Account Information
Name:
Helldiver015
Bio:
Microstrategy and Blockade Scam Victim
Pseudonym:
Puny-Satisfaction
Created:
2025-12-29 23:36:30
Last Activity:
1 week ago
Tier:
Tier 0
X:
@HelldiverPM
profile-image-4767879-f9f90af8-d3b8-4537-a737-cac6c0965620.png
Total Profit
$3,936
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$102.90
Markets traded
964
Trades
963
Largest win
$934.55
Profile views
197
Join date
2025-12-29 23:36:30
All-time rank
31211
All-time PnL
$3,935.95
All-time volume
$580,625.79
All-time profit
$3,935.95
Lifetime volume
$580,625.79
PnL series latest
$3,936.21
PnL series start
$3,934.56
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$1,113.69
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Yes | 4029.0958 | $934.55 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 2641.4458 | $590.77 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? | Yes | 525 | $470.50 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 986.931 | $-541.63 |
| Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31? | No | 900 | $-485.10 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | No | 3580.9737 | $-456.86 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026? | Yes | 267.01 | $0.17 | $0.14 | $37.38 | $-6.88 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.4125 | $0.25 | $0.58 | $21.12 | $12.02 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026? | Yes | 147.72 | $0.20 | $0.12 | $17.73 | $-11.39 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026? | Yes | 60.21 | $0.12 | $0.13 | $7.83 | $0.80 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? | Yes | 73.25 | $0.14 | $0.10 | $6.96 | $-3.57 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Yes | 4029.0958 | $934.55 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 2641.4458 | $590.77 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? | Yes | 525 | $470.50 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 2268.43 | $464.04 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 5365.8282 | $402.84 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026? | Yes | $0.25 | 36.412532 | $9.10 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | SELL | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | $0.02 | 409.25 | $10.20 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | No | $0.20 | 103.58 | $20.82 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? | Yes | $0.16 | 31 | $4.96 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? | Yes | $0.09 | 24.25 | $2.18 |
Recent trades (963)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | SELL | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | $0.02 | 409.25 |
| 1 week ago | SELL | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | No | $0.20 | 103.58 |
| 1 week ago | SELL | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? | Yes | $0.16 | 31 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? | Yes | $0.09 | 24.25 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | $0.04 | 63.05 |
Comments
2026-01-06 01:28:13
false alarm
2026-01-07 13:07:03
gg
2026-01-09 03:15:27
In trump we trust
2026-01-09 12:51:47
BREAKING: The U.S. Coast Guard boarded a fifth oil tanker early Friday morning and continued to eye other vessels trying to evade the U.S. blockade on sanctioned tankers traveling to and from Venezuela .
2026-01-09 14:25:46
42.1 already updated
2026-01-14 17:30:53
come on bibi, do it
2026-01-15 16:43:29
Mossad Commentary on X: BREAKING: IDF STRIKE IN CENTRAL GAZA The Israel Defense Forces carried out another strike a short time ago on a building in Deir al-Balah. This is the second strike in Deir al-Balah within the past hour Activity reported in the central Gaza area. All over X: BREAKING: Israeli Airstrikes Kill At Least 3 In Gaza’s Deir al-Balah
2026-01-15 16:47:09
Death toll: The number of martyrs from two Israeli airstrikes on Deir al-Balah in the central Gaza Strip has risen to 6.
2026-01-15 16:50:48
Hamas commander Abu Fouad Al-Hawli eliminated, look it up
2026-01-15 17:14:33
Check the reuters web page ;)
2026-01-15 17:19:22
Take the loss and move on. [link removed]
2026-01-15 20:06:55
HAMAS Press release: [link removed] ; ABC: [link removed] GG
2026-01-15 20:27:22
Several major English-language international media outlets have reported the killing of Hamas commander Muhammad al-Hawli (also spelled Mohammed al-Holy), a local leader in the group's armed wing, in an Israeli airstrike in Deir al-Balah, Gaza, on January 15, 2026. This was one of two airstrikes today in Gaza.
2026-01-16 00:40:29
All over internet. stfu
2026-01-16 00:45:59
Propose plz
2026-01-16 13:16:15
it was Gunfire
2026-01-16 13:17:20
Just Gunfire atm
2026-01-16 15:10:36
Not today Folks
2026-01-16 17:37:20
No informed strike on 14 or 16
2026-01-16 18:57:24
that was yesterday, there is an idf confirmation on X
2026-01-16 19:03:07
Source?
2026-01-16 19:07:52
Did you read it? haha
2026-01-16 19:09:32
I think credible consensus it's enough, but there's not...
2026-01-16 19:13:41
GL with that
2026-01-16 20:10:25
Not today
2026-01-19 02:14:26
X posts confirm Israeli strikes in Al-Mansouri Tyre district and Maifadoun Nabatieh district on January 16 2026 killing two Lebanese civilians. Naharnet tweeted Israeli airstrike hit vehicle in al-Mansouri Friday killing one hours earlier another in Maifadoun link [link removed] Beirut Review identified Maifadoun victim Walid Olleik pro-Army taxi driver. MayadeenEnglish reported Israeli drone struck vehicle in al-Mansouri Tyre link [link removed] SaveSJarrah activist noted two killed separate strikes airstrike on truck in Al-Mansouri. UNIFIL official tweeted ceasefire request to IDF for activities risking civilians violating UNSCR 1701 tank fire near Kfar Chouba cited in Al-Manar. No IDF posts specific to these strikes latest from January 14-15 on Hezbollah targets. Ariel Oseran Israeli analyst mentioned 25 plus Israeli strikes south Lebanon IDF-confirmed versus Hezbollah link [link removed] Low volume posts frame as ceasefire violation not viral. Lebanese sources call flagrant aggression. Search X advanced Mansouri OR Maifadoun Israel from 2026-01-16 until 2026-01-17 for more. Primary reports from Lebanese Health Ministry via WAFA Al-Manar Times of Israel liveblog. UNIFIL confirms IDF activity same day no IDF denial of civilian strikes.
2026-01-19 02:15:18
A report from X sources. Good Night you all
2026-01-19 19:03:57
two strikes on 16th
2026-01-19 20:47:11
Reports of explosions in Tabriz, Iran. Unconfirmed
2026-01-20 15:24:15
DonDealer
2026-01-20 15:49:09
Al Jazeera provides coverage of the incident as a major international outlet. Its 16 January 2026 article reports that an Israeli strike targeted a vehicle in Mansuri (al-Mansouri), southern Lebanon, killing one person, as per the Lebanese health ministry, alongside a separate strike in Mayfadun.
2026-01-20 17:21:42
BBC: US envoy Steve Witkoff has announced the start of phase two. Axios: The White House announced phase two of the Gaza ceasefire agreement. Multiple sources, including Reuters, CNN, and Al Jazeera, corroborate the announcement without contradiction as of January 20, 2026. Fact checked
2026-01-20 17:21:54
Clear as water
2026-01-21 00:41:33
RIYADH: The Saudi Cabinet welcomed the second phase of the peace plan for the Gaza Strip, supporting the establishment of a Palestinian committee to administer the region and the announcement of the Board of Peace by US President Donald Trump. Arabnews
2026-01-23 13:24:12
you all know that the decision was made two months ago?
2026-01-25 23:11:14
Unconfirmed: seeing reports from accounts on X that air defence has been activated in Tehran after what was reported to be a Explotion in western Tehran.
2026-01-28 14:22:13
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page
2026-01-28 15:59:57
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown
2026-01-30 02:40:34
OPM wont post sh1t. hold strong
2026-01-30 20:38:05
So, tomorrow night
2026-01-31 01:37:37
yup, nothing in the opm site yet.
2026-01-31 12:47:24
Explosion in tabriz right now, third booom in iran in the last hour
2026-01-31 13:13:09
Sure 4 in a Row in different cities
2026-01-31 13:18:47
Reports of explosions are coming in from these areas of Iran, but they have not yet been confirmed-Bandar Abbas -Tabriz -Ahvaz -Farand -Tehran -Qeshm Some unverified visuals suggests UAVs sightings before explosions. Waiting for confirmation
2026-01-31 17:13:42
by the rules its a no, but we all know UMA votes
2026-02-03 20:56:20
[link removed] dont forget this video, keep it sharing
2026-02-03 23:51:21
Just for the record. US President Trump announced that he personally asked Russian President Putin not to strike Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities for a week due to extremely cold weather. According to Trump, Putin agreed. [link removed] In this market i can see the same scammers i saw in the mexico operation market. fukers
2026-02-04 01:55:13
what? plz dispute
2026-02-04 15:52:41
Artillery fire
2026-02-04 17:48:57
Its gonna be Syria, lets propose
2026-02-04 20:19:25
on monday 02/02.-
2026-02-04 23:26:27
artillery
2026-02-06 18:50:39
Just a couple of X post, no direct meeting happened
2026-02-06 18:58:25
Nope
2026-02-06 19:04:21
Show fox link
2026-02-06 19:07:45
she posted: "Source" hahahaha
2026-02-06 19:09:46
Dont forget the rules people: The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
2026-02-06 19:22:05
dont lie
2026-02-10 11:12:50
Idf strike today: [link removed]
2026-02-10 11:21:59
Yep
2026-02-10 17:03:22
Yes!
2026-02-10 17:54:14
Pbs: Two Palestinians on bicycles were killed in an Israeli drone strike on Tuesday, hospital officials said, marking the latest deaths since an October ceasefire that hasn't halted deadly attacks in the Gaza Strip. And i found the video [link removed]
2026-02-10 18:06:51
Reuters, ap, pbs, and a lot of media, plus the video. Its a YES
2026-02-10 18:28:14
Reuters, ap, pbs, and a lot of media, and times of Israel citing IDF. plus the video. Its a YES
2026-02-10 18:34:03
This guys keeps sending his own X link. Lol
2026-02-10 18:41:28
“IDF says it targeted Hamas operatives” “the IDF confirms carrying out airstrikes in the Gaza strip. Doesnt sound gaza media
2026-02-11 00:22:53
Washington Times: Israeli drone strike kills 2 cyclists in Gaza as death toll mounts despite ceasefire . [link removed]
2026-02-11 00:26:10
video: [link removed]
2026-02-11 00:45:44
[link removed] . Propose Yes, end this bs
2026-02-11 02:46:38
For sure
2026-02-11 11:05:43
This airstrike also was a part of the retaliation strikes happened yesterday. [link removed]
2026-02-11 12:06:38
Propose no then, bozo
2026-02-11 12:11:09
76 followers, u are really something
2026-02-11 12:55:25
100% yes
2026-02-11 12:56:47
We already have consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
2026-02-11 19:23:02
100%
2026-02-11 20:00:38
Car, end this plz
2026-02-11 21:25:58
Wrong
2026-02-11 21:26:29
Just end this, its 100% yes.
2026-02-12 21:20:50
Breaking: Reuters is Hamas. lol
2026-02-13 14:34:03
its a yes, no doubt
2026-02-14 12:35:26
Somalia (Confirmed by Africom) and Syria (Confirmed by Centcom). 14 days Left
2026-02-14 17:43:50
nothing
2026-02-14 17:47:05
source?
