Account Information
Name:
Darvin777
Pseudonym:
Quick-Ligand
Created:
2024-11-16 09:18:36
Last Activity:
1 week ago
Tier:
Tier 0
profile-image-1427171.webp
Total Profit
$-19,255
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$225.52
Markets traded
39
Trades
39
Largest win
$3,754.76
Profile views
147
Join date
2024-11-16 09:18:36
All-time rank
3088063
All-time PnL
$-19,255.20
All-time volume
$1,043,507.86
All-time profit
$-19,255.20
Lifetime volume
$1,043,507.86
PnL series latest
$-19,211.55
PnL series start
$-19,140.33
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$1,544.14
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 5925 | $3,758.76 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 3997.3002 | $1,424.17 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | Yes | 852.9189 | $378.64 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 81003.4095 | $-6,574.58 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | Yes | 37900.8792 | $-4,438.64 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Yes | 231819.0811 | $-1,903.64 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | 2078.5255 | $0.17 | $0.11 | $225.52 | $-125.48 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? | Yes | 2210.4869 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-177.00 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | Yes | 3016.9495 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-620.00 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | Yes | 4381.6807 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-40.99 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 12497.046 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-499.99 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 5925 | $3,758.76 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 3997.3002 | $1,424.17 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? | Yes | 852.9189 | $378.64 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 909.0909 | $-17.58 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | Yes | 753.0082 | $-18.83 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | $0.15 | 236.415837 | $35.00 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | $0.01 | 2940.89 | $36.01 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | $0.15 | 606.253332 | $89.00 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0.02 | 4076.03 | $89.17 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | $0.16 | 555.6 | $87.00 |
Recent trades (39)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | BUY | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | $0.15 | 236.415837 |
| 1 week ago | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | $0.01 | 2940.89 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | $0.15 | 606.253332 |
| 1 week ago | SELL | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0.02 | 4076.03 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | $0.16 | 555.6 |
Comments
2024-11-21 09:26:05
Liverpool wins this, come back to it next year
2024-11-21 19:33:24
RIP
2024-11-21 20:12:24
Your new to crypto if you speak with such certainty
2025-04-04 15:12:57
Trump has mentioned a couple of weeks several times, and there have also been reports in the media that by April 20, the pressure from the US will be stronger and stronger to end the fire! This is logical, the Great Holiday and Trump will become a peacemaker, Zelensky is ready for a deal and also stated that in the next couple of weeks everything might be over, I would give the Russians a 25-30% chance.
2025-04-04 18:05:27
Remember the New Year, before the holiday, Zelensky was offered a ceasefire, but he refused, now the situation is different, the increase in shelling and other active factors indicate a storm before the calm
2025-04-06 12:09:41
let's listen to the people around Trump, Tymoshenko is too small a figure to know or decide anything
2025-04-06 16:05:53
Today, President Zelensky expressed his indignation at Moscow's refusal to agree to a full ceasefire and is waiting for the US reaction. Marco Rubio also stated that there are certain deadlines for ending the hot phase, and we will not let time drag on. Russia clearly knows that negotiations are coming soon, and is taking the maximum price.
2025-04-06 16:13:42
yes exactly friend, I think this market is good to take risks
2025-04-06 16:16:33
I will fight to the end and whatever happens, we have chances, although not significant, but politics is an unpredictable thing, I hope luck is with us
2025-04-06 20:20:56
25000)
2025-04-19 17:53:47
Trump and Putin's move, Zelensky is in trouble, he either agrees right now, or it will be very bad, so this market will decide today with 70-80% Yes
2025-04-19 18:41:59
🦅🦅🦅
2025-04-19 18:45:14
There will be a video of Zedensky's address soon, we only need his word. We support!
2025-04-19 19:17:05
anxiety relief Kiev
2025-04-19 19:18:55
anxiety relief
2025-04-19 19:43:37
Nooo
2025-04-19 19:52:20
Ukraine's airspace is clean
2025-04-19 20:57:14
Where is our money?)
