Account Information
Name:
LEONIDOVITCH1983
Pseudonym:
Unlawful-Formula
Created:
2025-02-20 18:17:29
Last Activity:
3 weeks ago
Tier:
Bronze
istockphoto_1300845620_612x612.jpg
Total Profit
$65,582
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$42,709.02
Markets traded
3,734
Trades
3,733
Largest win
$24,158.28
Profile views
2,070
Join date
2025-02-20 18:17:29
All-time rank
3002
All-time PnL
$65,581.56
All-time volume
$35,096,157.41
All-time profit
$65,581.56
Lifetime volume
$35,096,157.41
PnL series latest
$60,365.38
PnL series start
$55,772.57
PnL series points
24
Weighted volume
$3,674.75
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%? | No | 40599.0472 | $24,134.78 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | 17784.061 | $11,065.71 |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | Yes | 10162.6316 | $6,969.32 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Dubois | 269066.2157 | $-12,462.01 |
| Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | Yes | 23792.7266 | $-12,067.76 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17? | Yes | 26599.7922 | $-10,051.98 |
Open positions (1)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 161166.098 | $0.22 | $0.27 | $42,709.02 | $7,276.17 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%? | No | 40599.0472 | $24,134.78 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | 17784.061 | $11,065.71 |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | Yes | 10162.6316 | $6,969.32 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%? | Yes | 32376.2371 | $5,988.51 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 17069.714 | $5,687.08 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $0.27 | 5.73 | $1.55 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $0.27 | 500 | $135.00 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $0.27 | 92.592593 | $25.00 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $0.27 | 177.777778 | $48.00 |
| 3 weeks ago | TRADE | SELL | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $0.27 | 50 | $13.50 |
Recent trades (3733)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 weeks ago | SELL | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $0.26 | 1858.64 |
| 3 weeks ago | SELL | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | $0.18 | 0.01 |
| 3 weeks ago | BUY | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $0.23 | 35545 |
| 4 weeks ago | SELL | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $0.28 | 0.01 |
| 4 weeks ago | BUY | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | $0.20 | 720.98 |
Comments
2025-04-08 16:31:23
Nepomnyashchiy vyigral po ochkam Bergera. U nego pervoye mesto! U Nepomnyashchego bl'she ochkov. U ikh ne porovnu ochkov. 107 / 5 000 Nepomniachtchi won on points against Berger. He has first place! Nepomniachtchi has more points. They don't have the same number of points.
2025-04-08 16:34:05
Nepomniachtchi won on points against Berger. He has first place! Nepomniachtchi has more points. They have different numbers of points. Where can I complain? Ian has more points.
2025-04-08 16:36:14
It says right there that the results need to be looked at [link removed] and there Nepomniachtchi has more points.
2025-04-08 16:37:59
It says right there that the results need to be looked at [link removed] and there Nepomniachtchi has more points.
2025-04-08 16:52:27
Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin Leader!!! Ian Nepomniachtchi !!!
2025-04-08 17:00:45
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from [link removed]. Freestyle Chess Paris Grand Slam Round Robin Leader Ian Nepomniachtchi
2025-04-28 14:46:20
[link removed]
2025-05-08 07:07:57
Aveline was actually born in Africa.
2025-05-08 10:57:03
AFRICA = Turkson (4,5%)+Aveline(4,5%)+Sarah(3%)+Besungu(2,5%) + Other (0,5%) = 15%
2025-05-18 17:44:13
11 630 000 = finish
2025-05-19 11:47:10
Why hasn't this market been resolved yet? When will there be a resolution?
2025-05-20 20:06:14
Duda 2 lose
2025-05-31 15:12:08
Someone else who is not on this list could become president, then the person who bet on all these candidates will lose all their money.
2025-05-31 17:27:18
Alle voorlopige resultaten zijn verwerkt. Het dashboard wordt niet meer bijgeverkt. Er kunnen nog verschillen zijn met de officiele uitslag door turffouten. Houd daarom de officiele verslaglegging en berichten van CHS in de gaten voor de definitieve uitslag.
