Account Information
Name:
polmar001
Pseudonym:
Bite-Sized-Fen
Created:
2024-11-19 12:09:10
Last Activity:
2 weeks ago
Tier:
Bronze
profile-image-1442561-d3dd7566-ab3c-4ffd-9a04-9884f4c50769.jpg
Total Profit
$3,874
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$23,227.95
Markets traded
58
Trades
58
Largest win
$2,734.94
Profile views
209
Join date
2024-11-19 12:09:10
All-time rank
31027
All-time PnL
$3,874.42
All-time volume
$609,008.35
All-time profit
$3,874.42
Lifetime volume
$609,008.35
PnL series latest
$5,184.01
PnL series start
$5,071.74
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$15,775.18
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? | No | 15139.1973 | $2,734.94 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 14751.0534 | $2,082.95 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 13694.2803 | $1,840.33 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | No | 5156.4315 | $-2,996.93 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | Yes | 13624.72 | $-1,809.45 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? | No | 26958.2421 | $-1,164.78 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 7765.5413 | $0.95 | $0.93 | $7,241.37 | $-116.14 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 5390.22 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $5,376.74 | $687.26 |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2511.6676 | $0.93 | $0.94 | $2,373.53 | $35.26 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2607.5282 | $0.85 | $0.81 | $2,099.06 | $-130.50 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3200 | $0.63 | $0.65 | $2,064.00 | $48.00 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? | No | 15139.1973 | $2,734.94 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 14751.0534 | $2,082.95 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 13694.2803 | $1,840.33 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 7507.5927 | $1,512.70 |
| Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | No | 5041.8814 | $754.33 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.9626 | $0.96 | |||
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | $0.96 | 380.52 | $367.20 |
| 2 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.9613 | $0.96 | |||
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | $0.97 | 199.99 | $192.93 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | $0.70 | 2820 | $1,974.00 |
Recent trades (58)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | $0.96 | 380.52 |
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | $0.97 | 199.99 |
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | $0.70 | 2820 |
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | $0.84 | 216.98 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | $0.71 | 2820 |
Comments
2024-11-19 12:11:32
kim jong un would just put all his money here and detonate his nuclear on 25th dec as his christmas present
2024-12-10 11:51:31
Luigi's father would see this and tell him to say black lives matter and mcdonald's
2025-02-23 14:42:08
fun fact: elon is promoting afd essencially to get free money from cdu\csu bet 😂
2025-10-08 17:55:49
hamas has stopped receiving money from qatar. now they're earning money here by betting their actions
2025-11-05 09:30:01
when will this pol closed?
2025-11-05 09:50:04
you won?
2025-12-29 16:03:43
"If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Stranger Things: Season 5" will count toward resolution." Be careful my dear all friends
2025-12-31 02:38:41
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Can someone explain this? What if someone unconscious after the battle?
2025-12-31 03:43:40
Happy New Year All!
2026-01-01 01:16:09
@TylerTurden 🍻
2026-01-01 02:12:24
Happy New Year all!
2026-01-01 02:29:39
killing Steve? want the duffer brother's houses terrorrized by steve fans?? OFC NO. killing Will right after coming out? do the duffer's really hate gay that much?? OFC NO. Killing Jonahthan? you wouldn't want to make Will in sadness & anxiety again like season 1.
2026-01-01 02:33:02
jess ppl realy need to learn to differentiate which one is real which one is mocking
2026-01-07 13:56:31
jezz i thougt the "who will die" will be the last free money. i think i would deposit again for this
2026-01-07 14:22:09
wait . I haven't bought the shares 🤣🤣
2026-01-07 14:37:09
if you can hide that red mark 97k beside your name that'd be a great strategy!🤣
2026-01-07 15:31:04
and when I'm back to Chicago I feel it.. another version of me I was in it... whooo
2026-01-07 16:08:04
[link removed]
2026-01-15 10:36:58
episode 9 mike and el get married guys stay tuned
2026-01-15 10:56:52
mille and fin are in a shooting proccess guys they are in iceland now
2026-01-16 18:02:57
I just learned that you can get profit by buying impossible bet. Look for impossible bet that has long resolution time like this one. buy using limit order when it's hype. when the hype is over, no one buys anymore, they start selling because they realize 2028 is still way too long, and the yes holder get reasonable gain like this guy "risk-manager" on betting yes on Kim
2026-01-17 11:28:09
stay tune guys. conformity gate tomorrow will be released!
2026-01-18 07:03:16
this bettting teachs me about the importance of liquidity
2026-01-29 06:17:01
thanks god i have left earlier!! who wants 10% a year when you can get 90% a year on gold!
2026-04-03 14:52:38
if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency
what if he says he will resign but he's not resigning?
2026-04-17 13:22:40
Anyone wants a bottle of woo'aa? ah forgot every arsenal fan has it!
2026-05-18 10:22:39
there will be many people sell all their assets to put here on Yes and try to kill him
2026-07-10 05:23:17
this is crazy. this is love scamming of stranger things
2026-07-14 17:52:51
France VS Spain is the REAL GRAND FINAL. I wouldn't watch shitty fake final later on.
2026-07-25 19:24:29
what if he says he will resign satirically or jokingly?
2026-08-20 10:50:26
I understand your wish my dear friend , but our president will not do that
2026-09-01 17:05:14
your winrate is only 66.3%, hard to trust ya
2026-09-26 12:48:55
Gadi won't be able to build a government
2026-09-28 14:02:42
As much as I hate Bibi, he will be appointed anyway. Gadi will fail like previous opposition
2026-09-28 14:04:28
"This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election."
if no one is sworn? No for all???
2026-09-28 14:11:50
I still don't understand the rule , can somebody tell me?
2026-09-30 06:23:14
how are you so confident that he is going to be sworn again
2026-09-30 10:19:51
you don't hate hamas?
2026-09-30 10:21:30
Netanyahu is inevitable
2026-09-30 10:29:40
I super hate bibi
2026-09-30 10:30:11
Free PL
2026-09-30 15:34:06
I'm gonna all in against bibi cz I hate bibi
2026-10-04 08:30:18
bibi is just inevitable
2026-10-04 08:31:07
the plan works
2026-10-05 06:44:33
if you have insider information could you please tell me? ❤️ bibi
2026-10-06 14:07:10
just release 1 Palestinian on a flight to Jerusalem and bibi s gonna win
2026-10-08 11:31:19
Benjie will win
2026-10-10 16:11:22
wtf why benji dropping?
2026-10-12 12:57:25
come on benjie!
2026-10-12 15:40:02
you're not israeli if you don't put your money on bibi!
2026-10-15 10:54:47
the fuck happened?
2026-10-15 11:28:00
can somebody tell me what just happened!