreed to a peace proposal”
2025-11-26 02:04:21 They have to talk to settle the issues that only they can decide on, as trump only wants to meet once the deal is done, the only left is calling
2025-11-26 02:05:41 Which insiders already said won’t happen
2025-11-26 16:02:33 Try getting a positive pnl before flaming others
2025-11-26 18:38:39 Yeah thanksgiving call is still possible, just can’t imagine him not talking to zelensky, only way to settle these huge points
2025-11-26 19:00:02 Idk, trump seems to distance himself from the whole thing, unlikely to be yes
2025-11-27 23:02:56 No.
2025-11-27 23:20:03 Not that hard to find
2025-11-28 22:50:01 Consensus of credible reporting, no independent source bs
2025-11-29 22:34:39 And q&a all the way through
2025-11-29 22:52:11 Love the trump rollcall in the rules
2025-11-30 23:17:32 No
2025-11-30 23:18:38 Yeah because he slept for 2 hours
2025-12-01 22:54:20 Who disputes this 😂
2025-12-01 23:05:08 Rules have been fulfilled.
2025-12-01 23:14:46 Yeah, becoming a bit annoying all the disputes.
2025-12-01 23:15:04 Below.
2025-12-01 23:32:24 Time for another useless dispute, can’t wait to wait 3 days for settlement
2025-12-02 01:15:51 Scroll down.
2025-12-02 18:03:37 Yeah, obviously going to sign at their next meeting.
2025-12-02 18:44:12 Wow, eye opening stuff
2025-12-03 00:00:05 Idk what news you have been following
2025-12-03 00:13:22 Maduro isn’t going anywhere
2025-12-03 00:14:27 Trump will never strike him.
2025-12-03 21:33:19 Most likely won’t be a majority, great way for vvd not to work with gl/pvda
2025-12-03 21:34:08 Those elections are in march, we will have a cabinet way before that.
2025-12-05 22:18:46 Except Kazachstan, who will join very soon.
2025-12-05 23:19:35 Delusional
2025-12-06 00:16:18 Yeah totally, he flew all the way to Washington, promised Israel and trump to join, and next he went on a planned trip to Russia and now he cancels the deal
2025-12-06 00:20:03 Its actually positive for yes btw, he balanced it out between the two, Russia also said they had no problem with them joining the Abraham accords
2025-12-08 23:08:15 Tweets are not credible sources
2025-12-08 23:12:23 Yeah you are right, idf spokesperson just confirmed, check twitter
2025-12-08 23:13:15 AvichayAdraee Just confirmed it, idf spokesperson
2025-12-08 23:19:46 First reports came in at 11:00, no chance this becomes nov 9
2025-12-09 02:40:36 Idf spokesperson!
2025-12-09 02:41:27 Open your eyes
2025-12-09 10:12:08 Kazakhstan.
2025-12-09 10:19:41 You don’t promise trump to sign when you are not going to sign, nor does Russia have a problem with them joining
2025-12-09 10:33:20 Enjoy losing.
2025-12-09 11:14:40 Except that I started with 50, but good luck buddy, just funny how you missed so much proof 😂
2025-12-09 13:09:48 You got polymarket plus?
2025-12-09 15:44:49 Checking something you can’t see 😂
2025-12-09 19:49:22 😂😂😂
2025-12-09 20:12:06 Bibisitter isn’t going anywhere
2025-12-10 01:12:22 Very likely to happen at their upcoming meeting.
2025-12-10 17:37:20 Waste of money
2025-12-11 18:40:41 Leavitt said trump and xi spoke
2025-12-12 19:46:39 Easy yes, don’t be surprised if they sign on 29th of december, great way for trump to show his success just before the end of the year
2025-12-12 20:56:05 Btw the date they agreed matters, not the day the ceasefire goes in effect
2025-12-12 21:35:50 “ If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date” read
2025-12-12 23:25:24 Credible sources have already reached a consensus tbh.
2025-12-13 00:16:08 Simply trading buddy.
2025-12-13 00:25:22 Thats not how it works but sure buddy.
2025-12-13 02:23:42 Why? Easy w
2025-12-13 02:42:56 You do understand that fighting always intensifies right before the official stand down order right?
2025-12-13 02:53:58 Agree, trumps ego is to big to let that slide
2025-12-13 14:04:37 “ Regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel”
2025-12-13 17:30:12 No difference actually, useless war that is just a matter of ego
2025-12-15 18:31:03 Ursula will join the call together with the other attendees
2025-12-15 20:02:39 I was a little later
2025-12-15 20:03:01 Google is your greatest friend
2025-12-15 20:56:35 Speaking at the White House after his call with European leaders, he said they had “a long discussion and things are seemingly going well,” but he heavily caveated that by saying “we have been saying that for a long time.”
2025-12-15 21:36:30 Yes yes
2025-12-15 21:37:46 Von der leyen was present at the meeting, obvious yes
2025-12-15 22:17:57 [link removed]
2025-12-15 22:34:09 [link removed]
2025-12-15 23:07:38 Its unnecessary, as it’s credible reporting, as it’s a group call
2025-12-15 23:10:22 But we can wait until tomorrow, but it’s a obvious yes, all media plus themselves have reported that they called
2025-12-15 23:23:52 Also it’s the exact same scenario as the september one, which obviously resolved yes too
2025-12-16 02:37:17 💀
2025-12-16 11:01:48 Exactly
2025-12-16 12:04:54 Was enough on the 4-5th of september, exact same situation
2025-12-16 13:08:06 If this isn’t enough proof of a call nothing is, it’s just insane to act like she didn’t talk. She participated as confirmed by all news sources.
2025-12-16 13:10:41 Signed statements from her are not enough? Plus trumps confirmation he just spoke to that group?
2025-12-16 13:13:15 He called with the group, the group that includes von der leyen, that’s all the proof needer.
2025-12-16 13:18:49 “ It was a good meeting in Berlin tonight. Because we are seeing real and concrete progress. That progress is made possible thanks to the alignment between Ukraine, Europe, and the United States. So we will continue working closely with President Zelenskyy and President Trump to achieve what we all want. ”
2025-12-16 14:07:33 Yeah sure buddy, she participated in a group call with trump, all sources confirm.
2025-12-16 15:05:38 She doesn’t have to say hello, and it makes no sense, nobody as important as her is joining a call but staying silent
2025-12-16 16:28:14 Impossible, she is there to represent the eu, obviously she talked
2025-12-16 16:28:45 Same situation as 4 september, it counts, good luck.
2025-12-16 16:31:09 Not necessary.
2025-12-16 16:53:20 This is the exact scenario as the september market, in which all four leaders that were available on that market resolved yes, they participated in a group call just like this one, clear precedent
2025-12-16 17:57:34 Google is not that hard to use, or her twitter account
2025-12-16 17:58:30 But we can wait until a journalist asks her how the call went, even though we have plenty of precedent with the september market.
2025-12-16 18:07:25 September market had way less coverage and confirmation, this one has person statements from her, trump confirming he just talked to the group, which includes ursula, something he didn’t do in september. All the news sources say she participated, she signed the agreement they reached during that meeting which also includes the line of communication with trump, more than enough proof.
2025-12-16 19:41:47 How about her own twitter? Or the agreement they all signed on 😂
2025-12-16 19:42:18 Yeah it’s a easy w,
2025-12-16 19:43:13 Nice arguing in bad spirit, but the september market and having 10 braincells or more has enough precedent to resolve yes
2025-12-16 20:01:40 Not how it works, hence why all the leaders present at the september meeting resolved yes.
2025-12-16 20:22:39 It was a good meeting in Berlin tonight. Because we are seeing real and concrete progress. That progress is made possible thanks to the alignment between Ukraine, Europe, and the United States. So we will continue working closely with President Zelenskyy and President Trump to achieve what we all want." This is a personal, official statement from ursula after the meeting, indisputable
2025-12-16 20:32:00 Yeah or the personal statement, or the statement they all signed
2025-12-16 21:05:48 The part where it says “we will continue to work with trump”
2025-12-16 21:07:23 Right, she was there to be a npc and stay completely silent, they spoke about a huge deal in which she was attending to talk about the financial side, but yeah, she definitely didn’t say a word, very realistic
2025-12-16 21:19:00 And you must be blind.
2025-12-17 02:04:33 Exactly, september market was also a group call, with a way bigger group too
2025-12-17 02:25:16 The only way to resolve this no is creating the crazy narrative that being in a group call doesn’t count as talking anymore
2025-12-17 16:01:54 Such a trash site, incredible.
2025-12-17 21:42:45 But luckily we will get the final confirmation tommorow.
2025-12-18 23:09:16 “ However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.”
2025-12-19 01:40:29 Over
2025-12-19 18:24:33 No is so cooked
2025-12-19 18:26:24 Our positions are worth equally as much, nice pl btw
2025-12-19 21:20:23 Michael jackson is named multiple times, also pictures.
2025-12-19 21:38:44 But these rules are pretty vague so idk
2025-12-19 22:01:34 newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify. This line klnda bothers me
2025-12-19 22:52:07 Just sell already? Hopeless
2025-12-20 23:52:45 “ any files”
2025-12-21 00:12:26 Both will resolve
2025-12-21 15:01:31 Any1 proposing ursula?
2025-12-21 20:30:38 Yeah sure buddy, a group talk is a clear yes
2025-12-21 22:18:06 Yeah, she totally didn’t sign the document together with zelensky, or totally didn’t tweet a personal statement on the meeting and her continued collaboration with trump
2025-12-22 00:43:39 Yeah 4 september disagrees.
2025-12-22 09:52:25 This is a yes, announcing a ceasefire (they will return to the current one) regardless of when the ceasefire is implemented counts as yes.
2025-12-22 09:52:41 [link removed]
2025-12-22 10:11:32 Better to wait for even more proof, but the documents are all over twitter.
2025-12-22 10:50:18 Unsure yet, lets see what the American press says once they wake up.