2026-02-15 00:11:54
they are still striking lebanon btw
2026-02-15 13:15:41
Grok: Yes, based on reports from Times of Israel, Al Jazeera, and PressTV, Israel conducted airstrikes in southern Lebanon on Feb 15, 2026, targeting Hezbollah weapon depots and launchers. No casualties reported. IDF claims it addressed ceasefire violations; UN notes ongoing civilian impacts since Nov 2024 truce.
2026-02-17 15:50:22
No chance US got more golds than Italy
2026-02-18 15:29:02
FYI: Norway 15 Italy 9 US 7
2026-02-19 14:36:47
USA FOMO
2026-02-26 12:53:47
Palestinian killed, two others injured in Israeli strike on Deir al-Balah, Central Gaza ,. Just local sources by now, expecting more info in the next mins.
2026-02-26 13:01:08
thats why im saying, just local sources by now
2026-02-26 13:05:28
[link removed] we are still waiting more sources
2026-02-26 13:10:48
[link removed] Local sources, still waiting
2026-02-26 13:55:25
[link removed] Reuters 6 minutes ago
2026-02-26 13:56:12
[link removed] AP News now
2026-02-26 13:59:02
[link removed] Times of Israel
2026-02-26 14:06:26
[link removed] a video of the inside the ambulance
2026-02-26 14:12:53
that time Agile-Spree was the top holder of yes, and he sold the process. lol
2026-02-26 14:15:37
[link removed] Fox
2026-02-26 14:17:42
[link removed] Arab news (Picture included)
2026-02-26 14:20:13
[link removed] More pics.
2026-02-26 14:25:18
you should stop buying no share buddy, you cant hold the market for that long
2026-02-26 14:35:04
[link removed] LA Daily News
2026-02-26 14:36:12
[link removed] Arab News
2026-02-26 14:40:10
Reuters, AP, Fox, times of israel and a lot more, Thats a consensus of credible reporting
2026-02-26 14:45:43
Reuters, AP, Fox, times of israel and a lot more, Thats a consensus of credible reporting. I did my homework, come on Yes Holders!
2026-02-26 14:52:11
look down
2026-02-26 19:28:49
thank me later, i went all in on the Usa strike Iran market, wish me luck
2026-02-26 19:40:52
Good Luck to you my friend
2026-02-28 01:41:02
you change side mepp?
2026-02-28 11:51:50
they are striking yemen right now.-
2026-02-28 13:18:05
houthis drones on the way
2026-02-28 13:24:59
BREAKING: Houthis in Yemen reportedly launch missiles targeting Israel. Thank me Later
2026-02-28 16:15:38
Check on X
2026-03-01 02:13:53
nice joke
2026-03-01 04:21:42
hahaha
2026-03-01 23:27:25
Three rockets were launched from southern Lebanon.
2 fell in open areas, and the one was intercepted.
2026-03-01 23:53:42
[link removed].il/?messageId=1458730&utm_source=SharedChatMessage&utm_medium=copy&partner=SharedChatMessage channel 12 says Hezbollah. Take the loss guys
2026-03-02 00:15:56
you know thats exactly a physically impact land under Israeli control?
2026-03-02 00:49:15
gg
2026-03-02 03:10:07
just today: iraq, lebanon and iran!
2026-03-02 13:52:01
The United States and Israeli forces simultaneously launched what was called "Operation Epic Fury". Its gonna be 50/50
2026-03-02 13:56:01
he sold israel?
2026-03-02 14:20:29
"trust me bro"
2026-03-02 20:52:15
Car Sold, never trust an orange Car
2026-03-03 00:55:31
[link removed] Found a video of the strike, GL you all
2026-03-03 01:36:16
yes! i just posted a video of the strike
2026-03-03 12:47:00
gg?
2026-03-03 12:56:41
just a matter of time
2026-03-03 13:03:48
[link removed] .- 70% decrease. Thank you for your attention to this matter
2026-03-03 13:32:45
[link removed] . You can watch live maritime traffic; you can clearly see that there are still ships moving through the Strait of Hormuz. Thank you for your attention to this matter
2026-03-03 13:35:00
are you stupid or something?
2026-03-03 13:40:23
Sure Buddy
2026-03-03 14:19:05
Qatar carried out strikes inside Iran in the past 24 hours.- Channel 12
2026-03-03 14:29:52
Insane
2026-03-03 15:06:09
buy more
2026-03-03 16:49:00
operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory. Maybe you want to check the rules again my friend
2026-03-03 18:01:19
yep, on emirates
2026-03-03 18:04:50
4th top yes holder
2026-03-03 18:26:11
its done
2026-03-03 20:23:21
Clashes between Hezbollah and IDF on the Lebanese-Israel border.
2026-03-03 23:51:01
Chinese tankers pass through hormuz without problems
2026-03-03 23:51:05
Chinese tankers pass through hormuz without problems
2026-03-04 00:30:14
lol, not only today.
2026-03-04 00:51:35
only 28 days left. lol
2026-03-04 01:36:52
Now the iranian gov its a reliable source?
2026-03-04 15:24:21
They really dont know if he even alive
2026-03-04 17:03:03
he is gonna dump it, never trust an orange car
2026-03-04 17:12:54
Told you
2026-03-04 20:03:32
ELY442 (Boeing 737) landing in Ben Gurion right now. Flying from athens to Tel Aviv
2026-03-04 20:08:07
ELY442 landing in ben gurion (boeing 737), flying from athens to Tel Aviv. [link removed]
2026-03-04 20:15:22
because im not new on polymarket
2026-03-04 20:17:21
Its a yes on this rule: arrivals and departures from TLV must be open to scheduling by Israeli citizens or the general public and at least one civilian departure or arrival must have occurred.
2026-03-04 20:25:40
now we have to fight the wales
2026-03-04 20:34:15
I didn't hear no bell. Truth may prevail
2026-03-04 20:47:30
[link removed] Challenge Airline just departed. Its a cargo plane, but a civilian one. (Good Sign)
2026-03-04 20:59:46
ELY441 just departed from Tel Aviv to Athens. [link removed]
2026-03-04 21:01:09
Most probable thing its whales are gonna argue at least a day before giving up
2026-03-04 23:17:25
ICL982 Challenge Airlines Arriving Tel Aviv
2026-03-04 23:25:26
ELY809 On the way from Ben Gurion to Lieja (Belgium)
2026-03-04 23:47:48
yep, civilian
2026-03-04 23:51:31
Tel Aviv's Ben Gurion Airport (TLV) reopens TOMORROW, March 5!
After a temporary closure, Ben Gurion will resume operations on Thursday with ~2 landings/hour, 24/7 — prioritizing the repatriation of Israeli citizens.
Tickets are on sale NOW
March 5:
🇺🇸 EL AL — New York (EWR) → TLV, departs 1:15 PM, arrives Mar 6 at 6:35 AM
🇺🇸 United Airlines — New York (EWR) → TLV, departs 3:55 PM, arrives Mar 6 at 9:20 AM
March 5–6 (round trips from Europe):
🇪🇸 Madrid → TLV from ~$314 USD (round trip) via Travelocity
🇮🇹 Rome → TLV from ~$277 USD (round trip) via Travelocity
🇮🇹 Milan → TLV from ~$398 USD (round trip) via Travelocity
2026-03-05 02:25:11
Impacts in the Tel Aviv Metropolitan Area were reported. source: OSINT Europe
2026-03-05 13:42:40
you dont need that, its a war, not the gaza/lebanon markets. You can check for strikes on the news/social media
2026-03-05 13:46:00
1. Yes. 2. No if it is an interception
2026-03-05 17:54:31
FM Araghchi: "we have NO INTENTION to close Strait of Hormuz right now (Source NBC interview)
2026-03-05 18:01:16
Sorry guys this is the most official information you are gonna get (its a no): FM Araghchi: "we have NO INTENTION to close Strait of Hormuz right now (Source NBC interview)
2026-03-05 18:05:10
top holder its running
2026-03-05 18:13:26
932k shares of YES on sale.
2026-03-05 18:17:40
[link removed] watch the interview, thank me later
2026-03-05 18:32:00
Iran already said that they don't want to close Hormuz, there is less ship because of the war.
2026-03-05 18:32:26
The wall of shares of curseaaaaaa
2026-03-05 18:35:16
No, they dont
2026-03-06 01:40:24
Iran said its not closed FM Araghchi: "we have NO INTENTION to close Strait of Hormuz right now (Source NBC interview)
2026-03-06 12:33:39
Can we resolve March 6? couple of hits already
2026-03-06 12:57:22
Guys i have evidence of the strike on March 4 (Cluster Bomb): [link removed] watch de image CCTV footage shows a submunition from an Iranian cluster bomb hitting central Israel, March 4, 2026.
2026-03-06 13:19:07
strike 100%
2026-03-06 13:28:00
You know what is a cluster bomb? Bozzo
2026-03-06 13:31:53
There is several on X and media
2026-03-06 13:33:30
Yep, i found it. in the bottom of the cctv you can read: CCTV footage shows a submunition from an Iranian cluster bomb hitting central Israel, March 4, 2026.
2026-03-06 13:36:00
80 small bombs in 1 missile
2026-03-06 13:37:21
im not even betting on march 3
2026-03-06 13:41:30
Day 7 of the war, still not closed, Iran still says they dont want to close Hormuz
2026-03-06 14:41:21
March 4: Footage of a cluster bomb striking tel aviv.- [link removed]
2026-03-06 14:48:40
March 6: After the barrage, Israel's emergency services, the Magen David Adom (MDA), said its teams had visited several reported impact sites but that there were no casualties. Israeli police said it was "currently handling scenes involving fallen projectiles in central Israel", adding that there was "damage" but no injuries. [link removed] (there is a lot of sources in X)
2026-03-06 14:52:33
[link removed] "Impact"
2026-03-06 15:07:28
you can watch the footage
2026-03-06 15:21:48
thats not the way Polumar
2026-03-06 15:22:34
yeah, but poly dont work that way, you are not new
2026-03-06 16:10:11
March 6: Israeli police said it was "currently handling scenes involving fallen projectiles in central Israel," adding that "damage has been caused," but also reporting no injuries.
2026-03-06 16:10:25
A firefighter holds a helmet as he operates outside a building hit by a projectile in a city in outskirts of Tel-Aviv, Israel, on March 6, 2026. Ilia YefiMovich/AFP/Getty Images [link removed]
2026-03-06 16:37:15
you are really smart, you should be proud buddy
2026-03-06 19:43:09
looks like i made quite a mess. Thank me Later
2026-03-06 19:46:20
once the clusters deploy, you cant intercept that
2026-03-06 19:53:53
March 6: Hours after he spoke, a fresh ballistic missile attack on central Israel, including a cluster warhead, sparked a fire and caused damage but no injuries, authorities said. [link removed] and the video here: [link removed]
2026-03-06 19:54:59
I put the video on the coments (March 4)
2026-03-06 19:55:31
read again
2026-03-06 21:08:35
Thank you!
