Account Information
Name:
Arbguy
Bio:
betmoar-88600
Pseudonym:
Milky-Morbidity
Created:
2024-07-03 03:49:12
Last Activity:
33 minutes ago
Tier:
Silver
profile-image-579664-da89e4e7-3700-4370-a0cf-db870192d5fd.webp
Total Profit
$419,875
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$289,378.09
Markets traded
992
Trades
980
Largest win
$448,887.97
Profile views
28,579
Join date
2024-07-03 03:49:12
All-time rank
502
All-time PnL
$419,875.50
All-time volume
$63,697,347.21
All-time profit
$500,249.80
Lifetime volume
$63,218,530.25
PnL series latest
$495,173.34
PnL series start
$530,166.30
PnL series points
23
Weighted volume
$58,710.50
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 726785.511006 | $448,887.97 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 230121.113729 | $200,600.14 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 216464.247401 | $132,811.58 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 1836022.387736 | $-97,608.11 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 785275.533211 | $-85,799.07 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 338145.56 | $-79,834.93 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 35402.4277 | $0.83 | $0.89 | $31,331.15 | $2,079.09 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 57485.6719 | $0.48 | $0.49 | $28,455.41 | $752.36 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 155444.6091 | $0.23 | $0.15 | $24,093.91 | $-10,982.63 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 47217.7988 | $0.49 | $0.51 | $23,844.99 | $540.99 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 892945.215 | $0.01 | $0.03 | $22,770.10 | $10,831.43 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 726785.511006 | $448,887.97 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 230121.113729 | $200,600.14 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 216464.247401 | $132,811.58 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 162351.768951 | $106,928.61 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 151529.7 | $104,303.06 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 minutes ago | TRADE | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | $0.35 | 10 | $3.50 |
| 3 hours ago | TRADE | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | $0.35 | 1.53846 | $0.54 |
| 3 hours ago | TRADE | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | $0.35 | 1.53846 | $0.54 |
| 5 hours ago | MAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 22.6717 | $22.67 | |||
| 6 hours ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 11.5548 | $11.55 |
Recent trades (980)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 minutes ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | $0.35 | 10 |
| 3 hours ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | $0.35 | 1.53846 |
| 3 hours ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | $0.35 | 1.53846 |
| 8 hours ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | $0.35 | 500 |
| 8 hours ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | $0.35 | 9465.63 |
Comments
2024-07-23 15:40:04
Is the oval office address gonna be AI too? LOL
2024-07-23 15:40:58
Amazing people put their hard earned funds at risk based on a Laura Loomer tweet....
2024-07-23 15:56:03
huh? People were buying No at 65 last night, after the LL and "Global Press" tweets
2024-07-23 16:01:44
OK Sir, not sure your point?
2024-07-23 18:49:57
poor man
2024-07-31 19:33:12
kelly cheap
2024-07-31 20:10:13
why can't i redeem
2024-08-05 18:21:08
BALLZ TO THE WALZ
2024-08-05 19:47:18
yes i'm sure the trump account has the inside scoop!
2024-08-05 23:57:04
what nancy wants nancy gets
2024-08-06 00:22:34
imagine betting AGAINST Walz...
2024-08-06 00:48:49
bruh
2024-08-06 00:49:17
we got BALLZ TO THE WALZ BRUH
2024-08-06 13:12:31
don't worry i heard Beshear ordered 7 Uber XLs to his house!
2024-08-07 19:19:31
kamala just gonna hide behind the prompter and ride this one out
2024-08-13 02:14:48
lol tampon jfc
2024-09-18 18:02:35
idiots
2024-09-18 18:12:23
maybe he'll change his mind before presser
2025-03-07 18:20:03
when/how does the vote process take place
2025-03-07 18:26:50
good luck No holders :kek:
2025-03-07 18:26:53
[link removed]
2025-03-07 18:33:16
false. There was no strategic reserve until the EO was signed. It has now been signed and those coins are now designated as being part of that reserve, hence being held in a strategic reserve thus immediate YES resolution appropriate
2025-03-07 18:40:09
No, adhering strictly to the contract language, as you suggest below, the US GOVERNMENT needs to hold them in it's reserves. The US government already owns the bitcoin, which has now been designated as being part of the reserve, thus they hold them in the strategic reserve. No official "transfer" or reporting is necessary to meet that condition.
2025-03-07 18:46:41
wrong again. My argument is that the US holdings of bitcoin have now been designated as a strategic bitcoin reserve asset, and are therefore now held in the reserve
2025-03-07 19:42:32
even woke claude agrees: The key question is whether the Bitcoin is now being "held in reserves" as specified by the contract, rather than simply being in government possession. Looking at the executive order more carefully: Section 3(a) states the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve will be "capitalized with all BTC held by the Department of the Treasury that was finally forfeited" and that this Bitcoin "shall be maintained as reserve assets of the United States." The order specifically redesignates the status of these already-owned Bitcoin from simply being forfeited assets to official "reserve assets of the United States." While administrative processes are still being set up, the legal status of these Bitcoin holdings has changed by executive order - they are now officially designated as reserve assets. This is essentially, as you put it, a "left pocket right pocket issue." The government already possesses the Bitcoin, and the executive order has changed the legal status and purpose of these holdings to be reserve assets, even if the physical transfer between accounts hasn't happened yet. Upon reconsideration, I do uphold the YES resolution. The U.S. government is now holding Bitcoin as reserve assets by official designation through executive order, which meets the contract's condition that "the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves" within the specified timeframe.
2025-03-07 21:15:48
wow a no holder said something incorrect again. SHOCKER
2025-03-10 15:50:57
EO Is not posted on federal register yet. Once that occurs p2 must be confirmed and the shenanigans can stop
2025-06-20 13:52:57
classic trump misdirection. They will go tonight
2025-06-20 14:05:57
they go tonight. classic trump misdirection. who honestly believes he would openly give them a 2 week reprieve :kek:
2025-06-20 14:39:09
they are doing a one-off MOAB attack, not regime change. Sanctions would be put on either way until the fundamentalists are replaced
2025-06-20 14:40:56
cute how people think an islamic fundamentalist would prefer to cave to the zionists and evil Americans when he has an opportunity to martyr himself. He's deciding between 72 virgins or becoming Trump's bitch
2025-06-20 14:42:15
cute
2025-06-20 15:29:09
something out?
2025-06-20 15:30:13
says the poor man who cares about 2.7k LOL
2025-06-20 17:17:37
it was always tonight
2025-06-20 17:19:28
Islamic fundamentalist regimes are not rational. Trump's (rational) terms: UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER
2025-06-20 17:20:43
i heard nancy pelosi called trump TACO to his face. He's going tonight
2025-06-20 17:24:17
Trump terms: UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER... Fundamentalist regime terms: TELL ISRAEL TO STOP BOMBING THEN WE CAN TALK BUT WE WANT OUR URANIUM AND IF NOT IT'S OK WE WILL MARTYR OURSELVES TO 42 VIRGINS
2025-06-20 18:08:42
cute. that's what makes a market you fool
2025-06-20 18:09:38
i heard khomenei is gay and trump's terms are UNCONDITIONAL COMING OUT OF THE CLOSET
2025-06-20 18:33:45
oh please... try being gay in tehran, these people execute homosexuals
2025-06-20 18:35:50
sent, please confirm
2025-06-20 18:45:13
this market expires tonight bruh
2025-06-20 18:55:16
"2 weeks" LOL you guys hanging your hat on that must be pure retard
2025-06-20 19:05:22
smart money moves markets
2025-06-21 18:57:56
I cannot wait to rub all that sweet "NO" money all over my titties. Imagine taking a trump "2 weeks" comment at face value. Imagine believing that he would actually tell Iran "Don't worry, the next two weeks you don't need to worry -- we'll let you know before we strike". Imagine believing that islamic fundamentalist will behave rationally when being offered martyrdom.
2025-06-21 18:59:27
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!
2025-06-22 03:02:23
Thanks NOtards, please play again!
2025-06-22 03:07:17
Classic scam market, avoid at all costs (or bet no)
2025-06-22 03:10:46
I'm literally betting no because this is a POLYMARKET SCAM MARKET!!!! You think Iran will admit anything was destroyed???? IAEA is inept! Might as well be the fucking DNC finance dept.
2025-06-22 03:12:50
as do ALL other poly SCAM markets.
2025-06-22 03:13:06
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!
2025-06-22 03:13:23
I HAVE MORE AMMO IN THE BARREL FISH
2025-06-23 18:27:45
Trump said it's destroyed on TRUTH SOCIAL
2025-06-23 23:42:14
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER
2025-06-24 00:01:03
yes is fucked, disputes will win. UMA SCAMS AGAIN
2025-06-24 13:35:10
No buyers torching again
2025-06-24 13:38:35
they could launch a full scale war today and it would have no bearing on this market. No holders clearly can't read
2025-06-24 13:41:59
LOL no holders coping so hard. Either way you still have to beat UMA which you will ABSOLUTELY never do. Good luck! Have fun!
2025-06-24 14:14:50
Are you guys fucking retarded? Just because the FM initially denied it does in invalidate the fact that a senior Iranian official unequivocally confirmed the cease fire to Reuters. AND the Iranian Supreme National Security Council has ALSO confirmed. Therefore the conditions of this market have been MET. I'ts over. Stop coping and save yourself the last few pennies you can before UMA votes you into bankruptcy. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER.
