Account Information
Name:
Warren-Buffett
Bio:
Freak the fuck out and sell everything right now. Its fucking over.
Pseudonym:
Hateful-Generation
Created:
2025-10-01 12:26:44
Last Activity:
3 weeks ago
Tier:
Silver
profile-image-3416479-d3d86a2e-e805-4958-9ddb-29768f8a9601.webp
Total Profit
$197,421
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$135,652.80
Markets traded
1,499
Trades
1,499
Largest win
$124,632.67
Profile views
12,560
Join date
2025-10-01 12:26:44
All-time rank
1059
All-time PnL
$197,421.01
All-time volume
$26,914,205.93
All-time profit
$197,421.01
Lifetime volume
$26,914,205.93
PnL series latest
$197,421.02
PnL series start
$195,171.25
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$26,486.35
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 669747.332798 | $124,632.67 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 380951.31016 | $20,833.67 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 91621.291166 | $18,413.13 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 933435.365152 | $-27,999.91 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 506985.447564 | $-11,211.92 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 243285.459132 | $-10,045.12 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | No | 9976.0826 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $9,941.17 | $67.84 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | No | 9999.9758 | $0.95 | $0.99 | $9,904.98 | $369.40 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 9999.9914 | $0.96 | $0.99 | $9,894.99 | $272.53 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 10000.0062 | $0.86 | $0.85 | $8,550.01 | $-28.84 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 15000.0192 | $0.58 | $0.55 | $8,175.01 | $-515.39 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 669747.332798 | $124,632.67 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 380951.31016 | $20,833.67 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 91621.291166 | $18,413.13 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 130354.791377 | $10,150.68 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 43027.108583 | $9,595.82 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | No | $0.72 | 73.61 | $53.00 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | No | $0.56 | 2000 | $1,120.00 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | No | $0.72 | 1.388887 | $1.00 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | No | $0.72 | 925 | $666.00 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | Yes | $0.63 | 3000 | $1,890.00 |
Recent trades (1499)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | SELL | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | No | $0.11 | 7500.07 |
| 3 weeks ago | SELL | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | $0.38 | 2000 |
| 3 weeks ago | SELL | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | $0.38 | 1000 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | $0.92 | 5439.29 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | No | $0.96 | 1044.3 |
Comments
2026-01-15 18:09:30
10 minutes
2026-01-15 18:13:24
Be greedy when others are greedy, and fearful when others are fearful - Barren Waffett
2026-01-15 18:17:16
Should you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.
2026-01-15 19:29:26
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1.
2026-01-15 23:04:56
youre onto something here, maybe she gave him one of those aluminum participation medals they give little kids
2026-01-15 23:13:53
ur right, trump's modesty will be our downfall
2026-01-15 23:22:04
18% chance machado just dangled the medal in front of trump then said SIKE
2026-01-22 09:58:17
Does Cyprus have sovereignty?
2026-01-22 16:03:35
Such agreements or instruments will qualify even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
2026-01-23 14:27:20
meds
2026-01-23 17:32:31
What a scam. Where are the Armed Forces of Cote d’Ivoire? How could they let this happen
2026-01-27 23:00:27
MURPHY says he’s been talking with Democrats and Republicans throughout the weekend. Dems are preparing a targeted list of “reasonable reforms” that he thinks would get some more Dems to yes. Wouldn’t detail what those are yet.
2026-01-27 23:00:38
Sen. Schatz (D-Hawaii), who’s been talking w senators in both parties, says discussions have been “constructive” and “I think we should be able to land this.” He declined to get specific …
2026-01-27 23:12:38
Manu Raj - CNN Chief Congressional Correspondent: Talked to a bunch of Senate Dems and they all are saying they need changes in legislation on ICE to avoid a government shutdown. Rs are saying that the WH is willing to take administrative action. Dems say that’s not enough. Deadline: End of the day Friday
2026-01-28 16:51:30
Why does the strike resolve that one but not this one?
2026-01-30 03:45:55
go to sleep joe
2026-01-30 10:19:51
I’d be a bum on the street with a tin cup if the markets were always efficient.
2026-01-30 10:28:08
How exactly do people psy-op themselves into thinking some website which they've never heard about until 10 minutes ago will suddenly act against precedent, logic, and the literal law?
