Account Information
Name:
scottilicious
Pseudonym:
Powerful-Election
Created:
2020-11-26 01:35:21
Last Activity:
1 day ago
Tier:
Silver
X:
@scottonPoly
profile-image-583-178de096-51b5-46b0-b1bf-83d0b80ad3d4.jpg
Total Profit
$1,606,298
Blockchain trace
| Address | Roles | Chains | Currencies | Total | Requests |
|---|
Stats
Portfolio value
$281,154.92
Markets traded
1,257
Trades
1,218
Largest win
$53,110.78
Profile views
227,747
Join date
2020-11-26 01:35:21
All-time rank
103
All-time PnL
$1,606,298.31
All-time volume
$72,200,138.76
All-time profit
$1,637,188.62
Lifetime volume
$69,823,164.36
PnL series latest
$1,636,546.00
PnL series start
$1,646,622.90
PnL series points
23
Weighted volume
$21,335.51
Geoblock allow
No
Geoblock block
No
Geoblock close-only
No
Biggest wins & losses
Biggest wins
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? | No | 647618.074384 | $53,110.78 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | 724751.526841 | $49,053.36 |
| Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General? | No | 191030.888926 | $47,644.48 |
Biggest losses
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | No | 79138.97 | $-60,658.39 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | Yes | 68779.47 | $-55,566.11 |
| Trump wins every swing state? | No | 63366.671763 | $-52,390.80 |
Open positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Now | Value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | No | 246399.8675 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $245,537.47 | $7,884.55 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 210812.957 | $0.83 | $0.90 | $188,677.60 | $14,698.20 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 109867.29 | $0.96 | $0.98 | $107,395.28 | $1,672.95 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | No | 69660.54 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $69,625.71 | $549.04 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | No | 45500 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $45,477.25 | $1,556.56 |
Closed positions (5+)
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? | No | 647618.074384 | $53,110.78 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | 724751.526841 | $49,053.36 |
| Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General? | No | 191030.888926 | $47,644.48 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | No | 311907.44105 | $47,548.42 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 121222.502243 | $47,423.41 |
Recent activity (5+)
| When | Type | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | USDC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 hours ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 18.7294 | $18.73 | |||
| 1 day ago | MAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 2.6531 | $2.65 | |||
| 1 day ago | YIELD | $0.00 | 17.4618 | $17.46 | |||
| 1 day ago | TAKER_REBATE | $0.00 | 6.6652 | $6.67 | |||
| 1 day ago | TRADE | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | No | $0.99 | 5072.77 | $5,047.37 |
Recent trades (1218)
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | No | $0.99 | 5072.77 |
| 1 day ago | BUY | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $0.89 | 21275.68 |
| 1 day ago | BUY | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.96 | 0.28 |
| 1 day ago | BUY | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.96 | 93.513512 |
| 1 day ago | BUY | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | $0.96 | 7352.368647 |
Comments
2024-06-20 16:34:58
public service announcement: Key word here is "directly" involved. Definitive evidence of direct involvement seems like a hard bar and goes beyond screenshots of conversation by a known scammer.
2024-06-20 16:37:43
you trust Shrkelli? I wouldn't be surprised if he were spouting his BS on spaces and buying up the "No" on here. Pure speculation but wouldn't put it past him.
2024-06-20 16:41:39
involved to some degree does not translate to "direct involvement" Shkrelli trying to convince Baron to put his name on it and Baron being semi receptive to hearing him out does not translate to direct involvement in the launch. Good luck to U.
2024-06-20 16:48:43
direct involvement IN THE LAUNCH. Not convos about the launch, openness to discussing it. But direct involvement in the actual launch with definitive evidence. That's a high bar to cross man. Promises to be interesting in any case...
2024-06-20 16:57:35
and anonymous posters popping up with little activity saying I have record of telling lies even though it's the first time I've posted, but are willing to trust M. Shkrelli. It doesn't get any weirder than this.
2024-06-22 22:42:43
Can we still bet on this during the dispute period?