2025-06-24 14:16:05
DOES NOT MATTER YOU INBRED
2025-06-24 14:20:46
LOL yea market really believes that when it's at 99%... dear lord
2025-06-24 14:26:46
YOU SEEM TO BE IN A GREAT POSITION TO COUNSEL WITH YOUR PENNIES AND RETARD BETTING
2025-06-24 14:28:09
I'm just trying to help the common man simpletons save their last pennies
2025-06-24 14:40:37
YOU GUYS HAVE A DUTY TO YOUR FAMILY TO SAVE YOUR LAST PENNIES, DEAR GOD WHY TORCH
2025-06-24 14:50:53
FINALLY YOU FISH CAME TO YOUR SENSE SLIGHTLY
2025-06-24 14:53:01
It's a done deal. It's called yield, take a finance class you retard
2025-06-24 14:54:12
one side is stupid, but not the side with money. Financial Darwinism on display for all to see
2025-06-24 14:55:42
Yes, it's a betting market. Plan is always to take money from illiterates and degenerates.
2025-06-24 14:57:18
opportunity cost, take a finance class you retard. I'll be rubbing that money all over my titties until I take money from illiterates in the Fardow market which I will then rub on my titties
2025-06-24 15:58:15
NOTARDS TORCH AGAIN!!!
2025-06-24 16:47:59
lol P3
2025-06-24 16:48:14
more COPE!!!!
2025-06-24 16:50:01
Absent confirmation from Iran or IAEA that the facility is DESTROYED, this will resolve P1.
2025-06-24 16:52:33
It's a done deal. that is a .5% return in two days which is an annualized return in excess of 245%. That beats your fidelity money market fund by a mile. He's not "risking" 550k because this is a done deal and will resolve P2 once the UMA vote is complete.
2025-06-24 17:01:22
There has already been a ceasefire which satisfies the market. It's just going through the dispute process which runs on 48 hour cycles. The vote will resolve the market to YES.
2025-06-24 17:19:37
Read the market. There are conditions for yes, after which it says "otherwise it will resolve to NO". Those conditions have not been met, and unless they are met by 6/30 it will resolve to NO. Save your money while you can.
2025-06-24 17:22:59
Are you illiterate? It literally says If X, then yes, OTHERWISE NO!
2025-06-24 17:31:52
For some reason YES tards think there is some burden of proof required to resolve this to NO. It literally says if Iran or IAEA confirm it's destroyed then resolve yes. OTHERWISE, resolve no. Shocking some people lack such basic reading comprehension. Case study on financial Darwinism.
2025-06-24 17:53:21
you're right that it's extremely easy to understand. All you have to do is read the rules.
2025-06-24 17:53:35
it literally says "OTHERWISE IT WILL RESOLVE TO NO"
2025-06-24 18:01:12
Those are the necessary conditions for the market to resolve to YES. You are betting on those conditions happening or not happening.
2025-06-24 18:01:48
"expects". learn to read
2025-06-24 18:12:32
no, this is a simple market. It will resolve to NO unless the IAEA or Iran confirms that it's been destroyed (according to the definition of destroyed that's laid out).
2025-06-24 18:17:08
speculation from someone does not constitute "confirmation from official sources"
2025-06-24 18:24:37
"At this time, no one, including the IAEA, is in a position to have fully assessed the underground damage at Fordow," Grossi said in a statement to an emergency meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency's 35-nation Board of Governors.
2025-06-24 18:29:41
filled some more of my bags, thanks YESTARDS
2025-06-24 18:30:21
correct, therefore it will resolve to no.
2025-06-24 18:42:09
p3 will be less than 1% of the vote
2025-06-24 18:51:16
Someone created a flow chart, for those that are having a hard time understanding how this will resolve on 7/1 [link removed]
2025-06-24 18:53:42
+----------------------------------+ | Before June 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET? | +----------------------------------+ | | No | | Yes v v [Resolve âNoâ] +--------------------------------------+ | Did Iran or IAEA officially confirm | | physical destruction of the | | underground centrifuge facilities? | +--------------------------------------+ | | Yes | | No v v [Resolve âYesâ] [Resolve âNoâ]
2025-06-24 18:57:32
I guess that flow chart cleared a few things up lol
2025-06-24 19:02:25
people are getting out of their losing YES positions
2025-06-24 19:03:33
CNN highlighting the other major issue for YES-tards. Not only is it highly highly unlikely that the IAEA or Iran will confirm ANYTHING by deadline, we still don't even know if anything was actually destroyed.
2025-06-24 19:13:22
there is no burden of proof for NO, you are the clown sir. If they weren't actually destroyed, obv the IAEA will not confirm it's destroyed.
2025-06-24 19:17:48
you can pry my no shares out of my cold dead hands
2025-06-24 19:21:57
they are dumping bro
2025-06-24 19:24:53
I heard khomeni's boyfriend is in charge of all nuclear inspections for Iran, and he's currently tied up in a Tehran bunker for at least the next 7-12 days
2025-06-24 19:44:18
people still seem confused. The absense of yes CONFIRMATION, specifically from IAEA or Iran, is all that is necessary to resolve NO. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER
2025-06-24 19:44:56
FLOW CHART: [link removed]
2025-06-24 20:32:51
CHECK THE FLOW CHART BRO [link removed]
2025-06-24 22:56:32
nice cope, thanks for the money
2025-06-24 23:46:37
jfc, no holders are still here coping?????
2025-06-25 00:04:45
plenty of time to save your money YES tards. But theta on our side now, good luck -- have fun!
2025-06-25 13:30:01
another gift from the YES tards who don't understand the market rules
2025-06-25 13:31:37
The MSM will surely report the statements from the WH and Israel, and also will report on the US intelligence assessment which contradicts those statements. Obviously, absent the IAEA or Iran CONFIRMING, this market will resolve to NO.
2025-06-25 13:32:03
Flow chart for those that are still confused: [link removed]
2025-06-25 13:33:47
Trump was obv VERY upset about the reporting yesterday, made a call to his friend bibi and asked that they disseminate a different assessment. LOL at thinking that changes this market in ANY way shape or form. Good luck! Have fun!
2025-06-25 13:35:32
i feel for those that don't understand the market, except for the fact that i provided you a fucking FLOW CHART FOR RETARDS yesterday. So sorry not sorry
2025-06-25 13:44:32
Imagine believing the US/Israel being good sources for the resolution of this market
2025-06-25 13:51:07
Source -- trust me bro!
2025-06-25 13:53:46
The market rules are very specific and yet people seem to find ways to make them fit their own bags. Hilarious.
2025-06-25 13:55:26
I don't think you understand the word "consensus" or its role here. You are putting all your weight on statements from trump and israel.
2025-06-25 13:57:28
The market defines destroyed with precision. Lol at thinking a broad statement of "severely damaged" meets that definition.
2025-06-25 13:58:03
It's sad that people lose money on this site not because they are bad bettors but simply because they can't comprehend the market rules. It happens daily.
2025-06-25 13:59:10
severely damaged does not mean destroyed. The rules are very specific and that statement is very broad.
2025-06-25 13:59:26
nobody said non functional you retard
2025-06-25 14:00:29
please share where the IAEA or Iran has confirmed this, otherwise your inferences are worthless. Read rules again, clearly you are illiterate.
2025-06-25 14:01:27
Yes holders still have time to save real money. Time is running out
2025-06-25 14:04:59
Car sold out mostly. He's smart, sign of a good gambler is admitting when you're wrong (with your wallet)
2025-06-25 14:05:30
There will be no MSM "consensus" when there are conflicting intelligence assessments. People are coping very hard.
2025-06-25 14:08:22
absolutely not lol
2025-06-25 14:15:12
Once again David and other yestards are eithe illiterate, haven't bothered to read the rules, or are unable to overcome their own biases when interpreting the rules.
2025-06-25 14:16:37
FLOW CHART FOR RETARDS: [link removed]
2025-06-25 14:19:16
LOL at believing there will be media consensus when there are conflicting intelligence assessments and NOBODY is in a position to know other than Iran
2025-06-25 14:19:32
study the word "CONSENSUS"
2025-06-25 14:20:35
Yes turtle, it's really easy to assess what's happening UNDER A MOUNTAIN, when the people controlling it won't confirm anything or let anyone in.
2025-06-25 14:21:44
you're interpretation of the rules require an understanding of grammer yes, clearly you think you're betting on the market title only and can't read rules
2025-06-25 14:22:42
inferences will not be used to resolve this market. CONFIRMATION, specifically from IAEA or IRAN, are what's necessary to resolve this market
2025-06-25 14:23:28
People's opinions on what's happening under the mountain are not relevant. Only confirmation from IAEA or Iran matter.
2025-06-25 14:24:21
consensus CONFIRMING destruction will not happen and is not possible given the circumstances. LOL cope harder
2025-06-25 14:26:21
IAEA: "At this time, no one - including the IAEA - is in a position to have fully assessed the underground damage at Fordow."
2025-06-25 14:26:39
Iran: "LOL we will not tell you bro"
2025-06-25 14:26:54
Trump: "we totally destroyed that shit"
2025-06-25 14:27:29
Israel: "yes trump is right"
2025-06-25 14:28:02
CNN/NYT: "US Intelligence assessment show nuclear enrichment facilities NOT destroyed"
2025-06-25 14:28:16
yea ok, CONSENSUS IS HERE!!!
2025-06-25 14:28:44
I'm trying to save people money at this point, i do not like how often people lose money on this site making bets that would be sound not for the fact that they don't read or understand the rules
2025-06-25 14:29:50
that's not the point. Point is, where is your CONSENSUS?
2025-06-25 14:32:25
LALO check the flow chart bro. That is what you are betting on
2025-06-25 14:33:14
[link removed]
2025-06-25 14:38:28
Fix the flow chart for those that still need it! [link removed]
2025-06-25 14:40:16
but,.. but.... MSM CONSENSUS IS COMING!