2025-12-22 10:55:52 The will fly back home and discuss ceasing fire before the meeting, as Cambodia proposed to return to the previous ceasefire
2025-12-22 10:55:56 Anutin said any decisions on military posture ahead of the GBC meeting would require consultation with the armed forces, stressing that the government could not act unilaterally.
2025-12-22 13:08:52 -2k pl, nice fortune bud
2025-12-22 23:14:17 Price is totally unrelated to the truth
2025-12-23 11:32:48 Barely actually, have almost stopped
2025-12-23 14:54:52 The whole site is rigged against small wallets, shitty system
2025-12-24 02:39:30 Saturday.
2025-12-24 17:39:55 Tourism sector is pushing very hard too
2025-12-24 18:10:28 Yeah good luck winning an election if you just tanked the economy.
2025-12-24 19:03:12 “ Per the rules, this market refers only to “previously unreleased documents." This market was “created at Dec 23, 2025, 5:11 PM EST.” Documents released prior to market creation do not qualify for this market.”
2025-12-24 19:40:30 Just sharing for the people who couldn’t see it yet buddy
2025-12-24 19:55:42 Nice zero volume market
2025-12-24 22:40:35 Just some technical problems, will resume
2025-12-24 22:46:33 Meh, call was only supposed to start 15 min ago
2025-12-24 22:54:59 Bibi is coming on monday, very likely imo
2025-12-24 22:56:42 Yeah he is calling directly
2025-12-24 22:57:25 He is making direct calls
2025-12-24 23:31:47 No just any footage counts
2025-12-25 12:07:48 Russia never wanted a ceasefire, that’s why they only have totally unrealistic demands
2025-12-25 23:05:56 When exactly would this meeting happen? Bibi is coming on Monday 😂
2025-12-25 23:08:56 Rules
2025-12-25 23:21:17 😂
2025-12-25 23:44:19 It was postponed a few hours because they had to check back in with their superiors, good sign
2025-12-26 09:57:02 Draft 6 was accepted, all the media is being moved towards the signing podium.
2025-12-26 10:00:12 [link removed]
2025-12-26 10:05:44 Its right there
2025-12-26 10:13:00 No problem
2025-12-26 10:32:37 Stop coping buddy, open your eyes, plenty of newssites
2025-12-26 11:11:37 Another fake twitter account or? 😂
2025-12-26 11:11:44 [link removed]
2025-12-26 11:11:55 Called politics
2025-12-26 11:14:02 [link removed].th/detail/thailand-cambodia-agree-in-principle-on-ceasefire-starting-tomorrow/59996
2025-12-26 11:40:30 The announcement will qualify by the way, doesn’t even need to be implemented, meaning only Cambodia needs to publish a statement as thailand already has.
2025-12-26 11:50:33 I know, but the market can resolve before that
2025-12-26 12:12:47 “ Anutin says he wants this to be the 'last time we sign'."”
2025-12-26 13:37:50 Kinda why they negotiated together yeah
2025-12-26 14:14:47 Except that the signing is tomorrow,
2025-12-26 14:15:11 Signing is tomorrow buddy
2025-12-26 14:15:30 Oh they didn’t negotiate together? 😂
2025-12-26 14:16:31 Reading is hard. “ defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Thailand and Cambodia”
2025-12-26 14:59:35 It doesn’t, ask israelxhamas
2025-12-26 20:16:15 Another call with von der leyen, will it count this time? Meme platform.
2025-12-26 20:29:40 Axios
2025-12-26 21:15:07 Pretty likely, she represents all the other eu countries
2025-12-26 21:34:12 Besides that she is responsible for the 90 billion she is seeking, but this should have already resolved yes as the participated in the group call on 15 december. Just like the 4-5 september market
2025-12-26 22:26:50 Me making up news
2025-12-27 01:15:44 Old news, nice try.
2025-12-27 02:23:20 Yea there is plenty of proof, even more than the September market which resolved 4 people at once at a virtual meeting
2025-12-27 03:04:49 Personal statement from von der leyen?
2025-12-27 03:30:14 Signed, gg.
2025-12-27 11:39:41 He didn’t.
2025-12-27 12:02:00 They will call when zelensky is with trump.
2025-12-27 13:44:20 Both actually
2025-12-27 16:18:36 Von der leyen will join the call, from her own office this time, gg.
2025-12-27 16:56:03 Not today no, sunday yes
2025-12-27 17:58:49 No meeting between trump and elon either.
2025-12-27 22:39:52 100 actually
2025-12-28 01:12:03 Luckily it already happend on 15 december
2025-12-28 03:13:51 Not on press pool
2025-12-28 15:07:35 Zelensky has already arrived in Miami, where a meeting with Trump is scheduled for today. After the meeting, Zelensky and Trump will call European leaders. The call is scheduled for 9:00 PM
2025-12-28 15:13:56 Unless Netanyahu hides in his hotel, they are bound to meet, and trump definitely wants a picture with then together
2025-12-28 15:37:20 Its already indisputable, just like you don’t need a confession to prove someone is guilty.
2025-12-28 15:37:43 But you never know with this site, terrible way of resolving markets
2025-12-28 18:03:21 Check comment 2
2025-12-28 18:34:52 Trump confirms he will speak to the European leaders, lets see.
2025-12-28 22:30:23 Gg my boy
2025-12-29 20:26:56 We saw
2025-12-29 22:30:06 All of those were confirmed by the idf
2025-12-29 22:31:08 Does actually, won both hamas and thailand twice
2025-12-30 18:56:58 😂
2026-01-01 21:20:41 [link removed]
2026-01-02 01:24:33 Refund incoming
2026-01-04 01:19:31 Anything but useful markets
2026-01-04 12:11:47 Funny part is that Maduro isn’t even officially out Of power
2026-01-04 17:45:42 Trump and elon had dinner at mar a lago, proof is all over twitter
2026-01-04 17:54:52 Picture of them talking while seated at the same table 😂
2026-01-04 18:03:08 People like you just don’t learn.
2026-01-04 18:07:49 By the way even your own twitter comments disprove you.
2026-01-04 18:16:20 Glad you see the light, nice flip though
2026-01-04 18:47:10 They are sitting at the same table, and we have clear media consensus, go dispute and burn another 750.
2026-01-04 18:49:42 I always sit at a table with someone without interacting
2026-01-06 01:24:27 Exactly, ap news, cnn, bbc, tjmes of israel, al jazeera
2026-01-06 03:07:00 She is 58 💀
2026-01-06 18:46:56 Time to resolve this.
2026-01-06 21:32:54 It already happend, id sell
2026-01-08 22:38:07 Its a guarantee.
2026-01-08 22:46:50 The executive order makes this a clear yes
2026-01-08 22:51:36 The Adjutant General will order to state active duty the personnel.
2026-01-08 23:55:26 Paste the eo.
2026-01-09 20:10:30 You think he cares? Only reason she has been invited is because she will do it
2026-01-10 03:33:42 Read, the, rules.
2026-01-10 15:45:15 My only concern is that they don’t say they will share, but that she gives it to trump
2026-01-10 16:14:22 Only statements from both Machado and Trump which demonstrate that they are currently sharing, will share, or have decided to share the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize will count. Giving isn’t sharing
2026-01-12 00:40:57 Trump just confirmed again Tuesday or Wednesday
2026-01-12 18:17:26 Thursday confirmed by the White House.
2026-01-14 02:46:41 How exactly are they going to have a meeting of the board of peace at davos if the board hasn’t been established
2026-01-14 18:46:22 She is already in washington.
2026-01-14 20:42:01 At .1% yeah.
2026-01-14 23:56:54 Board has already been created according to credible sources.
2026-01-14 23:57:49 Is giving him the price considered sharing?
2026-01-15 00:37:09 Us requested un meeting on 15 jan, also the airspace is open again
2026-01-15 01:31:10 Rollcall is there, over.
2026-01-15 12:40:54 Just tip me your money instead
2026-01-15 13:10:05 Good luck.
2026-01-15 15:57:37 You really love gambling 😂
2026-01-15 20:42:51 Time to resolve.
2026-01-15 20:49:45 😂
2026-01-15 23:00:09 Keep betting on clear no’s and crying when you lose
2026-01-17 02:10:31 Who
2026-01-18 00:07:23 It will resolve no handshake, as no handshake occurred on camera
2026-01-18 00:25:00 Well yeah it also means that, but also when they don’t meet
2026-01-18 03:54:41 She wasn’t arrested, she gave herself up
2026-01-18 13:12:19 Takes months to extradite if someone doesn’t cooperate
2026-01-19 01:14:20 This whitelist proposal bs is just stupid, markets never get resolved anymore.
2026-01-19 14:19:51 [link removed]
2026-01-20 02:41:08 Clear consensus of credible reporting
2026-01-20 15:57:07 Hopefully, but unlikely
2026-01-21 00:22:29 Not even attending, let alone wear a suit
2026-01-21 01:35:36 Bet macron will fly back to shake the hand of the man he just called a bully.
2026-01-21 03:01:27 Ty
2026-01-21 11:38:02 Witkoff says a greenland meeting is planned, impossible for merz not to attend
2026-01-21 12:07:09 14 jan
2026-01-21 14:57:25 Axios confirms meeting Thursday
2026-01-21 15:13:46 They will most likely sign the deal, as that was the only way zelensky was coming to davos.
2026-01-21 15:28:31 Axios disagrees.
2026-01-21 18:35:52 Macron isn’t there 💀
2026-01-21 21:07:52 They already met
2026-01-21 21:08:10 Whatever makes you sleep
2026-01-21 22:02:07 Bro just sending stuff
2026-01-21 22:17:32 Us offical confirms a meeting soon
2026-01-21 22:47:03 Same for macron, he left yesterday 😂
2026-01-21 23:50:44 Disputed
2026-01-22 00:52:14 Exactly, this simply isn’t enough proof
2026-01-22 01:30:00 Yeah, he totally didn’t burn macron to the ground
2026-01-22 01:43:44 I wish you good luck, not impossible but highly unlikely.
