Account Information
Name:
StupidMonkeyyy
Pseudonym:
Agitated-Jalapeño
Created:
2025-08-31 15:08:26
Last Activity:
1 month ago
Tier:
Silver
profile-image-3308449-6cc3c669-f52d-46d5-b2b5-c17006fddf71.png
Total Profit
$8,926
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$53,667.90
Markets traded
361
Trades
361
Largest win
$3,519.15
Profile views
230
Join date
2025-08-31 15:08:26
All-time rank
16729
All-time PnL
$8,926.16
All-time volume
$4,369,779.25
All-time profit
$8,926.16
Lifetime volume
$4,369,779.25
PnL series latest
$8,926.16
PnL series start
$5,263.99
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$29,075.26
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | No | 9500.9667 | $3,506.12 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 16722.48 | $2,840.03 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | No | 6598.502 | $2,474.83 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| France vs. England: France O/U 2.5 | Under | 4627.7188 | $-2,805.35 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | No | 6737.5853 | $-2,524.49 |
| Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks | Hurricanes | 116417 | $-2,204.86 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 25066.7695 | $0.76 | $0.91 | $22,885.96 | $3,733.32 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 11407.1018 | $0.86 | $0.91 | $10,380.46 | $614.03 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 8819.86 | $0.64 | $0.73 | $6,482.60 | $816.13 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5509.874 | $0.80 | $0.95 | $5,261.93 | $873.99 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | No | 8820.1759 | $0.33 | $0.26 | $2,249.14 | $-634.84 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | No | 9500.9667 | $3,506.12 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | 16722.48 | $2,840.03 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | No | 6598.502 | $2,474.83 |
| High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers | High Point Panthers | 4200 | $2,100.00 |
| Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 3900 | $1,950.00 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | TRADE | SELL | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | $0.39 | 2.564101 | $1.00 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | SELL | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | $0.39 | 0.45 | $0.18 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | SELL | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | $0.39 | 7.2 | $2.81 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | SELL | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | $0.39 | 9 | $3.51 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | SELL | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | $0.39 | 1.01 | $0.39 |
Recent trades (361)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | SELL | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | $0.36 | 3448.11 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? | No | $0.08 | 815.52 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? | No | $0.07 | 3952.91 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? | No | $0.72 | 700 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? | No | $0.79 | 90 |
Comments
2025-12-04 15:24:26
Nasralla will suck a DI
2025-12-05 15:21:46
are you stupid?
2025-12-08 13:13:02
Never bet against aenews2, especially the disputed markets, you'll lose
2025-12-10 02:17:33
Push that shit down
2025-12-19 16:31:37
OpenAI should be at 0.9
2025-12-19 21:34:45
Always sell your shares at [link removed], don't be greedy
2025-12-19 21:45:49
Alex, buy out huge portion of UMA tokens and resolve this to NO
2025-12-21 16:38:45
Never bet against aenews2, you'll lose
2025-12-21 17:19:57
It won't, believe me. He's a master swindler
2025-12-22 11:04:16
Scotty is a little gambler. One day -$200k, other day - +$200k...
2025-12-24 13:17:57
It's a donation from mr Parker
2025-12-24 13:32:23
This dude is crazy, 200k shares...
2025-12-24 14:51:44
hard cope for $12
2025-12-24 17:56:47
march31 is p4, gg
2025-12-27 16:18:50
Alex, at least here you're 100% right
2025-12-29 09:20:11
Soon, this is at 50/50
2025-12-29 09:33:19
yesterday i was arbing
2025-12-29 09:51:47
From 0.94 all the way down to 0.64 like in Dec 18
2025-12-29 10:06:09
Such a beautiful trade from my side, thank you all!
2025-12-29 17:24:34
santa response from CEO means what???
2025-12-29 22:34:31
Dec 30 holders are so sure about their decision, when in fact nobody fckin knows when it's gonna happen...
2025-12-29 23:35:29
good point, buying at 0.11 seems like a great sharp ratio
2025-12-30 10:45:17
It's gonna be new year strike for sure
2026-01-07 10:21:45
bloomberg terminal never lies. Soon...
