Account Information
Name:
Giorgio2
Bio:
at least I am long on nasdaq
Pseudonym:
Natural-Intensity
Created:
2024-12-16 16:02:58
Last Activity:
2 weeks ago
Tier:
Bronze
profile-image-1598776-3ef6751d-3469-4958-86a9-a2f9a58c0bc3.png
Total Profit
$31,050
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$22,284.38
Markets traded
909
Trades
904
Largest win
$2,358.68
Profile views
642
Join date
2024-12-16 16:02:58
All-time rank
5360
All-time PnL
$31,050.39
All-time volume
$2,321,765.97
All-time profit
$31,050.39
Lifetime volume
$2,321,765.97
PnL series latest
$32,816.64
PnL series start
$32,903.82
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$3,194.13
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | Yes | 7540.5328 | $2,326.00 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 14747.8244 | $1,852.30 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 3348.659 | $1,353.92 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 20552.8781 | $-890.59 |
| Will JoĂŁo Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 2156.9252 | $-694.58 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | No | 49241.0991 | $-613.80 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3999.9966 | $0.56 | $0.56 | $2,230.00 | $-2.74 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2500.4493 | $0.77 | $0.78 | $1,937.85 | $2.11 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2000 | $0.50 | $0.79 | $1,581.00 | $581.00 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1500.0031 | $0.93 | $0.93 | $1,392.00 | $-3.00 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 1250 | $0.88 | $0.93 | $1,156.25 | $56.25 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | Yes | 7540.5328 | $2,326.00 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 14747.8244 | $1,852.30 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 3348.659 | $1,353.92 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 2728.5555 | $1,237.70 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by October 31? | Yes | 2747.0727 | $1,216.33 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.36 | 500 | $182.50 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.32 | 249.99 | $80.00 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0.63 | 250 | $157.50 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0.65 | 250 | $162.50 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0.66 | 3.18 | $2.10 |
Recent trades (904)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by September 30? | No | $0.55 | 10 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? | Yes | $0.69 | 30 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.55 | 71.96 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | No | $0.70 | 9 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | No | $0.66 | 125.57 |
Comments
2024-12-23 14:16:39
because he believe in it... Why not ? Is that such a remote possibility
2024-12-24 17:18:02
What is that pro tempore ? You mean a temporary speaker. But he would have to resign? Thanks
2024-12-28 14:03:45
Loool
2024-12-29 13:44:45
Well done Y holders
2024-12-29 18:54:06
https://x.com/chamberbeatz/status/1873441649281679665
2024-12-29 19:38:19
Guys, is this Dimitry Gordon really an insider? I see no leaks, nowhere.
2024-12-29 19:44:22
I know lol, but I see a couple of new ukrainian account buying yes
2024-12-29 21:14:51
This would show that polymarket is the future of news for real
2024-12-29 21:52:38
Some Y were No on: Trump launches a coin. Tells you everything you need to know lol.
2024-12-30 11:32:11
And they lived happily ever after
2024-12-30 19:01:33
Watch Car activity. Not a casino. Pure method.
2024-12-30 20:19:49
Guys you were actually serious ?
2024-12-31 11:19:05
At least 5%
2024-12-31 12:36:52
Big dispute. Lot of discussion because he might be in jail lately
2025-01-01 20:13:20
Are you german?
2025-01-03 14:03:38
When is the show starting?
2025-01-04 14:55:12
Good point @frankyuan. What would be the right level of risk to be worth it on Poly?
2025-01-05 14:16:27
Lmao
2025-01-05 14:35:03
It’s probably as simple as that indeed
2025-01-06 09:01:02
this should have been clarified long time ago lol
2025-01-07 14:40:16
this one is actually good for SPD
2025-01-09 16:50:38
it's obvisouly a typo
2025-01-10 15:51:54
Are you listening to the audio!? What are your thoughts
2025-01-10 17:52:25
https://x.com/NewsWire_US/status/1877772531425296882
2025-01-10 18:01:52
US Supreme Court signals it will likely uphold the TikTok ban in the US. A decision will likely be made next week -NYT
2025-01-13 13:57:36
https://x.com/EuropeElects/status/1878800943468429586
2025-01-14 14:53:14
True but the spirit of the bet is respected. Trump did finish this war.