2026-01-22 23:46:17 -300
2026-01-23 19:39:27 Almost resolvable
2026-01-24 01:36:59 Go ahead and dispute
2026-01-24 19:33:36 Shutdown
2026-01-24 22:41:27 “Democrat here” 💀
2026-01-25 00:11:09 Bro nervous
2026-01-25 02:35:38 Fairytale bet
2026-01-25 21:05:45 No
2026-01-25 22:02:11 Resolved
2026-01-26 02:48:12 Schizo final boss
2026-01-26 20:40:29 Made money so yeah 😂
2026-01-26 23:32:59 Walz doesn’t decide the vote
2026-01-27 13:42:14 Idk what site you use
2026-01-27 15:51:00 The effort: not voting for a bill
2026-01-27 18:08:22 Not really, just closes in a few hours and it will be done
2026-01-27 19:10:19 It updates at 1am
2026-01-27 22:11:18 It’s over
2026-01-27 22:27:25 Its already over though, just need to wait 2.5 hours
2026-01-27 22:39:17 Patience.
2026-01-28 00:45:29 Its over btw, just open till 31st
2026-01-28 01:01:43 Saturday
2026-01-28 15:53:06 No credible reporting at all.
2026-01-28 15:55:42 No.
2026-01-28 19:51:05 He didn’t say “a”
2026-01-28 22:08:30 15 or more
2026-01-29 00:58:27 No liquidity
2026-01-29 01:11:02 Rip randy, kept buying no but didn’t dispute
2026-01-29 02:12:33 You can put up a limit order though.
2026-01-29 15:04:10 This market is already over.
2026-01-29 17:26:55 Yeah, somalia was on the 27th according to africon, this market is done.
2026-01-29 20:49:42 Somalia already happend on the 27th doesn’t matter what happens now
2026-01-29 22:05:25 Finally someone proposed
2026-01-29 22:39:30 A strike on somali on the 27th happened, this was reported a few days ago though.
2026-01-29 23:26:20 You are right, he said it a bit later though, but this should resolve yes as this is the same situation as merz
2026-01-29 23:28:07 “They said don’t waste a call” yeah no.
2026-01-30 00:04:04 Time is unkown, this market has a clause for that
2026-01-30 00:04:27 They did, that’s what matters.
2026-01-30 01:39:21 [link removed]
2026-01-30 19:47:01 I guess so.
2026-01-30 19:48:39 Problem is that this so called “decentralized platform” only allows a few people to resolve markets, basically at the mercy of them.
2026-01-30 19:50:12 Just got a timeout for posting a link in the proposal request discord chat, wtf.
2026-01-31 01:40:38 Nobody able to resolve?
2026-02-03 18:58:22 No
2026-02-03 21:54:40 DJT “multiple meetings with iran planned”
2026-02-03 23:15:41 Irrelevant, Israels position was clear already
2026-02-04 11:18:33 Yeah sure, that’s why they asked for no other countries to participate 😂
2026-02-04 13:38:35 ISNA: US ENVOY WITKOFF AND IRAN'S FOREIGN MINISTER ARAQCHI TO TAKE PART IN OMAN TALKS
2026-02-04 14:00:49 In every previous meeting they have had a moment of direct contact.
2026-02-04 14:40:46 As a yes.
2026-02-04 15:09:15 Iranian sources reported that upcoming negotiations in Oman will initially be indirect. Abbas Araghchi will represent Iran, while Steve Witkoff will represent the U.S. Talks are expected to become direct once Tehran receives an American guarantee to adhere to the agreements.
2026-02-04 15:19:46 Iranian sources reported that upcoming negotiations in Oman will initially be indirect. Abbas Araghchi will represent Iran, while Steve Witkoff will represent the U.S. Talks are expected to become direct once Tehran receives an American guarantee to adhere to the agreements.
2026-02-04 16:39:17 Too much uncertainty.
2026-02-04 17:53:36 Guess it was a good sell.
2026-02-04 19:55:47 Talks are back on.
2026-02-04 22:02:38 Chance is still high that witkoff directly interacts, just like before
2026-02-04 23:17:01 So far after every meeting in which they were in the same building they have met for a little bit after the talks
2026-02-05 15:25:47 Well look again.
2026-02-06 01:02:04 True
2026-02-06 12:26:34 Second round just started, after which they will determine if they are going to move to direct talks
2026-02-06 12:28:49 Because round two of negotiations just started, after which they will determine to move to direct talks or not
2026-02-06 14:31:46 Another meeting will come in the upcoming days
2026-02-06 18:25:39 Witkoff met with iran pm , gf
2026-02-06 18:26:03 They met, according to axios, gg.
2026-02-06 18:32:47 Check barak ravid axios
2026-02-06 18:43:00 You lost
2026-02-06 18:43:41 Times of israel and n12 disagree, so does axios writer rabid
2026-02-06 18:45:25 The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
2026-02-06 18:56:17 Coping.
2026-02-06 18:57:18 Two already
2026-02-06 19:11:11 We see you trading no buddy
2026-02-06 19:11:47 Straight from car’s playbook 😂
2026-02-06 19:12:38 N12, times of israel too
2026-02-06 19:13:25 Nice trade though, W manipulation
2026-02-06 20:45:18 Wrong
2026-02-06 22:24:22 Trump left the office, it’s over
2026-02-06 22:38:30 During the talks, Trump's advisers Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met directly with Iran's foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, two sources briefed on the meeting said.
2026-02-06 22:39:55 Yea the disputer
2026-02-06 22:40:11 “ During the talks, Trump's advisers Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met directly with Iran's foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, two sources briefed on the meeting said.”
2026-02-06 22:48:58 Press pool.
2026-02-06 22:52:51 Well we have multiple sources claiming the same thing, this is considered credible reporting
2026-02-06 23:16:21 You are up 10k and don’t know where to read the press pool?
2026-02-06 23:32:51 Lookup “forth White House press pool”
2026-02-07 00:21:43 😂😂😂
2026-02-07 00:51:07 This will start at any moment
2026-02-07 00:54:33 100%
2026-02-07 12:01:16 “ He further claimed: "The level of enrichment depends on our needs and the enriched uranium will not be exported from Iran. There is no set date at present for the second round of negotiations, but we and Washington believe it should take place soon. Although the negotiations were indirect, there was an opportunity to shake hands with the American delegation"”
2026-02-08 17:05:41 Jd is about to attend
2026-02-08 19:58:50 It won’t resolve no.
2026-02-08 23:25:45 Trump is not physically able to reach the superbowl.
2026-02-08 23:25:54 Generous man
2026-02-09 01:36:30 Apple gg
2026-02-09 03:02:05 Yes, and the apple music one after the halftime show counts too
2026-02-09 03:16:03 The rules.
2026-02-09 12:20:45 Apple Music is.
2026-02-11 00:47:46 Full lid at 6:03
2026-02-11 13:14:01 13th is barely physically possible
2026-02-11 17:07:53 Ye
2026-02-11 23:21:22 Full lid at 6:02
2026-02-11 23:21:41 Thats a full lid, you lost.
2026-02-11 23:33:32 They either copy the time, or rollcall wont even report a lid.
2026-02-11 23:42:13 If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth. Why do you think this line is there
2026-02-11 23:46:16 Good luck.
2026-02-12 01:24:38 Resolvable in 3.5 hours.
2026-02-12 01:52:28 Its not, forth called a clear full lid, they just use less formal language, and as rollcall hasn’t reported it forth will be used. Stop attempting to rulecuck.
2026-02-12 02:05:45 Nice try buddy.
2026-02-12 02:57:51 the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by February 13, 2026, read.
2026-02-12 13:59:38 Pretty likely yes.
2026-02-12 14:04:10 The rules disagree.
2026-02-12 15:32:01 Gg
2026-02-12 15:39:36 [link removed]
2026-02-12 15:47:56
2026-02-12 23:21:07 No problem
2026-02-13 18:29:21 Bro lives in fairytale land
2026-02-13 18:33:37 Witkoff is in the us btw
2026-02-13 18:39:09 Yea right, they are going to send a lower level delegation, what planet are you from 😂
2026-02-13 19:12:39 This one? “ Trump sends second aircraft carrier to Gulf amid Iran threats”
2026-02-13 19:51:02 This market isn’t even about a direct meeting
2026-02-14 00:05:40 Smelling some old pain here
2026-02-14 01:18:17 They have to call a lid by 23:59 that says before 18;30 btw or it’s no.
2026-02-14 01:34:15
2026-02-14 01:35:57 Clear end data and no waiting period.
2026-02-14 01:49:05 By the way nowhere does it say anything about waiting for a lid after 18:30 like in other markets
2026-02-14 02:16:36 Is he there yet?
2026-02-14 12:41:41 13th didn’t, 28th was obviously possible
2026-02-14 23:22:40 Exact oppositie
2026-02-16 00:29:00 Nobody did
2026-02-16 19:33:23 When someone who is whitelisted will finally propose
2026-02-17 10:02:53 Gg
2026-02-17 12:00:01 Already resolvable
2026-02-17 23:58:07 So they won’t be bombed and have sanctions released?
2026-02-18 22:55:42 I wouldn’t be so sure yet.
2026-02-18 23:09:09 You can’t look at the future
2026-02-19 02:03:22 “ it is carrying out airstrikes”
2026-02-19 22:03:50 Right, they rather starve to death than give up their useless nuclear program, weird logic.
2026-02-20 15:24:02 Nice try
2026-02-21 12:14:58 Yeah except when you starve anyone but the elite, historically it has ended well
2026-02-21 13:32:36 Kinda hard to stay in power when everyone’s starving, that’s why we saw protests, matter of time if that doesn’t change
2026-02-22 00:38:55 It’s at 98
2026-02-22 01:46:40 Always, 13 times last speech.
2026-02-22 14:14:22 1.5 hours
2026-02-22 16:14:44 Didn’t age well
2026-02-24 00:06:51 True.
