Account Information
Name:
GollumGekko
Bio:
yes precious
Pseudonym:
Grumpy-Urn
Created:
2024-12-27 14:33:10
Last Activity:
5 minutes ago
Tier:
Silver
X:
@GollumGekko1
Total Profit
$274,089
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$243,070.76
Markets traded
3,318
Trades
3,215
Largest win
$26,868.17
Profile views
25,959
Join date
2024-12-27 14:33:10
All-time rank
783
All-time PnL
$274,089.04
All-time volume
$30,131,616.22
All-time profit
$270,041.34
Lifetime volume
$29,213,138.93
PnL series latest
$270,064.94
PnL series start
$269,581.40
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$43,685.44
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 186046.092821 | $26,868.17 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 538403.227974 | $21,816.19 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 120855.044288 | $14,817.47 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 24999.999999999996 | $-9,359.41 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 79122.066167 | $-7,384.28 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | Yes | 10000 | $-4,960.00 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 29580.6221 | $0.92 | $0.94 | $27,657.88 | $476.78 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 20000 | $0.50 | $0.90 | $17,930.00 | $7,930.00 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 25161.2512 | $0.67 | $0.70 | $17,738.68 | $942.46 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 11758.8033 | $0.88 | $0.89 | $10,459.46 | $154.22 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 10657.9448 | $0.87 | $0.88 | $9,325.70 | $31.57 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 186046.092821 | $26,868.17 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 538403.227974 | $21,816.19 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 120855.044288 | $14,817.47 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 20200 | $9,860.20 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 50760.512511 | $9,851.65 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minutes ago | TRADE | SELL | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | $0.16 | 11.97 | $1.92 |
| 5 minutes ago | TRADE | SELL | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | $0.16 | 6.25 | $1.00 |
| 7 minutes ago | TRADE | SELL | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $0.24 | 1758.54 | $422.05 |
| 14 minutes ago | TRADE | SELL | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | $0.16 | 6.25 | $1.00 |
| 14 minutes ago | TRADE | SELL | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | $0.16 | 6.25 | $1.00 |
Recent trades (3215)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minutes ago | SELL | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | $0.16 | 11.97 |
| 5 minutes ago | SELL | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | $0.16 | 6.25 |
| 7 minutes ago | SELL | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $0.24 | 1758.54 |
| 14 minutes ago | SELL | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | $0.16 | 6.25 |
| 14 minutes ago | SELL | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | $0.16 | 6.25 |
Comments
2024-12-29 16:13:48
Intensely working to bring Magnus back to do the Blitz tournament - FIDE president.
2024-12-29 16:20:53
[link removed]
2025-01-01 09:22:23
Will most certainly not - the commitee who chooses the winner is made up of washed up leftist Norwegian polticians, most of whom hate Trump.
2025-01-01 12:13:03
Yeah, he was a major donor and the money has all been returned so there is less outrage to pardon him now
2025-01-02 12:09:51
Gas tanks and fireworks inside the car blew it up, the battery was intact, and if you look at lithium battery fires you can see that they do not explode but just burn.
2025-01-02 13:19:57
He could do all these things and the ppl in charge would not give him any credit.
2025-01-02 13:21:04
[link removed] this is the comittee, there is 1 neocon amongst the comittee, and the rest are far left polticians in Norway who really really hate the Donald
2025-01-02 15:05:58
How come there is no volume on Elon? Elon and Donald are inseperable these days
2025-01-05 06:03:44
Historical Precedent: There's no direct historical precedent where snowfall has delayed the certification of a U.S. presidential election. The U.S. Congress has procedures in place to ensure that such critical events proceed, even under adverse weather conditions.
2025-01-05 21:32:31
Go Donald!
2025-01-19 12:13:28
Can we have one for Killary ?
2025-01-20 19:32:43
More like liquidity shifting due to inaguration
2025-01-20 20:06:23
Should resolve to yes then ? https://x.com/CoinbaseAssets/status/1881425414045696055
2025-01-20 21:09:32
One big No trade was placed and low liquidity
2025-01-21 18:24:36
When will it resolve? Isnt it clear it was 26?
2025-01-22 09:48:19
He only needs to be a investor, so if it goes public and he buys 1 share it can still resolve to Yes, hence this market is uninvestable
2025-01-22 21:30:43
Dude, she is great and Id love for her to win but not gonna happen and I dont give away money
2025-01-22 21:45:55
https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/putting-america-first-in-international-environmental-agreements/
2025-01-22 21:46:05
Resolve plz someone? I honestly dont know how
2025-01-23 09:44:07
He has declared an intention to remove it for american crypto currency companies, not for the general tax payer. Also does not make sense to remove capital gains on crypto as long as there are still capital gains on stocks, real estate etc
2025-01-23 21:56:25
Hamas-israel spent months negotiating a ceasefire, there is no way it will be negotiated within 1 week
2025-01-24 18:50:55
Just stop being poor
2025-01-30 08:35:28
The official announcement is not from the Swedish Academy but from the Norwegian Nobel Prize Center.