2025-05-31 18:04:58
[link removed]
2025-06-02 09:20:15
The election is over. Why is this market still active?
2025-06-25 09:26:47
Inter + Monterrey =62.4% = 45% + 31% * 56% (Inter win + Inter draw * Monterrey win) Monterrey = 4% = 40%*10% (wins better than 2:1 and Inter 0:0) Inter = 58.4% = 62.4% - 4% River Plate = 37.6 = 100% - 62.4%
2025-06-25 09:38:30
Inter to win in the group 1.57 (60%) [link removed]
2025-06-25 12:53:08
Inter draws 1-1, 2-2... and Monterrey wins. Then you lose on both sides.
2025-06-25 14:13:44
Inter draws 1-1, 2-2... and Monterrey wins. Then you lose on both sides.
2025-06-25 14:22:45
Inter draws 1-1, 2-2... and Monterrey wins. Then you lose on both sides.
2025-06-25 22:12:28
If Monterrey wins 10-0 and Inter River draws 1-1, then Inter takes first place!!!!
2025-07-26 11:20:44
[link removed]
2025-07-26 12:09:44
The race is over. The results are published on the official website. Why is there such a delay?
2025-07-26 12:10:45
The race is over. The results are published on the official website. Why is there such a delay?
2025-07-26 12:10:51
The race is over. The results are published on the official website. Why is there such a delay?
2025-08-15 14:27:33
Why are Tuto's chances increasing and Medina's chances decreasing?
2025-09-08 14:32:18
If 3rd and 4th place have the same number of seats, then which party will be the winner in this market?
2025-09-12 14:48:13
100% of the votes have already been counted. The result is 88:81 (+7).
2025-09-12 14:49:38
100% of votes have already been counted. The result for the FRP is 47 seats.
2025-09-15 14:23:01
The official election results are in. Close this market.
2025-10-05 03:51:38
100% of votes counted. Results are in. Close the market.
2025-10-05 03:52:50
100% of votes counted. Results are in. Close the market.
2025-10-05 03:54:10
100% of votes counted. Results are in. Close the market.
2025-10-20 21:04:41
Why do people take 10-15%. In the first round, sirepre differed from the official results by 0.1%. Now sirepre shows a difference of 9.22%, 10% is still far away! Will the error be 8 times greater this time?
2025-10-21 10:27:55
I did the calculations, based on current official data. For the difference to be 10%, 70% of the uncounted votes would have to be for Paz.
2025-10-21 10:28:59
night in Bolivia
2025-10-21 10:32:01
Among the last votes, there are always a lot of invalid votes and also a lot of non-voters. Therefore, Paz needs to get 70% of the valid votes to make the difference 10%.
2025-10-30 02:21:12
D66 - Win 1 and 2 !!!
2025-10-30 11:02:41
In the event of a tie between this party and any other party (I.E. EITHER 1 OR 3) that has received the second highest number of seats, this market will be settled in favour of the party whose abbreviation is first in alphabetical order. I.E. D66
2025-10-30 11:49:14
When athletes have equal results, they share the same rank, and the next position is skipped. For example, if two athletes tie for second place, the ranking would be 1st, 2nd, 2nd, and then 4th place. This means the next athlete after the tie will be awarded the 4th place ranking.
2025-10-30 11:55:20
Highest number of seats is 26, 2nd highest number of seats is also 26 and the third highest is 22
2025-10-30 15:10:57
1-2. D66 -- 26 1-2. PVV -- 26 3. VVD -- 22 4. GLPVDA -- 20 5 CDA -- 18 6. JA21 -- 9 7. FVD -- 7
2025-10-30 15:18:31
They won't give 2 parties 1st place. It's written right here in the rules. That if there's a tie, they sort alphabetically. So 5th place goes to CDA!!!