2026-02-24 00:29:09 It is, if rollcall doesn’t report a lid it will resolve according to the lid that forth reports
2026-02-24 00:37:43 To yes? 😂
2026-02-24 00:43:40 You don’t understand how forth works, they never use the words “full lid” called, so that would make the backup source useless, which makes no sense.
2026-02-24 00:43:59 True, will probably take at least another hour
2026-02-24 00:54:42 Yh mb
2026-02-24 01:21:33 It doesn’t, it will resolve to rollcall unless it doesn’t report a lid, then it will resolve to forth.
2026-02-24 13:18:46 No, oman just made it up
2026-02-24 23:22:13 First time?
2026-02-25 02:24:15 Border at 6, easy
2026-02-25 02:32:31 No, gasoline counts as gas.
2026-02-25 02:45:52 Border gg
2026-02-25 03:00:05 Biden at 4, price is insane
2026-02-25 03:04:32 To me its still 50-50, speech will go on for another hour at least
2026-02-25 03:34:27 No probably not
2026-02-25 22:57:06 Yeah
2026-02-26 22:36:23 Strike confirmed by ap news in the early morning
2026-02-26 22:40:21 Over. “ There was no immediate information on the exact location of the explosions in the Afghan capital in the early hours of Friday, or on any potential casualties.”
2026-02-26 22:48:48 Friday morning, confirmed by ap news
2026-02-26 22:50:08 Just type “kabul” on twitter, you can see all the live footage
2026-02-26 22:54:17 Just look at twitter, live footage.
2026-02-26 23:00:31 Pissing away money.
2026-02-26 23:03:39 Source is ap news, one of the most trustworthy sources in the world
2026-02-26 23:07:34 Ynet: Afghanistan: Explosions in Kabul, Taliban announces strikes on Pakistani border positions At least three explosions were heard in Afghanistan's capital Kabul. This was reported by journalists from the French news agency AFP stationed in the city. The explosions were heard hours after the Taliban announced it had launched an attack on Pakistani positions along the border between the countries. According to the report, shortly before the explosions in Kabul a fighter jet flew over the city and gunfire was heard.
2026-02-26 23:22:34 “ Pakistan’s Information Minister Attaullah Tarar confirmed airstrikes on Kabul, stating that the Pakistan Armed Forces targeted Afghan Taliban military installations in Kabul, Kandahar, and Paktika, destroying brigade headquarters, logistics bases, and ammunition depots.”
2026-02-26 23:47:46 Visegrad24 has the footage.
2026-02-26 23:51:01 Spokesperson of Afghanistan: The cowardly Pakistani military has carried out airstrikes in certain areas of Kabul, Kandahar, and Paktia; fortunately, there have been no reported casualties.
2026-02-27 00:19:30 Gg
2026-02-27 01:03:05 Yeah, worst clarification ever 😂
2026-02-28 00:18:02 Someone propose, it’s on paramounts website already
2026-02-28 13:06:25 More ballistic rockets just launched a few sec ago
2026-02-28 13:16:43 Wsj reports us base hit
2026-02-28 15:07:53 Rosh HaAyin hit, gg.
2026-02-28 16:28:44 Yeah no, ynet already has.
2026-02-28 16:41:55 Reuters. “ Israeli media reports a hit in center of country 2 hours ago 16:04 CET Earlier we reported that Israel shut schools and workplaces as Tehran launched missiles towards Israel in retaliation for the joint [link removed] attack.”
2026-02-28 16:42:52 -35k for a reason
2026-02-28 16:44:06 Base has been hit according to 3 American officials. Gg
2026-02-28 16:49:12 None of these strikes have hit, definitely 🤣 “ A new launch of ballistic missiles from Iran has been detected by the IDF. Sirens are expected to sound in northern Israel shortly. This comes after sirens sounded across central Israel a short while ago.”
2026-02-28 16:50:14 Times of israel: a man in his 50s was injured by a blast shockwave in Ka’abiyye-Tabbash-Hajajrem
2026-02-28 16:58:16 Yeah no, confirmed by wsj, stop coping.
2026-02-28 17:30:56 Its already yes.
2026-02-28 17:52:53 Obviously, imagine thinking hundreds of rockets and not one will hit, even the idf spokesperson said that it would be impossible
2026-02-28 17:53:29 Base was hit by iran according to us officials, all rules satisfied
2026-02-28 18:18:51 Not how it’s works.
2026-02-28 18:27:28 Market don’t resolve just because it happend, markets resolve when someone whitelisted has the balls to propose.
2026-02-28 18:27:59 0 shares bot, not worth the time.
2026-02-28 18:28:48 Sirens warning of a suspected drone infiltration sound in several southern Israeli communities next to the Jordan border.
2026-02-28 18:29:27 Luckily we dont require the idf. Plenty of credible sources have already confirmed strikes.
2026-02-28 18:43:13 Exactly, it’s physically impossible for thousands of projectiles to all be intercepted, even the idf told citizens that they can’t intercept everything
2026-02-28 18:46:01 Not really. Smarter to farm.
2026-02-28 19:03:07 “ So far, 23 waves of attacks have been carried out against Israel (28.2, 17:00): eight toward the northern region, nine toward the Tel Aviv area, three toward the Jerusalem area, and three toward the southern region. To date, two mildly injured individuals have been reported, along with damage to homes, including as a result of direct hits and interception debris.”
2026-02-28 19:03:36 So far, 23 waves of attacks have been carried out against Israel (28.2, 17:00): eight toward the northern region, nine toward the Tel Aviv area, three toward the Jerusalem area, and three toward the southern region. To date, two mildly injured individuals have been reported, along with damage to homes, including as a result of direct hits and interception debris.
2026-02-28 19:05:03 Yup, credible source, nice one
2026-02-28 19:06:25 Times of israel. Gg. “ Air defense systems intercepted several of the projectiles, while others struck open areas. There were also reports of missile and interceptor fragments landing across the country.”
2026-02-28 19:07:52 Yup, that’s gg.
2026-02-28 19:10:23 Holy cope.
2026-02-28 19:11:29 Seem pretty direct. [link removed]
2026-02-28 19:26:00 [link removed]
2026-02-28 19:26:43 Not removed?
2026-02-28 19:27:06 He copied it from a account with 200k followers
2026-02-28 19:27:17 Not removed, learn clicking a link
2026-02-28 19:33:00 Maybe you prefer this one. [link removed] 70k followers
2026-02-28 19:44:47 True, luckily the times of israel and jpost confirmed it already.
2026-02-28 19:57:55 Nypost confirms direct hit.
2026-02-28 19:58:33 Idk what no holders are on. “ A second barrage later Saturday afternoon included 15 missiles launched in northern and central Israel, according to The Jerusalem Post. One bomb from that volley also struck a residential building in central Israel where one person suffered minor injuries, that report stated.”
2026-02-28 20:05:47 i do understand, as my quote reports a direct strike report by a credible media source.
2026-02-28 20:27:03 It is.
2026-02-28 20:29:36 Yeah if you don’t understand polymarket maybe
2026-02-28 20:30:30 try reading. “strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.”
2026-02-28 20:35:20 I get that people don’t like proposing these huge markets, but WSJ, Washington post, times of israel, jpost, ynet and more have all confirmed direct strikes
2026-02-28 21:13:34 Real quiet now 🤣🤣
2026-02-28 21:13:48 Always had.
2026-02-28 21:17:18 Did I lose yet?
2026-02-28 21:46:50 Trust the guy with the -6k pl guys!
2026-02-28 21:51:49 No holders burning even more money by disputing 🤣
2026-02-28 23:06:58 Exactly, people need to stop coping.
2026-02-28 23:51:03 Lid is called.
2026-02-28 23:51:51 “ This from the WH on tonight’s fundraiser (with many thanks to CBS’s Sara Cook of the TV pool). Lid remains in place.”
2026-02-28 23:54:50 Yeah except video footage of a strike on a us base 😂
2026-03-01 00:03:01 Its over, check the site.
2026-03-01 00:56:53 All you have to do is type in “iran struck military base” and you will find 20 articles from today confirming the strikes.
2026-03-01 01:02:41 Im not your assistant, get to reading, or understand why this market is at 99 cents in the first place.
2026-03-01 01:15:01 Check rollcall, lid called. “ Saturday, February 28, 2026 7:20 AM Out-of-Town Travel Pool Call Time [Note: Call time pushed to 9:00 AM, then 12:00 PM, 2:00 PM, 4:00 PM and 6:00 PM. A lid was then called at 4:29 PM before the 6:00 PM Call time] Mar-a-Lago Out-of-Town Travel Pool”
2026-03-01 01:19:37 I did, told you exactly what to google, you are acting ignorant in a attempt to turn your $200 into $10k 😂😂
2026-03-01 01:29:37 Right, and you didn’t ask yourself why the price was 99 cents?
2026-03-01 01:37:36 CNN: “ In one video filmed near the US Navy’s military base in Manama, Bahrain, an Iranian Shahed drone is seen directly making impact with a radar dome at the facility. The drone attack occurred near an earlier strike on the Fifth Fleet.”
2026-03-01 01:38:13 Here you go, cnn: “ In one video filmed near the US Navy’s military base in Manama, Bahrain, an Iranian Shahed drone is seen directly making impact with a radar dome at the facility. The drone attack occurred near an earlier strike on the Fifth Fleet.”
2026-03-01 01:45:04 Or here, from reuters: “ Bahrain said the service centre of the U.S. Fifth Fleet — the base for American naval forces in the region — had been subjected to a missile attack. Video footage showed a thick grey plume of smoke rising from near the island state's coastline. Qatar said it had downed all missiles targeting the country and that it had a right to respond. Kuwait confirmed a missile attack on a U.S. military base there.”
2026-03-01 02:16:48 Just propose, you’ve got all the credible sources in the world confirming.
2026-03-01 02:22:36 Keep dreaming.
