Account Information
Name:
Mr-Krabs
Bio:
Unhand that penny or the arm comes off
Pseudonym:
Scratchy-Loading
Created:
2024-10-15 14:36:59
Last Activity:
1 month ago
Tier:
Bronze
profile-image-910126-d2276d14-6610-485b-b1f8-bfbe355a2ce0.jpeg
Total Profit
$60,614
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$46,068.24
Markets traded
769
Trades
769
Largest win
$16,938.64
Profile views
3,885
Join date
2024-10-15 14:36:59
All-time rank
3106
All-time PnL
$60,614.06
All-time volume
$8,627,274.13
All-time profit
$60,614.06
Lifetime volume
$8,627,274.13
PnL series latest
$60,614.06
PnL series start
$61,459.38
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$5,205.01
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 32922.8274 | $16,938.64 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 50487.4324 | $9,561.16 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 16227.5344 | $8,639.50 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 28487.8694 | $-16,160.50 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | No | 16124.455 | $-12,525.40 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 68564.9661 | $-12,027.38 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 10000 | $0.72 | $0.77 | $7,650.00 | $470.01 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | Yes | 6711.7928 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $6,708.44 | $332.24 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 8707.21 | $0.74 | $0.69 | $5,964.44 | $-467.92 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 6936.0766 | $0.78 | $0.81 | $5,583.54 | $167.26 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 7993.5248 | $0.64 | $0.68 | $5,395.63 | $309.98 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 32922.8274 | $16,938.64 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 50487.4324 | $9,561.16 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 16227.5344 | $8,639.50 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | 88116.461 | $8,221.03 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 21398.0026 | $5,877.87 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | MAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 22.7724 | $22.77 | |||
| 1 month ago | REWARD | $0.00 | 1.6768 | $1.68 | |||
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | $0.70 | 2985 | $2,089.50 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | $0.70 | 15 | $10.66 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | $0.67 | 25.454544 | $17.05 |
Recent trades (769)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | BUY | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | $0.70 | 15 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | $0.80 | 1774 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | Yes | $0.86 | 972.52 |
| 1 month ago | SELL | Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long? | No | $0.92 | 1287.19 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long? | No | $0.85 | 1287.19 |
Comments
2025-02-15 13:46:59
Putin will not agree to a ceasefire as long as heâs winning and EU & US are divided. He might say he is, but will only agree to his terms.
2025-02-15 13:48:37
Why would Putin agree to a ceasefire then? If he believes he can take more territory
2025-02-25 09:54:51
It seems this one is slowly trading away to the noâs. Support for Ukraine across the EU is ramping up, in part following Trumpâs remarks to Zelenskyâs political status. In addition the Russians said they will only accept a deal on their terms. July/end of year market still in the trade, but this one increasingly unlikely..
2025-03-02 17:17:18
How so?
2025-03-02 20:30:23
Thanks wouldnât that still classify as âgovernmentâ though?
2025-03-11 18:21:53
Are they talking about a ceasefire on all grounds or just air and sea?
2025-03-24 16:39:28
Riyadh talks turning out to being big nothing burger
2025-03-24 17:31:41
150 to zero challenge
2025-03-27 22:52:30
They couldn't even agree details on sea ceasefire.. so yeah its not going anywhere
2025-04-23 15:41:06
They just admitted they were wrong.. voting yes would be plain stupid
2025-05-10 12:33:43
Putin is feeling extremely bullish after 9th May Parade, no way heâll accept to a ceasfire
2025-05-14 20:23:43
They send Medinsky lol
2025-05-20 13:39:09
Forget the newsflow, best indication where odds are going is KnurKnume posts frequency (none)
2025-05-30 20:35:50
Time Square organisation confirmed the statue will be removed on the Evening of the 14th.
2025-05-30 20:35:59
[link removed]
2025-05-30 20:36:55
They confirmed per email statue will be removed at the evening of the 14th. [link removed]
2025-05-30 20:39:36
Feel free to email yourself: info@[link removed]. They are quite responsive
2025-06-02 16:32:53
Some votes on a random Twitter poll, looks legit
2025-06-11 17:37:47
No learn to read the order book.. simply irrational traders buying above market price
2025-06-12 13:37:32
Thats not what I meant with irrational traders. Whenever the price drops due to ppl who donât understand how illiquid order books work you keep thinking its volume trading lol
2025-06-15 00:07:46
Well played
2025-06-15 02:49:41
The statue has been removed. [link removed]
2025-06-22 09:33:40
Think of it this way: with the stakes/risks involved, would POTUS approve the strike if his military leadership puts the probability of success at ~60%?
2025-06-22 09:36:45
If not, weâll await satellite images and US administration leaks for news outlets to reports
2025-07-08 19:42:17
This guy is all over the place..
