Account Information
Name:
gakov
Bio:
Per aspera ad astra.
Pseudonym:
Sorrowful-Dhow
Created:
2026-02-24 23:35:58
Last Activity:
1 week ago
Tier:
Tier 0
X:
@gakov117
profile-image-6218867-4af817f1-e73a-4cf4-8ef5-ef8a59a902ba.webp
Total Profit
$400
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$43.15
Markets traded
117
Trades
117
Largest win
$119.17
Profile views
485
Join date
2026-02-24 23:35:58
All-time rank
129428
All-time PnL
$400.40
All-time volume
$7,832.73
All-time profit
$400.40
Lifetime volume
$7,832.73
PnL series latest
$400.42
PnL series start
$400.02
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$20.81
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 669.0316 | $119.17 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 274.966 | $55.21 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 376.2815 | $53.50 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 46.582 | $-5.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | Down | 3.3635 | $-3.77 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | Up | 2.4375 | $-3.23 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | 35.9529 | $0.76 | $0.73 | $26.08 | $-1.22 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 376.5238 | $0.04 | $0.03 | $12.24 | $-2.55 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7.2549 | $0.66 | $0.67 | $4.83 | $0.02 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Yes | 8.1969 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2.47 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | Down | 5.0511 | $0.59 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-3.00 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 669.0316 | $119.17 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 274.966 | $55.21 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 376.2815 | $53.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Up | 53.812 | $50.23 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | No | 221.6034 | $45.07 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.66 | 7.2549 | $4.87 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.03 | 146.285713 | $5.32 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.04 | 230.238094 | $10.04 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | $0.73 | 13.42428 | $9.95 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | $0.75 | 12.798406 | $9.74 |
Recent trades (117)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.66 | 7.2549 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.03 | 146.285713 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0.04 | 230.238094 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | $0.73 | 13.42428 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | $0.75 | 12.798406 |
Comments
2026-03-15 17:58:34
Its actually ~5% considering we are in March.
2026-03-21 16:54:59
and give information to the gov? hell no!
2026-03-31 01:56:01
Seu desejo é uma ordem!
2026-04-01 15:30:33
Why the hell would he buy now that is 99.8?
2026-04-04 13:25:04
Como assim eram jovens na epoca? Isso foi tipo 2-3 anos atrás kkkkk
2026-04-04 18:13:35
Qual a pegadinha?
2026-04-08 13:22:04
None
2026-04-08 19:27:43
Mas a chance dele sair tá 21%, ué.
2026-04-08 19:29:21
Caso entre um governo de oposição, talvez. Esse ano? Com certeza não.
2026-04-09 02:41:04
How can people still buy yes??
2026-04-09 16:22:05
Yeah, this price doesn't make any sense...
2026-04-10 12:19:34
Pesquisa mais recente dando 35% pro Flávio e 33% pro Lula, mas segundo a sua "probabilidade", a chance deveria ser 75-25 de não ter segundo turno, confia...
2026-04-10 12:20:12
Pesquisa mais recente do Instituto Veritá dando 1,8% pra Renan Santos KKKKKKKKKK
2026-04-11 13:50:23
Bota o título da matéria completo, faltou: "Disse o marqueteiro do Ratinho", uau. Se você está tão certo disso, entra all-in então.
2026-04-11 13:51:08
O marqueteiro do ratinho com certeza é alguém que sabe muito de política brasileira.
2026-04-11 22:13:56
He would get spawn-killed by Israel.
2026-04-11 22:55:03
so what?
2026-04-11 23:53:41
that's what i thought, but how do they get money from this?
2026-04-12 12:25:16
Se Alexandre de Moraes continuar no poder, eu ganho dinheiro. Se ele sair, ganho felicidade.
2026-04-12 13:30:56
None
2026-04-12 14:28:17
None
2026-04-12 14:48:31
You literally lost ALL the bets you made here. This will be the next one.
2026-04-12 17:05:17
Bye bye Orban!
2026-04-12 18:07:24
No
2026-04-12 18:15:23
Ignore the comments. You can check the official numbers here: [link removed]
2026-04-12 18:26:02
Is the Hungarian gov Soros controlled?
2026-04-13 12:25:47
Beleza, a PF pega ele, e ele vai ser julgado pelo STF. Quem do STF vai votar a favor da condenação de Moraes?
2026-04-16 13:10:36
Brazil has zero chance too.
2026-04-17 16:51:46
A announcement that a peace treaty has been established. Which can only happen AFTERWARDS
2026-04-18 21:14:05
Polymarket makes it easy to get money off of idiots!
2026-04-18 21:24:08
cry about it
2026-04-19 01:12:50
Opportunity to buy more.
2026-04-19 17:59:43
Ez Vitality win
2026-04-20 18:12:00
None
2026-04-20 21:37:04
Nice try to pump and dump!
2026-04-20 22:14:29
whales trying to pump and dump
2026-04-20 23:40:56
Yes, they know how to pump and dump.