2026-03-06 21:59:22
Times of Israel video
2026-03-06 23:14:26
Ok Guys here we go: March 6: Israeli media reported that air-raid sirens sounded across central Israel, including the Sharon region and parts of the occupied West Bank. Explosions were heard during the barrage, with at least five missiles intercepted over Tel Aviv while others reportedly fell in open areas. No injuries were immediately reported, while strict military censorship remains in place, preventing the publication of footage or images that could reveal impact locations or damage. [link removed]
2026-03-06 23:17:32
yes, also they use cluster bombs again
2026-03-06 23:32:37
Tehran launched a fresh salvo of ballistic missiles overnight on Thursday, which were accompanied by about a dozen smaller bomblets designed to spread damage across a vast area. [link removed]
2026-03-06 23:36:46
Video evidence: [link removed] attack on late 5 and early 6 of march.
2026-03-06 23:37:45
00:05 March 6 you can watch a missile/cluster falling without interception.
2026-03-06 23:38:05
im working on it
2026-03-06 23:39:20
its a yes yes, what do you expect? its a war, not the regular gaza/lebanon market
2026-03-06 23:47:57
no defence against cluster bombs missiles
2026-03-06 23:48:43
Thank me later
2026-03-06 23:49:49
you can see the date and hour in the video, its not the same
2026-03-06 23:55:54
not the same, dont be a lyer.
2026-03-06 23:58:09
Here the analisis of the 5-6 March video by kagan dunlap: [link removed]
2026-03-06 23:59:57
Here the footage from Israel: [link removed]
2026-03-07 00:09:41
March 6: Hours after he spoke, a fresh ballistic missile attack on central Israel, including a cluster warhead, sparked a fire and caused damage but no injuries, authorities said. [link removed] and the video here: [link removed] . Thats it for the moment
2026-03-07 00:24:19
Nope it was 00:05 (5 minutes past march 5th)
2026-03-07 00:29:21
Here another view of the 5-6 missile attack: [link removed]
2026-03-07 00:30:04
Explosions were heard across Tel Aviv early Friday after Iran launched a new barrage of missiles toward central Israel.
Israeli emergency services said teams responded to several reported impact sites, while police said there was property damage but no reported injuries. [link removed]
2026-03-07 00:31:16
Now someone need to propose.
2026-03-07 01:24:58
keep betting on bitcoin
2026-03-07 01:26:23
The thing is, until now: Cluster bombs have been banned internationally since 1 August 2010, when the Convention on Cluster Munitions (CCM) officially entered into force. The treaty prohibits all use, production, transfer, and stockpiling of these weapons.
2026-03-07 01:58:01
not you, the other guy. lol
2026-03-07 02:19:05
new data: A firefighter holds a helmet as he operates outside a building hit by a projectile in a city in outskirts of Tel Aviv on March 6, 2026. (ILIA YEFIMOVICH / AFP) [link removed]
2026-03-07 02:57:31
im not even betting on 7 but: Fell into an open area, alarms didn't trigger. [link removed]
2026-03-07 02:58:10
im not liying, but i respect you, im just putting evidence
2026-03-07 03:00:21
Thank me later guys
2026-03-07 03:06:06
this is a war guys, not the regular markets. IDF do not intercept on open areas and Iran are using cluster bombs
2026-03-07 03:12:46
Congratulations on your win
2026-03-07 03:25:16
more missiles now
2026-03-07 03:31:32
and money. lol
2026-03-07 03:34:32
flip to yes my friend
2026-03-07 03:48:39
i just ran the analisis, and its a no by now
2026-03-07 03:51:17
more updates on March 6: [link removed]
2026-03-07 03:58:32
more: [link removed]
2026-03-07 04:00:20
[link removed]
2026-03-07 04:00:55
[link removed]
2026-03-07 04:02:23
yes/yes. Its a war, not regular markets
2026-03-07 04:23:03
Dont forget march 6: [link removed]
2026-03-07 04:24:49
[link removed]
2026-03-07 15:24:27
Amen
2026-03-07 15:57:39
Hello guys, March 7: Today, Times of Israel
As the IDF tells residents of northern Israel they can leave bomb shelters after the most recent Iranian ballistic missile fire landed in an open area and triggered no sirens, the military warns residents of Tel Aviv, large parts of central Israel and the West Bank that it has detected another missile launch from Iran. [link removed]
2026-03-07 16:59:27
Can someone propose? Its clear 100%. March 7: Today, Times of Israel
As the IDF tells residents of northern Israel they can leave bomb shelters after the most recent Iranian ballistic missile fire landed in an open area and triggered no sirens, the military warns residents of Tel Aviv, large parts of central Israel and the West Bank that it has detected another missile launch from Iran. [link removed]
2026-03-07 17:05:31
saddly no
2026-03-07 17:06:25
tonight im gonna do some more analisis on 6
2026-03-07 17:23:23
48 hours
2026-03-07 18:42:10
Im here, march 7 its done, we have to fight for March 6
2026-03-07 18:51:16
A security source in Ninewa Province told Iraqi media on March 6 that a fighter jet struck a Kataib al Imam Ali headquarters south of Mosul. (i dont want to be a ahole, but its not a very goog source
2026-03-07 18:51:59
A security source in Ninewa Province told Iraqi media on March 6 that a fighter jet struck a Kataib al Imam Ali headquarters south of Mosul. (i dont want to be a ahole, but its not a very good source, in fact, its a shitty source)
2026-03-07 18:53:05
My guys, March 7 confirmed 100%: [link removed] Jerusalem now. Thank me Later
2026-03-07 18:56:24
i sent plenty evidence
2026-03-07 18:57:33
its cluster bombs, a war crime by the way
2026-03-07 19:12:39
OK guys, i have a video of the cluster bombs on March 6: [link removed]
2026-03-07 19:13:01
[link removed] March 6
2026-03-07 19:15:15
look the post date/hour, march 6 5:36 am IST
2026-03-07 19:15:24
[link removed] March 6
2026-03-07 19:17:03
[link removed] March 6
2026-03-07 19:17:10
Save this thread
2026-03-07 19:18:22
tell me how you can intercept a Cluster bomb after it has been deployed?
2026-03-07 19:19:20
If anyone want to confirm, justo go to X and search "Cluster Jerusalem" scroll down and you can see many footages of cluster bombs on march 6
2026-03-07 19:21:52
thank me later!
2026-03-07 19:34:15
quite imagination
2026-03-07 19:35:17
look the post date/hour, march 6 5:36 am IST. there ir many footages on X and media liike timesofindia
2026-03-07 19:38:45
[link removed] March 6 // [link removed] March 6 .- Its a GG
2026-03-07 19:45:00
Nice!
2026-03-07 22:56:48
100% hahahahahahhahahahah delusional
2026-03-07 23:03:23
i have bad news for you
2026-03-07 23:05:32
MARCH 6: Hello guys, i have irrefutable evidence on video of One India News, a major press outlet (2.27 million followers on youtube) and shows various videos of cluster bombs fallin on Israel. [link removed]
2026-03-07 23:06:13
The cluster bomb used by Iran its a Cluster Bomb Warhead on a missile and the radius of the explosions its about 8 km. Each bomb carries about 2.5 kg of explosives. Once the warhead deploys its imposible to intercept
2026-03-07 23:06:36
check my last comment
2026-03-07 23:23:36
March 06, 2026, Tel Aviv. the video have a very big date and location. Top left
2026-03-07 23:25:20
sell your 64 shares and have some dignity. the video its clear and i posted at least 10 videos/reports of tel aviv and jerusalem being impacted by cluster bomb warheads (not interceptions)
2026-03-07 23:30:50
you are dlusional
2026-03-07 23:32:11
We have irrefutable evidence my friend
2026-03-07 23:33:11
You need to read the rules, a couple of times at least
2026-03-07 23:34:58
Thank me later my friend
2026-03-07 23:39:20
March 4 was a YES because a video of a cluster bombm Polymarket said that qualyfies. That video was posted by times of Israel.
2026-03-07 23:39:46
Polymarket: Qualifying reporting and video evidence meets the market’s criteria for a “Yes” resolution.
2026-03-07 23:40:23
check March 4: Qualifying reporting and video evidence meets the market’s criteria for a “Yes” resolution. by Polymarket
2026-03-07 23:42:23
At least we’re on the same page that cluster bombs hit Israel.
2026-03-07 23:46:50
Its a waste of time talking to a person who doesnt want to undertad. I whish you GL anyway
2026-03-07 23:47:51
Reminder: MARCH 6: Hello guys, i have irrefutable evidence on video of One India News, a major press outlet (2.27 million followers on youtube) and shows various videos of cluster bombs fallin on Israel. [link removed] // The cluster bomb used by Iran its a Cluster Bomb Warhead on a missile and the radius of the explosions its about 8 km. Each bomb carries about 2.5 kg of explosives. Once the warhead deploys its imposible to intercept
2026-03-07 23:51:46
i wish i can
2026-03-07 23:59:38
was a cluster bomb on Tel Aviv, trafic cam posted by Times of Israel
2026-03-07 23:59:55
GL my friend.
2026-03-08 00:01:18
Hezbollah doesnt have cluster bomb warheads
2026-03-08 00:10:03
It's a missile with a cluster bomb warhead
2026-03-08 00:12:03
not the same, the footage from times of israel its in Tel Aviv not "metula"
2026-03-08 00:22:11
i posted at least 10 different media outlets including Times of Israel
2026-03-08 00:37:26
March 4, this was qualified by Polymarket as: Qualifying reporting and video evidence meets the market’s criteria for a “Yes” resolution. Now, we have more evidence on March 6: [link removed] // [link removed] // [link removed] // so on. Its a clear YES, its far demonstrated that Iran hit Israel on March 6 with Cluster Bombs warhead
2026-03-08 00:38:06
March 4 video: [link removed]
2026-03-08 00:59:46
i did not watch a single video of cluster bombs or missiles falling into the sea
2026-03-08 01:12:07
you are really dumb or really shameless
2026-03-08 01:13:31
wait for the resolution people
2026-03-08 01:18:01
stop lying stupid
2026-03-08 01:30:13
More evidence of the impacts: [link removed]
2026-03-08 01:31:06
poor guy
2026-03-08 12:35:55
Dont forget: March 4, this was qualified by Polymarket as: Qualifying reporting and video evidence meets the market’s criteria for a “Yes” resolution. Now, we have more evidence on March 6: [link removed] // [link removed] // [link removed] // so on. Its a clear YES, its far demonstrated that Iran hit Israel on March 6 with Cluster Bombs warhead. March 4 video: [link removed]
2026-03-08 15:15:10
GL!
