Account Information
Name:
EmeraldEdge
Bio:
On tilt since September 2025
Pseudonym:
Friendly-Cephalopod
Created:
2025-09-24 18:44:28
Last Activity:
1 week ago
Tier:
Tier 0
X:
@th33m3rald3dg3
profile-image-3383042-8ad2db54-1c83-4594-a6b1-0702d32a9e16.jpeg
Total Profit
$-12,365
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$176.11
Markets traded
1,273
Trades
1,273
Largest win
$1,793.30
Profile views
939
Join date
2025-09-24 18:44:28
All-time rank
3084935
All-time PnL
$-12,364.64
All-time volume
$644,959.20
All-time profit
$-12,364.64
Lifetime volume
$644,959.20
PnL series latest
$-12,364.64
PnL series start
$-12,326.41
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$929.74
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 2793.296 | $1,774.04 |
| Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | 6289.6332 | $1,332.73 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting? | No | 4005.8097 | $1,062.14 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Down | 11340.9 | $-6,426.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Up | 9108.8139 | $-5,254.70 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 2299.9728 | $-1,835.93 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | Yes | 110 | $0.87 | $0.78 | $85.42 | $-10.03 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 280 | $0.49 | $0.08 | $22.40 | $-114.80 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 65.0716 | $0.25 | $0.31 | $20.17 | $3.60 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 60 | $0.30 | $0.25 | $15.00 | $-3.20 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 79.65 | $0.71 | $0.10 | $8.36 | $-48.13 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 2793.296 | $1,774.04 |
| Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | 6289.6332 | $1,332.73 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting? | No | 4005.8097 | $1,062.14 |
| Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 4014.4196 | $1,026.91 |
| Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21? | No | 4902.3149 | $1,003.71 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | Yes | $0.76 | 10 | $7.60 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | SELL | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | Yes | $0.12 | 30 | $3.60 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | SELL | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | Yes | $0.13 | 20 | $2.60 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | SELL | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | Yes | $0.13 | 19.2 | $2.50 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | Yes | $0.70 | 10 | $7.00 |
Recent trades (1273)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | BUY | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | Yes | $0.42 | 10 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | Yes | $0.42 | 10 |
| 1 week ago | BUY | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | Yes | $0.42 | 10 |
| 1 week ago | SELL | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | Yes | $0.33 | 10 |
| 1 week ago | SELL | Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | $0.98 | 43.9 |
Comments
2025-10-23 00:48:20
Draftkings needs to launch before end of year to test âin 2025â markets, big fail if the Donât
2025-10-23 14:04:29
Draftkings and Fanduel need to go live with PM well before the NFL playoffs that start Jan. 10
2025-10-23 14:08:08
Fanduel and Draftkings need to be live with PM well before the NFL playoffs that start on Jan 10
2025-10-23 14:10:32
Fanduel has to launch before end of year to get the âby end of 2025â markets volumes. Big miss if they donât
2025-10-23 14:14:47
Tank Davis is several skill levels above Paul, this offsets size disadvantage.
2025-10-23 14:18:44
Davis near retirement, will not lose to âyoutuberâ on one of his last fights. Tank Davis will not want to be the loser of this show.
2025-10-23 14:22:21
Polarized election in a polarized world. Cepeda the clear left candidate to go to second round. Very misspriced currently, should double from here.
2025-10-23 15:40:44
Bypass some US state laws; get share of big volume from NFL playoffs on new platform, hit ground running
2025-10-28 19:39:05
Per the rules, they need to get it on in front of public in broad daylight
2025-11-01 11:25:23
Katy and Trudeau's decision to publicly display their relationship through hand-holding during a high-profile Paris date constitutes a deliberate public statement by the couple themselves.
2025-11-01 11:27:54
This isn't accidental exposure but an intentional statement
2025-11-02 15:10:33
I donât think this fight is happening with Davis
2025-11-07 21:15:49
No blonde will win this time. Last year a blonde won. This year a blonde canât win. Might generate some backlash in todayâs world.
2025-11-07 21:16:35
Absolutely nothing wrong with blonds.
2025-11-15 18:18:20
Only two that worry me are Cote dâIvoire and Turks and Caicos
2025-11-17 16:43:05
Yes, itâs real
2025-11-22 13:45:56
Four reasons: the ads, the dress, the interview, the meme from the interview.
2025-11-22 13:55:41
Sent to prison this morning
2025-11-25 10:42:35
Gobble is 2 pounds heavier, plumper
2025-11-25 14:35:37
Public voting determined that Gobble would be the primary bird displayed and pardoned onstage, with Waddle as the alternate.
2025-11-25 14:37:06
Both are âpardonedâ but Gobble is the primary one, Waddle is backup.
2025-11-25 14:47:03
This yearâs pair, âGobbleâ and âWaddle,â were named through an online vote led by North Carolina 4H and FFA students.
2025-11-25 14:47:26
Ahead of the presentation, people can vote for which turkey will formally take part in the ceremony by texting âGobbleâ or âWaddleâ to 45470. Voting closes Monday night at 11:59 p.m.
2025-11-26 16:24:01
As of November 26: Kirk (90%) passing has 81% advantage over second place; Pope (39%) person has 27% advantage; Sydney (30%) 3% advantage
2025-11-26 16:33:16
Sydney Sweeney: the ads, the dress, the interview, the meme from the interview.
2025-11-26 16:34:27
Sydney Sweeney character in Euphoria season 3 to do Onlyfans. Higher
2025-11-30 02:10:51
6 Hours to talk about anything and everything. This is going to be a YES fest.
2025-12-01 14:21:11
Keep in mind: Sydneyâs Bathwater Bliss was launched this year in May.
2025-12-01 14:49:20
Five reasons: Bathwater Bliss, the jeans, that dress, the interview, the meme from the interview.
2025-12-01 14:51:38
Academy Award best actress winners that have been Google most searched in same year: None
2025-12-03 17:35:38
December 03, 09:51 EST: Nasralla has [link removed] votes, Asfura has 999.441. Salvador Nasralla has come from behind and leads by 18.462 votes
2025-12-06 15:08:11
If Iâm correct, there are 1283 confirmed tornadoes through October for 2025
2025-12-06 15:10:10
Markets here have most probable no more than 100 confirmed for November + December
2025-12-08 00:32:01
Oh I see, 1543 preliminary so far and about 95% of those are confirmed
2025-12-12 14:00:12
Free Bonnie
2025-12-13 13:31:43
This order book is not working. Malfunkshun
2025-12-14 15:29:25
I found 8,186,671,107 gifts delivered in 2024.
2025-12-14 15:29:50
7,883,693,263 Gifts delivered in 2023
2025-12-14 15:30:29
7,623,693,263 Gifts delivered in 2022
2025-12-16 18:45:19
Also wondering this
2025-12-23 18:05:55
For the new guys, we normally get filled at 70c for No
2025-12-23 18:09:22
How much are they paying the guys that risk passing the holidays detained in the US?
2025-12-30 13:49:44
1551 preliminary so far for 2025. The confirmed, final are usually less, around 5% less than preliminary, but variance is high.
2025-12-30 13:51:33
If by January 13 no final report is published, this market will resolve base on preliminary reports.
2025-12-30 13:54:03
Final report is scheduled for release on January 13 in NCEI site
2025-12-30 14:02:42
Youâre right. Thatâs if no report is published. But if what is published on that date is still labeled preliminary, the resolution is with preliminary number.
2025-12-30 14:18:38
Oh ok. Did not see the confirmed cases through September. Make sure you have confirmed and youâre golden
2025-12-30 19:36:17
Who skipped the 70 - 75c range where we get filled?
2025-12-31 06:16:38
I canât find the confirmed cases through September. You sure they are not preliminary?
2026-01-05 15:15:03
Donald wants the world to see
2026-01-09 18:23:32
Karoline had a press briefing in the White House on January 7 and 8, yet it appears those events do not count for this market to resolve
2026-01-09 18:25:00
In this case the title of the market says one thing and the rules state another thing. This is confusing
2026-01-10 06:19:29
Hoping Trump gracefully declines, then states that he deserves this yearâs. Machado vouching for him.
2026-01-11 05:59:44
My thesis is just: Them clearly stating that they intend to share the prize would be so corny
2026-01-13 17:51:44
Which happened? No report released today? Or report released today still has preliminary numbers?
2026-01-15 01:17:31
Not until the USS Abraham Lincoln enters the area.
2026-01-15 15:53:06
My thesis: Machado is going to want something back from Trump. Maybe that he send her back to Venezuela with power and authority over Delcy and Diosdado. Trump may not want the commitment so he declines.
2026-01-16 01:09:28
There was never a âclear agreement to shareâ. Itâs just a token of gratitude given and received.
2026-01-17 13:07:13
No hagan clic en el enlace de abajo. Es una estafa
2026-01-19 16:45:40
Eyes on the Waymo parking lot in Mockingbird Lane in Dallas
2026-01-22 02:02:23
Seems only two are a lock in this category
2026-01-22 11:55:05
Insiders already working
2026-01-22 19:38:21
Criteria 1 and 2 are confirmed. Criteria 3 Iâm 99% sure
2026-01-22 20:45:11
Iâm with spicyricecakes. Letâs go!
2026-01-22 21:46:05
WalterAbrams, this is your chance to get out of this
2026-01-23 16:40:21
Would âno safety ropeâ count?
2026-01-24 13:39:34
Live broadcast is delayed since the boob incident. If it happens it would be up to the credible reporting
2026-01-29 19:10:16
Postponed
2026-01-29 19:10:51
Postponed a few days
2026-02-02 14:29:05
Question: if Jan 31 resolves to Yes, then this will also resolve to Yes? Or No?
