Account Information

Name: KariSpice
Address: 0x08ab85cd4836e0cf068594a49ab8dc732c3a3af9
Address: 0x7babad8fd1d1924470be71e0663a0ddabd2926df ↗️
Pseudonym: Few-Mistake-Spice
Created: 2026-04-11 13:36:05
Last Activity: 2 weeks ago
Tier: Tier 0
X: @PolyARsize
Profile profile-image-7361608-2bc693ad-06aa-49f2-9f64-8abb197e0cf7.png
Total Profit $1,605

Stats

Portfolio value $15,086.10
Markets traded 576
Trades 573
Largest win $790.22
Profile views 33
Join date 2026-04-11 13:36:05
All-time rank 60613
All-time PnL $1,605.13
All-time volume $183,019.21
All-time profit $1,605.13
Lifetime volume $183,019.21
PnL series latest $1,967.25
PnL series start $1,993.96
PnL series points 24
Weighted volume $95.20
Geoblock allow No
Geoblock block No
Geoblock close-only No

Biggest wins & losses

Biggest wins

Market Outcome Size PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1949.99 $790.22
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? No 599.9174 $488.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 3799.9677 $481.77

Biggest losses

Market Outcome Size PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1599.98 $-720.99
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? Yes 599.991 $-462.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 5000 $-363.99

Open positions (5+)

Market Outcome Size Avg Now Value PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No 2000.0046 $0.92 $1.00 $1,995.00 $151.39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes 2699.9597 $0.62 $0.55 $1,483.63 $-202.72
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? No 1100 $0.90 $0.98 $1,080.75 $88.26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? No 999.9991 $0.90 $0.96 $962.50 $64.51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No 900 $0.90 $0.96 $866.25 $57.25

Closed positions (5+)

Market Outcome Size PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1949.99 $790.22
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? No 599.9174 $488.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 3799.9677 $481.77
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 5799.9984 $335.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 4000.45 $307.83

Recent activity (5+)

When Type Side Market Outcome Price Size USDC
2 weeks ago TRADE BUY Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? Yes $0.33 100 $34.55
2 weeks ago TRADE BUY Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? No $0.70 100 $70.00
2 weeks ago TRADE BUY Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes $0.05 10 $0.51
2 weeks ago TRADE BUY Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes $0.05 10 $0.52
2 weeks ago YIELD $0.00 0.0268 $0.03

Recent trades (573)

When Side Market Outcome Price Size
2 weeks ago BUY Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30? Yes $0.33 100
2 weeks ago SELL Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? Yes $0.00 53.56
2 weeks ago SELL Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes $0.84 10
2 weeks ago SELL Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes $0.67 70
2 weeks ago SELL Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? Yes $0.17 0.01

Comments

2026-05-15 19:07:58 What’s going on? Why did the dispute disappear? And what happens if Israel confirms it, but it’s already May 16 in Israel time? Can someone more experienced explain? Do NO holders still have hope? If so, what are the odds roughly, or is it basically over?
2026-05-15 19:49:10 So what happens now if the dispute is gone and nobody disputes it again? Will it just close at 23:59 as “Yes”?
2026-05-15 20:23:45 thx for the answer!
2026-05-19 16:44:46 Can you explain the range of 40-59? Is it safe to buy No. 1 or am I missing something? Or should the number of boxes be in this range?
2026-05-22 23:32:56 DISPUTE111
2026-05-22 23:37:26 Do we finally have a chance here? Or is someone about to hit 'propose' and ruin it all over again?
2026-05-23 18:14:53 Whats going on ???
2026-05-23 21:03:22 Everyone is saying that the strait is open. Could you please check the latest news and tell me where this information is coming from?
2026-05-24 11:04:53 The sources tell Al Arabiya that the next round of talks between the US and Iran could be held on June 5 Ist try&
2026-05-25 09:50:26 Could you please explain what your version is based on? According to the shipping companies' reports, there are no ships nearby. If I understand the rules correctly, they only count 'transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”)'. I just want to clear this up since I’m new to the maritime industry and want to understand these events better.
2026-06-22 17:50:06 i think coz IMF do not publish data for 15th
2026-06-23 19:57:06 what happen ?
2026-06-27 20:42:36 Hey guys, can anyone explain the situation with Vucic's announcement? Since he officially announced his resignation on June 27, shouldn't this resolve to YES immediately? What's the hold-up or the catch here?
2026-06-29 22:16:48 PortWatch Update Notice: Due to a temporary issue accessing AIS data from the UN Global Platform, the scheduled PortWatch update on June 30 at 9:00 AM ET will be delayed. Updates will resume once data access is restored. What do you think—when will the report be released? And how might it affect things, and in whose favor?
2026-06-30 11:22:56 Could you tell me when this market closes?
2026-08-02 02:14:48 Does anyone know what happened? Where did all the limit orders go? There were 100k+ orders in the order book, and now it's almost empty. Did I miss some news?
2026-08-02 02:44:09 Something is definitely happening. The "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?" market just jumped from 60¢ to 90¢. Does anyone know what's going on?
2026-08-02 02:56:19 Thanks, I'd really appreciate it. I've been checking everywhere too, but so far everything seems quiet.
2026-08-02 03:39:04 Thanks, I just read his Social post.
2026-09-18 23:12:21 На этом рынке азарта по больше чем на Fed ))
2026-09-19 20:14:04 go go go )))
2026-09-20 13:05:36 According to the news, the airspace has been closed, so why is the market so active? Are we just waiting for someone to press the button?
2026-09-28 07:54:45 Why are you so confident? What is your point, if you don't mind me asking?
2026-09-28 15:16:52 Yeah, but even the news is partly just relying on someone else's opinion. I agree overall, though.
2026-09-29 20:18:05 He really stirred things up in this market. Who pressed the button ))) What now? Should we expect a dispute, or how do you think things will unfold?
2026-09-29 23:02:17 not sure this is a clean P2 yet rules need 2 things: official announcement from Iran that the fee is being / will be implemented + credible reporting that collection actually started Sep17 Reuters/Treasury is strong evidence but Treasury says Hormuz Safe received payments “since June”. this market opened Aug7 so that proves payments existed, but by itself doesnt prove qualifying collection started inside this market window also prong 1 is still questionable. the source people use is committee approval of an article in a draft bill. Tasnim on Sep27 says the committee only finished reviewing the bill and it still has to go through parliament. why does that count as an official govt announcement that the fee is being or will definitely be implemented? plus the Aug31 market had basically the same rules and resolved NO if anyone has a post-Aug7 source proving both official implementation announcement + actual mandatory collection after market open pls link it. thats the proof im missing maybe im missing something or reading the rules wrong, if so can someone explain where exactly?
2026-10-02 06:23:27 Why isn't November being added?
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