2025-06-25 14:43:24
Iran is not cooperating with the IAEA. Iran will not disclose anything regarding Fordow damage assessment. Reporting outside of this is contradictory. This is VERY simple. Good luck, have fun!
2025-06-25 14:44:46
People quoting IAEA don't understand inferences versus confirmation. IAEA: IAEA: "At this time, no one - including the IAEA - is in a position to have fully assessed the underground damage at Fordow."
2025-06-25 14:48:02
Another point of confusion that will lead to economic harm to retards: THE BURDEN OF PROOF IS ON YES, OTHERWISE IT WILL RESOLVE TO NO. THIS MUST BE CONFIRMED BY IRAN OR IAEA OTHERWISE IT WILL RESOLVE TO NO.
2025-06-25 14:56:08
amazing people don't understand the word consensus.
2025-06-25 14:56:34
p3 not happening bro. Rules clearly state "otherwise this will resolve to no"
2025-06-25 14:57:12
OK, and you think there is consensus when there are literally conflicting reports?
2025-06-25 14:59:39
Iran has claimed no such thing, read your own definition of destroyed again. CNN/NYT reporting that US assessment is that it was NOT destroyed.
2025-06-25 15:00:29
Knure cannot be saved. I hope the rest of you can before it's too late.
2025-06-25 15:01:44
Not a concern here. It can be determined whether Iran or IAEA has confirmed therefore p3 will not be chosen.
2025-06-25 15:02:23
70 incoming
2025-06-25 15:03:46
um my cost is 55c retard. Was much higher until the yestards blew out the market because of an Israeli statement LOL!
2025-06-25 15:07:26
The "truth" is not the bet. This is the bet: [link removed]
2025-06-25 15:08:32
irrelevant but thanks for the update chief!
2025-06-25 15:10:35
Sigh... Some people cannot be saved. Good luck, have fun!
2025-06-25 15:27:39
I gave everyone the advice needed to save money, only a few listened. There is still time but you will never likely see 50s again yestards
2025-06-25 15:32:33
i don't think attempted coup, i think panic buying due to a lack of reading comprehension
2025-06-25 15:37:54
the walmart of sweden, comes to the rescue
2025-06-25 15:41:10
OMG -- Seymour Hirsch just wrote the centrifuges weren't even targeted!!! AHAHAHAHAH
2025-06-25 15:41:37
Check his most recent substack
2025-06-25 15:43:19
"None of the US bombs was meant to strike the enriched-uranium storage facility or the centrifuges spinning away."
2025-06-25 15:43:46
"I was told that some members of the Israeli delegation to the talks had second thoughts almost immediately about the fact that the centrifuges and enriched uranium would be left untouched by the US strike."
2025-06-25 15:45:07
just incredible
2025-06-25 15:45:38
This is the man that said on Thursday, US would bomb on Saturday!
2025-06-25 15:50:15
The only CONSENSUS that's coming is that there has been no CONFIRMATION that the centrifuges have been destroyed.
2025-06-25 15:50:58
I even shared paywalled data with you guys, from a very reliable, but under the radar, source. I'm doing all I can to help you save money. I will not be selling a share
2025-06-25 15:53:17
Zac maybe if you worked harder your bankroll could handle more than 500 shares, and MAYBE even on the right side!
2025-06-25 15:54:45
I'm here for the little guy. good luck, have fun!
2025-06-25 15:59:23
doesn't even matter. The sources are in the rules. People can't read
2025-06-25 16:06:49
It's almost as if a meaningful percentage of Trump supporters are either illiterate or incapable of overcoming their own biases
2025-06-25 16:13:45
It will either resolve yes or no, 50/50 clearly!
2025-06-25 16:23:06
Shaking in my boots that Iran will let the IAEA into fordow!!!
2025-06-25 16:46:41
lol even hegseth says nobody knows status as you would need a very large shovel! Confirmation (not) coming!
2025-06-25 17:19:01
Tragic story of yes tard minnows not being able to read the rules and yes whales dumping on them
2025-06-25 17:27:40
sad that people still don't know the rules. I even made a flow chart :(
2025-06-25 17:29:45
[link removed]
2025-06-25 17:30:51
FM making a general statement saying facilities badly damaged does not remotely constitute CONFIRMATION, that FORDOW has been DESTROYED as defined by the rules. More cope, more lost money. Please be better.
2025-06-25 17:32:02
destroyed are precisely defined by the rules. The rules require confirmation specifically by one of those two bodies. Not some inference
2025-06-25 17:33:58
this needs to be confirmed not inferred
2025-06-25 17:38:15
what if trump says your car is destroyed?
2025-06-25 17:40:15
Trump is picking a fight with the MSM and people think there will be a consensus of MSM reporting ROFL!
2025-06-25 17:48:17
Hilarious that anyone thinks this market is vague. The rules are quite explicate for once
2025-06-25 17:52:38
the beast gets it
2025-06-25 17:59:48
beast is schooling all the yestards again
2025-06-25 18:04:11
bertastan can't read. No doesn't need a source, it's the absence of confirmation from IAEA or Iran
2025-06-25 18:06:45
don't worry Yestards, Knure brought his camera and shovel and thinks he'll be finished before 6/30
2025-06-25 18:14:10
I have been very clear, i'm just trying to help those that bet purely based on the market name and not the rules. I will not be selling any NO pumps. Those that don't listen, you have only yourself to blame.
2025-06-25 18:16:20
"consensus" [link removed]
2025-06-25 18:17:44
"One of the people said the centrifuges are largely âintact.â" -- CONSENSUS!
2025-06-25 18:18:16
you are left with the flow chart. There will be no "consensus" [link removed]
2025-06-25 18:27:10
"CONSENSUS"
2025-06-25 18:28:32
last time i checked tulsi was not Iran or IAEA -- but good luck, have fun!
2025-06-25 18:31:05
Tomer there is a flow chart, hope that helps. [link removed]
2025-06-25 18:36:38
yestards crying, wondering why market isn't moving their way.
2025-06-25 18:38:05
It's almost as if Tulsi isn't Iranian or an IAEA spokesperson
2025-06-25 19:02:49
It's not about believing or not believing it's about satisfying market conditions which are clearly and explicitly defined in the market rules
2025-06-25 19:05:34
Arbguy: conditions are not met. Knure: YOU DON'T EVEN KNOW HOW TO USE CHAT FUNCTION PROPERLY
2025-06-25 19:19:58
lol i leave for 5 min and copetards back at it?
2025-06-25 19:21:52
lol bc1234, a single retard who hasn't read the rules, swept the market that's all. Will be back to 70 no within a few min
2025-06-25 19:23:47
guy is so good at trading he's immediately down 9k after purchasing lol
2025-06-25 19:24:12
we? you have been stuck at 1k shares because all you have is pennies
2025-06-25 19:25:01
bc1234, I made a flow chart for the illiterates, in case you need: [link removed]
2025-06-25 19:36:38
when you have contradictory reports and no hard, verifiable, information there is no "wide consensus". JFC can people really not be objective here?
2025-06-25 19:43:46
reveal phase is in four hours, at which point P4 will prevail
2025-06-25 20:10:54
"At this time, no one, including the IAEA, is in a position to have fully assessed the underground damage at Fordow," Grossi said in a statement to an emergency meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency's 35-nation Board of Governors.
2025-06-25 20:16:22
the only thing that matters is whether the rules of the market have been satisfied. They are clear and unambiguous
2025-06-25 20:19:47
Severely damaged? Nuclear program? Doesn't even say Fordow is destroyed LOL
2025-06-25 20:26:46
Car is selling shares as he's typing this LOL
2025-06-25 20:27:19
Is there anyone that actually believes the IAEA or Iran has or will confirm Fordow is destroyed?
2025-06-25 20:30:12
Doesn't even mention Fordow or anything meeting the market definition of destroyed. You know it's desperation when such nonsense is repeatedly posted.
2025-06-25 20:48:21
Knure too broke to buy a dictionary and look up the definition of consensus
2025-06-25 22:33:07
so much lol cope from the yes people. This isn't about trump or TDS or what can be inferred it's about market rules being satisfied by the deadline.
2025-06-25 22:50:52
study the phrase "wide consensus" and study who works for trump and who does not lol
2025-06-25 23:47:14
reveal phase in 13 min, get out while you still can
2025-06-25 23:57:37
market is over on the 30th at 11:59PM EST. Conditions must be met by then.
2025-06-25 23:58:30
study the words wide consensus. Study the phrase "otherwise the market will resolve to "NO""
2025-06-26 00:01:39
Market seems to have a lot of confidence in mr hegseth's grand reveal tomorrow
2025-06-26 00:14:51
does knure have $750 to propose?
2025-06-26 00:16:34
if you lock me out of my house is my toaster rendered non-functional? there is no confirmation whatsoever, which is the condition that must be satisfied "OTHERWISE THE MARKET WILL RESOLVE TO NO"
2025-06-26 00:19:38
he's not specifically confirming anything about Fordow, or destruction as defined by the rules, please... dear god are you brain damaged?
2025-06-26 00:20:44
âAt this time, no one, including the IAEA, is in a position to have fully assessed the underground damage at Fordo,â Grossi said in a statement to an emergency meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agencyâs 35-nation Board of Governors.
2025-06-26 00:21:06
i think we can stipulate that some things need to be rebuilt, has no bearing on this market
2025-06-26 00:22:23
facilities being severely damaged does not mean centrifuges under Fordow are destroyed, they have confirmed NOTHING as it relates to this market
2025-06-26 00:22:38
100% of votes P4, no surprises so far
2025-06-26 00:23:29
you'd expect at least a few p2 votes if UMA was even close to the scale of retardation as the YES holders
2025-06-26 00:23:58
yes, i agree. reading titles and not rules is a huge mistake people are making here!!
