Account Information
Name:
nub3
Pseudonym:
Threadbare-Swivel
Created:
2025-12-13 16:07:05
Last Activity:
1 week ago
Tier:
Tier 0
X:
@Hola201q1
profile-image-4550474-4a1a5408-9158-44e6-b2f3-a5aa9164b2dc.png
Total Profit
$-843
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$100.68
Markets traded
319
Trades
319
Largest win
$2,444.86
Profile views
36
Join date
2025-12-13 16:07:05
All-time rank
2929732
All-time PnL
$-842.68
All-time volume
$317,563.25
All-time profit
$-842.68
Lifetime volume
$317,563.25
PnL series latest
$-853.00
PnL series start
$-859.80
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$580.71
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 3334.2853 | $4,000.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Down | 4119.1066 | $2,275.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Up | 69746.1597 | $2,178.71 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | Down | 4402.1965 | $-6,113.23 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Down | 1189.1957 | $-1,371.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Down | 1916.5198 | $-965.04 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | No | 1290.7139 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $100.68 | $-10.48 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 254.2372 | $0.59 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-150.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Down | 78.59 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-39.29 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | France | 663.3472 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-396.35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Up | 2429.89 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1,214.88 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Up | 3334.2853 | $4,000.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Down | 4119.1066 | $2,275.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Up | 69746.1597 | $2,178.71 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Up | 3903.5983 | $1,987.51 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 3705.7168 | $1,909.20 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | No | $0.05 | 40.713969 | $2.16 |
| 1 week ago | TRADE | BUY | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | No | $0.04 | 250 | $9.00 |
| 2 weeks ago | TRADE | BUY | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | No | $0.10 | 1000 | $100.00 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026? | No | $0.00 | 532 | $0.53 |
| 1 month ago | TRADE | BUY | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026? | No | $0.00 | 400 | $0.40 |
Recent trades (319)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | BUY | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | No | $0.05 | 40.713969 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026? | No | $0.46 | 704.08602 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026? | No | $0.64 | 150.53435 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026? | No | $0.78 | 1383.406931 |
| 1 month ago | BUY | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | England | $0.54 | 1443.944443 |
Comments
2026-01-02 18:25:10
lfg
2026-03-24 21:42:11
DISPUTE
2026-04-01 20:09:18
(
2026-04-08 19:50:51
Π΄Π°ΠΉΡΠ΅ Π½Π° Ρ
Π»Π΅Π±
2026-04-14 12:10:53
-.-
2026-05-18 11:47:31
lfg
2026-05-18 17:22:24
feed the workers
2026-05-18 20:35:43
cool
2026-05-19 00:01:02
yesss
2026-05-19 05:48:01
true
2026-05-19 06:12:37
uma scam
2026-05-19 06:17:36
[link removed]
2026-05-19 06:34:09
Klshi resolved the market's for trump saying the words "Iran" and "Nuclear" on his trip based on this evidence to YES. So why does Polymarket want to scam it's users with a bogus clarification?
2026-05-19 08:31:54
P2 - YES. The Fox interview market is the smoking gun.
Reference: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-fox-business-interview-on-april-15
Same Polymarket. Same exact rule wording: 'broadcast or streamed live.' That Fox interview was PRERECORDED β everyone knew it. Polymarket resolved it YES with no dispute.
If 'broadcast must be live' was the rule, Fox should have resolved NO. It didn't. Which means Polymarket itself interpreted 'broadcast' as NOT requiring live timing.
Now, on May 16, Polymarket suddenly claims 'footage not broadcast live will not qualify.' This directly contradicts their own Fox ruling under identical rule wording.
They are applying contradictory standards across markets. Either the Fox ruling was wrong, or this should resolve YES. Pick one.
UMA must vote on the original rules as written and as previously interpreted by Polymarket itself. Retroactive reinterpretation breaks oracle integrity. Vote P2
2026-05-19 10:07:01
π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£
2026-05-19 20:23:12
π€‘
2026-05-19 20:23:47
YES holders, donβt let Discord doomposting shake you out. Trump clearly said the terms during events with Xi, and the footage was publicly distributed through official media coverage in real time.
The current NO narrative relies entirely on an overly technical interpretation pushed after trading was already active. If these events were never supposed to count, the rules should have explicitly said so from the start.
Discord consensus is not the oracle. Loud bonded accounts spamming βP1 NOβ doesnβt change what actually happened on video. A YES resolution best reflects the spirit and intent of the market.
2026-05-20 09:43:48
Trump clearly said the terms during events with Xi, the footage was publicly broadcast through official media and press pool coverage in real time, and everyone traded these markets knowing those remarks would count. The entire NO case relies on a retroactive ultra-technical interpretation that was never clearly stated in the original rules. A clarification is not supposed to rewrite the market after the fact just because NO holders got trapped. Discord spam and whale bonding are not evidence. The reality is simple: Trump said the words during qualifying Xi events, so YES is the correct resolution. And if Polymarket actually allows this kind of manipulation and retroactive reinterpretation to stand, people will lose trust fast and platforms like K@lshi will become the #1 alternative overnight.