2026-01-30 12:37:29
OMB can't do that while the house hasn't even voted yet. Would be extremely illegal
2026-01-30 14:18:29
your first error was assuming these goyim can read
2026-01-30 14:31:22
See?
2026-01-30 14:42:21
Candace? Is that you?
2026-01-30 15:09:55
Who told you people don't work on Saturday? DHS has TSA, Coast Guard, Secret Service, etc... Most op. staff will still work but not everyone
2026-01-30 16:01:15
Ah yes, the 4th branch of government. They'll sort it all out
2026-02-01 00:49:47
Don't blackpill yet grandpa. There are ways out: [link removed]
2026-02-01 23:26:28
New Dems Chair SCHNEIDER said on the caucus call that Dems shouldn’t go into a shutdown over ICE because then it will be about the rest of government that’s closed
2026-02-03 19:14:32
Really starting to like these al-shabaab fellows
2026-02-03 19:16:43
also shoutout is-somalia
2026-02-03 19:21:02
ding ding ding ding
2026-02-03 23:04:23
meds
2026-02-03 23:15:47
MarHhhhhhd, you're getting too close. Mr. Soros has reviewed your file and is displeased. Cease your investigation immediately.
2026-02-03 23:17:17
CEASE YOUR INVESTIGATION
2026-02-04 15:25:17
[link removed]
2026-02-04 15:36:04
shut up goy
2026-02-04 15:43:30
ironic. how about you read the first few paragraphs of the article, goy?
2026-02-04 17:11:49
Holy shit you're right. Somalia strike was 1st Feb. So this counts as 31st Jan, 12PM Syria time ie 3AM ET on the 31st?
2026-02-04 17:23:45
If no consensus of the order of the strikes exists, the market will resolve based on assuming a strike time of 12 PM local time (on the listed strike date) for any strike without a published time.
2026-02-04 17:26:35
Wdym? I'm literally copy pasting the rules lol
2026-02-04 17:29:30
So you mean - no consensus of the order of the strikes exists? Then we have to look at the listed strike date(s)
2026-02-04 17:34:16
Agree its ambiguous. I assume there's precedent here?
2026-02-06 08:55:33
why do I have to be 18+ to see the EPSTEIN FILES??!!!!
2026-02-06 09:00:57
is the doj trying to stop the victims from accessing the files? not cool
2026-02-08 19:03:55
you need to get these uma whales on the island bro what are you doing/?????
2026-02-08 19:20:36
chin up king
2026-02-08 21:01:43
well i guess we can resolve the "NISA and international security partners strike on Somalia by February 7?" market
2026-02-09 20:56:46
they have work life balance in somalia
2026-02-09 21:43:04
Real alpha comes from researching German labour laws before betting on the Somalia strike market
2026-02-10 09:12:36
In a world full of psyops and fake news, the only oasis left for truth-seekers like me is Mustaqbal media
2026-02-11 18:33:31
SIKE
2026-02-16 22:34:48
WE'RE SO BACK
2026-02-27 10:41:24
SOMETHING ALWAYS HAPPENS
2026-02-27 10:47:05
BEGONE CHUDS
2026-02-27 10:48:26
I TRUST XI JINPING
2026-02-27 13:14:08
why is oil going vertical, notards? Are $bn oil traders also degen gamblers
2026-02-28 08:11:08
AL SHABAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAB
2026-02-28 09:13:26
true conoisseurs
2026-02-28 09:15:01
lol
2026-03-01 17:43:06
Crazy that the iranian constitution predicted polymarket would exist and would pick the leader for them
2026-03-01 22:58:48
On fox news tv they are saying the usa attacked iran)?! someone needs to get this info to polymarket boss asap!!!!
2026-03-01 23:31:19
is there a manager here i can speak to?? this is unacceptable
2026-03-01 23:49:37
do you people own maps?
2026-03-01 23:56:02
just imagine a shahed buzzing about for 10 hours through Iraqi, Jordanian, and Israeli airspace until it hits cyprus. or it could be the country that's 100 miles away. Hmmmmmmmmmmm
2026-03-02 00:09:37
A Shahed 136?? wonder what range that has.....
2026-03-02 00:30:03
depends on the model and launch site i guess. in any case, way too far for the iranians to send a shahed to. the probability a shahed survives all the air defenses along the way is even more remote.