2025-06-26 00:24:29
memxtreme smarter than yes whales
2025-06-26 00:25:16
don't worry hegseth will save you. I highly doubt he was ordered by his boss to refute the CNN article at all costs! Trump would never do that!
2025-06-26 00:27:55
p4 Early request 100.00% (1,128,109.86). Not one single yestard at UMA so far
2025-06-26 00:28:06
[link removed]
2025-06-26 00:39:51
seems like YES tards were pumping into the vote reveal???? wow. that's dumber than I had ever thought they were
2025-06-26 00:40:18
Yes i can't wait to see thermal camera images penetrating a 300ft mountain LOLOL
2025-06-26 00:40:55
Early request... 100.00% (1,878,322.12)
2025-06-26 00:45:04
apparently people are selling yes based on the vote after pumping yes into the vote... --- again if UMA was remotely on the same page you'd see at least a few p2. not 0.0000000000%
2025-06-26 02:33:51
"if there if irrefutable evidence" which there will not be, JFC it's under a mountain which is controlled by Iran
2025-06-26 02:59:58
no because they are controlled by Iran you idiot
2025-06-26 03:01:31
Early request 100.00% (3,529,606.91) [link removed]
2025-06-26 03:03:14
The cannot get to the lab because Iran controls the lab and it's under a mountain will all entries controlled by the Iranian military
2025-06-26 03:05:13
[link removed] is a political communications hub, none of those quotes provide any direct confirmation of destruction (or inoperability) or the Fordow enrichment facility, as required by this market.
2025-06-26 03:07:45
we dont know = NO
2025-06-26 03:08:28
hegseth burning that midnight oil on his deck for bossman i'm sure
2025-06-26 03:09:14
a toaster in a locked house is also "operable"
2025-06-26 03:14:24
"very significant damage is expected" is not confirmation of destroyed, dear lord
2025-06-26 03:21:59
slow (retarded) man Knure thinks there's a burden of proof on the NO side, which demonstrates complete illiteracy
2025-06-26 03:36:20
knure dumped half his pathetic stack and calls it a NO TARD DUMPING ROFL
2025-06-26 03:37:25
guy's life savings looks like my child's piggy bank
2025-06-26 03:38:00
is that what you tell your wife?
2025-06-26 03:39:35
guy thinks i care about 14k mark to market pnl ROFL
2025-06-26 03:40:00
i guess you don't have a penis, figures
2025-06-26 03:41:57
knure says it's fully functional and will grow by 8am. His wife told me very different last night
2025-06-26 03:44:30
fully functional, and it grows! by 8am....
2025-06-26 13:43:12
I hate to break it to the No friends, but if the IAEA chief says they are destroyed this market will resolve YES
2025-06-26 13:47:34
Assuming the recent proposal was made after the IAEA chief's statements this will resolve after the next vote
2025-06-26 13:49:53
IAEA has now confirmed.
2025-06-26 13:50:34
When presented with new information, I'm always willing to change my opinion. Something knure clearly would be incapable of
2025-06-26 13:51:44
This went from being an argument over consensus and credible reporting to simply over. It was closeish on that basis but NO would likely have won but the IAEA statements puts it over the top. This will resolve YES
2025-06-26 13:54:59
here is what Grossi said. He's speaking in clear and direct terms [link removed]
2025-06-26 13:56:43
"no longer operational" "we already know they are destroyed"
2025-06-26 13:58:10
knure is so dumb he thinks you should "go down with the ship" when you are presented with new information that meets the criteria for resolving the market
2025-06-26 14:01:04
nowhere does it say only "official" statements can be considered. The chief of the IAEA has made unequivocal statements that will absolutely be considered by the UMA voters and will bring what was a close vote to an easy yes vote
2025-06-26 14:02:39
huh? I unfortunately was away from my desk at the exact time of his statement
2025-06-26 14:06:33
NYT speaks french apparently
2025-06-26 14:11:00
I'm sorry No holders are gonna lose. I agreed with the rationale that without being given access the IAEA would not be making statements like the facility is "no longer operational" or "we already know it's destroyed". I was wrong, that's exactly what he said.
2025-06-26 14:12:38
knure doesn't know how the markets settle, apparently.
2025-06-26 14:15:24
it might be tempting to hang your hat on "that wasn't official" but that's a losing proposition. It's now being reported by the NYT, others will follow. There will soon be dozens of credible news orgs reporting IAEA says Fordow not operational
2025-06-26 14:17:09
it's not. UMA voters will read the rules of the market and take all the information in its totality. Very easy P2 vote at this point.
2025-06-26 14:17:59
allah told me that when you are presented with new information you should always be willing to reconsider your position
2025-06-26 14:19:51
most people in my shoes would hang on coping, or just sell and go cry. most would fear buying the other side and then losing as that would be extremely painful emotionally. I am able to overcome these fears, which is probably a significant driver in terms of how i've achieved so much more success than knure
2025-06-26 14:23:41
one doesn't need to be a sociopath in order to overcome such fear. I've been a professional risk taker for 20 years, it requires experience and mindset.
2025-06-26 14:25:01
link is either broken or you are posting fake articles for exit liquidity, which is highly unethical behavior
2025-06-26 14:30:50
I found an article quoting knure: "don't worry, it's fully functional and will grow by 8am". I won't post out of respect for his boyfriend
2025-06-26 14:42:38
Primary resolution source says "no longer operational". They don't need to put out an "official" statement but perhaps they will. Either way this will resolve to YES
2025-06-26 14:44:09
peasant got out, respect
2025-06-26 15:19:14
knure needs to watch his penny bet guys, he can't leave
2025-06-26 15:22:39
There have been new developments today, hence the clear P2 resolution. IAEA is a primary resolution source and the head of the agency says it's been destroyed
2025-06-26 15:23:37
knure is bad at math, shocker
2025-06-26 15:27:44
maybe we can get a market on my pnl for this market so knure can make more bad bets
2025-06-26 15:28:30
wait all his money is tied up here and he won't even go enjoy life because he needs to watch every tick here
2025-06-26 15:32:39
aliKhamenei is googling advice for how to spend his $140 profit
2025-06-26 15:33:20
OK, it's over. where is the report
2025-06-26 15:35:05
GG sorry no friends. Lesson learned: never get married to your position. Always be willing to change your mind
2025-06-26 15:35:47
Knure: Lesson learned, even a blind squirrel finds a nut every once in a while
2025-06-26 15:36:44
Osint613 is a very solid twitter account, if he says the IAEA report is out i'd believe it
2025-06-26 15:41:23
That's an assumption you're making, good luck have fun!
2025-06-26 16:10:14
that's a vote based on a proposal from several days ago. There is a lot of new information that has since come out. The next vote will resolve p2
2025-06-26 16:19:18
The vote ended last night at 8pm ET and is still in the reveal phase. It's the vote on the first proposal for resolution. The next vote will be on the more recent proposal and assuming it was proposed after Grossi's comments it will resolve p2 and we can all move on
2025-06-26 16:27:25
gemini 2.5 pro has weighed in and votes YES. It read 100s of websites and did deep research. It did not even pick up on Grossi's comments today, likely due to paywall, and still said YES [link removed]
2025-06-26 16:42:11
doesn't matter what I think, what matters is UMA vote outcome which will be p2. Grossi's comments put it over the line. Would have been an interesting vote absent that.
2025-06-26 16:45:08
vote starts in 7 hours. Good luck, have fun!
2025-06-26 20:28:06
wow i leave for a while to touch grass and enjoy life, not needing to watch my position the way knure watchies pennies, and i come back and there is more grasping and cope than I've ever seen before. Vote starts in 2.5 hours, good luck, have fun!
2025-06-26 20:32:46
If the underground enrichment facilities can no longer enrich, because the centrifuges are "no longer operational" as CONFIRMED by the IAEA chief, then yes they have been rendered non-functional. Their only function is to enrich which they can no longer do. I hope that clears things up. Market is giving you your last chance. Good luck, have fun!
2025-06-26 20:39:37
if you think this bet could bankrupt me you are dumber than i thought
2025-06-26 21:32:39
the only credible source has spoken: [link removed]
2025-06-26 21:34:44
look at the comments section on UMA, lol it's a sea of P2
2025-06-26 21:38:05
yea, really questionable in terms of who is more credible, CIA/Hegseth or khamenei
2025-06-26 21:40:08
jabbar starting with the ad hominem. at least one of us is nervous. He's taking his playbook from knure "blind squirrel" "i can't touch grass because of my penny position" kure
2025-06-26 21:40:54
emotions run high. Yes holders hate me because they know they were wrong but can't spike the football. No holders hate me because they feel betrayed.
2025-06-26 21:41:24
nothing except for confirmation from the IAEA. I wonder if that matters?
2025-06-26 21:41:53
it's ok, i know he's so retarded it's extremely frustrating. I forgive you friend
2025-06-26 21:43:43
you are assuming something needs to be labelled as "official" to matter to UMA voters. You need to look at this in its totality. The evidence is clear, the upcoming vote outcome is clear.
2025-06-26 21:56:25
most likely outcome 85-95% vote p2. Second most likely outcome 55-64.9% vote p2 and vote "rolls" and the rest fall in line because they fear slashing
2025-06-26 22:08:58
jsjr if you can't spot the sucker....
2025-06-26 22:40:34
Hi Jabbar, it seems you are reading the wrong voting discussion. The one at [link removed] is for the old vote which has already ended (P4). The upcoming vote, starting in 80 minutes, has it's discussion here: [link removed] ------- THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!