2026-02-04 20:06:42
Meeting in Oman on Friday
2026-02-07 00:28:34
Please add Colombia Humana ;)
2026-02-07 14:36:32
Ok. Now Colombia Humana has to be added to the list
2026-02-09 14:18:18
9:17 ET. 13m views
2026-02-09 16:20:42
11:20 ET. 18m views
2026-02-09 17:18:18
20.7m views
2026-02-09 17:29:34
21.4m and now people go on their lunch break
2026-02-09 19:47:23
26.9m
2026-02-09 20:08:24
30 to 40m is going to be quick
2026-02-25 04:04:03
Nothing hit here right? Am not seeing a hit
2026-02-25 14:00:25
Did Bernie Sanders attend?
2026-02-26 19:32:46
Talks to be continued on Monday in Vienna
2026-03-03 22:59:35
Conflicting reports. Sharps on both sides.
2026-03-04 10:46:00
Please clarify what is meant with âIranâ in the first paragraph
2026-03-04 16:10:00
What if this is aired tomorrow?
2026-03-09 20:05:48
IDF almost got him
2026-03-11 14:29:52
Trump just said itâs cool. They can join the party
2026-03-12 11:45:11
UMA manipulation incoming
2026-03-12 15:16:05
Now Trump recommends they not come to the US. For safety
2026-03-20 12:16:01
What trophy is being presented?? Golf? Soccer?
2026-03-21 15:22:10
Is automm389 an insider?
2026-03-21 15:24:57
Too big to rig
2026-03-21 18:07:19
whatâs going on? Iâm scared
2026-03-21 18:20:36
hold me
2026-03-21 19:02:25
When did he say Too big to Rig?
2026-03-21 19:45:07
Oh no. Bernard got on the Yes side
2026-03-21 19:49:33
Hold my hand. Well jump together
2026-03-21 20:41:03
Alright, Im toast. So when / where did he say it?
2026-03-23 23:13:02
Donât give them ideas
2026-03-24 02:08:10
So this surge for March 21 is only because of those two Yes buyers?
2026-03-24 02:11:20
The top two Yes holders for March 21. Bought recently. What do they think they know?
2026-03-24 02:43:24
Results will be published soon. National Electoral Council announced that 100% of votes have been verified in 31 out of 32 Departments (like states in the US)
2026-03-24 02:47:41
Results soon
2026-03-25 19:50:34
Direct hit in Kuwait Airport on March 25 around 1am local time. Many sources confirm.
2026-03-25 20:35:40
Still no confirmation if direct or debris
2026-03-25 22:30:04
I see Tom Emmer and Steve Scalise. Wish I had bought cheaper
2026-03-25 23:47:46
Last year it was resolved here on Polymarket that they were not in a relationship despite them obviously being in a relationship.
2026-03-25 23:47:58
Are we doing this again?
2026-03-26 04:34:34
Are they?
2026-03-26 22:10:08
1. Historic Pact 2. Centro Democratico 3. Liberal
2026-03-26 22:11:21
Coalitions are listed separately but include different parties. And coalitions differ by each departamento
2026-03-27 11:34:19
Miami, crypto city
2026-03-30 23:50:38
Official results here: [link removed].co/prensa/comunicados-oficiales/1140-listado-representantes-a-la-ca-mara-2026-2030
2026-03-30 23:51:18
Oficial results here: [link removed].co/prensa/comunicados-oficiales/1140-listado-representantes-a-la-ca-mara-2026-2030
2026-04-01 19:57:16
Here it is: [link removed]
2026-04-01 20:21:51
đ
2026-04-04 15:02:32
Itâs going to be a No because the rescue operation for the fallen pilot was made by teletransporting him back to base. So no Americans had to enter Iran for the rescue operation.
2026-04-04 15:03:56
Itâs going to be a No because Dr. Strange opened a dimension portal for the fallen pilot. So no need for Americans to enter Iran for rescue operation.
2026-04-04 15:07:35
Itâs going to be a No because the fallen pilot walked to the nearest road and hitched a ride back to the border. So the rescue mission was waiting for him at the border of Iran.
2026-04-04 15:11:06
Itâs going to be No because the rescue mission was carried out by a ârescue robotâ, hence no personnel needed to enter Iran.
2026-04-04 15:46:54
Itâs going to be a No because the White House called a lid today and they will call it until January 1, 2027. This way Trump will never have to confirm or deny anything.
2026-04-04 15:52:22
Itâs designed by Apple in California, made in China.
2026-04-04 15:55:32
Itâs going to be No because the pilot was extracted hidden in an audio equipment box by Michael Taylor and son, hence no US military personnel was involved.
2026-04-04 16:08:34
Itâs going to be No because reports say the ailing pilot was put on a horse by a âwoman with pointy earsâ. Horse brought him across the border to safety.
2026-04-04 16:23:23
Itâs going to be No because the pilot was rescued by Bedouin tribesmen and taken out of Iran on camelback. Hence no US military involvement.
2026-04-04 16:43:56
Itâs going to be No because the pilot was extracted from Iran by the Claw in the sky. The Claw chose the pilot to take him to a better place. Hence no US personnel was involved.
2026-04-04 17:22:17
Itâs going to be No because the rescue mission was done using Marty McFly Valterra boards. So the US military did not actually touch Iran land when the pilot was extracted.
2026-04-04 17:34:49
Itâs going to be No because the rescue mission for the pilot was actually carried out by Naâvi bodies controlled by US personnel inside link units outside of Iran. Hence, US did not enter Iran.
2026-04-04 23:53:37
It's going to be NO because the F-15E flew out to another planet. Later the pilot will find out that in reality he is not in another planet but in the future of his own planet, long after the resolution of this market.
2026-04-05 00:54:10
Trump and government have been quiet because they want to announce good news, no bad news, no uncertainty. White House called lid yesterday and all day today just to give the rescue operation time.
2026-04-05 00:57:23
This is too big now for the US to pretend like nothing happened. Tomorrow will be announced by Trump either a successful rescue or a sad eulogy + promise to finish the job
2026-04-05 01:10:01
Itâs going to be No because magician Criss Angel will extract the pilot from Iran while levitating. The Netflix special will air in May 2026.
2026-04-05 01:19:55
At this point the US gov canât deny the first successful operation for the first pilot, and the one for the second pilot regardless of outcome.
2026-04-05 03:16:33
Second pilot has been rescued. Now Trump can confirm the good news tomorrow while searching for Easter eggs
2026-04-05 04:20:41
So much time, so many signs for the Nos to get out, cut their losses.
2026-04-08 21:42:53
Official is now in. 100% done: [link removed].co/actas-escrutinio
2026-04-08 21:44:30
Now on the official site. Please resolve
2026-04-08 21:54:11
Resolve this problem
2026-04-08 22:01:03
8:59 am Islamabad time meeting would win April 10. After 9:00 local time April 10 loses.
2026-04-09 18:39:06
The subject took us all by surprise.
2026-04-09 18:39:41
Creesmas for de cheeldren
2026-04-11 14:35:20
Official results: [link removed]
2026-04-11 14:35:47
Official results: [link removed]
2026-04-18 02:09:12
I cant propose this thing! The UMA page goes unresponsive when I try to connect my wallet
2026-04-18 15:09:00
Iâm such a boomer. I want to propose Yes, the button says Change Chain, I try pressing but nothing happens. Iâm stuck
2026-04-18 18:06:25
I need help! UMA site is always unresponsive!
2026-04-18 18:11:56
I need help. UMA site always unresponsive.
2026-04-18 18:12:42
Need help. Why is UMA site always unresponsive. Can not connect metamask wallet
2026-04-18 18:18:45
This is an official press release, April 14, from the Consejo Nacional Electoral: [link removed].co/prensa/comunicados-oficiales
2026-04-18 18:19:15
This is an official press release, April 14, from the Consejo Nacional Electoral: [link removed].co/prensa/comunicados-oficiales
2026-04-20 19:45:25
Does Federal count as Fed?
2026-04-23 14:05:45
We need better strikes in this market
2026-04-23 20:08:15
TrumpRx does not count as Trump, right?
2026-04-26 00:53:17
No Event does not qualify strike??
2026-04-26 21:25:19
Whales are on Yes
2026-04-26 21:33:35
Background is different: Less US flags on the most recent
2026-04-26 21:36:07
Why always YMCA?
2026-04-27 18:02:05
So Ursula herself stating that she spoke to Trump is not enough to resolve?
2026-04-27 18:26:25
By communication type you mean by which way did they communicate? And is the media to consider her own statement as not credible reporting?
2026-04-27 18:28:13
This will resolve to No because Ursula and Trump communicated via pigeons. Not in person, phone nor video.
2026-04-27 18:30:00
This will resolve to No because Ursula and Trump communicated by telepathy. Reports say Uri Geller was the intermediary
2026-04-27 18:31:41
This will resolve to No because the phone call was only in Ursulaâs dreams. A very lucid dream indeed.
2026-04-27 18:33:37
This will resolve to No because Ursula herself is not to be trusted. Donât believe her lies. Trump has it tattooed in his forearm.
2026-04-27 18:36:09
This will resolve to No because the phone call Ursula though she had with Trump was really a prank call. She fell for it completely. Trump was done by Tony the Sign Guy
2026-04-27 18:39:33
This will resolve to No because Trump denied the call ever happened. He and Ursula share some history from high school. Melania canât stand her or the way Trumpâs face lights up when someone mentions the name Ursula.