2024-06-23 16:13:47
thx
2024-06-23 16:13:59
sure seems like it
2024-06-23 17:49:21
Could someone please explain wtf is up with this market like how did it come about?
2024-06-28 12:50:57
Like carr said he was old, slow, and at times confused but at no point did this rise to the level of persistent senility. Biden is known to have trouble with words, nothing out of character..
2024-06-28 20:41:29
very coherent analysis. There's a reason the rules were written the way they were.
2024-06-28 20:47:42
This is misinformation, Dem party not calling on him to step down.
2024-06-30 04:48:26
non-sequitur
2024-07-22 16:07:12
If I were a Republican operative wanting to shift the narrative away from Kamala, spending a few tens of thousands of dollars to manipulate a market like this to make it seem like there is a chance in hell (which there isn't) that Biden will resign the presidency would not be a bad use of a few bucks. Dude literally said in the latter he was looking forward to serving out the rest of his term. This move this morning felt manipulated. Just sayin'
2024-08-22 10:55:36
What discord is this being discussed on? Can't seem to find it on UMA....
2024-08-22 11:59:53
confirmed by who? You have a source?
2024-08-22 15:07:08
Mmm it sure seems like getting handcuffed , spending the night in prison, and having to go to court to discuss specific new charges is an arrest but what do I know?
2024-08-22 19:08:49
BBC referred to arrestation and new charges
2024-08-22 22:09:34
exactly. I don't know how this is any less than 99.7 right now but hey free money is just fine.
2024-08-22 22:43:26
That was interesting .... got some good fills whatever the hell it was!
2024-08-23 10:47:09
Changing one's mind is not always indicative of intelligence.
2024-08-23 10:52:57
I feel like there are some manipulative types on here trying to be slick to benefit from market volatility. But how convoluted does an argument have to be to say that house arrest isn't a form of arrest? That's crazy.
2024-08-23 11:05:43
It's called house arrest.
2024-08-23 17:35:49
I'm shocked; you don't say?
2024-08-24 13:41:57
You have such a huge wager on this! Incredible conviction!
2024-08-24 13:52:35
old article pre-endorsment, but nice try
2024-08-24 15:12:26
He said it was tough for his family, Trump's VP just thanked him for the endorsment. You may want to switch back so you don't lose $
2024-08-25 21:07:20
I think you should seek help. $3,000,000 volume to make 20k? U need a mentor.
2024-09-01 13:26:47
scammer much?
2024-09-12 07:57:42
Did we watch the same debate lol she ran circles around his tired old ass.
2024-09-12 07:59:42
On point re winning Maga money... last election they thought he would be reinstated. It truly is manna from heaven, and the best capitalist practice of taking money from the less intelligent and redirecting it to where it belongs.
2024-09-13 10:03:57
IMO has to be some kiind of a hedge. Noone is that crazy.
2024-09-15 20:54:49
Somehow it all sounds too familiar. A better informed, hell, more intelligent person is trying to help these fools and they're stubbornly delusional, hell bent on doing something that will ultimately affect them in a very negative manner. Sounds oddly familiar.
2024-09-15 21:55:52
Better informed people who have done the research are trying to help the Maga crowd that buying "yes" will result in huge disappointment and no tangible gains. Maga peeps say "screw you," we believe. Polymarket imitates life?
2024-09-15 22:13:26
I beg to differ. A sound mind and the TDS that accompanies it, are not indicative of talking down. Though sanity and TDS may at times correlate, that correlation does not imply causation, nor does it extend to the variable of talking down. Thus this analysis should be viewed as explicatory , and not ad hoc. Do note however that the munificence I've displayed by trying to warn you is by nature discrete; I will keep your money when the witching hour is upon us.
2024-09-16 04:33:22
I commend your astute grasp of irony.