2025-06-26 22:42:23
too long. he won't even touch grass because of his penny sized "trade"
2025-06-26 22:43:17
several days
2025-06-26 22:43:53
clown show
2025-06-27 14:20:45
Incredible that the retards come out when the US is sleeping, must be TDS euros
2025-06-28 17:05:02
lol what a market
2025-06-28 21:21:08
no holders still grasping? this will obv resolve YES
2025-06-29 00:58:10
No can have a 48 more hours of prayer before it's over. GOOD LUCK, HAVE FUN
2025-06-29 01:20:47
anyone who thinks more P2 voters are going to change their minds than P4 voters are completely delusional, save your money.
2025-06-29 17:28:06
wow, can't say i'm shocked but Knure torching money again???
2025-06-29 18:20:52
The market doesn't say "permanently" rendered non-function, only that they are rendered non-functional. If they need months to rebuild, they have been rendered non-functional. The quote you refer to actually supports P2
2025-06-29 18:33:15
The rules say "rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike." Grossi (primary resolution source) stated that the centrifuges are no longer operational (obv due to the strikes). The facilities can no longer enrich uranium (obv due to the strikes). This was their primary function, therefore they have been rendered non-functional (obv due to the strikes). Just because Grossi later said they could rebuild, doesn't change any of those facts, which are sufficient to resolve this market. Not complicated.
2025-06-29 18:39:42
yes, Iran is more reliable than the sources you mentioned. Got it.... lol
2025-06-29 22:21:46
knure might be the dumbest
2025-06-29 22:36:18
the oracle has already reached broad consensus and people are putting money on Yes, lol. the only reason market isn't closed is because the date is prior to 7/1 at which point the same people will vote on the same question. and of course Knure is gonna torch his pennies like usual
2025-06-29 23:12:28
The headline of the article literally says "that's maybe not a suit". Are people really this dumb? Maybe a black tie event in the Kyiv bunker can save you, but newsweek certainly won't
2025-06-29 23:13:42
knure owns pennies worth of Yes but SWEARS he has a plan and the biggest turnaround in history is about to happen
2025-06-29 23:15:08
then at least buy 77k more shares of yes so you can actually have reciprocal pnl? are you brain damaged? Or are you again just saying IT WORKS, AND DONT WORRY IT WILL GROW BY 8AM
2025-06-29 23:28:15
"a suit that's also maybe not a suit"??? YES CONFIRMED CLEARLY
2025-06-29 23:29:10
BREAKING NEWS: NEWSWEEK SAYS THERE'S "A SUIT THAT'S ALSO MAYBE NOT A SUIT"
2025-06-29 23:37:28
knure maybe ask your boyfriend for a $750 loan so you can propose?
2025-06-29 23:41:06
My prediction: Knure loses a steak dinner's worth of risk and cries to his boyfriend for more gambling money
2025-06-29 23:44:46
MaTh iS hArD wHeN yOu hAve BrAiN dAmAgE
2025-06-30 16:01:08
Native staking, not LST. It holds spot solana and stakes it
2025-06-30 16:45:14
Anyone waiting for an S1 or 19-4b from REX-OSPREY will be waiting for a very long time
2025-06-30 17:01:14
There is and will be no approval of REX-OSPREY from the SEC, since this is bypassing that process. They have indicated that they have decided not to block it, which is how they would prevent this from listing.
2025-06-30 17:01:41
Non objection is not approval
2025-06-30 18:07:25
Bessent is also very well respected. He likely does respect Fed independence, which might hurt his chances!
2025-07-01 20:01:16
keep fighting the good fight
2025-07-03 03:35:31
bro, you're fucked -- sorry
2025-07-05 20:22:05
king elon
2025-07-09 01:49:02
this guy is toast
2025-09-08 19:26:34
StanChart says 50, get em while you still can
2025-09-09 14:04:56
BLS just took away 911k jobs, GL HF
2025-09-09 14:55:38
"no change" yestards need their heads examined
2025-09-09 16:21:52
[link removed]
2025-09-11 12:41:16
man thanks for the pre CPI gift king retard
2025-09-11 12:54:01
anyone betting on no change literally doesn't understand how this works. fair value .02%
2025-09-11 13:09:00
They've already said they were cutting (in Fed speak code). Market knows this. Only open question is whether they'll do 50 after the weak employment data.
2025-09-11 16:54:14
are you retarded? Core CPI was released this morning, with the index coming in at 329.793 vs an expected outcome of 329.620
2025-09-14 14:36:19
but what about all the cis men who are in relationships with other men who are intending on transitioning to trans???
2025-09-14 14:45:42
read the obama rules, no clarification was necessary nor was he in a relationship with a transitioning male
2025-09-15 14:28:20
Gov of Utah is in charge of local law enforcement, have fun losing your money
2025-09-15 14:57:28
"Queer is as queer does" - looopy1
2025-09-15 15:26:02
"loan estimate" leak is laugh worthy. It actually makes it worse, particularly if the loan estimate had worse terms than what she ultimately received -- if that's the case she will face serious criminal charges.
2025-09-15 20:04:25
Governor Cox, being in charge of local law enforcement, is a primary resolution source.
2025-09-15 20:31:52
âThe roommate was a romantic partner, a male transitioning to female,â Cox said. âI can say that he has been incredibly cooperative, this partner has been very cooperative, had no idea that this was happening.â
2025-09-15 20:32:36
CONFIRMATION, from the man in charge of Utah's law enforcement, who are an integral part of this investigation. [link removed]
2025-09-15 20:33:48
if it is confirmed that Tyler Robinson was in a relationship with a transgendered individual, this market will resolve to "Yes". ............. The resolution source for this market will be official statements from Robinson, his legal representation, and information released by law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2025-09-16 18:32:00
It's over, read the indictment. Robinson's mother stated that he dated his roommate, a biological male [link removed]
2025-09-16 18:43:17
seek treatment for brain AIDS bro
2025-09-16 19:19:41
For the purposes of this market, if it is confirmed that Tyler Robinson was in a relationship with a transgendered individual, this market will resolve to "Yes".
2025-09-17 00:21:44
gay
2025-09-17 01:06:20
looopy1 apparently was the "3rd" in the relationship, but they all made a pact to identify as heterosexual cis men. Definitely looopy's downfall here
2025-09-17 02:01:04
The proposal was made on 9/13 and the vote reflected what was known at that time (prior to the clarification as well). The indictment today sealed the deal, although was not necessary given Coxâs statements and Kash Patelâs confirmation of that information during his testimony today. Itâs over, any dispute is torching money.
2025-09-17 02:32:01
Read the rules again, you lack basic comprehension
2025-09-17 02:50:06
No, gg
2025-09-17 21:21:12
This AP leak and Bloomberg retard article really muddying the waters here.
2025-09-18 18:37:02
this market is cooking!
2025-09-18 18:56:05
betyonko has no idea what he's even talking about, dear lord
2025-09-18 19:00:42
there's no case pending where any conviction could occur. This is all about whether the injunction preventing her removal gets stayed or not
2025-09-18 19:13:02
Bro you just torched 115k and apparently believe this has something to do with a "verdict" for a non existent DOJ case?
2025-09-18 22:42:03
Imagine being betyonko, aping in 100k not realizing theyâd be filing on emergency SCOTUS docket
2025-09-18 23:21:14
I will give him 1k BONK tokens for sure.
2025-09-18 23:40:05
Who rugged what? If the PI gets stayed than Trump is free to fire her and the fed has said they will abide by court rulings. It also means they (SCOTUS) agree with the govt that they are likely to prevail
2025-09-18 23:57:40
Regarding the socials, you clearly have me confused with someone else, literally no idea what you are talking about. Regarding the rest, gl hf
2025-09-19 00:30:55
They have successfully argued govt harm is ongoing when they are forced to keep someone in their position (slaughter, very similar). Most people think this legal fight is about mortgages, it is not. Geo wizard gets it
2025-09-19 17:30:07
he's referring to the amicus brief lol
2025-09-19 19:03:00
there's a block at 3.2c if you want to unload a bit more
2025-09-22 17:38:54
what clarification are you looking for
2025-09-23 13:18:23
no clarification necessary -- rules clearly say need official announcement that she's off the board. A stay alone won't qualify although it's highly unlikely that wouldn't lead to her immediate removal.
2025-09-25 16:48:03
huh
2025-09-25 19:21:11
should be free money for you to buy up December order book then?
2025-09-25 19:22:03
the amicus brief had no legal arguments whatsoever
2025-09-25 19:48:28
they don't even write opinions for emergency orders. Retarded attempt at market manipulation. Someone refer this clown to the authorities.
2025-09-25 23:44:07
bro claims to have seen a "draft opinion" when they don't write opinions on emergency rulings
2025-09-26 00:07:20
LOL says the man who claims to be a clerk for a supreme court justice but that he doesn't have a law degree? Who claims to know the stay is being granted and when, but chooses to be betting peanuts on no rather than keeping his mouth shut and buying up all the yes he can for 5 days?
2025-09-26 00:18:53
Geopolitics "wizard" claims to be a clerk for clarence Thomas and simultaneously claims to have no law degree. He also claims to know not only the outcome of the appeal, but when it will be released (yet somehow only owns shares for the opposite side). Have we seen a bigger clown (other than satoshiancap) on this site?
2025-09-26 13:01:21
First he said "I'm a clerk, I don't have a law degree", then he said "many clerks, myself included, take the bar after their time in court". ROFL
2025-09-26 15:02:07
According to you she's out? I deserve what's coming?
2025-09-26 15:02:42
I'm just quoting the "wizard". reading comp not necessary.
2025-09-26 15:49:42
GeopoliticsWizar... 10.7K September 30 16h ago @GeoPolArb I'm a clerk. I don't have a law degree. You also remember when the Roe reversal was leaked, right?
2025-09-26 15:51:33
Do you, in fact, have brain damage?
