Account Information
Name:
Waterfall
Bio:
Lost 5 figs in a day thanks to manipulation on views market, ama
Pseudonym:
Practical-Wit
Created:
2024-08-25 23:58:16
Last Activity:
1 month ago
Tier:
Bronze
X:
@911Waterfall
911s.jpg
Total Profit
$15,130
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$759.41
Markets traded
1,387
Trades
1,387
Largest win
$5,977.00
Profile views
4,104
Join date
2024-08-25 23:58:16
All-time rank
10445
All-time PnL
$15,129.93
All-time volume
$2,575,944.56
All-time profit
$15,129.93
Lifetime volume
$2,575,944.56
PnL series latest
$15,127.92
PnL series start
$15,638.61
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$14,991.67
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31? | No | 7937.0459 | $5,928.13 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | Yes | 5205.12 | $4,532.15 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026? | Yes | 4485.48 | $2,236.47 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3? | Yes | 13855.35 | $-10,661.54 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | No | 10798.79 | $-9,527.61 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | Yes | 9191.2 | $-8,267.00 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1? | No | 300 | $0.86 | $0.87 | $261.00 | $3.00 |
| Will MrBeast say "Arctic" during his next YouTube video? | Yes | 276.58 | $0.16 | $0.81 | $225.41 | $180.53 |
| Will MrBeast say "Survive" during his next YouTube video? | Yes | 127.5 | $0.47 | $0.79 | $100.72 | $40.66 |
| Will MrBeast hit 140 billion views by September 30? | Yes | 49.13 | $0.95 | $0.98 | $47.93 | $1.27 |
| Will MrBeast hit 139.5 billion views by September 30? | Yes | 48.05 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $47.88 | $2.23 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31? | No | 7937.0459 | $5,928.13 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | Yes | 5205.12 | $4,532.15 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026? | Yes | 4485.48 | $2,236.47 |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? | No | 10305.1308 | $2,204.46 |
| Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribed" during his next YouTube video? | No | 11963.51 | $1,930.30 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | REDEEM | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | Yes | $0.00 | 600.49 | $600.49 | |
| 1 month ago | REDEEM | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | $0.00 | 5005.174186 | $5,005.17 | |
| 1 month ago | REDEEM | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? | Yes | $0.00 | 622.13 | $622.13 | |
| 1 month ago | REDEEM | Will there be no OpenAI Astra model release by September 30, 2026? | No | $0.00 | 106 | $106.00 | |
| 1 month ago | REDEEM | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | Yes | $0.00 | 2043.253332 | $2,043.25 |
Recent trades (1387)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month ago | SELL | Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | $1.00 | 400 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | Yes | $0.87 | 139.9 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | Yes | $0.89 | 127.17 |
| 1 month ago | SELL | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? | No | $0.14 | 852.62 |
| 1 month ago | SELL | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | No | $0.16 | 1230.37 |
Comments
2024-09-19 13:46:20
No ETA for the final review ? Usually there is a timer
2024-09-20 11:09:48
Uncheck "holders"
2024-10-23 19:50:30
Source ?
2024-10-24 20:12:12
I mean it's Lebanon, why did we get such a large move ? Can't find any information related to an attack on Iran
2024-10-24 20:29:03
Lmaooo okay get it, ppl love to lose money for no reason
2024-10-26 23:57:28
Not buying cause it could take month to reach 4K with how slow ether is, but you guys really bet on yearly low instead of 4K ?? We didn't see 2K in 2024, would need a massive traumatic event to get there imo
2024-10-28 22:07:58
Womp
2024-10-31 19:23:46
Still coping ? It was supposed to do +10% on the upside, not the downside lmao
2024-10-31 23:53:05
Nah he said "high quality"
2024-10-31 23:57:41
How long is he talking normally ? First time listening to this but kinda tired
2024-10-31 23:58:53
Thanks
2024-11-01 00:13:41
0
2024-11-01 00:14:00
1
2024-11-23 18:57:44
Google trends is flat
2024-11-23 19:10:00
We don't have the same graph lmao in the past 7 days it's a clear uptrend even tho there was a small dip today, but it's back up at 66. Which settings did you use ? Coinbase - USA - 7 days/24h ?
2024-11-23 19:36:21
With the dip that just happend yup
2025-07-10 12:29:35
Who's steve ?
2025-07-14 18:17:30
[link removed]
2025-07-17 21:40:53
As one just occurred the odds are good for no I'd say, quite rare that 2 large occurs in such a small period of time, but this is literally luck based, feels like we're playing roulette
2025-07-18 18:32:58
Probability to have 2 larges earthquakes in 15 days is still small, while I agree that these are independents, it still almost never occurs
2025-07-19 18:33:48
Is there a way to track the views precisely with a chart or something ?
2025-07-19 18:36:17
And at what time precisely was it posted ? "2 hours ago" yeah thanks youtube
2025-07-19 18:46:50
Appreciate it, didn't know !
2025-07-19 19:00:05
It's updated, ctrl f5 on ISW you'll see July 19
2025-07-20 07:35:35
Europe is waking up lmao
2025-07-20 15:10:23
Gg trend is slow asf, 100k view in 10min
2025-07-20 16:01:02
Shaking to the very last second ngl
2025-07-20 16:02:35
Yup every 10 minutes spike up (29/39/49)
2025-07-20 16:03:19
GG mate :)
2025-07-20 16:06:47
Bots were adding 150k views every 5/10min, just need 70k views at the end, a single other wave bot and this was over 55M
2025-07-20 16:07:58
Part of the rule, anyone can dispute during 2 hours if they think the outcome proposed is wrong
2025-07-21 01:44:07
Reason why I didn't bet, completely random. You can laugh idc didn't loose anything :)
2025-07-21 11:50:37
Deeznutz is being talked about as I can see, big positions are scary I agree, but that doesn't always mean insider, he bet yes on an Israeli strike on Yemen by friday last week, and he ended up selling at loss because that didn't happen. Doesn't mean he won't be right this time, but just want to reassure our no-sers
2025-07-22 13:04:05
Because ppl bought, it's like in trading, something a shitcoin pumps just because someone is aping big, same here
2025-07-22 15:28:47
Some chances that this happens sunday, last chance before the end of the talks
2025-07-24 05:17:50
And also sell yes if that's a gamble
2025-07-24 05:19:42
Love how half of the news are "everyone accepted the ceasefire just need official confirmation" and the other half is "the answer is so ridiculous that they don't even tell it to the other side". It doesn't really make any sense lately
2025-07-24 07:19:28
"big buyers are insiders be careful" and then you have funfzig buying both side as he's as clueless as us all lmao
2025-07-24 07:57:45
Source ?