2024-09-18 08:13:59
The document does not show who signed it, and thus it can't be verified that it comes from someone tied to ABC. This isn't rocket science, but basic 6th grade level analysis here. If you went on UMA, you would just look like you're silly with poor analytical skills and people would still vote no. Best take a breather go on a walk and think twice next time about gambling on a dubious document put out by some anonymous hack on Twitter.
2024-09-18 08:15:29
Just Dull Vance compared Trump to Hitler before he lost his marbles and went all in on the Maga cult. Not exactly an impartial trusted source lol
2024-09-29 17:45:47
Um hello "intended to establish control over any portion" means Southern Lebanon or another part of Lebanon it doesn't mean special ops lol
2024-10-01 19:52:28
Times if Israel: [link removed] [link removed] Sure doesn't seem like an invasion to me.
2024-10-01 19:53:36
[link removed]
2024-10-01 19:55:16
Haaretz refers to limited ground incursion with emphasis on "focused" and "limited" sure doesn't sound like an invasion to me!
2024-10-01 20:32:12
Way too early for all the Yeses to declare victory on this, the Israelis and some media are calling it a limited incursion with specific goals. Some media are using the word "invasion" but are not sufficiently backing it up. And Lebanese army and UN are saying they don't see invasion. Establish control, invasion are not met IMO
2024-10-01 20:51:49
CNN: extent of incursion unclear. "An Israeli security official told reporters on condition of anonymity Tuesday morning that the operation does not amount to an invasion or incursion, describing it instead as “localized raids” that are “very limited in scope and in the area of operation.” The official said there were so far “no clashes” on the ground between the IDF and Hezbollah, but refused to comment on whether Israeli tanks have entered Lebanon and would not elaborate on how deep into Lebanese territory Israeli troops have advanced, saying they were focused on the border areas. “The amount of forces and the type of forces are more appropriate to something of a limited raid, and not, for example, things we’ve seen in Gaza with very, very large forces,” the official added. Hezbollah rejected the claim that Israeli forces had entered southern Lebanon, describing them as “lies,” according to a statement by spokesman Mohamed Afif on Tuesday." [link removed]
2024-10-01 21:54:27
I was watching like a hawk, I think it's a no obviously, though by some arguments could be 50/50 and no way in hell it's a clear yes given the latest info from CNN, WSJ, UN, Lebanese army etc etc
2024-10-01 22:04:12
Truth is this could still go either way, esp. with this from CNN a few hours ago "an Israeli security official told reporters on condition of anonymity Tuesday morning that the operation does not amount to an invasion or incursion, describing it instead as “localized raids” that are “very limited in scope and in the area of operation.” https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/01/middleeast/israel-ground-incursion-lebanon-explainer-intl-hnk/index.html
2024-10-01 22:04:51
and the attack from Iran adds another crazy wrinkle..
2024-10-01 22:05:32
you're not tempted to offload a chunk at these sweet prices given the ambiguity?
2024-10-01 22:07:20
What an incredibly nuanced argument! Impressive.
2024-10-01 22:21:28
no psyop just facts , you're coping
2024-10-01 22:22:28
The Guardian: “The [Israeli] move here now isn’t some large-scale ground manoeuvre but truly one to remove a threat to the communities near the border, and this is absolutely part of the defensive operation. To perceive this as a wide-scale ground manoeuvre in Lebanon or an operation of conquest or [forming] a security zone – I think it isn’t.”[link removed]
2024-10-01 23:11:22
you drank the cool aid on the initial news articles and you like to stereotype... more nuanced articles have since come out but you're too busy trying your latest comedic routine to do the research which corroborates your initials, Don't F*ckin' Know- so where's the humility?
2024-10-02 21:56:06
famous last words lol
2024-10-03 18:58:14
wrong again, must reflect the situation at the close of the question date September 30th. Nothing to do with November.
2024-10-04 17:57:55
No he didn't , there is no time listed , it just says Oct 1st. The lies by yeses on here are ruthless!