2025-07-30 16:09:19
Take the exit liquidity
2025-08-04 15:21:21
That because nothing much will happen - next few weeks will primarily be focused on aid
2025-08-06 20:28:48
Dead cat bounce
2025-08-13 15:07:42
Not that establishing a âhumanitarian corridorâ to supply the Druze with aid would count to resolve this market. But the meeting has in any case been postponed: [link removed]
2025-08-13 16:16:23
Likely next week. Not confirmed yet
2025-08-20 15:06:41
He is constantly off camera and in a glamping tent with AC.. the spirit of this market is entirely lost
2025-08-23 00:48:41
Its actually impressive how literally all of his bets are down
2025-08-24 15:03:55
It disintegrated by itself.. with some debris falling down
2025-08-24 15:16:26
That happened before reaching israeli territory. Just some debris reached a house. A successful cluster bomb would have caused way more damage
2025-08-24 15:45:56
Times of israel: â the missile apparently broke up in mid-air during its descent some four and a half hours later.â
2025-08-24 15:56:06
Ynet: â The IDF said that the missile âlikely broke apart in midairâ
2025-08-26 22:19:02
Did anyone find when he said shit?
2025-09-14 17:01:02
POTUS is not willing to do it for now unless NATO members stop buying Russian oil
2025-09-14 19:11:43
They are just enforcing existing sanctions. Nothing new
2025-09-14 20:14:28
Its just enforcement against companies that are breaching existing trade restrictions / sanctions. Nothing new.
2025-09-14 20:43:15
Literally says they exported without the "necessary permits"
2025-09-14 20:44:59
These entities are essentially all sanctions evading companies
2025-09-14 21:09:02
Ofc some Tier 2 Ukrainian website would like to spin this as a W..
2025-09-15 18:51:39
Not sure why people keep pumping. The list simply identifies and enforces on entities evading export controls and sanctions. Its nothing new.
2025-09-16 10:26:12
Same doc and effective date (12 September) but just posted in the federal register. Nothing new again
2025-09-16 12:40:02
Gg. Looking forward to the post-portem, if you do one, sir
2025-09-17 21:51:12
Share source?
2025-09-23 06:48:41
Day 6 - Miles will fire up his generator anytime now!
2025-09-25 15:18:07
To yes holders: Milesâ generator is almost up and running, hold in there
2025-09-25 19:53:21
BIG Announcement: Al Sharaa and Netanyahu might speak
2025-09-26 14:09:01
GG
2025-09-26 15:03:47
[link removed]
2025-09-26 15:03:57
Report: Talks on Syria-Israel security pact stall over humanitarian corridor demand
2025-09-28 12:13:33
The Lord shall return! (After this market resolves)
2025-11-12 20:11:35
Those were strikes in international waters. Different legal base than land strike on a sovereign nation
2025-11-18 16:51:34
The fact this is trading lower than the price before UN resolution passed is wild
2025-11-18 19:17:49
Classic pump and dump Car disputing last min
2025-11-18 19:28:07
[link removed]
2025-12-05 08:46:35
The counting at this rate is such a snooze fest
2025-12-05 18:38:31
What's the pump for?
2025-12-05 18:49:29
Welcome aboard
2025-12-05 18:59:05
Partially yes
2025-12-11 14:06:38
Thanks for playing
2025-12-26 20:46:27
Cope. You blew your monthly pnl on a single trade
2025-12-29 15:32:55
Is there an argument for P4 here?
2026-01-05 14:31:33
This will be a replay of how they handled the 48hrs report for the strike on Soleimani: [link removed]
2026-01-05 14:43:34
Probably wont be before the meeting this evening
2026-01-05 15:06:27
Sure - striking a sovereign nation and exposing servicemen to hostilities is a routine DEA law enforcement action
2026-01-29 17:48:03
Bond alert
2026-01-30 03:00:08
The nearly 40% delta in odds between funding lapse market and this is wild. OPM that unlikely to update status page?
2026-02-15 14:02:51
"The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting."
2026-02-28 18:06:31
[link removed]
2026-03-02 19:29:53
âCurrent reduced crossings are due to risk aversion rather than effective closureâ, quoted in WSJ by Max Layton Citigroup Global Head of Commodities Research
2026-03-02 21:34:54
Iranian propaganda wonât pass the UMA Overlord
2026-03-04 15:25:52
7D moving avg. will show a 80% m-o-m decrease this weekend, argument for NO holders saying it doesnât qualify as âdirect result of Iran actionsâ are weak IMO
2026-03-05 17:23:14
Good call - why fall for all the propaganda out there
2026-03-05 18:51:48
Seems a lot of ships transiting at night with AIS off
2026-03-10 13:30:20
Proposal whitelist needs to be reviewed..
2026-04-02 16:12:54
Another bailout pump by Scotty
2026-04-15 07:30:51
Mr-Krabs approves
2026-04-15 15:40:32
âHumanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this marketâ
2026-04-26 22:19:29
PnLmaxxing
2026-04-30 15:28:11
Whale furnace
2026-06-17 15:53:01
Old
2026-06-24 10:05:47
He always changes his mind next day
2026-07-19 22:47:29
He walked off before lift
2026-07-29 12:30:32
Nop
2026-08-27 19:11:43
gg
2026-09-05 19:58:02
Putin's Dacha is a Y
2026-09-17 04:36:18
Whats the argument for Y here at this point, enlighten me
2026-09-24 22:07:57
The Copium is real on this market
2026-09-29 21:19:07
Hahahha