2026-03-08 15:29:59
By Far
2026-03-08 15:32:58
[link removed] More evidence
2026-03-08 16:36:53
and the fattah hypersonic missiles, very hard to intercept
2026-03-08 16:57:23
Reminder: MARCH 6: i have irrefutable evidence on video of One India News, a major press outlet (2.27 million followers on youtube) and shows various videos of cluster bombs fallin on Israel. [link removed] // The cluster bomb used by Iran its a Cluster Bomb Warhead on a missile and the radius of the explosions its about 8 km. Each bomb carries about 2.5 kg of explosives. Once the warhead deploys its imposible to intercept
2026-03-08 17:52:03
[link removed] Dont forget March 6.-
2026-03-08 17:53:31
Dont forget: March 4, this was qualified by Polymarket as: Qualifying reporting and video evidence meets the market’s criteria for a “Yes” resolution. Now, we have more evidence on March 6: [link removed] // [link removed] // [link removed] // so on. Its a clear YES, its far demonstrated that Iran hit Israel on March 6 with Cluster Bombs warhead. March 4 video: [link removed] .- We have subtancial evidence on March 6.- Its a war, everyday they got some impacts
2026-03-08 18:22:30
What about Argentina?
2026-03-08 19:24:50
i posted videos with date/location, march 6.- Funny how dishonest people can be for money
2026-03-08 19:34:00
More evidence on March 6th: [link removed] (Source: The Telegraph) ; [link removed] (Other view)
2026-03-08 20:16:27
Do you want Israel Police statement? ok no problem: Israeli police warned residents Friday about the threat of cluster bombs fired by Iran; after saying at least one such munition had hit the country in Tehran’s barrages. [link removed]
2026-03-08 20:16:59
Sure the houses and building have confetti damage
2026-03-08 22:26:39
Shameless
2026-03-08 22:28:31
I hope somebody dispute, im very angry right now
2026-03-08 23:08:34
AP news Marks 3 major strikes on March 6, two in Tel-Aviv - Yafo and one in Beer sheva, you can see that on the map (3 red points).- Source: [link removed] .- Also on 6: [link removed] .- Besides, there is a lot of footage of cluster bombs on early friday and afternoon [link removed] More evidence on March 6th: [link removed] (Source: The Telegraph) ; [link removed] (Other view). And Finally i have irrefutable evidence on video of One India News, a major press outlet (2.27 million followers on youtube) and shows various videos of cluster bombs fallin on Israel. [link removed] // The cluster bomb used by Iran its a Cluster Bomb Warhead on a missile and the radius of the explosions its about 8 km. Each bomb carries about 2.5 kg of explosives. Once the warhead deploys its imposible to intercept.
2026-03-08 23:12:03
Cashy its selling his shares.- Run my friend
2026-03-08 23:13:24
top holder "cashy"
2026-03-08 23:15:09
yeah, he has 13-14k an hour ago
2026-03-08 23:17:36
AP news Marks 3 major strikes on March 6, two in Tel-Aviv - Yafo and one in Beer sheva, you can see that on the map (3 red points).
2026-03-08 23:18:26
what a clever guy you are
2026-03-08 23:42:39
Iranian Cluster Bomb Strikes on Israel – March 6, 2026
Confirmed Strikes (Map Evidence)
The AP News / ACLED interactive map, dated March 6, 2026, marks at least 3 Iranian strike points in red on Israeli territory: two in Tel Aviv-Yafo and one in the Beer Sheva / outskirts of Jerusalem area. This is cartographic evidence from one of the most credible conflict-mapping sources used by the UN and international press.
Netanyahu Visit
Israeli PM Netanyahu personally visited the Iranian missile impact site in Beersheba on March 6, vowing to "complete all missions." A head of government does not visit a crater that doesn't exist — this is first-level official confirmation.
Cluster Bomb Use Confirmed
The Telegraph (March 6) published "Iran showers Israel with cluster bombs", with footage and eyewitness accounts. The IDF confirmed Iran used cluster bomb warheads on ballistic missiles, each releasing 20–80 submunitions over a ~8 km radius, with each bomblet carrying ~2.5 kg of explosives. Once deployed mid-air, the submunitions cannot be intercepted individually.
Why Defenses Failed
Israel's interception rate dropped from ~90% to ~65% during this phase precisely because cluster warheads disperse before impact, overwhelming point-defense systems like Iron Dome and Arrow.
2026-03-09 00:40:35
I did my reports, now is up to you guys
2026-03-09 00:53:57
MARCH 6: Sorry guys but this report its undeniable: AP news Marks 3 major strikes on March 6, two in Tel-Aviv - Yafo and one in Beer sheva, you can see that on the map (3 red points).- Source: [link removed] .- Also on 6 Netanyahu visits de impact site on beer sheva: [link removed] .- Besides, there is a lot of footage of cluster bombs on early friday and afternoon. Three independent layers of evidence — cartographic, official, and visual
2026-03-09 02:54:01
Cluster Bomb minutes ago impact Central Israel [link removed] .- Everyday its a YES.
2026-03-09 02:59:02
[link removed] Missile Impact on Haifa
2026-03-09 03:10:49
aenews2 buying no for March 6 like an animal. What a disgrace
2026-03-09 12:40:41
Just a Reminder: MARCH 6: this report its undeniable: AP news Marks 3 major strikes on March 6, two in Tel-Aviv - Yafo and one in Beer sheva, you can see that on the map (3 red points).- Source: [link removed] .- Also on 6 Netanyahu visits de impact site on beer sheva: [link removed] .- Besides, there is a lot of footage of cluster bombs on early friday and afternoon. Three independent layers of evidence — cartographic, official, and visual
2026-03-09 12:48:02
Because every day it's a YES, despite shameless no-holders on March 6 says
2026-03-09 14:20:31
The audacity of buy at 0.1c and post mad about a resolution.
2026-03-09 14:23:07
Polymarket we need an aclaration here, on March 6 there is by far more evidence than on March 4... : MARCH 6: this report its undeniable: AP news Marks 3 major strikes on March 6, two in Tel-Aviv - Yafo and one in Beer sheva, you can see that on the map (3 red points).- Source: [link removed] .- Also on 6 Netanyahu visits de impact site on beer sheva: [link removed] .- Besides, there is a lot of footage of cluster bombs on early friday and afternoon. Three independent layers of evidence — cartographic, official, and visual
2026-03-09 15:20:05
We need an aclaration from Polymarket ASAP
2026-03-09 17:46:38
Car and Cashy sold. but still a couple of whales buying NO. However, dont forget AP news Marks 3 major strikes on March 6, two in Tel-Aviv - Yafo and one in Beer sheva, you can see that on the map (3 red points).- Source: [link removed] .- Also on 6 Netanyahu visits de impact site on beer sheva: [link removed] .- Besides, there is a lot of footage of cluster bombs on early friday and afternoon. Three independent layers of evidence — cartographic, official, and visual
2026-03-09 18:15:25
I wish you a good life buddy
2026-03-09 18:27:37
also the APnews Map (3 impacts on march 6) plus the video of timesofondia, and a lot of videos of other media (pic in reuters, afp, etc), plus Israel Police talking about Cluster Bombs on March 6
2026-03-09 19:40:07
March 6, Iran BOMBARDS Tel Aviv, Jerusalem With Cluster Bombs As Missiles SMASH Air Defences: [link removed] .- I send it before, dont forget, thatnk me later
2026-03-09 19:53:56
March 6: AP News / ACLED map 3 Iranian strike points on March 6
Times of Israel Netanyahu at Beersheba impact site
The Telegraph Cluster bombs on Israel, March 6
AFP / NAMPA cable Multiple impact sites, property damage, Tel Aviv outskirts
Middle East Eye / X Cluster bomb footage, early Friday
Oneindia News (YouTube) Video of cluster submunitions over Israel
IDF statement Iran used cluster munitions "multiple times"
2026-03-09 19:56:18
Check the Discord Channel, send your love
2026-03-09 20:34:46
More evidence on March6: A damaged building at the scene following a missile attack by Iran, amid the [link removed] conflict with Iran, in Givatayim near Tel Aviv, Israel. REUTERS/Nir Elias [link removed] ; A view of the damage on a building following an Iranian strike in Givatayim, in the center of Israel on March 6, 2026.
Israeli security forces inspect the site of an Iranian strike in Givatayim, in the center of Israel on March 6, 2026. [link removed]
2026-03-09 20:47:13
Do you want major outlet source? ok no problem: [link removed]
2026-03-10 00:22:56
This is not over [link removed] .- You can check on Uma [link removed] and search for this market
2026-03-10 02:38:19
at least he is honest
2026-03-10 02:46:42
I tried my best my friend
2026-03-10 03:13:20
Someguy on the discord channel send this video, a direct hit on march 6: [link removed]
2026-03-10 03:15:31
i sent some other views of this impact yesterday i think
2026-03-10 10:59:52
Yes, 3 strikes on march 6
2026-03-10 13:00:16
HI guys: 1 interception, 1 fell in open area just now. [link removed]
2026-03-10 13:04:13
More sources: [link removed]
2026-03-10 13:06:28
im not asking to you
2026-03-10 13:14:27
More footage: [link removed]
2026-03-10 13:29:22
March 10
2026-03-10 13:37:59
Cristal Clear: [link removed] March 10
2026-03-10 13:51:55
The Craddle, March 10: Hebrew media reports a missile impact in an open area in Bnei Brak. [link removed]
2026-03-10 14:04:32
im not asking you
2026-03-10 14:29:49
Some of the launches were intercepted while others fell in open areas. There were no immediate reports of casualties or damage. Additional alerts were later activated in Beit Yanai and Mikhmoret without prior warning due to concerns over interception debris.
2026-03-10 15:11:18
Incoming
2026-03-10 19:19:45
This is the only strike today: Israel has released video it says shows the moment a missile fired by Hezbollah struck a satellite and radar station near Beit Shemesh, causing extensive damage. [link removed] .- All the other sites with damages say "interception debris".
2026-03-10 19:51:50
i did my research and the only impact today was from hezbolla. also, rules "Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted as Israel." so i dont even mind to look for any news on the west bank
2026-03-10 20:40:05
Still nothing, i did my research and the only impact today was from hezbolla. also, rules "Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted as Israel." so i dont even mind to look for any news on the west bank
2026-03-10 21:31:51
Big no for march 10
2026-03-10 22:13:32
Scortysoold
2026-03-10 22:13:45
Scotysoooold
2026-03-10 23:48:33
Kevin or "Split"
2026-03-11 01:59:22
no market for 11 my friend
2026-03-11 01:59:51
nice PnL
2026-03-11 03:09:45
An Iranian missile with cluster munitions flies toward Israel, as seen from Tel Aviv, March 9. .- A crater at the impact site after Iran sent a barrage of missiles into Israel, in central Israel, March 8. REUTERS/Itai Ron A mourner reacts at the funeral of a mother and daughter killed in an Iranian missile strike, at a cemetery in Beit Shemesh, Israel, March 2. REUTERS ,. All images of the report are from 28 feb to march 9
2026-03-11 14:10:14
Uma voting for March 6:
No
99.96% (14,046,181.94)
Yes
0.04% (5,003.93)
2026-03-11 14:11:16
had way more evidence than march 10, which it's a no in my opinion.