2025-07-25 14:31:59
Source : Trust me (I need exit liq so I'm spreading fake news confidently)
2025-07-25 15:16:27
Doesn't matter if they launch before or after that date, they will have to comply to the regulation anyway
2025-07-26 06:24:32
Def should have waited instead of going all in when it xas confirmed for as early as august, that retard keeps spreading his fake news and some people are trusting him, that's a free 6-7% profits now instead of my 3%
2025-07-26 06:26:54
Just look at his comments, he keeps saying that without sources, he needs an exit liquidity as early august is the earliest launch date planned if anything goes right
2025-07-26 11:09:15
Share your source genius, everyone is asking you that. Credible sources are saying early august at best
2025-07-26 11:53:23
Gpt 4.5
2025-07-26 12:51:56
Can't find any "zenith" in lmarena
2025-07-26 13:19:03
No, for security reasons companies never launch something before the schedule
2025-07-26 16:19:27
Average nicholas comment, fake news on fake news, not a single source. And ppl keep buying on his comment
2025-07-26 16:23:22
Just a little reminder, we just got openAI staff leaking to some journalists that the release will be in august AT BEST and some people here keep doing insane mental gymnastic to outsmart the devs and say "I know better than the ppl working on it"
2025-07-26 16:35:47
Very likely that we have an open-weight mini model before august, but that's not gpt5, expecting the mini model next week, and gpt5 a week later
2025-07-26 16:48:32
You're quotting someone, can I get your source then ?
2025-07-26 16:48:57
Cool, it's a meta behavior, not openAI
2025-07-26 16:49:44
No shit early august is in 6 days, we all know it's imminent IT'S LEAKED FOR AUGUST
2025-07-26 17:32:35
Same article which tells that staff is planning it for august, and "shift" the dates can also means postpone it, or nothing could change too for the planned launch
2025-07-26 17:33:43
And you also want to be 100% sure that there will be no issue at all when you launch it otherwise you'll get bullied on social media, so they're not rushing it and wait for the planned date, and if all is good at this date it's go time
2025-07-26 20:41:50
Nothing is forcing them to release it before Aug 2nd, they will have to comply no matter what to EU regulation, even by launching before the law enters in application. Also, interesting to see insiders leaking the date and only 6% of chance that we see GPT5 in July
2025-07-26 21:21:58
Ofc, as any other law, it's not because the product is old that it can escape the law. This theory makes no sense
2025-07-27 07:51:07
They could launch a closed beta and be considered on the market and have that 2 years window tho, and launch gpt5 to everyone later on
2025-07-27 08:11:09
"While GPT-5 looks likely to debut in early August, OpenAI’s planned release dates often shift to respond to development challenges, server capacity issues, or even rival AI model announcements and leaks. Earlier this month, I warned about the possibility of a delay to the open language model that OpenAI is also preparing to launch, and Altman confirmed my reporting just days after my Notepad issue by announcing a delay “to run additional safety tests and review high-risk areas.” I’m still hearing that this open language model is imminent and that OpenAI is trying to ship it before the end of July // ahead of GPT-5’s release". They want to release the other model before GPT5, it's not even out yet, and GPT5 will probably be a few days later, as long as this open source model isn't out GPT5 has no chance to come out
2025-07-28 20:18:59
so no ?
2025-07-28 20:48:40
Holy shit ??? I updated the time countless of times and guess what it wasn't meaning a new model was available
2025-07-29 15:38:29
The despair
2025-07-29 17:32:02
Study mode, nothing to do with GPT5
2025-07-29 18:02:17
He can't even cash out, no one is interested in buying yes here. If he sells for 1200$ right now yes is going around 2cts. Yes-ers can't sell without pushing the price down bigly
2025-07-30 06:58:55
His dream
2025-07-30 07:55:31
The same guy that never guessed the gpt4 launch date
2025-07-30 07:56:08
We betting more money than you bud, your shares are just worth nothing
2025-07-30 10:48:35
The """"insider""""" 883d has 20k less shares, how weird for an insider to reduce his profits
2025-07-30 18:46:43
I really don't know if you really believe what you're saying with your fake news or if you're just trying to have an exit pump. Hope this is the 2nd choice, otherwise seek help
2025-07-30 19:28:24
Works fine for me
2025-07-31 07:33:23
Why did you sell then ? :)
2025-07-31 16:29:13
He's just trolling
2025-07-31 20:03:07
They'll surely publish it by surprise (because if you didn't notice, no stream scheduled, which they always did in the past for major releases) in the middle of the night for the europeans and americans, for sure
2025-08-03 10:30:33
Remember the "OAI has to launch GPT5 quickly because of the AI regulation in EU, they have no choice at all". Yeah sure, they don't give a fuck about it lmao
2025-08-03 18:54:12
But the thesis here was to believe they would rush gpt5 to not comply, which is blatantly wrong
2025-08-04 17:19:47
Thought you managed to remove this market ?
2025-08-05 13:48:22
Why is it almost sure that it's going to be 1-1.04 while the data isn't out ? Missing something I guess
2025-08-05 17:04:59
He just announced a big release this week tho, a lot of delays happend already, but theh seem ready
2025-08-05 17:32:51
Something big but small TODAY. And a big upgrade LATER THIS WEEK. Maybe read everything in his tweet and not only what fit your bias ?
2025-08-05 19:11:27
1-1.04 at 97%, there has to be data or something somewhere still, never looked at this market before so I'm surprised about the %
2025-08-05 22:02:28
"I lost"
2025-08-06 17:55:51
They always gave their model public during the livestream so far, should be available to everyone tomorrow
2025-08-07 18:03:21
The company behind chatgpt literally said "available now to everyone" and you still have people searching excuses for saying that it's not. You guys know better than OpenAI for sure. Loosing IQ reading comment section as usual
2025-08-07 18:44:50
"The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public" To those who can't use gpt5 yet, wait a bit, coming in batches
2025-08-07 21:10:03
You guys are hard coping jfc. No wonder why 95% of the cry babies have a negative P&L. Stop searching to fit your bias and read the rules, the resolution will be based on OpenAI statement, they said it's out to everyone that's it. They just release it in batch every hour or so otherwise their server would explode
2025-08-07 21:58:41
English is great you know ?
2025-08-08 04:36:32
Lmaoooooooo the retard won, has a positive PNL, the genius lost, negative PNL. Guess I'm always lucky
2025-08-10 16:41:17
You can, but at 99.9cts, better wait for the resolve so you'll get fully paid
2025-08-15 20:11:19
If he says 1 of these 2 things it will resolve as yes
2025-08-16 14:26:28
New video today right ?
