Account Information
Name:
Flipadelphia
Bio:
Per the dispute process, this market will be decided by the UMA vote.
Created:
2022-10-28 16:53:38
Last Activity:
1 hour ago
Tier:
Silver
GmWiOA_a4AA8HzJ.jpg
Total Profit
$525,316
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$103,552.09
Markets traded
6,616
Trades
5,415
Largest win
$124,104.89
Profile views
23,962
Join date
2022-10-28 16:53:38
All-time rank
408
All-time PnL
$525,316.17
All-time volume
$77,597,203.59
All-time profit
$467,478.75
Lifetime volume
$72,541,917.89
PnL series latest
$461,820.88
PnL series start
$481,356.56
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$169,685.94
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary? | Yes | 210523.899997 | $124,104.89 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | No | 158000.247465 | $101,209.59 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 329663.7404949999 | $61,451.71 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 200000.31659 | $-132,556.93 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 260468.405444 | $-129,864.42 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 700000.18092 | $-78,943.92 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by August 31? | No | 16435.8525 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $16,427.63 | $57.53 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 | Over | 5000 | $0.47 | $1.00 | $5,000.00 | $2,650.00 |
| Will AD Cali win on 2026-08-31? | No | 999.99 | $0.55 | $0.98 | $983.99 | $434.00 |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the Oklahoma Republican Governor primary runoff by less than 5%? | Yes | 816.1 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $815.69 | $2.54 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31? | No | 579.63 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $578.76 | $50.66 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary? | Yes | 210523.899997 | $124,104.89 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | No | 158000.247465 | $101,209.59 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 329663.7404949999 | $61,451.71 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 148346.03268 | $55,519.29 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 307518.785738 | $53,820.82 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour ago | TRADE | BUY | Will AD Cali win on 2026-08-31? | No | $0.55 | 999.99 | $549.99 |
| 1 hour ago | TRADE | BUY | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-08-31? | Yes | $0.25 | 316.64 | $79.16 |
| 1 hour ago | TRADE | BUY | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-08-31? | Yes | $0.25 | 66.666664 | $16.67 |
| 1 hour ago | TRADE | BUY | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-08-31? | Yes | $0.25 | 361.2 | $90.30 |
| 2 hours ago | TRADE | BUY | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-08-31? | Yes | $0.25 | 5 | $1.25 |
Recent trades (5415)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour ago | BUY | Will AD Cali win on 2026-08-31? | No | $0.55 | 999.99 |
| 1 hour ago | BUY | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-08-31? | Yes | $0.25 | 316.64 |
| 1 hour ago | BUY | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-08-31? | Yes | $0.25 | 66.666664 |
| 1 hour ago | BUY | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-08-31? | Yes | $0.25 | 361.2 |
| 2 hours ago | BUY | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-08-31? | Yes | $0.25 | 5 |
Comments
2024-11-06 05:30:08
Miller meeks winning by 10 votes again is hilarious to me
2024-11-10 13:46:13
Stop using county maps as evidence of vote remaining. All that is left to be counted are provisionals, mostly those who forgot ID on election day, these will remain largely uncured and unlikely to have any particular partisan lean.
2024-11-10 13:48:38
There may be a very small amount of UOCOVA ballots to tabulate but otherwise we are talking about the expected vote change being essentially zero between now and certification.
2024-11-10 13:49:35
The best case for no, well its literally an error caught when counties certify on the 25th
2024-11-14 00:53:33
Respectfully, I'm genuinely surprised you are a profitable account. But maybe you are just trying to pump to get a better sell position? Anyway about 90% of the stuf you have espoused is blatantly wrong. If no wins it will be because of a reporting error that is updated when the final tally is certified on the 25th. Good luck.
2024-11-14 01:00:44
Statistically speaking that is a fair 5-10% given the small margins we are talking about. But you do realize you can just ring the Nebraska SoS office who will tell you the remaining ballots instead of this napkin math based off nyt estimates from 8 days ago right?
2024-11-14 01:24:42
A recess appointment would not be a confirmation. Market rules say If Gaetz's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to No
2024-11-14 02:17:53
A recess appointment is only valid to the end of the next senate session as its a temporary measure, clearly different than a senate confirmation which is permanent or a fixed term
2024-11-14 02:22:41
Well the market resolves to no if he doesn't get senate confirmation by June 30th in the event that he neither withdraws or is put up to a vote
2024-11-14 02:36:57
Compare to 2022, NE passed law changing election procedures in 2021, also why did you sell 500 no shares 2 days ago if you are so sure of your math?