2026-04-27 18:41:49
This will resolve to No because the call Ursula was referencing was one she had two years ago. She has not been the same since she stopped taking her meds.
2026-04-27 18:48:18
This will resolve to No because what happens in X, what people post in X is not real life man. Put down the phone. Go touch some grass. Eat more veggies
2026-04-27 18:53:17
This will resolve to No because how could Ursula say she spoke with Trump when Trump was with me all Sunday? We were out fishing, no cell phone reception, thatâs the whole point. Just me, my buddy and the great outdoors.
2026-04-27 19:03:18
This will resolve to No because Ursula wouldnât. She promised she wouldnât speak to him ever again. . . How could she do this to me?!
2026-04-27 20:01:28
This will resolve to No because Ursula and Trump had a conversation by speaking into an empty can connected with a string. They were both inside their own tree house. Trump has a sign at the entrance of his treehouse that reads: No gurlz allowed.
2026-04-27 20:10:29
This will resolve to No because Sunday was Opposites Day in Europe. So when Ursula said she spoke to Trump, what she really meant was she did not speak to Trump. It is that simple.
2026-04-27 20:15:14
This will resolve to No because Ursula spoke to bizarro world Trump. Not the real Trump. Rules state that bizarro world people do not count. Not bizarro Jerry, not bizarro George, not bizarro Elaine.
2026-04-27 20:20:26
This will resolve to No because although Ursula and Trump were at the phone on Sunday, they did not speak, rather they attempted to communicate with grunts, hisses and pops. In the end, communication was impossible.
2026-04-27 20:25:40
This will resolve to No because the conversation happened via Ursulaâs mirror on the wall. The mirror told Ursula she was the fairest of them all before connecting to the White House. Per the rules, thatâs a No.
2026-04-27 20:31:19
This will resolve to NO because Ursula really spoke to Donaldo Trumpo. - Hola Ursulita, cĂłmo estas querida? Saludame a Heikito de mi parte.
2026-04-27 20:44:59
This will resolve to No because per the rules there had to be an Official Polymarket Witness present during the call to certify the conversation took place. At the time of the alleged phone call, the OPW assigned to Ursula was absent, called in sick. Diarrhea.
2026-04-27 21:05:46
This will resolve to No because the consensus is they each picked up the phone. Followed by an uncomfortable silence. At one point Ursula said -I can hear you breathing Mr. Trump, please respond. Ursula heard someone bursting with laughter before being hung up.
2026-04-27 21:10:42
This will resolve to No because why would it be Yes? It is not like Ursula herself said that she spoke with Trump. Are we to believe anything Ursula says? Are reporters to believe whatever Ursula says before publishing a report?
2026-04-27 21:20:45
This will resolve to No because in Polymarket rules the word âconsensusâ does not mean overwhelming majority.
2026-04-27 21:33:42
This will resolve to No because all Ursula said on the phone was something about her acquiring a special set of skills that made her a very dangerous person. Trump just said, good luck, before hanging up. Not a real conversation.
2026-04-27 22:32:30
This will resolve to NO because Euronews, Politico Europe, Le Monde, CNBC, The Hill, and Al Jazeera do not constitute an overwhelming mayority of credible reporting.
2026-04-27 22:35:32
This will resolve to No because Ursula's call went to voice mail where she heard: đ”Hello Muddah, hello Fadduh. Here I am at Camp Granadađ”
2026-04-27 22:51:50
I see a lot of people selling their Nos and buying Yes
2026-04-27 23:16:44
Someone on No is waiting untill we are all asleep, maybe 0100 ET time, to propose resolution to No.
2026-04-27 23:56:41
Oh. Youâre right!
2026-04-28 01:51:39
This will resolve to No because credible reports indicate that Ursulaâs X account was hacked at the moment of the publication. Still under investigation but it seems someone bet on Poly Yes and then tried to resolve using the fake tweet through her hacked account.
2026-04-28 04:55:43
The rules do not state that the second person involved in a private conversation has to confirm that the phone call took place. Or that a third person has to witness and certify a phone call took place. Until then, we have to believe the words of the President of the European Commission. Coupled with the lack of denial the conversation took place from the President of the United States. Directly from the horseâs mouth should be enough.
2026-04-28 10:56:02
This will resolve to No because the burden of proof is on Ursula. I mean, this is a lady I just heard about. She appeared out of nowhere. Who does she think she is? And why am I supposed to believe anything she says?
2026-04-28 14:06:38
This will resolve to No because a single personâs firsthand account can stand in a court of law but not here in Polymarket. You know where you are? Youâre in the jungle, baby!
2026-04-28 14:23:48
This will resolve to No because who can vouch for the credibility of this woman? Why should we believe what this Ursula character says? If thatâs her real name.
2026-04-28 17:31:18
This will resolve to No because this claim by Ursula lacks all logical sense. Her calling Trump on a Sunday? Right, and yesterday I called Macron to say whats up and asked him to send me his beef bourguignon recipe he made when I visited him last winter.
2026-04-28 17:38:31
Only original material here
2026-04-28 17:40:06
Car is out. Sold at a loss. One less whale to put pressure on UMA towards NO.
2026-04-28 20:50:46
This will resolve to No because Ursula has since corrected her statement to say she spoke to Klump, not Trump, regarding a dog that attempted to attack her good friend. Sherman Klump, is a distinguished chemistry professor. Dog violence has no place in our democracies, Ursula insisted.
2026-04-28 21:02:10
This will resolve to No because Ursula has been changing her story: First she said she butt dialed Trump's number, now she's saying Melania answered the phone, -Hello Ursula, ees for de cheeldren. Please come for Chreesmas.
2026-04-29 02:02:05
This is over, right? They called a lid. No King events tomorrow
2026-04-29 09:45:38
You can find an extensive list of compelling arguments for Yes with Ursula on the comments below. I will complement with more in the future.
2026-04-29 09:53:56
Iâm just a guy, with some shares, standing in front of a market, asking it to love him.
2026-04-29 10:13:48
Rules cucks hoping to win by going against logic and common sense
2026-04-29 12:24:31
It was just that one time. I never ate that again.
2026-04-29 13:19:02
How is this a scam? Ursula herself stated she spoke with Trump. This is not a rumor, not hearsay, not a third party but from the main person involved.
2026-04-29 13:24:21
Right, because the matter in question is how they spoke. This will resolve to No because Ursula did not specify which technology she used to communicate with Trump.
2026-04-29 13:36:36
You should do what Magic 8ball is doing, not what heâs saying. BTW, now Car is also on the Yes side.
2026-04-29 14:27:45
The least relevant of my arguments.
2026-04-29 14:47:52
More than semantics, because both speaking and talking imply communication, this is about granting credibility to a person who is reputable and has no motive to lie about speaking to a head of state. In addition, this market is about Ursula von der Leyen, and it is herself who stating that she spoke to Trump. No rumor or hearsay from a third person, coupled with the absence of contradictions to her statement.
2026-04-29 14:50:54
More than semantics, because both speaking and talking imply communication, or what they used to communicate, this is about granting credibility to a person who is reputable and has no motive to lie about speaking to a head of state. In addition, this market is about Ursula von der Leyen, and it is herself who is stating that she spoke to Trump. No rumor or hearsay from a third person, coupled with the absence of refutations to her statement.
2026-04-29 16:12:19
The March ruling on No with Marc Rutte was preposterous. If this resolves No on Ursula, it would be preposterous x 2. We need more explicit rules for May in this market.
2026-04-30 13:46:08
Esta de Abril también se filtró?
2026-04-30 21:50:56
This will resolve to Yes because I was not called upon for help, was not able to convey my deep analysis and knowledge on this matter.
2026-05-01 00:41:36
Better rules. Thank you!
2026-05-01 14:38:07
This should resolve to NO: Wendy Paola Chavez, the special attourney assigned to this case says the US agents participated âsin interacciĂłn operativa directaâ, meaning no direct involvement in operations. Any initial statement saying otherwise has been retracted or corrected days after by the Mexican authorities. Hence, no official confirmation by relevant authorities from both countries.
2026-05-01 14:43:32
This should resolve to NO: the relevant authorities have NOT confirmed the DIRECT PARTICIPATION. Mexican authorities are now saying the agents were in advisory roles for the handling of ilicit drugs and drone surveillance. Nothing confirms direct involvement.
2026-05-01 14:44:27
This should resolve to NO: Wendy Paola Chavez, the special attourney assigned to this case says the US agents participated âsin interacciĂłn operativa directaâ, meaning no direct involvement in operations. Any initial statement saying otherwise has been retracted or corrected days after by the Mexican authorities. Hence, no official confirmation by relevant authorities from both countries.
2026-05-01 14:52:30
This should resolve to NO: Relevant authorities from the US have not confirmed anything. Relevant authorities from Mexico have produced vague statements that do not confirm the DIRECT PARTICIPATION.
2026-05-01 14:58:56
Only official statements have come from Mexico: 1. State attourney CĂ©sar JĂĄuregui Moreno saying the agents were there only for advisory roles, and recanting on initial statements that pointed to direct participation on the raids. 2. Special attourney assigned to this case, Wendy Paola ChĂĄvez, has said, the US agents were unarmed, no badges, had no direct interaction in the operation.
2026-05-01 15:02:44
This should resolve to NO: Credible reporting from the NYTimes and CNN say the only official statements are the ones they have from Wendy Paola Chavez and the initial one from Cesar Jauregui Moreno. These persons have not officialy confirmed direct involvement in the operation. Nobody from the US has said anything.