2025-08-17 09:35:11
Going in small for now, needs 1.5M/h to reach 40+M, and we're somewhat around [link removed] right now, the pace is supposed to decrease as the day goes on, so yeah, we'll see if the slowing down occurs later on
2025-08-17 10:13:38
Odds just flipped in favor of 35-40, and the pace should decrease as time goes on, need confirmation in the next 2 hours to see if there's chance for 40M+ or if that's already over
2025-08-17 10:14:14
1.2M/hour pace last 30min
2025-08-17 11:05:17
It's been online since 16 hours now, people are sleeping 8h on average, waking hour has nothing to do with that, people were already awake past 16 hours
2025-08-17 11:20:19
It's not pacing for 40M at all, it is IF the pace keeps going for 8 hours, which should not be the case
2025-08-17 11:34:39
3 mores view from your friends to have 10M more views, it's not much but it's honest work
2025-08-17 11:46:52
Source to that sunday YT purge ? Can't find anything, but maybe your indian friends can teach me kek
2025-08-17 12:41:52
That level of despair
2025-08-17 14:05:38
You're calculating the average without taking into account the fact that's not a linear progression, in the first hours we're more towards 1.9M/hour, while now we're below 1.5M/hour
2025-08-17 14:29:42
2nd option seems likely ngl
2025-08-17 16:20:50
Schizo guy dumped some of his bag hence that big move
2025-08-17 16:30:53
Nope
2025-08-17 17:59:03
1.7M for 1h, will need a crazy hour, we'll see
2025-08-17 18:41:54
So where are the 45.5M views promised ?
2025-08-17 19:01:01
GG
2025-08-17 19:40:22
Yeah but past 24 hours
2025-08-18 13:39:08
Wtf is that guy doing, if he has to sell or reduce his position there won't ever be enough liquidity, 1 guy controlling a whole side of a bet is tragic for the liquidity
2025-08-18 14:15:18
Just 2 guys buying a lot. Once they have no cash left this will correct
2025-08-18 14:47:14
Even Mrbeast himself doesn't know how much people are going to give, that's not the type of market where insiders have an advantage
2025-08-18 16:27:44
We all know the donations they're getting. But you can't know if people will give more or not
2025-08-18 16:44:32
And on a recent tweet from yesterday he said "assuming we raise 40M $". Also almost half of what's been raised was from his stream, most of the donations are done already
2025-08-19 03:28:05
What does PM means ?
2025-08-19 11:43:16
If they get close, but with the current pace they won't fill the 9M remaining, credibility of the fund raise would be laughable
2025-08-19 11:54:35
Not enough liquidity, he trapped himself. And if he sells other yesers will panick, even less liquidity. Let him slowly loose money
2025-08-19 12:45:05
How much are you willing to loose ?
2025-08-19 12:55:01
What exactly is your message ?
2025-08-19 12:59:00
He put soooo much liquidity, he's still getting filled wtf is that bullshit lmaoooo. Love watching this after securing an x2, he can win I wouldn't be mad, entertaining asf
2025-08-19 13:37:56
Serious question, why's that ?
2025-08-19 15:19:15
-7K buddy, at least he's positive
2025-08-19 15:26:59
Oh Nicholas is back to bet on LLMs being released quickly. Thanks for your money on GPT5 July 31st
2025-08-20 07:45:01
Yeah okay all bets are 50/50 then, Jesus return in 2025 is 50/50, could happen, or not
2025-08-20 11:24:36
I love looking at the odds graph, you can see the P&L from Quetal slowly but surely drifting south, still 11 days of pain and cope for him
2025-08-20 14:24:13
Accidently placed a sell wall at 38cts đź—ż
2025-08-20 14:46:18
Wrong week day, end is aug 31 no matter what
2025-08-20 15:38:04
He blamed his son and asked for a refund and then deleted comment, wtf is that guy lmao
2025-08-20 16:47:24
You still have some liquidity until 25cts to get back some money, think that's your best chance to not be fully at loss
2025-08-20 19:10:22
"I'm loosing too much money what can I do about it ? Cut the loss and move on ? Nah instead I'll bet more to loose even more money"
2025-08-20 20:00:23
Engagement on their twitter account is low asf, and he's not posting about it on this main, 48 hours of silence
2025-08-20 20:02:55
More than 30M $ raised and his reputation is gone lmaoooo do you think people will be mad because he """"only"""" raised that absurd amount of money ?
2025-08-20 20:18:19
It won't ever be considered as a failure, if he did like 2M out of 40 indeed that would be dramatic, but he's not far away, it's a success because a lot of africans will have access to water
2025-08-20 20:19:31
Push it at 70% so I can add more on this pullback ty
2025-08-21 02:20:16
Same here, sold half when I hit x2
2025-08-21 02:51:54
That's the best feeling, in profit no matter what, stress free !
2025-08-21 02:58:49
Praying god I guess
2025-08-21 07:06:16
You know you shouldn't be adding communities AND top donors ? A single donation can appear in both these pages so you're adding some donations twice
2025-08-21 07:44:34
Some no bids if someone wants to panick sell here, feel free
2025-08-21 07:54:07
Who's that ? Can't find him in the activity tab
2025-08-21 09:20:00
Making money, your PNL is red tho
2025-08-21 12:12:44
Wait 20h ago it was at 30.551M, and we're now at 30.542M. This is decreasing and we're still between 60 and 70%, I don't get it at all lmao, you guys never heard about pace that's for sure, it was quick at the beginning but no one is really interested anymore by that
2025-08-21 12:32:35
That's already a big if, 2 streams for the same cause isn't happening that often, and the hype wouldn't be as big as the 1st one, so even if he streams there are chances he doesn't raise about 9M in this one
2025-08-22 02:36:27
7M+ left, 1st progress in 5 or 6 days and people are getting excited ?
2025-08-22 10:28:44
25 shares guy talking about buying more
2025-08-22 17:30:40
By selling while you have liquidity
2025-08-24 16:57:10
I don't get it, people were telling me this would be dramatic if he didn't reach that goal in less than 30 days, apparently his reputation would be tarnished forever
2025-08-24 17:12:32
Yeah I really don't get this argument at all, better to laugh at it. People are calling a +33M$ raise a failure
2025-08-24 17:33:13
We've had Quetal going bankrupt buying everything he could past 2 weeks
2025-08-24 17:56:08
Btw 10 hours ago we were at 32.865M, and we're at 32.861M now
2025-08-24 18:20:27
[link removed]
2025-08-24 20:14:56
What makes you think that ? Copium ?
2025-08-24 20:35:14
LMAOOOO are you serious ?
2025-08-24 21:42:03
Cope more
2025-08-24 21:52:45
What's the hate with car ? Always saw ppl mocking him but like with that PNL he can't be bad ?
2025-08-25 13:35:45
They aren't working week days either by the looks of it, only 1 big donation of 1.8M in the past 13 days
2025-08-25 18:54:34
Lmao those in the comments not realizing you're looking for cheaper shares
2025-08-25 19:18:33
Impressive stat, 36 hours ago : 32 865 445 raised. Now : 32 857 216.
