Account Information
Name:
PaddyAlpha
Bio:
6720
Pseudonym:
Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere
Created:
2024-11-05 12:55:37
Last Activity:
2 weeks ago
Tier:
Silver
X:
@SRank395216
profile-image-1240150-e171f8d3-e9c2-4af9-bb16-c354c7c7fc3f.png
Total Profit
$48,483
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$91,640.25
Markets traded
2,354
Trades
2,354
Largest win
$6,907.37
Profile views
3,707
Join date
2024-11-05 12:55:37
All-time rank
3717
All-time PnL
$48,483.03
All-time volume
$22,053,814.72
All-time profit
$48,442.23
Lifetime volume
$22,053,814.72
PnL series latest
$48,442.23
PnL series start
$49,294.89
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$20,851.47
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 85088.2031 | $6,907.37 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 83512.0614 | $4,073.04 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1 AM ET | Up | 14376.21 | $3,899.10 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on July 4? | Yes | 10380 | $-7,119.11 |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17? | Yes | 11825.6734 | $-6,265.43 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8? | Yes | 8655.1391 | $-6,247.57 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 5026.553 | $0.98 | $0.98 | $4,928.54 | $4.42 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 3990.5053 | $0.91 | $0.94 | $3,731.12 | $106.76 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3215.1836 | $0.98 | $0.98 | $3,155.70 | $-7.42 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2246.5682 | $0.84 | $0.84 | $1,878.13 | $-9.51 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2185.0646 | $0.82 | $0.81 | $1,780.83 | $-19.24 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 85088.2031 | $6,907.37 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 83512.0614 | $4,073.04 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1 AM ET | Up | 14376.21 | $3,899.10 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 41229.0827 | $3,280.29 |
| Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million? | Yes | 6482.8734 | $2,948.25 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0.59 | 3.361343 | $2.00 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | $0.46 | 200 | $92.00 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | Yes | $0.01 | 4 | $0.02 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | Yes | $0.01 | 201 | $1.00 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | $0.07 | 2.760463 | $0.19 |
Recent trades (2354)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | Yes | $0.02 | 45.31 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | $1.00 | 250 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | $0.76 | 20 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | Yes | $0.04 | 56.4 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | Yes | $0.01 | 127.43 |
Comments
2024-12-08 00:27:35
-1 how strange
2024-12-08 18:04:34
BBC news he is in russia it is over
2025-05-29 07:32:32
"The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources." who defines what a credible source is ?
2025-06-10 06:10:19
Lol
2025-07-04 16:16:57
Looking at the second candles it never went below 2500 so is error for this
2025-07-19 05:16:20
The additional context shouldn't be implemented is an unfair rule change for people who bet earlier.
2025-08-03 10:20:18
If aliens are confirmed we are likely under attack and all money will be meaningless
2025-08-03 13:17:06
Apart from some fringe or unsupported claims by certain individuals, such as Avi Loeb, who has previously suggested that some comets or interstellar objects might be alien probes or spacecraft, often seen as making these claims more for publicity and to attract public attention and views, the scientific consensus remains clear. 3I/ATLAS is classified as a natural interstellar comet exhibiting typical cometary activity such as a coma and tail, composed mainly of volatile ices and dust, with no confirmed evidence of extraterrestrial life or technology associated with it. Given the extraordinary nature of such a claim, the chance that any U.S. government official or agency will definitively state by the end of 2025 that 3I/ATLAS is alien life or technology is effectively zero. Current observations and scientific understanding strongly support its classification as a natural comet.
2025-08-04 03:35:35
Yeah I don't think is likely at all as the statement has to be about this comet specifically
2025-08-07 03:21:26
No get a job wagie
2025-08-17 07:07:00
They have added two more happy betting
2025-09-13 04:18:07
If Qatar attacks Israeli there oil fields will be destroyed they cant defend their own skies is zero chance of them striking israel
2025-09-13 06:48:43
We need 1 second markets
2025-09-14 06:43:47
It wasn't a women so yes as you had sex with a man
2025-09-14 07:00:12
You are also actively selling your position
2025-09-14 14:30:10
Yeah the gift of going to get a job
2025-09-17 23:31:43
Will buy all you can out up ^_^
2025-09-18 00:53:55
Sol needs to 5 x to flip eth at current prices that is not going to happen
2025-09-18 01:50:41
Will spend it on coke and whores
2025-09-18 02:43:33
This should resolve to no he isn't in a dessert and has gone missing now
2025-09-18 02:52:20
if is "The fast must be publicly documented through livestreams, video, or credible reporting." no video evidence of last 12 hours it will be a no
2025-09-18 03:58:45
The odds of Israel carrying out an airstrike on Turkey are essentially close to zero, since Turkey is a NATO member with strong air defenses and is backed by the military alliance of the United States and Europe.