2026-03-01 03:10:50 Bro the chart is already updated, it’s over
2026-03-01 14:12:36 Gg
2026-03-02 14:12:35 Israel struck first accoring to a top us general, question is if it resolves correctly
2026-03-02 14:13:34 Toi “ Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine confirms that Israel was the first to strike Iran on Saturday and that the US then followed.”
2026-03-02 22:19:12 Source is right there buddy.
2026-03-03 00:43:51 How is uae not settled yet
2026-03-03 01:14:53 Two uavs hit us embassy in Saudi Arabia
2026-03-03 01:29:06 I know
2026-03-03 10:58:43 Nope, only whitelisted people
2026-03-03 11:44:45 Because we are waiting on someone with whitelist privileges to propose, so far for decentralized
2026-03-03 11:45:18 Yeah its over, been over.
2026-03-03 12:45:31 Your bet
2026-03-03 16:07:40 Why are none of these getting resolved by someone with whitelist? Farming?
2026-03-03 17:09:17 How many times does uae have to be struck before getting proposed? 10x?
2026-03-03 23:54:44 Its iran time
2026-03-04 00:09:18 Didn’t even spot that 😂
2026-03-04 00:10:10 Not yet, but it will.
2026-03-04 01:38:51 Old news, people are already chanting his name in protests
2026-03-04 18:14:04 Love the insane price drops after 1 day of no announcement 😂
2026-03-04 18:34:32 Iraninternation says it will be after his funeral, so probably next week.
2026-03-04 19:44:04 You do understand funerals need to happen relatively fast right? 😂
2026-03-04 19:57:09 I responded to him
2026-03-04 22:05:57 [link removed]
2026-03-04 22:12:01 Iran just posted a video on twitter with the new supreme leader
2026-03-04 22:29:42 Twitter is not hard to use
2026-03-04 23:27:38 Yh probably
2026-03-05 01:18:42 Bro is back to lose more money 💀
2026-03-05 01:46:37 And I guess having a postive pl is harder for you
2026-03-05 18:15:47 Right, because israel will only kill him if they officially announce 😂
2026-03-06 00:16:55 They will definitely announce at 4am 💀
2026-03-07 03:11:30 💀
2026-03-08 10:11:14 “ What has been discussed hasn't been thought of in terms of boots on the ground," a third source said. "People think Fallujah. That's not what has been discussed."”
2026-03-08 15:27:50 “ LEAVITT: GROUND TROOP DEPLOYMENT NOT PART OF TRUMP CURRENT PLAN”
2026-03-09 23:20:31 How does a quick end to this war combine with a ground invasion intended to takeover land?
2026-03-10 00:02:40 It has updated. Gg
2026-03-10 18:51:15 💀
2026-03-11 00:48:51 Anything but useful markets 💀
2026-03-12 00:12:44 Ceasefire*
2026-03-12 18:11:34 very realistic
2026-03-12 22:18:47 You don’t understand what a ceasefire is
2026-03-12 22:29:50 You do understand a ceasefire requires a formal agreement between parties? While the other is purely about a halt of strikes for 14 days
2026-03-12 22:45:31 You apparently except a formal ceasefire, while both sides don’t like losing face.
2026-03-13 14:53:29 You are correct, this market should have resolved yes, polymarket just added a ridiculous clarification that has basically ruined this market
2026-03-13 15:39:54 With 2500 😂😂
2026-03-13 20:56:49 So gullible.
2026-03-13 22:26:27 Great way to push oil prices even higher
2026-03-13 22:47:00 No chance, doesn’t correlate with trumps “quick victory”
2026-03-14 00:11:21 Already said they don’t care about it.
2026-03-14 00:17:05 Him striking it? Just proves my point
2026-03-14 00:39:18 Trump is showing he can destroy everything if he wants too, he isn’t going to do the most unpopular thing he can do before the midterms 😂😂
2026-03-14 00:54:56 Wishful thinking, nor do your shares back your confidence.
2026-03-14 01:01:49 You are online 24-7
2026-03-14 01:07:18 But let me give you one last tip, if the us would invade the island, iran would strike all the infrastructure in the Middle East to make the oil price skyrocket, gulf states will be forced to act and you will have a full on war in the middle east.
2026-03-14 01:12:19 No, the rules don’t say that
2026-03-15 23:31:34 Trump saying “could” is the same as him saying nothing
2026-03-16 00:35:38 First time hearing trump? 🤣🤣
2026-03-16 00:42:01 No chance, he is begging for help.
2026-03-16 01:05:53 Keep reaching for the stars with these longshots
2026-03-16 01:20:29 Didn’t age well
2026-03-16 01:47:59 Nothing is canceled, trump said he “might” cancel aka nothing changed.
2026-03-16 01:57:58 Ground troops won’t help, they will be sitting ducks for cheap drones, another nail in the midterm coffin
2026-03-16 02:21:34 But never say never, it’s trump after all
2026-03-16 12:08:51 Times of Israel reported a direct hit in an open field on march 10
2026-03-16 14:29:53 He didn’t. “ Meanwhile, Scott Bessent has played down any implications from a potential delay of Donald Trump’s trip to China”
2026-03-16 21:21:59 How stupid are you? 💀
2026-03-17 16:07:56 TRUMP: CHINA TRIP IN 5-6 WEEKS GG
2026-03-19 02:28:07 March 19 is over already
2026-03-19 21:37:52 Yeah the site is ass
2026-03-21 21:52:12 You are not the brightest are you?
2026-03-22 00:12:28 Buddy doesn’t understand that market already exists
2026-03-22 00:42:18 I will give you a hint, “country”
2026-03-22 01:41:11 Np
2026-03-22 02:30:44 “ The Saudi Defense Ministry announced that three ballistic missiles were fired at the capital Riyadh, one of them was intercepted and two exploded in open areas.”
2026-03-22 09:34:39 Reuters, it’s on ynet
2026-03-22 13:03:59 Yes, im talking about 22
2026-03-22 17:11:13 22 is already over, Saudi Arabia and kuwait have been hit. “The Armed Forces monitored, during the past (24) hours, a number (7) of hostile drones within Kuwaiti airspace, and succeeded in intercepting and destroying a number (4) of them, while a number (3) drones fell outside the threat area, without posing any danger.”
2026-03-22 17:32:03 You do understand that is still inside their territory right? 😂
2026-03-22 18:00:20 -126 for a reason, good luck.
2026-03-22 19:48:36 Kuwait the same, been proposable for a while
2026-03-22 20:19:48 The war can end without a ceasefire
2026-03-22 20:57:47 Idk if you are whitelisted, but nobody is disputing you
2026-03-22 22:21:00 Your L
2026-03-22 22:50:20 What ideas? You not figuring out anything on your own? Thats not an idea
2026-03-22 22:57:48 or maybe nobody wants to bet at those odds.
2026-03-22 23:34:26 Like which ones?
2026-03-22 23:35:56 And you have been on here for one month and already lost, and I have 3k
2026-03-22 23:46:18 US President Donald Trump reportedly indicates he is leaning toward traveling to Israel next month to receive the Israel Prize. “Yes, sounds like it,” Israel’s pro-government Channel 14 says Trump told it when asked whether he will come for the Independence Day ceremony on April 22. Think the end of the war is near
2026-03-23 00:04:09 Keep coping, you suck.
2026-03-23 00:46:21 Idk, maybe reuters and two official statements from kuwait and Saudi arabia
2026-03-23 11:11:51 Make some money before talking
2026-03-23 11:12:37 Try learning English first
2026-03-23 12:12:42 Learn to read.
2026-03-23 15:32:30 Cope
2026-03-23 18:07:08 Truth vs reality here
2026-03-23 18:07:17 And its taking way to long
2026-03-23 18:31:32 Ask jabe, he thinks he’s the expert
2026-03-23 18:46:58 It wont though, as we have seen before
2026-03-23 19:02:08 “ The ministry said in a statement that continued Iranian attacks would lead to further escalation and have “significant consequences”
2026-03-23 19:38:40 They posted this right after the ballistic strike
2026-03-23 22:18:49 Nobody else has ballistic rockets, iran claimed a range of strikes on the 22th, stop coping
2026-03-23 23:15:49 Nice try, called rulecucking. That hasn’t worked for years
2026-03-23 23:38:02 And btw, nournews, a state linked iranian news agency reported that on 22 march they targeted al minhad, in saudi arabia
2026-03-23 23:55:08 Bro stop coping jesus, we get that you hold no but you are wrong.
2026-03-24 00:17:24 Its a desperate attempt at pumping your worthless shares instead of trying to resolve a market based on facts
2026-03-24 01:01:06 Both the direct hit and the responsibility have been confirmed by official statements of state media.
2026-03-24 01:13:37 Bro just leaped over the Grand Canyon there 😂
2026-03-24 11:15:14 And israel on april 22
2026-03-24 15:07:32 23 or 24 has to be yes, look at kuwait army twitter, they claimed 4 direct hits in open areas in the past 24 hours
2026-03-24 15:53:00 24 should have been resolved already, literally multiple idf post with video footage confirm it
2026-03-24 20:45:13 Nobody proposing 24th?
2026-03-25 00:09:49 Guess everyone is busy with the march 20 market, as 24 march is the fattest yes ever since last night
2026-03-27 10:01:44 Yeah but reuters and times of Israel isnt
2026-03-27 10:50:17 They both reported it already
2026-03-27 22:34:12 Nah he said crypto 😂😂
2026-03-27 22:34:44 None
2026-03-27 22:34:49 Crazy update
2026-03-28 00:44:27 Bahrain got hit on video
2026-03-28 00:45:54 None
2026-03-28 17:34:23 28th is clear, both the idf and credible reporting is in.