2024-10-04 17:59:59
There is a concerted effort by yeses on this comment thread to somehow influence the outcome despite the fact that reconnaissance is not an invasion, and Lebanon, UN , etc saw noone cross the border in September. The sheer volume of posts is astounding but I don't think it will affect the outcome on UMA where saner heads will prevail IMO
2024-10-04 18:01:49
Meantime yeses please keep buying, I'm enjoying the cheap No shares... yummiii.... delicious...
2024-10-04 22:47:58
no= gambling addiction and depression dual diagnosis yes= elephantitis
2024-10-07 17:45:42
This is a noble attempt to educate, people should heed it. Maybe 2% will, in which case it's still a legit good deed.
2024-10-08 08:42:14
It's always good to want to help others. Unfortunately, the 98% are whiners and sore losers and blame anyone but themselves but there is always that 2% that will appreciate it. imo
2024-10-25 16:38:51
how much U want?
2024-10-25 16:39:59
got 5k up
2024-10-27 13:42:04
I was active in that market and on the right side of it you're totally misrepresenting what happened... It was no because it was deemed spycraft, sabotage vs a military attack. Nice try.
2024-10-27 14:30:09
look I'm gonna go ahead and try to help you out even though I don't mind buying more yes.... there are geopolitical reasons certain actors wouldn't want to confirm... this is a public service announcement and will be my last post on the matter because usually when I try to help doofusses are stubborn and enjoy losing money.
2024-10-27 14:32:11
ROFLMAO ok I broke my promise because this post is just too ridiculous. Did you also believe this guy? Former Iraqi info minister? [link removed]
2024-10-27 14:42:49
nothing like those incredible Iraqi sources [link removed]
2024-10-27 15:52:29
Is the Information Minister from the Saddam days still living there? I would be interested to hear his take on all this. Might be just as reliable as the current Iraqi government.
2024-10-28 15:55:56
There have to be some market makers making lots of $ on all this strange activity buyoed by newbie bozos thinking they're gonna strike it rich on something that has already been clarified. Strange.
2024-10-28 16:56:02
some are members of all three camps though
2024-10-29 01:27:01
you will be very sorely missed.
2024-10-29 01:27:43
yes, please bet more
2024-10-30 17:00:13
Yet. But you will lose Lex Friedman bet.
2024-11-01 14:52:35
I'll take more of your money, but be warned Atlas Intel is Republican propaganda
2024-11-26 03:31:11
you're wrong on this. It says in the first paragraph "enters into an agreement," and the second paragraph is only in reference to that.
2024-12-07 02:37:36
ummm I don't think so... you're creating the rules to fit your bet roflmao
2024-12-08 16:41:42
Somehow I have a hard time believing that deploying forces temporarily to an uninhabited mountaintop on the border of three countries equated to invading Syria. Call me a skeptic I guess.
2024-12-08 16:44:56
Deploying forces to an existing buffer zone is not the same as invading a country.. "The IDF stresses that its deployment to the buffer zone between Israel and Syria is a defensive and temporary measure amid the chaos in the country following the fall of the Assad regime."
2024-12-08 16:52:47
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Syria, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2024-12-08 16:53:46
Israel saying temporary, inside existing buffer zone... no legit news sources outside of a few pro-Iran nutjob bloggers saying Israel invaded.
2024-12-08 16:57:54
I read them. Military offensive intended to establish control over a portion of Syria does not equate with send some troops to a deserted buffer zone. Better luck next time!
2024-12-08 17:01:39
New York Times: Israel’s military had entered a demilitarized buffer zone in territory it controls in the Golan Heights, abutting Syria, amid a lightning fast rebel offensive that swept through the country. Israel’s military, which is concerned about the sudden surge in instability near its borders, said it was acting to protect Israeli civilians. The Israeli deployment aimed to “strengthen the defense of the Golan and the eastern border,” according to a statement on Sunday by the Golan Regional Council, a local government entity which supervises Israeli settlements in the Golan Heights.
2024-12-08 17:03:15
A move forward to an existing buffer zone is not the same as invading a country and will not be reported as such, nor viewed as such by the international community.