2025-02-01 13:59:53
How much does it cost to buy an ad on the sphere and rig this market?
2025-02-10 08:25:43
He got shadowbanned then deleted his account = not banned /
2025-02-10 08:31:34
Do you even know what suspended means? Self suspended it not suspended. But if you truly believe it, buy more yes :)
2025-02-13 20:14:45
Please read bios on the comittee members, 4/5 members including the chair are swamp monsters with serious TDS. He could create peace on earth, cure cancer and save the earth and the nobel peace committee would never give him any credit
2025-02-20 09:20:38
"1st 100 days" - are you retarded?
2025-02-22 08:25:41
Too bad it’s not Waltz that decides who wins it then
2025-02-22 08:42:07
Hence she found a scapegoat and can continue
2025-02-22 10:35:34
Search up the members, they are all far left anti trumpers
2025-02-24 08:21:29
can you even read "Before March"
2025-02-25 08:50:18
I am sure launching a memecoin helps your parole or pardon chances
2025-02-25 18:31:33
If he sold his account then it will not be launched officially by SBF
2025-02-27 10:14:45
IMHO it is likely they did do it, but there is no way to prove it hence will never resolve to Yes.
2025-02-28 11:42:50
"Probing" Also said circumvention of exports but there is no definite credible reporting that DeekSeek used it.
2025-02-28 12:26:25
Might be proven but not within the next 18 hours.
2025-02-28 12:27:56
There is also a difference between someone arrested for sanction breach to China and then saying that DeepSeek definitively is the end user and used it for training their model
2025-02-28 15:11:40
Market needs clarification - is it enough if he goes voluntarily or does he need to be extradited through the juridical system?
2025-02-28 15:36:48
Some retards are definitively going to try to say Yes if he flies back voluntarily based on : physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of Romania.
2025-02-28 19:57:37
So why are you dumping ur shares
2025-02-28 19:59:47
Can I AI generate a picture of him in a suit?
2025-03-01 16:48:02
Free Joe Exotic !
2025-03-01 16:50:45
bro dont tell them
2025-03-02 10:56:40
Trump has nothing to win from meeting Tate but a lot to lose, and timeframe is very short
2025-03-02 12:45:56
He has stated that will not wear a suit as long as the war is ongoing to honor his soldiers, so highly unlikely
2025-03-03 13:59:00
But it was a journalist not Trump who complained about his clothes
2025-03-05 12:09:11
How will India win a WINTER special olympics?
2025-03-05 21:00:46
Chauvin might get one at the end of the period but there is no way he wants to create riots in the next few weeks
2025-03-07 09:56:02
Fun how you can get 3% return in a week by betting that India, who has never taken a medal in Winter Olympics will win the most medals, god I love Polymarkets.
2025-03-07 11:11:45
Would have happened yesterday lol
2025-03-07 13:59:00
Literally says it’s special Winter Olympics on the website in the rules lol
2025-03-07 14:01:47
Not in winter sports. How can they? There is no skiing in India
2025-03-07 14:05:07
Posted a sell at 99.8 u can buy them
2025-03-08 08:19:29
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All-time_Paralympic_Games_medal_table zero medals for India in winter sports
2025-03-16 20:01:53
I’ll resolve in the morning on my laptop unless someone does first
2025-03-17 20:34:39
Document to be released on Tuesday
2025-03-18 18:00:16
Just proposed but not sure if it went through? https://polygonscan.com/tx/0x7f369066785071a02fd4cc41d6447e76a6796995af8138206343c80b616066a1
2025-03-18 18:03:12
Didnt have any USDC on matic chain which was apparently required but just did it now
2025-03-20 06:39:47
Giving up high command would be saying American troops are under European command. Gluck selling the Donald on that
2025-03-21 07:56:07
There is a single Lebanese source saying this.
2025-03-21 07:56:16
Please keep in mind https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/egypts-president-sisi-not-attend-any-white-house-talks-if-gaza-displacement-2025-02-12/
2025-03-21 11:22:49
Plz dont drag me to the woodelves
2025-03-21 13:58:55
They are gonna make examples out of them quickly to demotivate others from doing it
2025-03-21 13:59:00
[link removed]
2025-03-21 14:44:57
Someone is going to plead guilty and make a deal for sure, they have overwhelming evidence from the cameras on lots of people. Just need 1 single person to make a deal and we can resolve, which will happen pretty soon
2025-03-23 19:23:13
Egyptian government officials already denied it but nice pump attempt
2025-03-25 20:05:21
Passing a bill to buy 1m bitcoin would make the entire world front run the US gov lol
2025-03-26 05:45:17
FYI: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/egypt-denies-claims-of-plans-to-relocate-500-000-palestinians-to-north-sinai/3516784
2025-03-26 05:47:48
More than 3 ppl are arrested and you only need one guilty plea
2025-03-27 16:05:45
Stefanik confirmation on 2nd of April likely, why is No pumping?