2025-09-18 09:13:11
He has had 26 hours at the all you can eat Buffet
2025-09-18 09:19:37
"The fast must be publicly documented through livestreams, video, or credible reporting." the information isn't public for the last 26 hours is a clear no
2025-09-18 09:27:22
The cctv would have failed also if power went out
2025-09-18 09:33:03
"Publicly documented" means that information or evidence is recorded and made accessible to the public in a verifiable and transparent manner. It generally involves: Being openly available for anyone to view without restriction at the present time.
2025-09-18 09:40:36
The fast must be publicly documented, So not that would not count as the information isn't publicly available as per the rules
2025-09-18 09:42:07
The fast must be publicly documented, CCTV that no one can see is not publicly documented
2025-09-18 09:47:28
That would not be in the the definition of public information, Unless polymarket want to clarify this again
2025-09-18 09:49:05
Should have been no already as he isn't in a desert, in a private resort in a yurt
2025-09-18 14:06:15
guess SAtANTANGO close to their size
2025-09-18 14:43:27
Put a wall up so can buy cheaper then withdraw your sell wall
2025-09-18 16:17:38
Why were all orders cancelled ?
2025-09-18 16:26:55
I see thanks haven't seen that before
2025-09-18 17:37:20
A 36 hour power cut ?
2025-09-21 06:02:23
Can someone block backtothefuture from posting on here is just constant stream of shit
2025-09-25 13:04:53
Pretty fun little game at the time on the 360
2025-09-25 14:35:20
Will all ways be another trader to buy the no shares you better start selling out the loss is only getting bigger
2025-09-28 03:38:54
Lord Miles disappeared for 10 days after saying he would only be gone for 2 hours, locked his X account, and has shown no evidence of his fast. By the market’s rules, without continuous public documentation in a desert and credible proof, the 40 day attempt cannot qualify which means 'No' is the only possible resolution.
2025-09-28 03:57:35
The rules allow him to upload footage later, but that does not automatically make it trustworthy. Massive gaps in documentation will face massive scrutiny, since footage dropped after the fact can be edited, staged, or doctored in ways that break the requirement for continuous credible public evidence
2025-09-28 04:11:38
Yes, he can technically post footage later, but that does not mean the market will accept it as authentic. The rules demand credible, continuous public documentation, not unverifiable dumps at the end. Massive gaps invite scrutiny because footage uploaded after disappearing cannot prove authenticity or rule out editing. Given his history as a serial scammer, the burden of proof is far higher.
2025-09-29 00:03:04
fails the isolation part of the criteria though
2025-09-29 00:20:02
Sucking cock counts as taking calories so has failed
2025-09-29 03:54:58
Just 4k worth of liquidity left to get back for the yes buyers
2025-09-29 05:26:39
No crying in the casino
2025-09-29 10:59:15
What market did this ?
2025-09-29 11:26:46
Funniest comment have read on here ^_^
2025-09-29 14:13:02
If Lord Miles does not post footage of the missing stream time by the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No,”
2025-09-29 14:26:42
Polymarket deleted their post about miles is getting spicy
2025-09-29 14:41:18
A jail is not in the desert and is likely not in isolation either
2025-09-29 14:51:49
lol in that case can go to a all you can eat buffet that will count a desert also
2025-09-30 08:43:25
Someone bought the wrong side and panicked and sold it
2025-09-30 08:57:19
Thebigy123 he sold down to he bought no shares then dumped them to 63 cents then bought yes straight away so likely a mistake
2025-09-30 09:35:59
Who made a market for no raid and the no Meaning yes for a raid
2025-09-30 17:30:52
I am buying on behalf of greta
2025-10-01 04:58:29
Greta always prints green
2025-10-02 03:05:38
Earning 3% from now until year-end, That's equivalent to a 12.6% annual return over double the current AAA corporate bond yield of just 5.2%
2025-10-06 01:18:39
Need to earn the 4% interest on it like other long term markets and would be amazing
2025-10-11 03:38:50
The prediction is not for a prisoner exchange agreement the clarification is for a different market
2025-10-16 05:21:48
Don't give up friend there is always hope be like pepe he wouldn't give up
2025-10-16 13:49:15
Three Japanese names for No for Japan in largest holders tells you all you need to know
2025-10-17 04:23:57
A UFO does not mean it is from a alien just means they don't know what the aircraft is could be Chinese or Russian military
2025-10-18 07:51:49
He is linking to a drainer address dont listen to him'
2025-10-20 03:45:19
A 2.7% return from now until year-end annualizes to about 14.5 percent which is nearly triple the yield on AAA rated bonds. AAA bonds are among the safest investments available with extremely low default risk. For a market that is 100 percent not going to happen this return is as safe as houses and offers bond level safety with attractive annualized gains in a short time frame.
