Account Information

Name: RainIess
Address: 0x4807a18cd70a7108366660aa08d94600d8ef70ab ↗️
Address: 0xc1f12c5298d48f46742a0beb5395dfd08d0d7be0
Pseudonym: Worthless-Karate
Created: 2026-07-17 11:26:55
Last Activity: 4 weeks ago
Tier: Bronze
Profile profile-image-9287922-ae92fe99-1a0e-4188-8646-996adc670310.png
Total Profit $12,541

Stats

Portfolio value $384.97
Markets traded 40
Trades 40
Largest win $5,047.47
Profile views 172
Join date 2026-07-17 11:26:55
All-time rank 12424
All-time PnL $12,540.88
All-time volume $319,620.00
All-time profit $12,540.88
Lifetime volume $319,620.00
PnL series latest $12,540.83
PnL series start $12,706.92
PnL series points 24
Weighted volume $17,143.25
Geoblock allow No
Geoblock block No
Geoblock close-only No

Biggest wins & losses

Biggest wins

Market Outcome Size PnL
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? Yes 13145.3061 $5,047.47
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? Yes 5666.7023 $3,116.41
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? Yes 9168.2123 $2,537.67

Biggest losses

Market Outcome Size PnL
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 26886.5581 $-3,299.67
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? No 27497.0738 $-1,298.92
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? No 998.52 $-754.76

Open positions (4)

Market Outcome Size Avg Now Value PnL
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? No 377.24 $0.84 $0.85 $322.54 $3.89
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? No 58.57 $0.52 $0.99 $58.01 $27.71
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026? No 15 $0.35 $0.29 $4.33 $-0.92
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by September 30? No 169.35 $0.92 $0.00 $0.08 $-155.72

Closed positions (5+)

Market Outcome Size PnL
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? Yes 13145.3061 $5,047.47
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? Yes 5666.7023 $3,116.41
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? Yes 9168.2123 $2,537.67
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? No 6000 $1,680.00
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? No 3720 $1,054.69

Recent activity (5+)

When Type Side Market Outcome Price Size USDC
4 weeks ago TRADE BUY Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026? No $0.35 10 $3.50
4 weeks ago TRADE BUY Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026? No $0.35 5 $1.75
4 weeks ago TRADE SELL Israel closes its airspace by September 30? No $0.02 20.15 $0.34
4 weeks ago TRADE SELL Israel closes its airspace by September 30? No $0.02 27476.92 $559.01
4 weeks ago TAKER_REBATE $0.00 1.8643 $1.86

Recent trades (40)

When Side Market Outcome Price Size
4 weeks ago SELL Israel closes its airspace by September 30? No $0.02 20.15
4 weeks ago SELL Israel closes its airspace by September 30? No $0.02 27476.92
4 weeks ago SELL US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? No $0.45 3643.03
4 weeks ago BUY Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by September 30? No $0.92 169.35
4 weeks ago BUY Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? No $0.84 377.24

Comments

2026-09-01 11:06:28 None
2026-09-01 15:35:19 lol. look at the review thread
2026-09-07 22:30:48 TO ALL THE *YES* HOLDERS: I urge you to read that little tab called "Market Context". You're welcome. Good Luck. it's not too late to sell.
2026-09-07 22:39:21 The market opened on August 18, 2026, when the annual Yom Kippur aviation shutdown was already foreseeable. The event rules should have explicitly addressed this scheduled closure. If the Yom Kippur shutdown resolves the market to “Yes,” then the outcome was effectively predetermined from the start, which would make the market largely pointless as a prediction market.
2026-09-07 22:53:20 Yom Kippur closes Ben Gurion (airport), not Israeli airspace -overflights/transit through the Tel Aviv FIR aren't restricted. This market requires a closure covering transiting flights too, so the routine holiday shutdown likely doesn't qualify as "Yes" on its own.
2026-09-07 23:13:00 Yes holders, please read the Market Context before buying more: *Market Context* **Israeli airspace has reopened following repeated closures and partial reopenings tied to the 2026 Israel-Iran conflict and associated missile/drone threats from Iran, Hezbollah, and the Houthis.** Closures occurred notably from late February through early April amid US-Israeli strikes on Iran and Iranian retaliation, with further disruptions in June during renewed exchanges; a fragile April ceasefire allowed gradual resumption, though foreign carriers returned slowly. As of early September 2026, commercial operations continue at Ben Gurion Airport with airlines like Delta and United restarting routes, yet the situation remains volatile. An EASA advisory issued August 31 warns of risks through September 30, reflecting ongoing regional tensions including post-ceasefire breakdowns around the Strait of Hormuz. Trader sentiment centers on escalation risks from any new strikes or attacks that could trigger safety-driven NOTAM restrictions or full closures, consistent with historical patterns during active phases of the conflict. Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated Sep 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
2026-09-08 03:03:51 From now on, regarding money outside of Polymarket—they call them legal loopholes and technical "errors"—I’m not giving away any more money here.
2026-09-09 09:45:05 None
2026-09-09 21:40:47 None
2026-09-09 21:44:05 None
2026-09-09 21:52:45 None
2026-09-10 11:23:17 None
2026-09-10 16:25:03 I remember back when this chat was just me n 12beds cracking jokes n talking shit, now literally EVERYBODYS here!
2026-09-11 16:07:31 None
2026-09-12 01:23:59 None
2026-09-19 06:00:44 last call to exit before you get evaporated
2026-09-20 00:11:54 None
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