2025-03-27 16:05:49
[link removed]
2025-03-27 16:16:47
Confirmation on 2nd of April
2025-03-27 16:32:11
They might if democrats win the congrenssional seats up for election in Florida on 1st of April. But that seems unlikely, Ill keep my shares.
2025-03-28 16:17:43
Just landed - https://www.nrk.no/video/36568518-a221-44b2-a21e-02a1fe9fa1ba Will propose
2025-03-29 17:12:23
guys comeon let me buy some more cheap merz
2025-03-29 20:24:01
Four charged already with arson. Will likely be incentivized to plead guilty fast for arson to avoid domestic terrorism charges:
2025-03-29 20:24:05
Paul Hyon Kim, Las Vegas, NV: Charged with state and federal arson for setting fire to Tesla vehicles using Molotov cocktails on March 18, 2025, with a preliminary hearing scheduled for April 10, 2025. Daniel Brendan Kurt Clarke-Pounder, Charleston, SC: Charged with federal arson for lighting Tesla charging stations on fire with Molotovs, with no trial date specified yet. Lucy Grace Nelson, Loveland, CO: Charged with malicious destruction of property and use of incendiary devices for attempting to burn Tesla vehicles, with no trial date specified. Adam Matthew Landsky, Salem, OR: Charged with attempted arson and possessing unregistered destructive devices for throwing Molotovs at a Tesla dealership, with an arraignment scheduled for April 3, 2025.
2025-03-30 18:23:29
Plz buy more yes
2025-03-31 12:11:39
Sorry was not in the text erxcept but they are all charged:
2025-03-31 12:11:45
[link removed]
2025-03-31 15:45:51
They acknowledge that they are the de-facto government but not that they are formally the government just as the US state department acknowledges that Maduro rules Velezuela, but not that he is the legitimate ruler. How dumb are you
2025-03-31 18:26:18
please resolve and i will dispute you and take more of ur money
2025-03-31 18:41:40
Not a formal recgonizion https://x.com/cgtnamerica/status/1906777244292247995
2025-03-31 18:48:09
We welcome them to form a government is not a formal recognizion ffs
2025-03-31 18:52:42
Only formal recognition of a government as the country's legitimate authority/government will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge a new Syrian government, but do not formally recognize the authority of the government will not qualify. "We welcome the formation of the new Syrian government" is basically an acknowledgement of the new government not a formal recognizion
2025-03-31 19:05:46
Literally just an acknowkedgement that there is a new government which rules say is not a formal regoction
2025-03-31 19:35:44
Basically an acknowledgment of the existence of the new government but HTS is still on the terror list lol
2025-03-31 20:51:50
You’re cutting out the rest of the sentence which says nothing changes until they prove they aren’t terrorises etc
2025-03-31 20:55:59
Positive step is an acknowledgment not a formal recognition plz read rules
2025-04-01 21:09:55
https://www.ft.com/content/b3190da8-c950-47af-9312-0926d6d95ea0
2025-04-02 11:42:31
And Zelenskyy is able to keep the war going for another 3-4 years easily
2025-04-02 11:46:26
He can’t win without US support but can certainly keep fighting.
2025-04-03 17:03:17
Gonna buy this last minute as he rugs us all here
2025-04-03 19:28:15
More like 20% of circulating supply, est 100b before the market front runs the US Gov
2025-04-03 20:18:43
Zelensky: Ceasefire is possible within weeks [link removed]
2025-04-04 17:43:59
I got lots of bids plz fill me
2025-04-04 17:48:34
Deadline moved 75 days, annoying when you want a fast payout
2025-04-04 20:22:21
Apparently he said he will sign it so not signed yet but there is no way it will resolve to yes with that background
2025-04-04 20:27:17
Yeah I should probably buy some more No
2025-04-04 20:36:55
They don’t publish them immediately so it might already be signed
2025-04-04 20:39:04
Likely already signed, if it’s not online by tomorrow night will probably be disputed and EO unbanning TikTok will be up by the time dispute is over
2025-04-07 14:39:37
where he "explicitly" states that he intentionally caused a stock market crash.
2025-04-07 20:19:23
He needs to explicitly say it, "we knew the market would go down" is not enough
2025-04-09 18:17:35
Resolve?