2025-10-30 15:38:06
A tie cannot be for one place. In this case, a tie for 1st and 2nd place.
2025-10-30 18:57:52
D66 -- 26 PVV -- 26 VVD -- 22 GLPVDA -- 20 CDA -- 18 JA21 -- 9 FVD -- 7 Who's second? Third? 4? 5? How did Polymarket explain this?
2025-12-05 21:17:47
Live broadcast of how the CNE counts votes in Honduras (there are a lot of papers, so the counting takes a long time): [link removed]
2025-12-07 01:20:57
Senalan que los inconvenientes tecnicos han frenado esta etapa clave, pero prometen que en las proximas horas se publicaran la totalidad de las actas de las Juntas Receptoras de Votos.
2025-12-09 16:06:59
Close the market. Magnus is impossible to catch up with, even if he takes 4th place.
2025-12-15 16:42:20
Someone propose resolution pls
2025-12-15 16:56:43
Someone propose resolution pls
2025-12-16 21:26:51
Why isn't this market closing?
2026-01-19 01:01:30
Now 16.00169207 And Berlin will add votes
2026-02-03 21:00:42
96.87% of protocols counted - turnout 69.08% 3.13% of protocols remain The total turnout will drop below 68% if the uncounted protocols have a turnout below 34.57% This is not possible because all foreign protocols have already been taken into account. For the turnout to reach 70%, 98.47% of voters need to vote at the remaining polling stations, which is also not realistic. So the turnout will be exactly between 68% and 70%
2026-02-04 11:17:07
This was after counting over 88% of polling stations. And when they counted 96.87%, the turnout was 69.08%!!!
2026-02-04 11:20:16
Costa Rica is not Honduras. The level of the countries is very, very different.
2026-02-04 11:25:58
I would close my profitable positions at 99% so as not to wait, but there are no orders for a sufficient amount that would accept my positions
2026-02-04 11:41:08
In Honduras, they recalculated because there were errors. And in Costa Rica, they recalculate because they have the law, there are no disputed protocols, so the errors will be minimal 0.01%. So close your positions by 1%, so that mine closes too, so that you don’t have to wait long in vain.
2026-02-12 18:06:42
Attendance temporarily dropped to 50.03%, but on Sunday, pensioners in the villages will come and push the percentage back up.
2026-02-12 18:33:23
They will try to vote. They have nothing to lose.
2026-02-12 22:00:28
Turnout in the second round in Portugal was 58.76%. So 42.5% will take it easy. The whole country has already been counted!
2026-02-12 22:05:05
The main thing is not victory, but participation!
2026-02-12 22:19:41
I think I have the right position in this market.
2026-02-12 22:45:20
And why don't people bet on 48-50 at just 37-38 cents? Why do you think so?
2026-02-12 22:57:00
Get your bet on 48-50 for only 37-38 cents! Bet against 50-52 while it's cheap!
2026-02-14 12:25:31
Turnout: 69.215%. 100% counted. Protocols in Costa Rica 100% verified.
2026-02-14 12:26:58
Ballots and final tally sheets from the 2026 election: [link removed].cr/2026/[link removed]
2026-02-14 12:32:22
Voted in Costa Rica: 2,573,903 out of 3,669,644 voters... Abroad: 12,595 out of 67,270... Total: 2,586,498 out of 3,736,914 = 69.215%.
2026-02-14 12:38:33
close this market
2026-02-15 05:46:53
???
2026-02-15 17:49:38
There are already 100% of protocols from Costa Rica verified and approved, I reviewed and counted them all: [link removed].cr/2026/[link removed] only protocols from abroad remain unverified, but they were all transmitted electronically. They are counted, but not yet officially verified. There is a possible error of 10-100 votes. But the turnout falls into the range of 68-70 with a margin of 29,342 votes.