2025-08-25 19:20:05
-8k in a day and half. And only 1 big donation in the last 2 weeks (which was 2M, far from the 7 needed)
2025-08-25 19:42:06
For sure, flip your position before I do
2025-08-25 19:42:35
"They're selling dollars at 90cts" his exact words
2025-08-25 20:09:09
Polymarket's comments are even better than the ones on PH
2025-08-26 04:27:39
Which twitter post ? I don't get who you guys are talking about
2025-08-26 06:14:46
Still holding tho
2025-08-26 13:28:15
And still you're not buying yes shares
2025-08-26 15:45:39
Throwing away money is being based, interesting take
2025-08-26 19:33:32
Glad I secured an x2 so I can't loose any money on this, because the odds don't make any sense and I'd be so suspicious. They raised something like 3M past 10 days and people are confident they'll raise 7M in 5 days. When most of the donators already showed up
2025-08-26 19:44:04
70% lmao I'm close to actually add more if they keep buying. These are just ppl who just discovered this market and aren't aware about the progression of the raise, right ? I'm CLUELESS lmaooo can't wait to see this unfolds, whatever the outcome
2025-08-27 09:05:14
Nothing, he's saying that in every market he's in, remember his name so you won't get baited anymore
2025-08-27 11:19:18
They'll extend it in september apparently, if that's legit one guy posted a mail here where someone from teamwater told him it's gonna be prolonged
2025-08-27 11:52:51
No one knows, no evidence it's fake, no evidence it's real
2025-08-27 13:06:34
Ok bud nice argument I'm convinced
2025-08-27 17:45:08
Not planned but who knows
2025-08-27 19:22:37
Do you really expect an other 12M raise while it's not even mentioned anywhere, not his stream, and there won't be as much hype as the 1st one. + a lot of people consider crypto as scam, they won't be interested to give money using a crypto product. 2M at best if a crypto whale wants to collect some fame by doing a 7fig donation, can't expect more
2025-08-27 19:55:47
Watched 1min, boring asf, chat is awful. Who the fuck is watching that kind of content ?
2025-08-27 21:08:41
Because they expect a billionnaire to give 7M on sunday for some reason, as if any rich guy cares about that fundraise
2025-08-28 03:23:57
Good idea, let's donate 7M to win 10K here, sounds worth it
2025-08-28 05:29:35
Try to market buy 8M on this market, let's see the liquidity
2025-08-28 07:24:55
Wow slow down bud, you're about to pass quetal
2025-08-28 09:27:43
29 viewers on leap's stream, is he really going to wait 24 hourd before stopping ? He has to feel lonely right now ngl
2025-08-28 17:49:50
Is that even possible to do a 5M donation and cancel it ?
2025-08-29 10:16:36
[link removed]
2025-08-29 12:06:04
Nope, it's updating correctly on YT
2025-08-30 10:53:50
Website says PST time IIRC
2025-08-30 14:19:56
You're at breakeven, you still can sell tbh, but imo this will resolve as yes, you should be fine. There's a slight chance that it stays like that as we're on weekend and this ends monday, but seems unlikely
2025-08-30 15:55:46
38*
2025-08-30 16:51:55
Sure is, wanna buy some shares ?
2025-08-30 18:36:46
70, do more
2025-08-31 08:22:10
You were wrong by multiple millions 2 weeks ago with that model, why do you keep using that
2025-08-31 08:56:36
Your PNL on Mrbeast video from 2 weeks ago ? You were betting on something like 48M when we did 39M
2025-08-31 09:34:09
1.4M last 60 minutes. Need 1.2M/H to go above 35M
2025-08-31 09:54:24
The trend is so heratic lmao, we fluctuate between 800k/hour and 1.6M/hour
2025-08-31 09:56:30
This won't ever hit
2025-08-31 14:51:05
Okay bud 1.8M in 1h, fair enough
2025-09-01 17:18:15
It is, but low return. Still taking it
2025-09-02 04:09:30
Over right ?
2025-09-02 22:08:01
Yes
2025-09-03 14:09:17
It will require a bit less than 16M in 3 days to go above 80M, which is a bit more than 5M/day, last vid did 2-3M per day at this period
2025-09-03 19:00:59
Bdidbdi the drug
2025-09-03 23:01:24
So ahem, where are the 73M views ?
2025-09-04 13:21:33
More than 5M/day while the pace is decreasing, gl
2025-09-04 18:11:36
Who wants to lose 5$ ? 10M views on youtube is giving you way more revenues than this
2025-09-04 18:11:59
This is so scammy but good for you if you think that's legit
2025-09-05 07:05:03
You'll see tomorrow why. It needs more than 250k views/hour, we're barely at 200k, and pace is naturally decreasing everyday
2025-09-05 17:50:33
No, it has to be inbetween 60 and 70M
2025-09-06 09:36:33
Are you this desperate for a 3$ loss ?
2025-09-06 16:38:55
My best return are on mrbeast markets so far, trying to calculate early where the trend will end. Going small first, and when I'm 99% sure going all in if there's enough liquidity. Otherwise on the other markets I'm basically buying high odds indeed, where I know the risk is VERY low, typical example on the GPT5 launch date, it was stated it's going to be early august, I bet no for July 31st even tho it was around 90%. Risk was very limited for a 10% profits
2025-09-06 17:45:23
From my experience you should only buy low odds if you're early on an information and market didn't react yet, or if you want to scalp (for exemple you buy at 5% and sell at 10%, which is an x2, it needs an argument to pump tho) or you can buy low odds on things that should naturally increase because of a time limit (not sure how to explain that one, my english isn't good enough
2025-09-06 19:17:33
GL and stay safe
2025-09-08 20:01:38
Tomorrow when Bayrou is going to officially give his resign to Macron
2025-09-08 21:17:37
Not sure what caretaker means, he will stay PM until a new one is elected but can't take that much decision. However what matters is the rule, it just needs an announcement, it doesn't need him to be replaced to resolve as yes. So we just need him to officially resign (planned tomorrow)
2025-09-09 09:11:00
"regardless of when the announced resignation goes into effect". Read everything, not the 1st line of the rules only. The announcement is what counts for the resolution
2025-09-09 15:30:33
Aight thanks for that free 10% in 3 month
2025-09-09 15:32:20
Usual french riot happening 2 or 3 times/year
2025-09-11 17:58:52
He wants to stay, and no one will remove him, LFI is funny thinking they have a chance to make him leave kek. Not a single president resigned in like 70 years, he won't be the first, especially after being president after 8 years
2025-09-11 18:00:39
10% for 3/4 months is still insane, around 30/40% per year is a dream investment, with very to little no risk if we're being honest, there's more chance to see him die than resign
2025-09-11 18:40:27
And as you said, even his resignation wouldn't lead to anything
2025-09-13 18:45:18
A bit more, about 400-500k more at the same time so far
2025-09-14 14:26:53
Same narrative every 2 weeks huh ?