2026-03-28 21:05:50 Happend overnight, aka early Saturday
2026-03-28 21:06:17 Nice trade though
2026-03-29 14:59:25 Because these markets are mad inefficient, and nobody is whitelisted
2026-03-29 16:04:41 These markets take way to long to resolve, stupid whitelist system
2026-03-29 16:16:20 Nobody but a select few accounts are allowed to propose markets, this results in low liquidity markets to not be resolved timely, because wales don’t earn enough from them
2026-03-29 17:04:25 No, eventually it resolves yes most of the time, but it just causes uncertainty and it wastes people’s time
2026-03-29 20:26:59 Finally someone is proposing the obvious yes, do lebanon and beirut next please
2026-03-29 20:44:34 Keep dreaming.
2026-03-29 21:08:07 😂😂😂
2026-03-29 21:16:06 Because the idf reported strikes in the night plus afternoon
2026-03-30 00:35:08 Obvious pressure tactic
2026-03-30 18:04:37 “ The IDF has continued to strike Hezbollah sites throughout Lebanon. The IDF struck a Hezbollah weapons storage facility, a rocket launch site, and other unspecified military buildings in Beirut, the Bekaa Valley, and other areas of Lebanon overnight on March 28 and 29.[108] The IDF issued evacuation warnings for multiple neighborhoods in Beirut’s southern suburbs, which are a Hezbollah stronghold.[109] The IDF has repeatedly struck Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs since the start of the conflict.”
2026-03-31 15:47:05 No reason, just waiting for the mercy of someone who is whitelisted to propose, probably farming the market first
2026-03-31 19:18:53 Not really no, the us protects israel atm
2026-03-31 20:12:02 Yeah you got a great track record.
2026-03-31 22:16:34 Kennedy center
2026-03-31 22:19:15 😂
2026-04-01 11:17:22 Yeah because they are worthless
2026-04-01 15:51:16 Look at “no qualifying meeting”
2026-04-02 00:54:17 That’s because forth just posts whatever the white house sends.
2026-04-02 13:17:46 18k shares, but can’t read rules.
2026-04-02 17:35:37 She is going to the private sector,
2026-04-03 15:31:19 One of the two soldiers rescued according to israeli sources
2026-04-03 15:50:03 Bot
2026-04-03 15:57:31 Rescued by special forces
2026-04-03 15:58:05 An Israeli official said Israel cancelled planned strikes in Iran so as not to hamper the search and rescue efforts
2026-04-03 16:03:59 Exactly
2026-04-03 16:21:09 Rescue operation is pretty intentional
2026-04-03 16:22:55 Sources tell CNN: Rescued pilot receiving medical treatment, efforts underway to locate and rescue navigator yeah no chance he went up himself
2026-04-03 16:31:56 😂😂😂
2026-04-03 16:42:47 Its a rescue operation, can only be deliberate
2026-04-03 16:51:26 Wrong market buddy
2026-04-03 17:41:49 Buying worthless shares
2026-04-03 17:42:12 He is injured, already confirmed
2026-04-04 00:07:25 It doesn’t require a deliberate military operation. Try reading.
2026-04-05 12:05:53 That’s why the price is at 99.9
2026-04-05 17:36:50 50k down the drain 💀
2026-04-05 21:57:02 Zero chance trump drags this till july, he would be asking to be destroyed in the midterms
2026-04-06 10:44:31 No, realistically this war is over before may.
2026-04-06 13:40:53 Who has the higher pl again?
2026-04-06 22:21:07 Copium.
2026-04-06 23:13:48 It’s not.
2026-04-07 23:02:17 Irrelevant, he already announced it
2026-04-07 23:24:04 Didn’t age well
2026-04-08 00:19:21 They have
2026-04-08 00:19:32 Learn to read
2026-04-08 17:52:28 Cap.
2026-04-08 23:25:07 Brainless
2026-04-09 12:05:35 You do understand he always does this? Said the same about bondi
2026-04-09 13:06:02 Yeah no, the ceasefire was clearly announced on the 7th
2026-04-09 13:56:26 0 strikes today.
2026-04-09 20:28:51 Its overr
2026-04-09 21:05:06 Cap
2026-04-10 03:04:33 You can’t, the rules say that at any point between now and end date a 14 day period can start.
2026-04-10 23:20:29 Except that the us has just told israel to stand down on lebanon, plus both sides are already there.
2026-04-11 00:31:20 You think vance is going to negotiate alone?
2026-04-11 09:43:37 Didn’t age well.
2026-04-11 11:13:36 keep dreaming, it’s already over, they exchanged messages indirectly.
2026-04-11 11:26:03 It doesn’t say that anywhere, as that is not how indirect meetings work.
2026-04-11 11:26:47 Both parties are physically present and have exchanged messages. GG
2026-04-11 12:44:46 Yeah no, thanks for the money.
2026-04-11 14:59:51 If you want to lose another 750
2026-04-11 15:01:06 The loser is back trying to turn his trash into gold 😂
2026-04-11 15:07:36 “Per a senior White House official, the U.S., Pakistan, and Iran are holding a trilateral face to face meeting today. Per U.S. official, delegation information is below. Core U.S. Delegation: JD Vance, Vice President of the United States”
2026-04-11 15:08:58 Nice try. “Per a senior White House official, the U.S., Pakistan, and Iran are holding a trilateral face to face meeting today. Per U.S. official, delegation information is below. Core U.S. Delegation: JD Vance, Vice President of the United States”
2026-04-11 16:25:37 No, just a mountain
2026-04-11 16:26:29 Yeah no, white house confirmed.
2026-04-11 22:13:30 You do understand that its about time, not date?
2026-04-12 00:00:21 Motorcade pulled up to the Kaseya Center at 7:42 pm. Along the way there were some onlookers - a heavily male crowd - filming the motorcade. Along the way the POTUS Truth Social account posted an advertisement that appeared to be for a UFC fight at the White House on June 14. Didn’t see POTUS when we pulled up. Heading inside.
2026-04-12 00:05:38 No holders
2026-04-12 12:41:59 You already lost.
2026-04-12 14:46:01 Complete breakdown? They have disagreed on 1 point 😂
2026-04-12 18:42:23 Yeah it’s resolvable in a few hours
2026-04-12 21:01:18 There was no strike on 9th of april, now the 3 day waiting period is over so everything from april 9 is yes
2026-04-12 22:00:19 Do you ride the short bus perchance?
2026-04-13 00:02:32 No, from 9 april
2026-04-13 00:30:51 Yeah if you don’t understand what the word soil means
2026-04-13 11:51:47 Bout to lose 10k
2026-04-13 20:25:37 It’s pretty likely, as striking eachother is a direct end of the ceasefire
2026-04-13 20:26:10 Concerning that this has 5 likes, guess we have a lot of illiterate people here
2026-04-13 20:26:26 Because you are illiterate
2026-04-15 00:49:11 😂😂😂
2026-04-15 12:12:27 Gullible
2026-04-16 14:26:08 How stupid are you? Learn to read
2026-04-16 15:16:02 You do understand that the highest officers have already been told to standdown at 7?
2026-04-16 15:35:45 Hezbollah doesnt have to agree, but I get your point
2026-04-16 15:36:12 Toi
2026-04-16 16:00:19 Easy now with Lebanon ceasefire
2026-04-16 16:00:58 Truthsocial 💀
2026-04-16 19:42:29 Why? Not my style, you are just gambling
2026-04-16 19:45:12 Not really, extension is still possible if he thinks a deal can be reached
2026-04-16 23:39:57 Just pissing away money
2026-04-17 00:51:41 💀
2026-04-17 12:27:41 Who bets no on these markets 😂😂
2026-04-17 12:51:51 “ Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.”
2026-04-17 12:52:19 I doubt you believe this yourself, considering your positions 😂
2026-04-17 13:52:34 Newby.
2026-04-17 13:57:16 It can start at any time, not just date
2026-04-17 14:08:49 Logic: 0
2026-04-17 19:22:59 The rules.
2026-04-18 01:09:42 Career killing article, it’s over.
2026-04-18 13:03:39 Yeah, let’s get bombed instead
2026-04-18 13:04:55 Irrelevant, impossible for this to be fake
2026-04-18 13:05:38 Nice sell bro
2026-04-18 13:38:03 21 is a Tuesday
2026-04-18 14:12:28 Next Sunday:
2026-04-18 15:46:43 Old news, Pakistan said they expect them on the 26th
2026-04-18 17:12:33 26th is the date my guy.
2026-04-19 00:25:42 The Pakistani delegation was till this evening in Tehran trying to secure a clear Iranian response to the U.S. demands. Not clear till the moment what was the outcome. Yet the atmosphere wasn’t till early hours of the evening close to optimism. There seems to be insistence in Tehran on sticking to the original redlines regarding enrichment and the HEU stockpiles. The status of the strait also depends on the U.S. decision to lift the blockade.
2026-04-19 02:35:49 Iranian TV on Deputy Foreign Minister: We have not yet reached a point in the negotiations that allows moving to holding an actual meeting
2026-04-19 07:20:30 Np
2026-04-19 10:26:19 “ Pakistan's Geo News, citing high-level government sources: The date for the new round of US-Iranian talks has not yet been determined.”
2026-04-19 11:48:04 Literally one hour ago 😂
2026-04-19 12:39:54 Like he said the meeting would happen this weekend?
2026-04-19 12:49:51 Literally said it in the oval office during a live stream 💀
2026-04-19 12:51:02 Message is very disrespectful to iran, maybe they back channeled and organized a meeting though.
2026-04-19 14:17:37 The previous negotiations were good
2026-04-19 14:17:51 21 is Tuesday.
2026-04-19 14:37:48 Well they negotiated for 21 hours and actually closed some gaps
2026-04-19 22:49:24 Even if it’s true it’s not enough for this market
2026-04-19 23:32:50 Odds are insane
2026-04-20 09:53:08 Not a single positive update for yes in the past days
2026-04-20 10:02:22 so can you.
2026-04-20 10:31:46 He isn’t going.