2026-05-01 15:03:54
This should resolve to NO: the relevant authorities have NOT confirmed the DIRECT PARTICIPATION. Mexican authorities are now saying the agents were in advisory roles for the handling of ilicit drugs and drone surveillance. Nothing confirms direct involvement.
2026-05-01 15:04:43
Only official statements have come from Mexico: 1. State attourney CĂ©sar JĂĄuregui Moreno saying the agents were there only for advisory roles, and recanting on initial statements that pointed to direct participation on the raids. 2. Special attourney assigned to this case, Wendy Paola ChĂĄvez, has said, the US agents were unarmed, no badges, had no direct interaction in the operation.
2026-05-01 15:06:08
This should resolve to NO: Credible reporting from the NYTimes and CNN say the only official statements are the ones they have from Wendy Paola Chavez and the initial one from Cesar Jauregui Moreno. These persons have not officialy confirmed direct involvement in the operation. Nobody from the US has said anything.
2026-05-01 15:13:41
This is not about the US agents being there on not. Not about if they were authorized to be there or not. This is about confirming DIRECT PARTICIPATION in the operation. So far, authorities have not confirmed that, on the contrary, the attourneys are saying that the agents were there for activities that do not count for this market. Rules say: intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
2026-05-01 15:14:36
This is not about the US agents being there on not. Not about if they were authorized to be there or not. This is about confirming DIRECT PARTICIPATION in the operation. So far, authorities have not confirmed that, on the contrary, the attourneys are saying that the agents were there for activities that do not count for this market. Rules say: intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
2026-05-01 15:39:21
This should resolve to NO: The general consensus of credible reporting have not been able to concur on the direct participation of the US agents. There is no consensus that the agents were not involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles.
2026-05-01 15:44:03
This should resolve to NO: The general consensus of credible reporting have not been able to concur on the direct participation of the US agents. There is no consensus that the agents were not involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles. The reports say that authorities claim an indirect interaction on the operation and an advisory role. âsin interacciĂłn operativa directaâ, âinstructoresâ
2026-05-01 15:45:00
This should resolve to NO: The reports say that authorities claim an indirect interaction on the operation and an advisory role. âsin interacciĂłn operativa directaâ, âinstructoresâ
2026-05-02 18:29:37
This should not resolve to Yes because a temporary leave of absence does not strip him from being the Governor. Someone sits in for him but it is a temporary measure, not permanent. All the time he will still be the Governor.
2026-05-02 18:31:00
For now, Ruben Rocha is still the Governor. During the leave of absence granted to him, he is still the Governor.
2026-05-02 18:35:13
Ruben Roch is Not permanently prevented from fulfilling his duties. He is temporarily stepping away from duties. Big difference between permanently and temporarily. Any temporary measure allows him to still be the Governor.
2026-05-02 18:37:49
There is no formal separation from his charge as Governor. His replacement is only temporary, not permanent.
2026-05-02 18:43:15
âAny period of timeâ in the first paragraph of rules means the triggering event has to happen between beginning and ending of market. It does not mean that any period of time he takes away from his duties (temporary leave or absence) can trigger a resolution to market.
2026-05-02 18:48:27
Ruben Rocha is still the official Governor. He may not attend his duties but for now, he has been granted a TEMPORARY NOT PERMANENT leave of absence. He may not have immunity (fuero), but he is still the Governor.
2026-05-02 18:49:48
Big difference between temporary and permanent here. His status for now is temporary, Ruben Rocha is still the Governor
2026-05-02 18:51:15
Ruben Rocha has not ceased to be Governor for any period of time. He is still the Governor during his leave of absence.
2026-05-02 18:55:53
Even if Ruben Rocha loses his fuero, he remains the official Governor. Losing the fuero just means that he loses the immunity to being arrested like a normal citizen. Also, he hasnât been arrested. No arrest warrants.
2026-05-02 19:02:40
Temporary = âfor nowâ
Permanent = âfor goodâ
2026-05-02 19:06:47
All credible reporting has him as being the permanent Governor. For now, his absence is temporary, his duties are not suspended permanently.
2026-05-02 19:12:06
He has not resigned. This is not a legal separation from his duties. He may even return from leave of absence before the 30 days if he chooses to do so. Legally he can for now.
2026-05-02 19:16:35
Per the rules, he is Not PERMANENTLY prevented from being governor. The leave of absence legally granted to him is temporary (not for good). He may even return from leave and still be Governor the whole time.
2026-05-02 19:21:17
Translation by Al Jazeera is incorrect. Al Jazeera says âtemporarily resignsâ, this is not the same as âlicencia temporalâ granted by Mexican Congress.
2026-05-02 19:25:24
Ruben Rocha requested âlicencia temporal a su cargoâ and thatâs what Congress granted him. He is still Governor. Reports claiming he is no longer Governor are incorrect.
2026-05-02 19:49:42
Ruben Rocha is denying any charges. Mexican authorities say the evidence is not conclusive. Nobody is removing him and he has no intention to resign. This is a leave of absence that does not resolve this market.
2026-05-02 20:35:30
For now, this market should not resolve. When, if he resigns or is arrested before May 31, then itâs a Yes. But reality is Ruben Rocha is denying any charges and Mexican authorities are saying evidence received by US is insufficient for an arrest.
2026-05-02 23:15:00
Ruben Rocha denies any wrongdoing, he requests a leave of absence for 30 days, Congress grants him that. Ruben Rocha is still Governor. Nobody removed him and he plans on continuing his duties. Mexican authorities say they need something more conclusive for an arrest. The ball is on the US Department of Justice's court. Or if Sheinbaum makes him resign.
2026-05-02 23:23:23
What Arturo Zaldivar argues, is that the leave of absence has stripped Ruben Rocha of his immunity, not stripped him of his title as Governor. Again, the leave of absence is not a permanent measure. Legally he remains Governor of Sinaloa.
2026-05-03 09:57:01
My job here is done. It makes sense for me to take profits: had a good entry + Sheinbaum might make this guy resign in coming days. But my thesis stands for now. See you in another market, hopefully on the same side.
2026-05-07 21:31:11
None
2026-05-07 21:34:14
What is going on here?
2026-05-08 15:19:46
None
2026-05-10 20:56:50
A person like Chirayu would accumulate a huge Yes position and issue a public apology the evening of May 31.
2026-05-11 03:21:55
A "mildly PCR positive" result for the Andes virus (ANDV) is considered a confirmed positive detection of the virus's genetic material. In clinical terms, "mildly" usually refers to a high Ct value (Cycle Threshold), meaning it took many cycles for the machine to find the virus because the concentration (viral load) is currently very low.
2026-05-11 03:26:29
Coming to America
2026-05-11 04:07:17
Should arrive in the next hours
2026-05-11 11:20:07
This will resolve to mildly Yes
2026-05-13 18:52:14
Why two Farm/farmer strikes?
2026-05-15 12:48:59
Rules have always said: Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will countâŠ
2026-05-15 12:51:44
The part where Trump sat next to Xi and talked about Iran and Nuclear was recorded first and released shortly afterwards.
2026-05-15 12:59:43
None
2026-05-15 13:04:27
This will resolve to Yes because the guy that recorded ran really, really fast to his computer to upload the tape. So itâs like almost live.
2026-05-15 13:12:55
Aired a few minutes later, just not live
2026-05-15 13:22:28
This will resolve to Yes because AP selected their fastest guy to run to upload the tape. The guy ran 100 meters under 10 seconds in high school.
2026-05-15 13:31:24
This will resolve to Yes because the reporter ended by saying: "Reporting live, I'm Barry Allen. Now back to you in the studio."
2026-05-15 13:39:38
Only the event on the last day, the one inside the Xi compound was NOT LIVE. Strict Chinese rules restrict what is bradcast or streamed live during Q&A with Xi. Xi prefers it that way, ever since the burping incident.
2026-05-15 13:47:34
Even on a designated "Live" stream broadcast by networks like TVB, the actual video footage from inside the tea room is provided to the network via an official feed that is packaged and broadcast with a short delay rather than streamed unedited and raw in real-time. This is made to erase any accidental farts that may happen during the event.
2026-05-15 13:51:19
Peng and Ship/Chip was during the banquet toast that was broadcast live. The event inside the Zhongnanhai tea house is extremely limited. The video signal is routed directly to a centralized media filing center set up for the summit. From there, it is shared simultaneously as a "clean feed" to all accredited global news agencies (like TVB, AP, and Reuters).
2026-05-15 13:52:34
The rules say it.
2026-05-15 13:55:14
The "Live" Broadcast Illusion: When a network goes "LIVE" on YouTube, they are running a continuous broadcast from their main studio. The moment the official pool footage from the tea room arrives at the media center, the control room cuts away from the studio or the motorcade shot outside to air the newly arrived tape-delayed footage.
2026-05-15 14:00:31
The "LIVE" designation on the TVB News video indicates that the overall news program and studio broadcast are happening live in real-time, while the footage inserted from inside the Zhongnanhai tea room is the pre-recorded pool video package that just became available to their newsroom. Again, farts and burps are vibe killers in this context and must be edited out.
2026-05-15 14:19:50
Restrictions on live broadcasting from within the Zhongnanhai compound are enforced through operational media pool guidelines, as observed during high-security summits. Correspondents report that wireless transmission devices are deactivated, forcing journalists to use delayed, physical media transfer for content recorded inside the compound.