2026-04-20 23:43:55
None
2026-04-21 01:45:18
Ez one
2026-04-21 02:27:15
Just like Pope Francis and Ukraine, huh?
2026-04-21 13:11:27
None
2026-04-21 20:35:29
None
2026-04-21 23:54:20
None
2026-04-23 11:47:11
You have been manipulated.
2026-04-24 00:03:34
Create your own server then.
2026-04-24 12:33:31
He isnt a genius, he's simply a scammer that manipulates the market.
2026-04-24 21:38:06
LULA SEU CORNO
2026-04-25 21:07:55
He manipulates the market.
2026-04-26 01:06:34
Was It approved in 2026?
2026-04-26 01:15:13
xD
2026-04-28 13:00:43
Atualizou e todas as ordens que tavam abertas antes foram fechadas.
2026-04-29 19:03:13
None
2026-04-29 19:12:04
He didnt
2026-04-30 17:31:00
yeah it was down when it closed.
2026-04-30 18:11:30
Proof?
2026-05-06 15:58:15
If peace i win happiness, if no peace, i win money.
2026-05-08 17:37:23
None
2026-06-09 15:04:43
cry about it
2026-06-14 22:53:05
guess i have to find a real job
2026-06-14 23:42:53
Although the official signing ceremony is scheduled for Friday, June 19 in Switzerland, the second resolution condition of the market states: 'Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established.' The public confirmations by Trump and Gharibabadi (along with the official Pakistani mediator) stating that the text is finalized and the deal is complete fully satisfy this clause.
2026-06-15 00:01:05
What the rules REQUIRE:
"Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established."
What the rules DO NOT REQUIRE:
An official ceremony.
A formal in-person event.
2026-06-15 00:33:20
People calling this a '60-day ceasefire' are confusing the logistical timeline with the actual deal. The 60-day MoU is strictly the implementation period for withdrawing troops and lifting blockades. The official public announcement explicitly states the 'immediate and permanent termination of military operations.' Per the market rules, this clear public confirmation of a lasting end to hostilities is what triggers a YES
2026-06-15 00:34:32
What about: "This Great Deal will bring Peace and Security to the whole Region. Many presidents have tried to make Peace with Iran, and all have failed before me."
2026-06-15 00:43:51
Iran remains silent? Are you deliberately ignoring reality or just coping to save your 'No' bags? Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi literally confirmed the deal on Iranian State TV, explicitly announcing an 'immediate and permanent end to the war and military operations.' State TV is the exact definition of 'clear public confirmation' from the Iranian government. The 'silence' is only in your echo chamber. Both sides have publicly confirmed. The market criteria for a YES are fully met. Stop spreading misinformation.
2026-06-15 02:37:29
Lmao where in the rules It days there should be a photo or at least a written agreement? Youre coping so hard
2026-06-15 02:38:59
No. The market rules dont require signing
2026-06-15 02:39:25
Are you? "- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count."
2026-06-15 02:46:16
🚨 NO holders: save your money while you can.
The UMA oracle has already resolved this market YES twice in prior disputes. Nothing has changed since — both governments publicly confirmed the "immediate and permanent" end of hostilities. Trump: "The Deal is now complete." Iran's SNSC: "permanently beginning tonight."
That's exactly what the resolution criteria require. The oracle already agreed. Twice.
Market closes tomorrow 11:59 PM ET. There is no reasonable case for NO.
2026-06-15 02:48:38
Sim, inclusive as duas partes vieram a público e disseram isso. Venda enquanto há tempo
2026-06-15 02:53:00
But this isn't a ceasefire — read the actual statements.
Iran's SNSC: "the war and military operations on all fronts will end immediately and PERMANENTLY."
Trump: "The Deal is now COMPLETE."
The resolution criteria doesn't require the word 'peace.' It requires language 'clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities.' Permanent = lasting. Complete = definitive.
2026-06-15 02:56:16
Correct. But this isn't a ceasefire — read the actual statements.
Iran's SNSC: "the war and military operations on all fronts will end immediately and PERMANENTLY."
Trump: "The Deal is now COMPLETE."
The resolution criteria doesn't require the word 'peace.' It requires language 'clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities.' Permanent = lasting. Complete = definitive.
The oracle already agreed with this reading. Twice.
2026-06-15 02:57:08
They did concluded that twice already xD
2026-06-15 02:58:37
Announcement is enough. read the rules.
2026-06-15 03:00:48
Announcement is enough
2026-06-15 03:03:59
Announcement from both sides. Exactly what the market needs to resolve to yes.
2026-06-15 03:04:43
Doesnt matter, announcement is enough according to market rules
2026-06-15 03:05:03
Lmao wrong market
2026-06-15 03:06:34
You know that UMA holders, not PolyMarket, decide the result dont you??
2026-06-15 03:17:20
hate to admit It but he's right now.
2026-06-15 03:18:09
Iran's SNSC: "the war and military operations on all fronts will end immediately and PERMANENTLY."
Trump: "The Deal is now COMPLETE."
The resolution criteria doesn't require the word 'peace.' It requires language 'clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities.' Permanent = lasting. Complete = definitive.