2024-12-08 17:09:48
"The exact boundaries are unclear due to the disputed nature of the Golan Heights" putting troops in a disputed area is not invading.
2024-12-08 17:10:27
Any legit news sources calling it an invasion? Crickets...........
2024-12-08 17:11:56
they've been attacking Syria for months man that's not invasion champ
2024-12-10 17:35:16
operating is not the same as going in with the intent to establish control. They could be conducting reconaissance, raids, whatever else without invading to hold territory..
2024-12-25 02:58:15
your blogger also said this nice try There are instructors, consultants, the "African Corps", the Ministry of Defense and the Special Operations Forces at the Russian military bases. Our people are holding on bravely, all are ready, if anything happens. Negotiations on Syria are now underway between Russia, Turkey, Iran and others. The issue of Russia's military bases in Syria is open, if there was already a guarantee, then no one would shell them and our people could move freely. Then our stranded military could fly out of Khmeimim. And now the question of how to get them out of there by sea is being considered. "
2024-12-25 03:01:45
There are instructors, consultants, the "African Corps", the Ministry of Defense and the Special Operations Forces at the Russian military bases. Our people are holding on bravely, all are ready, if anything happens. Negotiations on Syria are now underway between Russia, Turkey, Iran and others. The issue of Russia's military bases in Syria is open, if there was already a guarantee, then no one would shell them and our people could move freely. Then our stranded military could fly out of Khmeimim. And now the question of how to get them out of there by sea is being considered. "
2024-12-28 23:06:23
https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-pulling-back-not-out-syria-sources-say-2024-12-14/
2025-01-06 02:34:38
good one
2025-01-06 04:08:34
[link removed].uk/world-news/2024/12/12/syria-rebels-assad-russia-tartus-warships-planes-medvedev/
2025-01-06 05:51:06
Someone please explain to me how they're gonna load any military gear without having personel on the base?[link removed]
2025-01-06 05:51:50
The Russians are hedging their bets like they have been for the last few months and moving some military gear, but not abandoning the base.
2025-01-06 05:52:57
and what does this have to do with personel on Tartus again?
2025-01-06 05:54:26
loads of Russian troops? That makes sense. Otherwise, link it.
2025-01-06 06:19:09
Way, way , way early like No still has good chance, while Russia and new Syrian gov decide what they wanna do.
2025-01-06 06:20:23
my crystal ball says that things will not change by the time this is up. How's your crystal ball doing?
2025-01-06 06:39:45
Given ongoing negotiations between new Syria regime and Russians my bet is the latter. And, this.. [link removed]
2025-01-06 07:24:00
Poor in what sense? roflmao
2025-01-06 07:25:45
Hmmm. If it don't make money then it don't make Pence. ;)
2025-01-06 07:28:28
If I take 50 cents to a 99 cent store and buy a ship with personel, can I mail it to Tartus?
2025-01-06 19:50:00
you're trying to rule cuck but this isn't the Golan market silly rabbit.
2025-01-06 19:51:25
Public service announcement: rule cuckers are trying to fool stakeholders that Russia has abandoned Tartus even though there is a continued Russian personnel presence there and Russia and Syria are in active negotiations re. the final disposition. If you want to avoid losses, don't fall for their bait.
2025-01-06 20:22:32
lol not trying to dump , just basically stating the obvious, that you're making ridiculous exaggerated claims that will cost people $
2025-01-10 14:26:11
uncommon analytical skills
2025-01-11 01:20:43
I did the research friend, and I shared the love, just not with people calling me stupid, etc etc in the comments section. Matter of fact maybe a portion of gains will go to fire relief. It's crazy that these markets even exist, but they do lead to truth on occasion, and the truth is that this happenned just not in the place most people were looking.
2025-01-11 01:31:31
Initially no, but then when the Kenneth no arson news came out I dug deep, did the research and just happened to catch the Leo news as it came out. And even if you go just by the title and not the rules, it's fine. Leo Carillo is managed by the California State Parks, which is plenty wild for me even though as you ascertained, there is nothing in the rules saying it must lead to a specific wildfire.