2026-02-15 17:50:58
There are already 100% of protocols from Costa Rica verified and approved, I reviewed and counted them all: [link removed].cr/2026/[link removed] only protocols from abroad remain unverified, but they were all transmitted electronically. They are counted, but not yet officially verified. There is a possible error of 10-100 votes. But the turnout falls into the range of 68-70 with a margin of 29,342 votes.
2026-02-15 17:56:21
On the official website: [link removed].cr/2026/[link removed] there are all 100% of the protocols from Costa Rica verified and approved, I reviewed them all and counted: 2573903 voted out of 3669644. The protocols from abroad remain unverified, but they were all transmitted electronically: 12595 voted out of 67270. Total: 2586498 / 3736914 = 69.215%
2026-02-15 20:09:50
6.... 29.05%+
2026-02-15 20:37:18
see the official results of the 1st round. Voters are actually 11,009,803
2026-02-15 20:39:50
5519808 / 11009803 = 50.135%
2026-02-15 20:40:48
extension://mjdgandcagmikhlbjnilkmfnjeamfikk/[link removed]
2026-02-15 20:44:01
Read the rules carefully. The results will be on the website [link removed] and there the number of voters in both the 1st and 2nd rounds: 11,009,803
2026-02-15 20:45:29
extension://mjdgandcagmikhlbjnilkmfnjeamfikk/[link removed]
2026-02-15 20:49:38
This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) ([link removed] 11009803 (50.135%)
2026-02-15 20:53:49
this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) ([link removed]
2026-02-15 20:57:47
not me, but he knows something. I already got it earlier))
2026-02-15 21:02:31
Yes! It's true. Look at the Results of Round 1 on the official website, and on all the others. There is a difference
2026-02-15 21:08:23
the number of voters is actually 30,000 less
2026-02-15 21:50:36
I don't know what the result will be. I was stunned. Today is definitely the most profitable day of my life.
2026-02-16 14:33:43
Why don't you collect the money that people give themselves?
2026-02-16 14:37:11
It takes 2 to 4 weeks for results to be announced in Costa Rica. So, another 0 to 14 days to wait.
2026-02-16 14:40:46
We all make mistakes. And I don't find it funny when I'm wrong. It's impossible to know everything.
2026-02-16 21:18:57
I wrote a link where there are 100% protocols from Costa Rica without foreign ones. They have already been checked and approved. Only the amount has not been calculated, but I have calculated it. You can calculate it yourself.
2026-02-16 21:40:42
there are results of 50.03%: [link removed]
2026-02-17 18:25:50
this is higher than CNE
2026-02-26 09:03:52
Official results of the 2nd round: [link removed]
2026-02-26 09:57:21
CNE published official results (50.03%) [link removed]
2026-02-26 10:02:16
CNE published official results
2026-02-26 10:22:10
close Turnout
2026-02-26 10:23:50
close this market
2026-02-26 19:10:43
I was afraid to gain a large amount because I think whales can decide the markets in their favor if they lose a lot.
2026-02-26 19:12:32
and you and I will still take ours in other markets
2026-02-27 15:18:43
Look at the PSG and Chelsea calendar. PSG has a very easy calendar. And Chelsea has very difficult away games to Arsenal and Aston Villa + cup + Newcastle.
2026-02-27 19:11:32
Sporting - 2.7%
2026-02-27 19:34:56
Bookmakers give odds for Bodo-Glimt to win 2.6, and for Sporting 1.5. The teams cost 60 and 360 million in favor of Sporting. Why is it 1.55% for Sporting to win and 1.7 for Bodo-Glimt? They have already made their sensations. There will be no more underestimation, the class is different.
2026-02-27 19:46:45
At the league stage: Sporting 7th place (16 points), Bodo-Glimt 23rd place (9 points).
2026-03-03 22:40:32
Official results: 3,731,788 voters, 2,583,185 voted, 69.22% turnout. Close this market!
