Account Information
Name:
aldtrader
Pseudonym:
Hard-To-Find-World
Created:
2026-02-08 13:33:52
Last Activity:
4 hours ago
Tier:
Bronze
Total Profit
$1,541
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$5,266.30
Markets traded
26
Trades
26
Largest win
$742.08
Profile views
113
Join date
2026-02-08 13:33:52
All-time rank
62818
All-time PnL
$1,541.21
All-time volume
$111,410.29
All-time profit
$1,541.21
Lifetime volume
$111,410.29
PnL series latest
$161.67
PnL series start
$161.67
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$6,326.80
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5245.519 | $742.08 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | Yes | 599.3152 | $495.98 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 700 | $446.60 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1120.2552 | $-177.74 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 9? | Yes | 220 | $-51.56 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2043.7742 | $-50.10 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 4674.1499 | $0.37 | $0.40 | $1,869.66 | $140.82 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 12000.2545 | $0.18 | $0.14 | $1,740.04 | $-399.02 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 8536.2712 | $0.16 | $0.15 | $1,267.64 | $-92.10 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | No | 2047.4788 | $0.10 | $0.10 | $214.99 | $14.05 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 353.3025 | $0.37 | $0.36 | $128.96 | $-1.77 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5245.519 | $742.08 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | Yes | 599.3152 | $495.98 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 700 | $446.60 |
| Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | Yes | 1650.26 | $400.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 12? | Yes | 71.4285 | $0.92 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 hours ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | $0.36 | 487.166667 | $179.87 |
| 4 hours ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | $0.36 | 2953.666667 | $1,090.54 |
| 21 hours ago | MAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 1.0166 | $1.02 | |||
| 21 hours ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.0115 | $0.01 | |||
| 1 day ago | TRADE | BUY | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | No | $0.10 | 70.74 | $7.07 |
Recent trades (26)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 hours ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | $0.36 | 487.166667 |
| 4 hours ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | $0.36 | 2953.666667 |
| 1 day ago | BUY | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | No | $0.10 | 918.1 |
| 1 day ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | $0.40 | 1233.316586 |
| 6 days ago | BUY | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | $0.11 | 39.2 |
Comments
2026-10-13 14:45:31
Pesquisa de Hoje 13 de Outubro
Votos Válidos
PoderData/Aya:
Flávio Bolsonaro 51% x 49% Lula
BTG/Nexus:
Flávio Bolsonaro 52% x 48% Lula
Gerp:
Flávio Bolsonaro 55% x 45% Lula
Consulte as pesquisas registradas pelo número do registro no site do tse . jus . br BR-01209/2026, BR-07997/2026 e BR-07877/2026)
2026-10-13 14:47:26
Sim, Lula subiu bastante
2026-10-13 15:15:39
Lula is in power and has more means to gain an advantage in the campaign.
In Brazil, a sitting left-wing president has never lost a presidential election.
This election is going to be very tight.
2026-10-13 15:22:16
Polls - October 13
PoderData/Aya: Lula 49% x 51% Flávio
BTG/Nexus: Lula 48% x 52% Flávio
Gerp: Lula 45% x 55% Flávio
Lula is in power and has more means to gain an advantage in the campaign.
In Brazil, a sitting left-wing president has never lost a presidential election.
This election is going to be very tight.
There is a big difference between the polls and the odds here, which could be a trade/profit opportunity
2026-10-13 20:11:22
SAIU MAIS UMA
PESQUISA DIVULGADA EM 13 DE OUTUBRO
Instituto: FUTURA INTELIGÊNCIA
Contratante: 100% Cidades
Entrevistados: 2.000 eleitores
Abrangência: Nacional
Coleta: 7 a 10 de outubro
Confiança: 95%
Registro TSE: BR-00650/2026
VOTOS VÁLIDOS
Flávio Bolsonaro: 51,8%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 48,2%
Margem de erro: 2,2 pontos percentuais
2026-10-14 02:24:08
2nd ROUND POLLS (VALID VOTES) TODAY 10/13/26
• BTG / Nexus: Flávio 52% x Lula 48% (Statistical Tie)
• PoderData: Flávio 51% x Lula 49% (Statistical Tie)
• Datafolha: Flávio 52% x Lula 48% (Statistical Tie)
• Futura: Flávio 51.8% x Lula 48.2% (Statistical Tie)
• GERP: Flávio 55% x Lula 45% (Flávio ahead)
All polls show a STATISTICAL TIE, only GERP shows Flávio ahead.
The official website to search for election results in Brazil is: tse . jus . br
2026-10-14 03:15:15
MONEY AND PROFIT
2026-10-14 04:11:31
really if we check we see wait and see. analyze the historical data of argentina, colombia, peru, brazil in 2022, etc etc
2026-10-14 04:12:15
he is right
2026-10-14 13:05:27
the trend is to SELL flávio's "yes" closer to the election. profit taking is already happening. OBSERVE. the debates will start on broadcast tv. FLAVIO WILL DROP AND LULA WILL RISE, the difference will be smaller. NOTE IT DOWN
2026-10-14 13:25:12
They are already selling flavio. flavio dropping. LULA rising. volume increasing
2026-10-14 14:52:25
Look at the holders, there are way more people holding Flávio than LULA. Flávio is going to melt and LULA will rise close to the elections; historically, this always happens, just look at the past.
2026-10-14 15:33:09
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2026-10-14 19:17:08
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2026-10-14 21:27:08
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