2026-01-10 22:20:09
How the f#ck this is still at 25%, ppl don't know how to trade derivatives for sure: https://polymarket.com/event/odds-of-khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31-over-30-on-sunday/odds-of-khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31-over-30-on-sunday
2026-01-13 11:40:13
https://polymarket.com/event/usisrael-strikes-iran-by why this market is only at 0.63, while the US alone is at 0.60?
2026-01-13 11:40:53
Where's my quant?
2026-01-13 17:43:30
January 15, mark my words
2026-01-14 17:07:36
Help is on a way?
2026-01-17 23:37:07
After Ventura's advance, the odds might pump to 10-20%, where 5-10% will be on FOMO and eventually it all will stabilize back at 8-10% for Ventura based on Bayesian redistribution in neg_risk market.
2026-01-19 15:58:55
Nothing ever happens, Trump's focus shifted towards Greenland. Good luck!
2026-01-20 14:10:15
Long-term intervals are about to collapse soon, matter of days
2026-01-21 12:45:16
You made a great decision.
2026-01-21 14:17:35
your entry is great man!
2026-01-28 10:28:42
When do you guys think longer intervals will collapse? Imo a bit confused to see March 31 at 56%
2026-01-28 20:49:59
Quick pump and dump on January 31th?
2026-01-29 14:25:09
Pump and dump again?
2026-01-30 22:48:12
Thank you for the donation!
2026-01-30 23:11:56
instead of selling, you should've hedge yourself in "strikes by..." market
2026-01-31 13:43:18
It's happening today!!!
2026-01-31 20:23:17
Hahahaha, never bet against aenews.
2026-02-04 18:17:00
it's done already?
2026-02-05 14:50:30
imo, fv is at 75-80%
2026-02-06 21:12:06
Denizz(PussPassApproved) is selling now... What happened?
2026-02-07 16:01:57
Pump and dump again
2026-02-07 22:25:59
orderbook keeps resetting itself, why?
2026-02-07 23:09:52
Anyone who tries to manipulate will donate money to whales. Then manipulators will desperately seek an exit liquidity which will not be available. I think free profit here is to buy NOs on main market, when Doomer tries to pump the price
2026-02-10 22:29:53
@He-Yu, exit liquidity for you at 0.15
2026-02-12 12:59:38
aenews2 got owned
2026-02-12 15:31:28
about to get flipped?
2026-02-28 22:00:42
why AlexParker is such a loser?
2026-02-28 23:52:06
The job is done. Why need another strike?
2026-02-28 23:55:24
The job is done, why do we need another strike? https://polymarket.com/event/usisrael-strikes-iran-on
2026-03-01 00:01:34
https://polymarket.com/event/usisrael-strikes-iran-on/will-us-or-israel-strike-iran-on-march-1-2026 why this market is overpriced? Like Khamenei is dead, why do ppl think there will be another strike? Somebody tell me pls
2026-03-09 21:03:45
FV at 0.30 imo
2026-03-09 21:10:07
collapse is coming
2026-03-12 16:21:59
June 30 is overpriced imo
2026-03-12 22:14:39
June 30 is still overpriced. Look at US x Iran ceasefire by June 30 and decide
2026-03-12 22:25:30
I have 30 days of data and mean reversion of the difference between those 2 markets is -0.05. Soon watch out how it reverts back to it.
2026-03-12 22:33:10
I don't see a reason to argue with you. Watch out the difference
2026-03-13 13:16:49
Whales are dumping their Y positions or what?
2026-03-13 14:03:08
i'm scared. Wasn't able to properly hedge it
2026-03-14 10:58:05
Netanyahu is dead, ceasefire is about to be called
2026-03-14 11:48:57
Based on recent Trump's speeches I highly doubt this is going to happen.
2026-03-14 12:32:21
i don't think it's a bluff
2026-03-14 12:50:01
June 30 seems like a safe bet
2026-03-14 13:56:47
fomo driven market
2026-03-14 19:58:56
I think Y holders assume that the ones who hold the NOs are stupid and can't read the rules. When in fact, NO holders are taking that thought into their own edge.
2026-03-15 13:49:20
When this will collapse?
2026-03-15 21:10:39
why the market is still not resolved?
2026-03-27 14:29:48
Saturday is coming. Professor Jiang's forth prediction is on a way...