2025-09-26 16:58:37
I AM WORKING ON AN AMICUS BRIEF, DETAILING GEOPOLICS "WIZARD" AND HIS GROSS MISCONDUCT AND MARKET MANIPULATION. VITALLY IMPORTANT WE SUBMIT PRIOR TO RELASE OF DECISION
2025-09-26 17:43:09
clearly your claims are nonsense and only reasonable conclusions are 1) mental illness and deficiency (retardation) or 2) attempts to manipulate market higher so you can buy more "no" shares
2025-09-26 17:44:01
let's stick with the core claim that you are a clerk for Thomas and have read the opinion which is to be released on 9/30 granting the stay
2025-09-26 17:51:12
i hate both market manipulators and retards so I WILL NOT LET THIS STAND
2025-09-26 20:15:06
According to geopolitics "wizard" the decision has already been made. Why even bother
2025-09-26 20:33:02
I must say, this final reply is the government's finest work on this case to date! It's almost as if it were written by Clarence Thomas's own clerk!
2025-09-26 20:50:27
STATUS QUO ARGUMENS IS DEAD!
2025-09-27 14:39:03
I called your office yesterday, thanks for making a statement.
2025-09-27 14:39:36
explanation: he is a liar and a retard
2025-09-29 13:08:18
sept is cheap but high risk
2025-09-29 15:38:51
GEOPOLICS "WIZARD", PLEASE PROVIDE AN UPDATE AFTER YOUR MORNING MEETING OF THE CLERKS TODAY
2025-09-29 17:24:20
he's lying. he's literally claiming to be a clerk for clarence thomas and that he's seen the majority opinion (granting the stay), and that they will release it tomorrow.
2025-09-29 18:43:27
the "wizard" is waiting too long. he should be accumulating as of 5 days ago
2025-09-29 20:45:11
cope
2025-09-29 20:47:11
sell your no shares, that's my tip
2025-09-29 21:06:11
notards think schumer and dems will cave now?
2025-09-29 21:07:12
thank god chuck was there to educate trump on all these healthcare issues he wasn't even aware of!
2025-09-29 21:10:07
sounds about right, only sick freaks with those kinds of fantasies would be so fanciful as to think they are actually negotiating a deal right now behind the scenes
2025-09-29 21:11:13
LOL, yes really great way to save face. come out screaming about how terrible the republicans are being so you can vote yes on the CR the following day
2025-09-29 21:16:59
you're cooked
2025-09-29 21:17:18
cope
2025-09-29 21:17:54
Geopolitics "wizard" is a clerk for clarence thomas. His LLM posts know what they're talking about!
2025-09-29 21:23:02
they converted trump!
2025-09-29 21:27:40
I only shit on japanese toilets
2025-09-30 13:08:14
GEOPOLITICS "WIZARD", PLEASE PROVIDE AN UPDATE AFTER YOUR MORNING MEETING, INCLUDING RELEASE TIMING AND AN EASTER EGG TO PROVE YOU'RE NOT A LIAR/FRAUD.
2025-09-30 13:46:16
AHAHAHA, FINALLY WHEN THE DAY OF TRUTH COMES HE'S DONE TALKING -- BREAKING NEWS: MAN LYING ABOUT BEING CLARENCE THOMAS' CLERK ON THE INTERNET ACCUSES OTHERS OF BEING MENTALLY ILL
2025-09-30 13:53:08
the man is mentally ill. He's cosplaying as clarence thomas' clerk
2025-09-30 13:53:32
you have a chance to prove you're not a liar.
2025-09-30 14:13:40
AHAHAHAHAHAHA
2025-09-30 14:19:56
bro i'm loaded up. I'm laughing because when the day finally comes you equivocate, classic sign of a mentally ill liar
2025-09-30 14:31:53
buy some DEC, you'll get your $50
2025-09-30 15:46:48
irrationally believing others are obsessed with you is literally the definition of mental illness.
2025-09-30 17:07:00
cope
2025-09-30 17:07:52
so you don't believe in betting on outcomes that are less than 50%?
2025-09-30 17:10:16
I have been informed that Justice Thomas uses IQ tests to screen applicants, and that any application with a score sub 80 is automatically terminated (for CAUSE). Justice Thomas said it's therefore IMPOSSIBLE that geopolitics "wizard" is one of his clerks. He insisted the matter be referred to the local mental ward.
2025-09-30 17:27:49
It's all relative, something you need basic brain processing power to understand.
2025-09-30 18:46:30
LOL! So you admit you're a lying market manipulator?
2025-09-30 19:02:21
what idiot would actually believe that anyone believed you in the first place, dear lord
2025-09-30 19:02:53
scummy attempt at market manipulation (like immediately said after your nonsensical claims, which you tripled down on)
2025-09-30 20:26:28
notards, it's over
2025-09-30 20:40:06
yea ok, "CLARENCE THOMAS' CLERK"
2025-09-30 20:47:32
this guy is such a clown
2025-09-30 20:50:00
cloture vote on CR at 5:30 ET. Anyone who thinks the dems are going to support this after everything that's happened needs to have their head examined. The house isn't even in session, this is literally the only path that keeps the government open tomorrow.
2025-09-30 21:25:24
I'M GOING TO BUY 108K TACOS WITH MY WINNINGS
2025-09-30 22:58:54
41 NAYS, CLOTURE FAILS
2025-09-30 23:26:18
today is September 30th, good luck
2025-10-08 21:36:40
nothing ever happens
2025-10-08 21:44:34
cope
2025-10-08 21:44:50
cope vibes strong
2025-10-08 22:05:43
gg
2025-10-08 22:06:26
even retards accidentally bet the correct side every once in a while
2025-10-08 22:37:30
[link removed]
2025-10-08 22:37:49
[link removed]
2025-10-08 23:09:32
Qatari foreign ministry spokesperson Majed a Ansari tweets, The mediators announce that tonight an agreement was reached on all the provisions and implementation mechanisms of the first phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement, which will lead to ending the war, the release of Israeli hostages and Palestinian prisoners, and the entry of aid.
2025-10-08 23:10:49
[link removed]
2025-10-10 00:12:06
Geopolitics "wizard" is an employee of Clarence Thomas -- he knows how this works
2025-10-31 16:11:53
no strikes, cancel the market
2025-11-17 20:18:00
promise to do something "mid next year". Send this to 0 post haste.
2025-11-23 23:27:16
good luck, have fun!
2025-11-24 22:52:37
axios says they want to talk
2025-11-29 15:57:31
there's been a NOTAM in place for days for the entirety of Venezuela and almost all intl airliners have cancelled all fights which led to Maduro banning them yesterday. This "will take at least 48 hours" argument is pure nonsense, as if it even matters -- no need for the entire country's airspace to be 100% clear in order to kill some "narco terrorists" in some facility. Good luck, have fun!
2025-11-29 15:59:52
retards gonna retard
2025-11-29 16:55:43
international carriers cancelled all flights days ago because of the NOTAM issued by the US Military, which covers the entirety of Venezuela. Maduro was so upset he revoked their licenses to operate in the country..
2025-11-29 16:56:34
BREAKING: Cuba accuses US military of âelectromagnetic jamming operationsâ in the Caribbean; denounces intervention in Venezuelan airspace
2025-11-29 16:59:47
panic NO selling has begun
2025-11-29 17:00:37
looks like there is plenty of liquidity at around 98c YES, 2c NO -- good luck, have fun!
2025-11-29 17:02:40
Any U.S. military kinetic strike that impacts Venezuelan land territory will qualify for a âYesâ resolution.
2025-11-29 17:09:42
BREAKING: Venezuelan government taking US threats âextremely seriouslyâ
2025-11-29 17:10:31
#BREAKING - Footage captured by Reuters show intense military activity at the U.S. air base in Puerto Rico amid rising tensions with Venezuela.
2025-11-29 17:11:16
ALERT | Unconfirmed reports that two Venezuelan F-16âs military jets are in the air.
2025-11-29 17:12:18
[link removed]
2025-11-29 17:12:53
WAR POSTURE: A Conviasa A-319, confirmed by our locals to be Maduro's presidential plane, has landed at Santa Elena National Airport located in a remote location on the border with Brazil. Fuerte Roraima, a Venezuelan military base, is nearby.
2025-11-29 17:13:43
TICK TOCK: [link removed]
2025-11-29 17:21:10
those "talks" went so well that trump declared airspace closed and maduro immediately fled to his military bunker
2025-11-29 17:34:12
"24 TO 48 HOURS", LOLOLOL [link removed]
2025-11-29 17:51:13
yes, failed my way to the top!
2025-11-29 18:23:18
BREAKING: WSJ REPORTING THAT TRUMP ISSUED MADURO AN ULTIMATUM DURING THEIR PHONE CALL WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED BY THE NYT
2025-11-29 18:24:03
TALKS GOING WELL!
2025-11-29 18:27:24
these guys are literally shaking LOL! [link removed]
2025-11-29 18:27:55
WHEN WORDS DON'T WORK, ACTION TAKES PLACE!
2025-11-29 18:31:53
BREAKING: EPSTIEN FILES WERE ACCIDENTALLY STORED INSIDE A MISSLE WHICH HAS BEEN LOADED UP INTO A FIGHTER JET EN ROUTE TO KILL NARCO TERRORISTS (ON VENEZUELAN LAND)
2025-11-29 18:37:44
Will be a long night for NO holders. I'll sleep like a baby no sweat either way
2025-11-29 18:44:34
yes, not like venezuela attacking the United States over a narco bombing would be utterly suicidal or anything.
2025-11-29 18:45:10
everything is relative. good luck, have fun!