2025-09-14 15:11:07
Lmao it just pumps every 5min, nothing to worry about. There's no chance it goes to 45M. You looking for an exit pump on your worthless shares ?
2025-09-16 13:53:16
crash*
2025-09-17 14:51:02
It's for his latest vid, not the next one
2025-09-18 20:32:26
VPH hit 300K at one point, but it fluctuates between 120k and 300k. It doesn't mean VPH will stay at 300k
2025-09-19 09:10:13
You're expecting a 9+M views on day 7 while the amounts of views per day is : 1: 44M / 2: 21M / 3: 10M / 4: 5.6M / 5: 4.6M. Good luck, most of people already watched it last week-end
2025-09-19 11:37:52
Bfifbfifbidkd what counts is the upload time, not the time zone that YT is using 💀💀💀💀 Only 28.5h to go. Buy more shares bud, thanks for the money
2025-09-19 18:36:28
400k VPH, gl
2025-09-20 06:43:06
Oh look it needs 600k vph to reach 10M in 9 hours. Oh look it didn't happend since 96 hours as most of ppl already watched it. Oh look your bet is lost
2025-09-20 09:10:29
Yeah there's 1% chance. Which is cope
2025-09-20 10:54:26
Welp I'm having a good WR so far on MrB vids and I'm keeping data in an excel sheet and the pace needed at this time never happend. Reason why there's no chance
2025-09-20 14:25:11
You'll see me around every 2 weeks on this market so yeah we'll meet if you come back on this market, until I lose it all ahah. Gl for your next bets, keep collecting data, this helps massively
2025-09-21 02:28:27
How is Nentanyahu this high with how controversial his actions are ?
2025-09-21 13:02:22
Indeed, that's why I'm asking this question because I'm clueless on that
2025-09-21 13:34:26
Idk maybe to have the POV from someone but if you're that useless why do you keep talking ?
2025-09-24 17:01:40
You don't need a rule, just common sense
2025-09-27 09:35:07
What did he deliver exactly in Alaska ? Except the fact that Putin refuses anything now and is sending planes in Europe ?
2025-09-28 13:58:34
Hella close, gl to anyone holding this for the last 2 hours
2025-09-28 14:02:31
50k under the requirement, still needs a lil bit more than 1M vph to reach 35M
2025-09-28 15:38:50
1.5M vph needed for the last 20 minutes, should be over
2025-09-28 15:39:15
20min
2025-09-28 19:41:36
These websites aren't accurate enough, track the data by yourself
2025-10-03 10:44:17
Is the 1M VPH in the room with us ?
2025-10-03 16:38:44
Yeah okay 5.5M in a day with this performance and you're still coping, insane
2025-10-03 16:50:31
Keep buying your PNL isn't negative enough
2025-10-05 12:01:26
Idk, asked on discord, nothing yet, seems unlikely
2025-10-05 18:38:42
@SatoAkira un ptit mot sur le fabuleux nouveau gouvernement ? Bruno de retour, je suis en fou rire
2025-10-08 10:48:37
Source ? Can't find anything
2025-10-08 18:25:22
"langue de bois" as we say in France. So we're still in the unknown, Macron not willing to talk in such a big crisis, everything's fine.....
2025-10-10 15:15:10
[link removed]
2025-10-10 15:16:08
Next PM in the coming hours, as he said 2 days ago. The meeting allowed to find a new PM
2025-10-10 15:52:15
[link removed] It's definitely one last try before a new election. If this new PM fails he won't really have any choice tbh
2025-10-10 20:07:16
ggwp
2025-10-10 20:42:10
lmao no one in France is doing a confidence vote, it was an exception with Bayrou lately
2025-10-10 20:47:32
Source : chatgpt. Okay, fabulous
2025-10-10 20:54:51
Top blasted when I bought wayyy before the shitshow
2025-10-12 04:48:45
Bunkers vid did 34.4M and we're 1M higher at the same time. Doesn't really mean anything
2025-10-12 05:42:47
Buy yes 30-35M then ? Instead of your 2% return on your current bet
2025-10-12 05:46:14
@American-Hero thanks for the fill lmao, there's no way it does 1.6M VPH for the next 10 hours, free 11%, cheers
2025-10-12 05:54:04
Bids at .82 on no 40-45M, was happy with my fill at .90 but apparently some people don't understand that we won't even be close of the 1.6M needed in the last 10 hours. There's like 3% chance at best
2025-10-12 06:28:43
He shouldn't be saying for sure then :) I'm never 100% sure and I'm still putting money where I think it will go
2025-10-12 08:07:01
U're probably the one who sucks at math, what's your number to get 1.9M VPH ?
2025-10-12 08:30:34
Nope I'm not that guy, I only have this account
2025-10-12 10:47:07
That's cope ngl, 1.6/1.7M needed, that's the best pace it had in the early hours
2025-10-12 11:07:47
Worst moment is ahed of us, last 3-4 hours are way slower
2025-10-12 16:04:28
37.5M, perfectly in the middle that couldn't be any cleaner
2025-10-12 16:22:49
Wait for it to resolve first, then PM team usually remake a market 24-72h later
2025-10-12 17:34:14
Yep probably luck, nothing to do with analysis
2025-10-12 18:00:16
It's not 100% guaranteed, but when the vid is out since 18 hours and it needs 1.7M vph while it's currently doing 1.4/1.5M vph you don't have to be a genius to understand that the pace won't go up, it decreases at the end
2025-10-12 18:00:58
Anyway keep being stubborn, looks like it's working great for you
2025-10-15 09:33:41
Prob an L on this, a vid never did so many views on day 4, it wasn't a very impressive vid on day 1 but the trend never really died. Will need 5M/day from now on to reach 90M, doable but will be close, prolly around 92M
2025-10-15 11:06:17
Next 24 hours will decide the fate. If it's doing 5M it will be close, if it's doing a good 7M it's gg for 90-100
2025-10-15 13:23:03
Yup, but it's just the average views on days 5/6/7 on the previous vids. But looks like we'll do 7M on day 5, and prob 6M on days 6/7
2025-10-16 10:36:35
Your 30 bucks won't be worth anything too at the end tho
2025-10-17 08:51:18
Problems with chainlink so they're in pause, coming back soon today if everything goes well
2025-10-17 09:25:46
Imagine the smell if we end up below 90M while I sold at 2cts for a 1k loss kek. Day 7 is still doing a bit more than day 6 in average so still think we'll end up at 91-92M
2025-10-17 12:26:35
23.5 hours
2025-10-17 12:38:45
My bad lmao I was typing while walking, meant to say 27.5 hours
2025-10-17 14:12:25
GL @gitexcited for this last day swap, kinda ballsy
2025-10-17 20:27:27
19.5 hours
2025-10-17 21:02:20
Aight, pace will decrease at this time, the real fight begins, gl all
2025-10-18 12:24:36
[link removed]
2025-10-18 15:59:24
100 kids vs world's strongest man. It was published 7 days ago just of now, this bet is over
2025-10-19 16:07:30
Not out yet, wait for his next upload
2025-10-20 08:42:23
Every 2 weeks, so this saturday
2025-10-22 22:21:50
Nice call
2025-10-23 22:00:59
I've no idea why are you guys moving the odds like that, 3cts for 40-45, like wtf
2025-10-25 11:57:31
Tell me you don't know shit about what moving BTC means without telling you don't know shit about this
2025-10-25 16:04:49
I know why now :)
2025-10-26 16:35:42
You're not allowed to trade here if you're living in France
2025-10-28 09:33:12
In the rules : Thursday, October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Thursday will be Oct 30...