2025-04-11 11:31:25
Ever heard of the risk free rate? You dont simply downgrade the risk free rate
2025-04-13 18:49:38
Houthis just launched rockets at Israel, they don’t seem to be in the mood for negotiations
2025-04-16 07:39:27
New arrest: [link removed]
2025-04-17 05:50:34
So they only need to cave to one demand to resolve to yes, and could easily make a deal to get money back and accept some of his demands
2025-04-17 18:40:28
He has asked SCOTUS to assess whether he can fire Powell so I believe something is in the works
2025-04-17 19:25:58
[link removed]
2025-04-18 20:22:45
Ever tried crocodile tail filet? Nice croc
2025-04-19 16:56:16
Bodo Glimit should really be the favourite vs Spurs lol
2025-04-21 08:32:44
Europe has been correct for 98% of all popes since medieval times, pretty safe bet to buy at 70-80
2025-04-21 08:45:04
Possible but unlikely. Hence buying Europe at 70-80 should be good risk/reward. Would buy asia at 3-4 pct but not africa
2025-04-21 12:24:02
Houthis did not stop the last time there was a ceasefire, and by drawing the wrath of the West by attacking shipping they are drawing domestic attention away from the horrible humanitarian situation and gaining lots of popular support. Fairly confident in this one but it is certainly possible hence not taking huge positions. @denizz curious to hear ur intel on the Yes position
2025-04-21 12:42:22
I did the job but will try to get some shares before publishing my results
2025-04-21 13:34:38
And Peter Turksson
2025-04-23 05:41:28
Because he is senile and old
2025-04-23 08:02:51
Because if Bodo Glimt wins i make around 20% profit on my total investment and if Spurs win I make a -2% loss, and I believe the chances are around 50/50 which gives me a very positive EV
2025-04-25 09:02:13
[link removed]
2025-04-25 13:39:55
Did they change this from Is Kanye Gay?
2025-04-25 14:16:43
If Trumps plane crashes, imma lose a bunch of money
2025-04-25 15:15:23
Maybe if it crashes right into the funeral I might be able to argue for a yes
2025-04-26 13:36:13
The comittee are super anti trump and forcing Ukraine to surrender will hardly gain him any popularity
2025-04-26 14:06:24
https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pardon-in-2025 Lets continue playing on this one as there are not much time left here
2025-04-26 14:16:18
Agreed
2025-04-28 10:45:34
but youre a crocodile
2025-04-28 12:01:50
She will be found guilty eventually but maybe not within the timeframe
2025-04-28 12:08:46
The prize is given by a comittee not the sitting government, the comittee has previously given prizes that has hurt Norway foregin polticis - IE. they do not give a shit if they please or displease trump.
2025-05-01 11:12:59
Papal elections are really unpredictable historically, and there are a lot more candidates not listed. Would say any candidate over 5% is overpriced hence buying the sub 1% and going No on the favourites
2025-05-01 18:34:42
Yes, the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations is part of the presidential administration. The position is a high-ranking diplomatic role appointed by the President and confirmed by the Senate. The ambassador serves as a key member of the administration’s foreign policy team, representing U.S. interests at the UN and reporting to the President through the Secretary of State. The role is often considered a Cabinet-level position, depending on the administration, reflecting its significance in shaping and executing U.S. foreign policy.
2025-05-06 14:14:58
Respect to BobbyKnuckles if he actually wins this lol
2025-05-06 17:18:19
[link removed]
2025-05-06 17:38:38
But the market is wheter Houthis stand down, not USA
2025-05-06 18:44:17
Someone plz dispute, this is too early. Twitter is full of Houthi denials, too early for sure.
2025-05-22 14:59:06
get a job
2025-06-01 13:53:51
Some guy who really loves him is betting a lot on yes. Look at his other bets.
2025-06-22 00:07:15
Resolve?
2025-06-24 14:50:28
There was a ceasefire which lasted not that long, there is enough for Yes regardless of if the ceasefire is cancelled
2025-06-24 17:21:18
Anyone betting Yes don’t understand who is in the committee , free money
2025-06-25 13:43:48
Leftist comittee was in love with Obama but they hate the donald
2025-06-26 17:42:08
Not if you read a simple bio of the committee members
2025-06-26 18:09:15
Yeah it’s free money, been able to get big fills at insane cheap price past days
2025-07-01 16:13:01
yes plz fill me
2025-07-03 21:13:30
AP historically always overperforms vs polls as they have a very strong campaigning organisation, and they are quite far ahead on all the polls, H also started attacking FRP to stop leaking to them.. fairly confident
2025-07-14 10:50:51
someone bought 4k yes
2025-08-06 07:11:26
[link removed]
2025-08-09 09:52:45
You obviously don’t know who is giving out the prize.
2025-08-10 13:31:40
Would qualify him for next year
2025-08-10 14:29:21
Nope, Norwegian socialist party led comitte would twist it to say trump had no part in it
2025-08-11 04:52:05
But neither of those cause severe symptoms of TDS in the committee members
2025-08-27 06:06:55
[link removed]
2025-08-29 13:30:25
did not age well
2025-09-08 19:29:50
For those that dont know - the results publishet as of now are based on the early votes. Looking at the 2021 early votes vs election day votes, MDG and R significantly underperforms in election day votes wheras AP / H / FRP / KRF are better or equal. Still hope for Erna led government if SP flips to the blue block or MDG and R underperform in the election day votes. We will know in a few hours.