2026-05-15 14:32:30
White House Foreign Press Pool say: "Wireless transmission equipment, including cellular bonding units (LiveU/Dejero), satellite uplinks, and open Wi-Fi hot spots, are strictly prohibited within the secure perimeter. All pool material must be recorded locally to physical media and transported back to the designated filing center for distribution via the shared pool router." So these are the restrictions imposed by Chinese authorities for reporting inside the Zhongnanhai compound making it impossible to stream live.
2026-05-15 14:37:14
Chinese authorities prohibit any wireless transmission equipment within the Zhongnanhai compound. Therefore, live transmission of any kind is impossible. These rules were given out to the varios reporters covering this event. The White House Foreign Press Pool already knew this.
2026-05-15 14:40:37
This rule ensures that no network can bypass the security perimeter with an active, unedited internet connection. Journalists must record the footage onto a memory card, physically leave the high-security room, and use the official media center network to upload and share the clip with international stations like TVB.
2026-05-15 14:57:10
The actual video feed coming from inside the Zhongnanhai tea room was not a direct, raw livestream beamed straight from the camera to your screen. Because live transmission equipment is prohibited inside the compound, the press pool had to record the footage, send the digital file to the media center outside, and then feed it to TVB.
2026-05-15 17:23:07
I usually do not get shaken out, but this time the Chinese broadcast made me doubt myself. Down 400 bucks. Till next time. Hopefully on the same side.
2026-05-15 22:28:21
If Kevin Warsh was confirmed by Senate on May 13, and Powellâs term ends today, why no resolve may 16 to Yes?
2026-05-15 22:35:39
Powellâs term ends today may 15, and his temporary status ended when senate confirmed Warsh. So by May 16 Powell is out as Fed Chair.
2026-05-16 01:43:25
This will not be confirmed by end of May 15 market,
2026-05-16 01:44:52
This is a suspected case, Not confirmed. The school saysThe Ontario County Department of Health is investigating a suspected case of locally acquired hantavirus involving a Geneva High School student.
2026-05-16 01:46:13
Regarding the previous cases from the cruise ship, ABC News says today: American doctor who initially tested positive says further testing shows 'no evidence that I've had hantavirus'
2026-05-16 01:49:19
Regarding the Illinois case, the Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) reports: IDPH is working with the CDC on additional testing to confirm the resident is positive for Hantavirus. That process can take up to 10 days, according to the CDC.
2026-05-16 10:15:55
Any recent updates?
2026-05-16 10:23:03
Should I put 100 bucks here?
2026-05-16 13:16:14
He spelled it out when he was interviewed by Hannity
2026-05-16 13:16:41
No b. Just dumocrats
2026-05-16 13:19:10
This will resolve to Yes because Trump was making fun of those democrats with big ears.
2026-05-16 13:20:10
Trump has explained he takes out the B
2026-05-16 13:24:09
Dumocrat is not the same as Dumbocrat. Just like cat is not the same as cap, place is not the same as plate, etc.
2026-05-16 13:31:30
Precedent here is that âWarner brosâ is not the same as âWarner brothersâ. âWarner brothers
2026-05-16 13:33:10
Precedent here is that âWarner brosâ is not the same as âWarner brothersâ. âWarner brothersâ was said, so âWarner brosâ resolved No
2026-05-16 13:50:39
Trump did not misspeak or stutter, he said âdumocratâ. He spelled the word publicly before. The strike here is misleading, a âWarner broâ trap. Should resolve to No.
2026-05-16 13:59:54
If the strike is Dumbocrat/Dumocrat should resolve Yes. But itâs not. So should resolve No
2026-05-16 14:22:50
Trump did not mispronounce, he said dumocrat. The word he spelled publicly the day before.
2026-05-16 14:23:48
Trump was not making fun of democrats with big ears.
2026-05-16 14:34:48
What is there to strike?
2026-05-16 15:52:46
Trump spelled it out publicly before, and that strike is not what he said. Should be No
2026-05-16 15:54:10
Same thing happened with Warner Bros. Should be No
2026-05-16 16:02:21
Thereâs a reason why Trump took out the âbâ. One insults democrats with big ears, the other insults low IQ democrats.
2026-05-16 16:56:26
Trump himself took out the *b* publicly because he did not want to offend America's beloved paquiderm.
2026-05-17 14:55:19
I would think that a photo taken today of the real Trump on a video screen would be authentic per the rules. When the rules say that the photo must not be EDITED, it reminds me of the movie Forrest Gump and the way it showed Elvis in that scene where they avoid showing his face. That kind of editing.
2026-05-17 15:15:02
Yes. I mean that the photo that ends up on Getty Images is of the event today where Trump appears in a video screen giving his speech. Regardless, I would think that a photo like that is still authentic per the rules.
2026-05-17 15:17:32
Some reports say he will give his speech on a video screen. Probably something pretaped. My thesis is that a photo taken today of Trump on that video screen in that event would still count.
2026-05-17 15:19:46
My thesis is that a photo taken today of Trump on that video screen in that event would still count. It will still be authentic Trump and not any artificial image of him. The real DJ Trump, just on a video screen in an event today.
2026-05-17 16:19:02
So an unauthentic photo of Trump would be something generated by AI or something edited like Obama's famous campaign poster.
2026-05-17 22:29:03
Whoever captured a photo of Trump today when he exited the vehicle has some very lucrative incentive to upload his photos today.
2026-05-19 20:21:50
What about the RICE/SCORE ACt and Gold/Silver strikes from March???
2026-05-19 20:22:38
Remenber the RICE/SCORE ACT strike from March
2026-05-19 20:24:23
go to X on Esoteric Catboy @catboyautist and search for his post from March 06 about a Trump mention market
2026-05-19 20:25:53
In that market the strike was literaly: (in caps) *RICE / SCORE Act* and it hit when Trump introduced Condoleezza Rice
2026-05-19 20:27:01
The strike Gold / Silver that time also hit when Trump mentioned Adam Silver, Commissioner from the NBA
2026-05-19 20:29:54
Rules first say: Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. The additional Context came after.
2026-05-19 20:34:37
Precedent says that any term can be valid regardless of the intended meaning. If it is said, it goes yes. It can be written in all caps or not. Look at the Trump mention market from March 6, 2026.
2026-05-19 20:38:44
In the March 6 or 5 Trump market, there was a term written literally in all caps: "RICE / SCORE Act" and another term "Gold / Silver". If that time Trump said: "Condoleezza Rice" or "Adam Silver", they would hit. Why is that not the case here?
2026-05-19 20:41:29
If it was an acronym it should be written as [link removed]. or WHO (World Health Organization). If the people responsible for these terms are doing gotcha terms then why are they valid onetime and not the other?
2026-05-19 20:46:25
and I canât dispute from where I am
2026-05-19 21:26:00
This additional context note has exceeded its reach. It has changed the intended meaning of a term going against the original written rule that says âany usage of the term regardless of contextâ.
2026-05-20 00:54:52
Go Bob!
2026-05-20 02:45:52
Frank The Tank! We are so back!
2026-05-20 10:40:34
This Jim fella is also doing a great job. Make sure he gets a bonus when this is over
2026-05-20 10:41:37
I know. I promised myself I wouldnât bet on sports. Dang
2026-05-20 11:07:07
Now just apologize and go home. Also, buy a ton of Yes and apologize, get money for lawyer fees.
2026-05-20 11:43:04
Is there an angle that shows that it was an air kiss like the one from the gif? The burden of proof is on the No side.
2026-05-20 12:05:50
This will resolve to No because Trump does this weird thing during a kiss, when heâs very close he gives the other person a quick lick, like a puppy. So, no contact with his lips.
2026-05-20 12:10:13
This will resolve to No because Trump uses a âkiss condomâ. This way he responsibly protects himself and others. So no lip contact. The pack of 20 costs $5 on Amazon.
2026-05-20 12:49:34
Frank the Tank, Frank the Tank!
2026-05-20 14:19:07
This will resolve to No because Melania did not wipe her cheek with disgust afterwards. So, no contact. No kiss
2026-05-20 14:37:14
They will finish 250,000 packages and have 12 minutes to spare to go get a beer.
2026-05-20 14:55:37
This is more about the kiss he gave Melania after she gave her speech at the Congressional Picnic. The NOs have to prove Trumpâs lips did not touch Melania.
2026-05-20 15:00:20
During the kiss he gave Melania after she gave her speech, you can see Trump puckered up moving towards her. She also leans in. Then their heads stop against each other, meaning they made contact. Lips touch cheek. Done
2026-05-20 15:04:38
Caaaaaaaaaaaarr is on my side, yes he is! Also, welcome to the Yes side ScottyNooo
2026-05-20 17:39:11
Frank is back!
2026-05-20 19:21:12
Employee of the Month: Frank the Tank đ
đïž
2026-05-20 19:42:51
But if I cheer for them here in the comments they will go faster.
2026-05-20 19:47:22
Also, look at Frank go!
2026-05-20 20:32:23
Bob is the special needs hire. There's a cuota
2026-05-20 20:44:20
Bob is the employee that smokes weed on his lunch break. He reeks
2026-05-20 21:07:55
The nickname they have for him around the factory is Bob Butterfingers.
2026-05-20 21:40:22
Take a break Bob
2026-05-20 21:51:19
Bob needs a break
2026-05-20 22:15:33
Actually, Bob is doing great. Good time
2026-05-21 01:30:35
Frank is back! We got this!
2026-05-21 13:44:41
Frank is gonna finish up strong.
2026-05-21 16:15:51
Thatâs just Bob being Bob. Heâs the slow one but they let him have a go a it because itâs good for his self steem.
2026-05-21 18:04:08
What did you guys do to Frank?