2025-01-15 16:35:43
we will loose this but its going to be fun LOL
2025-01-16 14:40:51
He did it on the Gaza ceasefire, he can do the same think with Ukraine.
2025-01-16 15:28:31
tictoc
2025-01-16 23:56:08
I agree but I would love to hear more Y arguments
2025-01-17 00:01:08
Ok thanks
2025-01-17 14:39:28
Are you REAAADDDDDDYYYYYY???
2025-01-17 15:02:58
How are you guys so quick ?
2025-01-17 16:57:10
I think we will have to wait for 19th... Technically SCOTUS could still change its mind tomorrow
2025-01-17 22:26:57
Because it’s too early. SCOTUS could issue a second decision tomorrow. Just wait
2025-01-18 12:23:30
lol 20%. If Trump manage to get such a strategic asset in less than 1 year he will deserve his face on Mt Rushmore
2025-01-18 17:50:10
I think he is not aware. He was hacked too
2025-01-20 21:42:54
Sorry I am a noob, but If I understand well, there are 1 billion token (max supply) so the brackets are the same for the FDB in billion and the price of the token in dollar ?
2025-01-21 23:09:32
It’s crazy indeed. I bought yesterday at 96,9
2025-01-23 11:12:59
Putin loves a great shawarma
2025-01-23 15:08:51
+ CDU is actually decreasing
2025-01-23 22:07:32
As much as I would like it to happen in a couple of days, I think this would take more time to settle.
2025-01-23 22:37:52
96.3 nice fill lol
2025-01-24 10:52:55
Is it true that Syria has a 30 bn debt owned by Russia?
2025-01-24 14:01:43
If I was Al-Golani I might try to trade an extended stay in Tartous against a debt cancellation. How does this sound?
2025-01-24 20:32:14
https://x.com/populismupdates/status/1882874061501628585
2025-01-25 07:22:19
It’s from @Ft
2025-01-25 10:45:19
This finale is actually very good to watch
2025-01-25 22:03:50
Can you buy at 45 please Yes holders?
2025-01-26 08:34:55
Speedrun donation
2025-01-26 11:23:45
This guy is a machine
2025-01-26 13:20:59
Chemtrails too please
2025-01-28 11:22:09
chuuuutttttt..... :;)
2025-01-29 15:44:48
If Trevor can bang Taylor, he will also be able to win the Superbowl back to back
2025-02-03 21:09:21
Because trump is very umpredictable
2025-02-04 07:51:18
With Pep Genesio it’s possible
2025-02-04 13:11:56
Yes... And then you will have to manage 150 new resolutions without misclick to get your $750 back
2025-02-05 15:16:17
We love you America but you are so delusionnal it is actually kind of cute
2025-02-07 11:57:53
It's closed to be an opportunity
2025-02-10 17:15:44
Yes and to be honest there is a small case for Y but it was killed in the egg.
2025-02-10 19:54:46
Germans friends quick question: on election night, at what time the results are known? Are there leaks? What are the best websites (if possible in English) to track the results? Thanks!
2025-02-10 21:37:29
Thanks.
2025-02-11 15:46:20
Thanks it’s the same in France, but leaks are very easily accessible in Belgium’s or Swiss website.
2025-02-11 18:25:47
There are people with great pl on both sides
2025-02-12 11:52:46
Genuine question : is there any event in recent history where the IDF didn’t do as its suits them, and obeyed to external pressure while asking for the opposite?
2025-02-12 18:22:48
I don’t even see why is this considered racist
2025-02-13 22:29:10
Why the big drop? Polling, debate and attack? Isn’t that overreacting?
2025-02-16 08:00:12
Maybe publishing a sex tape between Elon and Melania would do the trick.
2025-02-18 17:49:49
“The most productive and fast growing part of the US economy”
2025-02-22 16:48:25
It’s time to ask for a clarification from Poly
2025-02-23 09:59:26
Odds maybe good indeed, but do you really think Elon Musk, who is now 100% part of the top US administration, will ban someone for speaking freely on the internet, one week after JD Vance lectured European government on free speech?
2025-02-23 09:59:58
I say Elon because the decision of banning Ye will probably be escalated to him.
2025-02-23 13:05:53
Yes but have you may have noticed things change quickly in our time
2025-02-23 14:19:08
Not a sure thing but the bar is high for Elon to ban him :)
2025-02-23 15:00:52
What do you think of this guys Denizz. Quite new on the topic but I have to say he delivered until now.