2025-09-08 19:42:32
Possible - current mixup requires MDG and R to veto everything and SP has more in common with H, KRF and FRP than them. The negotiations will be tough
2025-09-08 19:43:03
[link removed] See the 2021 early votes vs election day votes here BTW
2025-09-21 16:33:37
Meta cant buy it as they are fighting a monopoly case with the FTC and their strongest argument against being a social media monopoly is TikTok
2025-10-04 15:57:36
More time value at that point
2025-10-05 12:12:02
thanks for your donation
2025-10-05 13:56:55
Resolves No on Friday
2025-10-05 15:31:00
Yup some good opps will come this week, been filling up a lot and hope to get some more shares before friday
2025-10-06 07:23:43
He says a lot of stuff
2025-10-06 13:11:12
get a job bro
2025-10-06 13:58:04
She is quite unpopular in Norway
2025-10-07 18:15:30
plz donate more, ill buy more no
2025-10-07 19:03:29
Deputy chair of the comittee, Asle Toje has publicly said Greta should be deported and expelled from Norway.
2025-10-08 08:50:17
He said it on Wolfgang Wee podcast. Search spotify for Asle Toje, Wolfgang wee podcast and u will find it
2025-10-08 18:14:08
Better to bet on No's as its likely the winner is not listed
2025-10-09 10:35:24
The comittee decided on monday btw
2025-10-10 06:59:14
427 dollars and u are rich yes
2025-10-10 09:20:27
2026 market now plz
2025-10-14 16:14:05
Can someone also give me money, I am also very poor and need money for cocaine and hookers
2026-01-02 11:00:37
Google Beit Jinn Dec 3. Strike - seems there was an unnoticed strike in addition to the resolved Libanon strikes
2026-01-02 12:00:52
you can't resolve a market based on events that happened before market creation
2026-01-02 13:17:21
Yeah they don't need cope
2026-01-02 16:46:56
Saw a yes holder with 100k USDC, hope he clears the orderbook
2026-01-02 21:12:59
dont click suspicious links in the comments guys
2026-01-02 23:11:49
Yes side has $24k value Iocked vs $13m for No side, i am sure your combined buying power can compete
2026-01-02 23:25:31
Clearly special needs, thanks for the donations
2026-01-03 19:32:19
"risking"
2026-01-03 20:27:07
It's a great way to gain X followers
2026-01-04 00:29:56
Yes is winning ! OMG , please fill me guys
2026-01-04 09:34:30
24h after reveal phase starts
2026-01-04 18:30:17
Its not happening, just some dumb buys
2026-01-06 22:02:11
sometime between mid feb to july
2026-01-07 22:45:14
you don't, thats why we are betting
2026-01-08 14:47:01
dont ruin the fills
2026-01-08 15:07:13
So nothing happened but Polymarket added an implicit prediction based on the odds, lower brackets gets bonded, and the implicit prediction goes up, so higher brackets get bonded, all while nothing underlying happened
2026-01-09 13:26:22
predicted price is influenced by the brackets and the brackets are influenced by the predicted price, its really a nonsensical feedback loop
2026-01-09 23:46:05
In case you didn’t know, you need money to play this game
2026-01-10 09:47:30
yup someone can propose
2026-01-10 09:47:52
or let the somalia strike market resolve first
2026-01-15 19:42:51
cuz u keep defrauding tax payers
2026-01-15 20:51:37
it was there , we all saw it
2026-01-15 21:24:35
we all saw it and the RSS is still there, can be proposed
2026-01-15 21:35:30
US africa command posted that they bombed somalia yesterday
2026-01-15 21:41:42
this market was created on the 13th and the strike was 14th, its over
2026-01-15 21:58:50
Its in the RSS and it was announced, its sufficient, posted and deleted has resolved to Yes before (GOOGL) so don't waste your money disputing
2026-01-18 16:34:51
FYI [link removed]
2026-01-21 19:36:42
and its over
2026-01-22 16:35:26
How can anyone vote for Illan Omar_
2026-01-23 16:19:12
your dms aint open
2026-01-23 17:54:51
gluck getting filled
2026-01-23 17:55:49
yeah true i should let the tards out to try but i am always struggeling with being too kind and toughful
2026-01-23 18:12:23
close, will be a new one after
2026-01-23 19:24:10
its after the strike not after the announcement
2026-01-25 07:00:14
tell me what to search, wont open a link
2026-01-27 17:29:47
if you think the chance is 30-50% u ought to buy some shares
2026-01-28 16:26:16
bro got filled at 2c its fucking unfair
2026-01-28 18:29:11
Id say there is a 25% chance it was staged and a 0.5% chance this can resolve Yes
2026-01-28 18:31:36
[link removed] see evidence
2026-01-28 18:51:22
probably 50% chance she staged it but still neglible chance this can resolve as Yes
2026-01-28 18:54:17
different time of market creation
2026-01-28 18:59:20
more like 87.5% chance i am an idiot but honestly look at the video and the background of the guy
2026-01-29 17:31:15
Why is ventura tanking? Can u guys buy some more ventura plz i need more cheaper shars
2026-01-29 21:30:49
Feel free to propose
2026-01-30 18:24:50
yes please fill me
2026-01-31 13:26:50
never stop dreaming
2026-01-31 14:01:40
u might be cookin bro, fill me!