2026-05-21 19:55:15
Frank will finish strong. You need to see him go! They are going to have time to spare to open up a can of WD-40 and kick back.
2026-05-21 20:28:20
@jijitmu Why are you No on 250k and Yes on 260k?
2026-05-21 20:38:15
ChatGPT can make mistakes even with simple math, and because it should be easy math you dont double check. Happened to me once.
2026-05-21 21:06:02
What is going on? Are they going to let it run past the 200 hours?
2026-05-21 21:07:31
Thank you!
2026-05-21 22:36:35
None
2026-05-21 22:51:30
Ok, now Bob is Mr. Efficiency.
2026-05-21 22:58:38
Bob is flipping more than 22 packages / minute. FU Bob!
2026-05-21 22:59:34
Still, YES is cooked
2026-05-21 23:11:09
Someone needs to tell the top YES holder, Citra.
2026-05-21 23:23:13
Stay away Djibooty. Bob is back to being his old self.
2026-05-21 23:38:51
Who keeps buying YES? Iâm afraid.
2026-05-21 23:40:15
Stay away, jkny8409
2026-05-21 23:56:05
From Brettâs X post, it seems to me they are all tire. They proved their point. Bob needs a rest.
2026-05-22 01:03:23
YEEEEEEEEEEESSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
2026-05-22 01:06:31
Thank you, thank you thank you
2026-05-22 02:01:46
Factory is closed. Weâre in the bar celebrating
2026-05-22 14:01:03
Nothing definite from any side, just expressions of intent. Regarding Tariff reduction: Everything said by Chinese officials is "preliminary", Bessent uses "not in a rush", "believes China will...", "two sides will initially determine...they can lower or eliminate tariffs", "China could reduce tariffs", "US would likely cut tariffs".
2026-05-22 14:22:59
Rules in this market say: Only definitive announcements qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
2026-05-22 14:35:59
You may be right.
2026-05-22 23:50:22
So what was it? Did he say 250 or not? I feel like aping in to something. It's Friday night
2026-05-23 00:13:47
So he said: +Three thousand two hundred and fifty+ Is that right?
2026-05-23 00:56:16
Actually, in English numbering, written out numbers act as compound phrases or a continuous string of text.
2026-05-23 01:00:28
In English your example would count: (TWO HUNDRED FIFTY two) because in english, written out numbers act as compound phrases.
2026-05-23 01:02:51
The rules would have to say explicitly that the number must be spoken exclusively, not as part of another number.
2026-05-23 01:13:50
But, again, the rules would have to state beforehand that when the term is written in numbers ("250") then that term has to be said in isolation, and if it is written in words ("two hundred and fifty") then its ok to say it as part of any phrase.
2026-05-23 01:18:57
Rules do not state that "250" has to be said isolated or exclusively. As opposed to the terms Millions, Billions, etc.
2026-05-23 10:17:06
Crazy times!
2026-05-23 11:46:32
Rules do not state that "250" has to be said isolated or exclusively.
2026-05-23 13:39:39
8:35 AM · May 23. IRAN FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESPERSON SAYS AT THIS STAGE, WE ARE FOCUSED ON FINALISING MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING WITH U.S.
2026-05-23 13:50:08
@jklsjdwoqejasdf is buying NO here and YES Iran closes airspace. Please don't do this
2026-05-23 13:57:06
Rubioooooooooooo!!!!!!
2026-05-23 14:03:43
Please do. I need to improve my average price
2026-05-23 16:05:00
Same as when TrumpRx counts as Trump.
2026-05-23 17:02:46
Did the other PM of this event have this term?
2026-05-23 17:03:33
How did 250 resolve there? I think it went YES
2026-05-23 19:22:50
Hence, the username. And he most certainly did wear a suit.
2026-05-23 19:25:47
Yes. Unless itâs explicitly stated in rules that 7 has to be said isolated, not part of another number.
2026-05-23 20:07:57
Exactly, in the other PM they state that the exact number has to be said, not part of a number. Here it is not stated. This should be YES
2026-05-24 23:42:41
This should be YES because the signifier was said. Here the rules do not state that the term â250â has to be said on its own, not part of another number.
2026-05-24 23:44:25
This should resolve to YES because the signifier was said. Simple as that.
2026-05-25 00:08:36
Curious, What made you change your mind again? Why enter this market again?
2026-05-25 02:32:46
So the words "two hundred and fifty" were said by Trump in this event but do not count as a YES. I lose because Poly cant be bothered to clearly state in the rules that the term â250â has to be said on its own, not part of another number.
2026-05-25 02:34:44
Please do better rules. Just grab a couple of interns and make them brainstorm instances where these tenuous rules for your mentions markets might generate disputes. Not hard to do for a company of your size.
2026-05-25 02:58:00
The signifier for "250" and "Two hundred and fifty" is exactly the same, and Trump said it. That is why Poly should have stated beforehand that only the exact number counts.
2026-05-25 03:08:15
Yes, the rules are designed to be short and simple, but then every event we need clarifications: "What we mean is this or that", "the term means this but not that". Well then put it in the rules from the start!
2026-05-25 14:03:39
For clarity: would accusing someone of a crime be considered an insult? For example, âBiden, the fraudulently electedâ or âBiden, the president who stole that electionâ
2026-05-25 20:58:08
You mean in the Coast Guard Academy Ceremony speech?
2026-05-25 22:12:00
Look up Trumps Coast Guard Academy Ceremony speech
2026-05-25 22:42:23
This market is getting a little irrational IMO
2026-05-26 17:42:38
86%
2026-05-26 17:52:17
Terrible
2026-05-26 20:46:59
No rhythmic body movement, more like hand gesturing.
2026-05-26 21:20:38
Trump is not even standing, no body swaying, just hands tapping. No dancing
2026-05-27 03:39:24
Just apologize. Turn the page and go home.
2026-05-27 11:37:07
Now I will just try to get a good entry and secure profit when I can. I got PTSD from other times I grinded my teeth till the end.
2026-06-01 13:20:30
Is May 31 market settled? No, it is still in Final Review.
2026-06-01 13:21:37
Is May 31 market past its End Date? No, the End Date of May 31 market is Jan 1, 2027
2026-06-01 13:22:47
Does this market resolve on an announcement? No, it resolves on the event of sale.
2026-06-01 13:27:41
My point is this should resolve to Yes because it has not yet resolved to No.
2026-06-01 13:30:02
No holders think the end date for May 31 market is June 1. Incorrect. The End Date of May 31 market is January 1, 2027.
2026-06-01 13:32:42
This is an event market, not an announcement market. Also, this market is not past its end date, the end date is January 1, 2027.
2026-06-01 13:39:38
Event happened? YES. Event happened by May 31? YES. Before market end date of January 1, 2027? YES
2026-06-01 13:41:44
Nope. End date of January 1, 2027 for all markets including May 31.
2026-06-01 13:44:15
Event has to happen by May 31: Check. Event is known before market expiration: Check, end date for May 31 market is January 1, 2027
2026-06-01 13:51:49
The -By May 31- market does not close on 11:59 PM ET on May 31. The End Date is January 1, 2027 for all markets.
2026-06-01 13:55:59
You can see it on your phone specifically for each market. I cannot see it on my desktop, which is f-up because it is confusing.
2026-06-01 14:05:31
End date is January 1, 2027 for all dates in this market. See it for yourselves in your phones, not desktop.
2026-06-01 14:12:22
Look at this page on your phones, go specifically to the By May 31 market, look at the bottom of the rules where it says the End Date: Jan 1, 2027
2026-06-01 14:14:09
So this market cannot be resolved to No by May 31 even if we find out on June 1 that the event did happen.
2026-06-01 14:20:37
The End date for all the dates in these markets is January 1, 2027. Look in your phone at the rules for May 31 specifically.
2026-06-01 14:25:19
Exactly this!
2026-06-01 14:29:39
Market End date for May 31 is January 1, 2027. Look at this market specifically in your phone at the bottom of the rules.
2026-06-01 15:24:26
This is not an announcement market, this is an event market.
2026-06-01 15:38:56
I would have never bought Yes shares if the End date for this market said May 31, 11:59ET. The No bonders should have seen the end date of January 1, 2027 proceeded knowing information could still come out that would resolve this to Yes after May 31.
2026-06-01 15:40:21
This is a Yes
2026-06-01 15:41:42
That is why the end date for this market, in all the timeframes, is January 1, 2027.
2026-06-01 15:43:55
No. Look in your phone specifically the May 31 market below the rules: End date: January 1, 2027. The event has to happen by May 31 but the information can come out and resolve until January 1, 2027
2026-06-01 15:47:23
The No bonders should have known that this is not an announcement market (this is an event market) and the End date (January 1, 2027) should have been visible on desktop. This should resolve to Yes and the NOs get a refund.
2026-06-01 15:55:40
The timeframe may be May 31 but the End date is January 1, 2027 precisely because an official report can come out days after the sale.
2026-06-01 16:03:21
Exactly, or else Poly should disable trading at 11:59PM ET may 31
2026-06-01 16:05:26
Exactly, or else just close trading at midnight on May 31
2026-06-01 16:08:44
Either Poly places a big visible print where the End Date is shown (January 1, 2027 in this case) or they just disable trading on May 31 at midnight.
2026-06-01 16:18:03
But in this case the market is not resolved, and it is not past the End Date of January 1, 2027.
2026-06-01 16:21:56
Those were announcement markets, they depended on if an announcement was made within the timeframe. This is an event market that just depends on wether something happened within the timeframe. The End Date is January 1, 2027 to allow time for the information that confirms the event to come out.