2025-11-29 18:48:47
BREAKING: ADDITIONAL REPORTING OF ULTIMATUM HAVING BEEN ISSUED OVER ONE WEEK AGO: Infobae reports that Trump spoke with Maduro last week and told Maduro that he and his allies (padrino, Diosdado, the Rodriguez siblings) should leave soon otherwise military pressure will intensify.
2025-11-29 18:51:50
Bruh nobody is scared of maduro killing americans. if anything, iranian sleeper cells are a much bigger threat. good luck, have fun!
2025-11-29 18:52:28
yes that will always lead you to the right outcome!
2025-11-29 19:11:03
Talks going well!!
2025-11-29 19:11:17
show some juicy liquidity and find out
2025-11-29 19:22:31
VENEZUELA CONDEMS TRUMP'S SOCIAL MEDIA STATEMENT "CLOSING" THEIR AIRSPACE. IN OTHER WORDS, TALKS GOING SUPER WELL, ULTIMATUM HAS BEEN RESPONDED TO!
2025-11-29 21:14:41
ANY STRIKES WILL OBVIOUSLY OCCUR AT NIGHT
2025-11-29 21:15:34
ULTIMATUM ONE WEEK AGO, PLUS NOTAM, PLUS LEGAL AUTORITY ESTABLISHED (TERRORIST DESIGNATION)
2025-11-29 21:17:17
TRUMP'S PREFERENCE WAS ALWAYS TO PRESSURE HIM INTO LEAVING VOLUNTARILY. BUT ONCE WORDS DON'T WORK, ACTIONS TAKE PLACE.
2025-11-29 21:21:14
MANY SUCH CASES
2025-11-29 21:21:41
HEGSETH IS A FIGUREHEAD
2025-11-29 21:58:11
imagine believing his golfing in the middle of the day has any bearing whatsoever on what's going on
2025-11-29 22:56:36
[link removed] Guy can't miss. he's ready
2025-11-29 22:57:49
BREAKING: The closest Dominos to the Pentagon has surged in traffic.
2025-11-29 23:02:11
The U.S. has unilaterally halted migrant return flights to Venezuela in the wake of President Trumpâs airspace-closure declaration, according to state media VTV.
2025-11-29 23:02:30
you know something serious is up when trump halts deportations
2025-11-29 23:08:41
General Mike Flynn - Maduro, I think itâs time
2025-11-29 23:12:59
not SOUTHCOM
2025-11-29 23:26:09
The U.S. Southern Command (Southcom) is restricting leave over the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays in preparation for potential land strikes in the coming days, according to a NewsNation journalist.
2025-11-30 00:17:57
BREAKING: Venezuela's military intelligence has set-up a checkpoint on Soublette Avenue towards Caracas International Airport
2025-11-30 00:26:58
"Strikes are coming, probably sooner rather than later" [link removed]
2025-11-30 00:27:30
time dot is
2025-11-30 01:18:24
capt jack butthole coming with the zingers!
2025-11-30 01:35:23
BREAKING: Internal sources confirm that Cuban regime officials will leave Venezuela due to possible imminent US military attacks, fearing arrest
2025-11-30 01:54:50
You think they're just going to waltz right in and ask for some cuban coffee?
2025-11-30 21:14:38
Ultimatum confirmed by Miami Herald. Leave immediately or die
2025-11-30 22:32:03
STRATEGIC AMBIGUITY
2025-11-30 22:39:30
???
2025-12-01 18:46:28
imagine believing going on 60 min was not part of a PR/marketing launch campaign
2025-12-01 19:04:01
0% chance this market resolves 50-50
2025-12-01 23:23:50
notards lol
2025-12-02 02:12:05
dear notards, this is publicly available. Anyone can just go onto polymarket sports' instagram account to get a code. I just signed up using code "pookie" and have full access. Keep coping
2025-12-02 02:34:36
private beta /= tiered public release. Notards must study this so they don't lose their minds when this resolves YES
2025-12-02 04:11:46
if you yell more it must be so!
2025-12-02 04:12:35
it's publicly available, not invite only. It's a tiered public launch.
2025-12-02 04:15:31
it's about Trump accounts retard
2025-12-02 15:22:10
cope^cope
2025-12-02 17:33:36
BREAKING: DONALD TRUMP CALLS NO-TARDS FULL RETARDS STATING "THERE IS CLEARLY SOMETHING WRONG WITH THEM"
2025-12-02 19:31:09
PACO-SHELBY GOING LEGAL HERE! CALL SULLIVAN & CROMWELL IMMEDIATELY!
2025-12-02 19:34:10
PACO-SHELBY CALLING HIS LAWYER TO HELP WITH A $23 POSITION
2025-12-02 20:39:57
CALL A PACO-SHELBY'S LAWYER AND REQUEST CLASS ACTION STATUS
2025-12-02 22:05:10
don't let your vagina hit you on the way out
2025-12-02 22:09:55
I CONTACTED MY ATTORNEY REGARDING A $23 SCAM IN INCURRED ON THE CRYPTO WEB AND HE INFORMED ME THAT THE MERE ACT OF HIM PICKING UP THE PHONE HAD ALREADY COST ME $189 AND ADVISED ME TO TERMINATE THE CALL IMMEDIATELY
2025-12-02 22:16:42
realistically speaking No has lost because the conditions for Yes have been satisfied and UMA will vote accordingly
2025-12-03 00:23:53
Yes (P2) 939K(98.4%) 50/50 (P3) 0K(0.0%) Too Early (P4) 15K(1.6%)
2025-12-03 00:24:36
good luck NO TARDS -- better call saul for that $24 class action suit
2025-12-03 01:44:49
nah btfd
2025-12-03 01:45:29
that was fun
2025-12-03 04:34:50
SULLIVAN AND CROMWELL SAID THERE'S A LAWSUIT
2025-12-03 14:26:45
GOOD MORNING NOTARDS
2025-12-04 18:24:33
is a restaurant not public if there's a waitlist? are no tards true retards?
2025-12-04 18:38:11
anyone can walk up and join the waitlist. are you actually retarded? Gmail is also "exclusive" only to those that have signed up for an account using your logic.
2025-12-04 21:31:00
good luck with that
2025-12-04 22:19:44
just got off the phone with sullivan and cromwell, they said building a class action case for NOTARDS. Call the main line to be connected with lead counsel
2025-12-05 14:18:35
good morning notards, sorry this chat will be gone soon. I wish you good luck with your future endeavors
2025-12-05 15:29:15
many are selling there -- 1.5mm shares offered right now. Either way it's just a few more hours to wait so it's a question of opportunity cost
2025-12-05 17:56:26
the market has reached consensus and will close once the reveal period ends in a few hours
2025-12-08 19:47:05
copetards you can still recover a few cents
2025-12-09 02:43:24
aenews more like aeAIDS
2025-12-09 02:51:21
study the phrase "and/or" and you might understand
2025-12-09 14:16:37
there was no evidence that those releases you link were previously classified (or declassified during/by trump admin). Not the same thing
2025-12-09 16:09:34
class action brewing: Sullivan & Cromwell LLP 125 Broad Street New York NY 10004-2498, United States T: +1-212-558-4000
2025-12-09 20:31:51
the proofs will be sent to your attorney upon written request
2025-12-10 00:08:50
so you're saying there's a chance?
2025-12-10 00:09:24
comprehension
2025-12-10 20:36:48
Why is there a waiting list for the Trump Platinum Card and why should applicants apply now? an arrow icon The Trump Platinum Card has not yet been released. Applicants should join the waitlist now to ensure that they can be processed immediately after the Trump Platinum Card Program goes live! There is no assurance that the Platinum Card contribution will remain at $5 million, so you should join the waitlist now.
2025-12-10 20:38:00
our very efficient government will process applications, complete vetting and background checks in the next 3 weeks during the holiday season I'm sure!
2025-12-10 20:54:42
they both require vetting retard
2025-12-10 20:55:25
01Submit Your Application Your opportunity begins here, with your application and a nonrefundable processing fee. This is the first step to securing the Trump Gold Card. 02Careful Consideration United States Citizenship and Immigration Services facilitates an in-depth background check and process to vet the potential card holder.
2025-12-10 21:22:09
application /= purchase lol
2025-12-10 21:42:15
reading comprehension is not your strong suit
2025-12-10 21:47:05
gold cards cost $1mm USD. Anyone who doesn't pass vetting will never buy a card. An application is not a purchase.
2025-12-10 21:47:11
"This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a âGold Cardâ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET."
2025-12-10 22:17:21
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a âGold Cardâ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET
2025-12-10 22:34:03
do you not understand the difference between a source and the relevant information that the source needs to provide?
2025-12-11 01:36:58
They surely will, after weeks of processing/vetting applicants
2025-12-11 01:38:45
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a âGold Cardâ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
2025-12-11 01:43:50
the application process is clearly laid out. Apply, pay fee, go through vetting, get approved, then buy
2025-12-11 02:03:30
trump commentary isn't official information on the number either "we're selling gold cards like hot cakes" doesn't mean shit
2025-12-11 02:42:01
intent there is obviously to clarify that it should not be locked into the words "gold card". This is clearly about number of sales, which is how the rules start: This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a âGold Cardâ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
2025-12-11 02:44:30
not that it even matters, if your application is rejected you are not a participant.
2025-12-11 14:21:34
The review process includes document requests and an interview. LOL at thinking this all get's done before NYE
2025-12-11 14:38:28
Yea OK says the guy who thinks our very efficient government is going to completely process applications in 3 weeks during the holdays
2025-12-11 14:42:06
oh wait, you're the guy who thinks a pending application counts as a sale. Congrats for having the reading comprehension of a 7 year old mongoloid.
