Account Information
Name:
658658
Pseudonym:
Improbable-Reasoning
Created:
2024-07-09 20:14:16
Last Activity:
11 hours ago
Tier:
Tier 0
Total Profit
$2
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$3,098.54
Markets traded
36
Trades
36
Largest win
$7.06
Profile views
2
Join date
2024-07-09 20:14:16
All-time rank
630129
All-time PnL
$2.28
All-time volume
$17,996.32
All-time profit
$2.28
Lifetime volume
$17,996.32
PnL series latest
$0.72
PnL series start
$0.72
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$0.14
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 8.0645 | $7.06 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? | No | 25.3164 | $5.32 |
| Will another movie gross most in 2024? | No | 176.6922 | $1.69 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon Women's? | Yes | 15.2173 | $-7.00 |
| Bengals vs. Cowboys | Cowboys | 12.1212 | $-4.00 |
| Will the U.S. win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)? | Yes | 50 | $-2.00 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1004.016 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $999.50 | $-0.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1009.0816 | $0.99 | $0.99 | $999.50 | $-0.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1002.004 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $998.50 | $-1.50 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 51.7063 | $0.97 | $0.97 | $49.97 | $-0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.3251 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $20.29 | $0.29 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 8.0645 | $7.06 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? | No | 25.3164 | $5.32 |
| Will another movie gross most in 2024? | No | 176.6922 | $1.69 |
| Will Harry Kane be Euro 2024 top scorer? | No | 11.3574 | $1.36 |
| Will Jude Bellingham be Euro 2024 top scorer? | No | 11.2222 | $1.22 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 hours ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.99 | 1009.081666 | $1,000.63 |
| 11 hours ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | $1.00 | 1004.016 | $1,000.28 |
| 11 hours ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | $1.00 | 1002.004 | $1,000.14 |
| 11 hours ago | TRADE | BUY | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.97 | 51.706303 | $50.00 |
| 11 hours ago | TRADE | BUY | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | $0.93 | 13.978485 | $13.00 |
Recent trades (36)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 hours ago | BUY | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.99 | 1009.081666 |
| 11 hours ago | BUY | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | $1.00 | 1004.016 |
| 11 hours ago | BUY | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | $1.00 | 1002.004 |
| 11 hours ago | BUY | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.97 | 51.706303 |
| 11 hours ago | BUY | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | $0.93 | 13.978485 |
Comments
2026-10-14 11:03:05
A border alert doesn't establish a clash