2026-01-31 20:45:51
and most of the athletes who won for norway in previous years are retired now
2026-02-01 08:22:05
you are retarded
2026-02-01 08:42:19
You just need like 20k to clear the buy wall! When Trump sees that, he will change his mind and Judy will be FED chair !
2026-02-01 09:07:35
Trump is considered unreliable
2026-02-03 10:24:43
Nah I am baiting u guys to donate more money
2026-02-05 19:34:56
WHITE HOUSE PRESS SECRETARY LEAVITT SAYS THE ADMINISTRATION IS WILLING TO DISCUSS SOME DEMOCRAT DEMANDS ON DHS
2026-02-06 20:22:40
wish i had more free liquidity a few hoursa go
2026-02-07 11:10:39
31. Dec will happen for sure but price gonna go lower
2026-02-08 15:04:11
Scapegoat
2026-02-09 19:55:23
quieter than usual xD
2026-02-10 18:32:46
if you post $750 in escrow and take the loss if its false
2026-02-12 14:47:00
Dear Yes gang
2026-02-12 19:15:54
god bless you sir
2026-02-12 20:30:29
is that why ur dumping ur Yes pos from ur alt?
2026-02-12 20:34:00
this is car and he is now dumping his pos, wp though
2026-02-21 18:19:49
Rules are satisfied and she was literally in the documentary
2026-02-22 09:52:22
Can we get below 96c fills again? Thx
2026-02-24 16:26:57
free money
2026-02-28 14:25:03
Goes no
2026-03-01 07:47:25
14h + 2h resolution presuming nobody disputes
2026-03-01 18:36:07
If the strikes began on the 22nd and ended on the 26th, there was at least one strike on the 22th and at least one strike on the 26th which is before Iran and after market creation. If the Iran strike was on the 25th or 26th, Iran would win
2026-03-01 20:40:47
Joined: Jan 2026, Pnl: -$1000 , balance: $77
Ya, imma take investment advice from you
2026-03-02 21:15:31
i want what ur smokin
2026-03-03 14:30:15
ur in for a rough one
2026-03-04 16:17:34
how u holding up pal
2026-03-04 17:39:52
One last pump!
2026-03-04 19:12:34
timestamp?
2026-03-05 14:36:39
fill me
2026-03-05 18:50:48
blood in the water
2026-03-06 10:08:19
about to be -16k
2026-03-06 10:59:14
so start buying
2026-03-06 21:03:50
ur scamming does not seem to be going very well
2026-03-08 13:41:03
iran paid foxtrot to do it
2026-03-09 12:26:54
BREAKING: Turkiye warns of 'decisive' measures to protect territory after latest ballistic missile incident
2026-03-09 19:07:06
sell a kidney
2026-03-09 19:07:27
sell you kidney and gamble more
2026-03-10 10:59:07
dispute then
2026-03-10 12:40:21
o reports of direct impacts or injuries from the latest Iranian ballistic missile attack on Israel.... the third today.
2026-03-10 12:51:10
aparently the data is out so
2026-03-10 19:54:14
because its already decided
2026-03-10 19:57:30
yes, its a formality to wait 3 days while milking idiots
2026-03-15 10:27:37
he got banned in the comments
2026-03-16 12:57:38
it will count
2026-03-16 23:04:39
its called splitting shares to get a delta neutral position which generates interest
2026-03-20 10:41:44
I would like to see that savings account
2026-03-21 09:41:19
yeah i think it will definitively go below 250
2026-03-24 19:48:54
market manipulation
2026-03-25 12:55:31
yeah buddy I believe the Islamic Resistance in Iraq, they sound like a credible source
2026-03-27 16:37:14
evidence
2026-03-28 10:16:58
PSA: COMMENTS BELOW ARE SCAM - DO NOT CLICK THEIR LINKS OR YOUR MONEY WILL BE STOLEN
2026-03-28 10:35:53
DONT CLICK THE LINK IN THE COMMENTS BELOW - MALWARE WHICH WILL STEAL YOUR MONEY
2026-03-28 12:09:06
None
2026-03-28 13:05:03
SCAM BELOW - DO NOT CLICK LINKS IN THE COMMENT SECTION
2026-03-28 18:29:29
its way too high, the only reason to take kharg is donald's ego, its strategically and tactically really stupid
2026-03-29 09:33:23
scam in the comment below
Don't click the links
2026-03-30 09:20:38
bofa never got lead underwriter - its always MS / GS, the reporting said Bofa will get lead role for retail distribution, not for the entire thing
2026-04-02 22:58:58
POTUS is not a consensus of credible reporting
2026-04-03 15:30:45
yeah this wont qualify alone
2026-04-07 17:14:15
disagree
2026-04-07 17:35:59
Nah - There will be no ceasefire today , but there might be announced direct talks / vance goes to Pakistan, that would pump the later strikes and kill todays pump
2026-04-09 10:08:07
Goes No
2026-04-09 19:28:27
basic reading comprehension
2026-04-09 19:28:38
read fuck sake
2026-04-09 19:33:31
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
2026-04-09 19:33:54
this happened before during easter and is not a Yes
2026-04-09 19:35:43
reading comprehension is such an edge
2026-04-09 19:40:10
its a humanitarian pause, sorry bud
2026-04-09 20:08:40
go propose
2026-04-10 11:28:45
provide reporting and/or government statements and you can resolve it to Yes
2026-04-22 09:44:02
it wont
2026-04-27 09:46:02
United Russia has 311 seats not 324, and they will get 350-360
2026-05-06 12:52:10
buy more yes - how many do you want at 5c ? I can provide liq
2026-05-14 05:23:24
Aint nobody going to watch that
2026-05-14 06:06:19
you are getting rinsed, that is what is going on
2026-05-14 10:21:11
if you think its gonna happen why are you convincing the comments instead of farming more?