2025-01-11 01:40:17
They're different, but trust me you don't wanna be on the no side of this.
2025-01-11 02:08:39
I'm surprised too that noone else caught it.... but I think there was just soooo much other news out there re. these fires that it took a while for peeps to catch it.
2025-01-11 02:11:49
research research research these markets are tricky but you gotta do the research! Get a second, third source, make sure you don't exclude anything from your analysis.
2025-01-15 03:15:36
Lots of reasons for Russia to stay "Initial Western hopes that Russia would immediately lose its access appear to have been unfounded. "[link removed]
2025-01-15 16:59:31
There is a difference between trading around a position and reducing risk vs liquidating. I'm not one who is shy about liquidating when I see a shift. When I liquidate I toss 100% of the position to the curb. If you notice I had bought a good chunk at .30, not taking some profit on that would be dumb.
2025-01-15 17:01:08
When I liquidate, I sell 100% of the position within minutes and never look back. This baby drops low enough though I may buy back. Be careful. Time goes by fast it will be April 1 in no time!
2025-01-15 17:02:21
I would say you're reading a lot into some relatively minor profit taking with no real news in either direction but that's just imho.
2025-01-17 07:47:59
good, buy more
2025-01-19 08:32:58
Just out of curiosity and for my edification could someone please explain the rationale of the no holders?s?
2025-01-19 23:40:20
No but there is a market "Will doofusses who are wrong whine and bitch about an Uma conspiracy because they can't cope."
2025-01-21 15:34:38
Russia has to dock several ships that require repairs, load up a ton of armament, and negotiate a final agreement re. the base with a regime that consists of half a dozen groups at least all with different interests and geopolitical imperatives. I mean like anything it's possible. Will it happen within two months that every last Russian operative will be gone from Tartus? I don't think so.
2025-01-21 16:16:54
Yeses should sell into the panic. Docking a boat or two that will probably take a month or two just to repair does not equate to removing every last remaining military personnel.
2025-01-23 02:53:24
There needs to be clarification on this Q re. whether Musk being part of a consortium that buys TikTok qualifies.
2025-01-27 21:22:54
roflmao
2025-02-09 19:18:48
Time will run out imo. Al-Sharaa gonna play everyone out against each other to extract maximum $
2025-02-09 19:22:46
Good analysis but I still think time runs out. You should join us on discord to discuss more thoroughly.
2025-02-14 16:41:50
I want to speak to the manager!
2025-02-14 22:40:58
Rule #2 You'll be right for a while until you're not. Dogebag ketamine doofus will fail at some point and I wouldn't wanna be holding the bag!
2025-02-19 17:15:20
This post provides keen insight on the rigorous research by Y holders, as well as their sophistication and coherence as pertains to world affairs.
2025-02-26 01:17:07
peace of mind , still think it goes to 100 but Kanye is a whack job so be careful
2025-03-01 15:47:20
Please please buy more yes.
2025-03-19 18:03:37
you're wrong on this and Leavitt is not a legit source you gotta have formal agreement read the rules and try to avoid losing your hard earned $
2025-03-24 22:00:13
Looks like the Ukrainian deprivation will endure another day of US masturbation.
2025-03-30 17:26:40
bullshit, unless they specifically announce
2025-04-01 21:47:40
you're just mad that a black dude is gonna beat Strom Thurmond's record lol
2025-04-05 16:14:08
This is my argument as well. Qualitative narrative says Houthis won't buckle that fast.