2025-10-30 14:35:27
Glad I got out this morning kek. 69.5-71M is my guess, let's see
2025-10-30 18:32:18
Last 2 days are always as fast as the 4th one, the decay is minimal at this time. Will be close for sure
2025-10-30 23:19:26
GL to you too, I re-entered because prices were cheap, not because I'm 100% confident btw
2025-11-08 17:38:50
Yeah that's weird
2025-11-08 18:26:23
Time change in the US last week
2025-11-09 10:47:56
1.5M, you're dreaming, pace can't accelerate that much that late after the upload
2025-11-09 14:13:44
Around 920k
2025-11-09 14:49:45
To the guy who proposed the 25M market : don't, you have to wait until the 24H deadline because YT can theorically remove views. Never happened, but that's some dumb rule to follow
2025-11-12 17:11:47
136 VPH at best to end below 60M is still very low, the decline shouldn't be that strong now. Still think 55-60 as this price is interesting
2025-11-12 19:39:35
Doesn't differ much from the 4th day when a vid isn't performing well as this one, we should do something like 3.5M per day for the last 3 days
2025-11-13 17:52:13
Under 3M per day didn't happen in a loooonnggg time, even in some really bad vids. Seems unlikely, not over, but odds are fair rn
2025-11-13 21:14:23
Are you really expecting a 1.5M view on day 6 ?
2025-11-15 16:05:49
It's because they added the market with lower brackets later on as sub 70M was guaranteed in the first 3 days
2025-11-22 20:53:55
Wtf is helpless doing, already 6K $ on sub 25M and still going
2025-11-23 01:56:22
views/hour
2025-11-29 04:46:51
We're litteraly in dead hours. Peak hours start in 6 hours and last for 10/12 hours
2025-11-29 09:50:30
? 2nd market where you're taunting me for no reason what's wrong with you ?
2025-11-29 17:17:27
Okay okay I get it. Well if I lose one day ggwp, I'm usually going all in when I have high conviction
2025-11-29 19:38:29
Only going all in when very confident on these markets, so far so good. But yeah I know rhe risks
2025-12-03 01:06:50
Where do you see that ?
2025-12-06 13:38:34
0B0 sells at 16 to buy at 50, interesting
2025-12-07 17:42:53
Don't really care about my small money here but thanks for the show guys, y'all are absolutely crazy lmaooooo. Small dot for this week tho, nothing comparable to the last 1k BTC buy from a few weeks ago, no reason to sell no here, and if I loose that will be to thank you all for the fun looking at the comments and size of positions
2025-12-07 23:17:26
Well GL to you, I couldn't sleep if I were you, hope this isn't life changing money for you because that's brutal if you lose
2025-12-08 12:42:51
Because that's true, Saylor is famous for being at cheap prices kek, he always have horrible entries, if he bought a lot his avg last week will be something like 92K
2025-12-08 13:08:46
Well paid my ticket to watch the shitshow this was in the comments lmaoo was a fun week. How did you guys get the announcement before the tweet tho ? Their website with purchases is still not updated, so yeah, there's somewhere else than twitter which displays their buys ?
2025-12-08 13:15:28
It never ever did sub 3M on the last 3 days, 2.5M a day would already be exceptional, you're way too biased
2026-01-01 11:23:10
The low IQ really disputed that
2026-01-03 17:08:12
Wednesday, he made a post on youtube telling why
2026-01-04 15:24:29
Maybe low IQ take but from what I saw in the YT comments, almost all "celebrities" are unknown to a lot of people so I don't think it will be that impactful, and the fact that it's not released on a weekend will balance the little effect on the celebrities. Maybe leftcurving this, we'll see
2026-01-04 17:56:19
Why should I ?
2026-01-04 20:35:16
Not here to convince people but to share opinions and see what ppl think
2026-01-05 14:46:53
It definitely has, why do you think he usually upload on saturdays ? There's an exception this time to match his beast game 2 or something
2026-01-05 17:59:54
Yeah the odds are reflecting that, everything is so stacked
2026-01-06 18:52:48
He posted that on insta/youtube/twitter
2026-01-08 02:32:12
Sorry for your loss as you said
2026-01-08 03:59:00
Celebrities that no one knows, 50 youtubers were way more entertaining to ppl
2026-01-09 11:19:38
They cope on their loss
2026-01-11 20:37:52
172k vph needed, around 350-400k right now, would buy some 80-90 if we weren't approaching the weekend, but this still seems somewhat undervalued right now
2026-01-11 20:40:44
Leaving the weekend I mean
2026-01-14 16:40:35
No, 3h20
2026-01-14 17:20:29
The amount of people in the comments which are betting without even knowing how much time is left đź’€
2026-01-17 15:34:32
Shorts don't count, not said in this market but it's always been like this
2026-01-20 17:08:24
So when does this end ? This day at 4PM ET or tomorrow ?
2026-01-24 17:32:31
A lot of vid did more than a million in the first 30min, nothing impressive at 900k right now
2026-01-24 21:03:41
[link removed]
2026-01-25 17:52:07
After
2026-01-25 21:37:59
Link ?