2025-02-23 17:57:16
lol of course they gave him 17 mio without making sure of that
2025-02-24 07:23:34
It's written Provisional result on the website. We need Final Results.
2025-02-24 07:59:48
If someone does that while results are provisional, he will loose $750 because it will be disputed in a second
2025-02-24 09:36:34
Thanks Buck
2025-02-24 09:57:28
they are dispute chaser on this website... Looking for an early proposal to dispute and win an easy $250
2025-02-24 09:57:59
GG all
2025-02-25 11:48:53
Guys if this is really settled on the 15 of march how far will it decrease till then? 98c?
2025-02-27 22:24:14
You have the right to remain silent. Anything you say can and will be used against you in a court of law.
2025-02-27 22:30:36
True :) Maybe he will low profile for 30 days though.
2025-02-28 13:12:17
Depends how long DJT keeps this F* tarriffs
2025-02-28 15:16:05
lol
2025-02-28 18:59:03
Of course not. Trump is surrounded by yes men who say amen to each of nonsense. He is just not used to someone telling him the truth
2025-02-28 18:59:37
I am there bro made a mistake
2025-02-28 18:59:47
Just bought more
2025-02-28 19:01:26
Peace and love bro
2025-03-01 14:03:49
LAmourEurope = FSB
2025-03-02 10:45:17
Why?
2025-03-06 15:23:43
Everything is crashing so the weight of Mag7 doesn't change lol
2025-03-07 08:55:02
As a Ukrainian what do you reckon is the probability for this market: https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025/ukraine-recognizes-russian-sovereignty-over-ukrainian-territory-in-2025?tid=1741337662388 ? For me, it's 0%
2025-03-07 12:36:52
Should be up today, nasdaq-100 futures are up, s&p down. The mag7 are not crashing faster than the market
2025-03-07 18:20:34
If we survive this repricing we will survive everything
2025-03-08 13:36:00
People I don’t know are offering me an espresso
2025-03-08 17:41:22
A ceasefire is a pause of fighting. It can happen quite quickly. A change of frontier is totally different. These issues can drag on for decades. Take Cyprus, Israel, even between allies like Austria and Italy. It takes years. IMHO chance for this to happen after such a bloodbath is litteraly zero.
2025-03-12 13:00:51
You need to watch it three times to make sure this is real. Not sure on what news Y people are reacting though
2025-03-12 16:29:37
This is the final red line. V. Zelensky.
2025-03-12 22:24:27
low liquidity. there is not enough bettors, so the price are very volatile
2025-03-13 16:32:41
What a surprise
2025-03-15 15:51:42
https://x.com/guyelster/status/1900934370656911563
2025-03-17 15:05:05
0x696e come back please
2025-03-18 12:17:34
Nooooooooooo
2025-03-18 14:20:00
How much time now ?
2025-03-21 14:05:27
It’s a no and its always a no
2025-03-21 18:24:02
What do you gain if you recognize that Crimea and Dumbass I are Russian. Nothing. Will it stop Russia from claiming more? No. Will it stop Russia from claiming war reparations. No. Will it embolden Russia to attack you again and ask for more territory and more recognition. Yes. Plus you insult the memory of the people who died diffending these territories.
2025-03-21 22:15:40
Thanks Denizz for giving me hope ;)
2025-03-21 22:22:59
Apparently.
2025-03-21 23:21:11
Daddy trump please hand this. And fast.
2025-03-24 07:59:21
Putin is a busy man. He can’t afford to talks to his assistants more than once in the month
2025-03-27 13:54:08
So they would announce it on Friday for Thursday right?
2025-03-27 14:06:29
Bet on this market and multiply the chance to be scammed by 5.
2025-03-27 18:18:12
Trapezoid you should stop bonding politics and try temperature market instead that’s safer
2025-03-28 09:37:53
delululu
2025-03-28 10:40:57
Congrats to no holders.
2025-03-31 19:21:54
Please fill me at 80
2025-04-01 06:35:14
For those interested: it’s as free money as you can get
2025-04-01 09:34:36
No it’s zero. An appeal this year is impossible. Talked about this with my brother (French’s lawyer) and friends. Even 2026 is far from likely.