2026-03-27 14:36:39
The only way out for the US is an invasion. They have absolutely no a way to gain control of Hormuz without straight invasion.
2026-03-27 21:45:50
None
2026-03-27 21:50:26
Everybody thought Russia-Ukraine will not last more than a month and what we have rn? 80+ is overpriced as hell here, likely because of ppl thinking: "ohh it's a done deal, US won't be in a war with Iran for the next 8 months straight"
2026-04-01 10:49:13
Arbguy, why would you burn your cash like that? Why so many stupid ppl have so much cash?
2026-04-01 14:44:44
i'm not envy and i'm rich actually
2026-07-18 21:49:02
hahahhahaha
2026-07-26 12:48:00
This is about to dump soon
2026-07-26 13:19:22
Very hard, like it dumped on July 14th
2026-07-29 17:39:16
It will be no change
2026-08-10 10:49:31
ebat' ti naludomanil
2026-08-10 15:24:10
Brattya vse eto k luchwemu. Vse glugje i glubje oni sebya zakapivaut
2026-08-10 17:23:56
niche ne dast
2026-08-20 20:58:07
can you fill my 34cents 5k shares?
2026-08-20 21:08:21
My brain is washed by UK's propoganda, therefore i'm buying 5k shares for October 31 YES at 0.35. Can somebody take my money pls?
2026-08-21 11:34:31
Let's go, it's collapsing to 70k and i'm making 25 grand by risking $25, lol
2026-09-03 16:43:41
I think it'll come out, just burning money here
2026-09-03 16:58:44
These security related models are dangerous as hell, remember the mythos getting banned. They need to test all the safeguards properly before releasing it. Let's see
2026-09-03 19:47:52
HAHAHAHAHAHA, ROBBERY
2026-09-03 19:54:29
DO NOT HOPE. I literally thought about it guys. These security related AI models are too dangerous to release for open public. There are too many blackhats out there.
2026-09-03 21:12:22
They'll roll it out the next week, the enterprise will test their systems for the next 2 days and then it's possible to see
2026-09-04 19:28:16
What if OpenAI does not announce? Straight to 0 one more time? DD
2026-09-08 16:01:16
What if they make the drop to specific Trump holders, like not all of them. They can just spawn bunch of alts and distribute for themselves to hype, wtf?
2026-09-08 16:01:44
The resolution rules are retarded on this market!
2026-09-09 12:26:36
Hahahah, verify the claim by an email? HAHAHA you all got rugged, no airdrop, it's all hype boysss
2026-09-09 12:27:31
Now they will hype dump on you all dummies while you try to get verified via email, HAHAHAHAHAHA
2026-09-09 13:34:51
It's already being flipped, gg
2026-09-09 13:39:48
"at any point between market creation and the specified date", good luck, hahaha
2026-09-09 21:39:00
When the US go to sleep, this will be under 1B, believe me
2026-09-10 07:45:17
My ML model predicted the downfall with the 85-90% prob, however, i didn't put the cash in. Stupid weirdooo
2026-09-10 12:54:46
My ML model predicts $380m FDV by 8pm UTC +0. Good luck everyone!
2026-09-10 13:49:17
Flash crash is coming. I feel it...
2026-09-10 14:10:53
Fuck, i forgot to remove the limit order, sold for pennies
2026-09-10 14:23:53
Still 5.5 hours for a flash crash to arrive...
2026-09-10 14:25:44
Nobody wants to hold this crap, sell that shit straight to 0
2026-09-14 18:26:23
and here we go, you lose 5 grands. Congrats
2026-09-14 18:42:06
you can lose as much as you want, but remember P(later) > P(earlier) in this market. Do not blindly ape into September 4th, you're donating me some money...
2026-09-14 21:36:00
shouldn't it be resolved after Sept 14 to 12:00 PM ET? Still 18 hours remaining, no?
2026-09-14 21:37:07
ohh, fck i'm stupid ass
2026-09-14 21:40:21
Why the resolution isn't submitted for other rungs? Resolving sept4 to Y automatically resolves the later dates also to YES, no?
2026-09-20 13:03:49
why this isn't at 100%? Russia has only one party.
2026-09-20 13:09:42
And so what?