Account Information
Name:
Milin-dc
Bio:
Las 5 y no he comido
Pseudonym:
Golden-Chivalry
Created:
2026-03-22 22:31:23
Last Activity:
3 weeks ago
Tier:
Tier 0
profile-image-6884922-ff892374-b6e3-41d9-b6be-a23df4e90ce5.png
Total Profit
$1,016
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$8,594.13
Markets traded
1,248
Trades
1,248
Largest win
$103.46
Profile views
288
Join date
2026-03-22 22:31:23
All-time rank
79161
All-time PnL
$1,016.20
All-time volume
$284,088.69
All-time profit
$1,016.20
Lifetime volume
$284,088.69
PnL series latest
$1,799.90
PnL series start
$1,769.56
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$280.45
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 27 2026? | Yes | 181.4913 | $86.27 |
| Chirayu Rana divorced? | Yes | 205.6818 | $73.57 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026? | Yes | 170 | $72.31 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | No | 170 | $-137.15 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026? | No | 847.5437 | $-113.10 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026? | No | 326 | $-99.66 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1000.001 | $0.81 | $0.84 | $845.00 | $37.32 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 499.9978 | $0.97 | $0.99 | $497.25 | $10.81 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 498.9539 | $0.80 | $0.83 | $414.13 | $12.93 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.93 | $0.94 | $378.00 | $6.49 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? | No | 400.0017 | $0.84 | $0.93 | $372.00 | $34.21 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 27 2026? | Yes | 181.4913 | $86.27 |
| Chirayu Rana divorced? | Yes | 205.6818 | $73.57 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026? | Yes | 170 | $72.31 |
| LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | No | 205.0549 | $72.17 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30? | Up | 460.9 | $71.52 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | $0.84 | 1.05 | $0.88 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | US recession by end of 2026? | No | $0.93 | 50 | $46.50 |
| 3 weeks ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 0.0437 | $0.04 | |||
| 3 weeks ago | REWARD | $0.00 | 7.0944 | $7.09 | |||
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | $0.81 | 11.07 | $8.97 |
Recent trades (1248)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | SELL | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | Yes | $0.08 | 20 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 25, 2026? | Yes | $0.42 | 20 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on September 25, 2026? | Yes | $0.19 | 20 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | Up | $0.32 | 20 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | $0.81 | 30 |
Comments
2026-03-30 16:57:30
In march its imposible, the want to negotiate first, and they need more planning for that
2026-03-31 19:00:04
well. +100 its better than -1K
2026-04-01 09:36:44
looks like car is ready to sell
2026-04-01 19:46:20
This market only requires to initate the withdrawal.
2026-04-03 15:57:12
Here we go again 😂😂
2026-04-05 13:28:21
So it will resolve "NO"
2026-04-11 16:07:33
I don't think they're in much of a hurry.
2026-04-12 10:46:28
You literally have the link to the sources in the rules.
2026-04-12 12:38:04
what do you mean?
2026-04-13 18:59:33
If UN doesn't change it...
2026-04-15 20:49:41
Then attend the meeting; they'll surely pay you more for being there than for your $100 bet.
2026-04-15 20:59:19
dont kwno, bot before the o'clock no will go up
2026-04-15 21:04:33
joking?
2026-04-15 21:25:53
bonk3rs you need to sell higher and buy lower. Hope that helps
2026-04-15 21:28:22
well, now the went out...
2026-04-15 21:29:01
masive NO buy of Erasmus and dropper
2026-04-15 21:39:15
this market rules by israeli time, it's over
2026-04-15 21:39:55
doesnt matter for april 15, day is over in israel, read the rules. NO its free money
2026-04-15 21:46:55
it doesn't matter if its tomorrow or now, the time has already ended. Rules says israel time.
2026-04-17 09:29:34
Well, its not 5 days, the negotiations have been taking place for several days now.
2026-04-17 22:15:20
YES april 7 should be ore likely than YES 15 april. If its an strike before 21 both fail, but if there is a strike in 23, 24... April 7 will resolve YES and April 15 will resolve NO. Where am I wrong?
2026-04-18 06:54:28
Well, now it looks i was right
2026-04-18 21:14:00
Of course
2026-04-19 08:54:00
Why dont you sell the 7 and buy the 15? Its much more likely and its the same price. If they don't breake the ceasefire by 21-22, the 7 it's yes but the 15 can be NO.
2026-04-21 20:19:17
None
2026-04-22 10:06:51
Man it´s imposible this month. A naval invasion isn't a game.
2026-04-22 18:51:47
It's not about the ability to take the island. It's the logistics, the number of Patriot systems you'd need to divert to that area just to defend your troops, while Iran would resume bombing the Gulf countries... all for nothing, since they can't move from there and are within artillery range. After the ceasefire, Iran has been able to regroup; it would require a few more days of suppression. The occupation of Kjarg will only happen if they plan a deeper campaign in Iran, probably seeking to control the entire coast, to try to secure control of the strait. However, this would require a much larger escalation, as well as mobilizing more troops and resources.
2026-04-26 00:58:21
That was last week, why is resolving now?
2026-04-30 18:46:48
A classic in the human mind: if we don't know something, it's been manipulated.
2026-05-01 19:58:22
The market isn't about the military operation, it's about Trump's official statements
2026-05-01 20:01:35
yes
2026-05-01 20:15:27
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and OFFICIALY ANOUNCE that their military operations against Iran..." "OFFICIALY ANOUNCE"
2026-05-01 20:49:47
what do you mean by scam? it's obviously yes
2026-05-01 22:45:18
why the spike? i mean its obviously yes but tehre is time yet to dispute
2026-05-02 08:45:03
Be careful, the market decides based on the ships reported by IMF Portwatch, which usually counts fewer.