2026-06-01 16:41:00
Yes holders think this is not an announcement market, this is an event market. Depends on wether something happened, not when it is announced.
2026-06-01 16:53:01
Thats on Poly, the End Date (January 1, 2027) should have been posted big and clear for the bonders to see.
2026-06-01 17:06:11
šConfirmation achieved outside of the market's time frame does not qualify.š Then why is the End date of this market January 1 , 2027???
2026-06-01 17:36:19
Would be OK with this if the market had not shown the End Date of January 1, 2027.
This was an event market, not an announcement market.
The event did happen within the timeframe and the information came out before market ends, before it was resolved.
2026-06-01 18:18:23
I am so disappointed in this company today. Unbelievable
2026-06-01 18:24:53
I would have never bought if I didnât see on my phone the End Date of this market specifically as January 1, 2027.
2026-06-03 03:50:48
For clarity: would an artist introducing another performer and then exiting be considered a qualifying âguest appearanceâ?
2026-06-03 03:51:26
I can see this dispute coming a mile away
2026-06-04 14:32:26
Can we get ahead of this dispute and clarify if an artist introducing another performer and then exiting be considered a qualifying âguest appearanceâ?
2026-06-06 15:37:08
I know. I just wanted written clearly in these rules
2026-06-09 23:30:26
According to Trump, a ceasefire is when they donât shoot as much.
2026-06-10 15:26:15
Ruben Rocha precedent
2026-06-10 15:29:24
Both this and Ruben Rocha were temporary measures. The difference is Rocha was granted a leave of absence and Petro is suspended.
2026-06-10 16:10:14
But, in the end, maybe it is unconstitucional measure. No go
2026-06-10 16:30:35
The Team USA soccer crowd is not a fan of the Donald
2026-06-10 17:53:50
Worth a shot I suppose
2026-06-10 18:56:02
This will resolve to No because Trump was really refering to the Battleship game he was playing at that moment. âB2!â He shouted afterwards.
2026-06-10 20:12:35
This will resolve to No because the operation ordered by Trump is already finished. Itâs in the past. The announcement came after. With the Microstrategy sells bitcoin precedent, this post by Trump does not qualify.
2026-06-10 20:18:37
This will resolve to No because the ships were escorted through the Strait of Trump, not Strait of Hormuz. Get it straight.
2026-06-10 20:43:28
Letâs not talk about grammar. I got burned on the â36,250â
2026-06-10 20:50:07
This will resolve to No because Hegseth is drunk announcing
2026-06-10 21:04:14
This will resolve to No because the clarification guy will screw ScottyNooo, Car, and his other friends just to prove he has no bias.
2026-06-10 21:13:14
This will resolve to No because willo2 bought Yes.
2026-06-10 21:47:34
This will resolve to No because escorting ships through Strait of Hormuz is substantially different than escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz
2026-06-10 22:46:02
BTW, P2 read in spanish is špedosš
2026-06-10 22:54:33
What are we doing here? We should all be longing oil right now
2026-06-11 00:05:49
This should resolve to No because US officials say: "This is not a revival of Project Freedom, it's just a military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. But definitely not like Project Freedom."
2026-06-12 11:06:26
Dispute incoming
2026-06-12 19:48:10
Dispoot incoming
2026-06-14 05:17:11
Agreements that are explicitly temporaryâŠwill not qualify.
2026-06-14 21:56:47
Huge dispute incoming for June 15. Glad Iâm out of it.
2026-06-15 01:40:35
Yes whales already sold, they do not stick to the end when their side is +80c up. Why risk it? Just take profits. The No whales have not been able to sell.
2026-06-15 16:22:27
Why is this lower than the other one?
2026-06-16 16:17:35
Superstar is a compound word. It is made by gluing two independent words together ("super" + "star"). Both parts can stand alone as real words.
2026-06-16 16:19:35
Trump Signs Proclamation Opening More Protected Ocean Areas To Commercial Fishing
June 11, 2026 9:53 pm
2026-06-16 16:23:48
Why does the lifting of the naval blockade not count here as Troop Withdrawal?
2026-06-16 16:46:49
Right, but the blockade is something already in effect as part of the general agreement. Why is Yes still at 54c at this moment.
2026-06-17 15:55:03
They will still physically sign it. They want the photo opportunity.
2026-06-17 17:11:49
Iran is old school. They want ink on paper.
2026-06-17 20:49:10
Harry Kane's Golden Boot Patch! Come on!
2026-06-17 22:26:35
Was Golden Boot said?
2026-06-17 22:53:27
Was it ink on paper or all digitally?
2026-06-18 00:10:51
No evidence of Iranian signing a printed copy. Too soon.
2026-06-23 15:04:44
He will attend Austria vs. Algeria for sure
2026-07-01 02:27:11
Doha technical meetings aside, is the US just going to let this drag on forever? The MoU was signed two weeks ago and the US has gained nothing while Iran is raking in big money.
2026-07-01 07:09:10
Did Strategy sell bitcoin by May 31?
2026-07-01 21:09:17
At a time when everyone stopped believing what Barak Ravid said.
2026-07-05 17:00:05
FIFA doing fifa things
2026-07-06 20:54:39
Man up!
2026-07-06 21:08:27
Tears or sweat? Let the dispoot commence
2026-07-12 21:50:57
Please clarify what counts as a âwinning team's official team photoâ.
2026-07-12 21:51:26
Dispoot incoming
2026-07-12 21:57:10
The part where the winning team one by one receives the medals and trophy and all that OR/AND the part where team captain lifts the trophy and fireworks and confetti starts flying.
2026-07-14 01:17:04
I agree. The thing is there will be lots of photos from different angles in many publications.
2026-07-14 01:18:34
If the "official" champions photo is the one that blows all the confetti, Trump will not be in it, he fears the wind will mess up his hair.
2026-07-14 01:21:07
All these artists in just 11 minutes? Now they want to add Sabrina Carpenter also? Throw in Weird Al and a mariachi band.
2026-07-14 12:52:21
I agree. Only way is if he is caught in the background while stepping away.
2026-07-14 13:30:22
I will jump back in after dispoot.
2026-07-16 21:22:41
This election interference speech just means that the situation in Iran is going to get worse before it gets better.
2026-07-17 00:21:08
He also has to do the hand gesture
2026-07-17 22:21:37
Trump refused to leave the podium one year ago in the same stadium when he gave the trophy to Chelsea.
2026-07-17 22:25:39
Up to Infantino really. Does Gianni pull Trump off stage to avoid what happened with Chelsea or does Gianni continue his bootlicking and give Trump a podium on top of the stage to be higher than the rest of the team.
2026-07-18 14:51:33
What would be the argument for too soon?
2026-07-18 16:20:38
Mojtaba is going to resolve this within next few hours
2026-07-19 20:16:25
DISPOOOOOTT!!!!
2026-07-19 22:45:56
Infantino not giving it to Norway is scandalous.
2026-07-19 23:45:01
Norway and Netherlands: 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards
2026-07-19 23:45:41
Norway 58 fouls in 6 games: 9.6; Netherlands 44 fouls in 4 games: 11
2026-07-20 17:52:37
Attack update by UKMTO, Iran confirmed before
2026-07-20 22:14:42
There are now three different reports of attacks for July 20
2026-07-23 15:26:00
Bibi says heâs alive
2026-07-24 04:05:19
Does a scene count as a trailer or teaser?
2026-07-24 04:18:55
Tough one. From now on all strikes should be âdemocrats / dumocratsâ
2026-07-25 02:41:13
These only need credible reporting to confirm. Houthis donât have to announce anything.
2026-07-26 15:36:44
You caught him sleeping on the job.
2026-07-27 15:29:23
This market is not about peace nor talks, itâs about a halt to military attacks.
2026-07-27 15:58:26
Poly is going same direction as market intent. Fact is there is now a pause on attacks.
2026-07-27 16:13:55
Admitting a halt = Announcing a halt
2026-07-27 19:50:11
an Axios report of Trump insulting Netanyahu was enough. This should be no different
2026-07-28 00:39:32
A clarification means the Poly team found the evidence it needed to rule in favor of what the market intended. Poly wants to resolve Yes.
2026-07-28 00:41:37
An Axios report from Barak Ravid was enough to resolve Yes on the Trump insulting Netanyahu market.
2026-07-28 00:45:46
Please add "Ladybugs"
2026-07-28 22:30:36
Sorry RobSmith but I just canât find anything that points to US agents working on Mexico territory during this operation. Only sharing of information that led to his capture.
2026-07-28 22:31:19
Iâm very tempted to ape more No shares.
2026-07-28 22:34:16
mlbich does not look like a sharp. But he must know something, right?
2026-07-28 22:38:58
Even if they did participate, agencies from both countries are going to deny it. There was a little trouble last time.
2026-07-28 22:41:11
Last time the knuckleheads us agents posed for photos. Now they wonât make the same mistake.
2026-07-29 07:31:41
Todos los reportes mencionan a la colaboraciĂłn de la DEA en este operativo limitada a intercambio de informaciĂłn e inteligencia. Solamente mencionan a agencias mexicanas relacionadas con la ejecuciĂłn de la captura.
2026-07-29 07:45:59
Pregunta seria: la gente en el lado Yes se estĂĄ basando solamente en el press release de la DEA?
2026-07-29 10:28:28
Who keeps buying Yes and why?
2026-07-29 10:45:43
Maybe I'm in disbelief. Ma momma always told me there's no such thing as free money.
