Account Information
Name:
SingletonFamilyFund
Bio:
25 Nov 1972 - Elwood, IN
Pseudonym:
Reflecting-Pantology
Created:
2026-03-06 17:48:58
Last Activity:
2 weeks ago
Tier:
Silver
profile-image-6508276-290cf3bf-0656-4214-b75a-5e9712cb6f35.webp
Total Profit
$3,848
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$17,218.89
Markets traded
348
Trades
348
Largest win
$2,516.16
Profile views
1,111
Join date
2026-03-06 17:48:58
All-time rank
31302
All-time PnL
$3,847.95
All-time volume
$633,395.30
All-time profit
$3,847.95
Lifetime volume
$633,395.30
PnL series latest
$12,511.14
PnL series start
$12,500.60
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$22,308.95
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | 3346.7099 | $2,516.16 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 7001.7206 | $798.34 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3005.0038 | $765.73 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | 15614.99 | $-1,331.44 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Yes | 1140.8542 | $-1,080.05 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 6539.0034 | $-855.38 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 12345.6699 | $0.21 | $0.67 | $8,209.87 | $5,595.44 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 4549.998 | $0.60 | $0.58 | $2,639.00 | $-113.65 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2301.67 | $0.42 | $0.41 | $955.19 | $-3.48 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? | Yes | 2026.11 | $0.50 | $0.47 | $942.14 | $-62.15 |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 1313.13 | $0.55 | $0.64 | $833.84 | $114.41 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | 3346.7099 | $2,516.16 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 7001.7206 | $798.34 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3005.0038 | $765.73 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31? | Yes | 804.8 | $737.19 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | Yes | 1915.9666 | $706.32 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | TRADE | SELL | Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.86 | 100 | $86.00 |
| 1 week ago | REWARD | $0.00 | 1.1824 | $1.18 | |||
| 1 week ago | REWARD | $0.00 | 1.3705 | $1.37 | |||
| 1 week ago | MAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 2.2327 | $2.23 | |||
| 1 week ago | REWARD | $0.00 | 2.477 | $2.48 |
Recent trades (348)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | $0.42 | 2104.23 |
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | No | $0.82 | 66.48 |
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.72 | 163.86 |
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | $0.93 | 150.52 |
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.84 | 20 |
Comments
2026-03-21 15:42:17
nice they added ByteDance and Amazon as options
2026-03-30 01:40:47
How is Klobuchar even an option? She’s resigning from the Senate to run for Governor in Minnesota…
2026-04-24 18:30:39
no worse feeling than seeing someone with the same position as you writing the lowest IQ scam comment of all time
2026-05-19 23:38:55
the Jews won :(
2026-06-04 03:01:21
LB just updated again for MiniMax M3 with no Opus score 😂 it really flopped that bad I’m dead
2026-06-06 07:14:27
OPUS 4.8 1461 ITS JOEVER
2026-06-06 08:19:25
well done brother 🫡
2026-06-13 18:01:50
Source tells me that Fable is stable. Please god
2026-07-16 12:09:19
Jeffries’ Speaker bid becomes more endangered the smaller his majority is in the 120th House, as the growing ranks of the Squad are able to exert more influence over close votes
2026-08-05 08:02:45
they’re releasing again this month, Moonshot isn’t
2026-08-05 08:03:34
the market existed before the Agent leaderboard did 🥴
2026-08-13 07:18:06
dry-september genuinely got possessed by the ghost of Kirk wyd man imcrine
2026-08-18 22:53:52
all the Groypers burning their money on the winner market to show support instead of taking the free bare minimum here reflects pretty strongly on the intellect of the movement as a whole
2026-09-02 16:51:23
some of you would probably be better served doing agricultural labor in rural Nebraska
2026-09-06 23:32:40
MrBauer you have the same name as my real life 4th grade teacher so I really hope that’s not you otherwise this is gonna be an insane aura loss
2026-09-09 19:30:24
Astra scored so bad OpenAI doesn’t even wanna give Arena permission to post the score because it’ll contradict the rest of their hypecycle news 💀💀 idk how I was supposed to price for that outcome
2026-09-10 23:33:56
yes 😍
2026-09-10 23:37:33
have any of the Yes holders even voted for it on Text arena 😭
2026-09-11 04:47:27
5.6 Sol is literally lower than Gemini 2.5 Pro
2026-09-11 20:58:27
peak comment
2026-09-11 21:21:46
None
2026-09-11 21:58:07
too autistic for the Arena voterbase