2026-05-20 09:54:57
we will fight for justice
2026-05-20 10:10:32
Π½ΡΠΆΠ½ΠΎ
2026-05-20 11:56:27
Market Sub Resolution poorsob side PnL
βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
"Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier (single) β YES (P2) YES 296,199 sh +$296 (won β yield farm)
"Iran/Xi" event β Nuclear sub Will Trump say "Nuclear" STILL DISPUTED NO 38,088 sh -$37,975 (open)
"Iran/Xi" event β Iran sub Will Trump say "Iran" STILL DISPUTED NO 229,118 sh -$228,871 (open)
"Iran/Xi" event β Strait/Hormuz sub Will Trump say "Strait" STILL DISPUTED NO 103,850 sh -$103,744 (open)
2026-05-20 14:50:13
Π΄Π°ΠΉΡΠ΅ ΠΏΠΎΠΊΡΡΠ°ΡΡ
2026-05-20 16:24:27
ΡΡΡ
2026-05-20 16:27:07
Ρ
ΠΎΡΡ Π±Ρ ΡΡΠΎ Π½Π΅ ΡΠ΅ΠΉΠΊ!!!
2026-05-20 17:02:06
[link removed] likeeee
2026-05-20 17:11:51
CNNβs own embedded JSON-LD literally identifies the page as a `LiveBlogPosting` with `creativeWorkStatus: "live"` under the official [link removed] standard used for real-time news coverage and Google live results. The page shows continuous timestamped updates during the summit, with `dateModified` only minutes before the Wayback snapshot, creating a direct chain of custody proving the coverage was actively updated live as events unfolded. The entries specifically reference Iran, trade tensions, and remarks independently confirmed by Fox News and Xinhua. This completely destroys the claim that all reporting was merely post-event prerecorded content. The summit was being covered and updated in real time by major media infrastructure recognized industry-wide as live coverage.
2026-05-20 17:15:13
[link removed]
2026-05-20 17:16:15
I don't have access to it.
2026-05-20 17:22:23
Π½ΡΠΆΠ½ΠΎ ΠΈΠΌ Π² Π΄ΠΈΡΠΊΠΎΡΠ΄Π΅ Π΄ΠΎΠΊΠ°Π·Π°ΡΡ ΡΡΠΎ
2026-05-20 17:32:35
Timeline A β Pool reporter notes (AFP / Danny Kemp, sitting in the press van, typing as he goes (Not leaving like these freaking NO voters are saying, fucking eejits)):
11:07 Beijing β Trump enters garden
11:36 Beijing β Trump talks about roses
11:55 Beijing β Trump's Iran quote
14:41 Beijing β Air Force One wheels up
Timeline B β YouTube livestream start timestamps (YouTube's own servers, signed automatically):
11:24 Beijing β CNBC-TV18 starts streaming
11:51 Beijing β CNBC-TV18 second stream
11:59 Beijing β CRUX starts streaming
12:04 Beijing β Republic World starts streaming
13:42 Beijing β NewsX Live starts streaming
2026-05-20 17:35:18
+++++
2026-05-21 07:56:14
yes
2026-05-21 11:07:53
[link removed]
2026-05-21 11:11:33
For the moment I believe only on UMA votes. The logic for big UMA whales is that they are not interested to vote against what the other votes. They all know that poorsob is voting NO, but if they thing that the other whales are voting YES they will vote YES, otherwise they have a monetary and reputational loss. So our messages must discredit poorson and "additional context". If 1 whale thinks that it is convincing, he/she will think that it is concincing also for other whales, except poorsob, and they will vote YES. This is the entire logic behind UMA. The corruption comes from polymarket.
2026-05-21 11:18:56
π€
2026-05-21 12:33:47
uma can confirm that the earth is flat
2026-05-21 18:06:59
Time to shift to KALASHI
2026-05-23 17:08:34
None
2026-06-01 19:36:21
Avg sale price: $77,135 check the charts when btc was last above that!!!!!!
2026-06-01 19:49:25
we don't need an event announcement, just the fact of the sale
2026-06-01 19:50:06
true
2026-06-01 21:27:46
truee
2026-06-01 21:53:14
transactions in the blockchain are evidence
2026-06-02 18:45:42
There is literally a separate PredictFun market asking whether YES holders of the May 31 MSTR sale market will receive compensation. The existence of that market alone shows this is not a clear NO. SEC filing confirms 32 BTC were sold before May 31.
2026-06-03 09:00:18
gg
2026-06-03 10:29:06
πΆβπ«οΈ
2026-06-03 22:11:37
50/50
2026-06-09 16:59:39
π
2026-06-11 14:51:06
when
2026-06-12 10:10:15
now
2026-08-17 20:35:53
Π³Π°Π·
2026-08-18 13:45:25
ΠΏΠ΅ΠΏΠ΅Ρ