2025-12-11 18:59:34
just because it's not free doesn't mean it's not available
2025-12-11 19:12:06
it's a product, that costs money, that's offered to the general public (not private beta etc)
2025-12-11 19:33:47
polymarket US launch was a tiered roll out which resolved YES
2025-12-11 22:13:37
lol disputers are retards -- you didn't even dispute dec 12 so that will resolve no. and of course you will lose the dispute. Some people hate money apparently
2025-12-11 22:30:13
lol oh ok, so then they should all just resolve NO?
2025-12-11 22:49:13
lol thanks for proving the point
2025-12-11 23:37:14
incredible retards are buying because of an article from march and the fact that someone applied lol
2025-12-12 00:27:15
ROFL pumptard loses again
2025-12-12 00:42:49
the terms are unchanged,
2025-12-12 01:20:36
You don't need exit liquidity when you have a position for ants
2025-12-12 01:21:55
Anyone who thinks the rules were "changed" lacks basic reading comprehension. You should be thankful they prevented you from trading further based on low IQ interpretations of the rules.
2025-12-12 01:22:27
yes a fraction of my risk represents more than you can make in a year, sick burn bro
2025-12-12 01:36:49
cool brah, your special friend at DHS must really have the goods!
2025-12-12 01:39:36
Don't worry guys, there's a special task force to process applications, conduct extensive background checks, interviews and collect payment of $1mm. They have been told no time off for Christmas, not that it matters -- December is a real "let's get shit done" type of month. There will also be transparent reporting on all of this. Looking good for gold cards!
2025-12-12 03:18:17
godspeed
2025-12-12 16:40:11
they saved you from trading based on retard interpretations of the rules. you should thank them
2025-12-12 17:29:25
i heard trump is sitting in his office right now signing the cards as we speak so they can be delivered before christmas. He's also personally chipping in with the background check work so it can be expedited further
2025-12-13 01:44:50
maduro wants it to be 2026 because he aint celebrating christmas in caracas
2025-12-13 17:08:14
he's actually making everyone pay in bitcoin so he can also announce the bitcoin reserve being funded before year-end
2025-12-15 23:52:09
lol people think if even a couple squeak through by year end he's going to want to announce some pitiful number?
2025-12-16 14:42:04
no it's not, zero isn't an announcement and nobody expects an announcement by NYE
2025-12-18 21:43:17
are people honestly this retarded? Would resolve to 0 yes on Jan 1 00:01 EST
2025-12-18 21:44:52
*TRUMP TO SIGN AN EXECUTIVE ORDER DECLARING THE WORD APPLY TO MEAN SALE AND HAVE ALL DICTIONARIES REFLECT THE NEW DEFINTION BY MIDNIGHT ON 12/31/25
2025-12-18 21:50:17
are you retarded? read it again
2025-12-19 21:04:03
it's over notards
2025-12-19 21:06:53
lutnick repeats statement made in march, notards get their panties wet
2025-12-19 21:23:33
if lutnick jerking off was "official information" this market would have resolved before the website launched. Good luck retard
2025-12-19 21:25:00
literally no confirmation of anything, lutnick definition of "sales" is the same as pumptard - good luck getting those official numbers by 12/31
2025-12-19 21:56:36
wasn't a random X page, was literally AARO X account posting something that was previously classified. Hard to explain something to a retard so I'll leave it there i guess.
2025-12-20 08:43:50
amazing how difficult reading comprehension seems to be for so many.
2025-12-22 21:42:27
are notards braindead and not realizing that even if their long shot vote goes there way that there will be a "public" announcement on this imminently? Nobody signs a definitive agreement involving 11 figs and public companies without announcing within days (business days). good luck, have fun!
2025-12-22 21:56:48
braindead proven once again. This market does not require any deal to be approved by regulators. Your interpretation regarding JV etc is also retarded, pure cope good luck sir
2025-12-22 21:58:57
you seem to lack basic understanding of how mergers work. I would suggest not risking money on such things. Definitive agreement/announcement happens long before approvals/closing. Jan 22nd is actually extremely quick. Either way this gets announced imminently "officially" and so even if you "win" vote you lose shortly thereafter. Good luck have fun
2025-12-23 08:39:34
they're not verified as completed sales, he's obviously referring to number of applications.
2025-12-23 08:41:24
People seem confused regarding the fact that "an official number" is what's missing from the 0 market. You're forgetting that they aren't referring to completed sales (something virtually impossible). They're obviously talking about number of applications.
2025-12-23 16:26:24
read. the. rules.
2025-12-29 08:28:16
more will come out, this will resolve yes
2025-12-29 08:33:54
No holders and their "free money" trade should be terrified at this point.
2025-12-29 08:38:56
[link removed]
2025-12-29 11:54:59
No holders better pray that trump was hallucinating and that the officials (plural) cited by the NYT were lying. Many more details will come out over the next 24-48 hours
2025-12-29 11:56:51
I'm sure they're just waiting until 12/31 to finalize payments and report numbers
2025-12-29 13:27:06
executive branch action
2025-12-29 15:18:22
the action was taken by trump not biden regardless of when the probe was initiated. this is retarded
2025-12-29 19:13:18
resolution source is solely media reporting, more will come out!
2025-12-29 19:14:24
Reuters article says land, not sea people are dumb if they think this was water strike [link removed]
2025-12-29 19:15:58
"free money" bond no longer such
2025-12-29 19:16:12
agreed
2025-12-29 19:24:24
I'm married but appreciate the sentiment Walter!
2025-12-29 22:14:12
if covert actions carried out by CIA etc qualified this would have already been proposed. Nothing new, wait for more information on the operation.
2025-12-29 22:23:50
The sheer quantity of military assets in the region is staggering. Cope that it was only CIA may prove very dangerous if any detailed reports come out over next couple of days. Every journalist is calling everyone they can to get the story, let's see what comes out.
2025-12-29 22:24:28
the issue is whether strike was carried out by CIA only or if US Military was involved.
2025-12-29 22:30:47
It's not that they're assuming it's CIA, it's that there's no confirmation one way or the other. We'll need confirmation of US military involvement in the operation.
2026-01-13 00:29:56
radar jamming happening https://polymarket.com/event/us-strikes-iran-by/us-strikes-iran-by-january-12-2026-314
2026-01-13 00:31:28
radar jamming tonight [link removed]
2026-01-13 00:33:45
israel ready for response (and counter-response) [link removed]
2026-01-13 01:51:52
trump is conditioned to do anything to avoid being like obama. red line has been crossed.
2026-01-13 16:54:36
are you brain damaged? this is happening very quickly. If US strikes alone, Iran will attack Israel. They will respond within 24 hours.
2026-01-14 17:03:30
why are people raping the jan 14 order book???
2026-01-14 18:44:26
nationwide verizon outage, cyber war starting. i'm sure trumpy bear loves that
2026-01-14 20:24:16
barron told daddy he still had some jan 14 bids that needed filling
2026-01-15 20:54:24
sure am glad i don't read too much news
2026-01-21 20:28:18
*TRUMP SAYS US TO BE 'INVOLVED' IN GREENLAND MINERAL RIGHTS -- examine your brain if you think this is US sovereignty
2026-01-21 20:28:53
yestards think Mark Rutte just gave greenland to trump
2026-01-21 20:30:32
asked "is this ownership" trump said "well it's a little bit complex". Cope time for yestards
2026-01-21 21:15:19
Trump Greenland deal said to involve small pockets of land - NYT.
2026-01-23 20:04:55
Was always going to be either hasset or someone not warsh/waller
2026-01-23 20:06:29
somali level IQs in this market
2026-02-10 18:51:07
It's been well publicized that Warsh was passed over when Trump nominated Powell. That's the "mistake" he was talking about. You people are retarded.
2026-02-28 22:37:17
why do people like judy
2026-03-17 21:02:45
are people retarded? even if there was some massive conspiracy covering up his death, they won't admit it by 3/31. Obv he's not dead lol
2026-04-14 15:21:38
retards think he's going to announce the end of the war while peace talks are still happening?? LOLOL
2026-04-14 18:42:40
shaking in my boots
2026-04-15 02:17:48
good luck tomorrow, have fun!
2026-04-15 13:10:29
is the war over yet?
2026-04-15 17:43:14
don't worry guys, i heard he has a super secret announcement planned for 11:50pm tonight
2026-04-19 14:19:08
seek urgent medical attention for lack of brain function
2026-04-22 04:33:50
anyone who disputes is lighting money on fire. "An extension of the ceasefire agreement requires clear public confirmation from both the United States government and the government of Iran" simply doesn't exist. Good luck though
2026-04-23 03:38:36
Give peace a chance
2026-05-13 19:17:23
slut4trading please contact sullivan & cromwell's main switchboard to be connected with someone building a class action case 212-558-4000
2026-05-14 18:24:36
*THERE ARE NO CASES OF HANTAVIRUS INFECTION IN THE US: CDC
2026-05-15 18:40:06
*THERE ARE NO CASES OF HANTAVIRUS INFECTION IN THE US: CDC
2026-05-20 21:06:03
There is still time to get out. Godspeed
2026-05-20 21:06:38
Levant i would suggest you read it more carefully. Save your money while you still can.
2026-05-20 21:11:44
Inshallah notards still have some money left after this
2026-05-20 21:31:44
Rick-ross with the sick burn
2026-05-20 21:34:21
None
2026-05-20 21:46:07
the MOU ends the war, if you believe what's been reported on it
2026-05-21 14:59:58
NOtards have a short window of opportunity to get out and save their money
2026-06-09 12:47:33
good morning peacemongerers
2026-06-14 12:26:19
GM to all lovers of peace
2026-06-14 12:56:22
last chance to buy peace below 99.9
2026-06-15 19:44:31
In the name of Donald J Trump we should all take a moment and praise Allah for this first full day of world peace. Thank you.