Account Information
Name:
estuprador
Pseudonym:
Sure-Footed-Interest
Created:
2026-03-26 22:52:40
Last Activity:
2 weeks ago
Tier:
Tier 0
profile-image-6983630-52ef236f-3dc2-4928-b0f4-7acba2859456.png
Total Profit
$2,888
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$17,572.01
Markets traded
203
Trades
203
Largest win
$372.78
Profile views
2,963
Join date
2026-03-26 22:52:40
All-time rank
39595
All-time PnL
$2,887.75
All-time volume
$576,351.08
All-time profit
$2,887.75
Lifetime volume
$576,351.08
PnL series latest
$2,865.05
PnL series start
$2,799.39
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$16.52
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale? | No | 2171.9288 | $489.64 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 37026.0033 | $372.56 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26) | Yes | 499.9499 | $250.44 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video? | Yes | 100 | $-85.45 |
| Will the number of US flights delayed on April 6 be between 6,500 and 7,000? | Yes | 220.53 | $-81.89 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 4459.28 | $-81.50 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by August 31? | No | 9999.9997 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $9,955.00 | $15.00 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7087.4241 | $0.92 | $0.95 | $6,740.14 | $187.56 |
| Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November? | No | 456.9 | $0.90 | $0.91 | $413.49 | $0.61 |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 195.3036 | $0.88 | $0.94 | $184.56 | $12.67 |
| Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.88 | $0.96 | $95.75 | $8.15 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale? | No | 2171.9288 | $489.64 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 37026.0033 | $372.56 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26) | Yes | 499.9499 | $250.44 |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 10? | Yes | 1605.6066 | $247.94 |
| Will Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event? | Yes | 493.3406 | $247.13 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.95 | 40 | $38.08 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.95 | 76 | $72.35 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.95 | 40 | $38.08 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.95 | 5.07 | $4.83 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.95 | 76 | $72.35 |
Recent trades (203)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 weeks ago | SELL | Trump out as President by August 31? | No | $1.00 | 1011.61 |
| 2 weeks ago | BUY | Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November? | No | $0.94 | 200 |
| 1 month ago | SELL | New pandemic in 2026? | No | $0.94 | 1500 |
| 1 month ago | SELL | New pandemic in 2026? | No | $0.94 | 1350 |
| 1 month ago | SELL | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.90 | 1100 |
Comments
2026-04-04 00:22:41
None
2026-04-09 12:15:36
Total delays within, into, or out of the United States: 6531
2026-04-09 13:18:39
not sure how this will resolve, but I think a 50/50 makes sense since the data was available but never checked
2026-04-09 13:25:42
shouldn't it have been proposed earlier? the rules don't say what should happen in the current scenario
2026-04-09 13:31:37
the rules say it will resolve to the lowest bracket if the source is unavailable, but the source data was available since other brackets were verified
2026-04-09 13:51:41
they can't determine the number because the rules don't specify what happens if no one proposes, and the data was available, so this should be canceled
2026-04-09 13:54:32
why would the lowest bracket prevail? there is nothing in the rules stating that will happen if the number is not checked
2026-04-09 13:56:23
rules refer to the source being unavailable, which is not the case
2026-04-23 18:37:48
None
2026-05-15 17:30:53
😂
2026-05-20 18:52:25
O FUTURO É GLORISO! O PRESENTE É GLORIOSO! QUE MOMENTO!
2026-05-24 03:20:37
None
2026-05-24 15:00:48
bora renan santos
2026-05-25 02:52:43
BORA RENAN
2026-05-25 23:26:14
BORA RENAN
!
2026-05-26 14:19:12
🚨BREAKING NEWS🚨
Lula acabou de falecer ‼️
2026-05-27 16:51:39
RENAN SANTOS 1 TURNO - LULA 2 TURNO!!!!
2026-06-03 23:59:47
YES
2026-06-04 00:01:21
HOLY SHIT
2026-06-04 00:04:30
IT WENT NO 🥲😨😓😭
2026-06-04 00:05:52
rigged
2026-06-04 00:36:42
yes won...
2026-06-04 00:37:36
Fuck polymarket, never gonna use again bye bye
2026-06-04 15:34:08
que nome é esse
2026-06-08 20:31:13
Quem é renan santos ❓❓❓
2026-06-08 20:31:53
ai vc perderia 5 mil dolares
2026-06-09 01:56:01
verdade
2026-06-09 13:38:06
Molusco 🦑
2026-06-10 11:07:40
pozzo recomendo dar cashout antes que seja tarde
2026-06-11 01:11:47
vai acontecer isso tudo pra no fim ele perder
2026-06-11 12:12:50
pozzo nesse momento está entrando em desespero
2026-06-12 01:06:17
bora lula 🥰
2026-06-12 12:48:06
isso ai ✅️
2026-06-12 13:48:19
esse renan santos n ta com nada em
2026-06-12 13:48:45
alguem ve se ta tudo bem com o pozzo
2026-06-12 17:05:53
vai perder dinheiro
2026-06-12 17:40:22
nao é roblox aqui nao esquizofrenico
2026-06-13 11:57:55
esse matarindo vai perder aqui e nas apostas da copa
2026-06-18 00:33:46
eu vou votar no lula ✅
2026-06-22 12:17:52
lula vence no primeiro turno?
2026-06-25 15:08:57
renan santos morreu?
2026-07-01 13:47:16
O futuro é Glorioso 1️⃣4️⃣🟨⚫️🐆
2026-07-01 19:03:00
sei nao.. acho que ta tarde dms
2026-07-03 11:33:31
😬
2026-08-14 16:50:00
TIC TAC,derrete mais oncinhas!!!!
2026-08-14 20:29:36
aqui acabou. infelizmente mais alguns anos com lula.. 😰😭
2026-08-15 19:11:07
🤨
2026-08-15 23:20:22
oq aconteceu com o renan santos
2026-08-16 00:29:48
eu mesmo ia votar no renan agora vai ser no marçal Ⓜ️
2026-08-27 15:27:45
😶