2026-04-20 11:07:37 PAKISTANI MEDIATOR CONVEYED SOME NEWS TO THE IRANIAN SIDE REGARDING THE LIFTING OF THE SIEGE ON IRANIAN PORTS, AND A NEW HIGH-LEVEL MEETING MAY SOON DECIDE ON THE ISSUE OF IRAN'S PARTICIPATION IN A NEW ROUND OF NEGOTIATIONS WITH WASHINGTON IN ISLAMABAD. BY THE EVENING OF THIS DAY, THE PICTURE MAY BECOME CLEARER UNLESS UNEXPECTED POSTS EMERGE FROM WASHINGTON. Meeting first, gg.
2026-04-20 11:58:39 Meeting later this week.
2026-04-20 12:06:59 This week yeah, no chance it’s tommorow
2026-04-20 13:28:00 JD VANCE, US DELEGATION TO LAND IN ISLAMABAD WITHIN HOURS: NYP
2026-04-20 13:38:09 New info, im not in a cult
2026-04-20 14:17:44 The us delegation will depart on tuesday, 20th is done.
2026-04-20 14:21:41 Nobody is there so no.
2026-04-20 14:22:04 They need to be physically there, zero iranians are there
2026-04-20 14:55:00 More like 19
2026-04-20 20:35:17 Wasted money.
2026-04-21 00:43:00 Better call you lawyer
2026-04-21 00:43:13 Guess you should start calling your lawyer
2026-04-21 09:58:45 100%
2026-04-21 12:11:05 The period can start at any time
2026-04-21 13:34:27 The 7th stops when it’s past midnight in that timezone
2026-04-21 16:05:56 Not how it works
2026-04-21 20:14:13 Didnt age well
2026-04-21 20:16:11 No chance iran doesn’t accept this extension, gg.
2026-04-21 20:35:40 Rejected yet thinking of abiding 😂
2026-04-21 21:27:24 Only yes argument needed, iran will obviously confirm they agree to extend.
2026-04-21 21:27:38 Iran will tell Pakistan they agree
2026-04-21 21:34:22 However, an overwhelming consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire extension agreement has been reached will suffice.
2026-04-21 22:36:28 Iran saying they agree will be enough
2026-04-22 11:37:02 IRAN’S FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESPERSON ESMAIL BAGHAEI ACKNOWLEDGED THE CEASEFIRE EXTENSION IN COMMENTS REPORTED WEDNESDAY BY IRANIAN STATE TELEVISION.
2026-04-22 18:15:27 Irrelevant
2026-04-22 18:39:06 Very strong article for yes
2026-04-22 20:40:24 National guard did
2026-04-22 20:57:24 Literally said they initiated it 😂
2026-04-23 12:08:27 Except she initiated it
2026-04-23 14:00:34 Literally last meeting
2026-04-24 13:51:01 Cherry picking final boss. “ ARAGHCHI TO DISCUSS TONIGHT IN PAKISTAN THE PROCESS OF RENEGOTIATION”
2026-04-24 14:20:01 Ty, just a little hedge though
2026-04-24 14:30:34 No, they would arrive at 10, but the meeting isn’t today
2026-04-24 15:48:51 This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
2026-04-24 15:51:13 Gg WITKOFF, KUSHNER TO PARTICIPATE IN TALKS W/ ARAGHCHI - CNN
2026-04-24 23:04:02 Exactly, if they leave tommorow morning they are definitely going to negotiate
2026-04-24 23:04:45 If they both are present in the same location, lets say islamabad, and they exchange messages through a mediator, it will be yes
2026-04-25 00:16:57 None of those are required, just bluffing.
2026-04-25 01:05:05 Yeah it still has to happen, tommorow we can say if something happend
2026-04-25 14:28:53 They were never scheduled to meet today
2026-04-25 15:09:26 Returning tommorow, nice try though
2026-04-25 20:26:24 Source: the voices
2026-04-26 01:56:45 No
2026-04-26 15:32:11 He will flip by market opening
2026-04-26 15:50:01 Trump: I held two calls with Putin and Zelensky regarding Ukraine
2026-04-26 17:37:51 Right, these important negotiations are always held over the phone
2026-04-26 18:29:13 You don’t get sarcasm apparently
2026-04-26 18:49:37 12 shares 💀
2026-04-27 17:59:36 Totally can’t organize it anywhere else yeah
2026-04-27 18:37:14 Incredible how this one is yes but the iran one isn’t 😂😂
2026-04-29 15:00:06 Credible media literally said they called
2026-05-01 01:22:47 A senior U.S. official says the operations that began in February involving Iran have been declared terminated for War Powers purposes.
2026-05-01 01:44:21 It doesn’t. “ and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.”
2026-05-01 13:55:03 You lost bro
2026-05-01 15:41:19 They did, the proposal is about a permanent end of the war and reopening the strait, followed by negotiations about nuclear.
2026-05-03 17:32:53 December almost guaranteed out
2026-05-03 18:08:55 Takes way to long
2026-05-03 20:49:14 He won’t.
2026-05-03 21:13:04 Trump says US is having "very positive discussions" with Iran
2026-05-03 22:21:32 Pakistan confirmed it.
2026-05-05 23:04:06 Must be promising if he pauses it
2026-05-05 23:06:01 No.
2026-05-05 23:49:02 Tehran burea chief: Iran response to the latest amendments is on it’s way to Washington
2026-05-06 15:05:09 Bro doesn’t understand negotiations.
2026-05-06 17:25:05 😂😂
2026-05-06 21:49:03 Next week ✅
2026-05-07 00:07:27 Irrelevant af
2026-05-07 10:05:17 Already confirmed.
2026-05-07 11:24:29 Planned for next week
2026-05-07 13:00:37 Nope, Pakistan
2026-05-07 15:11:45 Peace!
2026-05-07 15:52:35 The ceasefire is already without a deadline so that makes no sense
2026-05-09 14:54:53 Trump wants a deal before he returns, or he threatens to restart bombing, and no Iran doesn’t hold all the cards, they have less to lose but are also 100x weaker
2026-05-09 14:55:49 Doesnt require a signature
2026-05-09 18:28:17 Clear example of a humanitarian pause, insane clarification
2026-05-09 21:57:18 Maybe, but I don’t think you understand how badly the iranian economy is doing, even for them this is bad
2026-05-10 20:40:26 Pretty easy, if both sides agree to the proposed framework for negotiations, it’s a yes
2026-05-10 23:28:12 Doesn’t make any sense.
2026-05-11 11:30:26 Down 1200, you got other priorities buddy
2026-05-11 11:30:28 He is down 1200, should focus on fixing that instead
2026-05-11 18:20:02 You lost 1200 bucks, no talking you loser 🤣🤣🤣
2026-05-11 18:27:10 If anything you should follow your own advise, go collect cans, you will break even in a few years 😂😂😂😂
2026-05-11 18:48:06 You can’t even get positive you noob, come back when you manage to win a bet for once instead of hating on someone who has 5x more than you 🤣🤣🤣🤣
2026-05-11 18:48:38 I did bet btw, more than you
2026-05-11 20:22:22 And your 1200 loss says everything about you 🤣
2026-05-11 20:22:39 Yeah sure buddy, ill have a million by then.
2026-05-11 20:29:08 If im dumb you bust me retarded.
2026-05-11 20:31:11 Keeping coping about you losses degenerate gambler, 5k in positions by the way, i started with 100 🤣🤣
2026-05-11 20:53:50 So obvious that it was 17 cent, holy retard
2026-05-11 21:37:06 You will come back crying when Zelensky obviously is not gone
2026-05-11 22:55:11 Keep
2026-05-12 00:32:16 Keep crying bro, you suck.
2026-05-21 12:58:53 Peace deal and you are done btw
2026-05-21 17:29:53 Deal reached!
2026-05-21 17:37:31 90 dollars in 1.5 year 💀
2026-05-21 18:01:20 quawk · 16m THE REPORTED DRAFT INCLUDES AN IMMEDIATE COMPREHENSIVE CEASEFIRE,
2026-05-21 18:12:23 Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established.
2026-05-21 18:12:44 -200 bucks
2026-05-22 13:15:17 Qatar negotiating team heading to iran, gg
2026-05-22 13:15:39 Qatar negotiating team heading to tehran, this is gg
2026-05-22 13:16:13 This deal has been in the works for weeks
2026-05-22 13:17:48 Keep coping, and watch the news the coming days.
2026-05-22 16:40:59 Didn’t know reuters was Pakistani
2026-05-22 23:54:27 They just send qatar negotiators to tehran, zero chance of strikes
2026-05-24 01:25:58 Its a framework for further negotiations, but with a permanent end to the war.
2026-05-24 01:39:41 Do you think a permanent ceasefire cant be broken?
2026-05-24 01:40:58 Ironic.
2026-05-24 01:42:29 Warned you
2026-05-24 02:12:08 Bro can you read “military hostilities have ended”
2026-05-24 16:04:50 Never said this
2026-05-24 19:44:11 Whole week to go buddy 😂😂
2026-05-25 18:49:35 Stop coping.
2026-05-26 14:54:24 And 10 more in the coming days
2026-05-31 15:11:06 He is one lucky guy 😂
2026-05-31 15:49:05 Trumps personal lawyer is not going to do anything to hurt the trump family
2026-05-31 19:54:34 😂😂
2026-06-01 13:13:10 Yeah if you can’t read and want to lose 750
2026-06-03 22:18:31 Gg
2026-06-03 23:23:22 Joint Statement by Lebanon, Israel, and the United States: As a result of negotiations led by the United States, Israel and Lebanon have agreed to implement a ceasefire. The ceasefire is contingent upon a complete ceasefire by Hezbollah and the evacuation of all Hezbollah operatives from the areas south of the Litani River.
2026-06-03 23:53:55 he already sold
2026-06-04 00:44:30 Its a new deal, all credible media report is as a new ceasefire agreement, gg.
2026-06-04 15:19:47 False
2026-06-04 20:21:24 He met him last month 😂
2026-06-06 21:12:36 Tweaker
2026-06-07 20:52:22 😂😂😂
2026-06-11 21:25:56 “Place and timing to be announced soon” yeah id say the deal is done according to trump
2026-06-11 23:45:08 Already happend.