2026-03-03 22:40:53
[link removed].cr/juris/relevantes/[link removed]
2026-03-03 22:55:36
Official results: 3,731,788 voters, 2,583,185 voted, 69.22% turnout. Close turnout market:
2026-03-09 21:37:59
25
2026-03-12 20:55:57
Who places orders for 10.1 ...10.9 ... 89.1 ... 89.9? How to place such orders? Only such orders are executed. And it is impossible to place such a limit order. In this case, it is impossible to trade in the plus.
2026-03-13 06:45:57
Tell me how to place such invisible limit orders at prices 42.9 ... 37.1 ... 57.9 when the price step is 1 cent? Who does this? How to see these orders?
2026-03-13 06:56:29
Tell me how to place such invisible limit orders at prices 42.9 ... 37.1 ... 57.9 when the price step is 1 cent? Who does this? How to see these orders?
2026-03-13 06:57:44
Tell me how to place such invisible limit orders at prices 42.9 ... 37.1 ... 57.9 when the price step is 1 cent? Who does this? How to see these orders?
2026-03-31 22:23:05
If you search carefully, you can still find about 3,000 votes that haven't been counted yet.
2026-03-31 22:31:10
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission ([link removed]
2026-03-31 22:40:13
On this site you can read where and how Slovenians vote. If you download the detailed results for 2026, you will see which category of voters has not yet been counted. In the last election, there were approximately 3,600.
2026-03-31 22:43:18
Or if it's easier, just read the results of which voters are entered last. And see what they are not yet.
2026-03-31 22:44:59
Voters at consulates also voted. They are not included in the results.
2026-03-31 23:08:09
Votes from voters who voted in embassies and consulates have not yet been entered on the official website with results. In 2022, there were 3,663 such votes. I wonder if there will be 135 in 2026?
2026-04-01 12:32:04
Why do you advise people like this? Do you want them to become poor?
2026-04-07 08:59:46
Close this market. The official results are in!
2026-04-07 09:00:30
Close this market. The official results are in!
2026-04-12 06:45:48
Let's go 140%
2026-04-15 20:10:05
Sanchez's trucks have almost been unloaded, and Aliaga's trucks have been loading for a long time, due to the fact that there is a lot of cargo. They will give you a ride soon
2026-04-15 21:35:51
Time to recruit Aliaga. The votes for him have already arrived.
2026-04-18 16:54:55
Precincts with 200-300 voters. Why are there still no results from 6,000 precincts in 6 days? Are there people in Peru who can count to 300, even in 6 days? Is it difficult for you?
2026-04-18 21:05:05
So in Peru they don't count votes, they just argue about who won.
2026-04-18 22:10:10
If the elections are canceled, then Other will win. And if the elections are not canceled, then Other will win even faster ))
2026-04-20 18:17:50
Close this market. All votes have been counted.
2026-04-20 18:18:02
Close this market. All votes have been counted.
2026-05-13 04:27:08
Close the market for last place: Portugal Montenegro Estonia San Marino Georgia. They do not participate in the final.
2026-05-14 22:03:07
Close the market for last place: Switzerland Latvia Armenia Luxembourg Azerbaijan. They are not participating in the final
2026-05-14 22:06:09
Close the market for last place: Switzerland Latvia Armenia Luxembourg Azerbaijan. They are not participating in the final
2026-05-15 08:41:43
105 was 2 minutes higher
2026-05-15 08:43:52
Why don't they close 105 like that?
2026-05-15 09:24:48
10 more days until May 25. The May market is actively trading
2026-05-15 09:27:11
May 22 is a working day. Subtract 3 days. So the May market is traded until May 19.
2026-05-15 09:38:06
WTIM6/USD PYTH PRICE IN USD FOR WTI 19 MAY 2026
2026-05-15 14:50:55
May 25 is a holiday, so June is here today, so we are trading at June prices
2026-06-07 09:45:15
Why is the market not closed?
2026-06-07 09:46:02
Why is the market not closed?
2026-06-12 00:09:08
Resolve please
2026-06-12 19:39:08
Resolve please!!