2026-03-11 14:29:32
I also lose money on March 6.- Tragasables
2026-03-11 14:40:50
its a no
2026-03-11 15:35:46
we already lose on March 6 my friend, buy NO for March 10
2026-03-11 15:40:48
wtf are you?
2026-03-11 15:56:35
i already check the uma vote, 99% of votes are NO
2026-03-11 16:07:06
Uma voting for March 6:
No
99.96% (14,046,181.94)
Yes
0.04% (5,003.93) you can check on uma page
2026-03-11 17:03:50
this guy have some issues
2026-03-12 15:52:20
you cant see the votes yet
2026-03-12 15:59:46
All reported Kyiv/Kiev damage this week traces to debris/interceptions, not direct projectile impacts.
2026-03-12 16:09:37
you should never had flipped
2026-03-12 20:14:41
P4 then P1 NO
Everything they have "inflated" is a Times of Israel article that was "edited" by adding that the IDF corroborates a strike impact — however, it says nothing beyond that, it does not cite a specific person or anything. No other outlet cites the IDF nor has updated anything. I do want to note that AP shows impacts on its map, but that same map was already dismissed for me in the March 6th market, so I assume the same should apply here. In conclusion and for transparency, the answer should be NO, as I only see a coordinated effort to flip a market based on an inconclusive source and in no way a consensus.
2026-03-12 20:33:15
Yes, in the morning I noticed "cashy" with the link, he posted it in the Discord, tagged 3 moderators, and shortly after the market flipped — but nothing official was said, it's pure speculation. In my opinion it's a pretty dirty move, as it's not based on consensus, only on personal interests.
2026-03-12 20:44:10
On the contrary, I generally lean towards Yes (I still believe March 6th was a Yes), however today a particular situation arose where they are justifying the resolution with ONE source and not a consensus as required by the rules, on top of that, the source is generic, it doesn't mention anyone's name or position. And on March 4 there was a clear video of a Cluster bomb.
2026-03-12 20:53:45
We agree.
2026-03-13 12:58:46
P1 NO
Everything they have "inflated" is a Times of Israel article that was "edited" by adding that the IDF corroborates a strike impact — however, it says nothing beyond that, it does not cite a specific person or anything. No other outlet cites the IDF nor has updated anything. I do want to note that AP shows impacts on its map, but that same map was already dismissed for me in the March 6th market, so I assume the same should apply here. In conclusion and for transparency, the answer should be NO, as I only see a coordinated effort to flip a market based on an inconclusive source and in no way a consensus.
Consensus of credible reporting? NO
Official confirmation? NO
More evidence than March 6? Hell NO. By the way, the same people who now say that the article of Times os Israel its their evidence, are the same who voted NO for march 6, despite having AP, Fox, Reuters, etc articles.
Conclusion? Make your own, its clear whats happening.
2026-03-13 13:23:51
What appears in the photo from the Times of Israel is the fuel tank section, the large burned and crushed cylinder. It is the heaviest and most voluminous part of the missile, which is exactly why it tends to survive relatively intact after separation. This part of the missile can or cannot appear like that because a missile can be intercepted after detachment.
But my main problem is not that. It is that for March 6 there was A LOT more evidence and the result was NO.
I really think this market is a YES for every day, but if you are going to set a standard for one day you have to maintain that for the rest.
Luckily I sold yesterday before the flip, so now I just have a couple of bucks, but the injustice bothers me.
Therefore, I am just exposing the fraudulent scheme here.
2026-03-13 14:52:33
Repeat after me: One article its no consensus!
2026-03-13 15:01:39
Official Report for March 10: [link removed] (You can check other days, they do mention missile strikes). There ir nothing more offical than this
2026-03-13 15:16:38
yep, but then they will go for Yes
2026-03-13 16:47:15
We need polymarket clarification, too many greedy mf
2026-03-13 16:59:55
for March 10 greedy mfs: [link removed] Beit shemesh it's at hezbollah range.
2026-03-13 17:06:29
thats what im saying
2026-03-13 17:55:49
Check this out: this is one on the "YES" Sources on discord votes: During the searches, an impact was identified in an open area in the city. Fortunately, there are no casualties. Firefighting teams handled a small fire at the scene, while reports of shrapnel in several streets in the city were also being checked.
[link removed] ; but if you go to the link, says this "During the searches, shrapnel was identified in an open area in the city. Fortunately, there were no casualties. Fire crews were treating a small fire at the scene, and at the same time, reports of shrapnel on several streets in the city were investigated." they changed the word shrapnel for impact.- What do you think?
2026-03-13 18:28:28
its official info btw, from beit shemesh municipality, Emergency and Security Department teams
2026-03-13 18:30:31
Official Info: Beit Shemesh Municipality Update - Operation "Harry's Roar"
Tuesday | [link removed]
Following the latest alarm sounded in the city, Emergency and Security Department teams conducted searches in several locations.
During the searches, shrapnel was identified in an open area in the city. Fortunately, there were no casualties. Fire crews were treating a small fire at the scene, and at the same time, reports of shrapnel on several streets in the city were investigated.
In addition, municipal teams arrived at one of the neighborhoods where glass shattered, apparently as a result of the page.
The teams continue to operate in the field and conduct inspections based on the reports received. [link removed]
2026-03-13 19:24:43
This site in beit shemesh it's the only "impact" that YES voters show, but the official information it's that was shrapnel (for an
2026-03-14 01:06:10
manipulating the price at this moment
2026-03-14 03:03:30
you lost like a couple thousands when the market flip
2026-03-14 03:04:52
scam on march 6 and scam on march 10, then people ask for more dates, lol.
2026-03-14 03:06:50
and poly ruin their scam with a clarification on march 4
2026-03-14 03:54:42
Fire and smoke seen at U.S. Embassy compound in Baghdad, Iraq amid reported drone attack. AZ Intel on X
2026-03-14 18:01:41
agree
2026-03-15 00:01:31
No Direct Impact on March 10, 2026 – Evidence of Debris Only
Israeli radio Emess (Hebrew): Reporting specifically on March 10 activity near Beit Shemesh states: "באזור בית שמש דווח על נפילות של חלקי יירוט" — "In the Beit Shemesh area, falls of interception fragments were reported." The Hebrew term used is חלקי יירוט (interception fragments), not פגיעה ישירה (direct hit).
[link removed].il/radio/1838651
2026-03-15 00:02:05
IDF Official Spokesperson (March 10): Both missile launch events at 13:23 and 14:22 local time use the language "defensive systems are operating to intercept the threat" with no subsequent confirmation of an unintercepted impact.
[link removed]
2026-03-15 00:02:25
MDA (Magen David Adom) Facebook (March 10): First responders reported injuries caused by "shattered glass and debris", consistent with interception shrapnel, not a direct warhead detonation.
[link removed]
2026-03-15 00:17:38
i stand on truth, nice PnL btw
2026-03-15 00:22:05
The same guys with a lot of money are the UMA voters, its no so hard to understand, that its so wrong on my opinion.
2026-03-15 00:44:54
Same here, and you are correct
2026-03-15 01:44:06
Trump on NBC: "I don’t know if he’s even alive. So far, nobody’s been able to show him."
"I’m hearing he’s not alive, and if he is, he should do something very smart for his country: surrender."
2026-03-16 16:39:00
i cant find any post, why is so high?
2026-03-16 16:48:35
i just checked again, still nothing
2026-03-16 16:57:23
nope
2026-03-16 16:59:03
i just checked again, no movements on the accounts
2026-03-16 17:01:23
they still got yime
2026-03-16 17:14:45
buy more!
2026-03-16 17:34:16
that repost its 3h from the original post, thats from yesterday
2026-03-17 14:08:46
Roll call and Youtube confirm its a Yes.-
2026-03-17 14:11:58
Donald Trump 00:14:31-00:14:40 (9 sec)
Anybody, anybody that knew the country knew there's not 250,000 people willing to stand in a circle and say how great Khamenei is, okay? Donald Trump 00:11:41-00:12:02 (22 sec)
They showed about 250,000 people in a square saying how much they love Khamenei. Uh, totally AI generated. It never took place. The media knew it didn't take place, but they built it up like they have great support.
2026-03-17 14:40:14
i posted on discord, here i cant post links.- youtube the video President Trump Gaggles with Press on Air Force One En Route Joint Base Andrews
2026-03-17 14:40:28
and rollcall page
2026-03-17 15:11:19
yes, thats what im saying
2026-03-17 16:33:30
Facts: Youtube video evidence? Yes ; Translation from RC? Yes .- Whats the dispute? some people hear a mispronunciation from trump. And claim that mispronunciation it's enough for a NO.
2026-03-17 16:38:33
RC its clear, Trump said khamenei 2 times. Youtube video the same.
2026-03-17 18:28:48
Early requ...
0.01% (1,049.42)
No
5.70% (764,755.56)
Yes
94.29% (12,641,058.48) we got f again
2026-03-17 20:47:08
he said Khamenei twice.- even RC transription its clear
2026-03-18 00:56:29
Israeli airstrikes struck Zuqaq al-Blat in Beirut a few moments ago.
2026-03-18 01:07:20
Israel just struck central Beirut, Zouqaq el Blat.
Jets and drones very loud over Beirut tonight.
Just heard another explosion.
2026-03-18 01:14:07
its happening right now genius
2026-03-18 20:51:21
the count is bugged?
2026-03-19 14:27:04
No
98.71% (12,696,796.19)
Yes
1.29% (165,582.39) ; Dont waste your money, they allways do the same
2026-03-19 14:31:18
2 diferent disputes
2026-03-19 22:32:53
Time is up. 2:01 a.m. in teheran
2026-03-20 16:56:35
Since the Times of Israel is used in this market, I'm sharing a video of the cluster bomb impacts on March 19th. The video, image, and text corroborate the impact. "To conserve interceptors, IAF choosing not to shoot down some Iranian cluster bomblets"Times Of Israel on X (or their page)
2026-03-20 16:57:31
@TimesofIsrael
2026-03-20 17:00:44
More Cluster on video 19/03 @MOSSADil on X.- At least 4 impacts
2026-03-20 17:24:43
Cluster Bombs are impossible to intercept 100%.- "To conserve interceptors, IAF choosing not to shoot down some Iranian cluster bomblets"Times Of Israel on X (or their page)
2026-03-20 17:37:46
yeah sure, you dont know how a cluster bomb works... unbelievable argument, what we have to read around here wtf
2026-03-20 17:38:08
and again: "To conserve interceptors, IAF choosing not to shoot down some Iranian cluster bomblets"Times Of Israel on X (or their page)
2026-03-20 17:39:08
"To conserve interceptors, IAF choosing not to shoot down some Iranian cluster bomblets"Times Of Israel on X (or their page) (Videos of the 19 on their page and several other)
2026-03-20 17:44:56
yes, that's it
2026-03-20 17:45:32
nice PnL
2026-03-20 17:52:59
maybe you shoul read better. TimesofIsrael/status/2034772471866360257
2026-03-20 18:03:30
ok buddy, keep saying that
2026-03-20 18:03:53
clown argument
2026-03-20 18:15:10
yep, was heavy bombing
2026-03-20 18:36:28
there is a lot of videos of the cluster bombs yesterday
2026-03-20 18:59:41
youtube/ watch?v=VfRwRj5zfdw&t=211s ILTV from minute 3
2026-03-21 01:26:40
Summary for 19:
Bazan Refinery, Haifa Middle East Eye footage shows fire and thick smoke rising from the refinery following a direct Iranian missile strike. Channel 13 Israel confirmed dispersed munitions with two impact points inside the complex. Bazan officially reported electrical infrastructure damage on the same day.
