Account Information

Name: betjunkie
Address: 0x03bec60891f6397d7a9a2d101503c0496064f6d9 ↗️
Address: 0x8551f88f5162fb6f680d48f4c399c2ece6976507
Bio: Dragonfly eyes
Pseudonym: Snoopy-Estrogen
Created: 2025-07-27 14:01:05
Last Activity: 1 week ago
Tier: Tier 0
Profile profile-image-3224513-ea0e50ad-c1f3-48db-ad23-d961c5cf3b00.png
Total Profit $1,543

Stats

Portfolio value $5,166.89
Markets traded 476
Trades 474
Largest win $3,438.11
Profile views 125
Join date 2025-07-27 14:01:05
All-time rank 62536
All-time PnL $1,543.06
All-time volume $483,621.30
All-time profit $1,543.06
Lifetime volume $483,621.30
PnL series latest $2,285.35
PnL series start $2,410.68
PnL series points 24
Weighted volume $755.08
Geoblock allow No
Geoblock block No
Geoblock close-only No

Biggest wins & losses

Biggest wins

Market Outcome Size PnL
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? Yes 8716.1805 $3,438.11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes 11231.6664 $2,586.41
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? No 7523.5977 $1,401.73

Biggest losses

Market Outcome Size PnL
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? No 10012.0088 $-5,159.24
OpenAI browser by October 31? No 7247.3491 $-4,335.31
Nothing Ever Happens: January Yes 3960.6948 $-3,101.64

Open positions (5+)

Market Outcome Size Avg Now Value PnL
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? No 1685.9181 $0.80 $0.95 $1,610.05 $269.54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 1100 $0.69 $0.88 $962.50 $198.50
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No 821.68 $0.47 $0.71 $587.50 $204.01
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? No 500 $0.92 $1.00 $499.75 $39.75
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes 750.0066 $0.75 $0.66 $491.25 $-72.75

Closed positions (5+)

Market Outcome Size PnL
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? Yes 8716.1805 $3,438.11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Yes 11231.6664 $2,586.41
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? No 7523.5977 $1,401.73
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? No 7930.8797 $1,294.68
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025? No 8206.3837 $1,253.21

Recent activity (5+)

When Type Side Market Outcome Price Size USDC
1 week ago YIELD $0.00 0.002 $0.00
1 week ago TRADE SELL Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes $0.74 249.99 $183.07
1 week ago TRADE BUY Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? Yes $0.72 36.97 $26.62
1 week ago TRADE BUY Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? Yes $0.73 29.59 $21.60
1 week ago TRADE BUY Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No $0.72 200 $144.00

Recent trades (474)

When Side Market Outcome Price Size
1 week ago SELL Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes $0.74 249.99
1 week ago SELL Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? Yes $0.87 10
2 weeks ago BUY Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? No $0.98 451.31
2 weeks ago BUY Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down $0.91 5.4945
3 weeks ago BUY Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? Yes $0.74 10