2025-04-01 09:35:27
If Justice rushes
2025-04-01 10:10:59
That would be faster than light for France’s justice. Just to give you an idea: the procedure for MLP first process started in 2016. So 9 years for the first sentence.
2025-04-01 10:11:41
https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Affaire_des_assistants_parlementaires_du_Front_national_au_Parlement_europ%C3%A9en
2025-04-01 14:13:16
Last time they met, Zelensky was humiliated, lost 10 days of intelligence and military aid, which allowed the Russian army to retake Kousk.
2025-04-02 01:41:59
lol
2025-04-02 06:24:19
How dare you!?
2025-04-02 08:41:46
Can someone explain me the rationale for Y? Israel seems pretty determined to annex at least part of the enclave
2025-04-02 13:28:47
They will indeed. Paris cour d'appel announced yesterday that they plan to speed the process and reach an appeal decision during summer 2026: https://x.com/LCP/status/1907116422867697808
2025-04-02 16:41:43
You guys are crazy lol… where do you get all that cash
2025-04-03 20:07:11
It genuinely sound like a camera shutter
2025-04-04 02:50:51
Ahah
2025-04-04 10:22:30
Congratulations to South Korean for standing up for democracy. A new election will soon happen, and the people of Korea will have the final word.
2025-04-04 12:17:32
The drop in oil prices is actually bad for Russia and good for Ukraine. This is another master stroke from the stable genius to help Ukraine
2025-04-04 12:54:34
Trump: My policies will never change.
2025-04-04 14:54:50
Because if the stock market cool down a bit you will be able to resell quickly at 85c
2025-04-04 18:55:34
Never he is very stable
2025-04-04 21:06:13
He deserves the nobel of economy instead
2025-04-05 12:15:44
Because it’s a projection not a poll I guess?
2026-09-10 19:05:02
Liquidity is thin for such a consequential election…
2026-09-14 20:07:54
In France we say smash burger bro
2026-09-15 14:08:16
Honestly wondering why MLP is so cheap
2026-09-18 16:26:31
Tip: did you know that this bet is correlated with NATO * Russia Clash in 2027 ?
2026-09-19 14:37:08
I think this is the first time I've been this clueless about what I'm doing
2026-09-19 17:17:06
Seeing him cut his position in half made me nervous, but we'll see.
2026-09-19 20:43:23
He just bought back lol it’s done
2026-09-20 14:05:50
The most likely explanation is that Gopfan is Putin's alt.
2026-09-20 16:53:37
Proposing based on exit polls is a bit too much
2026-09-20 19:15:31
Putin run a great campaign to be honest, he deserves this win
2026-09-21 13:45:59
LULA = JOE BIDEN
2026-09-22 13:20:13
God has a special treatment in hell for the many politicians who don't know when it's time to leave the place for the younger generation
2026-09-22 14:03:58
Sa FV est de 60% mais vous le comprendrez bien assez tĂ´t
2026-09-22 19:15:15
Je sais pas si elle sera Ă©lu mais
2026-09-28 08:23:55
I could fuck with Clemence Guette if asked to
2026-09-28 13:45:16
I also think Flavio is slightly higher than 25% for toping the 1st round.
2026-09-29 09:42:50
Brazilians love betting, caĂŻpirinha and Flavio.
2026-09-29 09:50:59
it continues until new PM is appointed
2026-09-29 13:56:19
I do, also Jericoacoara, Rio and the old Selecao. Good luck for your election.
2026-09-30 08:01:06
Five years on and you still don’t understand Putin… Tsehhh
2026-10-02 11:45:02
Can you do that again Abkhauae?
2026-10-04 07:16:18
Le Lisnard Investment Fund a un succès qui se dément pas ;)
2026-10-04 13:26:15
I am a bit stressed tbh but let’s see what happens
2026-10-04 20:31:18
This is over bros
2026-10-04 20:38:53
Thanks for the picanha Lula's bros
2026-10-04 20:48:09
Lula's bros I put some exit liquidity for you at 92c if you want to exit.
2026-10-05 11:36:25
Yamal invited dwarf to his birthday, how classy is that
2026-10-09 09:04:42
nice play
2026-10-09 09:18:04
The guys who bought NO Navalnaya at the top have big balls and really deserve their payments.
2026-10-15 16:10:33
Again a disasterclass from myself in terms of swing trading selling high, etc...