2026-06-15 12:00:51
cry about it
2026-06-15 12:34:35
Nope. Read the full rules.
2026-06-15 12:34:56
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
2026-06-15 13:40:25
NO holders, wall of tears right here 👇👇
2026-06-15 13:43:10
😜
2026-06-15 13:45:12
The amount of pure copium in this chat is insane. NO holders, drop your tears here, it's over 📉🤡
2026-06-15 13:56:08
I have better profit than you ever had with less volume.
2026-06-15 15:36:57
I dont
2026-06-15 16:55:13
its over boys
2026-06-15 17:07:52
yeah good luck against the whales that control 60% of UMA.
2026-06-15 17:08:22
say bye to your pennies
2026-06-15 17:23:59
Yadda yadda yadda
2026-06-15 19:08:39
gg boys
2026-06-15 22:00:01
you can keep dreaming
2026-06-16 13:03:56
its over boys.
2026-06-16 13:05:32
accept your loss.
2026-08-19 13:41:18
Renan Santos tá absurdamente barato, bando de mão de alface. 2x fácil aqui.
2026-08-19 21:15:50
Tem que escolher uma que tenha um país que é permitido. provavelmente o seu é US ou Holanda.
2026-08-20 13:17:42
None
2026-08-22 03:07:00
Meu amigo, voce tá completamente descolado da realidade kkkk. Essa aba de comentários virou um hospício à céu aberto.
2026-08-22 03:25:52
ou Flávio passa vergonha e nem chega no segundo turno, ou se ele for, a eleição acabou de acabar e vocês entregaram a vitória no colo do Lula. Quem vota nele achando que tá fazendo grande oposição tá sendo feito de trouxa. O Flávio não tem a menor condição de bater o Lula num confronto direto, e o pior de tudo: ele mesmo sabe disso. Ele sabe que o teto dele é minúsculo e que não puxa voto de mais ninguém. Ele só continua inflamando a base e fazendo teatro pra não perder a relevância e não sumir do mapa, usando vocês de escada. Vocês criticam tanto o outro lado, mas tão fechados com um cara que carrega o mesmo histórico de corrupção. O desespero dele por voto é tão grande que ele já tá abraçando a mesmíssima cartilha populista que o Lula sempre usou. É exatamente a mesma coisa, só muda a embalagem.
No fim das contas, o eleitor do Flávio é hoje o maior cabo eleitoral do Lula.
2026-08-22 03:27:15
Não entendi, o Flávio? Porque meu comentário foi exclusivamente sobre ele e não citei nenhum outro candidato além de Flávio e Lula .
2026-08-22 03:28:12
Tá avisado e bem precificado aqui inclusive. O Flávio não tem condições contra o Lula.
2026-08-22 03:30:10
A eleição já aconteceu? Você tá comemorando a "grande recuperação" dos 28% pros 33%?
2026-08-22 03:33:09
Esse gráfico não interfere em nada no resultado da eleição
2026-08-22 03:34:50
não precisa ter mais de dois neurônios pra saber que o Flávio Bolsonaro não ganha de Lula no segundo turno, e tudo que eu estou afirmando é simplesmente isso. Eu sei que no fundo você também sabe.
2026-08-22 12:49:31
Votar no Flávio = Eleger o Lula
2026-08-22 13:35:07
não voto em corrupto
2026-08-22 15:19:56
O Flávio e seus apoiadores do Evangelistão defendem pautas que violam o principio da auto-propriedade e o PNA como proibir a maconha. Não apoio candidato que defende crime sem vítima
2026-08-23 23:31:10
Shortar Flávio já tá 2x Selic, pra que esperar o Renan subir? Dinheiro de graça.
2026-08-24 00:08:36
Só se for dos mãos de alface medrosos.
2026-08-24 00:20:14
Isso é diferente de prejuízo realizado, só significa que compraram acima do preço atual. Mas o cara que comprou Renan a 15% é tão burro quanto o que vendeu a 2%.
2026-08-24 00:43:18
caramba como você é burro ou desonesto. O pump nas pesquisas do Augusto Cury foi ANTES do debate, pois ele tinha dito que não iria participar.
2026-08-24 01:04:29
Sobrou nada pro Pablo Boçal xD
2026-08-24 01:16:52
Por que voce se importa tanto com ele? Quem tá na frente do Flávio é o Lula.
2026-08-24 01:32:08
Ele foi julgado inocente nesses casos, e a polêmica do aborto não foi com ele. Mesmo que fosse, aborto não fere o Princípio da Não Agressão.
2026-08-24 01:49:04
O próprio Rothbard escreveu sobre isso . ninguém tem o direito de usar o corpo de outra pessoa sem consentimento contínuo. (Mesmo que ela tenha consentido inicialmente). Claro que depende do procedimento, mas simplesmente remover uma pessoa da sua propriedade privada (corpo) não fere o PNA, se após ela ser removida da sua propriedade privada ela não consegue resistir ao ambiente e m0rre, isso não é um problema seu.