2026-05-14 11:23:42
yes
2026-05-14 12:03:06
bro u gotta stop being rinsed
2026-05-15 12:14:05
Strategy expects to fund the Repurchases with available cash reserves, proceeds from sales of securities under its at-the-market offering program, and/or proceeds from the sale of bitcoin.
2026-05-15 12:36:29
[link removed]
Will settle on may 19
2026-05-15 13:45:03
its essensially confirmed
2026-05-15 14:39:13
come on gunnar slam the book
2026-05-15 14:41:35
[link removed]
2026-05-15 14:42:24
see saylors latest tweet and read the 8-k form
they will sell bitcoin to fund the repurchase
2026-05-15 16:11:39
[link removed]
2026-05-16 17:21:07
kukubaja DM me on X
2026-05-26 10:50:35
just sign the fucking paper donald
2026-05-26 16:15:11
iran insists on "end the war" - it will be end of the war if we get the MOU
2026-05-26 16:29:23
🚫CLAIM: Recent media reporting claims that the U.S. Navy has restarted escorting or assisting commercial vessels during transits through the Strait of Hormuz. FALSE.
✅TRUTH: Project Freedom has not resumed, and U.S. forces are not currently escorting commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz.
2026-05-27 15:39:08
MOU will include that it will "permanently end the war on all fronts" and therefore resolve Yes
2026-06-02 09:06:36
yeah its a scam and shitty resolution, but the clarification is final so you are burning your money
2026-06-02 11:50:53
because the outcome (which i disagree with, it should be yes) is already decided, you are burning your money
2026-06-02 12:12:04
you realise MOU will qualify as nuclear deal?
2026-06-06 10:48:17
SIGN THE FUCKING PAPER DONALD
INK ON PAPER
2026-06-06 11:23:27
MOU will qualify under these rules just FYI
2026-06-06 12:58:18
yes, and as long as the MOU says "end the war" which the Iranians insist on , this goes Yes :)
2026-06-06 15:07:08
ANOTHER CRACK AT BIDEN PLZ
2026-06-06 16:00:11
IRAN CAN NEVER HAVE A NUCLEAR WEAPON
2026-06-06 19:32:36
life as a turkey
2026-06-06 19:46:46
FILL ME
2026-06-06 19:52:25
lets go brandon !
2026-06-07 07:51:04
he is winning 4 sure
2026-06-08 16:27:23
SIGN THE DEAL DONALD
2026-06-08 20:34:50
i dont think she has a chance
2026-06-09 13:38:44
read the rules, any agreement including the word nuclear will qualify
2026-06-12 07:12:20
MOU will likely be enough as it will say "end the war" but ya there is cuck risk
2026-06-12 07:12:47
would not be too confident that it wont count
2026-06-12 07:13:10
SUPREME INVISIBLE BASEMENT DWELLER AND ORANGE TARD PLZ SIGN THE DEAL
2026-06-12 07:20:24
THEN SLAM NO
2026-06-12 08:27:52
does not have to be a final agreement, just that the war is definitively ended which is likely to be included in the text
2026-06-12 08:40:11
PUMP IT BABY
2026-06-12 14:46:37
life of a turkey
2026-06-12 15:42:36
have you considered that it might be you who does not get it?