2026-07-29 10:52:34
So many questions: Should I sell a kidney to buy more No shares? Is Rob Smith Jr. a DEA agent? Is Rex going to propose Yes while everyone else is sleeping?
2026-07-29 11:16:31
I"m a little scared. I need this win. Just hold my hand while this resolves to No. Maybe let's take turns with the night shift for the next couple of nights in case Rex416 proposes Yes while the world sleeps.
2026-07-29 13:15:51
I knew it! You are a DEA agent. Agent Smith, talk to me on X, please tell me what you know.
2026-07-29 13:42:41
Are Yes holders only reading english news? There is more detailed, precise info on the Mexican news.
2026-07-29 14:05:42
So many questions: Should I take out a loan to buy more No shares? Will DEA agent Rob Smith Jr. contact me? Can I trust you guys to hold the No Fort while I take a nap?
2026-07-29 14:25:48
Got any new info? I'm on X
2026-07-29 14:52:40
So many questions: What does ZorroDeLaVega know? Will Rabbit007 contact me on X? Where does the first name end and the last name begin in Janero Van de Mario Garrett?
2026-07-29 14:53:09
Source?
2026-07-29 15:03:27
Sure it was a joint operation, but official reports say the US agency provided information only for the capture, the physical apprehension was done by Mexican authorities only. The only on the ground operation carried out by US authorities was the manhunt while the fugitive was believed to be in US territory.
2026-07-29 15:10:31
I must admit, Zorro. I'm a little disappointed in you. I thought you had more substantial evidence for Yes. People are now smash buying No after reading what you wrote here.
2026-07-29 15:17:55
The Detroit News article and DEA press release is bundling up the whole operation from the traffic stop incident in the US to the capture in Mexico. So everything was in cooperation between agencies in both countries. But the official Mexico report says only local authorities physically captured Janero in Mexico with info provided by the US agency. No reports of US agents in Mexico participating during the operation.
2026-07-29 15:34:50
Zorro, you mean: "...was apprehended in MazatlĂĄn, Sinaloa, Mexico July 17, after a joint operation conducted by the DEA Detroit Field Division, DEA-Mexico, U.S. Marshals Mexico Foreign Field Office and U.S. Marshals Detroit Office, FBI-Detroit, and Mexican authorities..." (from the DEA press release). That's what I'm saying they bundle the whole operation from the time Garrett fled the traffic stop up to the capture in Mexico. But the actual physical capture in Mexico was only done by Mexican authorities, with info provided by US agencies. No US on the ground participation, no qualifying involvement in Mexican territory.
2026-07-29 16:12:03
Operation Hardball, Niño Guerrero, and strikes on drug boats don't seem to qualify.
2026-07-29 17:24:55
SecretarĂa de Seguridad y ProtecciĂłn Ciudadana (SSPC), Omar GarcĂa Harfuch: "En MazatlĂĄn, Sinaloa, personal de SSPCMexico, FGRMexico, SEMAR_mx e INAMI_mx detuvo a Janero Van âNâ, ciudadano estadounidense. La detenciĂłn fue posible gracias a los mecanismos de cooperaciĂłn internacional y al intercambio de informaciĂłn con la DEAHQ"
2026-07-29 17:32:03
I would disqualify these not because they are not cartels or drug related, but because: 1) Operation Hardball: no reports of US agents on the field. 2) Niño Guerrero: strike was before market opened. 3) Kinetic strikes on drugboats: not on foreign soil.
2026-07-29 20:54:14
Dispooot!!
2026-07-29 21:02:15
Still canât find anything that qualifies for Yes.
No photo or video of US agents in Mexico
2026-07-29 21:07:34
I canât dispute. Down bad
2026-07-29 21:10:54
Only unknown for me is when and where did the Mexican authorities hand over the prisoner to the US agents.
But no unambiguous statement regarding the change of custody. No photo no video
2026-07-29 21:14:16
Any type of economic sanction or designation as terrorist organization would not count either. Not an operation
2026-07-29 21:16:01
Somebody please dispooooot!!
2026-07-29 21:22:21
We need a HNI to dispute this matter.
2026-07-29 21:25:10
A High Networth Individual from Israel? Would you be so kind?
2026-07-29 21:31:01
HerrieDavis to the rescue!
2026-07-29 21:55:39
Itâs a No anyway you analyze it.
2026-07-29 22:30:12
I just think they have a bias towards the reporting in Detroit news and the DEA press report. The wording is vague.
They hope it sticks.
I could not find anything else
2026-07-29 22:39:41
5 minutes left to dispute
2026-07-29 22:40:54
Who buys hundreds of dollars of No after Yes proposal and then doesnât dispute?
2026-07-29 22:42:43
Nothing I could find since yesterday points to a Yes resolution here
2026-07-29 22:46:49
Why buy hundreds of dollars of No shares after Yes was proposed, only to then not dispute?
2026-07-29 23:03:56
Z *on the wooden door
2026-07-30 13:22:41
It depends. Is the new person that clarifies markets in Polymarket a woman? If so, then yes it is an insult and we are all going to regret it. Will have to make it up to her later somehow.
2026-07-30 13:37:42
I just did a little experiment here at home and called my wife "difficult". I am now switching to Yes.
2026-07-30 18:58:52
Iâm going with No despite what my wife says. The reason is Trump adds that the whole âdifficultâ remark is an ANALOGY and then gives the example of the kids fighting in the playground.
2026-07-30 19:00:46
Trumpâs intent is not to insult Zelenskyy sitting right beside him. It should not be an insult to Putin. It is just a description and an analogy.
2026-07-30 19:06:38
Wayo!
2026-07-30 19:44:09
I agree. Definitely not an insult the way Trump framed it in that interview with Zelenzkyy
2026-07-30 19:58:45
Trump's description of Zelensky and Putin is clearly understood as: strong willed, determined, resolute, and tenacious. In this context, "difficult character" is meant with a positive connotation.
2026-07-30 22:03:26
Yeeeeeesssss!!!!!!!!!
2026-07-30 22:12:18
Why dis not going straight to 99c for No?
2026-07-30 22:23:27
Oh! Right. Until 31
2026-07-31 22:51:06
What did Trump say about Tucker?
2026-08-01 00:39:22
Did Trump insult Tucker Carlson?
Might be the next dispute. The usual suspects are on Yes.
2026-08-01 01:49:33
Yes, by Sir Wayne Allyn Root.
2026-08-01 03:14:36
This should also apply here: âA quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.â
2026-08-01 23:03:45
Contesté!
2026-08-01 23:20:22
Cela devrait ĂȘtre contestĂ©!!
2026-08-01 23:36:29
Photos from the NATO summit in Ankara donât show evidence of any verbal interaction between Trump and Macron during the family photo.
2026-08-02 02:34:38
This from Macron is too vague: « Je ne les ai pas entendus dans la salle, je ne les ai pas entendus dans nos Ă©changes et ils nâont pas de consĂ©quence sur les choix qui sont faits aujourdâhui. Donc il faut continuer de travailler. »
2026-08-02 14:48:33
Zorro went beyond the paywall of Reuters media vault, found some video of Trump and Macron interacting briefly in Ankara.
2026-08-02 15:11:26
So many questions: Did Zorro enter Reuterâs secret media vault? Why did he buy 10k 90c shares? Is Macron a victim of domestic violence?
2026-08-02 19:54:39
Are the Polymarket people checking first on what side are Car and Aenews, so they can then clarifying against them?
2026-08-02 21:38:38
So many questions: FunnySanchez is whoâs alt account? Whoâs on No hedging with FunnySanchez?
2026-08-02 21:46:58
Commenting here is half the fun, the other half is making money. Iâm having half the fun here so far.
2026-08-02 21:51:30
It over. Car sold his NOs and started buying Yes
2026-08-02 21:57:11
LoseWinner is whoâs alt?
2026-08-02 21:59:19
Should I buy Yes in the NATO x Russia military clash?
2026-08-02 22:08:44
Plot twist: LoseWinner is Carâs alt. Turns out Car was just appearing on the No side in case there is some bias against him now.
2026-08-04 19:26:54
Shooting down UAVs which are not munitions (e.g. MQ-9, Orlan 10, Orion, Bayraktar TB2, etc.) will qualify.
2026-08-04 20:48:14
If July 31 was No, then August 1 should be Yes.
2026-08-05 00:25:56
Just propose Yes. No one is disputing these or the Iran targets shipping.
2026-08-05 00:29:46
everyone has the same hazy information and the same few shares. Not worth it to dispute, all first proposals stick.
2026-08-14 23:59:59
No one has enough shares to care/dispute. Only Arman2 and Hakei.
2026-08-15 00:01:08
Be ready for when Rex comes in. Proposal follows
2026-08-15 13:53:26
Today shall be Dispoot Day
2026-08-17 21:33:17
August 17 should resolve to NO because reports say a kid named Mohammad Hickam, along with his school friends, built the rocket that struck Iraq territory. The boy's father, Yahya Hickam, disapproved what his son did and was quoted as saying "It's about what's best for Zoghal-echoub. If this mine doesn't produce, then the town dies."
2026-08-17 22:01:20
August 17 should resolve to No because evidence collected at the site of impact show shell fragments of red and blue color, some pieces have the words "Setareh-ye Azadi". Possibly from the Estes Company.
2026-08-18 20:19:37
Even if the intended object of the missile was a ship, it was still within the UAEÂŽs territorial waters.
Attack came from Iran and was directed at UAEÂŽs internal waters.
2026-08-18 20:33:55
I knew that and I should have bought No
2026-08-18 20:41:15
Dammit. I thought you were supposed to do the opposite of what Car says.