2026-05-02 09:02:14
Sorry man, but it wasn't after
2026-05-02 16:10:16
I'm sure they updated it before because you filled out my order, which I placed when I saw it. Maybe you didn't refresh the page. Good luck next time, I'm the king of these kinds of mistakes too.
2026-05-03 12:03:13
bet for teh deal instead, its cheaper
2026-05-05 23:12:24
u re selling
2026-05-07 18:35:34
I think they are trading the inevitable..
2026-05-08 21:40:48
You haven't lost it yet, wait and see what happens
2026-05-09 12:12:04
We need June 🔱🔱🔥🔥
2026-05-14 11:17:32
I hope your life gets better
2026-05-14 14:07:58
None
2026-05-15 09:23:10
for one day
2026-05-15 10:35:22
rules, rules, rules, rules, rules, rules, rules, rules, rules...
2026-05-15 10:48:20
Which futures contract are you looking at?
2026-05-15 10:50:01
Advice: Read the rules
2026-05-15 10:56:39
You're looking at the wrong contract.
2026-05-15 12:07:49
You may have scrolled down to the comments section to ask why issue 105 hasn't been resolved yet, demand a resolution, or report the scam. You're looking at the wrong futures contract; you should be looking at CLN2026. Don't make crazy bets. Thanks for your attention to this matter.
2026-05-15 12:15:25
Memorial Day
2026-05-15 12:19:33
Everyone in the comments is asking why it hasn't been resolved yet...
2026-05-18 10:21:01
People have been calling for elections for years, and the disastrous regional results are no surprise. Elections are coming soon, in 2027. As time goes on, the less sense it makes to try to achieve a vote of no confidence (something that would be almost impossible, because the parties that would have to initiate it are unwilling to take such action)
2026-05-20 15:53:25
This is legally impossible this year
2026-05-20 19:57:40
No, the market is about whether he will be SENTENCED to prison: "if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET"
2026-05-20 20:14:47
What are you saying? He bought $2,000 worth of stock for March and sold $1,000 worth of stock for June.
2026-05-23 16:28:23
"Yes" needs 420
2026-05-24 02:03:37
The real question is What if they make a deal about resolving the question in the next 60 days (for example)? Is that a nuclear deal? or we have to wait till the real deal?
2026-05-25 10:25:18
they are making very weird rules here. now its 8 days
2026-05-25 13:22:48
Add 2027 🙏🙏
2026-05-25 14:21:09
condena le acabará cayendo no muy tarde, pero este año es imposible por los tiempos judiciales... este mercado es bastante absurdo desde su creación.
2026-05-26 00:48:33
shit
2026-05-26 15:58:08
"The U.S. Navy has resumed escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz under a renewed “Project Freedom” mission.
A Greek supertanker carrying two million barrels of crude was recently guided through the route after being stranded in the Gulf since March.
The Navy is expected to assist about a dozen more vessels, including tankers and container ships, in the coming days.
Source: WSJ"
2026-05-26 22:39:25
where do you get those numbers from? there is no data published
2026-05-31 11:05:26
6% is higher tha 5.5% 🤣
2026-05-31 19:22:44
try limit orders man
2026-06-01 13:36:36
WOW. Crazy, Polymarket needs more high-frequency traders
2026-06-06 18:10:57
Money is money. No points for style.
2026-06-08 10:27:13
6 meses? fueron más de dos años entre el 90 (captura) y el 92 (sentencia), no?
2026-06-09 09:28:54
i she wins we can say "they" manipulated the elections to win their bets
2026-06-13 09:40:28
pre war level is way more than 60 ships
2026-06-14 22:06:33
That makes YES more likely
2026-06-17 00:30:50
Under what logic is "oil sanction relief" resolving and not "unfreeze Iranian assets"?
2026-06-26 12:26:23
Logistical problems will be resolved via a drone airdrops; the operation will be called "Operation Winter Storm."
2026-06-27 09:16:02
Im joking
2026-06-27 09:32:20
I’m not so convinced about our position. The "Yes" is overvalued, but don't you think there might be some probability? An act of sabotage in Crimean territory, with Ukrainian soldiers entering + the IWS going crazy and marking it in blue.
2026-06-27 10:33:00
Y Bonilla?
2026-06-28 15:32:19
An agreement was reached that sought lasting peace, regardless of whether that peace actually materializes. The rules were clear, though not particularly sensible and not as clear as they are now.
2026-06-28 19:44:04
The IWS is not reliable, just sabotages and hit-n-runs may be used to paint it blue for one day.
2026-07-06 21:05:02
easiest buy low sell high ever
2026-07-08 22:34:22
"A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify."
2026-07-11 13:02:03
And it was, although obviously it wasn't going to be fulfilled.
2026-07-12 22:22:39
No way
2026-07-13 22:34:27
no, a no ser de que traten de controlar algún territorio por un tiempo
2026-07-13 23:02:18
They did it once in June. As a warning and a form of pressure.
2026-07-16 13:25:16
The real war is in the comments.
2026-07-17 11:37:07
Copy trading made my **** grow an inch
2026-07-22 08:43:05
All these islands have a better chance than Kharg—if there is any chance at all...
2026-07-26 12:57:54
still cheap
2026-08-04 11:53:18
They changed their vendor agreement so they wouldn't have to indemnify the vendors, and the state will subsidize them; they aren't going to go bankrupt.
2026-08-06 13:15:41
You have no idea; he'll do it to distract from midterms
2026-09-08 22:53:34
500 rewards don't seem to help much with the spread.
2026-09-21 16:14:03
"In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position."
2026-09-28 21:43:42
Scams are becoming increasingly creative.