2024-12-20 00:08:18
Should pay out in 24 hrs. GG
2024-12-21 00:42:17
GG
2024-12-21 23:33:02
Gg, closer than I would have liked. Could have gone either way with those judges in Riyadh
2024-12-22 00:39:15
Closer than I thought, Usyk was always +ev though
2024-12-27 13:08:44
US institutionals open in 90 mins, could be interesting...
2024-12-27 13:10:23
ETH below 3400 again, lets see if resistance builds when markets open
2024-12-27 13:13:58
Pro tip: If you blow the candles on your screen you have higher chance of winning
2024-12-27 13:18:32
US institutional pre market trading hours coming in clutch
2024-12-27 13:55:23
P hub because someone's about to get f*cked
2024-12-27 14:03:58
BTC/USDT is the relevant ticker not BTC/USD
2024-12-27 14:10:18
US stock futures down across the board in premarket trading. Weakly but consistently correlated with btc price. Bullish
2024-12-27 14:28:35
Interesting take coming from an account with -20k profit and 9m volume...
2024-12-27 14:33:08
US markets open... crypto % decline in line with markets as of now
2024-12-27 14:42:40
Corporate america said 'not today Yes holders'
2024-12-27 14:51:02
Would suggest reading the rules before trading ngl
2024-12-27 17:10:43
gg
2025-01-03 18:24:15
Unsurprising this will go to multiple rounds
2025-01-21 04:12:50
GG buckeyes
2025-01-25 02:52:55
gg
2025-02-06 23:56:32
Josh Allen MVP leaked. Joever.
2025-02-07 00:08:01
Doxxing is too far, I know for a fact 99% of the traders with any insider info would do exactly that same shit. Take the L, learn from it and move on
2025-02-07 00:10:04
Imagine Lamar won and this dude got doxxed over nothing. Would be funny ngl
2025-02-07 00:11:13
he is but would you do the same...? Or is this just convenient morality
2025-02-07 00:13:17
Respect the honesty
2025-02-07 00:21:13
Looks like the dox was deleted. Idk what to believe
2025-02-07 00:23:26
Goes against the idea of Poly IMO, obvs against insider trading in a business context
2025-02-07 00:26:51
Unpopular opinion: Polymarket is the one kind of platform where insider trading should't be banned as pure prediction market it should be a current reflection of any and all information available
2025-02-07 00:28:54
See above comment, but basically yes
2025-02-07 00:34:29
A alt from 2022, with 250k+ profit sure thing, nah i'm just interested in poly controversies tbh no bets on this
2025-02-07 00:37:54
Chiefs winning ur good, ladyboys back on the menu
2025-02-07 00:46:45
Careful poly don't close you out btw, just realised doxxing is in the t&c's
2025-02-07 00:51:18
Not going too and actually helping him but doxxing is not cool and its probably the one thing poly would take swift action on. Would have been smarter to dox on a new account with no positions.
2025-02-23 18:59:13
Not even a sweat, kinda boring
2025-02-25 03:00:38
% markets specify resolving on official results only as opposed to victory markets also able to resolve on 'credible reporting', this is in theory logical as these % markets are prone to a final certification messing up the winner when brackets are close. Given rules are written before results are known it doesn't matter that there is a 'clear bracket winner' when the rules are written like this. Yes its dumb and they should write better rules allowing for some flexibility when results are clear but its in the resolution criteria.
2025-02-25 03:07:37
Unfortunately and realistically 95% yes, I get the frustration and honestly the UMA system can be flawed at times. My only suggestion is to stay out of overly controversial markets and leave others to propose
2025-02-25 03:26:00
0% chance sadly, precedent is a key factor for them and they would be going against it in this case. Wish you the best.
2025-02-26 04:05:20
OLP's vote distribution is terrible for seats, this is a 50-50 market at best for them
2025-02-28 02:55:10
Great trading btw
2025-02-28 03:01:25
Well done, NDP were always favorite using the fundamentals and results in a few key ridings made it obvious it was a good night for the NDP
2025-02-28 03:07:43
400% roi is crazy good tho, was always a 50-50 market
2025-02-28 03:13:29
He made way more, I only came in with conviction after results were solid
2025-03-05 04:13:28
1. "Mexico" - Tariffs: "On average, the European Union, China, Brazil, India, Mexico, and Canada… charge us tremendously higher tariffs…" (direct quote, CBS News). 2. "Mexico" - Tariff Policy: Announcing 25% tariffs on "Mexico and Canada" effective March 4 (Fox News). 3. "Mexico" - Immigration: Reducing crossings and fentanyl from "Mexico" (NPR fact-check). 4. "Mexico" - Trade War: Retaliatory tariffs involving "Mexico" (The Guardian). 5. "Mexico’s" - Possessive: Likely "Mexico’s tariffs" or "Mexico’s border" in tariff/immigration context
2025-03-05 04:14:14
5 explicit mentions
2025-03-08 01:52:52
December 31st.