2026-02-09 14:38:09
"close" đź’€
2026-02-09 17:03:05
Now
2026-02-10 12:29:05
42.8/9
2026-02-10 13:09:29
Surely, 4h left for day 3, just in case you're on the wrong time
2026-02-12 15:44:48
1h15
2026-02-13 11:21:53
Why do you ALWAYS take the retarded bet hoping for the best ? This is maths not praying
2026-02-13 21:02:52
Not gonna complain on that one
2026-02-14 16:28:27
Maybe because there's only 37h left and not 49
2026-02-15 17:29:45
Yup
2026-02-20 15:10:27
What I saw too on 9:45-10, was up when it closed so I'm not sure what happend, UI glitch I guess, gg
2026-02-20 16:01:13
I know, but the graph of PM was displaying up at the close, then dumped a few seconds later. According to their UI it was up, I know how it works otherwise
2026-02-26 06:29:26
Secure some profits, views will drop around 60k now
2026-02-26 08:04:43
Yeah and ? 1k profit, 64k last hour something like that, odds shifted a bit
2026-03-02 20:09:42
Lmao 94 to 50 in 10min
2026-03-06 21:16:11
Bought some shares, got scared and sold a little, never came here before and thought I messed up, wtf is that, free money after the close litteraly
2026-03-08 15:00:35
1.5M vph needed, idk what you guys are smoking in the comments to say it's possible
2026-03-13 05:43:09
I hope you don't believe what you're saying, botting is obvious
2026-03-13 10:26:17
Can we talk somewhere mate ? You've always been silent so I'm not sure you'll accept but I'd gladly have a talk with you
2026-03-13 10:35:50
He can just create an other account whenever he wants, banning someone is useless
2026-03-13 11:47:59
If you have hourly data for the 7 first days in the last 10/15 vids you can clearly see the problem lmao, also just look at the odds and compare it to the previous markets to see what's going on. Also check top holders on 90+, new accounts who made bank, coincidence right ?
2026-03-13 12:23:47
Waterfall911 on discord, or on my X account on my profile if you prefer
2026-03-13 19:51:28
Speculation lmao yeah surely bud, will happily send you my excel sheet to prove you there's something wrong, even someone blind can see the problem here
2026-03-13 19:52:58
Gave you 2 choices to contact me, let me know if that's okay for you
2026-03-14 15:02:05
He sold a lot on his other accounts so he probably stopped botting by securing profits and thinking he wouldn't be able to bot that much at the very end anyway. And if he's a guy that created a botting service it could be cheap for him I guess
2026-03-14 15:02:50
Source of the ban ?
2026-03-22 20:54:45
Day 2 here (finally)
2026-03-25 14:30:34
It's updated every 5min, last update will be at 58 (1h28 from now)
2026-03-26 16:26:09
Same :) Almost it all on the past vid because of that guy. Was truly the fairest market, no insider, but manipulation is possible, which weren't the case for months and months. That guy ruined a whole market for some greed, one vid wasn't even enough for him
2026-03-26 16:36:22
Low IQ talking, can't even complain about manipulation now lmao
2026-03-26 16:38:21
Only hope is that this guy is going to pay more than what he earns on market and has to stop, or YT filtering views better than this, not simply remove them, but don't add them in the first place. Also if the market adapts too much to his manipulation he might not get any good entry anymore as he used too, we can see now that the odds can stay stupidly high for long as everyone is scared, he might not get these 0.5ct fills anymore maybe
2026-03-26 16:41:13
I know I know, was referring to Damien being the low IQ, just making sure
2026-03-26 19:07:17
No bots at all today
2026-03-27 04:14:52
I thought it was funny ? What changed ? You had a lot of fun last vid :)
2026-03-28 15:04:19
Happened once the very first day where the manipulator appeared on the last vid
2026-04-01 07:10:42
Doesn't need to beat a record to do something close to 110, last cube vid did around 160M on first week. We'll see how it goes anyway, no one knows
2026-04-07 23:25:26
Sorry about it but now that we know that this guy can add a lot of view never put that much liquidity for high brackets, that's a good R:R for him, you can do that on lower ones tho as he can't remove the views.
2026-04-09 16:01:32
70,999,897
2026-04-09 16:02:07
Livecounts just try to make a smooth chart, what counts is the update from youtube every 5min
2026-04-09 16:38:49
What are you even saying lmao, we all have the same numbers, if you're thinking this because you're looking at live counters such as livecounts just learn how they're working. What matters is the youtube API
2026-04-10 15:22:56
There's no point comparing vids when there's botting, but last day of celebrities was abysmal, something like 2M on day 7
2026-04-10 17:57:40
What counts in the number at day 7
2026-04-17 10:56:05
Why betting against then ?
2026-04-18 12:06:04
Probably insiders, we'll see
2026-04-18 22:50:43
That's probably the best thing that could happen, no more liquidity for him, he will have to stop and disappear, and let's hope he's not coming back as people are getting confident again in the next months
2026-04-19 12:57:36
Wasn't pushed a lot by the french community this time I feel like, didn't hear about it compared to the previous one 2 years ago. Idk if the spanish shared it more or not, but in France no one cared about it. Also no manipulation here so far, no spike in views. We'll see next days tho
2026-04-21 10:31:52
Just a reminder that there won't be any video from mrb on april, next is on may
2026-04-23 09:18:37
He announces it when that happens
2026-04-23 18:33:15
The comments after each release are always funny, OAI are doings a tweet + a whole article to say that the model is released and people are still saying dispute
2026-04-24 18:35:00
Because it's getting botted lmao, if he stops botting it would be at something like 200k at best right now, peak hours
2026-04-24 19:36:55
Could be, some large botting since 24 hours so maybe some views deleted soon
2026-04-24 20:14:01
Happened twice, on the wild ex vid, no deletion, and on the celebrities vids on the last day, no botting but that pace stayed for 2 hours or something before going back to normal
2026-05-01 19:53:23
Problem is, there's an outage multiple times per week
2026-05-05 11:53:27
He just gave 5k or so to the manipulator ggwp
2026-05-05 18:20:28
We all know it since 2/3 months, no more proofs needed tbh
2026-05-05 20:55:25
They're sometimes, they did that for the superbowl vid
2026-05-06 18:54:44
Because only 1 guy is taking care of this market and when he's not online on discord it's gg no one from PM is answering
2026-05-07 20:26:38
Cope more, they're not even removing views so it's not flagged as botting, it's not 5 random reports which will change anything
2026-05-07 21:23:35
When ? Because I don't see any deletion on that vid
2026-05-07 21:29:04
Can't DM you without X premium
2026-05-09 15:19:32
What's your plan ? We know he's manipulating and can't do anything about it, just take it into account
2026-05-15 15:12:53
He lost quite a bit on the last vid, we'll see if YT found a fix for the next vids
2026-05-15 22:33:07
He added some but not as much as before, and still was so heavy on 90+ so he ended loosing like 20k $ on the last vid. If YT is filtering views he might stop, we'll see
2026-05-17 16:05:19
Welp a 2nd plane hit the indian tower apparently. He's down by like 30K on his last 2 bets on mrb vid. There's definitely some hope for this market to find confidence again
2026-05-19 09:05:07
He just failed day 1 with his new account. He's up like 50K on all of his accounts
2026-05-21 22:56:27
[link removed]
2026-05-22 04:36:47
[link removed]
2026-05-22 04:36:55
Sent
2026-05-22 08:30:10
They didn't remove any views in the first 7 days in the last 2 vids tho
2026-05-22 08:53:22
Did I say that we know there won't be any deletion ?