Cluster munitions, central/southern Israel ILTV News Flash explicitly confirms an Iranian cluster warhead killed a foreign worker in Moshava Danim via submunitions. ISW's March 19 special report independently corroborates cluster munition use on a residential structure in southern Israel.
Northern Israel / Haifa overnight barrage ILTV On The Hour reports the eighth missile barrage since midnight, with cluster munitions confirmed over the north. Times of Israel live blog cites verified footage of a burning missile fragment crashing down over Haifa.
Most reliable for documentation: ILTV News Flash (named victim, cluster warhead confirmed), Middle East Eye (Bazan on fire, published March 19), and Channel 13 Israel (technical analysis of Bazan impact) all three explicitly dated March 19 with Iranian origin confirmed.
2026-03-21 03:03:31
Im going to buy no, these people don't defend the YES
2026-03-21 16:59:47
That was wild in dimona
2026-03-23 15:19:21
Trump announces 5-day pause on strikes against Iran amid ongoing talks. I guess we are going to see less action on the next days
2026-03-23 15:29:24
time will tell
2026-03-23 15:47:39
trust me bro
2026-03-23 19:07:02
proof?
2026-03-24 01:09:48
The Israeli Air Force is conducting a wave of strikes targeting terrorist infrastructure in Beirut, Lebanon..- Propose 24 plz
2026-03-24 03:02:27
its 24th
2026-03-24 13:36:27
Hezbollah drone hits open area in Western Galilee; no damage or injuries reported
By Emanuel Fabian
22 March 2026, 8:48 am
Share
A Hezbollah drone crashed in an open area in the Western Galilee, police say.
Police say that no damage or injuries were caused, and sappers are working to safely clear the scene.
2026-03-24 13:42:05
Israeli firefighters battle vehicles blaze after missile attack from Lebano
Video footage, published by Israeli media and verified by Al Jazeera, shows Israeli firefighters attempting to put out a fire engulfing vehicles caused by a missile attack from Lebanon on vehicles in the Misgav Am area of northern Israel. (Al Jazzera video/newsfeed/2026/3/22/israeli-firefighters-battle-vehicles-blaze-after-missile-attack-from-lebano)
2026-03-24 13:45:00
Hezbollah attack, Northern Israel, 2026-03-22 Reddit (r/CombatFootage/comments/1s0isdy/hezbollah_attack_northern_israel_20260322/)
2026-03-24 13:48:49
so do you want to send proof or something?
2026-03-24 14:01:11
buy more no
2026-03-24 14:07:03
USS Destroyers in ME, intercepted an Iranian Ballistic heading towards Lebanon
2026-03-24 14:35:44
ISW: A Hezbollah drone landed in an open area of northern Israel near the Sea of Galilee on March 22, according to an Israeli correspondent.[lxxii] Hezbollah claimed three rocket attacks targeting northern Israeli towns on March 22. [link removed]
2026-03-24 15:38:24
20 its a big YES
2026-03-24 16:37:53
Big yes on 20
2026-03-25 14:45:05
Nice job
2026-03-25 15:51:28
Easy YES on 20!!
2026-03-25 16:21:37
so you are just gonna lie here? there is at least 15 solid sources, you can check on discord if u want
2026-03-25 17:33:32
Joint statement by Kuwait, UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Jordan calls on Iraq to take necessary measures to stop attacks launched against neighbouring countries from Iraqi territory.- Yes guys, may have to demostrate that the attack its from Iran and no from Iraq or Yemen
2026-03-25 19:15:52
we know from the other markets that fell in open area can o can not be debri, and they are getting missiles from iraq to. So, you have to prove it
2026-03-26 00:35:23
23 easy no
2026-03-26 12:49:19
the j post link says: A cluster munition hit in the Drom Hasharon Regional Council on Sunday night following an Iranian missile barrage across central Israel, a council spokesperson announced. (Thats sunday 22)
2026-03-27 00:00:20
Rule Reminder: If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
2026-03-27 03:00:54
wrong
2026-03-27 12:46:08
if you are talking about 22. those casualties was from IDF artillery, friendly Fire, look it up
2026-03-27 15:09:26
all you have its 2 phrases in 2 local websites and ToI saying something landed in open area, there is not a single pic or well redacted report or IDF statement
2026-03-27 15:09:59
well documented hahaha lol
2026-03-27 15:27:10
REMINDER: The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
2026-03-27 16:32:08
for 23: This footage captures the moment an Iranian cluster missile broke into bomblets and descended on Israel in the early hours of Monday.
The strike came as Tehran tries to overwhelm Israel's sophisticated air defence systems On X TheNationalNews/status/2035962626006806928
2026-03-27 16:40:33
do a little search and you will find out
2026-03-27 23:43:46
22: Any image of the invisible drone? At least an impact? No? Ok im gonna read the rules again
2026-03-28 00:13:07
None
2026-03-28 00:18:06
Come on Yes: [link removed]
2026-03-28 00:29:08
An apartment building in the northern city of Nesher, outside of Haifa, sustained a direct hit from an Iranian cluster missile late Monday night, causing extensive damage to an apartment on the top floor of the building after it tore a hole through the wall. No residents of the apartment were hurt, since they went down to the building's bomb shelter.
2026-03-28 00:29:26
An apartment building in the northern city of Nesher, outside of Haifa, sustained a direct hit from an Iranian cluster missile late Monday night, causing extensive damage to an apartment on the top floor of the building after it tore a hole through the wall. No residents of the apartment were hurt, since they went down to the building's bomb shelter. check de ynet link in the comment below
2026-03-28 00:48:02
i can help you to read: sustained a direct hit from an Iranian cluster missile late Monday nigh
2026-03-28 00:57:30
people can be very stupid for a little money, have some self respect
2026-03-28 01:12:20
Monday 23, the alert its from 23 to.- next
2026-03-28 02:25:07
Don't be a lier brother, we all can count, and the UMA votes are not the posts on discord
2026-03-30 13:45:18
can we resolve 28? Easy NO
2026-03-30 13:52:02
Can we resolve UAE? a couple of strikes already this month
2026-03-30 14:49:57
p2 Yes, easy, you can watch the stream
2026-03-30 18:25:46
March 25 Easy No!
2026-03-31 03:46:49
None
2026-03-31 12:38:11
Separate from the O'Leary case, Armstrong was jailed for threatening emails sent to Georgia Superior Court Judge Kimberly Childs, whom he was harassing while acting as his own attorney. "Thew judge Case": Case= Criminal Harassment Kimberly Childs Moving to trial; faces 5–10 years. As of today, March 31, 2026 no criminal trial has taken place for the harassment case involving Judge Kimberly Childs.
2026-03-31 12:53:53
the case is pending, and this is not the firt time they pump this market over a conviction on other case
2026-03-31 13:04:14
So I have to present evidence of something that NOT happened? might be the other way buddy
2026-03-31 13:22:50
In october he plead guilty on Case Id: 25-M-1289 ; but that is not the judge childs case; that one its a case on the superior court not de STATE court, different cases as i said .- And again, this is not the first time that people pump and dump this market over a bitboy conviction. The judge Childs case is still pending. (its a superior court case)
2026-03-31 13:23:31
In october he plead guilty on Case Id: 25-M-1289 ; but that is not the judge childs case; that one its a case on the superior court not de STATE court, different cases as i said .- And again, this is not the first time that people pump and dump this market over a bitboy conviction. The judge Childs case is still pending. (its a superior court case) in diferent courts
2026-03-31 13:28:58
November 2025: Prosecutors added new evidence in November tying Armstrong’s emails to a pattern of harassment that continued even after his earlier arrest in Cherokee County, Georgia. [link removed]
2026-03-31 13:29:30
they were still adding evidence in november
2026-03-31 13:37:14
imagine being 6k down and still having the nerve to insulting people thinking you're right
2026-03-31 13:41:36
harassment to a judge its a felony and the case is in a superior court not a state court. the case still pending
2026-03-31 13:58:39
Ben Armstrong, the controversial cryptocurrency influencer known as “BitBoy,” was arrested in Cherokee County, Georgia, late last month on six counts of harassing phone calls, according to public jail records ([link removed] As I said, the judge case its ongoing, the prosecutors added new evidence in November 2025.
2026-03-31 14:04:32
how slow you are, im saying he have more charges and that charges matches the Case Id: 25-M-1289
2026-03-31 14:25:28
Found the inmate info and the court case 2025 000565 XXDB, as i said The case number 2025 000565 XXDB originates from the Georgia court that issued the warrant, specifically a Superior Court in the Blue Ridge Judicial Circuit. Source: [link removed] Case still pending, the one of october was harassment charges by phone calls.
2026-03-31 14:42:13
diferent court case number, diferent courts.- Harrasment to a judge its a superior court case (number 2025 000565) and harrasment charges by phone calls are the case 25-M-1289 State Court.
2026-03-31 14:51:00
so, whats the point? resolve on a lie? where is the sentence/guilty plea where its says something about the judge childs case? where is the Y proof? Everybody know this is not going to pass UMA vote. Tje burden of proof is on your side
2026-03-31 14:52:54
where is the sentence/guilty plea where its says something about the judge childs case? where is the Y proof? Everybody know this is not going to pass UMA vote. The burden of proof is on Y side.- The case is still pending. court case 2025 00056 (Superior Court).
2026-03-31 14:55:02
Show the evidence and im selling rn
2026-03-31 14:59:50
Gl in UMA vote
2026-03-31 15:09:08
Show your evidence yestard
2026-03-31 15:24:38
The primary resolution source will be official court records, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2026-03-31 15:33:11
nice PnL btw
2026-03-31 16:40:53
Told you guys =)
2026-03-31 16:41:51
go
2026-03-31 16:44:10
thx for holding the line Lord Commander
2026-03-31 17:11:03
hello my friend, how are you?
2026-03-31 17:28:39
well well well
2026-03-31 17:31:08
we took a lot of insults, but finally the truth prevails
2026-03-31 23:20:05
Where does it say it's from Ukraine?
2026-03-31 23:21:07
The only one Guys it's the altura attack, hit by a drone, but Where does it say it's from Ukraine? i keep digging and nothing official or consensus came up
2026-03-31 23:31:55
is there another source? i dont want to be rude
2026-03-31 23:38:05
yeah, i don't think that passes a uma vote for P2
2026-03-31 23:40:19
im not pretending to be neutral, simply i dont want to be rude
2026-04-01 12:44:20
In oman it was a Shahed Drone, thats Iranian, should be YES
2026-04-01 12:46:39
April was resolved because was a 1000 dollars market, nobody dispute.- This should be a NO
2026-04-01 13:57:28
the relevant part its the video of the SHAHED drone striking, thats an iranian Drone used and manufactured by Iran
2026-04-01 14:36:13
[link removed] Video dated 22 March 14:09 PM
00:42 Rutte: we talked several times this week
04:40 I Told him
This was live, Rutte confirmed he talker trump several times “this week” that was from 20-26th March 2026.