2025-04-20 09:53:52
friends, don't worry, we just need everyone in the world to recognize now that this was a step towards a ceasefire and a peaceful settlement, the ceasefire will continue, we will wait for Trump's statements)
2025-04-20 09:57:43
appeal to the staff and administrators, on your part, changing the market conditions before closing is an open fraud, the parties accepted each other's offers, the market was already at its peak of 70-75%, what is the problem?
2025-04-20 09:59:01
otherwise we all file an appeal and write (complaints in support) come on friends!!! we deserve this money
2025-04-20 10:03:17
Now Trump will wake up and blow your brains out, against those who are not in favor of recognizing the truce))))
2025-04-20 10:07:55
Zelensky: Ukraine reacted rudely to Russia's proposal for a ceasefire! and proposes to continue after Easter!!! What's the problem?
2025-04-20 10:08:57
Maybe it's necessary for the devil Zelensky to record a separate video address for Polimarket?
2025-04-20 10:14:52
additional context: don't bet money! you'll lose anyway
2025-04-20 10:52:32
Tonight, an extension of the ceasefire will be announced, this will be enough for us. Yes, Trump and his administration will take the opportunity to announce that they put peace on Easter, Russian TASS writes that Kyiv supported Putin's initiative, guys, where is the money? How long do we have to wait?
2025-04-20 10:56:15
and now a quote for the admins, If there is an extension of the ceasefire? then it means it was!
2025-04-20 11:07:45
We have 2 days for the world to confirm, Zelensky wants to hold on to power while Trump sleeps, but soon he will get a call to recognize peace, peace)
2025-04-20 12:19:34
The next 48 hours will be decisive in this market, the situation will continue and will be counted when world leaders say that they recognize the transition of the Easter ceasefire to full or, as Zelensky says, for 30 days, also Trump's statements "We are glad that the parties have ceased fire and are ready for diplomacy" will give +
2025-04-20 12:28:09
If an official statement appears today or tomorrow, which can be interpreted as “the end of the war” or “the continuation of the ceasefire, which actually means the cessation of hostilities,” the arbitrators may decide the market for “Yes.”
2025-04-23 18:27:32
Russia announced a ceasefire on April 19, and Ukraine supported it. This mutual ceasefire is exactly what the market describes. Changing the rules after the fact should not influence the decision.
2025-04-23 18:29:58
Why change the context after the events have already occurred? A ceasefire was declared and confirmed, and this should be taken into account. UMA should not support manipulations with market conditions and must make a decision based on the facts.
2025-04-23 18:31:52
The market had already risen to 60-70 cents, meaning!!! Polymarket acknowledged it as meeting the conditions, so it should be resolved reasonably.
2025-04-23 18:34:10
The fact that Zelensky responded in kind! Isn’t that an agreement?
2025-04-23 18:36:11
Zelensky said (in kind), meaning one of the market rules has been followed! Specifically, the announcement of the ceasefire (agreement).
2025-04-23 18:37:38
(mirrored)***
2025-04-23 19:51:49
Who even are you? At 0000, you’re nothing
2025-04-23 20:09:37
Zelensky says he’s ready for peace every day, and then he ruins everything
2026-04-11 10:02:43
☝️ Ukraine will adhere to the ceasefire regime and will act strictly in a reciprocal (mirror-like) manner. The absence of Russian strikes in the air, on land, and at sea will mean no response from our side, — Zelenskyy.
The president also stated that information about the reciprocal nature of actions and the possible extension of the ceasefire beyond Easter has been conveyed to the Russian side.
2026-08-06 07:47:32
Be joyful in hope, patient in affliction.” — Romans 12:12
2026-08-13 17:25:59
14th, but it’s 50/50
2026-08-17 13:13:06
Regardless of whether it wins or loses, I wish everyone good luck, friends. May logic or unpredictability prevail.