2026-03-02 11:04:05
i blame anoin for this
2026-03-02 14:37:15
you mean to tell me iran didnt launch plastic shaheds moving at 5km/hr across the ENTIRE MIDDLE EAST???????? WOA
2026-03-02 14:48:18
use your brain + look at a map. Hezbollah is 100km away. Iran is minimum 2000km. Joined the war at the same time drone strikes were being reported. only way iran can touch cyprus is with ballistics, which it is not going to waste on uk, which hasnt even joined the war.
2026-03-02 21:57:00
thank you for this. i was really really worried you would start buying. now i can sleep easy
2026-03-03 09:50:11
The head of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization confirms that Israeli-American airstrikes targeted the Natanz nuclear center in Isfahan twice on Sunday.
Looks like Feb 28?
2026-03-03 21:10:41
STOP THE (psy)OP
2026-03-03 21:13:37
but it says iran in the name
2026-03-03 21:19:19
11:59PM ET is 8:30AM in Iran btw
2026-03-04 08:38:46
Has Iran also been attacking Ukraine for the past 2 years? Lots of shaheds over there too
2026-03-04 09:08:49
IRGC controls Hezbollah so him saying "we" is meaningless. You need MOD to confirm. Also the base is not even Cypriot soil so you lose anyway. In the meantime, consider looking at a map and have a guess at where the short-range drone was launched from such that it could land in Cyprus unintercepted
2026-03-04 11:17:36
The fact that you think US base in Qatar is equivalent to RAF Akrotiri tells me you have absolutely no idea what you are talking about, and are likely going through AI psychosis. Other stuff is all wrong but cba honestly. Waiting for you to fill my buy orders
2026-03-04 12:46:26
you got me, please dont start buying more. i am going to sell very soon
2026-03-05 13:50:52
i trust al-shabaab
2026-03-06 16:52:50
Not unless you can find a credible source confirming that the strikes occurred after market creation, ie 12PM ET. The strike used to resolve that market could have been (and likely was) before 12PM ET on the 28th
2026-03-06 17:12:38
If we could include strikes from before market creation, we would instantly resolve the market because of Desert Storm in 1990s. Does that make sense to you?
2026-03-07 21:59:08
if you cant handle al-shabaab at its worst, you dont deserve al-shabaab at its best
2026-03-10 08:07:40
al shabaab are TERRORISTS
2026-03-22 11:20:26
Ma'alot-Tarshiha. Channel 12, Jerusalem Post, Mannie Fabian.
2026-03-22 19:46:35
Saudi MOD. modgovksa on X. 5am local time. "One of the missiles was intercepted, while the other two fell in an uninhabited area."
2026-03-22 20:09:58
Are you suggesting the Houthis entered the war? That would be a very significant escalation, and would be reported on.
The only other candidate would be Iraqi militias, which have not launched a single ballistic missile so far. They do not have that capability.
2026-03-22 20:51:06
What an odd argument
2026-03-25 23:05:38
anyone found anything yet
2026-03-26 09:58:30
there was attack misgav am
2026-03-26 10:15:24
misgav am they hit a farmer idf confirmed
2026-03-26 10:31:02
does it count if idf said it was friendly fire??????
2026-03-26 10:34:36
guys i tinkk idf denied wtfffff
2026-03-29 17:21:00
Official Abu Dhabi media office said intercepted & debris.
2026-03-29 19:28:09
Doesnt matter. If govt denies then it is no
2026-03-30 08:17:33
lol good luck
2026-04-02 19:06:34
get my name out of yo mouth
2026-04-16 19:30:15
OPEN THE FUCKIN' STRAIT, YOU CRAZY BASTARDS!
2026-04-17 12:54:20
YOU LOVELY, CRAZY, LOVELY BASTARDS
2026-04-17 13:10:14
LIFT THE FUCKIN' BLOCKADE, YOU CRAZY BASTARD!
2026-06-16 08:56:56
Iranian Foreign Minister Aragchi: "And the important point I want to emphasize here is that, in our view, both sides of this memorandum one side is the United States, and the other is Israel, and the other is Iran, and Hezbollah."
2026-06-16 08:57:28
Iranian Foreign Minister Aragchi: "And the important point I want to emphasize here is that, in our view, both sides of this memorandum one side is the United States, and the other is Israel, and the other is Iran, and Hezbollah."