2025-10-23 16:40:42
[link removed]
2025-10-23 16:42:31
[link removed]
2025-11-10 07:17:59
So this is over a 4 pm ET today
2025-11-10 07:54:50
"is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch" from rules that would be the next 4pm ET after launch so would be today
2025-11-10 08:22:04
They find someone who can turn water into wine
2025-11-10 10:36:31
It should be from how the rules are written
2025-11-12 08:50:00
he is the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom so quite a lot of times I would imagine
2025-11-18 07:27:53
[link removed]
2025-11-18 07:28:46
Snapshot 5 days Onchain vote 10 days At the end of the onchain vote, if it passes, it immediately executes the 100m UNI burn and turns on the fee switch
2025-11-20 06:05:09
The official Sotheby's YouTube live stream (Sotheby's verified channel) clearly shows Lot 13, Franzi mit Pfeilbogen by Ernst Ludwig Kirchner, hammering at $2,600,000, not $3,000,000. You can see this from timestamps 1:09:24 to 1:10:16 in the stream. Clearly shows Lot 7, Figure decorative by Henri Matisse, hammering at $14,000,000, not $15,000,000. You can see this from timestamps 25:52 to 28:20 in the stream.
2025-11-20 06:06:23
[link removed] Figure decorative by Henri Matisse, hammering at $14,000,000, not $15,000,000. You can see this from timestamps 25:52 to 28:20 in the stream. this is the offical sothebys account and is 100% proof of the hammer price
2025-11-22 02:31:36
https://polymarket.com/event/interstellar-object-an-alien?tid=1763778674570 is better odds for basically the same bet
2025-11-25 01:17:13
https://polymarket.com/event/is-earth-flat-2025?tid=1764033413722
2025-11-25 01:19:39
The new iron lady will not apologise for anything she is the embodiment of the true samurai spirt
2025-11-25 03:55:25
What has this got to do with this bet
2025-11-25 05:55:03
Taiwan is an ally of Japan we will defend it no matter what Trump is of the same view is nothing to apologise for
2025-11-25 05:55:42
Chinese government are a paper tiger Japan leader does not care that they are upset saying will defend an ally
2025-11-29 13:37:48
[link removed]
2025-11-29 13:38:57
New source direct information from the White house of the call , infobae has Global reach: With over 61 million global readers, Infobae is the most-read Spanish-speaking media outlet in the world. Regional dominance: It is the most-read media outlet in Latin America and the most visited news website in Argentina.
2025-12-01 03:47:14
Super easy bond is like a high interest bank account
2025-12-01 04:03:50
closer to a bus than a car
2025-12-01 16:08:07
These markets need to be refunded how are users meant to know what time frame you wanted. all bets before the clarification should be refunded
2025-12-01 16:29:57
Put your messages into their discord this is unacceptable
2025-12-01 16:30:17
Message into their discord about it get their attention this needs refunding
2025-12-01 16:42:34
REFUND all user before you took the market down and replaced it with a different market how are we meant to know what the date should be, Maybe the price brackets are wrong also
2025-12-02 05:03:14
[link removed] on chain voting is very soon should be this week from hayden the founder of uniswap the founder gets what the founder wants
2025-12-05 07:21:45
Its Trump, not Shakespeare
2025-12-05 12:41:28
Date Condition Qty Price 12/5/25 NM 1st Edition Near Mint 1st Edition 1 $49.97 last sale creeping up
2025-12-05 13:49:11
This is a James bond
2025-12-06 02:51:56
creeping up faster 12/6/25 NM 1st Edition Near Mint 1st Edition NM Fossil (1) 1 $90.00 lol good luck on the no side you will need it
2025-12-06 02:54:09
was around 40 listings yesterday is around 11 today also supply shock is coming
2025-12-06 04:27:23
The most entertaining outcome, especially if ironic, is most likely
2025-12-06 05:16:55
$2,735.12 to buy up all current cards on the market below 100 dollars ^_^ the maths is pretty easy
2025-12-06 08:51:35
Mistaken, supply is shrinking on TCGplayer
2025-12-06 14:40:04
No
2025-12-06 14:41:11
Yes
2025-12-08 09:33:45
Three titty aliens are coming home with me
2025-12-14 08:58:33
How dare someone buy cards and pay fees to the site for each sale ^_^
2025-12-14 09:05:44
100% they wont the more they sale the more fees they get is zero downside for TGN
2025-12-14 09:06:34
Poor little Johnny thinks a a website about selling cards will be checks note upset about selling cards
2025-12-14 09:13:00
The prices are not outliers though the average sale for today is around 123 dollars, TCG is focused on selling cards and the more they sell the better the kabuto story is great publicity for them
2025-12-15 06:08:36
Cool buy more yes then am enjoying loading the truck
2025-12-15 06:12:46
This has been the most entertaining market so far on Poly pure next level autism on both sides
2025-12-15 08:29:26
Coming
2025-12-15 12:46:31
Can't rule out another YES whale jumping in to push Kabuto to 100. Not free money.