2026-07-12 00:59:19
38.4+20.5+20.0+18.4+1.6=98.9% ???
2026-07-12 01:04:11
World Cup Winner 100%
2026-07-12 10:31:35
Chances of victory for France - 38.45%, England - 21.35%, Spain - 19.95%, Argentina 18.75%. And where did the other 1.5% go?
2026-07-19 18:20:34
World Cup Winner SPAIN no 40.9
2026-07-20 19:51:07
In the Top 10, only 1 non-European is Messi. The votes of Europeans will be very scattered among the candidates. And Americans and other continents will vote a lot for Messi.
2026-09-18 16:00:20
Из них 129% за ЕР
2026-09-18 19:26:44
Я сейчас проверил именно официальный источник. На странице фракций Госдумы сейчас указано:
Единая Россия — 325
КПРФ — 57
Справедливая Россия — 28
ЛДПР — 23
Новые люди — 10
вне фракций — 2.
2026-09-18 19:27:40
Новые люди возьмут 25+, а возьмут ли Единая Россия 340?
2026-09-18 19:30:51
На другом рынке на то что Единая Россия возьмет 340 мандатов вероятность 37%, а тут 80% многовато.
2026-09-18 19:41:26
здесь на Полимаркете Новые люди 42% что займут 3 место, а это больше 25 мест.
2026-09-18 19:46:20
да еще и ЛДПР может добавить к своим 23 больше нежели Единоросы к 325 мандатам
2026-09-18 19:49:59
И 300 им вполне хватит, чтобы у них отставали все трактористы. Тем более что другие партии мало чем от них отличают и всегда проголосуют так как надо.
2026-09-18 19:55:24
Для победы на этом рынке Единой России нужно будет взять 340+ мандатов, иначе ЛДПР или Новые Люди будут иметь больший плюс, потому что если 110+ депутатов будет не ихними тогда у когото получится хороший плюс.
2026-09-18 20:04:35
Это потому что цена пошла в его сторону. А какой будет результат в итоге не известно.
2026-09-18 20:13:05
На публичных опросах люди больше любят ЕР чем в кабинках для голосования
2026-09-18 20:22:49
Последние опубликованные ВЦИОМ рейтинги перед запретом публикации были: ЕР 37,4%, КПРФ 13,1%, Новые люди 10,4%, ЛДПР 9,9%, СР 4,5%.
2026-09-18 20:27:36
this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets. Тут же пишут что на сайте думы будут смотреть, а там 325 Единоросов.
2026-09-18 20:35:14
Вы думаете Что у Единой России 310-312 депутатов, но на сайте который указан в правилах написано что их 325 в указанное время в правилах.
2026-09-18 20:40:50
А у новых людей там 10 депутатов а не 15)
2026-09-18 20:51:39
Напиши свой прогноз на эти выборы, кто сколько мандатов возьмет? У кого какой плюс?
2026-09-18 21:10:58
Это не единственный источник: Ссылка на сайт Дума ТВ приведена как наглядный и наиболее вероятный пример официального источника, но разработчики рынка оставили за собой право использовать и другие аналогичные ресурсы. Приоритет официальности: Если данные независимых СМИ (даже российских) будут противоречить информации на указанном сайте или официальном портале самого Госдум платформ.
2026-09-18 21:12:01
Этот сайт имеет приоритет, потому что его тут указали.
2026-09-18 21:14:01
В случае возникновения неоднозначности решение будет приниматься исключительно на основе официальных российских государственных источников, таких как сайт Государственной Думы или ее официальные информационные ресурсы (например, dumatv).