2026-06-12 09:32:52 Keep coping
2026-06-12 09:33:46 The final cope
2026-06-12 21:18:23 Irrelevant.
2026-06-13 17:44:39 Agreement/ceasefire
2026-06-13 21:04:29 People are just coping, rules are clear
2026-06-13 21:05:01 “ or diplomatic agreement”
2026-06-13 22:55:09 “Tomorrow” is pretty clear
2026-06-13 22:56:06 -13k btw
2026-06-14 14:44:56 Should have been yes long ago.
2026-06-14 16:42:18 Nice no buy
2026-06-14 20:29:52 “ Trump: ‘Senator Jack Reed, a Dumocrat from R.I., lied when stating the the Deal we just made is not as good as the Obama disaster known as the JCPOA.”
2026-06-14 22:51:12 Guess it wasn’t 😂😂
2026-06-15 09:48:20 Proof
2026-06-15 13:20:07 Didn’t age well 😂
2026-06-15 14:43:14 Not how it works
2026-06-15 15:34:56 Bro lost his entire balance of a 2% win 😂
2026-06-17 10:03:17 by any means, regardless of whether i
2026-06-17 10:03:41 whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed.
2026-06-17 12:08:37 Tasnin is not credible at all
2026-06-17 12:40:06 Yeah not according to polymarket.
2026-06-17 12:41:29 This market isn’t about both governments releasing the text, the credible sources have clearly released a qualifying text
2026-06-17 12:50:19 Just coping.
2026-06-17 13:32:54 Bro thinks Israel hasn’t seen it 😂😂😂😂
2026-06-18 11:40:05 No signing ceremony will happen, but the end date is 7 july
2026-06-19 15:01:01 He actually said they will meet in a few days
2026-06-19 15:02:29 Schizo posting
2026-06-19 17:57:38 June 23 confirmed.
2026-06-19 18:20:46 🤣🤣
2026-06-19 18:22:57 Just sell already, or lose it.
2026-06-19 22:23:20 Not really, today
2026-06-19 23:35:15 Kusher and witkoff will be there tomorrow, they obviously got confirmation from iran.
2026-06-19 23:57:12 No, check axios, kushner is already there
2026-06-20 00:29:34 This is the -10k position cope.
2026-06-21 03:00:06 No.
2026-06-21 11:44:54 Yeah, except it will happen on tuesday
2026-06-21 15:15:33 Luckily they aren’t negotiating with hezbollah
2026-06-22 13:24:44 No
2026-06-24 12:43:32 You’d know about that
2026-06-26 00:09:05 Longest rules ever
2026-06-29 13:06:57 Kushner and witkoff will meet with iranian officials.
2026-06-29 13:07:58 Keep coping
2026-06-29 13:09:43 Witkoff and kusher are as senior as it gets
2026-06-29 14:41:17 Okay maybe not. “ Update: Special envoy Witkoff & Jared Kushner will travel to Doha today & meet on Tuesday the Qatari PM & other officials to discuss the Iran deal. On Wednesday U.S. & Iranian technical teams will meet separately with the Qatari and Pakistani mediators, White House official says”
2026-06-29 14:45:55 Thing is that they might still meet, plans can change very quickly
2026-06-29 15:34:29 Don’t listen to car, or anyone tbh
2026-06-30 20:50:45 Read the rules next time
2026-06-30 22:04:20 The mou said the end of the all hostilities. Nothing about resuming fighting.
2026-07-01 00:52:42 The rules said a deal in which it says hostilities have permanently ended, which was clearly in the deal
2026-07-05 18:07:34 Literally says it’s for 3th of July
2026-07-05 18:24:28 Holy scam attempt
2026-07-05 18:39:24 no chance, literally says “lid for 3th of July”
2026-07-05 19:01:09 Zero reason why this should resolve yes, it literally says lid called for 3th of july
2026-07-05 19:09:51 yeah good luck buddy, definitely the spirit of the market
2026-07-05 19:11:00 there are no yes arguments, it factually didn’t happen.
2026-07-05 20:25:30 Wallet tracking.
2026-07-06 22:28:24 Yeah just 6 months to go
2026-07-07 15:10:29 60 isn’t normal, 100 plus is
2026-07-07 15:12:15 It will still hit
2026-07-10 19:03:20 Iran fm to visit oman for talks on the strait of hormuz
2026-07-11 14:35:43 Reopening the middle lane ✅
2026-07-11 15:03:24 Pretty certaint
2026-07-11 17:35:18 Strait of Hormuz
2026-07-11 22:39:28 Said nobody
2026-07-11 22:53:58 I see it now, nothing new though.
2026-07-13 14:28:32 Gg
2026-07-14 16:18:57 More like 100%
2026-07-14 23:26:44 True
2026-07-17 00:02:24 Idk about the dashes
2026-07-17 17:52:41 You are stupid.
2026-07-19 13:30:05 Read the rules
2026-07-24 00:49:08 I do think it’s undervalued, but it’s far from certain
2026-07-24 01:37:52 So do you apparently
2026-07-24 17:04:24 Told you
2026-07-26 16:15:01 Centcom confirmed strikes are paused
2026-07-26 19:58:27 It was revealed to me in a dream
2026-07-27 00:09:19 This is clearly already a yes, but we will wait on trump
2026-07-27 03:48:44 Commanders.
2026-07-27 10:11:04 Learn to google
2026-07-27 16:48:55 Correct
2026-07-27 16:49:08 You wouldn’t have lost
2026-07-27 16:53:12 Trump: Iran has requested a meeting, we are meeting with them
2026-07-27 18:31:45 It can.
2026-07-27 18:31:58 Exact oppositie actually
2026-07-27 23:55:56 Almost like trump is a us official and he said the strikes are halted
2026-07-28 00:29:55 “Dispute window extended” This site is such a joke sometimes
2026-07-28 00:45:35 No argument is non existent 💀
2026-07-28 16:00:25 Trump
2026-07-28 22:51:52 They are not actually.
2026-07-28 23:20:57 Like trump?
2026-07-30 01:05:43 💀
2026-07-30 22:46:18 Signing ceremony in cairo middle of next week.
2026-07-30 23:42:20 Its not about the full agreement, just the fact that hamas has agreed to a disarmament proces
2026-07-30 23:46:36 Cope of the century, learn to read.
2026-07-31 00:40:40 Hamas just needs to confirm the news, or credible reporting
2026-07-31 00:41:15 A senior Hamas official has told the BBC they have agreed to the Board of Peace's plan to completely disarm in Gaza and that an official statement will be released soon. Israel has yet to comment. Gg
2026-07-31 01:17:37 Just wait on the official statement hamas is releasing soon, or the signing ceremony next week
2026-07-31 02:24:05 Relax 😂
2026-07-31 10:56:32 Thats not true, it’s a gradual process “disarming in stages”
2026-07-31 10:57:11 hamas has confirmed the deal
2026-07-31 12:05:39 Hamas confirmed.
2026-07-31 13:32:52 Hamas has announced that it has agreed in principle to a draft roadmap for the phased disarmament of armed groups in Gaza, marking what could be a significant development in efforts to end the conflict.
2026-07-31 13:57:52 Called disarming in stages.
2026-07-31 14:51:39 This isn’t about if hamas has disarment, simply agreeing will suffice, which they have.
2026-07-31 14:59:22 Yeah no, they have agreed to disarm under a deal, this deal will now go in effect, hamas just said that if israel doesn’t adhere to the deal that they won’t disarm.
2026-07-31 14:59:56 Did you think hamas would ever say “we will disarm for no reason regardless of what israel does” 😂😂
2026-07-31 16:03:59 Well hamas confirmed it.
2026-07-31 18:09:28 With your logic this market could only be yes if hamas disarms without a reason or deal.
2026-07-31 18:40:52 Yeah its not. That would only be hamas making an announcement that they will disarm when israel withdraws, not when they make a deal pledging to disarm if the deal is fulfilled
2026-07-31 19:57:04 Just remove uma at this point.
2026-07-31 20:05:11 Yeah obviously, hamas isn’t going to say, regardless what you do to us we will disarm, it’s ridiculous and would make this market no from creation.
2026-07-31 20:22:23 Market turned from announcement to actual disarming, this site is a joke.
2026-07-31 23:30:51 Because its yes.
2026-07-31 23:34:20 But you are right, I know how polymarket can turn a clear yes into a no.
2026-08-01 17:30:30 The rules are clear yes, it is a yes. In no world would hamas ever say “we will disarm regardless if israel bombs us to oblivion”
2026-08-01 17:32:19 Even the clarification disagrees with you, they somehow added a rule that israel has to agree to the deal.
2026-08-02 00:13:27 Disarming your enemy and eventually retreating from their land is not serving.
2026-08-02 00:14:43 Israel agrees to stop bombing hamas from Sunday.
2026-08-02 20:07:16 They did.
2026-08-03 02:43:42 Doesn’t exist
2026-08-03 02:45:24 “By”
2026-08-05 13:43:41 Deal finalized
2026-08-05 13:51:48 A deal between oman and Iran has been reached, keep up
2026-08-05 15:17:08 Bro doesn’t have google
2026-08-07 00:20:41 That’s how it works when you agree to disarm, as they did
2026-08-08 16:00:49 It was about rules, which have been fulfilled
2026-08-09 12:09:05 So gullible.
2026-08-09 21:42:31 So much rule cucking that these markets don’t even get volume anymore
2026-08-17 20:58:48 We could be seeing progress… in as little as 30 days, hopefully starting to take some of the weapons out,” Kushner tells Fox News while in Tel Aviv. Wouldn’t be enough for polymarket if they actually start disarming
2026-08-18 23:53:26 The point when polymarket added israel to the mix, even though they are never mentioned in the rules it completely ruined this market. The only way this market is yes now is if hamas says “we will disarm regardless if israel bombs the entire country”