Account Information
Name:
tomatreides
Pseudonym:
Courteous-Turn
Created:
2024-02-23 21:00:03
Last Activity:
1 month ago
Tier:
Tier 0
Total Profit
$-6,467
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$0.00
Markets traded
227
Trades
227
Largest win
$1,614.64
Profile views
7
Join date
2024-02-23 21:00:03
All-time rank
3047278
All-time PnL
$-6,466.66
All-time volume
$319,146.02
All-time profit
$-6,466.66
Lifetime volume
$319,146.02
PnL series latest
$-6,466.66
PnL series start
$-6,466.66
PnL series points
22
Weighted volume
$1,380.72
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | Yes | 10672.28 | $1,614.64 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8362.542178999998 | $993.85 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season? | Yes | 3172.9 | $893.98 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'It Ends with Us' gross more than $44m on its opening weekend? | No | 5009.7 | $-2,730.32 |
| Iran military response by Monday? | Yes | 3402.9976 | $-2,520.79 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | No | 3719.08 | $-2,313.91 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | No | 5309.6638 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1,000.84 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | 6000 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-3,330.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? | Yes | 334 | $0.76 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-254.45 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 10000 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-80.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | 12499.8869 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-999.89 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | Yes | 10672.28 | $1,614.64 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8362.542178999998 | $993.85 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season? | Yes | 3172.9 | $893.98 |
| Will Kamala Harris go on SNL? | Yes | 1000 | $867.42 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season? | No | 2333 | $692.43 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | No | $0.19 | 5304.653818 | $1,040.57 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | No | $0.17 | 5.01 | $0.88 |
| 1 month ago | REDEEM | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | Yes | $0.00 | 1583.4301 | $1,583.43 | |
| 3 months ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? | Yes | $0.76 | 334 | $257.48 |
| 3 months ago | TRADE | SELL | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0.95 | 125.88 | $119.80 |
Recent trades (227)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | No | $0.19 | 5304.653818 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | No | $0.17 | 5.01 |
| 3 months ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? | Yes | $0.76 | 334 |
| 3 months ago | SELL | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0.95 | 125.88 |
| 3 months ago | BUY | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0.68 | 125.882141 |
Comments
2024-07-27 17:53:22
If she wins 3 does the 2 still resolve yes? Since she will have won at least 2, or is it 2 on the nose?
2024-07-29 16:09:47
You can literally look at all historical box office rankings of movies over 400M domestic, it's almost always a kids movie. Passion of the Christ is the highest Box Office R rated film of all time and that's 370M and it's literally JESUS. Deadpool 1 is #2 at 363M. 240M away from 600M and that was in the pre-streaming era. You all are delusional.
2024-07-29 16:36:09
If a movie is designed to sell action figures and create amusement park rides, it's a kids movie it's why they aren't Rated R, regardless of what you all think as adult fandoms. Ratings matter in the US. Here's the top 30 as we see it in the film industry: Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens (Kids), Avengers: Endgame(Kids), Spider-Man: No Way Home(Kids), Avatar(Kids), Top Gun: Maverick, Black Panther(Kids), Avengers: Infinity War(Kids), Titanic, Jurassic World (fringe), Barbie (fringe), The Avengers(Kids), Star Wars: Episode VIII - The Last Jedi(Kids), Inside Out 2 (Kids) Incredibles 2(Kids), The Lion King (2019)(Kids), Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, Finding Dory(Kids), Frozen II(Kids), Star Wars: Episode IX - The Rise of Skywalker(Kids), Beauty and the Beast (2017)(Kids), The Lion King (1994(Kids)), The Dark Knight, The Jungle Book (2016)(Kids), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (fringe), Frozen(Kids), American Sniper, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2(Kids), The Secret Life of Pets(Kids), Spider-Man(Kids), E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial(Kids), The Dark Knight Rises, Shrek 2(Kids)
2024-07-29 21:16:10
Sir, if I gave you a 70% chance that a plane would fall out of the sky would you get on it?
2024-07-30 05:02:14
54k on other is wild... unless you're just playing the swing when DeadPool drops
2024-07-30 16:50:52
yeah no shit.
2024-07-30 16:53:14
but honestly look at the slate: [link removed] theres nothing on here with a shot in HELL to do over 600k domestic. Lion King actually has the best chance, but it will resolve well into '25.
2024-07-31 22:50:15
INCREDIBLE thesis.
2024-08-04 23:58:48
there's no chance of other, and there's no chance for Dead Pool 3, and there's no other movie with a chance. It's IO2. Just take the free 25% return.
2024-08-05 16:43:44
it's not going to do that. Show me the R Rated comps. You all are hilarious.
2024-08-05 17:36:55
okay lol. sure... pump my bags lol. It's gonna do 480-520. Incredible success, but it's not catching IO2. You all live in a weird bubble, and clearly don't actually work in the film industry.
2024-08-06 01:58:53
It wont let me reply for some reason @nicekitty, I said 520 is possible, that's a great number. 550 would be incredible but it's not 91-94%.
2024-08-06 02:00:48
I hold the Joker shares... because I know how polymarket works, and when Dead Pool drops to 0, and Joker has a strong opening weekend, it will pump, and I'll sell. I don't in any way think any movie has any chance of beating inside out 2.
2024-08-07 17:19:42
Waiting for you all to capitulate that I've been right all along.
2024-08-08 02:35:14
4k on this wallet lol. Welcome to crypto champ.
2024-08-08 05:53:34
tracking has updated to 28-35, still not going over 44M : https://variety.com/2024/film/news/box-office-it-ends-with-us-blake-lively-ryan-reynolds-deadpool-wolverine-1236097424/
2024-08-08 14:53:45
Deal! also... honestly man this is all fun. Sorry for making the shit talking more direct. I personally want all these movies to crush, so I have more money to mess around with on here lol
2024-08-21 03:30:21
You played this... terribly... lol
2024-08-22 04:02:29
What's current count?
2024-08-22 04:06:42
honestly didn't know the post counter on the link was going to be real time. Thanks for the info.
2024-08-23 02:46:47
Where we at on the clock?
2024-08-23 17:51:44
I owe you 10... should I send to 0x814ad5cc094c16aae479c14a91152d5e671525ad ?
2024-08-23 18:06:13
I assume "Third World War" would count as "World War 3"
2024-08-24 14:31:19
Polymarket isn't available in the United States, unless you're admitting to bypassing their TOS and using this product in violation. You sure did write a lot of words though.
2024-08-26 16:46:20
Decent chance he uses the "backing out on ABC" as leverage to get a FOX debate.
2024-09-10 20:49:20
Timing is great... the business model wants more AUM, bridge more USDC to Poly and bid cowards.