2025-04-12 18:15:10
"As Time Goes By" is a jazz song written by Herman Hupfeld in 1931. It became famous when it was featured in the 1942 film Casablanca, performed by Dooley Wilson as Sam. The song was voted No. 2 on the AFI's 100 Years...100 Songs special, commemorating the best songs in film[1] (surpassed only by "Over the Rainbow" sung by Judy Garland). The song was covered among others by Rudy Vallee, Billie Holiday, Jimmy Durante, Louis Armstrong, Frank Sinatra, Nancy Sinatra, Natalie Cole, Harry Nilsson, Carly Simon, Vera Lynn, Bob Dylan and Bryan Ferry. It was also the title and theme song of the 1990s British romantic comedy series As Time Goes By. National Public Radio (NPR) included it in its "NPR 100", a 1999 list of the most important American musical works of the 20th century as compiled by NPR's music editors.[2] The song is a popular reflection of nostalgia and often used in films and series reflecting this feeling.[3][4] Since 1999, an instrumental version of the song's closing bars has accompanied the studio logo of many Warner Bros. Pictures and Warner Bros. Television productions, in reference to the studio's production of Casablanca.[5]
2025-05-01 16:43:24
Your argument seems plausible. Good analysis.
2025-05-16 19:23:05
not the same offensive seems like a big stretch
2025-06-02 08:00:54
This is a bald faced lie. He did not deny wearing a suit when he met with the chancellor. MrLiar
2025-06-02 18:20:59
We're talking about the meeting with the German Chancellor that one was a suit.
2025-06-21 17:23:27
the Iranian government stating that “The Zionist regime has launched a massive cyber war against the country's digital infrastructure to disrupt the process of providing services to you, our dear people.” followed by a widespread outage for Sepah Bank, a large state run financial institution, make it quite clear that this market meets the requirement of unauthorized access and significant disruption of a state institution.
2025-06-21 17:29:47
An estimated 10 million people were watching when anti-regime protest videos were broadcasted.
2025-06-21 17:31:39
Multiple state banks hacked: 30 million Iranians were affected, with no access to financial services or transactions.
2025-06-21 17:32:55
Largest crypto exchange breached
2025-06-21 17:33:19
$100 million was stolen, leaving millions unable to access their funds or make payments.
2025-06-21 17:33:40
These attacks caused long-lasting damage, financial losses, and massive disruption to daily life. It’s hard to understand how anyone could argue these are not "major" incidents. If the same events happened in the U.S., just with different names, no one would hesitate to call them major cyberattacks.
2025-06-21 17:36:37
It's interesting that this was trading in the .90s before your posse of mediocre spamming scammers showed up.
2025-06-21 17:39:02
good to see that you haven't even put money on this platform.... please keep posting as you lend great credibility to the no's roflmao
2025-06-21 17:54:39
[link removed]
2025-06-21 17:55:40
4721 Scammer Ave., Timbuktu, Mali
2025-06-21 18:46:49
The inability to see the other side's worldview in this dispute mirrors the Israel-Iran conflict lol each side completely ignoring the other side's perspective. Unfortunately for the nos, there is ample reality based evidence of a major cyberattack and it's one of the few things the Israelis and Iranians agree on lol
2025-06-21 18:56:21
The hackers launched a large-scale cyberattack on Iran’s financial system, starting with Sepah Bank, one of the country’s biggest state run banks. The attack erased customer data and disrupted services for nearly a third of the population. It wasn’t limited to one bank , Melli, Pasargad, and Eghtesade Novin were also hit, showing the breach was widespread. The fallout extended beyond banking, with reported issues in internet access and possibly fuel services due to the systems being linked. The same group also targeted Nobitex, Iran’s top crypto exchange with state ties, stealing over $90 million and triggering massive fund withdrawals. The scale and impact clearly meet the definition of a major disruption to national infrastructure.
2025-06-21 19:01:44
Doron we've already gone over this. You don't possess the English language skills and critical thinking skills to properly evaluate the rules. FYI English is my second language but I worked hard to learn it. I can send you some pointers if you'd like. Better luck next time...
2025-06-21 19:03:00
double negatives are particularly indicative of non-mastery btw, it's like you're advertising the incompetence of the no crowd... keep up the good work!
2025-09-05 03:02:27
Is there a new meaning to being washed? Does it mean kicking ass continuously and being at all time highs? Just curious yo.