2025-03-19 01:17:33
A brief overview of top holders tells you that its definitely getting disputed
2025-03-20 03:02:33
Still interested...?
2025-03-20 15:06:08
gg
2025-03-26 06:14:48
One last fill at 92.5 if you're interested
2025-03-26 06:19:49
goinhardgoinbig alt?
2025-03-27 18:16:29
Something happened
2025-03-27 18:27:54
I don't really have sympathy for those who bonded on this one, the nomination being pulled has been talked about for several weeks albeit in such a brutal fashion these are the nature of nomination markets.
2025-03-27 20:16:17
With the exception of when the clarification came too late (minerals market), UMA has never voted against a clarification(why would they its free money getting told what to vote).
2025-03-27 20:35:45
Wow your arguing for No not P4 lmao,100 days aren't up so No isn't possible lmao
2025-03-27 21:04:47
And now you sold(for a loss), what a loser can't even fully commit to the scam you were trying to run.
2025-03-27 22:57:25
Feed me
2025-03-27 23:03:59
I thought you could feel the noise, in all honesty I would but i'm keeping it in line with k*lshi pricing so I'm not just being played for arb
2025-03-27 23:13:26
Interesting to see that your top losing category on Polymarket analytics is US elections...
2025-03-27 23:58:50
It will be a slow reveal after the mineral fck up so don't expect the votes to come until towards the end of the 24hr reveal period
2025-03-30 19:03:04
Piece of advice, stop checking this market for the next couple weeks and trust the process, we are looking at a late April confirmation atm everything is going smoothly and as expected.
2025-03-31 02:10:49
100% P2, better luck scamming next time my friend
2025-04-01 00:36:52
The June market just resolved yes (whilst its still april), meaning there is no point in disputing this at this point as Yes bros could just point to that clear example https://polymarket.com/event/will-sydney-sweeney-break-up-with-her-fianc-before-june
2025-04-01 00:39:27
It was left undisputed for the 2hr window, just that market resolving alone would win it for the yes side at this point
2025-04-01 00:49:18
Dispute this as well https://polymarket.com/event/will-sydney-sweeney-break-up-with-her-fianc-before-june - oh wait it already resolved nvm
2025-04-01 04:00:09
Bro you had me worried you were an insider lol
2025-04-01 05:15:28
I agree, i thought it was a ruse to try a get fills because the article he linked was fake, so I'm still a little suspicious to be honest, could be a failed insider similar to the kanye coin markets. We win anyway lol
2025-04-01 05:19:32
His last response was very telling "maybe it counts, we'll see", becasue you certainly wouldn't make a 3k bet filling a every possible price based of this rationale on a fresh acount.
2025-04-01 05:37:22
Yeah I mean rewards would never come before a conviction in a case like this, so I didn't think anyone would bet big on the Yes side unless they had knowledge of some random local Penn PD reward or something lol alas we do get some degens who just ape sometimes(me included). Perhaps he will clear it up but i expect he won't be using that account anymore lol
2025-04-01 06:03:20
That crimestoppers reward was never gonna pay out imo. You can sometimes get the 3.5k reward for the indictment well it some low level case but this got topped up to 10 and has cross jurisdiction complexities. I wouldn't be surprised if there's no payout at all.
2025-04-01 06:37:36
That was smart, I could have filled another 60k shares but red flags were obvious. Presuming he had some level of insider info or what he thought was, i think the fake out was a good idea but with poor execution as he essentially admitted the elon reward wouldn't even qualify. I hope he comes back to clarify but I suspect he will not.
2025-04-01 14:13:28
7am -10am total vote has gone from a R+9 to a R+13 Electorate, its joever thanks for playing
2025-04-01 14:14:37
Can you feel the noise... some cheap 2c Weil in the order book if you want it...
2025-04-01 14:18:00
https://polymarket.com/event/fl-6-special-election-randy-fine-margin-of-victory?tid=1743515121647
2025-04-01 16:55:19
Its been a fine day you could say, I'm just playing anyway, you win some you lose some
2025-04-01 17:35:00
That's fine with me
2025-04-02 01:42:05
gg
2025-04-02 01:44:01
Come to the margin market https://polymarket.com/event/wisconsin-supreme-court-election-susan-crawford-margin-of-victory?tid=1743558222922
2025-04-03 21:23:26
Free unless we get rulecucked or a bomb goes off in the courthouse lol
2025-04-03 22:04:03
You're gonna be rich but you should buy more quickly before everyone else realises
2025-04-03 23:51:17
Put more 0 order back in i'll fill
2025-04-04 02:12:42
gg
2025-04-04 02:34:00
gg, fairly obvious outcome in retrospect