Account Information
Name:
LevantLeverage
Bio:
Trading the delta between diplomatic optics and legal reality. Permanent means pErManeNt.
Pseudonym:
Fine-Tractor
Created:
2026-04-20 08:31:12
Last Activity:
4 months ago
Tier:
Tier 0
profile-image-7535821-3907ed4a-a4e0-403c-a53b-98abac63536e.png
Total Profit
$4,878
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$1,139.03
Markets traded
101
Trades
101
Largest win
$3,289.29
Profile views
202
Join date
2026-04-20 08:31:12
All-time rank
26947
All-time PnL
$4,877.67
All-time volume
$471,025.20
All-time profit
$4,877.67
Lifetime volume
$471,025.20
PnL series latest
$4,876.67
PnL series start
$4,869.67
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$1,165.77
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 16798.5533 | $3,289.29 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 26620.46 | $1,194.54 |
| Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games? | No | 5166.4584 | $1,042.83 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? | Yes | 8967.49 | $-1,342.48 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 26671.9731 | $-1,295.97 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? | No | 7507.59 | $-716.06 |
Open positions (3)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 1244.48 | $0.82 | $0.85 | $1,064.03 | $43.13 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 200 | $0.89 | $0.38 | $75.00 | $-103.00 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%? | Yes | 5 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2.45 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 16798.5533 | $3,289.29 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 26620.46 | $1,194.54 |
| Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games? | No | 5166.4584 | $1,042.83 |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | Yes | 2355.07 | $455.62 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 13350.7917 | $382.20 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | MAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 5.9564 | $5.96 | |||
| 1 month ago | REWARD | $0.00 | 1.8432 | $1.84 | |||
| 1 month ago | TRADE | SELL | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | $0.88 | 259.03 | $227.95 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | SELL | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | $0.88 | 5000 | $4,400.00 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | SELL | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | $0.88 | 284.090908 | $250.00 |
Recent trades (101)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 months ago | BUY | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | $0.01 | 200.89 |
| 4 months ago | BUY | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | $0.05 | 80.2 |
| 4 months ago | BUY | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $0.87 | 17 |
| 4 months ago | BUY | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $0.87 | 17 |
| 4 months ago | BUY | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $0.87 | 40.5 |
Comments
2026-04-27 11:10:36
GPT 5.5 is too dangerous to be released
2026-04-27 13:31:55
for sure, but not in April.
2026-04-27 15:56:53
The range (e.g., +12 / -11) displays the degree of uncertainty. As more data comes in the rating might shift.
2026-04-27 18:25:01
Dear no-holders, please read the rules. It explicitly state that it is the announcement that counts not the facts beyond that
2026-04-27 22:56:22
I mean, whether it goes P2 or P4, it's still highly likely that he actually becomes a father this year, so I'm really not sure what your train of thought was when you decided to buy these
2026-04-28 09:56:01
were pricing in a 3% chance of this going south, thats pretty reasonable
2026-04-28 14:41:07
looks like someone is getting slashed
2026-04-28 20:12:17
He is pregnant guys, polymarket confirmed
2026-04-28 21:09:56
uma has spoken, you lost your money
2026-04-28 23:53:27
Uma is a highly respected institution. I trust it with my life
2026-04-29 16:27:59
the chance that trump allows iran to charge transit fees is zero
2026-04-29 21:28:10
it will
2026-04-29 21:28:27
Its time for peace
2026-04-29 21:30:42
Yeah guys Trust OmegaGoat who also thinks that Trump will be out in june
2026-04-30 10:31:38
If trump says it will be fine, it will be fine
2026-04-30 10:44:04
No!
2026-05-05 17:13:08
Zelensky will defeat Russia and free Ukraine! He is a Hero!
2026-05-08 18:04:48
Were all gonna die!!!
2026-05-12 17:07:52
Im ready for peace
2026-05-12 17:11:13
Give peace a chance
2026-05-12 17:55:47
Shit, Deniz bought no, seems like there wont be any peace this year
2026-05-13 23:27:55
Big Talk for a 20k bagholder
2026-05-15 19:34:45
and? you still lost
2026-05-16 14:54:18
Thanks bro, really needed that
2026-05-17 12:12:20
Im ready for peace
2026-05-17 21:16:52
Its official, he confirmed it. It should go P1 now
2026-05-17 22:37:32
typical notard comment
2026-05-18 15:36:06
i believe i can fly
2026-05-18 15:36:19
i believe i can touch the sky
2026-05-18 23:36:20
You think the War will drag on till December?
2026-05-19 08:24:03
Mr Morenaji, but what about december?
2026-05-20 19:38:36
Yes, towards the end of the year, not next week.
2026-05-20 21:04:18
Theyre talking about a 30 day extension in the Axios arcticle. In that case mai 31 is definitly no
2026-05-20 21:22:18
"letter of intent" hmm i dunno we will see, seems pretty vague to me
2026-05-20 23:58:35
Have you read the Axios report?
2026-05-21 00:04:01
Im ready for peace
2026-05-21 01:07:29
Peace be with you
2026-05-21 02:45:48
What if Trump wants to show the World his big Rocket and kills Chamenei as a show of force?
2026-05-21 03:47:59
yes
2026-05-22 08:40:48
[link removed]
2026-05-22 09:11:57
[link removed]
Is Reuters credible enough for you?