2025-12-23 05:24:59
"The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting" if are betting no on this you need help sorry
2025-12-27 04:47:01
Yes that would count
2025-12-27 04:50:46
Whitehouse pub in Kazakhstan
2025-12-28 05:19:51
If you bet no you are anti American, as a European these criminals need to be thrown in jail and the key thrown away
2025-12-29 04:09:25
They are already under investigation, has been arrests in December in this area a charge for someone linked is more likely than not
2025-12-29 07:12:31
Is also possible for trump to order a air strike on our poor little goat
2025-12-29 07:18:49
they are already on the radar has been arrests over the last two months ,All it needs to go yes is one charge linked to day-care and its over for no
2026-01-02 11:31:21
Coalition fighter jets strike STC forces accused of setting up ambushes in Hadhramaut, Yemen Information Ministry says
2026-01-02 12:20:32
[link removed]
2026-01-02 12:20:49
The STC's Bidh told Reuters that three of the airstrikes targeted the Al Khash'a military camp, one of the largest in the province.
2026-01-03 15:51:11
What is wrong with it ??
2026-01-03 15:57:22
Lol nope any photo or video in that time frame will do he does not need to be walking around in public rules take precedent
2026-01-03 16:04:56
Trump will parade him on tv, trump is the show Biz president there will be plenty of photos of him
2026-01-10 09:50:09
[link removed]
2026-01-10 09:55:30
[link removed] cry harder
2026-01-10 11:58:24
Yes that is part of the market time frame is any strike from the 6th to end of the month
2026-01-11 11:49:40
The market was for an american strike between 6th of January and the end of the month . That is what the rules are
2026-01-11 11:50:38
Is often airstrikes in Somalia, but yes people were waiting for American government confirmation
2026-01-13 04:35:19
Was before the creation of the market
2026-01-14 00:43:20
[link removed] false is evidence
2026-01-14 01:10:27
In coordination with the Federal Government of Somalia, U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) conducted airstrikes targeting al-Shabaab on Jan. 12, 2026. learn to read mate it has the date clear as day in it
2026-01-14 05:58:25
you need to use the convert feature from another no option on this market
2026-01-16 13:27:58
Nice trade
2026-01-20 03:41:56
Its dead
2026-01-21 02:31:35
Cute monkey pfp
2026-01-30 03:35:01
LEARING center struck
2026-01-31 03:28:14
insider knowledge and still negative profit and loss
2026-02-02 07:57:31
Or it resolve's to $1.00 and don't need to worry about any of that
2026-02-02 08:00:56
Whales on one side tells you all you need to know
2026-02-13 12:57:25
I think he would enjoy that
2026-02-14 04:33:06
She allowed the rape of kids is zero chance she is pardoned
2026-02-21 07:46:44
Easy Yes trump isn't going to play around with traitors
2026-02-24 05:02:27
Better than a fool who wastes time making comments instead of making postions
2026-02-24 05:25:01
Its for a airstrike not just us army
2026-02-25 07:52:41
Why are you on yes then
2026-02-25 11:40:27
Source ?
2026-03-02 08:14:40
is another one your attempt to bait people failed
2026-03-02 08:36:43
Its already on the discord my friend good luck for the next one
2026-03-03 15:48:15
What is the evidence in the link?
2026-03-05 07:32:08
Did they randomly decide to go to Iran ?
2026-03-08 06:33:40
Message me on twitter will look into it for you also
2026-03-09 04:42:02
Can you link me to a arrival that was bookable by the general public
2026-03-28 03:19:09
None
2026-03-31 03:34:53
My mouse is broken
2026-04-01 08:44:52
" my third term, my first term, third year" was stated is a video of it also
2026-04-01 09:12:29
[link removed]
2026-04-01 09:21:43
[link removed] video of him clearly saying third term in market time frame please research into
2026-04-06 07:16:27
yes
2026-05-01 12:33:57
The agents went on holiday to a drugs lab in the middle of nowhere lol
2026-05-01 12:51:29
CIA are not military, But CIA were involved in destruction of the lab
2026-05-02 13:19:08
they have gone super woke