2026-09-18 21:29:48
читай правила Additional context
там написано сайт от куда берут данные
2026-09-18 22:44:10
от сюда, от разных выборов в основном
2026-09-18 22:51:58
Если рисуют, тогда зачем рисовать сильно больше 300? А если реально считать будут, тогда тем более сильно больше 300 не будет)))
2026-09-19 00:36:21
Почему секретные? Так это же общедоступные данные NP=40, ER=315
2026-09-19 00:41:34
ок. Просто мне чуть раньше доложили)))
2026-09-19 10:49:10
На данном рынке ставим на то у кого будет наибольший прогрес по сравнению этим:
Единая Россия — 325
КПРФ — 57
Справедливая Россия — 28
ЛДПР — 23
Новые люди — 10
2026-09-19 11:01:45
Читайте правила Additional context там конкретно указан сайт от куда берут данные
2026-09-19 11:09:05
if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (dumatvru).
2026-09-19 11:15:05
Так на что вы ссылаетесь? Там не указано других источников данных. Но написано что в случаэ споора данные будут брать например из указаного сайта, а других примеров нет!
2026-09-19 11:19:36
Wikipedia для Полимаркета не авторитетный источник, та могуть писать что угодно
2026-09-19 11:31:03
тут нечего думать, нужно читать правила именно этого рынка, а там указан источник данных на котором написано 325.
2026-09-19 11:32:03
гугл в правилах не написан
2026-09-19 11:41:37
"ничего не сделали чтобы манипулировать этим" вот и я о том же что могут посчитать 325-10, а могут и 310-15, как им будет угодно. Но есть разница покупать по 77 или по 23, тем более, что в любом случае у ЕР есть шансы не выйти в большой плюс.
2026-09-19 11:52:01
dumatvrufractions указали создатели этого рынка, а мы можем думать как хочем
2026-09-19 11:57:08
Увидим, но думаю, до этого не дойдет. ЕР наберут 315 мандатов и этого будет не достаточно для победы на этом рынке.
2026-09-19 12:00:57
у ЕР уже есть много депутатов, и они около свого потолка, и поднятся тяжело, а НЛ и ЛДПР на низу и подниматся им проще.
2026-09-19 13:04:35
Спасибо за комплимент. Я ингда из за этого зарабатываю. Занимаюсь ставками на выборы и большие спортивные события
2026-09-19 13:06:56
еще работал учителем математики и информатики 15 лет
2026-09-19 13:10:08
325
2026-09-19 14:01:53
Да, поступили. Щас на Атоммной электростанции работают инженерами.
2026-09-19 14:03:08
А как ты определяшь кто умен, а кто тупой?
2026-09-19 14:22:21
Правила понятны... Не понятен смысл твоих сообщений... Какая тебе выгода из них?
2026-09-19 17:02:50
так от каких чисел вы будете отталкиватся когда будете делать ставки на этом рынке?
2026-09-19 17:36:19
А по моим не провереным данным у ЕР-14%, НЛ-55%, КПРФ-29%, ЛДПР-7%. И 100 одномандатников у ЕР. Но данные ни кем не проверены, а мной только что придуманы. Делайте ставки господа!
2026-09-19 17:42:24
Ложь которая ближе к правде опаснее
2026-09-19 17:47:46
А почему тут на Полимаркете не указали тот сайт о котором ты пишеш? Какие на это могут быть причины? Может они будут данные брать не от туда, или зачем указали другой сайт?
2026-09-19 18:09:19
Да! Вот ты хорошо узнал знакомый источник.
2026-09-19 18:28:15
все висит
2026-09-19 19:26:30
я в плюс
2026-09-19 19:30:03
у вас сайт адекватно работает? Мои лимитки исчезают, но позиция не растет
2026-09-19 19:33:55
мои лимитки дешевле 20 исполнились, но в позицию не добавились
2026-09-19 21:04:42
этот рынок не про то кто победит, а кто больше прибавит
2026-09-19 21:26:44
просто есть время отркрывать сделку, и время ее закрывать. И важно все делать вовремя.
2026-09-19 22:13:42
Так не нужно же скальпить на всем подряд. Как оказалось с этим рынком я не ошибся. Он оказался хорош для скальпинга.