2026-05-22 22:01:24
gg well played, see you in the next scam
2026-05-23 18:11:46
WHAT CRUEL AND ANGRY GOD
2026-05-23 18:12:50
he saw it in a dream
2026-05-23 20:39:23
come on guys, we all know this is done. Trump wants out asap
2026-05-23 22:56:50
[link removed]
Hahah notards coping hard
2026-05-23 23:12:03
Aww, notards dont cry 😗Youre money isnt gone its just somewhere else
2026-05-24 05:36:01
this is obviosly a no
2026-05-24 05:45:16
it will be clarified by poly, uma never votes against clarifications
2026-05-24 06:09:26
what are your thoughts about end of the year?
2026-05-24 08:52:17
but mr. morenaji i never said that mai 31. would be a yes, i was just interested in your technical analysis as always
2026-05-24 09:01:30
None
2026-05-24 09:17:32
hopium still strong?
2026-05-25 00:35:44
26. will probably go no, 31. maaayybe no. everything else is cooked
2026-05-25 01:00:31
I wont get scammed this time
2026-05-25 08:51:10
🤡
2026-05-25 09:12:41
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of world records broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”
2026-05-25 13:42:08
[link removed]
A history diplomatic breakthrough will be achieved! Thats my President 🥲
2026-05-25 13:57:02
they wrote a whole book about it in the dispute thread 🤡
2026-05-26 03:42:28
The US-Iranian ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect if the US government officially publicly confirms or if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that the U.S. conducted a kinetic military action on Iranian soil before the resolution date.
2026-05-26 07:07:03
thats your overwhelming consensus?
2026-05-26 07:36:03
Youre feeling very generous today?
2026-05-27 02:45:49
Picking up pennies in front of a steamroller
2026-05-27 17:11:55
i think it can be solved in a few months
2026-05-28 10:23:41
Mr Morenaji i need your technical analysis
2026-06-01 06:18:02
Thanks for saving my portfolio mr morenaji
2026-06-11 18:28:07
PEACE IS HERE BOYS
2026-06-11 20:56:13
Hahaha notards were gonna beat you!
2026-06-11 20:58:20
-12k p/l checks out
2026-06-12 19:55:28
Elon musk ascends to godhood and liberates us all
2026-06-13 08:51:42
Im ready for peace
2026-06-13 10:46:41
Notards coping hard, we will achieve world peace this year President trump said it
2026-06-13 13:09:57
Were all gonna make it guys, peace is on the way HODL
2026-06-14 15:08:09
is that your cat?
2026-06-15 09:48:50
Get Wage caged Notards
2026-06-15 12:04:58
Wagie Wagie, get in cagie, boss needs help now dont be lazy
2026-06-15 12:05:47
The wagies are getting ragie, when theyre working overtime
2026-06-15 12:16:04
Morenaji where are your clever comments now?
2026-06-15 16:07:45
Its 7 a.m. YOU BETTER CLOCK THE FUCK IN, I WANT MY FUCKING BURGER
2026-06-15 16:11:34
WAAAAAGGGGGIIIIIEEEEEEE
2026-06-15 16:16:15
I can send you a link for a mc donalds application if you want
2026-06-15 16:27:12
You will lose after this gets clarified
2026-06-15 19:40:52
what a scam, this is clearly temporary. Iran specifically statet that hormuz will only be open for 60 days while they negotiate
2026-06-15 19:42:11
i sold my position now, this was clearly a scam
2026-06-16 10:39:56
you can sue in court
2026-06-16 15:32:59
Dont worry guys, it will be clarified, we will win!
2026-06-16 15:35:55
Free money on No
2026-06-16 15:50:32
Morenaji, we need your Comments, your insights. Where are you when we need you the most???
2026-06-16 21:53:33
👻
2026-06-16 21:54:11
no one said this site is fair
2026-06-17 14:08:56
Thanks for the money
2026-06-25 09:15:08
MORENAJIIIIIIII
2026-07-11 02:01:06
hahahahhahahah, crab-17 Stage 2 was a stunning success
2026-07-19 05:33:03
Crab-17 Stage 2
2026-08-05 15:20:22
Arman is so massive, im worried he implodes
2026-08-05 20:04:34
the trick is portion control
2026-08-05 20:28:16
lol why didnt you get your refund?
2026-08-06 03:20:30
-4k PNL talking big haha
2026-08-06 19:03:23
ARMAN..... i should have told you how valuable you are. to not be swayed by some demon
2026-08-06 19:32:25
hands out, palms facing the sun willing to prey on your misguidance. Misguidance that was my fault, and im so sorry, im sorry i let you down Arman
2026-08-07 00:06:05
the trick is portion control
2026-08-07 05:38:01
Size cannot be understood; it can only be experienced
2026-08-07 18:01:52
maybe try understanding the rules first
2026-08-07 18:02:58
ARMAN STOP DOUBLING DOWN FFS YOURE GONNA LOSE EVERYTHING
2026-08-08 00:16:46
I love you arman, but you have a severe gambling addiction bro, i cant believe you doubled down yet again...
2026-08-08 00:54:37
why would you say something so mean?
2026-08-15 14:14:02
I love you Friedrich, you got this, make Germany proud!
2026-08-28 17:02:21
Im so sorry Arman
2026-08-29 02:09:21
i should have told you how valuable you are
2026-09-05 00:45:43
this could be the end of humanity
2026-09-14 09:51:01
Arman....
2026-09-14 17:36:15
The end of a legend, i will miss you Arman...