2025-09-15 22:32:17
Supremes gonna punt. Watch n learn.
2025-09-16 17:13:01
You might want to reach out to a professional asset manager or friends (for accountability) before you lose it all. This is the worst analysis I've seen on this site and that's a tough bar you've met.
2025-10-08 19:23:58
Public service announcement: You lucked out on Lecornu but your luck is going to run out wit Macron. The better strategy would be to just be happy with your gains and look for a better market. Macron has an outsized ego and is not gonna resign.
2025-10-08 19:25:19
Public Service announcement for the preeminent prediction geniuses who got lucky on Lecornu: Macron has an outsized ego and is not gonna resign.
2025-10-08 19:50:30
He will stall and put someone in who will be incrementally more risk taking than Lecornu and France will go through all the motions until there's a Prime Minister from another party and Macron will finish out his term with a divided government.
2025-10-08 20:33:41
Melenchon is exactly a snot nosed prima donna who went back on his intellectual distaste for identity politics for electoral expedience, and no one outside LFI takes him seriously.
2025-10-20 06:35:58
Sumimasssssssey....... Ishibahbye
2025-11-04 01:31:59
Cuomo getting endorsment of Trump and now Musk could easily backfire in NYC what do you guys think?
2025-11-17 21:46:11
Public service announcement: Informal statements, preliminary discussions, expressions of intent without a finalized agreement, announcements contingent on future conditions, or partial policy changes (e.g., resuming talks without committing to a sale) will not be considered sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
2025-11-18 21:31:50
If you propose I'll dispute and you'll likely lose.
2025-11-18 22:34:58
you have to put up a few hundred dollars I think like 700 but it varies sometimes, and then if UMA votes against your proposal you lose the funds. Make a few bucks if you're correct but not much.
2026-01-15 09:43:10
Ya Trump is not gonna get squat here. [link removed]
2026-01-15 09:45:04
[link removed]
2026-01-15 09:45:50
No on this should be trading around $0.98 imo
2026-02-12 04:15:41
public service announcement: Dems are likely to milk Trump's recent fumbles for maximum exposure, including Bondi's insane showing. It's a fastball right down the middle to emphasize the recklessness at ICE and the overall incompetence on display. Shutdown incoming.
2026-02-12 15:45:12
OK, I should have put "shutdown highly likely," and "make sure to read the question thoroughly," but at the end of the days the underlying reasons I stipulate are accurate. ICE is about as popular as toe fungus, Bondi acted like an unhinged lunatic, and the Dems will capitalize on this. Also procedure-wise ,by now there is almost no time left to avoid the shutdown.
2026-02-21 18:43:33
I feel like the no's did not adequately parse the question... some key words: ALLEGED, IN CONNECTION
2026-02-21 18:46:06
@tenda There are whales on both sides broski. The yeses will be right because they carefully read the question and ascertained that the recent charges pertain to an alleged fake daycare center and are in connection with said daycare center, under a wide consensus of credible reporting.
2026-02-21 18:47:58
And, who knows what other charges are in the works....
2026-02-21 18:49:07
How did I get that money? In large part by carefully parsing the rules of questions like this one. I screw up sometimes too though, as seen with recent shutdown rulecuck that cost me a pretty penny. This one is a no brainer though!
2026-03-20 08:19:49
Bizarrement, a ce coup la les Francais ont reussi a battre l'imbecilité des Americains au debat. Dati incapable d'attendre son tour pour parler et des moderateurs debiles incapables de lui dire de se taire quelques secondes. Pour moi elle etait plutot mauvaise au debat, montrant une tendance a parler beaucoup sans riens dire.
2026-04-03 19:18:23
It says government. Trump has a record of falsehoods and he doesn't comprise the entirety of government. I would think that if he submitted a false claim, there would be a dispute in other branches of government and then it would got to consensus of credible reporting.
2026-06-29 01:08:18
The question itself says : An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."