2026-06-12 16:48:58
fill me bro
2026-06-12 17:17:46
if it says end the war it will count
2026-06-12 18:31:31
gluck
2026-06-12 18:49:09
slam it
2026-06-13 05:01:50
gluck buddy
2026-06-13 06:49:11
its time to double down
2026-06-13 07:40:38
SIGN THE DEAL MOJTABA
2026-06-13 12:38:07
will count 90% sure
2026-06-13 15:13:20
buy more no, i will buy 20k at 50c if u want
2026-06-13 15:56:40
i am sure you can find a lawyer priced such that its +EV to pay for lawyer to recover $700
2026-06-13 16:10:45
SUPREME INVISIBLE BASEMENT DWELLER PLZ SIGN THE DEAL
2026-06-13 18:01:41
buy more
2026-06-13 18:05:44
instructions unclear - fullported Judy Shelton next fed chair Yes
2026-06-14 10:10:54
u will cry
2026-06-14 11:10:57
SIGN THE DEAL MOJTABA
2026-06-14 11:11:21
STOP BOMBING SO I CAN PROFIT PLZ MR BIBI
2026-06-14 11:51:20
it just needs to say that the war is ended for this to count
2026-06-14 12:30:45
gm
2026-06-14 19:05:07
chad
2026-06-14 20:21:07
yes
2026-06-14 20:21:17
on zoom
2026-06-14 22:06:30
PEACE
2026-06-15 09:22:02
have u even read the rules and not just the title? u are dimwitted
2026-06-15 09:22:58
aekghas got the ANOIN treatment
2026-06-15 09:37:16
always listen to smeagol
2026-06-15 09:40:41
get rekt bear , learn to read
2026-06-15 09:41:16
wholesome cat not farming
2026-06-16 06:28:29
you must be dim witted - thank you for your donation
2026-06-17 07:53:00
go propose im happy to dispoot
2026-06-18 08:33:34
seeing your counterparty use output from an AI they have instructed to read rules in their favour is extremely bullish
2026-06-18 09:26:58
ok -7k
2026-06-18 14:29:16
imagine rebecca wins
2026-06-18 15:58:47
thanks for the donation! Much appreciated
2026-06-18 17:42:10
you are not risking, you are donating
2026-06-22 11:59:31
ya its a good longshot
2026-06-22 15:37:12
imagine donald fixes the matches and i lose 30k
2026-06-24 15:34:25
its fucking happening rn
2026-06-24 15:34:39
BEARS TO GO GULAG
2026-06-24 15:52:55
yuge exodus of ships
2026-06-24 15:53:02
BULLISH
2026-06-24 15:56:59
can someone buy my bag for june 30 at 99.8c thx
2026-06-25 12:32:15
BEARS GET REKT
TURKEYS GONNA TURKEY
2026-06-30 12:58:43
if your FV is 50 why arent u buying it to at least 25?
2026-07-01 12:55:30
norway is lower than before they won vs ivory coast which is crazy
2026-07-02 07:38:58
vanquish keep slamming bro
2026-07-02 07:54:57
can u add mor liq at 95c
2026-07-02 11:13:52
you do realise we are stabilised at 20 ships per day now and the 24-27 dont count?
2026-07-02 13:17:54
we had three days of high traffic last week which june 30 resolved on, then irgc started shooting and now we are at 15-25 per day stable since saturday, lower today than yesterday, id say it has a 50-60% chance of hitting if we get any improvements
2026-07-02 19:00:03
gm, just chillin and watching the shiptraffic. Looks like there arent many ships since last saturday
2026-07-02 19:03:21
considering he has zero shares i would presume he wont
2026-07-02 19:30:59
he might hence i got 7300 shares of july 3
2026-07-03 05:05:43
it was like a long time ago when she posted on X that she was about to fly to venezuela
2026-07-03 18:26:51
no, thank you !
2026-07-03 19:06:24
very well played
2026-07-05 11:30:10
can we have more at 10c?
2026-07-06 06:04:06
thanks for the donation
2026-07-06 19:24:38
If you see a comment talking about weather bots
Its a scam
if you google it, and go to the site they say, its a wallet drainer and they will steal your money
Please report these comments and stay safe
2026-07-07 12:37:06
whos alt
2026-07-08 07:23:45
niggel wil never win this
2026-07-11 18:29:51
Haaland will pillage you all
2026-07-18 15:20:04
lmk what u want bro im always willing to provide liq for a +ev bet
2026-07-19 19:36:19
the dead cannot die
2026-07-20 14:21:50
chad
2026-07-20 15:25:45
in contested waters , soldiers fighting with injuries
2026-07-21 12:25:45
its if the ceasefire starts by date x
So if they stop shooting by july 24, we get 2 weeks to wait to see if they start shooting again
if they start shooting again it goes no
2026-07-21 12:30:46
slam it
2026-07-23 13:14:36
lets hope - we get mayor escalation for sure but they already closed a bunch in the south and west so idk why they would close the east
2026-07-27 07:47:22
because they stopped shooting on 24. and havent started again (yet)
2026-08-06 09:00:17
lift the blockade donald
2026-08-06 09:00:24
make love not blockade
2026-08-16 19:12:41
slam it bro
2026-08-30 21:05:24
REPORT FROM IRAN: Tehran’s Mehrabad Airport has been closed until further notice.
2026-08-31 13:13:52
trust in gopfan