Really clear YES!
2026-04-01 14:39:47
GL in UMA vote shingo
2026-04-01 14:43:24
Look the title of the video NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte says he's had "several conversations this week" with Trump [link removed] .- CBS News
2026-04-01 16:38:40
"No reporting" the guy was live on cbs lol
2026-04-01 17:26:23
SECRETARY GENERAL RUTTE: I've been in several conversations this week with the president, and the good news is that, look, we had the U.S. for weeks planning for Epic Fury and for reasons of security and safety
2026-04-01 17:28:36
that was live on CBS
2026-04-01 17:59:11
Nbc: [link removed] ; That is the Shahed Drone (Salalah Port, Oman)
2026-04-01 19:17:40
oh right. [link removed]
2026-04-01 19:20:35
Rutte easy YES!
2026-04-02 04:37:19
During a mid-March phone call with Rutte, Trump reportedly aired his grievances regarding the lack of support in the Iran war Fresh news from daily finland and tribune india (cant send the links here)
2026-04-02 12:57:40
[link removed]
2026-04-02 12:58:12
another for 29 [link removed]
2026-04-03 15:25:22
and he sold
2026-04-03 19:26:54
BREAKING: A vessel is ablaze in the Persian Gulf just off the Strait of Hormuz. NASA satellite data confirms fire detections off the coast of Oman starting early this morning. Sources disagree on the cause, with reports of both a drone strike and an overheated engine. Locals report repeated drone attacks in the area.
The US just doubled Hormuz reinsurance to $40 billion today. Ships are burning at the entrance. [link removed]
2026-04-04 00:42:28
clear YES
2026-04-04 15:44:29
Resolve this plz, easy YES
2026-04-05 18:01:39
Oh, there is no way this goes to YES
2026-04-06 00:20:14
Clarification on the way, the usual suspects are running
2026-04-06 01:05:52
Australian Department of Defence? Really?
2026-04-06 19:05:04
[link removed] IA Mojtaba threatening Dimona
2026-04-06 19:48:03
Thats what im saying
2026-04-07 16:08:42
All the credible sources said: 60.19%
2026-04-07 23:03:08
iran has not agreed yet. They are launching missiles
2026-04-08 01:35:20
"health officials said"
2026-04-08 01:36:26
if your main source is -health officials said- you can sell rn
2026-04-08 14:32:18
So they tried to propose the market overnight and ended up with a double dispute.
2026-04-08 16:25:04
[link removed] this is gonna be fun
2026-04-08 17:44:07
[link removed] well well well
2026-04-08 19:31:10
The United Arab Emirates emerged Wednesday as a suspected offensive actor in the widening Gulf conflict, with multiple Iranian sources and open-source military analysts pointing to UAE Air Force Mirage 2000-9 fighter jets as the platform behind a strike on Iran's Lavan Island oil refinery, hours after a US-brokered ceasefire was supposed to have halted hostilities. We have a lot of time for more sources [link removed]
2026-04-08 20:19:26
good one
2026-04-09 16:32:09
Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. this one
2026-04-09 17:07:25
they sent the weapons to the kurds tho
2026-04-09 19:28:46
Iranian Media:
The IRGC denies carrying out any drone airstrikes against Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, or Dubai, while the Guard forces are cautiously monitoring missiles launched from Azerbaijan toward these countries.
2026-04-09 21:41:00
The Iranian delegation which includes Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, Abbas Araghchi, and Iraj Masjedi have arrived in Islamabad.
2026-04-11 20:16:43
Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
2026-04-12 16:25:07
Guardian+Reuters = YES
2026-04-12 17:35:09
This is not jd vance marketing, check again
2026-04-13 16:44:45
April 13 NO so far
2026-04-13 19:21:12
Incompetent: not having or showing the necessary skills to do something successfully. Thats not an insult
2026-04-13 19:32:17
buy more
2026-04-14 03:23:22
Irak: The autonomous region’s Counter-Terrorism Service says in a statement that the incident took place on Monday “when a bomb-laden drone coming from Iran crashed into a civilian home in… the Dara Shakran subdistrict within Erbil Province.” Times Of Israel [link removed]
2026-04-14 03:24:36
AP: “The federal government of Iraq must fulfil its duty and responsibility to prevent such crimes and terrorist attacks, and to ensure that these violations against innocent civilians in the Kurdistan Region are not repeated.” said Barzani.
The strike came amid a wider wave of drone, rocket and missile attacks by Iran and allied militias targeting multiple areas across the Northern Kurdish Region of Iraq.
AP video shot by: Rashid Yahya [link removed]
2026-04-14 03:26:01
Channel 8: According to the directorate's statement, the attack occurred at 00:15 and was directed from Iran. It struck a house in Zargazawi village, resulting in the martyrdom of Musa Anwar Rasoul and Mzhda Asaad Hassan. [link removed]
2026-04-14 14:09:37
The Guardian: Two blasts have been heard near the Erbil airport – which hosts advisers from the US-led anti-jihadist coalition – in Iraq’s northern Kurdistan region, an Agence France-Presse journalist said on Monday.
Some hours earlier, air defence systems downed four missiles headed towards the US consulate in Erbil, a security source told the news agency.
Local authorities also reported a separate deadly drone incident in a civilian area in the early hours of Tuesday.
The autonomous region’s counter-terrorism service said a “bomb-laden drone coming from Iran” crashed into a home in the Dara Shakran subdistrict of Erbil province after midnight, killing a couple. [link removed]
2026-04-14 15:34:53
You can't change the market NOW! They edit the title and the rules
2026-04-14 15:35:46
Thursday, nothing change
2026-04-14 16:02:22
nope
2026-04-14 16:37:05
Stop the scam tomato
2026-04-14 16:49:41
calling She’s unacceptable” and insult it's ridiculous, even with this rules
2026-04-14 17:26:09
Tomato Scam must be stopped
2026-04-14 20:40:13
Clarification in 20 minutes
2026-04-14 22:00:23
No Consensus reached in UMA voting. Go Donk!
2026-04-15 03:38:56
During an interview today with ABC News, U.S. President Donald J. Trump stated that he doesn’t believe there will be a need to extend the current ceasefire with Iran, telling Jonathan Karl that a peace deal is coming, “I think you’re going to be watching an amazing two days ahead. I really do.”
2026-04-15 16:11:35
people think that lebanon is the same thing as hezbollah, there is a different market for lebanon
2026-04-15 19:57:59
None
2026-04-16 14:27:43
1. Iranian media claims the attacks on Iran’s refineries in the Persian Gulf earlier today were carried out by UAE Mirage 2000-9 fighters. If true, this is very significant and very concerning. [link removed]
2. Iran launched missile and drone attacks on Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates after airstrikes against oil facilities on Iran’s Lavan island on Wednesday morning, state television reports.
“Missile and drone attacks on the Emirates and Kuwait have taken place a few hours after the targeting of Lavan island oil facilities in Iran,” IRIB says in a report.
3. JD Vance interview: the Iranians launched a bunch of missiles and then the Israelis responded and some Arab states responded. This is the nature of a ceasefire.
4. (DEFENCE SECURITY ASIA) — The attack on Iran’s Lavan Island refinery has transformed a fragile two-week ceasefire into the most dangerous escalation inside the Persian Gulf since Washington and Tehran halted direct [link removed] travel guide Iranian military-linked sources claimed the refinery strike was conducted by Mirage-2000-9 fighter aircraft operated by the United Arab Emirates, immediately expanding the crisis beyond the original [link removed] confrontation.
[link removed]
2026-04-16 14:28:19
April 8
2026-04-16 15:15:19
JD Vance: "First of all, he talked about an attack that allegedly happened on Iran and how that was a violation of the ceasefire. Ceasefires are always messy," the vice president said, adding that an hour after President Trump announced the ceasefire, there were a bunch of missiles, the Israelis responded, and so did some of the Gulf Arab states. (April 8 on cbs)
2026-04-16 16:27:51
[link removed] this guy did a good analysis
2026-04-17 02:56:44
0 evidence on bahrein, its going P4 (Early Request)
2026-04-17 19:25:47
UMA Rocks voted P4 (Early Request), its a NO but there still time, until april 30
2026-04-18 00:25:46
100% early request 🤣
2026-04-18 00:26:10
None
2026-04-18 03:03:07
98.8 vs 1.2% lol
2026-04-18 03:51:51
Early requ...
98.82% (5,848,901.73)
Yes
1.18% (70,059.33)
2026-04-18 21:12:32
Not Today
2026-04-18 23:56:10
correct. 154 km W of Neiafu, Tonga
2026-04-13 02:15:01 (UTC) this one doesnt count
2026-04-19 04:16:34
scam proposal
2026-04-19 04:35:56
lol
2026-04-19 04:49:53
this will never pass a UMA Vote
2026-04-21 16:13:42
MAYBE JAY POWELL DID US A BIG SERVICE. IN RETROSPECT, I CALL HIM TOO LATE. HE'S JUST TOO LATE. HE'S ALWAYS TOO LATE.
2026-04-21 16:14:03
what do you think, lord commander?
2026-04-21 16:38:26
I would say P4 just to clarify if the tanker was seized or not, too early to know certainly
2026-04-21 16:56:53
maritime interdiction can or can not include seizure
2026-04-21 17:00:57
just pocket change, dont worry
2026-04-22 16:25:39
we have more evidence for YES than the Hezbollah ceasefire. the AP news link its good
2026-04-22 16:29:30
AP News vs iran news lol
2026-04-22 17:58:42
[link removed] its over notards
2026-04-22 18:00:00
[link removed] more sources by the minute
2026-04-22 20:26:33
[link removed] time for a clarification
2026-04-22 20:42:28
you have to propose first, retard
2026-04-23 02:18:02
sell your shares and thank me later
2026-04-25 05:35:01
North Korea recently tested the Hwasong-11 Ram, an indigenous North Korean short range tactical ballistic missile, with a new cluster munition war head in the Sea of Japan. X Rerum Novarum
2026-04-27 04:06:44
6.1
18 km W of Sarabetsu, Japan
2026-04-26 20:23:55 (UTC)
81.0 km
5.5
163 km SE of Khovd, Mongolia
2026-04-26 04:23:24 (UTC)
11.0 km
5.8
11 km SE of Ierápetra, Greece
2026-04-24 03:18:53 (UTC)
12.8 km
5.6
140 km E of Noda, Japan
2026-04-21 18:44:12 (UTC)
35.0 km
5.7
Balleny Islands region
2026-04-21 10:30:27 (UTC)
10.0 km
5.5
35 km WNW of Pante Makasar, Timor Leste
2026-04-21 03:17:07 (UTC)
77.2 km
5.6
113 km E of Miyako, Japan
2026-04-20 08:32:46 (UTC)
24.5 km
7.4
100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan
2026-04-20 07:53:00 (UTC)
35.0 k
2026-04-27 04:06:52
8 Total
2026-04-28 18:56:45
[link removed] well well well ; at the end he was not reliable source
2026-04-29 21:52:34
[link removed] 36:07
2026-04-29 21:53:08
[link removed] gg
2026-04-29 22:51:28
None
2026-04-30 20:14:25
its done, seel while you still can
2026-05-01 01:39:38
[link removed] German Press
2026-05-01 01:39:53
Trump insults Merz for something he didn't say.