Comments

2025-08-17 18:48:54 Most of these will resolve to no like in the Putin-Trump conference market
2025-08-17 18:50:32 They will probably add a livstream in this page
2025-08-29 16:03:26 9/10 Top Yes holders are profitable, and 8/10 Top no holders have negative PnL. Also one of the two profiable No holders is Car. What more confirmtion do you need?
2025-08-29 16:53:58 He sold already
2025-08-29 17:50:33 Sell your Yes shares then
2025-08-31 15:11:08 gg
2025-08-31 15:13:35 even car bought at 96c
2025-08-31 15:35:01 Do you think there are insiders in the market? The price started rising just after the post, not before. Same as with the planet A donation.
2025-08-31 15:40:54 He always goes against overpriced hype. I have to admit, it is a good strategy.
2025-09-07 12:16:56 He looks healthy
2025-09-09 14:21:44 My boy is sleeping
2025-09-09 14:52:15 It looks like 50 has topped
2025-09-13 06:42:32 I think the reasons are mostly psychological. Mr. Miles is struggling as days without food increase, causing the price to drop. However, theta must take effect at some point.
2025-09-13 15:27:41 no change will be 1% on monday
2025-09-14 14:17:49 I don't know if this was a joke but anyway I'm out
2025-09-14 15:45:16 Someone bought a large ammount of No and then Miles was offered 30.000 USD to eat his birthday cake.
2025-09-15 18:52:48 That's how you stay profitable
2025-09-17 18:18:27 good bet
2025-09-19 23:59:17 I sensed a scam and sold my yes at 61c but I'll keep some no just for fun
2025-09-20 00:00:39 Both sides feel scammed
2025-09-20 01:55:22 I believe NO will be the outcome of this market and I'll explain why. Miles disappeared for days while appearing online on discord. This means that he intentionally disappeared, which favored NO positions. Since he's probably scamming, be doesn't have to starve himself. Maybe he could give some hope to the yes side to buy cheaper no, but why bother with fasting when you can earn money by doing nothing?
2025-09-20 02:12:57 Another simpler theory is that he couldn't continue the fast. He disappeared because the footage be promised does not exist or shows him eating, so he gave up.
2025-09-21 19:21:16 He probably failed the fast and disappeared in shame.
2025-09-24 18:10:41 He launched a coin to bet his profits on no?
2025-09-27 15:36:45 Damn I thought he would disappear but there's activity on X
2025-09-28 14:03:00 Obviously yes will pump soon in thought that Miles is planning something. But the final outcome will be no.
2025-09-28 14:04:43 Damn! a good trader like Car bought yes. I must do the same!
2025-09-28 14:13:09 It's rumored that Miles privated his X account to start uploading proof of fasting.
2025-09-29 01:37:07 Hello fellow gamblers. I usually don't load that much shares per bet, but when yes was at 19c a few hours ago (before the tweet), an AI prompt gave me a 45% chance that Miles had been arrested and a 5% chance he would complete the fast. I then decided to go all in on No with an average buy at 80.5c. Now the AI says there's basically 0% chance of this market resolving to yes.
2025-09-29 06:04:04 Why not? It predicted the arrest before it was posted.
2025-09-29 06:14:19 Smartest yes holder
2025-09-30 18:15:22 MONEYMONEYPLS is the only top holder who hasn't cash out, strengthening the theory that it could be Miles (you can't cash out if you are in jail).
2025-09-30 18:21:01 I would guess that he tried to bet against himself and got arrested by Saudi authorities... But who knows. We'll find out soon
2025-10-07 19:55:26 Agreed
2025-10-16 19:26:16 An October launch makes no sense given OpenAI already missed their July target, indicating product issues that can't be rushed. They'd either release an unfinished product or get overshadowed by Google's Gemini 3 announcement, losing the media spotlight entirely.
2025-10-20 01:45:46 Fake insiders
2025-10-20 17:58:03 To be Fried or not to be Fried?
2025-10-20 18:57:22 You don't have any money unless you cash out ;)
2025-10-20 19:04:49 The extreme confidence of Yes "insiders" without any evidence shows an obvious scam or manipulation attempt.
2025-10-20 20:05:09 Please fasten your seatbelt
2025-10-20 20:20:39 A mix of speculation, manipulation and stupidity
2025-11-11 14:10:59 You need an exit strategy bro
2025-11-19 21:31:27 I Kast my vote.
2025-12-02 20:59:23 Guys on the no side quick question. Why do you believe that even if it is not considered live at the moment, it will not be live by the end of the year?
2025-12-03 14:57:06 It's happening!
2025-12-03 15:03:54 [link removed]
2025-12-10 16:45:52 Seems legit
2025-12-15 19:37:22 The goat is safe.
2025-12-27 19:25:03 Seems legit.
2026-02-05 20:46:59 Congrats to all winners
2026-02-07 15:16:38 Maybe that's too much for a single bet
2026-02-27 23:22:43 You should always consider the risk you're taking
2026-02-28 06:57:45 Only Israel strikes are confirmed at the moment
2026-03-23 09:57:10 Big crash incoming
2026-03-23 21:55:16 The article clearly states intercepted, check the rules.
2026-03-27 16:44:34 The volatility on March 23 is crazy
2026-03-29 17:05:50 Launch date programmed at April 1, 2 days left!
2026-04-03 11:24:22 Something happens
2026-04-22 18:07:31 Think about it... acknowledging is not the same as agreeing. There is no official agreement between the two parties announced at the moment.
2026-04-23 07:04:10 Could Car be trying to manipulate the market by making poly look biased against Trump and his statements? Just a thought.
2026-04-23 17:54:28 Order book cleared in 5 min, last chance to buy/sell
2026-04-23 17:59:06 While clarify while clearing order book? It can resolve according to the prediction
2026-04-23 18:16:40 Happy resolution to the winners and moving on.
2026-04-26 14:21:29 The game has changed and there is no need for making Trump look successful. Think about it: Why did a previous market resolve to yes (when it shouldn't) while recent similar markets are resolving to No? Right now there's still a small chance that an agreement would be reached today, therefore I would buy no up to 90-95%.
2026-04-27 18:03:50 The clarification made was no clarification made.
2026-04-27 18:07:38 That's what I thought.
2026-05-12 21:26:39 Poland dumped to 1c and then to 100 because the lady decided to repeat the potential winners instead of naming the 10th seat, insane!
2026-05-23 15:01:39 Trump announcing this too early would be like losing one of his cards for negotiations.
2026-05-23 16:01:16 That's a good point actually
2026-05-23 20:11:17 Check the Iranian demands market
2026-05-23 21:39:00 Interesting
2026-05-24 08:44:20 If Trump says it's 50/50, it must be true.
2026-05-24 16:35:55 This is still undervalued. Trump said today: I've given orders to not rush into a deal. True odds: 1-2%.
2026-05-27 14:01:35 Don't be retarded and cut your loss
2026-06-14 12:38:01 According to CNN, Trump has announced 39 times that a deal is close.
2026-07-06 18:10:44 That's exactly what I thought
2026-07-10 16:31:23 only once in the last 3 years
2026-07-17 23:22:26 An EU join seems less likely, but Icelanders don't have anything to lose from these negotiations
2026-08-04 20:17:11 Latest poll shows 53% yes
2026-08-25 17:32:56 I think this is likely, but overpriced
2026-09-12 09:16:01 Stupid AI hype. The solution is not verified.
2026-09-16 22:58:28 Navier stokes was already near solution, and the critical pieces of the puzzle had been discovered by mathematicians. This does not hold for the rest of the problems so that they can be solved by brute force in 88 hours.
2026-09-22 19:09:40 This is closer to 50/50 than it looks.
2026-10-03 22:50:34 Estoy de acuerdo, pero una proporción de 55/45 también es razonable.
2026-10-04 20:57:51 Interesting...
2026-10-05 20:47:24 We did not have a full proof produced by an automation when we named them millennium problems. However, the market is still overestimating AI capabilities.
2026-10-05 20:59:16 There is some progress in the Hodge conjecture and a solution may be close but it could come from the math community or another AI
2026-10-06 16:20:24 I should have bought more at 38c
2026-10-10 07:45:51 It was overpriced, now it makes more sense
2026-10-10 09:59:30 easy win
2026-10-10 10:03:41 Even AI says that this is mispriced
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