2026-05-22 18:12:02
Lmao if YT isn't removing any view on that this is the worst anti-bot I've seen. The normal pace should be like 5-7k views/5min on average, and it's doing 20-25k, he's adding basically 20k views every 5min, if YT doesn't even see that this platform is garbge
2026-05-22 19:13:40
Not over at all, wasn't expecting that much botting, 300k per hour is crazy
2026-05-22 19:57:20
Last vid had a natural pace, it was a good vid woth a lot of geniuine views. Right now 80% of the views are fake
2026-05-22 20:10:17
Idk, was confident he couldn't bot all day but thought he couldn't bring this above 300k vph. So idk, left my position in case because the pace is really massive. Maybe some views removed in the upcoming hours tho, would be gg for him
2026-05-22 21:17:59
Yeah 9.4M on day 6, was the very first botted vid, maybe YT added an extra filter or something idk
2026-05-22 21:43:04
Kinda regretting the fact that I sold it all when we were going at 360k vph womp womp
2026-05-22 23:51:57
F me, sold when the botting was very agressive, gave away 600$ of profits đź’€
2026-05-23 14:10:48
I'll buy them at 97 if you want
2026-05-23 16:20:01
Not interested to buy that high
2026-05-31 09:54:42
Yes
2026-05-31 15:30:50
Nothing to see here guys
2026-06-01 10:01:52
It will do above 60, compare it to strongest man vs robot and 100ppl vs trap. Both ended right above 60M and did 39M day 2. We're 2M ahead with a faster pace
2026-06-01 13:51:41
Idk where you're seeing botting, pace was normal, and he didn't buy anything sus. Even on weekly he's not buying high brackets
2026-06-03 13:16:52
75 hours
2026-06-03 16:01:19
There's no botting on that vid stop coping
2026-06-06 14:04:06
Way closer than I thought
2026-06-09 16:53:10
It's out
2026-06-09 16:53:19
On API
2026-06-09 16:54:42
Idk who put a 10k shares wall at 90, that's a free 1K for everyone đź’€
2026-06-09 17:57:15
What's funny is that you can see people over there saying it's a scam too because fable is considered as mythos, so not getting resolved as yes is angrying people too. Bet no on there next time, and read the rules
2026-06-09 18:39:04
It was changed because people asked for a clarification to avoid that case, it was public knowledge that it was going to be named fable and would be announced as a mythos-level model
2026-06-09 18:49:28
That's not manipulation when it was done way before the deadline. If it stayed like that people would have argued about "it's not called mythos but it's still a mythos according to Anthropic"
2026-06-09 18:50:12
It would have been disputed and would have created a drama. Just bet accordingly when there's a clarification
2026-06-09 19:11:28
I lack understanding about how market work but I'm still able to understand if that's going to be hes or no by reading a clarification, anyway have a good evening
2026-06-12 15:23:30
Live isn't a video
2026-06-12 15:34:02
Because it's litteraly a different thing. Click on videos, latest, and tell me if you see his stream ? Then you go into live tab and you see his stream
2026-06-13 08:28:50
All good
2026-06-15 09:28:12
Should end above 39, by 200k I'd say
2026-06-17 10:46:45
His last one wit YT legends, why would you bet without even knowing it ?
2026-06-17 20:10:12
Why are you going buying on that market lmaoooo
2026-06-18 17:04:07
He's posting this saturday, 1 vid every 2 weeks
2026-06-18 20:12:08
New polymarket : Is this market going to be disputed ? Some ppl from both side will look for the dumbest arguments to justify their position, good luck defining crying properly. Want to be on yes but the dispute is what's scaring me
2026-06-19 10:48:30
Wouldn't be that confident, depends if he can keeps his botting for the next 5 hours or not, good luck !
2026-06-19 16:51:13
Since 2024, can you stop talking ? You're saying shit everytime just stop. He's there since a few months only
2026-06-22 16:18:52
Scared + deleted his comments on his thesis, kinda funny, tried to have a good exit
2026-06-23 14:04:20
I anyone is reading this, that's a neg risk market, while it's not supposed to. Be careful it's not going to resolve as yes right when 133B is hit. There's a mistake on that market
2026-06-26 11:56:34
He said it last vid, which is rare enough
2026-06-27 11:51:29
6.2K volume, idk where you're getting 500k. And the early volume is because they put 200$ worth or rewards, which helps massively
2026-06-28 13:26:01
Sama tweeted 2 days ago that he's working to make 5.6 available worldwide lmao, they don't know if they'll be able because of trump
2026-06-28 19:00:03
25 862 000
2026-07-01 19:02:24
He won once bigly when the botter arrived on the market without anyone being aware, and now he's always buying higher brackets hoping the manipulator will buy the same one. And the logic is always braindead, wish we could hide some accounts that we don't like
2026-07-07 19:04:53
Because it was planned to launch 7th-9th, the faster the better, but it was most likely decided sunday to launch on thursday, that's when the odds shifted so they probably got the launch date announcement
2026-07-24 16:56:47
So ahem what's up with the "they never release models on friday"
2026-07-24 17:01:24
Source of the release ? Claude website/twitter/API, it's out
2026-07-24 17:02:33
You were literally the one calling for no release on friday btw
2026-07-24 17:05:49
Can't post links in the comments anymore afaik, my message isn't sending
2026-07-25 20:03:37
It's not botting, it's just every update on 5min
2026-07-26 10:09:37
Yes
2026-07-26 17:55:07
Working on my side
2026-07-29 12:23:59
That's what he's doing, botting views, he's famous for that, that's why odds shifted so much and views started to go way faster
2026-07-29 15:58:39
Gg tough, and leave that market bud, you keep loosing so much money. Just fucking stop and leave with what you made on the 1st week, you did like 60/70k, take your profit and move on, you can't bet profitably anymore on that, YT filters got better
2026-08-09 14:10:27
He lost a single dollar on this and complains about insider lmao
2026-08-12 09:46:55
Gg, guess we have an other botter or tough is using new accounts
2026-08-12 10:25:36
It should but it's way closer than it should be, sub 30M on day 1 is usually giving around 60-70, not close to 80
2026-08-13 03:04:29
It needed to be posted in july
2026-08-14 10:08:12
He's not trading this anymore
2026-08-18 15:09:17
So this market is basically over and people will have to wait 1 years and like 4 months to get fully paid, well
2026-08-18 16:49:59
No one will propose because "they can still come back before 2028"
2026-09-02 18:56:27
Nice entry, quick reaction when gpt6 was spotted ggwp
2026-09-04 19:16:29
OAI cooked me hard this week, what a stupid launch that was. Ggwp to those who ate