2026-05-01 01:42:16
Politico: Trump slams German Chancellor Merz over Iran
2026-05-01 01:46:09
Trump's insult about Germany's economy is what the White House reaches for when it has no answer. [link removed]
2026-05-02 17:13:14
Constitución Federal, Artículo 116: Establece que los gobernadores son electos por un periodo de seis años y que su mandato solo termina por conclusión del periodo, revocación de mandato o falta absoluta (muerte, renuncia calificada o destitución por juicio político). Una licencia no se clasifica como "falta absoluta". Federal Constitution, Article 116: Establishes that governors are elected for a six-year term and that their term ends only upon completion of the term, recall, or absolute vacancy (death, qualified resignation, or removal by impeachment). A leave of absence is not classified as an "absolute vacancy."
2026-05-02 17:21:30
According to the Political Constitution of the United Mexican States , a governor can be removed from office , but only under specific conditions, and there are mechanisms such as:
Impeachment
Declaration of origin (impeachment)
Disappearance of powers in a state.
Article 116 of the Mexican Constitution states that governors can be removed, but the specific procedures depend on the Constitution of each state.
2026-05-02 18:13:28
P4 – Too Early
Rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The only way Rocha Ceases to be Gov are: death, qualified resignation, or removal by impeachment
Leaves are NOT a resignation, most importantly, he will still have the immunity of the governor's office, which is what interests him.
P4 and probably P1 later, he will finish his period.
2026-05-02 18:29:02
temporary leave approved by congress. he did not resign
2026-05-02 23:14:54
The opinion of anyone here is worthless; everything is in the Mexican Constitution, and their attempt to force a resolution will not succeed. Rocha will be governor with or without a temporary leave of absence, since none of the constitutional grounds for ceasing to be governor have been met.
2026-05-02 23:19:04
He is a former minister, now a politician in Sheinbaum's government; his biased opinion is worth the same as that of any other politician. The opinion of anyone here is worthless; everything is in the Mexican Constitution, and their attempt to force a resolution will not succeed. Rocha will be governor with or without a temporary leave of absence, since none of the constitutional grounds for ceasing to be governor have been met.
2026-05-02 23:37:08
There are constitutional requirements for him to cease being governor and a temporary leave of absence is not among the grounds, therefore he remains with immunity and in office until one of the constitutional requirements occurs, such as resignation, serious abandonment, impeachment or removal by [link removed] interim governor's position is also governed by the constitution.
2026-05-02 23:55:20
And he still is governor
2026-05-02 23:55:37
Licencia temporal. Look it up
2026-05-04 13:40:29
1
2026-05-04 13:41:06
1. M 6.0 - 5 km WNW of Nena, Philippines
2026-05-04 15:44:32
2. M 5.7 - 2 km SE of Zocoteaca de León, Mexico
2026-05-06 14:28:33
6
2026-05-06 15:57:11
7
2026-05-08 13:44:53
8!
2026-05-08 18:56:53
That is why today, within the framework of the negotiating process mediated by the American side, we received Russia’s agreement to conduct a prisoner exchange in the format of 1,000 for 1,000. A ceasefire regime must also be established on May 9, 10, and 11. Ukraine is consistently working to bring its people home from Russian captivity. I have instructed our team to promptly prepare everything necessary for the exchange.
I thank the President of the United States and his team for their productive diplomatic involvement. We expect the United States to ensure that the Russian side fulfills these agreements.
Glory to Ukraine! [link removed] Its a YES
2026-05-08 18:58:50
None
2026-05-08 19:18:22
P2 YES –
Trump Statement: I am pleased to announce that there will be a THREE DAY CEASEFIRE (May 9th, 10th, and 11th) in the War between Russia and Ukraine.
[link removed]
Zelenskey Statement:
A ceasefire regime must also be established on May 9, 10, and 11. Ukraine is consistently working to bring its people home from Russian captivity. I have instructed our team to promptly prepare everything necessary for the exchange. I thank the President of the United States and his team for their productive diplomatic involvement. We expect the United States to ensure that the Russian side fulfills these agreements. Glory to Ukraine!
[link removed]
All Over the media:
BREAKING: President Trump announces a three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine starting May 9th, marking a historic halt in the conflict to coincide with Victory Day. "This Ceasefire will include a suspension of all kinetic activity, and also a prison swap of 1,000 prisoners from each Country. This request was made directly by me... Hopefully, it is the beginning of the end of a very long, deadly, and hard fought War."
Putin declared Ceasefire days ago (May 4th.)
Clear YES, Stop scamming
2026-05-08 19:21:48
diferent topic, he was talking about the parade on that one
2026-05-15 14:43:07
usgs: 6.7. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program ([link removed]
2026-05-15 14:52:02
Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. 只有通过广播或直播进行的发言才会计入本次市场的决议。
2026-05-15 14:59:08
朋友，请阅读规则。
2026-05-15 15:41:59
pre-recorded
2026-05-15 17:51:39
Powell’s second four-year term as chair of the Fed board ended Friday, two days after his successor, Kevin Warsh, was confirmed by the Senate as the bank’s next chief. [link removed]
2026-05-15 17:52:02
Jerome Powell, who stepped down this week as chair of the Federal Reserve, had his hits and misses. [link removed]
2026-05-20 15:47:27
Rules: A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify.
Video: [link removed]
50:34
The woman kissed Trump? Yes
Trump Kissed the woman? Yes, (you can argue about contact, but at least her hair touched trump lips)
The baby Video:
Ypu can argue with that shitty photo, but the video have better quality.
At this point arguing for No its insane. Trying to cuck the rules
2026-05-20 16:03:23
None
2026-05-22 18:18:51
8 So far:
5.6
173 km E of Atka, Alaska
2026-05-22 12:16:14 (UTC)
14.9 km
5.7
103 km SSE of Lorengau, Papua New Guinea
2026-05-22 10:08:19 (UTC)
10.0 km
5.9
113 km ESE of Bitung, Indonesia
2026-05-22 01:05:08 (UTC)
35.0 km
5.7
South Sandwich Islands region
2026-05-20 23:01:01 (UTC)
137.0 km
6.6
southern East Pacific Rise
2026-05-20 17:43:01 (UTC)
10.0 km
5.9
8 km E of Wadomari, Japan
2026-05-20 02:46:24 (UTC)
42.0 km
5.8
20 km ESE of Pampa de Tate, Peru
2026-05-19 17:57:54 (UTC)
56.5 km
5.7
51 km SSW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu
2026-05-19 02:29:24 (UTC)
27.0 k
2026-05-24 17:09:52
[link removed] : The US Military carried out a rare drill in Caracas on May 23, including operations NEAR the us Diplomatic Hq in the City. P2 YES
2026-05-26 20:45:25
this!
2026-05-28 00:46:12
Yt: 1:10:13 about Cuba? Is he has he Cuba? I guess not. That's crazy. He says about .. Greenland can not Cuba which is on the door. (This is a big NO)
2026-06-01 15:16:01
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data: People forgot that on-chain-data its avalaible and and supports the information from the 8-k form. They did sell btc, all the market rules are satisfied, N people are just trying to bend the rules
2026-06-01 15:16:26
yes
2026-06-01 21:11:01
P4 - Too Early.
Litigious is not a qualify insult. It is an adjective without positive or negative connotation.
2026-06-01 21:56:29
46k to 10c
2026-06-02 23:49:36
Dont Give Up, make noise, write in Uma Discord and social Media, keep buying Y, fight against corruption.
2026-06-03 00:03:12
Dont Give Up, make noise, write in Uma Discord and social Media, keep buying Y, fight against corruption. Project willo has begun.
2026-06-03 16:33:23
you have 15 Million dollars, what are you doing here? dumfuq
2026-07-02 15:11:30
EVIAN-LES-BAINS, France, June 17 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday he had spoken to Syria's leader about combatting Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon, a day after criticizing Israel for killing too many civilians and not getting the job done.
Asked at a Group of Seven summit in Evian-les-Bains, France, if he had talked to Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa about Hezbollah, Trump nodded and said "yes." Asked if Sharaa was willing to take on the Shi'ite armed group, Trump said he would talk about that later.
2026-07-14 21:52:31
Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi: Given all the actions the US has taken to dismantle the Islamabad MoU, the MoU effectively no longer exists. No country should expect Iran to continue implementing the terms of this memorandum.
2026-07-19 18:01:33
13
2026-07-22 20:58:54
Multiple strikes on camp doha (Kuwait) on 22.
2026-07-24 13:47:02
Kuwait’s army says the Abdali border crossing with Iraq was hit by a drone attack, causing material damage but no casualties. this one its the best for 23
2026-07-24 15:47:46
IRGC Claimed, and they claimed attacks every day for the past 10 days at least
2026-07-25 21:28:50
23 is confirmed by IRGC and Kuwait: Kuwait’s Defence Ministry said a drone attack hit the Abdali border crossing with Iraq, causing damage but no casualties. The crossing is the country’s main gateway for passenger and commercial traffic with Iraq.
2026-07-25 22:21:17
google it dumfk
2026-07-29 21:46:17
omg buy more
2026-07-30 04:41:07
Russian missile impact poland an hour ago
2026-07-30 16:02:18
Donald Tusk
@donaldtusk
·
2h
Last night, during the massive missile attack on Ukraine, one of the cruise missiles Kh-101 violated the Polish airspace and fell 50 km away from the town of Lublin. The missile was armed. In all probability it was Russian. I would like to thank all EU and NATO leaders for their solidarity and readiness to help.
2026-08-01 07:17:57
Kuwaiti air defenses are currently confronting hostile drone attacks following the sinful Iranian aggression.
The General Staff of the Army notes that any explosion sounds heard are the result of air defense systems intercepting the hostile attacks.
2026-08-01 21:57:00
Iranian drones are attacking and being intercepted over Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan. This is a YES for August 2
2026-08-02 04:39:05
NEWS : Video shows C-RAM air defense systems operating over Erbil, Iraq, overnight to counter incoming drone strikes. @InsidConflict this was today, Iran attacked Iraq
2026-08-15 16:45:50
12
2026-08-15 21:02:01
13
2026-08-17 21:36:57
October Sky, nice. Still a NO
2026-08-28 02:31:19
look the Grand Theft Auto VI Trailers on rockstar youtube page =)
2026-08-28 03:20:18
Check the Grand Theft Auto VI Trailers on rockstar youtube page =)
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for GTA VI is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Stop this nonsense